Performance of a quantitative jet stream turbulence forecasting technique - The Specific CAT Risk (SCATR) index
The SCATR index is showing considerable promise as a tool for operational, nonconvective, high altitude turbulence forecasting. The results of nine case studies are summarized. Attention is then focused on one of these cases for which the data base is most complete. In light of these case studies, the strengths and weaknesses of the current formulation and suggested improvements are discussed. The SCATR index has applications both as a diagnostic tool and in operational forecasting.