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At least 379 records · Page 21

New Release Products: Combining the Relativistic Electron Alert System for Exploration With Other Early Indicators of Solar Energetic Particle Events

The Relativistic Electron Alert System for Exploration (“REleASE”) exploits the prompt arrival of near-relativistic electrons in the Earth/moon system to rapidly warn human explorers of the imminent arrival of hazardous energetic ions from solar energetic particle (SEP) events. Since 2008, the REleASE system has been implemented in near-real-time, initially with electron observations from SOHO, and since 2017 with additional observations from ACE as “HESPERIA REleASE”: upcoming opportunities will utilize IMAP and SWFO observations. REleASE is undergoing performance validation as part of the NASA/CCMC SEP scoreboarding process (https://ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/scoreboards/sep/). The ongoing return of STEREO-A to the vicinity of Earth provides observations of radio waves in near-real-time and allows REleASE to be combined with the identification of type-III radio bursts, which provide additional evidence of particle escape from the Sun (the use of type-III bursts for SEP forecasting was pioneered by “ESPERTA” developed by Laurenza et al., 2009). The aim of this planned “REleASE+” system is to further reduce the rate of false alarms. Another opportunity, facilitated by the CLEAR space weather center (PI L. Zhao, Univ. Michigan) will combine REleASE with “SEPSTER” (Richardson et al., 2018) to reduce the high rate of false alarms produced by SEPSTER, which is triggered by reports of CMEs, the vast majority of which do not result in detected SEP ion events. This presentation will give a status update on these objectives.

solar particle events↗

Studies of images of short-lived events using ERTS data

The author has identified the following significant results. Detection of short-lived events has continued. Forest fires, oil spills, vegetation damage, volcanoes, storm ridges, earthquakes, and floods have been detected and analyzed.

Deutschman, W. A.↗

Analysis of a Decision-Directed Receiver with Unknown Priors

A decision-directed receiver (DDR) uses previous outputs (decisions) to estimate unknown parameters and, on the basis of these estimates, modifies the detector structure for subsequent decisions. Although the DDR is less complex to instrument than other adaptive schemes, inherent in the decision-directed approach is the possibility of a runaway. This occurs when the detector commits a sequence of decision errors resulting in a degradation of parameter estimates, which, in turn, results in a further deterioration of detector performance. Because of the dependencies introduced by the learning process, runaway is difficult to analyze. In this paper, a DDR with unknown a priori probabilities is considered. The priors are estimated by the relative frequency of decisions of that event. For binary detection, it is shown that there is a positive probability of a runaway (the estimates converge to 1 or 0), which equals 1 if the signal-to-noise ratio is below a critical value. A tight bound on the probability of a runaway is obtained by approximating the learning process by a random walk with independent increments. The analysis demonstrates that a runaway is quite improbable even for moderate signal-to-noise ratios. The analysis is extended to multiple signals and to the situation where the estimates of the priors are updated continuously through exponential weighting rather than allowed to converge.

Davisson, Lee D.↗

Detection of lack of fusion using opaque additives, phase 1

Two major problems in welded aluminum spacecraft structure, reliable nondestructive inspection for incomplete weldment penetration and the rapid oxidation of aluminum surfaces left exposed to the atmosphere are investigated. The approach employed to solve both problems was to employ copper as a coating to prevent oxidation of the aluminum and as an opaque additive in the weldment to enhance X-ray detection in the event of incomplete penetration. Both plasma spray and vacuum vapor deposition techniques were evaluated for depositing the copper. A series of welded panels was made using three thicknesses of vacuum-vapor-deposited copper. All weldments were nondestructively inspected by X-ray, then excised into tensile and bend specimens. Mechanical tests were conducted and all data evaluated. It was determined that the vacuum-vapor-deposited coating was superior to a plasma sprayed coating of the same thickness. The vacuum-vapor-deposited coating was more uniform in thickness, provided complete coverage of the aluminum, and was free of cracks and porosity.

Cook, J. L.↗

Detection of lack of fusion using opaque additives

Reliable nondestructive inspection for incomplete weldment penetration and rapid oxidation of aluminum surfaces when exposed to the atmosphere are currently two major problems in welded aluminum spacecraft structure. Incomplete-penetration defects are extremely difficult to detect and can lead to catastrophic failure of the structure. The moisture absorbed by aluminum oxide on the surface can cause weldment porosity if the surface is not cleaned before welding. The approach employed in this program to solve both problems was to employ copper as a coating to prevent oxidation of the aluminum. Also, copper was used as an opaque additive in the weldment to enhance X-ray detection in the event of incomplete penetration.

