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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 397 records · Page 22

China’s Booming Plug-in Electric Vehicle Market—How Will It Continue?

The plug-in electric vehicle (PEV) is recognized as a pivotal component in transportation energy security and technology innovation in China. With government incentives and substantial capital investments, the Chinese PEV market has become one of the largest in the world. However, is this market boom ephemeral or will it be continuing? This chapter provides a general review of the Chinese PEV market mainly from the consumer per-spective, by summarizing the characteristics of the vehicle policies and consumer concerns in the PEV market in recent years. Moreover, it intro-duces detailed examples on how the policies, technologies, and infrastruc-ture shape the market. In addition to employing large amounts of reliable data from the China Automotive Technology and Research Center for the review, the authors also adopted a quantitative analysis tool—the New Energy and Oil Consumption Credits model—to project the potential in-dustrial impacts of the government policies in multiple scenarios. Based on the findings, it seems that the prosperity of the PEV market, incentivized by the government, will continue in the short run. The direct subsidies to PEV from the government will gradually phase out, and the supply-side push policies such as the dual-credit policy and other charging infrastruc-ture incentives will work as the invisible hand to force the automakers to invest more in the PEV segment. However, in the long run, innovation in PEV technology and business models, together with consumer acceptance will be the major factors that can sustain further market growth.

Ou, Shawn↗

Potential annual daylighting performance of a high-efficiency daylight redirecting slat system

While the primary role of window attachments is often to moderate glare and solar heat gains, they are also able to provide additional daylight to interior spaces. For this purpose, a variety of daylight-redirecting window systems have been developed over the past 150 years. Fixed reflective systems (slats/light shelves) or prismatic systems that rely on total internal reflection work well under specific solar conditions, but generally sacrifice performance over a much wider range of incident solar angles and sky conditions. Dynamic systems - typically reflective slats - are more responsive to sun angles but have not been able to achieve optimal performance for glare and daylight redirection efficiency. A previous investigation into an adjustable, reflective blind concept first conceived of in the late 1970s showed promise but was not reduced to practice due to lack of adequate simulation and analysis tools. In this paper, this concept is further developed and its energy and visual comfort performance evaluated for four mid-latitude, temperate climates using ray-tracing simulation techniques. Overall, results indicate significant potential lighting energy savings when compared with conventional automated reflective blinds (2.1–4.9 kWh/(m 2 ·a), or 14%–42%, depending on climate and orientation) or, especially, manually-operated matte white venetian blinds (1.4–7.9 kWh/(m 2 ·a), or 9%–54%, depending on climate and orientation), while maintaining acceptable or better visual comfort conditions throughout the interior space.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

A versatile and low-cost chip-to-world interface: enabling ICP-MS characterization of isotachophoretically separated lanthanides on a microfluidic device

Microfluidics offer novel and state-of-the-art pathways to process materials. Microfluidic systems drastically reduce timeframes and costs associated with traditional lab-scale efforts in the area of analytical sample preparations. The challenge arises in effectively connecting microfluidics to off-chip analysis tools to accurately characterize samples after treatment on-chip. Here, a fused silica microfluidic device (MFD) is connected to a fused-silica capillary in order to create a world-to-chip connection between the MFD and an inductively coupled plasma mass spectrometer (ICP-MS). Specifically, this is demonstrated by utilizing isotachophoresis (ITP) on a microfluidic chip to separate samples containing up to 14 lanthanides into elementally pure bands. The separated sample is successfully transferred across a 7 nL dead space at the microchip-capillary junction, such that separation resolution is maintained and even increased through the interface and into the ICP-MS, where the elemental composition of the separated sample is analysed. Lanthanide samples of varying composition are detected using ICP-MS, demonstrating this versatile and cost-effective approach that does not degrade the separation quality achieved on the MFD. This simple and inexpensive connection enables fast, low-cost sample preparation immediately prior to injection into an ICP-MS or other analytical instruments.

