Sequential estimation of observation error variances in a trajectory estimation problem.
Sequential trajectory estimation improved by implementing simple running estimates of observation error variances
TRAJECTORY ANALYSIS↗
SEARCH · Engineering Papers
Results for “sequential analysis”
Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.
Quote a phrase for an exact phrase match. Source license links do not imply unrestricted reuse.
Quantifying Optical Loss of High-Voltage Degradation Modes in PV Modules Using Spectral Analysis [Slides]
The direct current bias for photovoltaic (PV) modules interconnected in series-strings may include both high voltage negative ("HV-") and positive ("HV+") polarity with respect to the electrical ground. Multiple degradation modes, resulting in quantifiable optical loss, were found to occur during HV-/HV+ sequential stress, including: corrosion of the external glass surface, encapsulant delamination (at its interfaces with the glass and the PV cell), internal haze formation (resulting from a chemical interaction between the glass and the encapsulant), corrosion and migration of the gridlines, and corrosion of the silicon nitride (SixNy) antireflective coating on the cell. The effects of these separate modes were examined using monolithic (e.g., glass or PV cell) and laminated-coupon (glass/encapsulant/glass or glass/encapsulant/cell/encapsulant/backsheet) specimens. Characterizations during and after unbiased accelerated testing at 85 degrees C/85% relative humidity included: spectrophotometry, optical microscopy, electron microscopy, and ellipsometry. For some module components (i.e., the glass and the SixNy coating), the optical performance was determined through iterative analysis of empirical measurements. Concentrating on just their spectral effect, a novel model was then developed to estimate the transfer of light to the PV cell and the return of light from the PV module with simultaneous degradation mechanisms, which was compared to a mini-module previously subjected to HV-/HV+ stress. The model suggests one-third of the current loss observed for the mini-module can be attributed to the optical degradation of the packaging materials. The dominant degradation modes include encapsulant delamination and corrosion of the SixNy coating. Recommendations are given so that the optical model may be improved relative to accelerated testing and validated relative to field aging.
14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
EcoBOT: an AI/ML enabled automated phenotyping capability for model plants
Introduction: Advances in automation and AI/ML offer new opportunities for plant science, including design, modeling, and analysis. This study aimed to develop an automated platform for researching small model plants under axenic conditions and integrate it with AI/ML tools. Methods: The EcoBOT platform was developed, which consists of sterile containers (EcoFABs) for growing plants and imaging for monitoring plant growth and health. Brachypodium distachyon was grown on the EcoBOT, and its response to nutrient limitation and copper stress was evaluated. Results: The results showed that Brachypodium distachyon grown in the EcoBOT maintained sterility and responded to nutrient limitation and copper stress. Analysis of over 6,500 root and shoot images revealed varying sensitivity and response rates to copper. Bayesian Optimization was used to improve model accuracies relating copper concentrations to plant biomass via sequential experiments, resulting in a >30% improvement. Discussion: The findings of this study demonstrate the potential of the EcoBOT platform for researching plant responses to environmental factors. Future experiments could focus on relating other chemical stresses and microbial interactions to create generalized models of plant responses.
AI image analysis↗
Physical Regime Sensitivity
Abstract This work presents a novel sensitivity approach that quantifies sensitivity to regimes of a model’s state variables rather than constitutive model parameters. This Physical Regime Sensitivity (PRS) determines which regimes of a model’s independent variables have the biggest influence on an experiment or application. PRS analysis is demonstrated on a strength model used in the simulation of a copper Taylor cylinder. In a series of simulations, the strength model was perturbed sequentially in local regimes of plastic strain, plastic strain rate, temperature and pressure, and then the prediction of cylinder shape was compared to unperturbed calculations. Results show, for example, that the deformed length of the cylinder was most sensitive to strength at a strain rate of 1.0 × 10 4 /sec., but the deformed footprint radius was most sensitive to strength at a strain rate of about 4.0 × 10 4 /sec. Compared to current histogram approaches, PRS can be used to design or interpret integrated experiments by identifying not just which regimes are accessed somewhere in the experiment but the causality question of which regimes actually affect the measured data. PRS should allow one to focus experimental and modeling efforts where they are most needed and to better interpret experiments.