Cook, J. L.↗

Vegetation mapping from ERTS imagery of the Okavango Delta

The Okavango is Botswana's major water resource. The present study has been specifically directed at mapping vegetation types within the delta and generally concerned with finding what information of value to plant and animal ecologists could be extracted from the imagery. To date it has been found that. (1) It is possible to map broad vegetation types from the imagery. (2) Imagery of the delta records the state of the system in a manner which will facilitate long-term studies of plant succession. (3) Phenological events can be detected. (4) The imagery can be used to detect and map wild fires. This will be useful in determining the role of fire in the ecology of the region. Using the imagery it is thus possible to map existing vegetation and monitor both short and long-term changes.

Willamson, D. T.↗

Lunar seismicity, structure, and tectonics

Natural seismic events have been detected by the long-period seismometers at Apollo stations 16, 14, 15, and 12 at annual rates of 3300, 1700, 800, and 700, respectively, with peak activity at 13- to 14-day intervals. The data are used to describe magnitudes, source characteristics, and periodic features of lunar seismicity. In a present model, the rigid lithosphere overlies an asthenosphere of reduced rigidity in which present-day partial melting is probable. Tidal deformation presumably leads to critical stress concentrations at the base of the lithosphere, where moonquakes are found to occur. The striking tidal periodicities in the pattern of moonquake occurrence and energy release suggest that tidal energy is the dominant source of energy released as moonquakes. Thus, tidal energy is dissipated by moonquakes in the lithosphere and probably by inelastic processes in the asthenosphere.

Lammlein, D. R.↗

Helios-2 Vela-Ariel-5 gamma-ray burst source position

The gamma-ray burst of 28 January 1976, one of 18 events thus far detected in interplanetary space with Helios-2, was also observed with the Vela-5A, -6A and the Ariel-5 satellites. A small source field is obtained from the intersection of the region derived from the observed time delays between Helios-2 and Vela-5A and -6A with the source region independently found with the Ariel-5 X-ray detector. This area contains neither any steady X-ray source as scanned by HEAO-A nor any previously catalogued X-ray, radio or infrared sources, X-ray transients, quasars, seyferts, globular clusters, flare stars, pulsars, white dwarfs or high energy gamma-ray sources. The region is however, within the source field of a gamma-ray transient observed in 1974, which exhibited nuclear gamma-ray line structure.

Cline, T. L.↗

Helios 2-Vela-Ariel 5 gamma-ray burst source position

The gamma-ray burst of January 28, 1976, one of 18 events thus far detected in interplanetary space with Helios 2, was also observed with the Vela 5A and 6A and the Ariel 5 satellites. A small source field is obtained from the intersection of the region derived from the observed time delays between Helios 2 and Vela 5A and 6A, with the source region independently found with the Ariel 5 X-ray detector. This area contains neither any steady X-ray source as scanned by HEAO 1 nor any previously cataloged X-ray, radio, or infrared sources, X-ray transients, quasars, Seyferts, globular clusters, flare stars, pulsars, white dwarfs, or high enery gamma-ray sources. The region is, however, within the source field of a gamma-ray transient observed in 1974 by Jacobson et al. (1978) which exhibited nuclear gamma-ray line structure.

Cline, T. L.↗

Rapid variability, dying pulse trains and black holes

After reviewing the general model and arguments by which rapid temporal variability and quasi-periodicities are considered indicative of a compact source's possible black hole character, the paper presents a scenario for 'dying pulse trains'. These originate inside the inner edge of accretion disks encircling black holes from accreting flares or other self-luminous entities executing their final few revolutions before reaching the event horizon. Confirmed detection of such phenomena with time scales in the range 0.01 (M/solar mass) to 0.5 (M/solar mass)ms, where M is the mass of the compact source, would provide much better support for its black hole candidacy. Variability on time-scales larger than this by itself places few constraints on the nature of the compact object.

Stoeger, W. R.↗

Infrared Astronomical Satellite /IRAS/ Scientific Data Analysis System

The Infrared Astronomical Satellite (IRAS), to be launched in 1982, is discussed. It will systematically survey the entire sky over a large percentage of the infrared spectrum, in the wavelength region of 8 to 120 microns, at sensitivities a hundred times greater than previously achieved from high-altitude observatories, aircraft, balloons or sounding rockets. The Scientific Data Analysis System (SDAS), an off-line data processing facility, is examined. Its primary function is to produce a catalog of inertially fixed infrared-emitting point sources (mainly stars and galaxies) observed during the IRAS survey. Details for source detection and confirmation are given. It is estimated that the catalog will contain approximately a million objects having a brightness of 10 amtowatts per square centimeter or greater; 125,000 SDAS detections, if spurious events of signal-to-noise ratios greater than 2.5 are included, will be made every day.

Duxbury, J. H.↗

Preliminary evaluation of spectral, normal and meteorological crop stage estimation approaches

Several of the projects in the AgRISTARS program require crop phenology information, including classification, acreage and yield estimation, and detection of episodal events. This study evaluates several crop calendar estimation techniques for their potential use in the program. The techniques, although generic in approach, were developed and tested on spring wheat data collected in 1978. There are three basic approaches to crop stage estimation: historical averages for an area (normal crop calendars), agrometeorological modeling of known crop-weather relationships agrometeorological (agromet) crop calendars, and interpretation of spectral signatures (spectral crop calendars). In all, 10 combinations of planting and biostage estimation models were evaluated. Dates of stage occurrence are estimated with biases between -4 and +4 days while root mean square errors range from 10 to 15 days. Results are inconclusive as to the superiority of any of the models and further evaluation of the models with the 1979 data set is recommended.

