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At least 379 records · Page 21
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NASA NTRS2019

Use of Polarimetric Radar Measurements to Constrain Simulated Convective Cell Evolution: A Pilot Study with Lagrangian Tracking

To probe the potential value of a radar-driven field campaign to constrain simulation of isolated convection subject to a strong aerosol perturbation, convective cells observed by the operational KHGX weather radar in the vicinity of Houston, Texas, are examined individually and statistically. Cells observed in a single case study of onshore flow conditions during July 2013 are first examined and compared with cells in a regional model simulation. Observed and simulated cells are objectively identified and tracked from observed or calculated positive specific differential phase (K(sub DP)) above the melting level, which is related to the presence of supercooled liquid water. Several observed and simulated cells are subjectively selected for further examination. Below the melting level, we compare sequential cross sections of retrieved and simulated raindrop size distribution parameters. Above the melting level, we examine time series of KDP and radar differential reflectivity (Z(sub DR)) statistics from observations and calculated from simulated supercooled rain properties, alongside simulated vertical wind and supercooled rain mixing ratio statistics. Results indicate that the operational weather radar measurements offer multiple constraints on the properties of simulated convective cells, with substantial value added from derived K(sub DP) and retrieved rain properties. The value of collocated three-dimensional lightning mapping array measurements, which are relatively rare in the continental US, supports the choice of Houston as a suitable location for future field studies to improve the simulation and understanding of convective updraft physics. However, rapid evolution of cells between routine volume scans motivates consideration of adaptive scan strategies or radar imaging technologies to amend operational weather radar capabilities. A 3-year climatology of isolated cell tracks, prepared using a more efficient algorithm, yields additional relevant information. Isolated cells are found within the KHGX domain on roughly 40 % of days year-round, with greatest concentration in the northwest quadrant, but roughly 5-fold more cells occur during June through September. During this enhanced occurrence period, the cells initiate following a strong diurnal cycle that peaks in the early afternoon, typically follow a south-to-north flow, and dissipate within 1 h, consistent with the case study examples. Statistics indicate that ∼ 150 isolated cells initiate and dissipate within 70 km of the KHGX radar during the enhanced occurrence period annually, and roughly 10 times as many within 200 km, suitable for multi-instrument Lagrangian observation strategies. In addition to ancillary meteorological and aerosol measurements, robust vertical wind speed retrievals would add substantial value to a radar-driven field campaign.

Fridlind, Ann M.↗
NASA NTRS2019

Microphysical Retrievals from Simultaneous Measurements by Airborne and Ground Radars during OLYMPEX

The OLYMPEX field campaign took place over the Olympic Peninsula of Washington during winter 2015-2016. During the intensive observing period, several aircraft flights obtained multi-frequency airborne radar measurements at X-, Ku-, Ka, and W-band from radars aboard the ER-2 and DC-8 aircraft. In addition, ground radars at S- and X-band performed RHI scans under the aircraft ground tracks. These coincident datasets provide a wealth of complementary information about the hydrometeor particle sizes, shapes, and orientations.In order to synthesize these measurements and test the robustness of scattering models, an optimal estimation retrieval based upon a Hitschfeld-Bordan profiling algorithm has been developed. This algorithm retrieves profiles of the particle size distribution parameters Nw and Dm, and, in the ice phase, relative proportions of aggregate, pristine, and rimed particles, using scattering models with different size-density and size-aspect ratio relationships. Under this formulation, only the pristine particles are horizontally aligned and capable of producing non-zero ZDR and KDP.From the nadir-looking airborne multifrequency radars, we find that aggregates may be readily distinguished from rimed and pristine particles owing to their uniqueness in triple-frequency space. However, rimed and pristine particles occupy a similar region in this space and thus polarimetric measurements greatly enhance their identification in our retrieval framework. With these capabilities we will present analyses of three-dimensional hydrometeor mapping obtained during various OLYMPEX cases. Some features retrieved in these cases include a layer of enhanced aggregation about 2km above the melting layer, hypothesized to be maintained by orographic uplift. This layer is often situated above a layer of denser, aligned particles. Regions of riming and supercooled liquid water beneath generating cells are also identified by our retrieval algorithm. Comparisons to in-situ observations and evaluation of scattering models will be presented.