36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
Direct Air Capture of CO 2 via Reactive Crystallization
Atmospheric CO 2 removal using engineered chemical processes, aka direct air capture (DAC), has become an essential component of our available portfolio for mitigating climate change. Here we describe a promising approach to DAC based on reactive crystallization of atmospheric CO 2 (RC-DAC) with aqueous guanidine and amino acid. Compared to the previously studied phase-changing DAC processes involving initial CO 2 absorption by an aqueous alkaline solvent followed by carbonate crystallization in a second step, RC-DAC combines the CO 2 absorption and carbonate crystallization into a single step. Thus, as the insoluble carbonate salts are removed from solution by crystallization, more CO 2 is pulled from the air into solution, further driving the DAC process. The RC-DAC was performed in a household humidifier as the air–liquid contactor, which can handle solid–liquid slurries effectively. The crystallization was monitored in situ by pH measurements, real-time imaging with a microscope probe, and by Raman spectroscopy, and ex situ by NMR spectroscopy, powder X-ray diffraction, and total inorganic carbonate analysis. Further, the investigation provided a detailed mechanistic picture of the RC-DAC process, involving formation of carbamate and carbonate anions in solution, followed by sequential crystallization of different guanidinium carbonate phases.
37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
Statistical Time Series Models of Pilot Control with Applications to Instrument Discrimination
A general description of the methodology used in obtaining the transfer function models and verification of model fidelity, frequency domain plots of the modeled transfer functions, numerical results obtained from an analysis of poles and zeroes obtained from z plane to s-plane conversions of the transfer functions, and the results of a study on the sequential introduction of other variables, both exogenous and endogenous into the loop are contained.
Altschul, R. E.↗
Study of one- and two-dimensional filtering and deconvolution algorithms for a streaming array computer
The development of vector processing computers of the streaming array architectures has made possible a dramatic decrease in the time required for the solution of problems, i.e., for those algorithms which readily lend themselves to sequential operations on long vectors. There has concurrently been rapid growth in the applications of the techniques generally known as mathematical digital filtering, also called signal analysis, digital signal processing, time series analysis, and digital image processing. The best known applications of these techniques is to seismic data and two-dimensional images, data types consisting of very large collections of numbers. A major limitation for these cases is the size and speed of the computer available. Therefore, a move to the streaming array architecture can result in marked improvement in the data analysis techniques which may be employed.
Ioup, G. E.↗
Simulation of materials processing: Fantasy or reality?
This experiment introduces students to the application of computer-aided design (CAD) and analysis of materials processing in the context of integrated circuit (IC) fabrication. The fabrication of modern IC's is a complex process which consists of several sequential steps. These steps involve the precise control of processing variables such as temperature, humidity, and ambient gas composition. In essence, the particular process employed during the fabrication becomes a 'recipe'. Due to economic and other considerations, CAD is becoming an indispensable part of the development of new recipes for IC fabrication. In particular, this experiment permits the students to explore the CAD of the thermal oxidation of silicon.
Jenkins, Thomas J.↗
Assessment of Countermeasure Efficacy for Long-Term Space Missions
One of the main functions of the upcoming International Space Station (ISS) will be to provide a venue for testing proposed countermeasures for their ability to protect humans from the debilitating effects of longterm space flight. However, several limiting factors preclude an evaluation process similar to that used in clinical trials which traditionally are implemented with large sample sizes of subjects, including control groups, and with blind or double-blind application of treatments according to factorial or other balanced experimental designs. In particular, only very limited numbers of human subjects will be available for actual field testing in the ISS With no more than 125 subjects planned to fly on all ISS missions over 10 years, it is not possible to test extensive combinations of some 15-20 proposed countermeasures. Furthermore because of safety concerns and operational considerations, it is unlikely that anything other than the current best guess at the most effective countermeasure package will ever be used on ISS. In particular, control or placebos will not be allowed. In view of these limitations, historical data and groundbased or animal studies will have to be used to compensate for small sample sizes and lack of controls in the field. As a result, statistical analysis methodology will have to be developed which allows for the integration of these disparate data types into a meaningful evaluation process. The process must be sequential, providing objective rules for deciding through time whether to reject or modify an ineffective countermeasure, or whether to certify one as effective. Additional output should include performance characteristics for all relevant physiological systems, including uncertainty analyses and estimates of accept/reject decision error rates.
Feiveson, Alan H.↗
Framework for Optimization, Quantification of Uncertainty and Surrogates – Updated Capabilities
This poster presents updated capabilities within the FOQUS Toolset, covering core features as well as project-based applications. Specifically, the poster highlights advancements in FOQUS integration with cloud-based clients, plugin support for machine learning tools and external simulations, sequential design of experiments, and advanced support for dynamic process models. The applications demonstrate the breadth of FOQUS predictive capabilities for chemical, energy and economic system analysis.
