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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 361 records · Page 20

Out-of-distribution generalization for learning quantum dynamics

Generalization bounds are a critical tool to assess the training data requirements of Quantum Machine Learning (QML). Recent work has established guarantees for in-distribution generalization of quantum neural networks (QNNs), where training and testing data are drawn from the same data distribution. However, there are currently no results on out-of-distribution generalization in QML, where we require a trained model to perform well even on data drawn from a different distribution to the training distribution. Here, we prove out-of-distribution generalization for the task of learning an unknown unitary. In particular, we show that one can learn the action of a unitary on entangled states having trained only product states. Since product states can be prepared using only single-qubit gates, this advances the prospects of learning quantum dynamics on near term quantum hardware, and further opens up new methods for both the classical and quantum compilation of quantum circuits.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

A Comparison of Machine Learning Methods for Frequency Nadir Estimation in Power Systems: Preprint

An increasing penetration level of inverter-based renewable energy resources changes the inertia of power systems, posing challenges for maintaining the desired system frequency stability. An accurate frequency nadir estimation is crucial for power system operators to prepare preventive actions against large frequency excursions. In this paper, five machine learning methods - linear regression, gradient boosting, support vector regression, an artificial neural network, and XGBoost - are applied to two different sets of preprocess data for the prediction of the frequency nadir in the Western Electricity Coordinating Council 240-bus system with high renewable penetration levels. The training and testing data sets are collected by extensive generation scheduling simulations on the Multi-timescale Integrated Dynamic and Scheduling (MIDAS) toolbox. Numerical results show that all five machine learning methods can achieve high performance accuracy for power system nadir frequency estimation. Among them, the gradient boosting and the XGBoost are clear winners by providing the best prediction accuracy.

data driven↗

Geological characterization and ROZ potential of the Tar Springs Sandstone

This report focuses on regional and field scale geological characterization of the Tar Springs in Illinois using well records, including drilling and completion reports, well logs, and core data (core descriptions/core analyses) to analyze and interpret geological variations. In addition, oil saturation indicators (oil shows, oil saturation from core analysis, and drill stem test data) were analyzed to determine the ROZ potential of the Tar Springs Sandstone

02 PETROLEUM↗

Enhanced HLW glass property-composition models - phase 3

During the present phase (Phase 3) of work to enhance and expand the HLW glass property-composition models, test data for 137 glasses were collected and incorporated into the combined WTP/ORP database. The new data include those collected on glasses from two statistically designed matrices to augment the moderate alumina region (the HLW16-MA matrix covering the region of 9 wt% < Al2O3 < 12 wt% with 16 glasses) and the ultra-high alumina region (the HLW16-UHA matrix covering the region of 26 wt% < Al2O3 < 29 wt% with 29 glasses). The addition of ORP glasses over the different phases of testing has significantly expanded the combined WTP/ORP database. The compiled data include glass compositions, PCT (B, Li and Na) releases, spinel T1%, electrical conductivity, viscosity, TCLP-Cd releases, and nepheline formation upon CCC. With the exception of the CCC spinel formation data – the CCC data will be used to support the further development of nepheline models for Hanford HLW glasses.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Effect of spacer grids on high-burnup fuel fragmentation, relocation, and dispersal

Increasing the fuel burnup limit in light-water reactors to improve fuel cycle economics requires a strong technical foundation. Experimental observations from the Halden and Studsvik programs have revealed severe fuel fragmentation during loss-of-coolant accident (LOCA) conditions, highlighting the need for additional technical evaluation. Consequently, further LOCA test data are needed to complement existing findings and improve the understanding of fuel fragmentation, relocation, and dispersal (FFRD) behavior. Oak Ridge National Laboratory’s Severe Accident Test Station has played a significant role in advancing the understanding of high-burnup fuel fragmentation, relocation, and dispersal phenomena. One remaining gap in the available experimental database is the effect of fuel assembly structural features on cladding deformation behavior during a LOCA, and more specifically, their impact on the fuel’s ability to fragment, relocate, and disperse. Recent analyses using the BISON fuel performance code suggest that cladding deformation near grid spacers will remain below the 3% threshold that has been reported in the NRC Research Information Letter, indicating that the cladding could remain mechanically constrained during the LOCA event. This paper builds upon the BISON analyses to design and conduct a series of out-of-cell tests aimed at further evaluating cladding deformation in and around grid spacers. In addition, these tests were used to assess local cladding temperature conditions and compare them against analytical predictions in order to better replicate expected in-reactor behavior. Finally, an in-cell high-burnup LOCA test was designed and performed to evaluate the effects of a grid spacer, or cladding restraint, on fuel fragmentation, relocation, and dispersal susceptibility. The high-burnup test results differed from those of historical LOCA experiments, with a recorded rupture temperature of 861°C. Two ballooned regions and corresponding rupture openings were observed, with rupture widths of approximately 0.64 mm for both ruptures and rupture lengths of 4.8 mm and 5.6 mm, respectively.

