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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 379 records · Page 21
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2020

Bayesian Structural Time Series for Behind-the-Meter Photovoltaic Disaggregation: Preprint

Distributed photovoltaic (PV) generation often occurs ``behind the meter": a grid operator can only observe the net load, which is the sum of the gross load and distributed PV generation. This lack of observability poses a challenge to system operation at both bulk level and distribution level. The lack of real-time or near-future disaggregated estimates of gross load and PV generation will lead to over scheduling of energy production and regulation reserves, reliability constraints violations, wear and tear of controller devices, and potentially cascading failures of a system. In this paper we propose the use of a Bayesian Structural Time Series (BSTS) model with local solar irradiance measurements to disaggregate the summed PV generation and gross load signals at a downstream measurement site. BSTSs are a highly expressive model class that blends classic time series models with the powerful Bayesian state space estimation framework. Disaggregation is done probabilistically, which automatically quantifies the uncertainties of the estimated PV generation and gross load consumption. Depending on the data availability in real-time, it can be used to disaggragate PV and gross load at customer site, or can be used at the feeder level. In this paper, we focus on solving the problem at feeder level. We compare the performance of a BSTS model as well as a handful of state-of-the-art methods on a Pecan Street AMI dataset, using the National Solar Radiation Database (NSRDB) to estimate local irradiance.

Bayesian structural time series↗
DOE OSTI2022

Evaporation and Molecular Beam Scattering from a Flat Liquid Jet

An experimental setup for molecular beam scattering from flat liquid sheets has been developed, with the goal of studying reactions at gas–liquid interfaces for volatile liquids. Specifically, a crossed molecular beam instrument that can measure angular and translational energy distributions of scattered products has been adapted for liquid jet scattering. A microfluidic chip is used to create a stable flat liquid sheet inside vacuum from which scattering occurs, and both evaporation and scattering from this sheet are characterized using a rotatable mass spectrometer that can measure product time-of-flight distributions. This article describes the instrument and reports on the first measurements of evaporation of dodecane and Ne from a Ne-doped dodecane flat jet, as well as scattering of Ne from a flat jet of pure dodecane.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2022

A modified Susceptible-Infected-Recovered model for observed under-reported incidence data

Fitting Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) models to incidence data is problematic when not all infected individuals are reported. Assuming an underlying SIR model with general but known distribution for the time to recovery, this paper derives the implied differential-integral equations for observed incidence data when a fixed fraction of newly infected individuals are not observed. The parameters of the resulting system of differential equations are identifiable. Using these differential equations, we develop a stochastic model for the conditional distribution of current disease incidence given the entire past history of reported cases. We estimate the model parameters using Bayesian Markov Chain Monte-Carlo sampling of the posterior distribution. We use our model to estimate the transmission rate and fraction of asymptomatic individuals for the current Coronavirus 2019 outbreak in eight American Countries: the United States of America, Brazil, Mexico, Argentina, Chile, Colombia, Peru, and Panama, from January 2020 to May 2021. Our analysis reveals that the fraction of reported cases varies across all countries. For example, the reported incidence fraction for the United States of America varies from 0.3 to 0.6, while for Brazil it varies from 0.2 to 0.4.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2026

Resolving Competing Ultraviolet Photoinduced Ring-Opening and Dissociation Pathways in Iodothiophenes by Ultrafast Electron Diffraction

The ultraviolet photochemistry of halothiophenes is thought to proceed via competing pathways, prompt C–X (X = halogen) bond fission, and parent ring opening followed by fragmentation, yet direct structural evidence distinguishing these mechanisms is limited. Here, time-resolved gas-phase ultrafast electron diffraction (UED) has been used to directly follow the structural dynamics of 2- and 3-iodothiophene following photoexcitation at 247 nm. For both isomers, the time-resolved pair distribution functions reveal the appearance of new interatomic distances that cannot be explained by simple C–I bond cleavage and formation of C 4 SH 3 radical cofragments. The signatures, particularly those for 2-iodothiophene, are consistent with a rival ring-opening channel of the intact parent, which evolve on time scales distinct from those associated with the direct C–I bond cleavage. In addition, the extracted kinetics indicate that the ring-opening channel occurs faster in 2-iodothiophene than in the 3-isomer at this excitation wavelength. Furthermore, these measurements provide direct geometric evidence for competing pathways leading to different structures following photodissociation in a model heteroaromatic and further establish UED as a sensitive probe of complex excited-state chemistry.