Paul, Brandon↗
Anisotropic structure and optical engineering of strontium titanate and zirconia responding to sequential hydrogen and helium irradiation
Unraveling the correlation between strain engineering with anisotropic optical properties via nanoscale defects gradually evolved into a strategy for fundamental studies and technological applications, yet it remains understudied in functional complex oxides compared to metals and semiconductors. Here, the methodology of strain engineering for the determination of the lattice parameters, parallel/normal to the sample surface, in the individual layers of single-crystalline superlattices is derived, which is based on analysis of high-angle X-ray diffraction measurements in combination with diffraction reciprocal space mapping. With modeling that takes into account the effect of elastic properties, two elastically anisotropic materials, SrTiO 3 and ZrO 2 , have been compared in terms of defect-induced elastic strain caused by individual and sequential H + and He 2+ irradiation. The anisotropic lattice swelling with corresponding refractive index, and obstructive behavior of elastic strain recovery are demonstrated in SrTiO 3 , while approaching strain behaviors accompanied by isotropic refractive index distribution in both orientations are confirmed in ZrO 2 . Under sequential He 2+ /H + irradiation, pre-existing He-vacancy complexes acted as vacancy traps, preferentially capturing H + clusters to induce lattice distortion and enhance absorption. Nanohardness increments (ΔH) calculated by the DBH model matched nanoindentation results, confirming that sequential irradiation generated higher indentation yield stress than individual irradiations.
Anisotropic expansion↗
Precomputing Process Noise Covariance for Onboard Sequential Filters
Process noise is often used in estimation filters to account for unmodeled and mismodeled accelerations in the dynamics. The process noise covariance acts to inflate the state covariance over propagation intervals, increasing the uncertainty in the state. In scenarios where the acceleration errors change significantly over time, the standard process noise covariance approach can fail to provide effective representation of the state and its uncertainty. Consider covariance analysis techniques provide a method to precompute a process noise covariance profile along a reference trajectory using known model parameter uncertainties. The process noise covariance profile allows significantly improved state estimation and uncertainty representation over the traditional formulation. As a result, estimation performance on par with the consider filter is achieved for trajectories near the reference trajectory without the additional computational cost of the consider filter. The new formulation also has the potential to significantly reduce the trial-and-error tuning currently required of navigation analysts. A linear estimation problem as described in several previous consider covariance analysis studies is used to demonstrate the effectiveness of the precomputed process noise covariance, as well as a nonlinear descent scenario at the asteroid Bennu with optical navigation.
onboard↗
Probabilistic progressive buckling of trusses
A three-bay, space, cantilever truss is probabilistically evaluated to describe progressive buckling and truss collapse in view of the numerous uncertainties associated with the structural, material, and load variables that describe the truss. Initially, the truss is deterministically analyzed for member forces, and members in which the axial force exceeds the Euler buckling load are identified. These members are then discretized with several intermediate nodes, and a probabilistic buckling analysis is performed on the truss to obtain its probabilistic buckling loads and the respective mode shapes. Furthermore, sensitivities associated with the uncertainties in the primitive variables are investigated, margin of safety values for the truss are determined, and truss end node displacements are noted. These steps are repeated by sequentially removing buckled members until onset of truss collapse is reached. Results show that this procedure yields an optimum truss configuration for a given loading and for a specified reliability.
PROBABILISTIC BUCKLING ANALYSI↗
Probing Effects of Electron Addition to Polycyclic Conjugated Hydrocarbons Containing Four‐Membered Rings
The rectangular cyclobutadiene (CBD, C 4 H 4 ) is a unique moiety for building nonbenzenoid polycyclic conjugated hydrocarbons with interesting electron‐accepting properties. Herein, the investigation on chemical reduction of several CBD‐containing polycyclic hydrocarbons with increasing conjugation length is reported: biphenylene (C 12 H 8 ), dimethyl[2]naphthalene (C 22 H 16 ), and tetramethyl‐dibenzo‐[3]phenylene (C 30 H 22 ). The two‐step sequential reduction is first demonstrated by in situ spectroscopic investigation and then confirmed by the isolation of single crystals of the reduced products. The X‐ray crystallographic analysis reveals the formation of several mono‐ and doubly reduced products in solvent‐separated and complexed forms. The crystal structures for both neutral parents and corresponding reduced products unravel the changes in bond alternation in each ring of the fused systems. Density functional theory (DFT) and nucleus‐independent chemical shift (NICS) scan calculations reveal that the two‐electron addition reduces the aromatic character in the benzenoid rings but has minor influence on the antiaromatic CBD rings.
