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At least 379 records · Page 21

Cardinality-Regularized Hawkes-Granger Model

We propose a new sparse Granger-causal learning framework for temporal event data. We focus on a specific class of point processes called the Hawkes process. We begin by pointing out that most of the existing sparse causal learning algorithms for the Hawkes process suffer from a singularity in maximum likelihood estimation. As a result, their sparse solutions can appear only as numerical artifacts. In this paper, we propose a mathematically well-defined sparse causal learning framework based on a cardinality-regularized Hawkes process, which remedies the pathological issues of existing approaches. We leverage the proposed algorithm for the task of instance-wise causal event analysis, where sparsity plays a critical role. We validate the proposed framework with two real use-cases, one from the power grid and the other from the cloud data center management domain.

Ide, Tsuyoshi↗

PyAMG: Algebraic Multigrid Solvers in Python

PyAMG is a Python package of algebraic multigrid (AMG) solvers and supporting tools for approximating the solution to large, sparse linear systems of algebraic equations, Ax = b, where A is an n × n sparse matrix. Sparse linear systems arise in a range of problems in science, from fluid flows to solid mechanics to data analysis. While the direct solvers available in SciPy’s sparse linear algebra package (scipy.sparse.linalg) are highly efficient, in many cases iterative methods are preferred due to overall complexity. However, the iterative methods in SciPy, such as CG and GMRES, often require an efficient preconditioner in order to achieve a lower complexity. Preconditioning is a powerful tool whereby the conditioning of the linear system and convergence rate of the iterative method are both dramatically improved. PyAMG constructs multigrid solvers for use as a preconditioner in this setting. A summary of multigrid and algebraic multigrid solvers can be found in Olson (2015a), in Olson (2015b), and in Falgout (2006); a detailed description can be found in Briggs et al. (2000) and Trottenberg et al. (2001).

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Stoichiometrically-informed symbolic regression for extracting chemical reaction mechanisms from data

A data-driven computational method is introduced to extract chemical reaction mechanisms from time series chemical concentration data. It is realized through the use of dynamic symbolic regression in which a sparse analytical form for a dynamical system is discoverable from the underlying data. We specifically develop the stoichiometrically-informed symbolic regression (SISR) method to address a standing challenge in complex chemical reaction networks: given a time-series dataset of concentrations of several components, what is the mechanism and the associated rate constants? SISR finds the optimal mechanism, kinetic equations and rate constants by combining differential optimization with a genetic optimization approach that searches a symbolic space of possible reaction mechanisms. Use of SISR in several paradigmatic examples spanning linear and nonlinear reaction schemes results in excellent agreement between true and predicted mechanisms, including when the method is applied to noisy data. The advantages of a stoichiometrically-informed approach such as SISR to address reaction discovery is illustrated through comparison with the use of generic state-of-the-art data-driven approaches.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

X-ray Computed Tomography Data of Dense Metallic Components

The data shared in here are X-ray computed tomography (XCT) scans of a hexagonal fuel nozzle in 3 sections with the Metrotom 800 system at the Manufacturing Demonstration Facility (MDF) at Oak Ridge National Laboratory. The data are used in the paper "Tomographic Sparse View Selection using the View Covariance Loss, by Lin et al. (doi:10.1109/TPAMI.2025.36000720), accepted to the international conference on computational imaging (ICCP 2025). Figures 4-7 in the paper describe the part/XCT scan. File name Descriptions: Bottom section: TCR- Single Channeled SRC L 2019-3-18 12-26-41.hdf5 Medium section: TCR- Single Channeled SRC M 2019-3-18 13-8-9.hdf5 Top section: TCR- Single Channeled SRC T 2019-3-18 13-45-39.hdf5 Each hdf5 file contains projection data, and all the relevant X-ray CT scan setting. The full list of included attributes: distance_unit: Units of all distances specified angle_unit : Units of the angles angles: Array of all angles used voxel_size_xy: Baseline recon (if any) has this voxel size in the in-plane direction voxel_size_z: Baseline recon (if any) has this voxel size in the cross-plane direction det_pixel_size_col: Size of the detector pixels in the column dimension det_pixel_size_row: Size of the detector pixels in the row dimension src_iso_dist: Source to iso-center distance iso_det_dist: Iso-center to detector distance det_angle: If the detector is rotated/tilted, this angle corresponds to that value det_row_offset: Center of rotation offset in the vertical direction det_col_offset: Center of rotation offset in the horizontal direction reconstruction: A baseline reconstruction stored as 3D array BHC params: Beam-hardening parameters - Van De Casteel Model - if it has been used to pre-process the projections We also provided a python script (hdf_io.py) that allows the user to read the relevant data from each hdf5 file.

