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At least 379 records · Page 21

Future-proofing photovoltaics module reliability through a unifying predictive modeling framework

Solar energy, especially photovoltaics (PV), plays a significant role in the global energy transition required for decarbonization. Technological advancements in increasing efficiencies coupled with cost reductions through economies of scale made PV a cost-competitive energy source set to exceed the milestone of 1 TW globally deployed capacity in 2022. However, ongoing downward price pressure coupled with increasing service life expectations creates tremendous challenges for reliability engineers in ensuring the safe and reliable operation of PV modules and systems over the anticipated service life. Today's reliability research efforts aim for module lifetimes of up to 50 years. Still, our current tools fall short in accurately assessing degradation mechanisms and failure modes over such extended periods. We argue that the well-established PV reliability learning cycle needs to be accelerated to keep up with the rapid technological advancements and high expectations that are put on PV and its role in the global energy transition. In this article, we explore the evolution of the PV reliability learning cycle and highlight the significance that predictive modeling capabilities will have on future PV module reliability. We propose creating a unifying modeling framework - which once established will enable the holistic assessment of PV module reliability, accelerate the PV reliability learning cycle, and bring us closer to quantitative service life predictions of PV modules.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Stable, high-performing bifunctional electrodes for anion exchange membrane-based unitized regenerative fuel cells

Anion exchange membrane unitized regenerative fuel cells (AEM-URFCs) are a promising technology for energy storage and electricity production; however, their efficiency is limited by the kinetics of the bifunctional oxygen electrode (BOE) where the oxygen evolution reaction (OER) and oxygen reduction reaction (ORR) occur. A particular concern when designing the BOE is that the OER and ORR have differing catalytic requirements, which make it challenging to develop effective bifunctional electrocatalysts with single active sites. In this study, we focus on advancing the BOE performance using Pt-IrO x and Pt-NiCoO x electrocatalysts. Here, single-layer and dual-layer Pt-IrO x BOEs were made, with the dual-layer electrode leading to improved performance due to efficient catalyst utilization in both modes. Using the dual-layer oxygen electrode paired with a PtRu/C hydrogen electrode, a round trip efficiency (RTE) as high as 50% (62 %iR-free) was achieved at 500 mA/cm 2 and operation for more than 24 h, which included five one-hour-long H 2 generation and consumption cycles followed by one eight-hour-long cycle. To the best of our knowledge, this is the highest performance for AEM-URFCs reported to date. Lastly, the approach is extended to electrodes with a Pt loading of 0.5 mg/cm 2 and the IrO x substituted by NiCoO x .

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Material Failure Mechanisms of Alkaline Zn Rechargeable Conversion Electrodes

Zinc (Zn) alkaline electrodes hold great importance and promise in the battery technology community, yet their behavior in real-world applications is still poorly understood. Here, we report a study of failure mechanisms and material evolution during cycling of 27 zinc–manganese dioxide (Zn–MnO 2 ) cells wherein the percent utilization of the Zn electroactive material is systematically varied between 1 and 16%. Cell fabrication is kept typical of the prevailing industrial cell design. The cycle life ranges from 2800 to 60, depending inversely on the Zn utilization. In all cases, the Zn material microstructure sheds the polytetrafluoroethylene (PTFE) binder and forms zinc oxide (ZnO) rods, with longer rods formed by lower current per Zn mass. Irreversible side reactions such as the hydrogen evolution reaction (HER), short circuits, or gas crossover cause the Zn anode’s charging efficiency to average 92% (as low as 86%), which in turn causes the baseload of metallic Zn to gradually disappear. Cell failure occurs after the baseload of metallic Zn is exhausted. The total lifetime discharge capacity remains constant near 12 ± 5 Ah/g Zn invariant of Zn utilization, which suggests that the aforementioned processes of Zn microstructural evolution and side-reaction destruction of baseload metallic zinc both progress linearly with cell capacity throughput. Manual reproduction of individual Zn failure mechanisms is performed in 22 fresh cells. Tight packing of the microstructure can lead to poor mass transfer, which causes supersaturation of soluble Zn and finally produces a high overvoltage during discharge. Here, the low charging current density yields poor coulombic efficiency due either to the competitive HER or soft short circuits.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Machine Learning-Guided Identification of PET Hydrolases from Natural Diversity

