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At least 379 records · Page 21

Improving Hydropower Representation in Power System Models (Summary of Technical Workshop)

In March 2019, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL) and National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) held a workshop to discuss the characterization of hydropower resources within electric power system models. The workshop took place at the Western Electricity Coordinating Council in Salt Lake City, Utah, and was sponsored by the Water Power Technologies Office of the US Department of Energy. The intention of the workshop is to support the federal energy research initiative HydroWIRES. The Initiative has a specific technical objective to advance the representation of hydropower resources in relevant water and power models and to address the seams between the two. This report describes the workshop, contributions from attendees, a summary of the findings of the event and proposed next steps. The themes and recommendations from this workshop have provided foundational guidance for future research and program strategy.

13 HYDRO ENERGY↗

Financial Analysis of Experimental Releases Conducted at Glen Canyon Dam during Water Year 2019

This report was prepared by Argonne National Laboratory in support of a financial analysis of the Glen Canyon Dam high-flow experimental release that is intended to mobilize the sand in the Colorado River with high-volume water releases from the dam and redeposit it downstream as sandbars along the river. These sandbars serve, among other things, as habitat for wildlife. This experimental release was conducted during the period from November 5 to November 8, 2018. This analysis was funded by the Colorado River Storage Project (CRSP) Office of the U.S. Department of Energy Western Area Power Administration (WAPA). CRSP markets electricity produced by hydroelectric facilities collectively known as the Salt Lake City Area Integrated Projects including dams equipped for power generation on the Colorado, Green, Gunnison, and Rio Grande Rivers and on Plateau Creek in the states of Arizona, Colorado, New Mexico, Utah, and Wyoming. Staff members in Argonne’s Energy Systems Division prepared this technical report with assistance from the WAPA CRSP and Energy Marketing and Management Offices.

13 HYDRO ENERGY↗

Financial Analysis of the 2019 Glen Canyon Dam Bug Flow Experiment

This report was prepared by Argonne National Laboratory (Argonne) in support of a financial analysis of the Glen Canyon Dam (GCD) flow experiment that was intended to support downstream macroinvertebrate production that are a primary food supply for fishes in the Colorado River. Also known as “bug flow” experiments, these experimental water releases were conducted on the weekends and holidays from the beginnings of May 2019 through the end of August 2019. This analysis was funded by the Colorado River Storage Project (CRSP) Office of the U.S. Department of Energy’s Western Area Power Administration (WAPA). CRSP markets electricity produced by hydroelectric facilities collectively known as the Salt Lake City Area Integrated Projects including dams equipped for power generation on the Colorado, Green, Gunnison, and Rio Grande Rivers and on Plateau Creek in the states of Arizona, Colorado, New Mexico, Utah, and Wyoming. Staff members in Argonne’s Energy Systems Division prepared this technical memorandum with assistance from WAPA’s CRSP and Energy Marketing and Management Offices (EMMO).

13 HYDRO ENERGY↗

Enhanced Distributed Solar Photovoltaic Deployment via Barrier Mitigation or Removal in the Western Interconnection (Final Technical Report)

In 2017, the Western Electricity Coordinating Council (WECC) 2026 Common Case projected that distributed solar PV deployment in the Western U.S. would meet or exceed 16,106 MW of installed capacity by 2026. Of this total, 12,218 MW was projected to be deployed in California and another 3,888 MW was projected to be deployed across Arizona, Colorado, Idaho, Montana, Nevada, New Mexico, Oregon, Utah, Washington, and Wyoming. However, WIEB recognized that barriers to distributed solar PV deployment could cause the region to fall short of these projections. WIEB identified three types of perceived barriers that might interfere with the deployment of distributed solar PV generation in the West, including: (1) interconnection barriers; (2) utility rate-design barriers; and (3) reliability barriers.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Convolutional Neural Networks for Signal Detection

Currently, traditional methods such as short-term average/long-term average (STA/LTA) are used to detect arrivals in three-component seismic waveform data. Accurately establishing the identity and arrival of these waves is helpful in detecting and locating seismic events. Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs) have been shown to significantly improve performance at local distances. This work will expand the use of CNNs to more remote distances and lower magnitudes. Sandia National Labs (SNL) will explore the advantages and limits of a particular approach and investigate requirements for expanding this technique to different types, distances, and magnitudes of events in the future. The team will describe detailed performance results of this method tuned on a curated dataset from Utah with its expert-defined arrival picks.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Auto-Curation of Seismic Event Data for Signal Denoising