Lackey, Hope E.↗

Differentiable hybrid neural network approach for enhancing reactor dynamics simulations

Reactor dynamics simulations provide essential insights into the time-dependent behavior of nuclear reactors under various operating conditions. However, high-fidelity simulations can be computationally intensive, requiring significant computational resources. Here, to address this challenge, this study employs a differentiable hybrid model that utilizes neural networks as a corrector to enhance the performance of a low-fidelity simulation, aligning its predictions with those of a high-fidelity simulation. Low-fidelity and high-fidelity simulations were obtained by adjusting the mesh size in the System Dynamics Analysis Tool. The differentiable hybrid model was trained in two approaches: time-step-wise and sequence-wise. It was then applied to simulate various transients in a molten salt reactor. Its performance was evaluated by comparing its responses to transients against those of the high-fidelity simulation. An additional approach was performed using a data-driven model to correct the low-fidelity simulation. In comparison, the differentiable hybrid model showed significant improvements in transient prediction, effectively addressing the limitations of the low-fidelity simulations. The results highlighted the robustness of the differentiable hybrid model in both training approaches. It delivered simulations that were at least 3.8 times faster than high-fidelity models. In the time-step-wise approach, it achieved at least a 39% improvement in accuracy. In the sequence-wise approach, it showed at least an 81% accuracy improvement over the full transient. This approach offers a promising path for improving computational efficiency without compromising accuracy in nuclear reactor simulations, making it suitable for real-time digital twin applications.

42 - ENGINEERING↗

Physics-based hybrid machine learning for critical heat flux prediction with uncertainty quantification

Critical heat flux (CHF) is a key quantity in nuclear system modeling due to its impact on heat transfer, safety margins, and reactor performance. This study develops and validates an uncertainty-aware hybrid modeling approach that combines machine learning with physics-based models to predict CHF in cases of dryout. The Biasi and Bowring empirical correlations were paired with three ML uncertainty quantification (UQ) techniques: deep neural network (DNN) ensembles, Bayesian neural networks (BNNs), and deep Gaussian processes (DGPs). A pure ML model without a base model was evaluated for comparison. Model performance was assessed under plentiful (7,350 points) and limited (9 points) training data scenarios using parity, uncertainty distributions, and calibration curves. Results show that the Biasi hybrid DNN ensemble achieved the best overall performance, with a mean absolute relative error of 1.846%, and well-calibrated uncertainty estimates. The BNN-based hybrids showed slightly higher error (2.14%) but superior uncertainty calibration. DGP models underperformed, with over 6% error and poor uncertainty calibration. All hybrid models outperformed pure machine learning configurations, demonstrating resistance against data scarcity. These findings indicate that hybrid modeling significantly improves predictive accuracy, interpretability, and resilience to data scarcity. The integration of uncertainty awareness provides actionable confidence in CHF predictions, which is vital for safety-critical decisions in nuclear applications. This hybrid approach offers a viable pathway for deploying ML models in reactor analysis tools while preserving domain knowledge and physical consistency.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

MADLens, a python package for fast and differentiable non-Gaussian lensing simulations

Here, we present MADLens a python package for producing non-Gaussian lensing convergence maps at arbitrary source redshifts with unprecedented precision. MADLens is designed to achieve high accuracy while keeping computational costs as low as possible. A MADLens simulation with only particles produces convergence maps whose power agrees with theoretical lensing power spectra up to within the accuracy limits of HaloFit. This is made possible by a combination of a highly parallelizable particle-mesh algorithm, a sub-evolution scheme in the lensing projection, and a machine-learning inspired sharpening step. Further, MADLens is fully differentiable with respect to the initial conditions of the underlying particle-mesh simulations and a number of cosmological parameters. These properties allow MADLens to be used as a forward model in Bayesian inference algorithms that require optimization or derivative-aided sampling. Another use case for MADLens is the production of large, high resolution simulation sets as they are required for training novel deep-learning-based lensing analysis tools. We make the MADLens package publicly available under a Creative Commons License

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Single molecule insights into interfacial molecular recognition for model electrochemical DNA biosensors

Electrochemical sensors that use surface-immobilized DNA to bind analytes and transduce the binding into electrochemical signals, have the potential for rapid, specific, and sensitive detection of bioanalytes via a compact and portable platform. However, accessing the structure of these surfaces/interfaces at the relevant spatial scale (< 10 nm), which determines the interfacial interactions and ultimately sensing performance, remains an unsolved challenge. Here, we review studies that have used high resolution atomic force microscope imaging and spatial statistical analysis tools to understand crowding interactions between thiolated DNA probes immobilized on gold electrodes and how such interactions impact target binding. We also review related studies that attempt to control the nanoscale spatial arrangement of the immobilized recognition elements to optimize sensing performance. Furthermore, these efforts have led to new advances in understanding of the structure-function relationships of DNA-based electrochemical biosensors to move the field toward rational engineering of these biosensing interfaces.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Component-Level Analysis of Heating and Cooling Loads in the U.S. Residential Building Stock

