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Lessons from Earth Bioaerosol Sampling for Venus Habitability & Biosignature Science

Venus’s clouds are often discussed as a potential habitat. Several high-priority science goals – cloud aerosol composition, internal radiative flux, and aerosol residence time and circulation models – will improve our understanding of Venus in an astrobiology context. Lessons from Earth’s aerobiosphere can inform these requirements and interpretation of results. A stable Venus aerobiosphere would need microorganisms to reproduce faster than they settle out due to gravity. This is a joint constraint of the potential nutrients and energy influx, bioenergetic costs such as desiccation and radiation damage, and aerosol dynamics. Though life cycles involving S- and Fe-based redox metabolism have been proposed, at an optimistic estimate of 75% H2SO4, Venus aerosol water activity (aw) is still ~0.02, far below the observed microbial growth limit of ~0.6. Long-term desiccation with brief spurts of repair, growth and reproduction in response to transient water influx (perhaps volcanism) is the most likely model for Earth-like life on Venus – a ‘desert bloom’ scenario. In Earth’s troposphere, clouds can carry 103 – 105 cells/mL, some metabolically active. A better analogue may be Earth’s stratospheric sulfate aerosol layer: supercooled sulfuric acid aerosols (acid weight fraction 0.6 – 0.85, 0.1 – 1 µm diameter, 0.1 – 1 cm-3) with little water activity, long residence times, high UV radiation, and only sporadic influx from surface particle sources. Viable cells isolated from this region are rare (~102 cells/m3), though ‘hot spots’ at tropospheric mixing occur. Cells are primarily in inactive forms such as spores, and it is unclear if any are associated with sulfate aerosols or simply co-located. Given the heterogeneities in Venus clouds and the model of a sparse, largely dormant ecosystem, a single transect on descent would most likely pass through a low-water, inactive region, missing potential signs of habitability or biosignatures. Even a passive aerial platform (balloon) may end up following a single air mass over its lifetime. A better strategy for Venus would target an aerial region with some upwelling from surface sources, and take multiple transects separated in time and space. Earth’s stratospheric bioaerosol population could provide a starting point for estimating the required lower volume and detection limits.

Earth↗
DOE OSTI2021

Phase transitions from the fifth dimension

We study the cosmological transition of 5D warped compactifications, from the high-temperature black-brane phase to the low-temperature Randall-Sundrum I phase. The transition proceeds via percolation of bubbles of IR-brane nucleating from the black-brane horizon. The violent bubble dynamics can be a powerful source of observable stochastic gravitational waves. While bubble nucleation is non-perturbative in 5D gravity, it is amenable to semiclassical treatment in terms of a “bounce” configuration interpolating between the two phases. We demonstrate how such a bounce configuration can be smooth enough to maintain 5D effective field theory control, and how a simple ansatz for it places a rigorous lower-bound on the transition rate in the thin-wall regime, and gives plausible estimates more generally. When applied to the Hierarchy Problem, the minimal Goldberger-Wise stabilization of the warped throat leads to a slow transition with significant supercooling. We demonstrate that a simple generalization of the Goldberger-Wise potential modifies the IR-brane dynamics so that the transition completes more promptly. Supercooling determines the dilution of any (dark) matter abundances generated before the transition, potentially at odds with data, while the prompter transition resolves such tensions. We discuss the impact of the different possibilities on the strength of the gravitational wave signals. Via AdS/CFT duality the warped transition gives a theoretically tractable holographic description of the 4D Composite Higgs (de)confinement transition. Our generalization of the Goldberger-Wise mechanism is dual to, and concretely models, our earlier proposal in which the composite dynamics is governed by separate UV and IR RG fixed points. The smooth 5D bounce configuration we introduce complements the 4D dilaton/radion dominance derivation presented in our earlier work.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗
DOE OSTI2025

Exploring HOD-dependent systematics for the DESI 2024 Full-Shape galaxy clustering analysis