Munchak, S. Joseph↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Simultaneous Development and Robust Optimization of a Microstructure Dependent Material

Recent microstructure characterization techniques combined with Symbolic Regression(SR)analysis has been proven to generate white box plasticity models well suited for incorporation into FEA software.The current work builds upon those efforts and demonstrates the applicability of Sequential Monte-Carlo (SMC) methods within SR analysis to condense model development and robust optimization into a single, co-dependent process. In this project, SMC methods provide a mechanism through which the observed microstructure features and associated variability can be incorporated into the discovery phase of model development and simultaneously recover approximate parameter distributions through SR analysis. The demonstration utilized a data set consisting of tensile test results from a limited number of sample specimens with corresponding EBSD data from which microstructure features were characterized.The maximum threshold stress model in the Visco-Plastic Self-Consistent (VPSC) code developed by Los Alamos National Laboratories was calibrated using mechanical test data.Synthetic volume elements with statistically equivalent microstructure were generated with DREAM3Dbased on the observed EBSD data. VPSC was used to simulate the corresponding tensile test response for each of the synthetic volume elements. The simulated microstructure and tensile test data was used astraining datafor SMC-SR algorithm and the resulting model was validated with data from the original empirical data set.

Karl Garbrecht↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Sensitivity Study of Dust-Induced Surface Erosion during Martian Planetary Entry

Large, global dust storms that periodically form in the Martian atmosphere pose a threat to NASA missions due to a lack of understanding of how they will affect the heat loading and mass loss of the entry vehicle’s thermal protection system (TPS). Previous studies have laid out viable methodologies for estimating the amount of surface recession from a significant dust storm, but rely on underlying modeling assumptions that are difficult to validate. The current work utilizes the DUST library, which is a Lagrangian particle solver under development at NASA Ames Research Center. DUST includes variable-fidelity fluid-particle coupling and has been tested for a wide range of problem types. The DUST library is used in conjunction with the US3D Naiver-Stokes solver. Using these tools, a sensitivity study is performed to determine the influence of the underlying dust modeling (drag coefficient, Nusselt number, and size distribution) on the surface erosion through a hypersonic Martian entry trajectory. The surface erosion was found to be insensitive to the drag and heating models, but was affected significantly by the size distributions parameters. The total recession was comparable to the thermochemical ablation predicted by material response codes, but the lack of a particle erosion model for PICA limits the predictive capability of the current work.

Thermal Protection Systems↗
NASA NTRS1984

Geographic Distribution of Wetland Parameters: the Foundation of a Data Base

Few quantitative estimates exist concerning the large fluxes of various materials between wetlands and adjacent bodies of water and the atmosphere. Three areas research were identified which will aid in the quantitative assessment of wetland biogeochemical processes: (1) geographic distribution of wetland parameters, (2) the processes involved in wetland material fluxes, and (3) the extrapolation of local measurements of material fluxes and storage to large geographic areas.

Source record↗
NASA NTRS1985

Structural parameter identification of distributed systems using finite element approximation

A system identification technique is developed for classes of distributed systems using finite element approximations. Vibrating systems represented by partial differential equations have physical parameters associated with mass, stiffness, and damping distributions which need to be known in order to properly control and design mathematical models of the system. In order to identify these parameters a weighted least-squares algorithm and modified Newton-Raphson method is used for the identification process. The theory and technique is demonstrated by estimating the system parameters of a vibrating cantilever beam made up of several different structural properties.

Lee, K. Y.↗
NASA NTRS1993

The distribution of flare parameters and implications for coronal heating

Assuming that solar hard X-ray flares are caused by bremsstrahlung from a distribution of accelerated electrons impinging on a thick target, we determine the relationship between the total flare energy released in the corona and observable flare parameters. It is shown that for the more numerous smaller flares to be energetically more important than larger ones, there must be an anticorrelation between observed flux and one or more of the photon spectral index, the total flare duration, the ratio of the total energy that goes into heating the corona to the energy that goes into acceleration of electrons, and the reciprocal of the low-energy cutoff of the accelerated electron spectrum. Using a new statistical test which properly takes account of data truncation due to observational selection effects, we find that neither spectral index nor duration show an anticorrelation with flux in ISEE 3/ICE hard X-ray data. Using a nonparametric method, we obtain single distributions of peak flux, spectral index, duration, and fluence, corrected for selection biases. The functional forms of these distributions do not support coronal heating by numerous small flares without very specific behavior by yet unobserved parameters.