Zhu, Yikun [Department of Chemistry University at ↗
Microhydration of the metastable N -Protomer of 4-Aminobenzoic acid by condensation at 80 K: H/D exchange without conversion to the more stable O- protomer
4-Aminobenzoic acid (4ABA) is a model scaffold for studying solvent-mediated proton transfer. Although protonation at the carboxylic group (O-protomer) is energetically favored in the gas phase, the N-protomer, where the proton remains on the amino group, can be kinetically trapped by electrospray ionization of 4ABA in an aprotic solvent such as acetonitrile. Here we report the formation of the hydrated deuterium isotopologues of the N-protomers, RND 3 + ·(H 2 O) n=1-3 , (R=C 6 H 4 COOD), which are generated by condensing water molecules onto the bare N-protomers in a liquid nitrogen cooled, radiofrequency octopole ion trap at 80 K. The product clusters are then transferred to a 20 K cryogenic ion trap where they are tagged with weakly bound D 2 molecules. The structures of these clusters are determined by analysis of their vibrational patterns obtained by resonant IR photodissociation. The resulting patterns confirm that the metastable N-protomer configuration remains intact even when warmed by sequential condensation of water molecules. Attachment of H 2 O molecules onto the RND 3 + head group also affords the opportunity to explore the possibility of H/D exchange between the acid scaffold and the proximal water network. The spectroscopic results establish that although the RND 3 + ·(H 2 O) n=1,2 clusters are formed without H/D exchange, the n = 3 cluster exhibits about 10% H/D exchange as evidenced by the appearance of the telltale HOD bands. Furthermore, the site of exchange on the acid is determined to be the acidic OH by the emergence of the OH stretching fundamental in the -COOH motif.
37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
Remote sensing in Iowa agriculture: Identification and classification of Iowa crop lands using ERTS-1 and complimentary underflight imagery
The author has identified the following significant results. Results of the continuing analysis of ERTS-1 imagery covering Iowa during 1972 and periods during 1973 are covered. Emphasis is placed on the identification and classification of major crop types at two test sites in Iowa. Standard photointerpretive methods were used in this analysis including the direct enlargement of black and white single-band products and additive color multi-band procedures using a miniadcol system. The use of sequential coverage during the crop growing season is emphasized as a means to improve the effectiveness of ERTS-1 photointerpretations of crop land acreage estimates in Iowa. Illustrative black and white and color prints of both ERTS-1 and underflight imagery are included. In addition, forest land inventories at one test site are reported. A new method for the inventory of forest lands using ERTS-1 imagery is reported and compared with estimates obtained using earlier underflight imagery.
Mahlstede, J. P.↗
Geodetic analysis of Skylab altimetry preliminary data - SL/2 EREP pass 9
The author has identified the following significant results. The analysis was based on a time series intrinsic relationship between the satellite ephemeris, altimeter measured ranges, and the corresponding a priori values of subsatellite geoidal heights. Using sequential least squares processing with parameter weighting, the objective was to recover (1) the absolute geoidal heights of the subsatellite points, and (2) the associated altimeter calibration constant(s). Preliminary results from Skylab altimetry are given, using various combinations of orbit ephemeris and altimeter ranges as computed differently by NASA/JSC and NASA/Wallops. The influences of orbit accuracy, weighting functions, and a priori ground truth are described, based on the various combination solutions. It is shown that to deduce geoidal height by merely subtracting the height of the satellite from the altimeter range is inadmissible. The results of such direct subtraction can be very misleading if the orbit used is computed from data that included altimeter data used as height constraints. In view of the current state of knowledge, the use of geodetic ground truth samples as control benchmarks appears indispensable for the recovery of absolute geoidal heights with correct scale.
Mourad, A. G.↗
Device for rapid quantification of human carotid baroreceptor-cardiac reflex responses
A new device has been designed, constructed, and evaluated to characterize the human carotid baroreceptor-cardiac reflex response relation rapidly. This system was designed for study of reflex responses of astronauts before, during, and after space travel. The system comprises a new tightly sealing silicon rubber neck chamber, a stepping motor-driven electrodeposited nickel bellows pressure system, capable of delivering sequential R-wave-triggered neck chamber pressure changes between +40 and -65 mmHg, and a microprocessor-based electronics system for control of pressure steps and analysis and display of responses. This new system provokes classic sigmoid baroreceptor-cardiac reflex responses with threshold, linear, and saturation ranges in most human volunteers during one held expiration.
Sprenkle, J. M.↗