Denoising contaminated seismic signals for later processing is a fundamental problem in seismic signals analysis. Neural network approaches have shown success denoising local signals when trained on short-time Fourier transform spectrograms. One challenge of this approach is the onerous process of hand-labeling event signals for training. By leveraging the SCALODEEP seismic event detector, we develop an automated set of techniques for labeling event data. Despite region specific challenges, training the neural network denoiser on machine curated events shows comparable performance to the neural network trained on hand curated events. We showcase our technique with two experiments, one using Utah regional data and one using regional data from the Korean peninsula.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Locating Seismic Events with Local-Distance Data

As the seismic monitoring community advances toward detecting, identifying, and locating ever-smaller natural and anthropogenic events, the need is constantly increasing for higher resolution, higher fidelity data, models, and methods for accurately characterizing events. Local-distance seismic data provide robust constraints on event locations, but also introduce complexity due to the significant geologic heterogeneity of the Earth’s crust and upper mantle, and the relative sparsity of data that often occurs with small events recorded on regional seismic networks. Identifying the critical characteristics for improving local-scale event locations and the factors that impact location accuracy and reliability is an ongoing challenge for the seismic community. Using Utah as a test case, we examine three data sets of varying duration, finesse, and magnitude to investigate the effects of local earth structure and modeling parameters on local-distance event location precision and accuracy. We observe that the most critical elements controlling relocation precision are azimuthal coverage and local-scale velocity structure, with tradeoffs based on event depth, type, location, and range.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Evaluating Scalograms for Seismic Event Denoising

Denoising contaminated seismic signals for later processing is a fundamental problem in seismic signals analysis. The most straightforward denoising approach, using spectral filtering, is not effective when noise and seismic signal occupy the same frequency range. Neural network approaches have shown success denoising local signal when trained on short-time Fourier transform spectrograms (Zhu et al 2018; Tibi et al 2021). Scalograms, a wavelet-based transform, achieved ~15% better reconstruction as measured by dynamic time warping on a seismic waveform test set than spectrograms, suggesting their use as an alternative for denoising. We train a deep neural network on a scalogram dataset derived from waveforms recorded by the University of Utah Seismograph Stations network. We find that initial results are no better than a spectrogram approach, with additional overhead imposed by the significantly larger size of scalograms. A robust exploration of neural network hyperparameters and network architecture was not performed, which could be done in follow on work.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Developing and Testing a Novel Stochastic Ice Microphysics Parameterization for Cloud and Climate Models Using ARM Field Campaign Data (Final Progress Report)

The major goals of this project were: 1) to use field campaign measurements from DOE’s Atmospheric Radiation Measurement (ARM) program to characterize variability of important parameters describing properties of ice particles in the atmosphere; 2) based on this observational analysis, to develop a parameterization scheme for weather and climate models that stochastically varies these parameters, and implement the new scheme into a weather model called the Weather Research and Forecasting model (WRF); 3) to use WRF coupled with the new stochastic scheme to simulate ARM field campaign thunderstorm cases and analyze how accounting for this parameter variability affects the model simulations. This work was performed jointly between the National Center for Atmospheric Research, University of Oklahoma, and University of Utah. To accomplish these goals, we extended an approach previously developed to characterize the variability in the size distribution of ice particles to parameters that are explicitly represented in models (i.e., relationships between ice particle mass and size, and between particle fall velocity and size). Our project was, to our knowledge, the first to apply observationally-constrained estimates of this parameter variability describing mass-size and fall velocity-size in a modeling framework. Our results showed efficacy of the approach, evaluated using ARM observations. Similarly, to our knowledge, work in this project was the first to propose and evaluate in detail a stochastic approach for unresolved turbulent mixing in high-resolution model simulations against detailed, benchmark large eddy simulations and ARM observations. Results showed some promising behavior, particularly with increased mixing and dilution of air in thunderstorm cores with surrounding environmental air, bringing the stochastic simulations closer to the benchmark large eddy simulations; however, results were somewhat degraded using stochastic mixing compared to observations from the AMIE/DYNAMO field campaign. This project also further refined and applied a modeling methodology called “piggybacking” that can robustly separate dynamical and thermodynamic impacts of model changes, and comparison studies of different models based on cases developed from ARM observations. Finally, this project directly supported three graduate students who completed their PhDs as well as a postdoctoral research fellow.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Utilizing the Dynamic Networks Data Processing and Analysis Experiment (DNE18) to Establish Methodologies for the Comparison of Automatic Infrasonic Signal Detectors