Capps, Nathan [ORNL]↗

Reassessing early-age strength development of high-volume fly ash concretes for precast buildings

Increasing beneficial use of fresh or landfilled fly ash as a replacement for Portland cement can be more challenging for the construction of precast buildings or similar applications requiring rapid strength development. Therefore, the framework presented in this paper aims to reassess high-volume fly ash concretes but in the context of facilitating more sustainable precast buildings. More specifically, the framework was used to characterize strength development of concrete mixes with a target minimum 24-hour compressive strength of 24.1 MPa (3500 psi), selected as an example strength development metric to demonstrate the framework, and comprised of 40% Class C, Class F, and landfilled (harvested) fly ash – as a high-volume replacement of Type III or Type IL cement. High-early strength was driven by optimized dosages of commercial grade gypsum and accelerating admixtures, in addition to optimal aggregate packing and mix proportioning strategies. Early-age mechanical properties including compressive strength, modulus of rupture, and modulus of elasticity were reevaluated within 24 hours of batching with respect to common precast production demands. Simple data analyses were then used to highlight cases where currently accepted design provisions for the aforementioned properties are either overly-conservative or unconservative with respect to test data. Furthermore, the framework and demonstration of example mixes presented herein aim to promote confidence for using larger fractions of fresh or landfilled fly ashes for precast buildings to further enhance environmental benefits without sacrificing pertinent early-age structural performance.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Modeling freight mode choice using machine learning classifiers: a comparative study using Commodity Flow Survey (CFS) data

This study explores the usefulness of machine learning classifiers for modeling freight mode choice. We investigate eight commonly used machine learning classifiers, namely Naïve Bayes, Support Vector Machine, Artificial Neural Network, K-Nearest Neighbors, Classification and Regression Tree, Random Forest, Boosting and Bagging, along with the classical Multinomial Logit model. US 2012 Commodity Flow Survey data are used as the primary data source; we augment it with spatial attributes from secondary data sources. The performance of the classifiers is compared based on prediction accuracy results. The current research also examines the role of sample size and training-testing data split ratios on the predictive ability of the various approaches. In addition, the importance of variables is estimated to determine how the variables influence freight mode choice. The results show that the tree-based ensemble classifiers perform the best. Specifically, Random Forest produces the most accurate predictions, closely followed by Boosting and Bagging. With regard to variable importance, shipment characteristics, such as shipment distance, industry classification of the shipper and shipment size, are the most significant factors for freight mode choice decisions.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Free-field Ground Motion Induced by Underground Explosions at Aqueduct Mesa with Predictions for Physical Experiment One (PE1)

We fit standard power-law models for ground acceleration and particle velocity using scaled ground motion observations from underground nuclear explosions at Aqueduct Mesa on the Nevada National Security Site. The models are then validated using small-scale high-explosive (HE) test data from nearby Rainier Mesa. The comparison between model predictions and observations is good and can be made more favorable if the assumed yield for the HE tests are doubled. Further validation is made with a numerical experiment that additionally shows a transition in ground motion attenuation to elastic propagation (1 = r). An extended model is provided to incorporate the long-range transition in attenuation, which results in increased ground motions at farther range. We then make predictions for the field experiment, Physical Experiment One (PE1), to take place in P-tunnel on Aqueduct Mesa, and suggest that the models could be used in planning various operations for PE1.