The residential building sector accounts for a substantial portion of total energy consumption in the United States and offers a significant opportunity for energy reduction and decarbonization through improvements in energy efficiency. Heating and air conditioning are the primary contributors to residential energy usage and electricity system peak demand. However, due to the diversity of the housing stock and the complexity of factors affecting heating and cooling demand, identifying the relative contributions to heating and cooling loads poses challenges. To address this, we applied the ResStock analysis tool to simulate 550,000 building energy models, providing statistical representation of residential buildings in the contiguous United States. We introduced outputs that quantified the heating and cooling influence of different components of a home, such as air leakage, envelope components (ceilings, walls, windows, foundations), internal heat gains from people, lighting, plug loads, and duct losses and gains. Leveraging the granularity of ResStock, we present a dataset to enable deeper understanding of the contributors to heating and cooling loads as a function of housing characteristics such as location, envelope efficiency, and building type. This work aims to support prioritization of research and development and informed decision-making for residential building decarbonization.

building simulation↗

Opportunities for green hydrogen production with land-based wind in the United States

Hydrogen (H 2 ) is an efficient energy carrier and storage mechanism that can supply both stationary and transport energy demand. Rapidly declining renewable energy generation costs; technology innovations in wind, solar, battery storage, and electrolysis; and a global push for more sustainable and secure energy have driven increased interest in green H 2 production. In this study, we develop an H 2 scenario analysis tool to assist in rapid, high-resolution insights into future, green H 2 pathways to achieve policy goals and market competitiveness. Using this tool, we estimate H 2 production and costs for U.S., off-grid scenarios given varying policy and cost scenarios from 2025–2035. Results indicate that achieving economically competitive green H 2 production (below $\$$2/kg) is possible in 2030 with no policy incentives (one site achieves this target), while increasing policy support to include wind and green H 2 production tax credits enables widespread economic viability sooner, with sub-$\$$2/kg LCOH targets achieved by 2025 and 51.7% of sites achieving this target by 2035. Maximizing policy support through prevailing wage and apprenticeship credit multipliers enable widespread economic viability, including sub-$\$$2/kg of green H 2 by 2025 and even negative pricing by 2035. Regions with lowest LCOH values correspond to high wind resource areas and capacity factors. Achieving decarbonization goals with green H 2 depends on technology cost reductions and policy support, with a maximum average LCOH reduction of $\$$23.10 between no and maximum policy support scenarios, and a maximum average LCOH reduction of $\$$25.86 between current, conservative technology costs and 2035 projected technology cost assumptions.

08 HYDROGEN↗

Validation of Phasor-Domain Transmission and Distribution Co-simulation Against Electromagnetic Transient Simulation

The rapid deployment of renewable energy resources has led to the widespread use of power electronics in modern power systems. As these systems transition from being dominated by large synchronous machines to increasingly incorporating inverter-based resources (IBRs), traditional methods are becoming inadequate. Addressing this challenge, this paper introduces a scalable phasor-domain T\&D co-simulation framework based on open-source software. It focuses on the framework's validation against the PSCAD Electromagnetic Transient (EMT) analysis tool. The validation results demonstrate the framework's high-fidelity and a computational time speed-up of 60 to 100 times, marking a pioneering validation effort in T\&D co-simulation research.

Inverter-based resources, co-simulation, Electroma↗

EPIsembleVis: A geo-visual analysis and comparison of the prediction ensembles of multiple COVID-19 models

In this work, we present EPIsembleVis, a web-based comparative visual analysis tool for evaluating the consistency of multiple COVID-19 prediction models. Our approach analyzes a collection of COVID-19 predictions from different epidemiological models as an ensemble and utilizes two metrics to quantify model performance. These metrics include (a) prediction uncertainty (represented as the dispersion of predictions in each ensemble) and (b) prediction error (calculated by comparing individual model predictions with the recorded data). Through an interactive visual interface, our approach provides a data-driven workflow for (a) selecting and constructing the COVID-19 model prediction ensemble based on the spatiotemporal overlap of available predictions of multiple epidemiological models, (b) quantifying the model performance using both the uncertainty of each model prediction ensemble, and the error of each ensemble member that represents individual model predictions, and (c) visualizing the spatiotemporal variability in the projection performance of individual models using a suite of novel ensemble visualization techniques, such as the data availability map, a spatiotemporal textured-tile calendar, multivariate rose chart, and time-series leaflet glyph. We demonstrate the capability of our ensemble visual interface through a case study that investigates the performance of weekly COVID-19 predictions, which are provided through the COVID-19 Forecast Hub UMass-Amherst Influenza Forecasting Center of Excellence [47] for the United States and United States Territories. The EPIsembleVis tool is implemented using open-source web technologies and adaptive system design, rendering it interoperable with Elasticsearch and Kibana for automatically ingesting COVID-19 predictions from online repositories, and it is generalizable for analyzing worldwide projections from more epidemiological models.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

