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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 379 records · Page 21
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2025

CFD modeling of near-wall combustion and unburned methane prediction in natural gas spark ignition engines

Natural gas-powered engines play a critical role in gas drilling, compression, and transmission sectors, but methane (CH 4 ) from engine combustion slip can be significant over their lifespan, contributing to atmospheric pollution and signaling reduced engine efficiency. Here, to address this challenge, computational fluid dynamics (CFD) simulations offer valuable insights into the in-cylinder combustion process, enabling the optimization of combustion strategies and engine designs to minimize unburned CH 4 slip. This study aims to evaluate and improve combustion models for simulating the combustion process and predicting unburned CH 4 concentrations in natural gas spark-ignition (SI) engines, including engines that are part of combined reformer-engine systems. Specifically, the performance of two flamelet-based combustion models—the Extended Coherent Flame Model (ECFM) and the G-equation model—was assessed using experimental engine data collected under varying excess-air ratio (λ) conditions and fuel compositions, including natural gas and syngas blends. In addition, to enhance the predictive capabilities of the G-equation model, a flame-wall interaction (FWI) sub-model was integrated into its framework. The effects of its model parameters, such as quenching and influence distance, on combustion behavior and unburned methane predictions were analyzed in detail. The ECFM tended to predict delayed combustion phasing under diluted mixture conditions, resulting in overprediction of unburned CH 4 concentrations. In contrast, the G-equation model provided reasonable predictions of combustion pressure, while representing higher the CH 4 reduction rate across the operating condition compared to experimental data. Incorporating the FWI sub-model—with the quenching distance calculated based on a pressure-dependent relation (P -0.48 ) and a fixed influence distance of 1.5 mm—further improved the G-equation model’s accuracy in predicting CH 4 reduction rates without compromising its ability to simulate the combustion process.

Combustion model↗
DOE OSTI2026

Path integral molecular dynamics: A high-fidelity approach to quantum dynamics of electrons

We investigate electron transport in the uniform electron gas using ring-polymer molecular dynamics (RPMD). Working in the weakly coupled, non-degenerate regime, we use RPMD to probe how the onset of quantum diffraction effects at high temperature reshapes electron–electron collisions and leads to a classical-to-quantum crossover in macroscopic transport properties. Static thermodynamics obtained with RPMD are consistent with the weak-coupling equation of state, confirming correct quantum Boltzmann sampling. Real-time transport extracted from mean square displacements exhibits the expected ballistic-to-diffusive transition and a systematic reduction of the electronic self-diffusivity as quantum effects strengthen, due to quantum diffraction modifying electron–electron collisions. Direct ring-polymer scattering simulations reveal diffractive “softening” of binary deflections, providing a micro-to-macro link between collision physics and diffusion. The present study establishes RPMD as a quantitative, trajectory-based tool for electron transport across the classical–quantum crossover and furnishes benchmarks for improving Coulomb-log interpolation models. We outline extensions to multi-component plasmas and a path to incorporate Fermi–Dirac statistics within path-integral dynamics.

Electronic transport↗
DOE OSTI2022

Potassium carbonate decomposition modeling within rotating detonation engines for direct power extraction applications

We report that recently, there has been a significant interest in detonation-based combustion systems, such as rotating detonation engines (RDE), due to potential performance advantages in propulsion and energy applications. This includes improvements in thermodynamic efficiency, inherently high gas velocities, and the possibility of achieving an increase in total pressure (i.e. pressure gain) through the combustion process. Due to approximating a constant volume combustion process, these devices also tend to exhibit extremely high local gas temperatures relative to a comparable constant pressure combustor. These advantages overlap well with desirable performance characteristics of direct power extraction (DPE) technologies, such as a magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) generator. Typically, in DPE systems hot combustion products are seeded with an easily ionizable material such as potassium carbonate (K 2 CO 3 ) in order to boost the electrical conductivity. However, due to the short gas residence times within an RDE, it was unclear whether forming an electrically conductive combustion plasma would be feasible for integration with a downstream MHD generator. A model is presented which describes the heating, decomposition, and ionization of solid K 2 CO 3 particles and aqueous solutions of K 2 CO 3 in water, for a given initial particle diameter. This model was combined with available computational fluid dynamics (CFD) data for an oxygen-methane RDE in a one-way coupled Eulerian-Lagrangian framework to predict particle trajectories and the corresponding heating, decomposition, and ionization histories. Electrical conductivities were computed using a previously developed model, and a method was proposed to determine an equivalent average electrical conductivity. Results show that particle sizes below ~30 µm are able to fully decompose before reaching the exit of the RDE. While the one-way coupled nature of the simulations precluded rigorous evaluation of the effects of seed material on detonability, a substantial temperature reduction is expected at the detonation wave front due to heating and decomposition. A preliminary comparison is presented between the RDE and an equivalent constant pressure adiabatic combustor, showing a potential performance advantage for the RDE.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2022