We analyze the robustness of the DESI 2024 cosmological inference from the full shape of the galaxy power spectrum to uncertainties in the Halo Occupation Distribution (HOD) model of the galaxy-halo connection and the choice of priors on nuisance parameters. We assess variations in the recovered cosmological parameters across a range of mocks populated with different HOD models and find that shifts are often greater than 20% of the expected statistical uncertainties from the DESI data. We encapsulate the effect of such shifts in terms of a systematic covariance term, C HOD , and an additional diagonal contribution quantifying the impact of our choice of nuisance parameter priors on the ability of the effective field theory (EFT) model to correctly recover the cosmological parameters of the simulations. These two covariance contributions are designed to be added to the usual covariance term, C stat , describing the statistical uncertainty in the power spectrum measurement, in order to fairly represent these sources of systematic uncertainty. This novel approach should be more general and robust to the choice of model or additional external datasets used in cosmological fits than the alternative approach of adding systematic uncertainties to the recovered marginalised parameter posteriors. We compare the approaches within the context of a fixed ΛCDM model and demonstrate that our method gives conservative estimates of the systematic uncertainty that nevertheless have little impact on the final posteriors obtained from DESI data.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2020

Deffe: A Data-efficient Framework for Performance Characterization in Domain-Specific Computing

Predicting workload performance is a crucial task for many architecture and system research. In this paper we present De￿e, a framework to estimate the workload performances under varying architectural configurations. The infrastructure component of Deffe is based on scalable and easy-to-use open-source software components. By casting the performance modeling as transfer learning tasks, the modeling component of Deffe can leverage the learned knowledge on one workload, and “transfer” it to a new workload. Extensive experimental results show that the method can achieve superior testing accuracy with an effective reduction of 32-80x in terms of the amount of required training data.

Liu, Frank↗
DOE OSTI2023

Feasibility of Isotopically Tailored Low Activation Materials

Materials employed in future fusion reactors and advanced fission reactors are susceptible to activation and transmutation due to fast neutron flux, which drives the need for Low Activation Materials for survivability, maintenance, and long-term disposal considerations. This paper investigates the feasibility of using ORNL’s planned enrichment technologies to produce isotopically enriched or depleted materials for use in future reactor construction. We focus on identifying isotopes of interest and performing estimates of the required scale of enrichment to impact future design and operation.

07 ISOTOPE AND RADIATION SOURCES↗
DOE OSTI2022

The Role of Phytoplankton Biomacromolecules in Controlling Ocean Surface Roughness

Satellite altimetric data routinely map sea surface topography by measuring the ocean return signal. One source of altimeter measurement contamination occurs when the radar ocean backscatter becomes unusually large, a situation termed a Sigma-0 bloom. Past research suggests Sigma-0 blooms are associated with weak wind and natural surface slick conditions where capillary waves at the air–sea interface are suppressed. To date, no explicit connection between these conditions and Sigma-0 bloom presence has been provided. Using a series of simplified equations, our reduced model determines capillary wave heights from estimates of planktonic carbon concentrations and regional wind speed. Our results suggest that the radar signal reflection increases as capillary wave height decreases. This relationship depends on surfactant concentration, surfactant composition, and wind speed. Model sensitivity analysis indicates that the interface reflectivity depends on biological activity and wind speed. Our proposed simplified model provides a method to identify potential Sigma-0 bloom regions. We conclude that because of the demonstrated impact of biological surfactants on ocean roughness, it is necessary to consider the biological activity, i.e., phytoplankton bloom events, when interpreting signals from radar altimetry and when developing ocean hydrology models.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
NASA NTRS1986

Engineering description of the ascent/descent bet product

The Ascent/Descent output product is produced in the OPIP routine from three files which constitute its input. One of these, OPIP.IN, contains mission specific parameters. Meteorological data, such as atmospheric wind velocities, temperatures, and density, are obtained from the second file, the Corrected Meteorological Data File (METDATA). The third file is the TRJATTDATA file which contains the time-tagged state vectors that combine trajectory information from the Best Estimate of Trajectory (BET) filter, LBRET5, and Best Estimate of Attitude (BEA) derived from IMU telemetry. Each term in the two output data files (BETDATA and the Navigation Block, or NAVBLK) are defined. The description of the BETDATA file includes an outline of the algorithm used to calculate each term. To facilitate describing the algorithms, a nomenclature is defined. The description of the nomenclature includes a definition of the coordinate systems used. The NAVBLK file contains navigation input parameters. Each term in NAVBLK is defined and its source is listed. The production of NAVBLK requires only two computational algorithms. These two algorithms, which compute the terms DELTA and RSUBO, are described. Finally, the distribution of data in the NAVBLK records is listed.