The Dynamic Networks Experiment 2018 (DNE18) was a collaborative effort between Los Alamos National Laboratory (LANL), Sandia National Laboratories (SNL), Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory (LLNL) and Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL) designed to evaluate methodologies for multi-modal data ingestion and processing. One component of this virtual experiment was a quantitative assessment of current capabilities for infrasound data processing, beginning with the establishment of a baseline for infrasound signal detection. To produce such baselines, SNL and LANL exploited a common dataset of infrasound data recorded across a regional network in Utah from December 2010 through February 2011. We utilize two automated signal detectors, the Adaptive F-Detector (AFD) and the Multivariate Adaptive Learning Detector (MALD) to produce automated signal detection catalogs and an analyst-produced catalog. Comparisons indicate that automatic detectors may be able to identify small amplitude, low SNR events that cannot be identified by analyst review. We document detector performance in terms of precision and recall, demonstrating that the AFD is more precise, but the MALD has higher recall. We use a synthetic dataset of signals embedded in pink noise in order to highlight shortcomings in assessing detection algorithms for low signal to noise ratio signals which are commonly of interest to the nuclear monitoring community. For comparisons utilizing the synthetic dataset, the AFD has higher recall while precision is equal for both detectors. These results indicate that both detectors perform well across a variety of background noise environments; however, both detectors fail to identify repetitive, short duration signals arriving from similar backazimuths. These failures represent specific scenarios that could be targeted for further detector development.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Economic Analysis of Changes in Hydropower Operations at the Flaming Gorge Dam and the Aspinall Unit Due to the Upper Colorado River Endangered Fish Recovery Program

This report was prepared by Argonne National Laboratory (Argonne) in support of an economic analysis of operational restrictions at the Flaming Gorge Dam (FG) and the Aspinall Unit conducted for the U.S. Department of Energy’s Western Area Power Administration (WAPA). WAPA markets electricity produced at hydroelectric facilities operated by the Bureau of Reclamation (Reclamation). The facilities known collectively as the Salt Lake City Area Integrated Projects (SLCA/IP) include dams equipped for power generation on the Colorado, Green, Gunnison, and Rio Grande Rivers and on Plateau Creek in the states of Arizona, Colorado, New Mexico, Utah, and Wyoming. This report presents detailed findings of an economic analysis of operational restrictions implemented at FG during water years (WYs) 2001 to 2016, and at the Aspinall Cascade during WYs 2013 to 2016. Staff members of Argonne’s Energy Systems Division prepared this document with assistance from staff members of WAPA’s Colorado River Storage Project (CRSP) Management Center and Reclamation, Upper Colorado Region.

13 HYDRO ENERGY↗

Financial Analysis of the 2020 Macroinvertebrate Production Flow Experiment at Glen Canyon Dam

This report was prepared by Argonne National Laboratory (Argonne) in support of a financial analysis of the Glen Canyon Dam (GCD) flow experiment that was intended to support downstream macroinvertebrate production that are a primary food supply for fishes in the Colorado River. Also known as “bug flow” experiments, these experimental water releases were conducted on the weekends and holidays from the beginnings of May 2020 through the end of August 2020. This analysis was funded by the Colorado River Storage Project (CRSP) Office of the U.S. Department of Energy’s Western Area Power Administration (WAPA). CRSP markets electricity produced by hydroelectric facilities collectively known as the Salt Lake City Area Integrated Projects including dams equipped for power generation on the Colorado, Green, Gunnison, and Rio Grande Rivers and on Plateau Creek in the states of Arizona, Colorado, New Mexico, Utah, and Wyoming. Staff members in Argonne’s Energy Systems Division prepared this technical memorandum with assistance from WAPA’s CRSP and Energy Marketing and Management Offices (EMMO).

13 HYDRO ENERGY↗

Financial Analysis of Experimental Releases Conducted at Glen Canyon Dam during Water Year 2021

This report was prepared by Argonne National Laboratory (Argonne) in support of a financial analysis of two Glen Canyon Dam (GCD) flow experiments that were conducted in Water Year 2021. The first experiment, called “spring disturbance flow”, was conducted from March 15 to 26, 2021. This disturbance flow experiment is designed to simulate a spring-timed runoff event so scientists can study its effects on the Colorado River ecosystem. The second experiment was a reduced and steady discharge from May 29 to June 4, 2021. This reduced steady flow experiment was conducted for the United States Geological Survey (USGS) to collect high-resolution aerial imagery over Grand Canyon National Park. This analysis was funded by the Colorado River Storage Project (CRSP) Office of the U.S. Department of Energy’s Western Area Power Administration (WAPA). CRSP markets electricity produced by hydroelectric facilities collectively known as the Salt Lake City Area Integrated Projects including dams equipped for power generation on the Colorado, Green, Gunnison, and Rio Grande Rivers and on Plateau Creek in the states of Arizona, Colorado, New Mexico, Utah, and Wyoming. Staff members in Argonne’s Energy Systems Division prepared this technical memorandum with assistance from WAPA’s CRSP and Energy Marketing and Management Offices (EMMO).