Implementing contact angle boundary conditions for second-order Phase-Field models of wall-bounded multiphase flows

In the present work, a general formulation is proposed to implement the contact angle boundary conditions for the second-order Phase-Field models, which is applicable to N-phase (N ≥ 2) moving contact line problems. To remedy the issue of mass change due to the contact angle boundary condition, a source term or Lagrange multiplier is added to the original second-order Phase-Field models, which is determined by the consistent and conservative volume distribution algorithm so that the summation of the order parameters and the consistency of reduction are not influenced. To physically couple the proposed formulation to the hydrodynamics, especially for large-density-ratio problems, the consistent formulation is employed. The reduction-consistent conservative Allen-Cahn models are chosen as examples to illustrate the application of the proposed formulation. The numerical scheme that preserves the consistency and conservation of the proposed formulation is employed to demonstrate its effectiveness. Results produced by the proposed formulation are in good agreement with the exact and/or asymptotic solutions. The proposed method captures complex dynamics of moving contact line problems having large density ratios.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2020

Microbial potentiometric sensor: A new approach to longstanding challenges

The underlying hypothesis of this study is that simple potentiometric measurements between sensing electrodes and a shared reference electrode - Microbial Potentiometric Sesnor (MPS) system - can be employed in a long-term, continuous mode of operation to resolve the spatial and temporal changes in environmental systems. To address the hypothesis, (1) a conceptual description of the MPS system and its postulated principle of operation are provided; (2) the MPS system performance is documented under controlled laboratory conditions; and (3) the capabilities of the MPS system are documented under quiescent and dynamic field condition. In a laboratory setting, the variability among different MPS signals was insignificant confirming the postulated high accuracy and reproducibility of the sensor performance. It also demonstrated statistically significant correlations with dissolved oxygen (DO) and oxidation-reduction potential (ORP) sensors, while showing capabilities of operating under anoxic and anaerobic conditions. Regardless of their locations in the model wetland system, three MPS sensors functioned without interruption and cleaning for a period >2 years, and thus demonstrating long-term durability of the MPS technology. In real batch-wastewater treatment facility, the deployed MPS system signals were able to describe the organic carbon trends and correlate with each treatment phase in a cycle. Data reproducibility and reliability exceeded the expectations better describing the carbon treatment levels than the DO and ORP sensors (p < 4.4 × 10 –162 vs phase adjusted p < 3.0 × 10 –58 ). While MPS signals correlate with specific parameters that describe the local process or environments, it is more prudent to employ both the magnitude and pattern of a composite signal like the MPS signal describe the change to reflect any shift in the local environment. Finally, when compared to a baseline pattern, this change in signal magnitude and pattern reveals important information that can be employed to tailor and optimize any condition or process which involves microorganisms.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗
DOE OSTI2025

TorbeamNN: machine learning-based steering of ECH mirrors on KSTAR

We have developed TorbeamNN: a machine learning surrogate model for the TORBEAM ray tracing code to predict electron cyclotron heating (ECH) and current drive locations in tokamak plasmas. TorbeamNN provides more than a 100 times speed-up compared to the highly optimized and simplified real-time implementation of TORBEAM without any reduction in accuracy compared to the offline, full fidelity TORBEAM code. The model was trained using KSTAR ECH mirror geometries and works for both O-mode and X-mode absorption. The TorbeamNN predictions have been validated both offline and real-time in experiment. TorbeamNN has been utilized to track an ECH absorption vertical position target in dynamic KSTAR plasmas as well as under varying toroidal mirror angles and with a minimal average tracking error of 0.5 cm.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2026