Bond cleavage↗
DOE OSTI2021

Operating Stresses and Their Effects on Degradation of LSM-Based SOFC Cathodes

The performance of solid oxides fuel cells (SOFCs) with four different Mn excess of lanthanum strontium manganite (LSM) -based cathodes were examined under different temperatures (1,000 °C, 900 °C), current densities (0, 380, and 760 mA cm -2 ), and cathode atmospheres (p O 2 )=0.1,0.15,0.21) for durations ranging from 58 to 1,008 h. Each yttria-stabilized zirconia (YSZ) electrolyte-supported “button” cell had a porous Ni/YSZ composite anode and a porous LSM/YSZ composite cathode. The cells’ output voltage versus time were recorded and electrochemical impedance spectroscopy (EIS) and linear sweep voltammetry (LSV) measurements were performed every 24 hours. The total area specific resistance (ASR) was calculated from these measurements. The values of ASR from both EIS and LSV were comparable between each other but lower than that from durability test. Distribution of relaxation times (DRT) analysis was performed to investigate the electrochemical processes and their corresponding relaxation frequencies as well as their attributions to the total ASR. The series resistance and parallel resistance that obtained from the equivalent circuit fit of the Nyquist plot were higher at low temperature and low p O 2 regardless of LSM compositions. The area of the peaks derived from DRT analysis increased with time during individual tests. The microstructures of the tested cells were examined using scanning electron microscopy and energy-dispersive x-ray spectroscopy (SEM/EDS). Manganese oxide particles were observed near the cathode-electrolyte interface after prolonged (1,008 h) testing in air of a cell with LSM of 11% manganese excess, and after a short test (58 h) under low oxygen (p O 2 = 0.10) in a cell with LSM of 5% manganese excess. However, the role of MnOx in cell degradation is still unknown.

08 HYDROGEN↗
DOE OSTI2023

A hydrogeophysical framework to assess infiltration during a simulated ecosystem-scale flooding experiment

This study presents a framework to quantify changes in soil saturation in response to flooding caused by extreme hydrologic perturbation on coastal ecosystems at the interfaces and transition between terrestrial and aquatic systems. Subsurface heterogeneity limits the use of in situ measurements to quantify subsurface flow during flooding due to the spatial discontinuity in the measured data. While geophysical methods, including time-lapse electrical resistivity imaging (ERI), are increasingly used to monitor soil hydrological processes, their abilities to parameterize flow models have been underutilized. This study combines background ERI, ground penetrating radar (GPR), time-lapse ERI, soil characterization, and a numerical flow model developed using an Advanced Terrestrial Simulator (ATS) code to quantify the infiltration pathway and describe the hydrological dynamics during a simulated flooding experiment. We assessed the use of two conceptual models developed using [1] ERI and GPR data that described the stratigraphic distribution, and time-lapse ERI that mapped permeability contrast, and [2] information from a national soil database for capturing changes in saturation. Combining the ERI and GPR results with soil core data revealed the stratigraphic heterogeneity at the site with a silty clay layer from 1 to 2 m between an overlying loamy topsoil and an underlying saturated silty sand. This silty clay layer could restrict deep infiltration. The time-lapse ERI showed up to a 35% decrease in resistivity, which correlated with soil moisture data (R 2 value > 0.53) and revealed preferential infiltration zones used to inform the flow model. Numerical simulation results from both the geophysics- and soil database-informed models quantified changes in soil saturation with calculated soil moistures that agreed with field data. The geophysics-informed model captured more of the system’s variability, reflective of shallow subsurface heterogeneities. The framework presented will serve as a precursor for a robust ecohydrological model that can describe the impacts of extreme events induced by climate change on coastal ecosystems.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2024