Seacord, A. W., II↗
NASA NTRS1991

Three-Dimensional Model Synthesis of the Global Methane Cycle

A synthesis of the global methane cycle is presented to attempt to generate an accurate global methane budget. Methane-flux measurements, energy data, and agricultural statistics are merged with databases of land-surface characteristics and anthropogenic activities. The sources and sinks of methane are estimated based on atmospheric methane composition and variations, and a global 3D transport model simulates the corresponding atmospheric responses. The geographic and seasonal variations of candidate budgets are compared with observational data, and the available observations are used to constrain the plausible methane budgets. The preferred budget includes annual destruction rates and annual emissions for various sources. The lack of direct flux measurements in the regions of many of these fluxes makes the unique determination of each term impossible. OH oxidation is found to be the largest single term, although more measurements of this and other terms are recommended.

Fung, I.↗
NASA NTRS1999

Flight Test Results: CTAS Cruise/Descent Trajectory Prediction Accuracy for En route ATC Advisories

The Center/TRACON Automation System (CTAS), under development at NASA Ames Research Center, is designed to assist controllers with the management and control of air traffic transitioning to/from congested airspace. This paper focuses on the transition from the en route environment, to high-density terminal airspace, under a time-based arrival-metering constraint. Two flight tests were conducted at the Denver Air Route Traffic Control Center (ARTCC) to study trajectory-prediction accuracy, the key to accurate Decision Support Tool advisories such as conflict detection/resolution and fuel-efficient metering conformance. In collaboration with NASA Langley Research Center, these test were part of an overall effort to research systems and procedures for the integration of CTAS and flight management systems (FMS). The Langley Transport Systems Research Vehicle Boeing 737 airplane flew a combined total of 58 cruise-arrival trajectory runs while following CTAS clearance advisories. Actual trajectories of the airplane were compared to CTAS and FMS predictions to measure trajectory-prediction accuracy and identify the primary sources of error for both. The research airplane was used to evaluate several levels of cockpit automation ranging from conventional avionics to a performance-based vertical navigation (VNAV) FMS. Trajectory prediction accuracy was analyzed with respect to both ARTCC radar tracking and GPS-based aircraft measurements. This paper presents detailed results describing the trajectory accuracy and error sources. Although differences were found in both accuracy and error sources, CTAS accuracy was comparable to the FMS in terms of both meter-fix arrival-time performance (in support of metering) and 4D-trajectory prediction (key to conflict prediction). Overall arrival time errors (mean plus standard deviation) were measured to be approximately 24 seconds during the first flight test (23 runs) and 15 seconds during the second flight test (25 runs). The major source of error during these tests was found to be the predicted winds aloft used by CTAS. Position and velocity estimates of the airplane provided to CTAS by the ATC Host radar tracker were found to be a relatively insignificant error source for the trajectory conditions evaluated. Airplane performance modeling errors within CTAS were found to not significantly affect arrival time errors when the constrained descent procedures were used. The most significant effect related to the flight guidance was observed to be the cross-track and turn-overshoot errors associated with conventional VOR guidance. Lateral navigation (LNAV) guidance significantly reduced both the cross-track and turn-overshoot error. Pilot procedures and VNAV guidance were found to significantly reduce the vertical profile errors associated with atmospheric and aircraft performance model errors.