Topology-Dependent Performance of Free-Space Photonic Quantum Networks Under Noise

Photonic quantum communication enables secure and high-fidelity information transfer beyond classical limits, with direct relevance to emerging quantum networks operating in free-space environments. While physical-layer models of depolarizing noise, Gamma–Gamma turbulence statistics, entanglement swapping, and decoy-state QKD security bounds are individually well established, prior work typically treats these components in isolation or under fixed network assumptions. In this work, we develop a unified topology-aware analytical framework that simultaneously integrates free-space optical link budgets, turbulence-induced visibility degradation, depolarizing qubit noise, multi-hop entanglement cascade dynamics, teleportation fidelity thresholds, CHSH nonlocality certification, and asymptotic decoy-state secret key rate bounds across star, mesh, and ring graph structures. Rather than introducing new physical channel models, we demonstrate that identical physical links exhibit fundamentally different end-to-end performance once embedded within different network topologies. Mesh architectures minimize visibility cascade through hop-count reduction but incur quadratic hardware scaling. Star topologies minimize link count but concentrate noise and synchronization overhead at the hub. Ring configurations offer linear hardware scaling with multiplicative fidelity degradation. The results establish topology as a first-order design parameter in near-term free-space quantum networks operating without full quantum repeater infrastructures. While motivated by distributed multi-agent architectures, the framework applies broadly to terrestrial, airborne, and satellite-assisted photonic quantum communication systems.

QKD↗
DOE OSTI2021

Investigation of the Origins of Comets as Revealed through Infrared High-resolution Spectroscopy I. Molecular Abundances

We report and analyze updated molecular abundances in 20 comets obtained by employing modern data reduction procedures and molecular models. Using box and scatter plots, we examine how the different molecular species are distributed among the comet population, while by means of pie charts, we investigate the relative proportions of these molecular species in each comet. We compare these results with the orbital parameters of the selected comets to identify trends related to their dynamical history. With these analyses, we tentatively identify at least three chemical classes based mainly on relative abundances of CO, CH{sub 3}OH, CH{sub 4}, C{sub 2}H{sub 6}, HCN, and NH{sub 3}. The combination of relative abundances and orbital parameters is then compared with recent chemical models of planetary system formation. This approach may help in investigating the origins and evolution of the material in cometary nuclei. Among other aspects, we underline the need to increase our sample size, especially for hypervolatiles (i.e., CH{sub 4} and CO) in Jupiter family comets.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2022

Smoothed particle hydrodynamics modeling and analysis of oxide reduction process for uranium oxides

A common kinetic feature for oxide reduction chemical/electrochemical processes is oxygen transport via a porous metallic layer, which has been considered as a rate-determining step for reducing uranium oxides to metallic uranium. Accounting this kinetic behavior must involve the resolution of the moving reactive interface between shrinking oxide and expanding metal phases. This study presents a numerical model using smoothed particles hydrodynamics (SPH) to effectively deal with the evolution of the shrinking core reaction interface and oxygen transport via mass transfer of lithium oxide (Li 2 O) species in multiple mass transfer domains. We successfully validated the proposed model against a theoretical derivation for the oxide reduction process handling a shrinking oxide core with molten salt and metal ash medium on a simple planar geometry. Armed with successful validation results, the model examined a realistic reactant geometry to extend the arguments beyond the one-dimensional analyses, allowing the proposed model to apply to general application scenarios with multi-dimensional geometry. Here, this study demonstrated that the proposed model could simulate and evaluate an arbitrary reaction basket design without iterative experimental trials, which is prohibitive for a scaled high-temperature molten salt study in an inert environment. The construct potentially provides not only deep insights on multiphysics behaviors governing the process dynamics but also a robust framework for evaluating and screening candidate basket designs in the most cost-effective manner.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗
DOE OSTI2022

Evaluation of Physical Security Risk for Potential Implementation of FLEX using Dynamic Simulation Methods