Quantum Random Walk Simulator Using Ultrafast Optical Switches

Quantum random walk processes have many intriguing applications in high energy physics including the simulation of parton shower evolution. We will present the design and initial results of a fiber loop time-bin quantum walk architecture using the hardware platform already in operation at the Fermilab Quantum Network in which the state of the photon is defined by its time-of-arrival. The fiber loop consists of an unbalanced Mach-Zehnder interferometer implemented using an ultrafast electro-optical switch. The input switch controls the photon path within the interferometer, while the output switch will direct the photon back into the interferometer or to single photon detectors to measure the probability distribution of arrival times. Depending on which path the photon takes each pass through the loop, its wave function will interfere on these optical switches similar to quantum interference on a beam splitter. This work is an important step towards utilizing real-world advantages of quantum information protocols to solve problems in high energy physics.

Cameron, Andrew [Fermilab]↗
DOE OSTI2023

The evolution of HCO + in molecular clouds using a novel chemical post-processing algorithm

Modelling the chemistry of molecular clouds is critical to accurately simulating their evolution. To reduce computational cost, 3D simulations generally restrict their chemistry to species with strong heating and cooling effects. Time-dependent information about the evolution of other species is therefore often neglected. We address this gap by post-processing tracer particles in the SILCC-Zoom molecular cloud simulations. Using a chemical network of 39 species and 301 reactions (including freeze-out of CO and H 2 O) and a novel algorithm to reconstruct a density grid from sparse tracer particle data, we produce time-dependent density distributions for various species. We focus upon the evolution of HCO + , which is a critical formation reactant of CO but is not typically modelled on the fly. We find that ∼ 90 per cent of the HCO + content of the cold molecular gas forms in situ around n HCO + ∼ 10 3 –10 4 cm −3 , over a time-scale of approximately 1 Myr. The remaining ∼ 10 per cent forms at high extinction sites, with minimal turbulent mixing out into the less dense gas. We further show that the dominant HCO + formation pathway is dependent on the visual extinction, with the reaction H 3 + + CO contributing 90 per cent of the total HCO + production above A V, 3D = 3. We produce the very first maps of the HCO + column density, N(HCO + ), and show that it reaches values as high as 10 15 cm −2 . We find that 50 per cent of the HCO + mass is located within AV ∼ 10–30 in a density range of 10 3.5 –10 4.5 cm −3 . Our maps of N(HCO + ) are shown to be in good agreement with recent observations of the W49A star-forming region.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2022

Constraining Type Ia supernova explosions and early flux excesses with the Zwicky Transient Factory

In the new era of time-domain surveys, Type Ia supernovae are being caught sooner after explosion, which has exposed significant variation in their early light curves. Two driving factors for early-time evolution are the distribution of 56 Ni in the ejecta and the presence of flux excesses of various causes. We perform an analysis of the largest young SN Ia sample to date. We compare 115 SN Ia light curves from the Zwicky Transient Facility to the turtls model grid containing light curves of Chandrasekhar mass explosions with a range of 56 Ni masses, 56 Ni distributions, and explosion energies. We find that the majority of our observed light curves are well reproduced by Chandrasekhar mass explosion models with a preference for highly extended 56 Ni distributions. We identify six SNe Ia with an early-time flux excess in our gr-band data (four ‘blue’ and two ‘red’ flux excesses). We find an intrinsic rate of 18 ± 11 percent of early flux excesses in SNe Ia at z < 0.07, based on three detected flux excesses out of 30 (10 percent) observed SNe Ia with a simulated efficiency of 57 percent. This is comparable to rates of flux excesses in the literature but also accounts for detection efficiencies. Two of these events are mostly consistent with circumstellar material interaction, while the other four have longer lifetimes in agreement with companion interaction and 56 Ni-clump models. We find a higher frequency of flux excesses in 91T/99aa-like events (44 ± 13 percent).