45 MILITARY TECHNOLOGY, WEAPONRY, AND NATIONAL DEF↗

High-Temperature Tensile and Creep Test Results on Thin Wall Tube Specimens of ODS Alloys 14YWT and OFRAC

High-temperature tensile and strain rate jump (SRJ) creep tests were conducted on axial specimens fabricated from thin wall tubes of the oxide dispersion strengthened (ODS) alloys 14YWT and OFRAC. The dimensions of the 14YWT thin wall tube was 10.7 mm OD, 0.5 mm WT and 0.92 m and of the OFRAC thin wall tube was 8.5 mm OD + 0.5 mm WT and 1.78 m in length. The axial specimens fabricated from the thin wall tubes were based on a dual-gauge design with gauge dimensions of 4 mm long and 2 mm wide. The tensile tests were conducted in air at 800ºC, 900ºC and 1,000ºC and the SRJ creep tests were conducted in air at 800ºC. Two axial specimens were used in each tensile and SRJ creep tests. The results of the tensile tests showed much lower yield stress (YS) compared to ultimate tensile strength (UTS) indicative of large work hardening properties. The results showed the UTS of OFRAC was higher than that of 14YWT by ~35 MPa at 800ºC. At 900ºC, the UTS of OFRAC and 14YWT was similar at 900ºC and at 1000ºC, the UTS of 14YWT was higher than that of OFRAC by ~10 MPa. The ductility properties of OFRAC were greater than that of 14YWT with higher values of uniform elongation (UE) and total elongation (TE) at all tensile test temperatures. The creep properties of 14YWT and OFRAC were evaluated by the strain rate jump test method at 800ºC. The stress exponent (n) for creep was obtained from the SRJ test data by plotting the values of the log strain rate against the log stress, which is measured from the stress-strain curve generated during the SRJ test. The results showed the highest stress exponents of n = 19.8 and n = 35.0 were measured from the two SRJ tests on 14YWT. The stress exponent measured from one successful SRJ test on OFRAC was n = 13.3, which was lower than that of 14YWT. Nevertheless, these high values of stress exponent are consistent with ODS ferritic alloys such as 14YWT and OFRAC since they indicate dislocation-particle interactions are the dominant creep mechanism for specific ranges of temperature and stress. The results obtained from the tensile and SRJ creep tests conducted on axial specimens in this study indicate that 14YWT and OFRAC retain high strengths at temperatures up to 1,000ºC and good creep performance at 800ºC.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Low Temperature Time-to-Explosion Experiments on HMX in the LLNL's ODTX/P-ODTX System (FY 2020 Annual Report)

Over the last few decades, there has been a considerable research effort on the thermal decomposition and thermal explosion violence of energetic materials at elevated temperatures in different sample geometries and confinements. Thermal explosion studies on various energetic materials in two-dimensional geometry such as the Scaled-Thermal-Explosion-Experiment (STEX) system and the Sandia-Instrumented-Thermal-Ignition (SITI) system have been reported. The One-Dimensional Time to Explosion (ODTX) system, designed and built by LLNL, has been used since 1970s for thermal explosion studies. The system is attractive because of the one-dimensional geometry and minimal sample requirement. With the recent integration of a pressure monitoring element, the system can study pressure behavior of materials subjected to and during thermal exposure. Rapid pressure monitoring in µsec intervals allow for enhanced pressure determination in the time right before thermal explosion. The test data can be used for the validation of existing thermal models, particularly for introducing pressure terms. This report summarizes the efforts in performing small-scale safety tests, particle size measurements and conducting 7 ODTX/P-ODTX experiments on the Cl5 HMX material that Hunting uses for oil field applications.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Hierarchical Inference with Bayesian Neural Networks: An Application to Strong Gravitational Lensing

In the past few years, approximate Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs) have demonstrated the ability to produce statistically consistent posteriors on a wide range of inference problems at unprecedented speed and scale. However, any disconnect between training sets and the distribution of real-world objects can introduce bias when BNNs are applied to data. This is a common challenge in astrophysics and cosmology, where the unknown distribution of objects in our universe is often the science goal. In this work, we incorporate BNNs with flexible posterior parameterizations into a hierarchical inference framework that allows for the reconstruction of population hyperparameters and removes the bias introduced by the training distribution. We focus on the challenge of producing posterior PDFs for strong gravitational lens mass model parameters given Hubble Space Telescope–quality single-filter, lens-subtracted, synthetic imaging data. We show that the posterior PDFs are sufficiently accurate (statistically consistent with the truth) across a wide variety of power-law elliptical lens mass distributions. We then apply our approach to test data sets whose lens parameters are drawn from distributions that are drastically different from the training set. We show that our hierarchical inference framework mitigates the bias introduced by an unrepresentative training set's interim prior. Simultaneously, we can precisely reconstruct the population hyperparameters governing our test distributions. Our full pipeline, from training to hierarchical inference on thousands of lenses, can be run in a day. The framework presented here will allow us to efficiently exploit the full constraining power of future ground- and space-based surveys (https://github.com/swagnercarena/ovejero).