The requirements for United States nuclear power plants to maintain a large onsite physical security force contribute to their large operational costs. The cost of maintaining the current physical security posture is approximately 10% of the overall operation and maintenance budget for commercial nuclear power plants. The goal of the Light Water Reactor Sustainability Program Physical Security Pathway is to develop tools, methods, and technologies and provide the technical basis for an optimized physical security posture. This pathway will analyze and minimize the conservatisms built into current security postures in order to reduce security costs while still ensuring adequate security and operational safety. The research performed at Idaho National Laboratory within this pathway has successfully developed a dynamic force-on-force (FOF) modeling framework using various computer simulation tools and integrated them with the dynamic assessment Event Modeling Risk Assessment using Linked Diagrams (EMRALD) tool. This document provides an overview of lessons learned in applying a dynamic computational framework that links results from a commercially available FOF simulation tool, a commercially available thermal-hydraulic tool, and EMRALD to an operating commercial nuclear power plant. This process of including plant procedures and multiple analysis results is being called Modeling and Analysis for Safety Security using Dynamic EMRALD Framework. Previous reports described how a user could integrate their plant-specific FOF models with the dynamic simulation tool EMRALD, model operator actions, integrate with probabilistic risk assessment tools, such as Computer Aided Fault Tree Analysis System or Systems Analysis Programs for Hands-on Integrated Reliability Evaluations, and with thermal-hydraulic tools, such as RELAP-5. Previous reports applied various combinations of available simulations codes with EMRALD using generic plant models to demonstrate how to perform the analysis. This report documents the results of applying the dynamic computational framework to an actual nuclear facility using their security scenarios and timelines. The purpose of this study was to verify that results achieved using generic models are similar to actual plant results and to refine our guidance of the use of the framework. Such an assessment enables further analysis, such as what-if scenarios and staff-reduction evaluation, thereby optimizing physical security at plants. NOTE: The work performed in this report is based on a generic EMRALD model with actual plant data used for the analysis. However, only the generic model and general results of the analysis are in the report. No plant’s sensitive information is discussed in this report. The discussion shows examples of insights that can be obtained from the MASS-DEF methodology.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗
DOE OSTI2024

Declining groundwater storage expected to amplify mountain streamflow reductions in a warmer world

Abstract Groundwater interactions with mountain streams are often simplified in model projections, potentially leading to inaccurate estimates of streamflow response to climate change. Here, using a high-resolution, integrated hydrological model extending 400 m into the subsurface, we find groundwater an important and stable source of historical streamflow in a mountainous watershed of the Colorado River. In a warmer climate, increased forest water use is predicted to reduce groundwater recharge resulting in groundwater storage loss. Losses are expected to be most severe during dry years and cannot recover to historical levels even during simulated wet periods. Groundwater depletion substantially reduces annual streamflow with intermittent conditions predicted when precipitation is low. Expanding results across the region suggests groundwater declines will be highest in the Colorado Headwater and Gunnison basins. Our research highlights the tight coupling of vegetation and groundwater dynamics and that excluding explicit groundwater response to warming may underestimate future reductions in mountain streamflow.

Carroll, Rosemary W. H. (ORCID:0000000293028074)↗
DOE OSTI2021

Dynamically Unveiling Metal–Nitrogen Coordination during Thermal Activation to Design High-Efficient Atomically Dispersed CoN 4 Active Sites

We elucidate the structural evolution of CoN 4 sites during thermal activation by developing a zeolitic imidazolate framework (ZIF)-8-derived carbon host as an ideal model for Co 2+ ion adsorption. Subsequent in situ X-ray absorption spectroscopy analysis can dynamically track the conversion from inactive Co-OH and Co-O species into active CoN 4 sites. The critical transition occurs at 700 °C and becomes optimal at 900 °C, generating the highest intrinsic activity and four-electron selectivity for the oxygen reduction reaction (ORR). DFT calculations elucidate that the ORR is kinetically favored by the thermal-induced compressive strain of Co-N bonds in CoN 4 active sites formed at 900 °C. Further, we developed a two-step (i.e., Co ion doping and adsorption) Co-N-C catalyst with increased CoN 4 site density and optimized porosity for mass transport, and demonstrated its outstanding fuel cell performance and durability.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2023