The enzymatic depolymerization of poly(ethylene terephthalate) (PET) is emerging as a leading chemical recycling technology for waste polyester. As part of this endeavor, new candidate enzymes identified from natural diversity can serve as useful starting points for enzyme evolution and engineering. In this study, we improved upon HMM searches by applying an iterative machine learning strategy to identify 400 putative PET-degrading enzymes (PET hydrolases) from naturally occurring homologs. Using high-throughput (HTP) experimental techniques, we successfully expressed and purified >200 enzyme candidates and assayed them for PET hydrolysis activity as a function of pH, temperature, and substrate crystallinity. From this library, we discovered 91 previously unknown PET hydrolases, 35 of which retain activity at pH 4.5 on crystalline material, which are conditions relevant to developing more efficient commercial processes. Notably, four enzymes showed equal to or higher activity than LCC-ICCG, a benchmark PET hydrolase, at this challenging condition in our screening assay, and 11 of which have pH optima <7. Using these data, we identified regions of PETases statistically correlated to activity at lower pH. We additionally investigated the effect of condition-specific activity data on trained machine learning predictors and found a precision (putative hit rate) improvement of up to 30% compared to a Hidden Markov Model alone. Our findings show that by pointing enzyme discovery toward conditions of interest with multiple rounds of experimental and machine learning, we can discover large sets of active enzymes and explore factors associated with activity at those conditions.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Energy Infrastructure Futures: A Multiscale Evaluation of Projected Power Plant Siting Across the Western Interconnection

The US Western Interconnection is facing unprecedented challenges in the form of less predictable peak demand, increasingly diverse generating resources, and fast-growing loads due to the onset of artificial intelligence, hyperscale computing, and electrification. Projecting where future generation may be developed is critical to maintaining a robust and resilient electric grid under this mounting uncertainty and variability. Using an integrated multisectoral, multiscale modeling framework that links a human-Earth systems model, an hourly load model, a geospatial power plant siting model, and an hourly grid operations model, we evaluate the power plant landscape evolution under eight alternative futures between 2020 and 2055. These futures represent a wide but plausible range of atmospheric conditions, emissions constraints, and economic, technological, and population growth assumptions. We find that local-level development can vary substantially both by generation type and capacity buildout across these futures. Specific regions of the Western Interconnection are projected to see large amounts of capacity development regardless of the future scenario. We additionally determine that projected power plant locations are more heavily influenced by the cost to interconnect to the electric grid than the locational energy value.

Mongird, Kendall↗

A small core in Vesta inferred from Dawn’s observations

Vesta’s large-scale interior structure had previously been constrained primarily using the gravity and shape data from the Dawn mission. However, these data alone still allow a wide range of possibilities for the differentiation state of the body. The moment of inertia is arguably the most diagnostic parameter related to the radial density distribution of a planetary body, making it crucial for assessing the body’s state of internal differentiation. Determining the moment of inertia requires additional measurements of the amplitudes of small rotational motions, such as precession and nutation. Here we report an updated estimate of the moment of inertia of Vesta inferred from Dawn’s Doppler tracking via the Deep Space Network and onboard imaging data. The recovered value for Vesta’s normalized polar moment of inertia is $\overline{C}$/MR 2 = 0.4208 ± 0.0047 (where M is the mass of Vesta and R is the reference radius), which is only 6.6% lower than the homogeneous value of 0.4505. This value, combined with the gravity field and global shape, suggests that Vesta’s interior has limited density stratification beneath its howardite–eucrite–diogenite-dominated crust. We propose two possible origin scenarios that are consistent with the observed constraints. In the first scenario, Vesta’s interior did not undergo full differentiation due to late accretion. In the second scenario, Vesta originated as an impact remnant of a larger differentiated body re-accreted with non-chondritic bulk composition produced from a catastrophic impact. Vesta did not experience complete differentiation in either scenario, suggesting that its current state reflects a complex interplay between its accretion timing, thermal evolution, redistribution of 26 Al bearing melt and/or impact processes.

CNEOS 2014-01-08 bolide↗

Coupling of nTRACER to COBRA-TF for full core high-fidelity analysis of VVERs

The evolution of computing clusters allows the use of high-resolution multi-physics solvers for reactor analysis. Despite the continuous expansion of VVER technology, only one other high-fidelity sub-pin multi-physics core solver is currently developed for safety analysis. To that end the Laboratory of Reactor Physics and Thermal-Hydraulics (LRT) of Paul Scherrer Institut is developing such a tool with the coupling of the neutronic code nTRACER and the sub-channel code COBRA-TF. This work follows the initial steps of the coupling and focuses to the extension of the core solver to full core VVER geometries. The X2 VVER-1000 benchmark is modeled with the novel core solver. The results are compared to the ones of a standalone nTRACER calculation where the feedbacks are provided by a simplified 1D thermal-hydraulic solver. Despite relatively good agreement in power distribution, the limitations of the simplified solver become apparent especially when comparing global temperature profiles. (authors)