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Shape-constrained Input Estimation for Efficient Multi-shaker Vibration Testing

Multi-shaker vibration testing is gaining interest from structural dynamics test engineers as it can provide a much more accurate match to complicated field vibration responses than traditional single-axis shaker tests. However, the force capabilities of the small modal shakers typically used in multi-shaker vibration tests has limited the achievable response levels. To date, most multi-shaker vibration tests have been performed using a variety of standard, commercially-available control systems. While these control systems are adequate for a wide range of multiple-input/multiple-output tests, their control algorithms have not been tailored for the specific problem of multi-shaker vibration tests: efficiently coordinating the various shakers to work together to achieve a desired response. Here, a new input estimation algorithm is developed and demonstrated using simulations and actual test data. This algorithm, dubbed shape-constrained input estimation, is shown to effectively coordinate multiple shakers using a set of constraint vectors based on the deflection shapes of the test structure. This is accomplished by using the singular vector shapes of the system frequency response matrix, which allows the constraint vectors to automatically change as a function of frequency. Simulation and test results indicate a significant reduction in the input forces required to achieve a desired response. Finally, the results indicate that shape-constrained input estimation is an effective method to achieve higher response levels from limited shaker forces which will enable higher level multi-shaker vibration tests to be performed.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Analysis of a Runtime Data Sharing Architecture over LTE for a Heterogeneous CAV Fleet

This paper describes a lightweight runtime architecture for telemetry, communication, and control of cars deployed with advanced driver assistance systems where a human is in the loop with the car, via an LTE connection. The system architecture supports both local control decisions based on car sensors and safety algorithms as well as high-level input from external systems that may provide insight into traffic state ahead of sensor data. Implementation of the architecture is done in ROS and depends on open-source software packages for runtime decoding of information from the vehicle’s controller area network (CAN) and integration of GPS data from accompanying sensors. The contribution of the paper is to describe the overall architecture, the data it can communicate to other systems, performance of the system at runtime, and challenges faced when deploying the architecture across a heterogeneous fleet. Preliminary results from analysis of test data will provide insights into whether the use of high-latency communication can be effective for societal-scale intelligent transportation systems when applied in future scenarios

Richardson, Alex↗

Development of Machine Learning Algorithm for Pebble Bed Modular Reactor Misuse Detection

The objective of this work was to develop a machine learning ensemble that could assist pebble bed reactor verification by evaluating whether a given pebble circulating through a PBR was normal or anomalous using gamma spectroscopy measurements from a notional PBR burnup measurement system. Using a PBR reference design, data sets of synthetic gamma spectra representative of BUMS measurements of normal and anomalous pebbles that may be used to produce special fissile material were generated to train and test an ML anomaly detection ensemble on two reference scenarios – substitution of normal pebbles with target pebbles for production of Pu or 233 U. The ML ensemble correctly identified all anomalous pebbles in the testing data set, and while perfect ensemble performance is normally indicative of overfitting, it was concluded that significantly lower photon intensity of target pebbles produced distinctly less intense photon spectra to where perfect ensemble performance was expected.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Experimental Aging and Lifetime Prediction in Grid Applications for Large-Format Commercial Li-Ion Batteries

Due to the growth of electric vehicle and stationary energy storage markets, the production and use of lithium-ion batteries has grown exponentially in recent years. For many of these applications, large-format lithium-ion batteries are being utilized, as large cells have less inactive material relative to their energy capacity and require fewer electrical connections to assemble into packs. And especially for stationary energy storage systems, where energy delivered is the only revenue source, the economics of these battery systems is highly dependent on cell lifetime. However, testing of large-format lithium-ion batteries is time consuming and requires high current channels and large testing chambers, making information on the performance of commercial, large-format lithium-ion batteries hard to come by. Here, accelerated aging test data from four commercial large-format lithium-ion batteries is reported. These batteries span both NMC-Gr and LFP-Gr cell chemistries, pouch and prismatic formats, and a range of cell designs with varying power capabilities. Accelerated aging test results are analyzed to examine both cell performance, in terms of efficiency and thermal response under load, as well as cell lifetime. Cell thermal response is characterized by measuring temperature during cycle aging, which is used to calculated a normalized thermal resistance value that may help estimate both cell cooling needs or to help extrapolate aging test results to different thermal environments. Cell lifetime is evaluated qualitatively, considering simply the average calendar and cycle life across a range of conditions, as well as quantitatively, using statistical modeling and machine-learning methods to identify predictive aging models from the accelerated aging data. These predictive aging models are then used to investigate cell sensitivities to stressors, such as cycling temperature, voltage window, and C-rate, as well as to predict cell lifetime in various stationary storage applications. Results from this work show that cell lifetime and sensitivity to aging conditions varies substantially across commercial cells, necessitating testing for specific cell formats to make quantitative lifetime predictions. That being said, all commercial cells tested here are predicted to reach at least 10-year lifetimes for stationary storage applications. Based on the aging test results and modeling, some cells are expected to be relatively insensitive to temperature and use-case, making them suited for simple use cases with little or no thermal management and simple controls, while the lifetime of other cells could be extended to 20+ years if operated with thermal management and degradation-aware controls.

