Subseasonal and interannual variations of tropical convection and the El Nino/Southern Oscillation
It was found that during the northern winter, fluctuation in tropical convection is dominated by eastware propagating cloud clusters from the Indian Ocean. Most of these clusters reach as far as the central Pacific. Longitude time sections of outgoing longwave radiation (OLR) anomaly along the equator show that there are about 3 to 4 such episodes each winter. Also, simultaneous OLR anomalies over the equatorial central Pacific (ECP) and the maritime continent (MC) are negatively correlated and their variations are dominated by a 40 to 60 day period, suggesting the presence of a standing wave phenomenon. Such combination of propagating and standing phenomena can be captured by the extended empirical orthogonal function (EEOF) analysis. The EEOF method combines the temporal as well as the spatial correlation information to produce eigenmodes which have space time dependence. A 5 day and a 10 day lag in addition to the simultaneous spatial correlation is used.