Cate, R. B.↗

X-ray and optical observations of the November 19, 1978 gamma-ray burst source region

The Nov. 19, 1978 gamma-ray burst (GRB) has a very well determined error box, 10 square arcmin (Cline et al., 1981). An 8000-sec IPC exposure with the Einstein Observatory detected, at a 3.4-sigma level, one low intensity (less than 3 x 10 to the -13th erg/sq cm per sec) X-ray source inside the error box. The probability of a serendipitous detection was 0.01. Inside the X-ray source error box there are two weak radio sources, one of them highly polarized (Hjellming and Ewald, 1981), and two 20-magnitude objects, not coincident with the radio sources visible in the ESO/SRC J and R plates. With the exception of N49, this is the first possible detection of X-ray emission inside a GRB box. Its low intensity justifies, in fact, the lack of detection for other events.

Pizzichini, G.↗

A study of the temporal and spectral characteristics of gamma ray bursts

Gamma-ray burst data obtained from the ISEE-3 Gamma Ray Burst Spectrometer and the Solar Maximum Mission's Hard X-ray Burst Spectrometer (HXRBS) were analyzed to yield information on burst temporal and spectral characteristics. A Monte Carlo approach was used to simulate the HXRBS response to candidate spectral models. At energies above about 100 keV, the spectra are well fit by exponential forms. At lower energies, 30 keV to 60 keV, depressions below the model continua are apparent in some bursts. The depressions are not instrumental or data-reduction artifacts. The event selection criterion of the ISEE-3 experiment is based on the time to accumulate a present number of photons rather than the photon count per unit time and is consequently independent of event duration for a given burst intensity, unlike most conventional systems. As a result, a significantly greater percentage of fast, narrow events have been detected. The ratio of count rates from two ISEE-3 detectors indicates that bursts with durations or approx. one second have much softer spectra than longer bursts.

Norris, J.↗

Low-frequency waves and associated energetic ions downstram of Saturn

Examples of highly coherent, low-frequency waves that were observed by Voyager 2 in the IMF during several months following the Saturn encounter in 1981 are presented. It is shown that the detection of these events was due to a favorably oriented IMF. These events are discussed in terms of correlated ion and magnetic field data, and the evolution of their properties with incresing distance from Saturn is addressed. The spectral and eigenfunction characteristics of the observed waves are shown, and the mode of the waves and their possible excitation mechanisms are considered, including an instability analysis. The results are compared with those obtained in the foreshock regions of other planets, especially the earth.

Behannon, K. W.↗

An IUE survey of activity in red giants and supergiants

Chromospheric and transition region line activity is examined in apparently single red giants and supergiants using the IUE archives. Low-resolution, large-aperture spectra (mostly short-wavelength) were used to search for variations of emission-line fluxes in time. A series of automatic processing procedures were implemented in order to uniformly calibrate a large number of spectra, fit continua to each of them, determine the fluxes of as many as 18 emission lines, and compare them at different epochs. A method is offered to compute the overall error in the integrated flux, a critical measure of activity, independent of the observing and processing details. This processing was applied to above 120 images of 26 stars taken over a period of 7 yr (1978-1984). Four stars showed UV emission-line flux variations. Alpha Aqr, Beta Peg, and Sigma Oph showed a single enhanced-emission event in all detectable emission lines. Gamma Aql exhibited an increase in the flux level of the O I (1641 A) line in mid-1981 with no comparable change in any other lines. These four stars lie in a region of the H-R diagram in which time-dependent circumstellar absorption lines appear.

Oznovich, I.↗

Solar flare nuclear gamma-rays and interplanetary proton events

Gamma-ray line (GRL) and solar energetic proton (SEP) events observed from February 1980 through January 1985 are compared in order to substantiate and better characterize the lack of correlation between GRL fluences and SEP event peak fluxes. The scatter plot of SEP event peak flux vs. GRL fluence is presented, and the ratio of 'solar' to 'interplanetary', about 10 MeV protons, is presented. It is shown that, while even large SEP events can originate in flares lacking detectable GRL emission, the converse case of flares with a significant GRL line fluence by lacking protons in space is rare. The ratio R of the number of about 10 MeV protons that produce GRL emission at the flare site to the number of about 10 MeV protons detected in space can vary from event to event by four orders of magnitude. There is a clear tendency for impulsive flares to have larger values of R than long-duration flares, where the flare time scale is given by the e-folding decay time of the associated soft X-ray emission.

Cliver, E. W.↗