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2020

A Deep Generative Model for Non-Intrusive Identification of EV Charging Profiles

The proliferation of electric vehicles (EVs) brings environmental benefits and technical challenges to power grids. An identification algorithm which can accurately extract individual EV charging profiles out of widely available smart meter measurements has attracted great interests. This paper proposes a non-intrusive identification framework for EV charging profile extraction, which is driven by deep generative models (DGM). First, the proposed DGM is designed as a representation layer embedded into the Markov process and used to model the joint probability distribution of available time-series data. A novel contribution is to approximate posterior distributions by neural networks whose parameters are obtained by variational inference and supervised learning. Second, the EV charging status is inferred from the DGM via dynamic programming. Lastly, the desired EV charging profile can be reconstructed by the rated power of EV models and inferred status. Compared with the benchmark Hidden Markov Models, the proposed framework can better handle noise in data with less computational complexity and better overall accuracy performances with smaller recall. The proposed framework is validated by numerical experiments on the Pecan Street dataset.

33 ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗
DOE OSTI2022

Physics-driven learning of Wasserstein GAN for density reconstruction in dynamic tomography

Object density reconstruction from projections containing scattered radiation and noise is of critical importance in many applications. Existing scatter correction and density reconstruction methods may not provide the high accuracy needed in many applications and can break down in the presence of unmodeled or anomalous scatter and other experimental artifacts. Incorporating machine-learning models could prove beneficial for accurate density reconstruction, particularly in dynamic imaging, where the time evolution of the density fields could be captured by partial differential equations or by learning from hydrodynamics simulations. In this work, we demonstrate the ability of learned deep neural networks to perform artifact removal in noisy density reconstructions, where the noise is imperfectly characterized. Here, we use a Wasserstein generative adversarial network (WGAN), where the generator serves as a denoiser that removes artifacts in densities obtained from traditional reconstruction algorithms. We train the networks from large density time-series datasets, with noise simulated according to parametric random distributions that may mimic noise in experiments. The WGAN is trained with noisy density frames as generator inputs, to match the generator outputs to the distribution of clean densities (time series) from simulations. A supervised loss is also included in the training, which leads to an improved density restoration performance. In addition, we employ physics-based constraints such as mass conservation during the network training and application to further enable highly accurate density reconstructions. Our preliminary numerical results show that the models trained in our frameworks can remove significant portions of unknown noise in density time-series data.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗
DOE OSTI2020

DEEP Solar: Data DrivEn Modeling and Analytics for Enhanced System Layer ImPlementation

Realizing the SETO 2030 mission of reducing solar energy costs to 3-5 c/kWh will require innovative enabling research on effective, cost-efficient integration of local PV within distribution systems. However, the intermittent and variable nature of PVs compels operators to impose conservative hosting capacity constraints. Given the extremely high variability of (intermittent and unpredictable) solar energy generation, relaxing the capacity constraints (which are currently around 15%) and achieving 100% or greater integration of renewables will require a fundamental transformation of the power grid via the utilization of exponentially larger amounts of AMI enabled fine-grained data. To address the challenges in increasing the penetration of renewable energy based DERs, this project envisions an Enhanced System Layer (ESL) at the distribution network level that is reliable, cost-effective and scalable to millions of Distributed Energy Resources (DERs)/devices. This includes developing: 1) Transformative and highly scalable machine learning based predictive analytics tools that plug into distribution system planning and provide real-time situational awareness at the distribution level for short and long-term operational planning. The tools will be built using novel data-driven energy models of millions of active nodes with AMI, 2) Adaptive stochastic analysis and optimization algorithms for real-time grid operations, 3) Dynamic Scenario Analysis using parallel Cloudenabled implementations with < 1 minute computational cycle times.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2020

Flexibility Estimation and Control of Thermostatically Controlled Loads with Lock Time for Regulation Service