Lee, Theodore T.↗
NASA NTRS2013

Retrieval of Spatio-temporal Distributions of Particle Parameters from Multiwavelength Lidar Measurements Using the Linear Estimation Technique and Comparison with AERONET

The results of the application of the linear estimation technique to multiwavelength Raman lidar measurements performed during the summer of 2011 in Greenbelt, MD, USA, are presented. We demonstrate that multiwavelength lidars are capable not only of providing vertical profiles of particle properties but also of revealing the spatio-temporal evolution of aerosol features. The nighttime 3 Beta + 1 alpha lidar measurements on 21 and 22 July were inverted to spatio-temporal distributions of particle microphysical parameters, such as volume, number density, effective radius and the complex refractive index. The particle volume and number density show strong variation during the night, while the effective radius remains approximately constant. The real part of the refractive index demonstrates a slight decreasing tendency in a region of enhanced extinction coefficient. The linear estimation retrievals are stable and provide time series of particle parameters as a function of height at 4 min resolution. AERONET observations are compared with multiwavelength lidar retrievals showing good agreement.

AERONET↗
NASA NTRS2005

Program for Weibull Analysis of Fatigue Data

A Fortran computer program has been written for performing statistical analyses of fatigue-test data that are assumed to be adequately represented by a two-parameter Weibull distribution. This program calculates the following: (1) Maximum-likelihood estimates of the Weibull distribution; (2) Data for contour plots of relative likelihood for two parameters; (3) Data for contour plots of joint confidence regions; (4) Data for the profile likelihood of the Weibull-distribution parameters; (5) Data for the profile likelihood of any percentile of the distribution; and (6) Likelihood-based confidence intervals for parameters and/or percentiles of the distribution. The program can account for tests that are suspended without failure (the statistical term for such suspension of tests is "censoring"). The analytical approach followed in this program for the software is valid for type-I censoring, which is the removal of unfailed units at pre-specified times. Confidence regions and intervals are calculated by use of the likelihood-ratio method.

Krantz, Timothy L.↗
NASA NTRS1983

Cubic spline approximation techniques for parameter estimation in distributed systems

Approximation schemes employing cubic splines in the context of a linear semigroup framework are developed for both parabolic and hyperbolic second-order partial differential equation parameter estimation problems. Convergence results are established for problems with linear and nonlinear systems, and a summary of numerical experiments with the techniques proposed is given.

Banks, H. T.↗
NASA NTRS1973

Bayesian estimation of life parameters in the Weibull distribution.

Development of a Bayesian analysis of the scale and shape parameters in the Weibull distribution and the corresponding reliability function with respect to the usual life-testing procedures. For the scale parameter theta, Bayesian estimates of theta and reliability are obtained for the uniform, exponential, and inverted gamma prior probability densities. Bhattacharya's results (1967) for the one-parameter exponential life-testing distribution are reduced to a special case of these results. A fully Bayesian analysis of both the scale and shape parameters is developed by assuming independent prior distributions; since in the latter case, analytical tractability is not possible, Bayesian estimates are obtained through a conjunction of Monte Carlo simulation and numerical-integration techniques. In both cases, a computer simulation is carried out, and a comparison is made between the Bayesian and the corresponding minimum-variance unbiased, or maximum likelihood, estimates. As expected, the Bayesian estimates are superior.

Canavos, G. C.↗
NASA NTRS2002

Automated CFD Parameter Studies on Distributed Parallel Computers

The objective of the current work is to build a prototype software system which will automated the process of running CFD jobs on Information Power Grid (IPG) resources. This system should remove the need for user monitoring and intervention of every single CFD job. It should enable the use of many different computers to populate a massive run matrix in the shortest time possible. Such a software system has been developed, and is known as the AeroDB script system. The approach taken for the development of AeroDB was to build several discrete modules. These include a database, a job-launcher module, a run-manager module to monitor each individual job, and a web-based user portal for monitoring of the progress of the parameter study. The details of the design of AeroDB are presented in the following section. The following section provides the results of a parameter study which was performed using AeroDB for the analysis of a reusable launch vehicle (RLV). The paper concludes with a section on the lessons learned in this effort, and ideas for future work in this area.

Rogers, Stuart E.↗
NASA NTRS1971

Table for estimating parameters of Weibull distribution

Table yields best linear invariant /BLI/ estimates for log of reliable life under censored life tests, permitting reliability estimations in failure analysis of items with multiple flaws. These BLI estimates have uniformly smaller expected loss than Gauss-Markov best linear unbiased estimates.

Mann, N. R.↗
NASA NTRS1976

Estimating normal mixture parameters from the distribution of a reduced feature vector

A FORTRAN computer program was written and tested. The measurements consisted of 1000 randomly chosen vectors representing 1, 2, 3, 7, and 10 subclasses in equal portions. In the first experiment, the vectors are computed from the input means and covariances. In the second experiment, the vectors are 16 channel measurements. The starting covariances were constructed as if there were no correlation between separate passes. The biases obtained from each run are listed.

Guseman, L. F.↗