Green, S.↗
NASA NTRS2013

Trajectory Reconstruction and Uncertainty Analysis Using Mars Science Laboratory Pre-Flight Scale Model Aeroballistic Testing

As part of the Mars Science Laboratory (MSL) trajectory reconstruction effort at NASA Langley Research Center, free-flight aeroballistic experiments of instrumented MSL scale models was conducted at Aberdeen Proving Ground in Maryland. The models carried an inertial measurement unit (IMU) and a flush air data system (FADS) similar to the MSL Entry Atmospheric Data System (MEADS) that provided data types similar to those from the MSL entry. Multiple sources of redundant data were available, including tracking radar and on-board magnetometers. These experimental data enabled the testing and validation of the various tools and methodologies that will be used for MSL trajectory reconstruction. The aerodynamic parameters Mach number, angle of attack, and sideslip angle were estimated using minimum variance with a priori to combine the pressure data and pre-flight computational fluid dynamics (CFD) data. Both linear and non-linear pressure model terms were also estimated for each pressure transducer as a measure of the errors introduced by CFD and transducer calibration. Parameter uncertainties were estimated using a "consider parameters" approach.

Lugo, Rafael A.↗
DOE OSTI2022

Experimental validation of simplified radionuclide transport bubble scrubbing code in sodium coolant pool

Solid radionuclides released following fuel pin failure may become entrained in gaseous fission products and be rapidly transported through the coolant pool to the cover gas region. Sensitivity studies on radionuclide transport have identified this potential pathway as one of both high concern and high uncertainty. The simplified radionuclide transport scrubbing code utilizes classical aerosol scrubbing mechanisms to model this phenomenon and predict aerosol masses reaching the cover gas region. This paper serves to validate this code in a sodium environment while conducting a parametric study to analyze the effects of aerosol size, bubble size, pool temperature, pool depth, aerosol density, and aerosol concentration. Through a series of experimental tests, it was determined that aerosol sizes ranging from 0.001 to 1.0 µm are of primary concern as aerosols in this range have a ratio of aerosol mass entering the sodium pool from the fuel pin to aerosol mass exiting the sodium pool to the cover gas region of less than 10. Further, the experimental results were found to match the trends found in the scrubbing model closely, but significantly more scrubbing was seen experimentally. Decreasing bubble size and increasing pool depth and aerosol density were all found to increase scrubbing both experimentally and theoretically. Pool temperature was found to have a negligible effect on scrubbing amounts; however, this was largely due to a subsequent increase in bubble size corresponding to increasing temperatures which offset the increase in scrubbing due to increased temperature. Varying aerosol concentration was found to have no effect on scrubbing ratios. A final series of tests was conducted for a more prototypic fuel pin failure with a heterogenous bubble swarm. From these tests, it was found that the experimental scrubbing quantities were larger than for the single bubble case. Overall, it was found that the simplified bubble transport scrubbing code accurately models the trends of the bubble scrubbing but provides a conservative estimate of scrubbing quantities. Model limitations fail to model the complex phenomena present for fission product scrubbing via bubble transport, but match trends seen experimentally.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗
DOE OSTI2023

Walking on the dark side: Anthropogenic factors limit suitable habitat for gray wolf ( Canis lupus ) in a large natural area covering Belarus and Ukraine

Due to successful conservation initiatives and legislations, the grey wolf (Canis lupus) is recolonising its historic range in Europe. However, wolves have never been extirpated across large areas in Eastern Europe but are often constrained to remote and inaccessible places due to centuries of persecution. This study aimed to identify the potentially suitable wolf habitats in Polesia, a massive cross-border lowland region extending over southern Belarus and northern Ukraine, which are often neglected in large carnivore studies at the continental scale. We hypothesized that anthropogenic rather than environmental factors govern wolf habitat suitability. We used a dataset of 4191 GPS locations obtained from radio-collared wolves (n = 26) and confirmed observations (n = 231) during 2014–2021 and applied maximum entropy method to estimate relative habitat suitability for wolves in Polesia. Artificial light at night (ALAN), proportion of cropland and tree cover were the most important factors affecting wolf habitat suitability. Road densities contributed poorly to predicting habitat suitability for wolves. Our models predicted a quarter of Polesia as suitable habitat and revealed priority areas connecting the important source populations in the Chornobyl Exclusion Zone in the east and the Bialowieza Forest in the west and thus essential for long-term wolf conservation. Our results provide the bases for effective, long-term wolf monitoring and management programs in both Belarus and Ukraine. However, national and transboundary wolf management in Polesia has been extremely challenging since 2022 due to the ongoing war and subsequent habitat degradation in this part of Europe.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗
NASA NTRS2015