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

The Strange Case of Ground-Coupled Airwaves on Seismoacoustic Stations at Local to Near-Regional Scales

Here we investigate the application of ground-coupled airwaves observed by seismoacoustic stations at local to near-regional scales to detect signals of interest and determine back-azimuth information. Ground-coupled airwaves are created from incident pressure waves traveling through the atmosphere that couple to the earth and transmit as a seismic wave with retrograde elliptical motion. Previous studies at sub-local scales (<10 km from a source of interest) found the back-azimuth to the source could be accurately determined from seismoacoustic signals recorded by acoustic and 3-component seismic sensors spatially separated on the order of 10 to 150 m. The potential back-azimuth directions are estimated from the coherent signals between the acoustic and vertical seismic data, via a propagation-induced phase shift of the seismoacoustic signal. A unique solution is then informed by the particle motion of the 3-component seismic station, which was previously found to be less accurate than the seismoacoustic-sensor method. We investigate the applicability of this technique to greater source-receiver distances, from 50-100 km and up to 400 km, which contains pressure waves with tropospheric and stratospheric ray paths, respectively. Specifically, we analyze seismoacoustic sources with ground truth from rocket motor fuel elimination events at the Utah Test and Training Range (UTTR) as well as a 2020 rocket launch in Southern California. From these sources we observe evidence that while coherent signals can be seen from both sources on multiple seismoacoustic station pairs, the determined ground-coupled airwave back-azimuths are more complicated than results at more local scales. Our findings suggest more complex factors including incidence angle, coupling location, subsurface material, and atmospheric propagation effects need to be fully investigated before the ground-coupled airwave back-azimuth determination method can be applied or assessed at these further distances.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Retrospective Analysis of Backwater Habitat Availability Using Remote Sensing

Low-velocity channel-margin habitats serve as important nursery habitats for the endangered Colorado pikeminnow (Ptychocheilus lucius) in the middle Green River between Jensen and Ouray, Utah. These habitats, known as backwaters, are associated with emergent sandbars, and are shaped and reformed annually by peak flows. Our recent knowledge about backwater characteristics and dynamics that is summarized in the synthesis report (Grippo et al. 2015) was based on detailed annual survey data from a relatively small sample of backwaters that were collected from 2003 to 2014 and reach-wide evaluations of backwater surface area based on manual interpretation of aerial and satellite imagery. Methods that bridge the gap between the detailed surveys from a small number of backwaters and the reach-wide assessment of their surface area would enable an assessment of the availability of backwater habitats that meet the minimum depth requirements for suitable habitat for Colorado pikeminnow. In 2015 Argonne National Laboratory (Argonne) tested three regression models—linear, multiple, and partial least square (PLS) regression models—for estimating backwater depth using National Agriculture Imagery Program (NAIP) imagery collected in July 2006 that covered the Jensen-Ouray reach of the Green River (Hamada and LaGory 2016). The results suggested that a PLS regression model showed high correlation with the reference depth (R 2 = 0.69) and had the most unbiased and consistent estimate of backwater depth. The results also indicated that the PLS model would provide reasonable estimates of the amount of habitat providing a minimum suitable depth of 30 cm for young-of-the-year Colorado pikeminnow, even though absolute depth estimates may be uncertain for backwater areas deeper than approximately 40 cm. The study also provided insights regarding the amount and the selection of calibration and validation (cal-val) data needed for improving the accuracy of depth prediction.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Financial Analysis of the 2022 Macroinvertebrate Production Flow Experiment at Glen Canyon Dam

This report was prepared by Argonne National Laboratory (Argonne) in support of a financial analysis of the Glen Canyon Dam (GCD) flow experiment that was intended to support downstream macroinvertebrate production that are a primary food supply for fishes in the Colorado River. Also known as “bug flow” experiments, these experimental water releases were conducted on the weekends and holidays from the beginnings of May 2022 through the end of August 2022. This analysis was funded by and prepared for the Colorado River Storage Project (CRSP) Office of the U.S. Department of Energy’s Western Area Power Administration (WAPA). CRSP markets electricity produced by hydroelectric facilities collectively known as the Salt Lake City Area Integrated Projects including dams equipped for power generation on the Colorado, Green, Gunnison, and Rio Grande Rivers and on Plateau Creek in the states of Arizona, Colorado, New Mexico, Utah, and Wyoming. Staff members in Argonne’s Energy Systems and Infrastructure Analysis Division prepared this technical memorandum with assistance from WAPA’s CRSP and Energy Marketing and Management Offices (EMMO).

13 HYDRO ENERGY↗

RAPIDS2 SciDAC Institute: Rutgers Final Report (as of 06/21)

The Rutgers team transitioned to the University of Utah in 2021 and is continuing to be part of and to contribute to the RAPIDS2 SciDAC Institute. This final report is for the contributions of the Rutgers team to the project at Rutgers as of 06/21. The 01/22 annual report of the project is also included in this report to demonstrate the continued contributions and to put these contributions in the context of the overall project.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