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At least 379 records · Page 21
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2021

Improving Prediction of Surface Solar Irradiance Variability by Integrating Observed Cloud Characteristics and Machine Learning

A 5-year, 1-minute resolution observational dataset of clouds and solar radiation was produced that includes two metrics of the variability in surface solar irradiance due to cloud type and fractional sky cover. Multiple regression models were trained to fit observations of surface solar irradiance variability from those two cloud property predictors. We found that ensemble tree-based methods, Random Forest and Gradient Boosting Machine, have the least overfitting issues and showed the best performance with an R2 of 0.42. While the observational data trained in this study was only from one site, the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) Atmospheric Radiation Measurement (ARM) Southern Great Plains (SGP) site in Oklahoma, initial comparisons of the seasonality of the statistics suggest that these results are relatively weather regime independent; the generality of such a finding across sites will be tested in future work. The observational data and developed machine learning model are being used to create a numerical weather prediction model parameterization to enable day-ahead solar variability prediction in a computationally efficient way. This is a first step towards creating a new paradigm of predicting day-ahead variability with the potential to provide a new tool to improve grid operation, planning, and resilience.

Riihimaki, Laura↗
DOE OSTI2021

cloud_fs (Cloud File System Utilities) [SWR-21-83]

cloud-fs (Cloud File System Utilities) is a generalized file-system handler that will dynamically determine if files are local or on the cloud (currently AWS) and perform basic file-system operations.

Rossol, Michael↗
NASA NTRS1981

The energetics of molecular clouds. III - The S235 molecular cloud

The molecular cloud associated with the S235 H II region has been studied by means of molecular lines and near-infrared observations. The cloud consists of two components, one of which partly surrounds the S235 H II region. The other component contains a dense, hot region of active star formation, marked by self-reversed CO profiles, compact H II regions, masers, and infrared sources. From the molecular line data, the size and mass of the two components are estimated to be 6-8 pc and 3000-4000 solar masses. More detailed studies near the region of active star formation yield estimates of density (approximately 200,000-500,000/cu cm) and the abundances of H2CO, HCO(+), HCN, and (C-13)O. Analysis of the energetics suggests that the cloud is heated by the exciting star of S235 and by the exciting stars of the compact H II regions. Assuming that the gas is heated by collisions with warm dust grains, the far-infrared luminosity has been predicted. The observations of far-infrared emission are in reasonable agreement with predictions.

Evans, N. J., II↗
NASA NTRS1981

The energetics of molecular clouds. IV - The S88 molecular cloud

The S88 molecular cloud has been observed in several molecular lines and at infrared wavelengths from 1 to 100 microns. The CO emission has a single, sharp peak which is near the H-alpha emission region S88 B and centered on a compact H II region observed in the radio continuum. The infrared observations indicate that the principal luminosity source is located near the radio continuum peak and is hidden behind substantial extinction, presumably from the molecular cloud. The molecular cloud has a size of about 6.5 pc and a mass of about 5,000 solar masses at an assumed distance of 2 kpc. Regions of very high density (more than 10,000/cu cm) do not seem to be present. Analysis of the energetics leads to a predicted dust cooling rate in good agreement with the infrared observations, which indicate L = 180,000 solar luminosities. A more detailed examination of the energetics indicates that densities may be insufficient for collisions of molecules with warm dust grains to heat the gas to the observed kinetic temperature.

Evans, N. J., II↗
NASA NTRS1982

The energetics of molecular clouds. V - The S37 molecular cloud

The molecular clouds of S37, which coincides with a region of visual obscuration, is observed at several molecular transition frequencies and at IR wavelengths in the 2-125 micron range. It is found that the temperature and the column density peak near the reflection nebulae vdB 118 and 119, with line splitting and possible self-absorption being observed near the latter. Although many 2-micron sources are observed in the direction of the cloud, no bright, 10-micron sources are seen, and far-IR emission is found over an extensive region in the cloud. An energetics analysis leads to the prediction of a dust cooling rate consistent with the far-IR observations, which indicate not less than 15,000-35,000 solar luminosities, and more detailed energetics examinations show that the conditions necessary for collision heating of the gas by warm dust exist.

Evans, N. J., II↗
NASA NTRS1988

Venus: Cloud level circulation during 1982 as determined from Pioneer cloud photopolarimeter images. II - Solar longitude dependent circulation

Pioneer Venus Orbiter images obtained in 1982 indicate a marked solar-locked dependence of cloud level circulation in both averaged cloud motions and cloud layer UV reflectivity. An apparent relationship is noted between horizontal divergence and UV reflectivity: the highest reflectivities are associated with regions of convergence at high latitudes, while lower values are associated with equatorial latitude regions where the motions are divergent. In solar-locked coordinates, the rms deviation of normalized UV brightness is higher at 45-deg latitudes than in equatorial regions.