Estimates of Power Plant NOx Emissions and Lifetimes from OMI NO2 Satellite Retrievals

Isolated power plants with well characterized emissions serve as an ideal test case of methods to estimate emissions using satellite data. In this study we evaluate the Exponentially-Modified Gaussian (EMG) method and the box model method based on mass balance for estimating known NOx emissions from satellite retrievals made by the Ozone Monitoring Instrument (OMI). We consider 29 power plants in the USA which have large NOx plumes that do not overlap with other sources and which have emissions data from the Continuous Emission Monitoring System (CEMS). This enables us to identify constraints required by the methods, such as which wind data to use and how to calculate background values. We found that the lifetimes estimated by the methods are too short to be representative of the chemical lifetime. Instead, we introduce a separate lifetime parameter to account for the discrepancy between estimates using real data and those that theory would predict. In terms of emissions, the EMG method required averages from multiple years to give accurate results, whereas the box model method gave accurate results for individual ozone seasons.

Emissions inventory↗
NASA NTRS2023

Python Based Plume Dynamics Estimation Tool (PyPDET) Rapid Plume Strike Analysis for RPOD Maneuvers in Deep Space Operations

I worked as a NASA Intern during the Summer 2023 term in the DS-00 division under the supervision of my mentor, Dr. Jonathan Pitt. Our goal was to build on our previous work from 2022 to develop a plume strike estimation tool using a prescribed physics methodology and model plume impingement effects while considering the dynamics of a rendezvous, operations, proximity, and docking (RPOD) maneuver. This tool supports previously configured CFD-DSMC calculations by allowing for rapid analysis of initial designs using a low-fidelity source flow model. Engineers can then use the high-fidelity CFD-DSMC tool to consolidate results as they work towards finalizing a design. This year’s project was focused on developing a software application that other engineers would be using in their analysis. Thus, the user’s experience was considered in the development of this application. Proper documentation, testability, and modularity of the codebase was our priority. For example, the project included auto documentation procedures to start building towards a User Manual, while also including dedicated demonstration cases for more explicit communication of functionality. Also, this project included a framework for testing the source code for future developments. Additionally, care was taken to develop the code using an Object-Oriented Programming approach. Thus, allowing for a modular extensibility of functionality in anticipation of future developments. The core work of this project was developing an algorithm that would transform the visiting vehicle and associated thruster data according to the kinematics described in the jet firing history. It would then calculate the estimated plume strikes on two of the target vehicles and write data accordingly into a VTK file. Summer work is to conclude by developing and presenting a PowerPoint slide deck at the intern exit briefing on August 11 th , 2023. Once the model for simple plume strike calculations is developed and tested there are several avenues to explore to continue development of this tool. These are also discussed in this report.

Plume Impingement↗
DOE OSTI2025

Estimating soybean yields from high-temporal-resolution multi-source data using deep learning

Accurate and timely crop yield prediction is crucial for ensuring food security and maintaining stable agricultural markets. In recent years, there has been a surge in interest in leveraging high-temporal-resolution, multi-source data for effective crop growth monitoring and yield estimation. A notable challenge arises from the difficulty in capturing the intricate interactions between variables across different time steps within these high-temporal-resolution time series datasets. This complexity hinders the reliable extraction of yield information from voluminous and often noisy datasets, especially during periods of extreme weather events. Here, in this study, we propose an Attention and Graph Isomorphism Network-enhanced Bi-directional Long Short-Term Memory network (AGB-LSTM) for estimating county-level soybean yield in the United States. This model integrates a diverse set of remote sensing data, including Near-Infrared Reflectance of Vegetation (NIRv), Sun-Induced chlorophyll Fluorescence (SIF), and Gross Primary Productivity (GPP), along with environmental covariates. The AGB-LSTM effectively leverages information related to crop yield from high-temporal-resolution time series data (5-days), achieving an accuracy of R²= 0.67 and rRMSE = 14.46%. This approach significantly outperforms traditional machine learning methods such as Random Forest (RF) (R²= 0.52, rRMSE = 17.36%) and Bi-LSTM (R²= 0.58, rRMSE = 16.17%). Sensitivity experiments with different time steps and ranges demonstrated that our model could accurately and stably predict yields 1 to 2 months before harvest. Moreover, data with a finer temporal resolution consistently improved prediction performance, resulting in an approximately 20% increase in and an approximately 20% decrease in rRMSE compared to using monthly composites. We also evaluated the robustness of the model under extreme climate events and observed strong performance (R²= 0.50, rRMSE = 21.32%). Finally, yield mapping for major soybean-producing regions in North America in 2023 revealed spatial patterns that closely matched USDA yield reports. Our findings suggest that the AGB-LSTM model is a promising and effective method for estimating yield and has notable potential for global crop yield forecasting.