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

ALD-Derived WO 3– x Leads to Nearly Wake-Up-Free Ferroelectric Hf 0.5 Zr 0.5 O 2 at Elevated Temperatures

Breaking the memory wall in advanced computing architectures will require complex 3D integration of emerging memory materials such as ferroelectrics─either within the back-end-of-line (BEOL) of CMOS front-end processes or through advanced 3D packaging technologies. Achieving this integration demands that memory materials exhibit high thermal resilience, with the capability to operate reliably at elevated temperatures, such as 125°C, due to the substantial heat generated by front-end transistors. However, silicon-compatible HfO 2 -based ferroelectrics tend to exhibit antiferroelectric-like behavior in this temperature range, accompanied by a more pronounced wake-up effect, posing significant challenges to their thermal reliability. Here, we report that by introducing a thin tungsten oxide (WO 3–x ) layer─known as an oxygen reservoir─and carefully tuning its oxygen content, ultrathin Hf 0.5 Zr 0.5 O 2 (5 nm) films can be made robust against the ferroelectric-to-antiferroelectric transition at elevated temperatures. This approach not only minimizes polarization loss in the pristine state but also effectively suppresses the wake-up effect, reducing the required wake-up cycles from 10 5 to only 10 at 125°C, a qualifying temperature for back-end memory integrated with front-end logic, as defined by the JEDEC standard. First-principles density functional theory (DFT) calculations reveal that WO 3 enhances the stability of the ferroelectric orthorhombic phase (o-phase) at elevated temperatures by increasing the tetragonal-to-orthorhombic phase energy gap and promoting favorable phonon mode evolution, thereby supporting o-phase formation under both thermodynamic and kinetic constraints.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Measuring Sustainability of Solar Modules for Energy Transition: Mass, Energy, and Circularity

Transition to a carbon-free energy system is crucial for global decarbonization and underpins Circular Economy (CE) goals. Photovoltaic (PV) technology is required for Energy Transition, but manufacturing and circular pathways can be material, energy, and carbon-intensive. Therefore, we need a prioritization of sustainability strategies for PV evolution and lifecycle management in the context of Energy Transition. This study employs a suite of quantitative metrics to compare different proposed sustainability strategies for PV modules on their ability to achieve Energy Transition. Proposals for sustainable PV range from high-yield, high-efficiency paradigms, to short-lived and fully recyclable, to long-lasting, indestructible modules. We leverage a global decarbonization deployment schedule through 2100 with the open-source PV in Circular Economy (PV ICE) tool to quantify the impacts of different evolving module design scenarios covering the range of proposed sustainability strategies. First, modules are compared on effective capacity and required replacements to meet and maintain decarbonization capacity targets through 2100. We demonstrate the effects of lifetime, degradation, and reliability on effective capacity. Next, we quantify and compare virgin material demands and lifecycle wastes, examining the impacts of lifetime and recycling rates. Finally, and critically for renewable energy technologies, we quantify the energy demands required to achieve the decarbonization capacity targets and calculate energy balance metrics (net energy, energy return on investment). These results are then summarized into a metric matrix, demonstrating tradeoffs and the importance of longevity. Our suite of mass and energy metrics provides stakeholders and decision-makers with quantitative data on circular economy choices for PV in the energy transition, enabling informed evaluation of tradeoffs of different PV module designs and CE pathways.

circular economy↗

Quantification of Reactive Oxygen Species Produced from Electrocatalytic Materials

Oxygen electrochemistry goes beyond O 2 , as the formation of reactive oxygen species (ROS) such as H 2 O 2 and O 3 during water oxidation is key in the destruction of persistent pollutants in water remediation technologies as well as in the degradation of fuel cell and electrolyzer components. In this study, we developed an in situ method utilizing the rotating ring-disk electrode technique to quantify the formation of O 2 , O 3 , and H 2 O 2 species across a broad pH range (1–8.3). Oxygen selectivity trends over Pt, IrO 2 , and PbO 2 surfaces reveal that even O 2 evolution catalysts may produce small yet measurable amounts of ROS, further modulated by pH and electrode potential. In conclusion, these findings emphasize the need to probe the selectivity of oxygen electrochemistry for a more complete picture of advanced materials for electrochemical technologies.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Change Agent: Energy Storage as a Driver of Regulatory Evolution