Limaye, Sanjay S.↗
NASA NTRS1988

Oxygen chemistry of shocked interstellar clouds. III - Sulfur and oxygen species in dense clouds

The chemical evolution of oxygen and sulfur species in shocked dense clouds is studied. Reaction rate constants for several important neutral reactions are examined, and revised values are suggested. The one-fluid magnetohydrodynamic shock structure and postshock chemical evolution are calculated for shocks of velocity v(s) = 10 km/s through clouds of initial number density n(0) = 100,000/cu cm and of molecule/atom ratios H2/H = 10, 1000, and 100,000 with most sulfur contained initially in molecules SO2 and SO. Abundances of SO2, SO, CS, and OCS remain near their preshock values, except in clouds containing substantial amounts of atomic hydrogen, where significant destruction of sulfur-oxygen species occurs. Abundances of shock-enhanced molecules HS and H2O are sensitive to the molecule/atom ratio. Nonthermal oxygen-hydrogen chemistry has a minor effect on oxygen-sulfur molecules in the case H2/H = 10.

Leen, T. M.↗
NASA NTRS1989

Satellite observation and mesoscale cloud modeling of St. Anthony, Minnesota storm clouds

Both rawinsonde data and geosynchronous satellite imagery were used to study the life cycles of St. Anthony, Minnesota's severe convective storms. Cloud modeling, with input sounding data from Saint Cloud, Minnesota, and rapid-scan imagery from GOES were used to investigate storm cloud formation, development and dissipation. Comparisons were made among the seven groups of severe storms which produced an outbreak of 30 tornadoes across the United States.

Hung, R. J.↗
NASA NTRS1990

Cloud optical parameters as derived from the multispectral cloud radiometer

Here, researchers analyze the data taken in the marine stratocumulus intensive field observation component of the First ISCCP Regional Experiment (FIRE), conducted off the California coast in July, 1987 using the Multispectral Cloud Radiometer (MCR). Researchers installed an efficient retrieval scheme for deriving the cloud optical thickness and droplet mode radius, and have described the behavior of the retrieval error. Generally the scheme can retrieve the optical thickness and mode radius adequately unless they are too small; the use of the forward scattering region is more sound than the use of the backscattering portion. Applying the method to real data, researchers derived the two-dimensional distribution of optical thickness and mode radius for a portion of one of the FIRE marine stratocumulus missions. In this case study, the droplet size showed a more uniform distribution than optical thickness with some correlation between large droplet size and small optical thickness. Although researchers can find microphysical reasons for these tendencies, they suspect that the remotely sensed droplet size may be overestimated. As a future problem, they will compare results with in situ data of the droplet size distribution. Also it will be very important to check several reasons why the droplet radius might be overestimated, e.g., soot contamination, effect of escaping photons from the lateral sides of broken clouds, and so on.

Nakajima, Eruyuki↗
NASA NTRS1992

Modelling of IR emission of interstellar clouds. I - Emission of isolated clouds and dust abundance variations

A model for the IR emission and extinction properties of small dust particles is used here to compute the IR emissions in the IRAS photometric bands for a set of isolated, spherical, and nonhomogeneous clouds heated by the local interstellar radiation field. It is predicted that the IR limb brightening (LB) in the IRAS photometric bands caused by selective absorption of UV photons of different energies in the cloud generally happens for central extinctions over 4 mag at 12 microns and greater than 10 mag at 100 microns and intermediate extinctions for the other IRAS bands. The surface brightness in the four IRAS bands is limited to about 0.4, 0.6, 3, and 10 MJy/sr at 12, 25, 60, and 100 microns respectively when no strong density discontinuity is present at the cloud edge.

Bernard, J. P.↗
NASA NTRS1992

Warm neutral halos around molecular clouds. IV - H I and continuum: Aperture synthesis observations towards the molecular cloud B5

We present aperture synthesis observations of H I (21 cm) line radiation and continuum emission at 408 and 1420 MHz towards a field centered on the molecular cloud B5. The H I emission shows an extended atomic halo around the molecular cloud. The opacity of the halo is derived using H I absorption toward several background sources and a simple source model is presented. The model indicates that the halo is not gravitationally bound to the molecular cloud and that it is in fact expanding away from it. Approximately 350 solar masses are contained in the H I halo. Flux densities and spectral indices for the sources detected in both of the continuum bands are given.