Ziabari, Amir [Oak Ridge National Laboratory]↗

Physics-Informed Generative Adversarial Networks for Stochastic Differential Equations

We developed a new class of physics-informed generative adversarial networks (PI-GANs) to solve forward, inverse, and mixed stochastic problems in a unified manner based on a limited number of scattered measurements. Unlike standard GANs relying solely on data for training, here we encoded into the architecture of GANs the governing physical laws in the form of stochastic differential equations (SDEs) using automatic differentiation. In particular, we applied Wasserstein GANs with gradient penalty (WGAN-GP) for its enhanced stability compared to vanilla GANs. We first tested WGAN-GP in approximating Gaussian processes of different correlation lengths based on data realizations collected from simultaneous reads at sparsely placed sensors. We obtained good approximation of the generated stochastic processes to the target ones even if there is a mismatch between the input noise dimensionality and the effective dimensionality of the target stochastic processes. We also studied the overfitting issue for both the discriminator and the generator, and we found that overfitting occurs also in the generator in addition to the discriminator as previously reported. Subsequently, we considered the solution of elliptic SDEs requiring approximations of three stochastic processes, namely the solution, the forcing, and the diffusion coefficient. Here again, we assumed data collected from simultaneous reads at a limited number of sensors for the multiple stochastic processes. Furthermore, three generators were used for the PI-GANs: two of them were feed forward deep neural networks (DNNs), while the other one was the neural network induced by the SDE. For the case where we have one group of data, we employed one feed forward DNN as the discriminator, while for the case of multiple groups of data we employed multiple discriminators in PI-GANs. We solved forward, inverse, and mixed problems without changing the framework of PI-GANs, obtaining both the means and the standard deviations of the stochastic solution and the diffusion coefficient in good agreement with benchmarks. In this work, we have demonstrated the effectiveness of PI-GANs in solving SDEs for about 120 dimensions. In principle, PI-GANs could tackle very high dimensional problems given more sensor data with low-polynomial growth in computational cost.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Thermal scattering law for ice based on neutron time-of-flight experiments carried out at the SEQUOIA spectrometer at the Oak Ridge National Laboratory

Precise estimation of neutron thermalization in moderators relies on high-fidelity thermal scattering cross-section data governed by the thermal scattering law (TSL). The Institut de Radioprotection et de Sûreté Nucléaire (IRSN) has been working on the development of improved TSL for light water ice. Many polymorphic phases of light water ice exist depending on the thermodynamic conditions. The most common type of ice at standard pressure and temperature below water freezing point (273.15 K) is ice-Ih. It is essential to have high-resolution experimental double differential data for developing and/or validating TSL for moderator materials.Existing experimental double-differential scattering data for ice-Ih are extremely sparse and of limited quality. New high-quality double-differential measurements for ice-Ih over multiple temperatures and incident neutron energies would directly support the validation and improvement of ice-Ih TSL models for criticality safety applications.Series of time-of-flight (TOF) inelastic neutron scattering experiments on ice-Ih at temperatures starting at 271 K and down to 6 K, have been carried out at the SEQUOIA spectrometer at the Spallation Neutron Source (SNS) at the Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL), United States. The experiments have been performed for incident neutron energies, Ei= 11, 55, 160, 250, and 600 meV, to explore different excitation energies in the vibrational phonon spectrum. This paper presents the thermodynamic conditions and the details of the TOF measurements on ice-Ih and the derived phonon spectrum from the experimentally measured double differential data. A study of the variation of the phonon spectrum of ice-Ih as a function of temperature is highlighted, and a preliminary TSL evaluation is developed based on the experimental phonon spectrum.