Role of isospin composition in low-energy nuclear fusion

We employ a microscopic approach that examines the impact of isospin dynamics on the process of low- energy nuclear fusion along an isotope chain and dependence on deformation. Our method utilizes the density constrained time-dependent Hartree-Fock theory (DC-TDHF), where isoscalar and isovector characteristics of the energy density functional (EDF) are examined in turn. This approach is applied to a series of fusion interactions of 176 Yb with increasingly neutron rich isotopes of calcium. By evaluating the contributions from the isoscalar and isovector components of the EDF, we look to quantify the influence of isospin composition on the conditions under which fusion is most likely to take place. Furthermore, our findings reveal that, in nonsymmetric systems, the isovector dynamics plays a significant role. Its typical effect is a reduction in the potential barrier, which turns into enhancement for neutron-rich systems.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2020

Impact of thermodynamic fluctuations and pattern size on the nucleation behavior during area selective deposition

In this work, the authors explore the impact that thermodynamic fluctuations have on the spontaneous appearance of defects during area selective deposition on patterned surfaces that are fully covered by adsorbates under local thermodynamic equilibrium, such as self-assembled monolayers. By using a simple lattice gas model for the adsorbed monolayer, the authors were able to track the spontaneous formation of defects in the monolayer as a function of the pattern width. The results indicate that, for pattern widths of the order of tens of nanometers, roughening effects at the pattern edge can be the leading source for the spontaneous appearance of nucleation defects. This leads to an enhancement of the density of defects that can be up to three orders of magnitude higher than those expected in uniform (not patterned) surfaces. The model also predicts a density of defects that is inversely proportional to the pattern width. Finally, if the dynamic nucleation of defects during area selective deposition is driven by thermodynamic fluctuations, the model predicts that the nucleation rate should be proportional to the total precursor fluency and independent of purge times. Moreover, a tight confinement of the monolayer through a high quality smooth interface in the patterned substrate and strong cohesive interactions between adsorbates should each contribute to a reduction of the overall defect density.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2021

Evaluating the stability and activity of dilute Cu-based alloys for electrochemical CO 2 reduction

Cu-based catalysts currently offer the most promising route to actively and selectively produce value-added chemicals via electrochemical reduction of CO 2 (eCO 2 R); yet further improvements are required for their wide-scale deployment in carbon mitigation efforts. Here, we systematically investigate a family of dilute Cu-based alloys to explore their viability as active and selective catalysts for eCO 2 R through a combined theoretical–experimental approach. Using a quantum–classical modeling approach that accounts for dynamic solvation effects, we assess the stability and activity of model single-atom catalysts under eCO 2 R conditions. Our calculations identify that the presence of eCO2R intermediates, such as CO*, H*, and OH*, may dynamically influence the local catalyst surface composition. Additionally, we identify through binding energy descriptors of the CO*, CHO*, and OCCO* dimer intermediates that certain elements, such as group 13 elements (B, Al, and Ga), enhance the selectivity of C 2+ species relative to pure Cu by facilitating CO dimerization. The theoretical work is corroborated by preliminary testing of eCO 2 R activity and selectivity of candidate dilute Cu-based alloy catalyst films prepared by electron beam evaporation in a zero-gap gas diffusion electrode-based reactor. Of all studied alloys, dilute CuAl was found to be the most active and selective toward C 2+ products like ethylene, consistent with the theoretical predictions. Finally, we attribute the improved performance of dilute CuAl alloys to more favorable dimerization reaction energetics of bound CO species relative to that on pure Cu. In a broader context, the results presented here demonstrate the power of our simulation framework in terms of rational catalyst design.

30 DIRECT ENERGY CONVERSION↗
DOE OSTI2023

Modeling shock-induced void collapse in single-crystal Ta systems at the mesoscales

