Predicting the maximum amplitude for the sunspot cycle from the rate of rise in sunspot number
The paper examines the relationship between the maximum amplitude for the sunspot cycle and the rate of rise during the ascending phase. It is found that, prior to about 2 yr into the cycle, the rate of rise is not a reliable predictor for maximum amplitude. Only during the second half of the ascent do the fits display strong linearity, having a correlation coefficient of r = 0.9 and a standard error Syx less than about 20.