Jaiswal, V↗

Latent Twins

Over the past decade, scientific machine learning has transformed the development of mathematical and computational frameworks for analyzing, modeling, and predicting complex systems. From inverse problems to numerical partial differential equations (PDEs), dynamical systems, and model reduction, these advances have pushed the boundaries of what can be simulated. Yet they have often progressed in parallel, with representation learning and algorithmic solution methods evolving largely as separate pipelines. With Latent Twins, we propose a unifying mathematical framework that creates a hidden surrogate in latent space for the underlying equations. Whereas digital twins mirror physical systems in the digital world, Latent Twins mirror mathematical systems in a learned latent space governed by operators. Through this lens, classical modeling, inversion, model reduction, and operator approximation all emerge as special cases of a single principle. We establish the fundamental approximation properties of Latent Twins for both ordinary differential equations (ODEs) and PDEs and demonstrate the framework across three representative settings: (i) canonical ODEs, capturing diverse dynamical regimes; (ii) a PDE benchmark using the shallow-water equations, contrasting Latent Twin simulations with deep operator network and forecasts with a four-dimensional variational method baseline; and (iii) a challenging real-data geopotential reanalysis dataset, reconstructing and forecasting from sparse, noisy observations. Latent Twins provide a compact, interpretable surrogate for solution operators that evaluate across arbitrary time gaps in a single-shot, while remaining compatible with scientific pipelines such as assimilation, control, and uncertainty quantification. Looking forward, this framework offers scalable, theory-grounded surrogates that bridge data-driven representation learning and classical scientific modeling across disciplines.

Latent Twins↗

Improved microgrid resiliency through distributionally robust optimization under a policy-mode framework

Critical energy infrastructure are constantly under stress due to the ever increasing disruptions caused by wildfires, hurricanes, other weather related extreme events and cyber-attacks. Hence it becomes important to make critical infrastructure resilient to threats from such cyber-physical events. However, such events are hard to predict and numerous in nature and type and it becomes infeasible to make a system resilient to every possible such cyber-physical event. Such an approach can make the system operation overly conservative and impractical to operate. Furthermore, distributions of such events are hard to predict and historical data available on such events can be very sparse, making the problem even harder to solve. To deal with these issues, in this paper we present a policy-mode framework that enumerates and predicts the probability of various cyber-physical events and then a distributionally robust optimization (DRO) formulation that is robust to the sparsity of the available historical data. The proposed algorithm is illustrated on an islanded microgrid example: a modified IEEE 123-node feeder with distributed energy resources (DERs) and energy storage. Simulations are carried to validate the resiliency metrics under the sampled disruption events.

Nazir, Mohammad Nawaf↗

Knowledge-guided graph machine learning for spatially distributed prediction of daily discharge and nitrogen export dynamics

Spatially distributed prediction of streamflow and nitrogen export dynamics is essential for precision management of agricultural watersheds. While temporal deep learning models such as Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) have shown strong performance at basin scales, their ability to generalize spatially is limited by insufficient representation of spatial dependencies and flow paths, particularly under data-scarce conditions. To address this gap, we propose HydroGraphNet, a knowledge-guided graph machine learning framework that integrates process-based knowledge and explicit spatial learning into temporal modeling. This framework incorporates directed graph topology to encode watershed connectivity and upstream inflows, with mass balance constraints to improve physical consistency. To enhance generalization in sparsely monitored regions, HydroGraphNet is pretrained on synthetic data generated by the SWAT+ (Soil and Water Assessment Tool Plus) model. We evaluated HydroGraphNet in the Upper Sangamon River Basin (44 HUC-12 subwatersheds, 2001–2020) against two LSTM baselines: a lumped basin-level model and a distributed variant. When benchmarked on SWAT+ simulations in pretraining, HydroGraphNet improved test NSEs by 8.9% (discharge) and 13.7% (NO₃–N load) in temporal extrapolation, and by 27.1% and 34.7% in spatial extrapolation, relative to the Lumped LSTM baseline. After fine-tuning with USGS monitoring data, the model achieved mean test NSE (KGE) scores of 0.768 (0.861) for discharge and 0.626 (0.664) for NO₃–N load, substantially outperforming baselines. Attribution analysis further highlighted the importance of upstream inflow representation and graph-based spatial learning in capturing cross-subwatershed dependencies. The model also reproduced seasonal hydrological and biogeochemical patterns consistent with known processes, demonstrating its robustness and process fidelity for spatially distributed prediction. Altogether, HydroGraphNet advances the integration of physical knowledge and spatially explicit learning in hydrological modeling, offering a generalizable framework for distributed modeling to support spatially targeted water quality management in data-scarce watersheds.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