A virtual battery model is a simple and general method to quantify aggregate flexibility from thermostatically controlled loads (TCLs), enabling grid operators to effectively coordinate a large number of flexible building loads with supplyside resources in power systems. Lockout controls are designed to avoid wear and tear resulting from short-cycling of hardware. The lock on/off time could significantly affect aggregate flexibility from TCLs to provide ancillary services and may even fail control algorithms designed without considering the lock time constraints. This paper focuses on flexibility estimation and control design for TCLs with lock time constraints to provide frequency regulation service. We first investigate the potential impacts of lock time on TCLs’ aggregate flexibility and control performance. Both control-dependent and control-independent power bounds are derived, based on either previous TCL switching operations or regulation signals. While the control-dependent method provides aggregate flexibility for a given control method, the control-independent method calculates the theoretical maximum of power bounds. Two control algorithms are proposed to better distribute flexibility over time and thereby improve signal tracking performance. The proposed methods are illustrated and validated through simulations.

Wang, Peng↗
DOE OSTI2022

An immersed interface method for the 2D vorticity-velocity Navier-Stokes equations with multiple bodies

We present an immersed interface method for the vorticity-velocity form of the 2D Navier Stokes equations that directly addresses challenges posed by nonconvex immersed bodies, multiply connected domains, and the calculation of force distributions on immersed surfaces. The immersed interface method is re-interpreted as a polynomial extrapolation of flow quantities and boundary conditions into the immersed solid bodies, reducing computational cost and enabling simulations with nonconvex bodies that could not be discretized with previous immersed interface methods. In the flow, the vorticity transport equation is discretized using a conservative finite difference scheme and explicit Runge-Kutta time integration. The velocity reconstruction problem is transformed to a scalar Poisson equation that is discretized with conservative finite differences, and solved using an FFT-accelerated iterative algorithm. The use of conservative differencing throughout leads to exact enforcement of a discrete Kelvin's theorem, allowing for simulations with multiply connected domains and outflow boundaries that have challenged other immersed interface vortex methods. We also explore novel methods for recovering time-dependent pressure distributions on immersed bodies within a vorticity-based method and present a novel control volume formulation for recovering aerodynamic moments from only the vorticity and velocity fields. The method achieves second order spatial accuracy and third order temporal accuracy, and is validated on a variety of 2D flows in internal and free-space domains.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2021

Surface enhanced performance of La 0.6 Sr 0.4 Co 0.2 Fe 0.8 O 3-δ cathodes by infiltration Pr-Ni-Mn-O progress

Herein the present study reports the enhancement of electrochemical oxygen reduction activity of porous La 0.6 Sr 0.4 Co 0.2 Fe 0.8 O 3–δ (LSCF) cathodes by coating a thin film of Pr-Ni-Mn oxide (PNM5) using a multi-step infiltration process. XRD examination reveals that PNM5 mainly contains a multiphase mixture of Pr 6 O 11 , PrNiO 3 , MnO and NiO. SEM morphology shows a thin PNM5 film and small particles are formed on the surface of LSCF backbone particles. Impedance spectrum analysis indicates that PNM5 infiltrated LSCF exhibits dramatically reduced polarization resistance (R p ), reaching R p of 0.244 Ω cm 2 at 973 K, which is one-half of the baseline LSCF cathode. The activation energy of LSCF cathodes infiltrated with PNM5 is 1.45 eV, slightly lower than the baseline LSCF cathode (1.77 eV). Distribution of relaxation time (DRT) function analysis shows PNM5 infiltration layer significantly promotes the oxygen reduction reaction (ORR) of cathode surface. With the increase in firing temperature, the total resistance increases and R p changes from ion transport to oxygen reduction reaction. Degradation rate of the PNM5-infiltrated LSCF is also lower, 0.02168% vs 0.07093% for the baseline LSCF over a 200-h period. A single cell testing indicated that the peak power density of the PNM5-infiltrated cell was increased by 140.66%. Overall, PNM5 could be a potential catalyst for boosting the performance of a commercial LSCF cathode for solid oxide fuel cells (SOFC).