Andersson, B.-G.↗
NASA NTRS1993

Pre-main sequence stars in the Chamaeleon cloud and pre-main sequence stars in the Rho Ophiuchi cloud core

This grant funds two closely related studies of young stars under the ROSAT Guest Observer Program. A major paper on ROSAT discovery of X-ray emitting young stars in the Chamaeleon star forming cloud was published in the Astrophysical Journal. Two soft X-ray images of the Chamaeleon I star forming cloud obtained with the ROSAT Position Sensitive Proportional Counter are presented. Seventy reliable, and 19 possible additional, X-ray sources are found. Most are confirmed to be new weak T Tauri stars. A study of X-ray emitting stars in a deep ROSAT image of the rho Ophiuchi star forming cloud cores has been completed, and is being submitted for publication in the Astrophysical Journal. A list of X-ray sources, fluxes, signal-to-noise ratios and boresight-corrected positions has been compiled, and optical identification down to 22(exp m) are obtained. Of the 55 reliable ROSAT sources, virtually all are associated with embedded infrared-detected T Tauri stars. T Tauri X-rays may provide a crucial link in the photoionization self-regulation of star formation in the galaxy.

Feigelson, Eric D.↗
NASA NTRS1993

The analysis of global cloud and radiation data for the study of cloud-climate interactions

During the past year, ISCCP C1 data has been analyzed for two regions, the stratocumulus area off California and the tropical Atlantic. The first part of the study dealing with stratocumulus clouds is complete and the results form the technical portion of this report. A manuscript that has recently been prepared covering this subject is attached as an Appendix. The abstract describes the key finding that cloudy mean liquid water path (LWP) is invariant with cloud fraction for cloud cover between 20% - 80%. Similar conclusions are reached with ISCCP and LANDSAT data. This has important implications for General Circulation Models. A possible application is described in the Discussion section of the Appendix. An idea that has been proposed for dealing with GCM hydrology can be used.

HARSHVARDHAN↗
NASA NTRS1994

The Use of a Two-Dimensional, Time-Dependent Cloud Model to Predict Convective and Stratiform Clouds and Precipitation

A two-dimensional, time-dependent cloud model has been used in two field projects to forecast the convective development during the day from the morning sounding. In effect, the cloud model gives a dynamic analysis of the sounding as affected by heating and evaporation at the earth's surface, divergence of the winds throughout the atmosphere, and cloud shadow effects. During the initial project, the Cooperative Huntsville Meteorological Experiment, the results were mixed. Model runs were easily made when soundings were available. but displaying the results in a meaningful and useful way was the limiting factor. In a later experiment, the North Dakota Thunderstorm Project, the problem of displaying results was overcome and soundings were available from the local weather service forecast office with a high degree of reliability. The experimental model correctly forecasts convective development about 80% of the time, and precipitation or no precipitation more than 70% of the time.

Kopp, Fred J.↗
NASA NTRS1998

WFPC2 Observations of Star Clusters in the Magellanic Clouds: The Oldest Star Clusters in the Small Magellanic Cloud - Report 2

We present our analysis of archival Hubble Space Telescope Wide Field Planetary Camera 2 (WFPC2) observations in F45OW ( approximately B) and F555W (approximately V) of the intermediate-age populous star clusters NGC 121, NGC 339, NGC 361, NGC 416, and Kron 3 in the Small Magellanic Cloud. We use published photometry of two other SMC populous star clusters, Lindsay 1 and Lindsay 113, to investigate the age sequence of these seven populous star clusters in order to improve our understanding of the formation chronology of the SMC. We analyzed the V vs B-V and M(sub V) vs (B-V)(sub 0) color-magnitude diagrams of these populous Small Magellanic Cloud star clusters using a variety of techniques and determined their ages, metallicities, and reddenings. These new data enable us to improve the age-metallicity relation of star clusters in the Small Magellanic Cloud. In particular, we find that a closed-box continuous star-formation model does not reproduce the age-metallicity relation adequately. However, a theoretical model punctuated by bursts of star formation is in better agreement with the observational data presented herein.

Mighell, Kenneth J.↗
NASA NTRS1999

Analysis of Aircraft, Radiosonde and Radar Observations in Cirrus Clouds Observed During FIRE II: The Interactions Between Environmental Structure, Turbulence and Cloud Microphysical Properties

Ways to determine the turbulence intensity and the horizontal variability in cirrus clouds have been investigated using FIRE-II aircraft, radiosonde and radar data. Higher turbulence intensities were found within some, but not all, of the neutrally stratified layers. It was also demonstrated that the stability of cirrus layers with high extinction values decrease in time, possibly as a result of radiative destabilization. However, these features could not be directly related to each other in any simple manner. A simple linear relationship was observed between the amount of horizontal variability in the ice water content and its average value. This was also true for the extinction and ice crystal number concentrations. A relationship was also suggested between the variability in cloud depth and the environmental stability across the depth of the cloud layer, which requires further investigation.

Smith, Samantha A.↗