A-SST Initial Specification

The U.S. Army Research Office (ARO), in partnership with IARPA, are investigating innovative, efficient, and scalable computer architectures that are capable of executing next-generation large scale data-analytic applications. These applications are increasingly sparse, unstructured, non-local, and heterogeneous. Under the Advanced Graphic Intelligence Logical computing Environment (AGILE) program, Performer teams will be asked to design computer architectures to meet the future needs of the DoD and the Intelligence Community (IC). This design effort will require flexible, scalable, and detailed simulation to assess the performance, efficiency, and validity of their designs. To support AGILE, Sandia National Labs will be providing the AGILE-enhanced Structural Simulation Toolkit (A-SST). This toolkit is a computer architecture simulation framework designed to support fast, parallel, and multi-scale simulation of novel architectures. This document describes the A-SST framework, some of its library of simulation models, and how it may be used by AGILE Performers.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Early Inference of Nuclear Technology-Directed Research Activities of Authors from Scientific Publications

Nuclear research articles can provide information about early nuclear proliferation indicators such as influential research entities and technology capability levels of a country, but detection of nuclear activities typically occurs after they have started. We investigate the extent to which nuclear research articles can be used to infer whether a research entity will acquire or develop a nuclear technology before it happens. Early detection of nuclear proliferation or technology development indicators from data is challenging due to partial observability, sparse and unlabeled information, and confounding signals from multiple concurrent activities. This paper presents the early detection problem as a sequential decision-making, goal inference problem, where the objective is to characterize and predict an individual’s, organization’s, or a country’s intent (unobserved goal-directed behavior) towards developing a nuclear capability from partially observed sequences of their research publications, using inverse reinforcement learning and Bayesian goal inference methods. A computational framework is presented, and its application demonstrated using 29,196 Scopus records for a case study related to a civil nuclear capability. The case study results serve as a proof-of-concept demonstration for inference of technology-directed research activity of authors who publish in the nuclear domain. The inference method, combined with advanced computing, may be used to assess and monitor activities pertaining to early developmental stages of a nuclear technology or capability, which in turn can help to identify and prioritize activities with nuclear proliferation potential for further investigation.

98 NUCLEAR DISARMAMENT, SAFEGUARDS, AND PHYSICAL P↗

On the Recoverability of Reactor Dynamics from Point Kinetics Data using SINDYc

Data driven models for reactor dynamics tend to face a few notable challenges. First, the broad range of timescales present across the various feedback mechanisms. Next, high standards for safety and importance of model performance in all operational domains. Finally, the correlations between state variables observed in most transients leads to difficulties when methods attempt to attribute certain dynamic phenomena to a particular cause. The current paper seeks to support efforts towards incorporating physics knowledge into one particular data-driven method for finding reactor dynamics called ``Sparse Identification of Nonlinear Dynamics with Control (SINDYc). The incorporation of physical knowledge into SINDYc will help address the challenges listed above by giving the model an initial understanding of the system being modeled. The demonstration of an exact representation of a set of point reactor dynamics equations in SINDYc is provided. Then, this allows for further discussion with mathematical justification as to why SINDYc, and other data-driven methods, may be difficult to apply to nuclear reactor dynamics due to correlations in the state variables. A particularly useful result of this work is the set of candidate functions required in SINDYc to exactly represent the reactor dynamics under a point approximation. In the future, SINDYc can be integrated with point models for reactor dynamics before being applied to the physical system to yield higher accuracy.

22 - GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Interior soft x-ray tomography with sparse global sampling

To investigate the feasibility of interior imaging reconstruction in soft X-ray tomography for higher-resolution cellular imaging, including whole-cell imaging, we develop an alignment and reconstruction algorithm that combines a small number of sparse whole-cell images with a high-resolution local interior scan. Based on numerical simulations, we demonstrate that combined reconstructions mitigate the depth-of-field limitation in high-resolution scans, enable radiation dose optimization, and yield quantitative X-ray absorption values with sparse sampling. We further validate our numerical approach using experimental data from two different cell types and show that the combined reconstruction reliably provides high spatial resolution within an interior region of interest of a whole cell. The resulting sparse reconstruction framework offers robust, faithful visualization of cellular organelles in soft X-ray tomography. This mesoscale imaging strategy allows one to ‘scout’ and zoom into selected subcellular volumes of interest, enabling increased spatial resolution without sacrificing larger-volume imaging and providing information on the relative positions of all organelles within a cell.