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2023

Ultrasonic measurement of temperature distributions in extreme environments: Electrical power plants testing in utility-scale steam generators

Thermal heterogeneities within energy conversion and storage, material processing, nuclear processes, aerospace, and military applications are often inaccessible to characterization by insertion sensors. When sensor deployment is possible, conventional pointwise temperature probes quickly degrade when inserted into harsh environments typical of such processes. We developed spatially-resolved ultrasonic thermometry to noninvasively measure the spatial distributions of thermal properties in such applications, even when sizable thermal gradients are present. Our method divides the path of ultrasonic propagation into segments bound by echogenic features, which create echoes in pulse-echo mode, encoding the information about interior temperature distributions. We use the acquired ultrasonic responses to estimate the internal temperature distributions by solving an inverse problem or concatenating segmental estimates. This work describes the implementation and industrial testing of the developed method at a coal-fired electrical power generation plant. We inserted an echogenically segmented Inconel 625 waveguide into the combustion zone of the utility-scale boiler and continuously acquired ultrasonic data while keeping sensitive components away from the damaging combustion environment. The accuracy of the time-dependent temperature distributions reconstructed from the ultrasonic measurements was comparable to that of thermocouples. The resiliency of ultrasonic thermometry to harsh combustion conditions was far superior to conventional insertion sensors. The measurements obtained during plant operation captured daily steam generation cycles in response to changing customer demand and intermittent contributions of renewable power sources to the power grid. These measurements have revealed new insights into the relationship between the dynamic power generation load and the conditions inside the steam generator. As a result, the successful industrial testing of spatially-resolved ultrasonic thermometry in solids indicates that the developed technology has matured to become an attractive alternative to conventional sensing in solving challenging problems of long-term thermal characterizations in extreme environments.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2021

Multiscale CFD simulation of biomass fast pyrolysis with a machine learning derived intra-particle model and detailed pyrolysis kinetics

Coupling particle and reactor scale models is as essential as reactor fluid dynamics and particle motion for accurate Computational Fluid Dynamic (CFD) simulations of biomass fast pyrolysis reactors due to intraparticle heat transfer and chemical reactions controlling conversion time and product distributions. Direct online coupling of a particle model with a reactor model is computationally expensive, while offline coupling is case-dependent. In this research, solutions from a series of particle pyrolysis simulations were regressed with Artificial Neural Network (ANN). Furthermoer, this machine learning-derived model predicted the same temperature and conversion profiles compared with particle resolved simulation while the isothermal approach overpredicted the temperature by 130 K and underpredicted the conversion time by 30 s. The ANN model was then integrated into CFD simulations of fluidized bed biomass fast pyrolysis with varied feedstocks via coupling PyTorch and MFiX. The averaged error of simulation predicted bio-oil yields with four feedstocks is 6.4%. This multi-scale approach provides an efficient tool for the coupled particle and reactor scale simulations of biomass pyrolysis.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗
DOE OSTI2022

Current distribution monitoring enables quench and damage detection in superconducting fusion magnets

Abstract Fusion magnets made from high temperature superconducting ReBCO CORC ® cables are typically protected with quench detection systems that use voltage or temperature measurements to trigger current extraction processes. Although small coils with low inductances have been demonstrated, magnet protection remains a challenge and magnets are typically operated with little knowledge of the intrinsic performance parameters. We propose a protection framework based on current distribution monitoring in fusion cables with limited inter-cable current sharing. By employing inverse Biot-Savart techniques to distributed Hall probe arrays around CORC ® Cable-In-Conduit-Conductor (CICC) terminations, individual cable currents are recreated and used to extract the parameters of a predictive model. These parameters are shown to be of value for detecting conductor damage and defining safe magnet operating limits. The trained model is then used to predict cable current distributions in real-time, and departures between predictions and inverse Biot-Savart recreated current distributions are used to generate quench triggers. The methodology shows promise for quality control, operational planning and real-time quench detection in bundled CORC ® cables for compact fusion reactors.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