battery↗

Single-Particle Soot Photometer (SP2) Black Carbon Number and Mass Concentrations

The single-particle soot photometer (SP2) records particle-by-particle measurements of the intensity of both the scattering signature and incandescence signature of particles that enter its laser beam. These intensities are then used to calculate refractory black carbon (rBC) masses and particle diameters. In previous U.S. Department of Energy Atmospheric Radiation Measurement (ARM) user facility field campaigns, the SP2 data was difficult to process because the manufacturer-supplied code was not scalable to distributed machines, making it unusable for the large amounts of data output by the SP2. This prohibited the SP2 from becoming an operational instrument for ARM. Therefore, PySP2 was developed to solve this issue and enable SP2 to be an operational instrument for ARM. This technical document summarizes the test data sets from the ARM North Slope of Alaska (NSA) site and the Multidisciplinary Drifting Observatory for the Study of Arctic Climate (MOSAiC) field campaign that were used to develop and test PySP2.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Flame stability analysis of flame spray pyrolysis by artificial intelligence

Flame spray pyrolysis (FSP) is a process used to synthesize nanoparticles through the combustion of an atomized precursor solution; this process has applications in catalysts, battery materials, and pigments. Current limitations revolve around understanding how to consistently achieve a stable flame and the reliable production of nanoparticles. Machine learning and artificial intelligence algorithms that detect unstable flame conditions in real time may be a means of streamlining the synthesis process and improving FSP efficiency. In this study, the FSP flame stability is first quantified by analyzing the brightness of the flame's anchor point. This analysis is then used to label data for both unsupervised and supervised machine learning approaches. The unsupervised learning approach allows for autonomous labeling and classification of new data by representing data in a reduced dimensional space and identifying combinations of features that most effectively cluster it. The supervised learning approach, on the other hand, requires human labeling of training and test data but is able to classify multiple objects of interest (such as the burner and pilot flames) within the video feed. The accuracy of each of these techniques is compared against the evaluations of human experts. Both the unsupervised and supervised approaches can track and classify FSP flame conditions in real time to alert users of unstable flame conditions. This research has the potential to autonomously track and manage flame spray pyrolysis as well as other flame technologies by monitoring and classifying the flame stability.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Rapid Identification of X-ray Diffraction Patterns Based on Very Limited Data by Interpretable Convolutional Neural Networks

Large volumes of data from material characterizations call for rapid and automatic data analysis to accelerate materials discovery. Herein, we report a convolutional neural network (CNN) that was trained based on theoretical data and very limited experimental data for fast identification of experimental X-ray diffraction (XRD) patterns of metal–organic frameworks (MOFs). To augment the data for training the model, noise was extracted from experimental data and shuffled; then it was merged with the main peaks that were extracted from theoretical spectra to synthesize new spectra. For the first time, one-to-one material identification was achieved. Theoretical MOFs patterns (1012) were augmented to a whole data set of 72 864 samples. It was then randomly shuffled and split into training (58 292 samples) and validation (14 572 samples) data sets at a ratio of 4:1. For the task of discriminating, the optimized model showed the highest identification accuracy of 96.7% for the top 5 ranking on a test data set of 30 hold-out samples. Neighborhood component analysis (NCA) on the experimental XRD samples shows that the samples from the same material are clustered in groups in the NCA map. Analysis on the class activation maps of the last CNN layer further discloses the mechanism by which the CNN model successfully identifies individual MOFs from the XRD patterns. Furthermore, this CNN model trained by the data augmentation technique would not only open numerous potential applications for identifying XRD patterns for different materials, but also pave avenues to autonomously analyze data by other characterization tools such as FTIR, Raman, and NMR spectroscopies.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