3D imaging↗

mystic : software for autonomous discovery and design under uncertainty

Throughout the diverse range of science and engineering applications, there is a growing desire to develop computational methods that can reliably predict the behavior of complex systems. Specifically, there is a strategic need for tools that can robustly forecast the behavior of complex physical systems, where data may be high-dimensional, noisy, or sparse, and models of the system may be time-dependent or include uncertainty. We use mystic to build tools that leverage statistical learning, physics-informed learning, and active learning in the efficient generation of reliably predictive surrogates for complex physical systems. mystic is a robust, proven, open-source optimization and uncertainty quantification toolkit with over a decade of use in the design and optimization of neutron instrumentation, solar-powered drones, and gasguns, and in iterative tuning of models for Raman spectroscopy and elastoplastic materials strength. Recent developments have focused on automated learning of statistically robust surrogates under uncertainty, with applications in materials in extreme environments, nanostructures, materials simulations and strength models, and the failure of shielding under particle radiation. In 2020, McKerns demonstrated active learning of optimally robust surrogates with respect to new simulated data for molecular dynamics simulations of materials mixing in warm dense matter, and is currently applying active learning to the automated steering of particle accelerator beams and the optimal design and control of quantum optical sensor instrumentation.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Applying Waveform Correlation to Reduce Seismic Analyst Workload Due to Repeating Mining Blasts

Agencies that monitor for underground nuclear tests are interested in techniques that automatically characterize mining blasts to reduce the human analyst effort required to produce high–quality event bulletins. Waveform correlation is effective in finding similar waveforms from repeating seismic events, including mining blasts. We report the results of an experiment to detect and identify mining blasts for two regions, Wyoming (U.S.A.) and Scandinavia, using waveform templates recorded by multiple International Monitoring System stations of the Preparatory Commission for the Comprehensive Nuclear–Test–Ban Treaty Organization (CTBTO PrepCom) for up to 10 yr prior to the time of interest. We discuss approaches for template selection, threshold setting, and event detection that are specialized for characterizing mining blasts using a sparse, global network. We apply the approaches to one week of data for each of the two regions to evaluate the potential for establishing a set of standards for waveform correlation processing of mining blasts that can be generally applied to operational monitoring systems with a sparse network. Here, we compare candidate events detected with our processing methods to the Reviewed Event Bulletin of the International Data Centre to assess potential reduction in analyst workload.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

FY24 Task 4: Studies of Phosphate and Fluoride Solubility for Dissolution of High Phosphate Tank Waste

Knowledge gaps have been identified in phosphate solubility in almost every single- and multi-component system, and particularly for aluminate in phosphate/hydroxide, where uncertainties in predicted values of aluminum solubility are greater than 50%. Solubility data of multicomponent, aqueous electrolytes containing sodium hydroxide, sodium fluoride, sodium phosphate, sodium nitrite, sodium nitrate, and dissolved gibbsite are also sparse. For example, for solutions of (i) sodium nitrate and sodium phosphate, data are only available at 30 and 50 °C, and for (ii) dissolved gibbsite in sodium hydroxide and sodium phosphate, only two data points are available at 20 and 40 °C. There is no data available on mixtures of sodium hydroxide, sodium phosphate, sodium fluoride, and dissolved gibbsite. These knowledge gaps were identified in a technical review of waste solubility data and the impact of dilution on solution stabilities and will be addressed in this work to predict aluminum hydroxide and sodium phosphate solubility in multicomponent electrolytes upon dilution, and upon variation of temperature. Results will provide the technical basis to develop accurate models for (i) gibbsite solubility and mass transfer of aluminum between solid and liquid forms following the sluicing of sludge and saltcake with water; and (ii) further blending of these suspensions with bismuth from bismuth phosphate waste, and zirconium and uranium left from the fuel decladding. This work will be essential to developing a disposition path for retrieval solutions from bismuth phosphate wastes. This effort would also support sludge washing to further reduce phosphate concentration if that process were to be added back to the flowsheet in the future.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

The Geography of Employment Outcomes for Radiation Oncology Graduates in 2019

The geographic distribution of practicing radiation oncologists is of concern for multiple stakeholders within the field. Employment outcomes of graduating residents can affect that distribution, and they are of major concern to current residents. Data investigating employment outcomes of recent graduates are sparse. We aimed to analyze the employment outcomes of the radiation oncology residency class of 2019.

62 RADIOLOGY AND NUCLEAR MEDICINE↗