Purpose of Review Dividing the electric grid into the functions of generation, transmission, anddistribution enabled the drawing of jurisdictional lines and the application of the U.S.Constitution’s federalist system to energy regulation. Energy storage technologies,which can be placed throughout the grid to increase flexibility, can provide serviceacross all three of those functions. But the jurisdictional boundaries that have beendrawn around those functions have created barriers that restrict energy storagetechnologies from achieving their full potential. This review analyzes regulatory changes made to reduce barriers to storage deployment and their broader impacts on energy regulation in the U.S. Recent Findings Major energy regulations promulgated at the state and federal levels have generally focused on liberalizing the U.S. electric system through deregulation and increased competition. Paradoxically, however, these efforts have erected strict regulatory barriers that prevent energy storage technologies from providing service across multiple functions. A new wave of regulations in recent years has endeavored to reduce and remove those barriers. Summary Energy regulations adopted in recent years to reduce barriers to energy storage functionality in recent years have had deep and far-reaching impacts on U.S. electric regulation. These impacts go beyond storage and affect all energy technologies. This paper traces the development of energy regulation in U.S., the functional barriers that they created that impede energy storage functionality, recent efforts to remove those barriers, and the broader effects of those efforts. It concludes with a brief discussion of remaining barriers that prevent energy storage from reaching their full potential on the U.S. electric grid.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Exploring the design space of PV-plus-battery system configurations under evolving grid conditions

In this study, we explore how the energy and capacity values of coupled systems comprising solar photovoltaic arrays and battery storage (PV-plus-battery systems) could evolve over time based on the evolution of the bulk power system. Using a price-taker model with simulated hourly energy and capacity prices projected from the present to 2050, we simulate the revenue-maximizing dispatch of a range of DC-coupled PV-plus-battery configurations in three locations in the United States. These configurations are defined by the inverter loading ratio (ILR, the ratio of the PV array capacity to the inverter capacity, which we vary from 1.4 to 2.6) and the battery-inverter ratio (BIR, the ratio of the battery power capacity to the inverter capacity, which we vary from 0.25 to 1.0). Based on each configuration's total value, we estimate the breakeven costs needed to justify each incremental increase in ILR (holding BIR constant) or BIR (holding ILR constant). We find that, in a future with low-cost renewable energy technologies, PV-plus-battery system ILRs can be economically increased to around 2.0-2.4 at a BIR of 1.0, depending on solar resource. Our results indicate that a likely evolution of PV-plus-battery system design will be increasingly greater battery power capacity to mitigate the declining PV capacity value, which will, in turn, enable increasingly higher ILRs to further increase energy value. The extent to which PV-plus-systems will be deployed with increasingly higher ILRs depends primarily on whether PV cost declines outpace declining value and increasing curtailment over time.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Temperature statistics in a radiatively heated particle-laden turbulent square duct flow

Radiation absorption by preferentially concentrated particles in a turbulent square duct flow is studied experimentally. The particle-laden flow is exposed to near-infrared radiation, and the gas phase temperature statistics are measured along the wall bisector of the duct. It is found that the instantaneous temperature fluctuations are comparable to the overall mean temperature rise. The temperature statistics at the duct centerline and near the wall are qualitatively different. The former reflects preferential concentration in isotropic flows while the latter displays evidence of particle clustering into streamwise elongated streaks. Comparison of the experimental data to a simplified heat transfer model suggests that the Lagrangian evolution of particle clusters and voids, and turbulent mixing in the vicinity of particle clusters, are important. This work was motivated by particle solar receiver technology, but the findings are also relevant to systems where there is localized heat release or mass transfer from disperse particles or droplets. It shows that obtaining Lagrangian histories of particle trajectories is an important next step towards understanding thermal transport phenomena in particle-laden turbulent flows.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Thermal Regulation of CO 2 Activation Pathways via Interfacial Water Restructuring Enables Ampere-Level, Near-Unity CO Electrosynthesis