Deep learning↗
DOE OSTI2024

Fault-Tolerant Decentralized Control for Large-Scale Inverter-Based Resources for Active Power Tracking

Integration of inverter-based resources (IBRs) which lack the intrinsic characteristics such as the inertial response of the traditional synchronous-generator (SG)-based sources presents a new challenge in the form of analyzing the grid stability under their presence. While the dynamic composition of IBRs differs from that of the SGs, the control objective remains similar in terms of tracking the desired active power. This letter presents a decentralized primal-dual-based fault-tolerant control framework for the power allocation in IBRs. Overall, a hierarchical control algorithm is developed with a lower level addressing the current control and the parameter estimation for the IBRs and the higher level acting as the reference power generator to the low level based on the desired active power profile. The decentralized network-based algorithm adaptively splits the desired power between the IBRs taking into consideration the health of the IBRs transmission lines. The proposed framework is tested through a simulation on the network of IBRs and the high-level controller performance is compared against the existing framework in the literature. The proposed algorithm shows significant performance improvement in the magnitude of power deviation and settling time to the nominal value under faulty conditions as compared to the algorithm in the literature.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗
NASA NTRS1980

The 1979 X-ray outburst of Centaurus X-4

X-ray observations of the first major outburst of the classical transient X-ray source Centaurus X-4 since its discovery in 1969 are presented. The observations were obtained in May, 1979, with the all-sky monitor on board Ariel 5. The flare light curve is shown to exhibit many of the characteristics of other transients, including a double-peaked maximum, as well as significant, apparently random, variations and a lower peak flux and shorter duration than the 1969 event. Application of a standard epoch-folding technique to data corrected for linear decay trends indicates a possible source modulation at 0.3415 days (8.2 hours). Comparison of the results with previous other data on Cen X-4 and the characteristics of the soft X-ray transients allows a total X-ray output of approximately 3 x 10 to the 43rd ergs to be estimated, and reveals the duration and decay time of the 1979 Cen X-4 outburst to be the shortest yet observed from soft X-ray transients. The observations are explained in terms of episodic mass exchange from a late-type dwarf onto a neutron star companion in a relatively close binary system.

Kaluzienski, L. J.↗
NASA NTRS1992

Adjustment of footprint correction for airborne flux mapping over the FIFE site

A meaningful interpretation of airborne flux estimates over nonuniform terrain must consider local advection from nonhomogeneous source distributions (footprint correction). An empirical procedure for footprint correction of airborne flux data obtained in the First ISLSCP Field Experiment (FIFE) 1989 is presented, based on simple analytical solutions of the diffusion equation which have been adjusted to approximate more realistic solutions. Optimized estimates of surface flux 'maps' derived from airborne observations are then constructed for maximum correlation between flux estimates and independently observed surface characteristics. This paper also includes an analysis of resolution for the given procedure, in terms of amplitude recovery of hypothetical square-wave distributions of surface flux density, and discusses its implications for the interpretation of the optimized estimates of FIFE surface flux maps. Results show that corrected spatial sink distributions are obtained by the current empirical procedure at the cost of considerable reduction in amplitude recovery of small-scale variations in surface flux density. The high spatial correlation observed between corrected flux maps and surface characteristics such as greenness or surface temperature excess is ascribed to the approximately correct positioning of the main flux gradients across the site, which can be expected to have been reproduced with amplitude recovery equal to or greater than 60 percent.

Schuepp, P. H.↗