A hybrid numerical and machine learning framework for evaluating the performance of a 780 cm 2 aqueous organic redox flow battery

Aqueous organic redox flow battery (AORFB) is a promising cost-competitive technology for large-scale energy storage. Among existing work, the dihydroxyphenazine (DHP)-based AORFB has demonstrated high energy density and low capacity degradation in 10 cm2 cells during lab tests. However, its commercial-scale performance in more complex environments remains unknown, posing a barrier for commercialization. To address this gap, this work presents a comprehensive performance evaluation of a 780 cm 2 DHP-based AORFB by combining physics-based numerical model, machine learning (ML)-based surrogate models, and ML-derived sensitivity quantification. Specifically, we first select 12 key battery parameters that include 10 physicochemical quantities and 2 operation quantities, then select 6 performance metrics that include energy efficiency (EE), discharging capacity, charging energy, and power losses due to concentration, activation, and ohmic over-potentials. With such selection, 12800 combinations of the 12 parameters are subsequently generated using the Latin Hypercube Sampling method. These combinations, together with 38 pre-defined State of Charge, are then integrated to a validated AORFB model developed in COMSOL to compute the performance metrics. With both input parameters and performance metrics, 60 deep neural network (DNN) surrogate models are then trained to approximate the relationship between the 10 physicochemical quantities and 6 performance metrics at each flow rate and current density. Sensitivity scores are then calculated based on the DNN models. Two additional sensitivity analysis tools, i.e., MARS, and SHAP, are also used to cross-validate the sensitivity scores from the DNN. The results demonstrate that 1) the standard potential ranks the first in controlling EE and charging energy, 2) the membrane conductivity is most critical for power loss and EE, and 3) specific area and reaction rate control activation power loss.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Leveraging explainable AI to characterize floating-point exceptions in linear solvers

Linear solver packages are central to many scientific, engineering, and machine learning applications. When floating-point exceptions occur in these solvers, e.g., division by zero or overflow, numerical results are compromised and become unreliable. Existing static and dynamic analysis tools can detect such exceptions, but they do not explain why the exceptions occur in terms of the solver inputs. Here, we present a study to characterize the inputs that cause numerical exceptions in linear solver packages. Our approach uses explainable AI (XAI) to find the most relevant characteristics of input matrices that explain the occurrence of exceptions in the solvers. Since training data in this domain is scarce, we perform extensive data gathering and data augmentation to obtain exception-inducing inputs. Our approach uses a repair strategy on the features blamed by XAI to validate that such features indeed explain the exceptions. We compare the LIME and SHAP XAI techniques using a dozen matrix features with three classifiers. We evaluate the approach on three widely used linear solver packages and find that some input characteristics can explain the occurrence of exceptions 100% of the time, in specific solvers and preconditioners.

Explainable AI↗

Advancing Elemental and Isotopic Analysis of Uranium Mineral Inclusions: Rapid Screening via Laser-Induced Breakdown Spectroscopy and High-Resolution Laser Ablation-ICP-MS Mapping

The work presented herein employs two laser-based analytical techniques (laser-induced breakdown spectroscopy (LIBS) and laser ablation – inductively coupled plasma – mass spectrometry (LA-ICP-MS)) to spatially determine the elemental and isotopic composition of uranium bearing minerals. Uniquely, this work leverages the high-speed applicability of LIBS to “screen” the sample(s) for their elemental constituents. After determining the location of the uranium inclusions (via LIBS), high-resolution LA-ICP-MS was employed to further characterize the inclusions. The high-resolution (sub-µm) capabilities of LA-ICP-MS were able to extract important information from the uranium minerals including discerning its chemical form (e.g., finchite from carnotite, Sr- and K-bearing uranyl vanadates, respectively) as well as their 235 U/ 238 U isotopic composition. This approach, LIBS followed by LA-ICP-MS, significantly reduces the analysis time (~95 %) in comparison to employing a LA-ICP-MS only approach. Furthermore, this work presented a novel approach to analyzing inclusions via a particle/inclusion analysis tool which is commercially available within the iolite 4 software. This tool allowed for a more accurate characterization of the isotopic distribution of the inclusions, as well as allowing for rapid sizing of the inclusions. Finally, this analytical approach could readily be applied to other sample types in which the target species (e.g., µm-sized inclusions) are embedded in complex matrices (e.g., cm-sized samples).