Electrochemical reduction of CO 2 to CO is a key step in carbon utilization technologies, yet maintaining high CO selectivity under elevated temperatures relevant to industrial membrane-electrode-assembly (MEA) electrolyzers remains challenging due to the competing hydrogen evolution reaction (HER). Additionally, the temperature dependence of CO selectivity on Cu-based catalysts has remained largely unexplored. Here, we demonstrate that incorporating atomic In or Sn into Cu fundamentally reshapes the selectivity of Cu catalysts at elevated temperatures. Dilute alloy catalysts, In 1 Cu and Sn 1 Cu, achieve >95% FE of CO over a broad current-density window (0.1−1.1 A cm −2 ) at 60 °C in MEA electrolyzers, far exceeding their performance at ambient temperature. In situ attenuated total reflection surface-enhanced infrared absorption spectroscopy suggests that elevating temperature depletes interfacial water activity, which favors a shift in CO 2 activation from a proton-coupled *COOH pathway toward an electron-driven *COO − -associated pathway, while also suppressing HER and CO hydrogenation. In contrast, benchmark CO-selective catalysts such as Ag exhibit minimal temperature-induced changes in CO production at 20−60 °C. These findings identify temperature as an unavoidable yet previously underutilized operating parameter in MEA electrolyzers for high-rate, selective CO production on Cubased catalysts.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Management of Risk and Uncertainty Through Optimized Co-Operation of Transmission Systems and Microgrids with Responsive Loads (Final Report)

The evolution of the power system to the reliable, efficient and sustainable system of the future will involve development of both demand- and supply-side technology and operations. Ambitious national and state-level goals around the decarbonization of electricity relies on the integration of very high levels of renewable resources, most of which are variable and intermittent. The use of demand response is an ideal approach to counterbalance the intermittency of renewable generation and brings the consumer into the spotlight. Until recently, very little research had been conducted on the co-optimization of these two systems due to computational limitations. However, advances in computational capabilities, and the judicious use of decomposition methods and innovative approximation methods for high-dimension dynamic programming made this goal a viable objective for this project, leading to a fundamental shift in the ability to integrate and fully utilize demand-side resources. To this end, the modeling framework developed introduces a novel co-optimization framework, to include the operations of both the transmission and distribution systems (or microgrids) in operational decision making. This framework was used to analyze renewable and distributed generation along with responsive demand and to compare the capability of co-optimized systems to perform with higher levels of variable renewables. Results show that the use of a bi-level optimization approach is an appropriate structure, capable of co-optimizing a transmission system with multiple distribution systems and microgrids. While increasing the number of connected systems provides increasing flexibility for renewables integration this can also the economic benefits to the low-voltage subsystems with each additional system connected. Comparison of a traditional single-level decision structure with the co-optimization approach illustrates a reduction in overall system cost under co-optimization, while specific cost allocations to transmission and distribution systems are changed.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Management of Risk and Uncertainty Through Optimized Co-Operation of Transmission Systems and Microgrids With Responsive Loads (Final Report)

The evolution of the power system to the reliable, efficient and sustainable system of the future will involve development of both demand- and supply-side technology and operations. Ambitious national and state-level goals around the decarbonization of electricity relies on the integration of very high levels of renewable resources, most of which are variable and intermittent. The use of demand response is an ideal approach to counterbalance the intermittency of renewable generation and brings the consumer into the spotlight. Though individual consumers are interconnected at the low-voltage distribution system, these resources are typically modeled as variables at the transmission network level. Demand-side participation cannot be leveraged effectively without explicitly including the distribution system dynamics in the optimization-based wholesale market operations. This project grew from a vision for co-optimized interaction of distribution systems, or microgrids, with the high-voltage transmission system. In this framework, microgrids encompass consumers, distributed renewables and storage. The energy management system of the lower voltage system (distribution or microgrid) can also sell (buy) excess (necessary) energy from the transmission system. Until recently, very little research had been conducted on the co-optimization of these two systems due to computational limitations. However, advances in computational capabilities, and the judicious use of decomposition methods and innovative approximation methods for high-dimension dynamic programming made this goal a viable objective for this project, leading to a fundamental shift in the ability to integrate and fully utilize demand-side resources. To this end, the modeling framework developed introduces a novel co-optimization framework, to include the operations of both the transmission and distribution systems (or microgrids) in operational decision making. This framework was used to analyze renewable and distributed generation along with responsive demand and to compare the capability of co-optimized systems to perform with higher levels of variable renewables. An ideal microgrid is defined as an electric entity capable of operating in both interconnected (with the high-voltage grid) and islanded mode. As such, the microgrid should incorporate generating units (traditional units and intermittent) and if needed, exchange power with the high-voltage grid. The interplay between the microgrid and high-voltage grid motivated the development of the co-optimization approach to ensure efficient performance of the interconnected network. Results show that the use of a bi-level optimization approach is an appropriate structure, capable of co-optimizing a transmission system with multiple distribution systems and microgrids. While increasing the number of connected systems provides increasing flexibility for renewables integration this can also the economic benefits to the low-voltage subsystems with each additional system connected. Comparison of a traditional single-level decision structure with the co-optimization approach illustrates a reduction in overall system cost under co-optimization, while specific cost allocations to transmission and distribution systems are changed.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