Understanding the role of microstructural heterogeneities on the shock wave propagation and defect evolution behavior is essential to predicting the dynamic response of metals. Heterogeneities, such as voids, provide challenges to understanding the wave propagation behavior as the shock-void interaction can collapse the void and result in large plastic strains and significant heating (hot spot formation) in the metal. Accurate modeling of this phenomenon requires predicting the void collapse mechanisms and the related heat generation and dissipation mechanisms (hotspot formation) that determine the microstructure evolution. While molecular dynamics (MD) simulations can model the void collapse behavior, the time/length scale capabilities pose a challenge to connect with continuum models or the experimental scales. Here, this study presents the capability of the newly developed quasi-coarse-grained dynamics (QCGD) method that extends the MD simulations to larger system sizes and longer times to model this phenomenon. This study uses QCGD simulations to investigate the mechanisms of shock wave interactions with pre-existing voids in single-crystal Ta microstructures for variations in shock pressures, void size, and loading orientations. For a given orientation, the plasticity contributions and rates of void collapse are observed to vary with shock pressures and void size. The larger void sizes and higher pressures result in increased temperatures (hot spots) and faster void collapse rates and unravel the variations in the plasticity contributions. In addition, QCGD simulations investigate the post-collapse microstructure evolution as a release wave travels through the hot spot region. The simulations reveal that the reduction in temperatures due to heat dissipation initiates the dynamic recrystallization behavior in the hotspot regions.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2026

Impact of Forest Canopy Structure on Buoyant Plume Dynamics During Wildland Fires

Heterogeneous forest canopies can generate complex turbulent structures, but in the presence of a fire plume, these interactions are not fully understood. This study investigates the influence of forest canopy heterogeneity on buoyant plume dynamics resulting from surface thermal anomalies representing wildland fires, utilizing Large Eddy Simulation (LES). The Parallelized Large-Eddy Simulation Model (PALM) was employed to simulate six canopy configurations: no canopy, homogeneous canopy, external plume-edge canopy, internal plume-edge canopy, 100 m gap canopy, and 200 m gap canopy. Each configuration was analyzed with and without a static surface heat flux patch of 5000 W ∙ m -2 , resulting in a resting buoyant plume. Simulations were conducted under three crosswind speeds: 0, 5, and 10 m ∙ s -1 . Results show that canopy structure significantly modifies plume behavior, mean flow, and turbulent kinetic energy (TKE) budgets. Plume updraft speed and tilt varied with canopy configuration and crosswind speed. Horizontal pressure gradients associated with plume-atmosphere interaction were modified based on the canopy configuration, resulting in varying crosswind speed reductions at the plume region. Strong momentum absorption was observed above the canopy for the crosswind cases, with the greatest enhancement in the gap canopies. Momentum injection from below the canopy due to the heat source was also observed, resulting in plume structure modulation based on canopy configuration. TKE was found to be the largest in the gap canopy configurations. TKE budget analysis revealed that buoyant production dominated over shear production. At the center of the heat patch, the gap canopy configurations showed enhanced buoyancy within the gap. These results improve our knowledge of fire-canopy-atmosphere interactions that can inform fire models on the impacts of canopy heterogeneity on plume dynamics and ember ejections.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2023

Climate effects of future aerosol reductions for achieving carbon neutrality in China

To limit the global warming to 1.5 °C above pre-industrial levels, beyond which the most dangerous impacts of climate change will occur, achieving carbon neutrality by the mid-21st century is essential. As the largest developing country and a significant contributor to carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) emissions, China has announced its ambitious climate commitment to pass carbon peak before 2030 and to achieve carbon neutrality by 2060. Both climate policies and regional clean air actions have been implemented for reductions in fossil fuel emissions, including the emissions of short-lived aerosols and precursors. Furthermore, in the context of pursuing carbon neutrality in China, aerosol reductions due to clean air actions and pollution control policies are very likely to have a great impact on climate. In this study, climate effects of aerosol reductions due to China's clean air actions under localized future emission scenarios are investigated using the Community Earth System Model version 1 (CESM1). Fully coupled and atmosphere-only experiments in years of carbon peak (2030) and carbon neutrality (2060) are performed with anthropogenic emissions of aerosols and precursors under “Current-goals” (Current) and “Carbon-Neutral” (Neutral) scenarios from the Dynamic Projection for Emissions in China (DPEC) model that consider socioeconomic development, climate policy, and pollution control actions (Figs. S1–S4 online). In addition, a present-day emissions simulation (PD) is conducted as the reference case (Supplementary materials online). Another sensitivity simulation is also conducted, with black carbon (BC) emissions set to follow the Neutral experiment but other emissions kept at the present-day levels (Neutral_BC), to quantify the relative roles of reducing strongly absorbing BC and other aerosols on future climate towards carbon neutrality. Greenhouse gases concentrations are kept at the 2015 levels in all simulations (Text S1 online).

Yang, Yang↗