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Unveiling the electronic structure and chemical bonding of the deprotonated cisplatin anion [(NH 3 )(NH 2 )PtCl 2 ] − via low-temperature photoelectron spectroscopy and theoretical calculations

The dehydrogenated cisplatin anion, [(NH 3 )(NH 2 )PtCl 2 ] − , was investigated via low-temperature photoelectron spectroscopy and theoretical calculations. Seven and four spectral peaks are respectively resolved at 193 and 266 nm, yielding rich electronic structure information for both the anion and neutral. From the threshold and maximum of the lowest electron binding energy band, the experimental adiabatic (ADE) and vertical detachment energies (VDE) are determined to be 3.3 ± 0.1 and 3.525 ± 0.025 eV, respectively. Theoretical calculations indicate the dominant isomer adopting a cis-geometry, in which the platinum center is coplanar with two chlorine and two nitrogen ligands. The calculated VDE of 3.54 eV based on this structure agrees well with the experimental value. Charge analyses reveal that the excess electron in the anion is primarily localized on the Pt and Cl atoms. A suite of theoretical analysis tools was employed to elucidate the bonding characteristics and interaction strength between Pt and its ligands.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Annotation of DOM metabolomes with an ultrahigh resolution mass spectrometry molecular formula library

Current approaches to analyzing metabolomic data often rely on matching MS/MS fragmentation data to sparse libraries or databases. This approach results in limited identification of features, often with less than 10% of the dataset being annotated. A complementary approach is to assign molecular formula to features based on accurate mass measurements, but the platforms commonly used for metabolomics do not have the needed accuracy or resolving power to do this robustly, particularly for larger molecules. Using our newly modified analysis tool, CoreMS, we generated a library of molecular formula from pooled samples analyzed with LC-21T FT-ICR MS. This library successfully annotated approximately 53.2% of features identified from the exometabolome of marine diatom Phaeodactylum tricornutum – a nearly ten-fold increase over the 5.9% annotation rate achieved using a conventional MS/MS library matching approach. Using this FT-ICR MS library approach, we were able to differentiate differences in the exometabolome of P. tricornutum in iron replete and iron limited conditions, with 668 metabolites being differentially expressed (p < 0.05, 2 x intensity difference) under these conditions. The traditional MS/MS fragmentation-based annotation approach only annotated 61 of these metabolites, while our novel pipeline annotated 450 metabolites and revealed 12 metabolites that were significantly more abundant under low iron conditions. Our results demonstrate the utility of ultrahigh resolution mass spectrometry for generating more comprehensive and confident molecular annotations.

21T-FTICR-MS, CoreMS↗

Using heterogeneous GPU nodes with a Cabana-based implementation of MPCD

In this study, the Kokkos based library Cabana, which has been developed in the Co-design Center for Particle Applications (CoPA), is used for the implementation of Multi-Particle Collision Dynamics (MPCD), a particle-based description of hydrodynamic interactions. Cabana allows for a function portable implementation, which has been used to study the interplay between CPU and GPU usage on a multi-node system as well as analysis of said interplay with performance analysis tools. As a result, we see most advantages in a homogeneous GPU usage, but we also discuss the extent to which heterogeneous applications might be more performant, using both CPU and GPU concurrently.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

The research challenges in security and safeguards for nuclear fission batteries

This paper discusses the nuclear security and safeguards research challenges presented by the development and deployment of nuclear fission batteries. These are defined as easily transportable and deployable nuclear systems which are designed to operate either unattended or autonomously. We start by defining the current landscape of domestic and international safeguards and security and discuss how it can be affected by the introduction these new nuclear systems. We then specifically discuss the technology gaps and technologies to be developed to facilitate their practical deployment. We find that, as expected, we can leverage conclusions from existing security and safeguards studies for small modular rectors and develop bespoke target set analyses to inform security postures based on probabilistic risk assessment. We find also that specific fission battery security economic analysis tools are needed and security by design must be applied early. However, the most important finding is that these new systems will require a new comprehensive set of cyber tools covering transportation, installation, operation, maintenance security of the fission battery systems. Altogether, we find that the development of the necessary security and safeguards requirements at the design phase of such a technology will be of great benefit in the smooth deployment of this modern nuclear energy system.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