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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 361 records · Page 20

Energy storage in combined gas-electric energy transitions models: The case of California

California’s vision for a net-zero future by 2045 relies heavily on variable renewable energy systems. Thus, energy storage - particularly long-duration storage - could play a fundamental role in reliably supplying low-carbon electricity. We study energy storage using the BRIDGES model, a combined gas-electric capacity expansion model for California across multiple investment periods (2025-2045), modeled with progressively decreasing carbon emission targets to a zero emissions by 2045. This least-cost optimization model includes renewable gas production via power-to-gas, long-term storage of energy in gaseous form, electric energy storage such as through batteries and hydrogen storage, and renewable energy generation, all with capacity tracking and investment. Multiple scenarios are evaluated to examine the sensitivity of the optimal storage portfolio to system-level and sector-level parameters. The scenario results show that all electric energy storage systems - which vary in storage duration - are deployed and required in a net-zero California in 2045, amounting to around 75 GW of storage capacity. Lithium ion systems make up approximately 80% of this power capacity and supply most short-run storage needs. Hydrogen storage - in the form of a power-to-gas-to-power system - emerges as a replacement to conventional natural gas storage, comprising most of the total energy storage capacity (~ 4 TWh). This capacity is less than 5% of the current natural gas storage capacity (94 TWh), indicating sufficient room for repurposing part of the gas infrastructure. A demand-side sensitivity analysis proves that higher electricity demand correlates with more builds of Li-ion batteries, while higher industrial heat demand leads to more builds of long-duration storage systems in a net-zero economy. Furthermore, power-to-gas systems satisfy part of the industrial heat demand by locally supplying renewable gas, which overtakes the traditional centralized gas storage and transfers through pipelines, casting significant doubts on the future of the large-scale gas infrastructure.

03 NATURAL GAS↗

Smart thermostat data-driven U.S. residential occupancy schedules and development of a U.S. residential occupancy schedule simulator

Occupancy schedule is one of the key inputs in Building Energy Modeling (BEM) to reflect the interaction between buildings and occupants. Over the past decades, standardized occupancy schedules, developed mainly by engineering rule-of-thumb, have been widely used in BEM due to its simplicity and lack of real measured occupancy data. However, the BEM community has recognized their association with uncertainty and reliability in simulation results from BEM. This study introduces representative occupancy schedules in the U.S. residential buildings, derived from a large smart thermostat dataset and time-series K-means clustering, and an open-source tool to generate a stochastic residential occupancy schedule. Over 90,000 residential occupancy schedules were estimated from the ecobee Donate Your Data dataset. Then, the representative occupancy schedules were identified through clustering. This study further investigated the impacts of three parameters (day, house type, and state) on residential occupancy schedules. Then, a tool, the Residential Occupancy Schedule Simulator (ROSS), is developed using the representative occupancy schedules derived in this study. Details of this tool are presented in this paper. In conclusion, the derived representative occupancy schedules and the ROSS tool can help improve the energy modeling of residential buildings.

42 ENGINEERING↗

In situ investigation of high-pressure hydrogen-induced swelling in elastomers and its correlation with material properties

The resistance of elastomeric materials to high-pressure hydrogen-induced damage is essential for ensuring the reliability of hydrogen infrastructure. Here, in this study, we systematically investigated the swelling behavior and hydrogen transport properties of four elastomer types – EPDM, NBR, FKM, and HNBR – using a custom in-situ view cell system capable of real-time monitoring during decompression from pressures up to 96.5 MPa. Each elastomer was formulated with and without fillers and plasticizers to assess the effects of formulation on swelling response. Thermal desorption analysis (TDA) was employed to determine equilibrium hydrogen content and diffusion coefficients, providing insight into gas uptake and mobility within each material. Correlation analyses using Pearson and Spearman coefficients revealed that the diffusion coefficient showed a stronger relationship with swelling behavior than hydrogen content, highlighting the dominant role of hydrogen mobility. Filled elastomers, particularly those with carbon black, consistently showed reduced swelling due to enhanced stiffness and reduced diffusivity. These results deepen our understanding of diffuso-mechanical interactions in elastomers and support the rational design of sealing materials for high-pressure hydrogen systems.

EPDM↗

Understanding the heat generation mechanisms and the interplay between joule heat and entropy effects as a function of state of charge in lithium-ion batteries

The thermal performance of lithium-ion battery cells is critical for ensuring their safe and reliable operation across various applications. In this study, we employed an isothermal calorimetry method to investigate the heat generation of commercial 18650 lithium-ion battery fresh cells during charge and discharge at different current rates, ranging from 0.05C to 0.5C, and across various temperatures: 20 °C, 30 °C, 40 °C, and 50 °C. Our findings revealed a direct correlation between heat generation and current rates, indicating that higher current rates lead to increased heat generation within the cells. Conversely, we observed that heat generation remained relatively stable as the temperature rose, suggesting that temperature changes within this range may not significantly impact the heat generation of fresh cells during typical operations. Furthermore, our study explored irreversible heat generation, which depends on the applied current and overpotential, using the galvanostatic intermittent titration technique at 0.05C–0.5C and 30 °C. Additionally, electrochemical impedance spectroscopy was performed on the same cells during charge and discharge at 20 °C, 30 °C, and 40 °C to analyze cell impedance. Finally, our results indicated a consistent dependence of impedance on the state of charge and depth of discharge, with a significant increase in impedance observed at the end of the discharge process.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Finite element analysis of the impact of beam heating mode in molten salt corrosion experiments employing simultaneous ion irradiation

Finite element analysis was used to investigate the temperature and stress profiles that develop in 316L stainless steel membranes being irradiated using different proton beam conditions in contact with a molten salt environment. It was shown that in addition to a nonuniform irradiation profile, a focused 2 MeV proton beam leads to very strong temperature and stress gradients in the membrane, introducing highly localized driving forces that complicate and even compromise the integrity and reliability of the experimental results of corrosion studies. Here, the use of a focused beam in corrosion studies can create experimental artifacts that may misrepresent the true corrosion behavior. In contrast, the use of a rastered beam is shown to distribute the protons and resulting radiation damage uniformly across the membrane face, and more importantly, results in temperature and stress profiles that are not only very uniform but are of much lower magnitude. The use of a rastered beam during molten salt corrosion experiments is therefore recommended to achieve uniform damage rates, thereby reducing both gradients and magnitudes of the temperature and stress distributions.

43 - PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗

Benchmarking of Solar Irradiance Nowcast Performance Derived from All-Sky Imagers

Fluctuations of the incoming solar irradiance impact the power generation from photovoltaic and concentrating solar thermal power plants. Accurate solar nowcasting becomes necessary to detect these sudden changes of generated power and to provide the desired information for optimal exploitation of solar systems. In the framework of the International Energy Agency's Photovoltaic Power Systems Program Task 16, a benchmarking exercise has been conducted relying on a bouquet of solar nowcasting methodologies by all-sky imagers (ASI). In this paper, four ASI systems nowcast the Global Horizontal Irradiance (GHI) with a time forecast ranging from 1 to 20 min during 28 days with variable cloud conditions spanning from September to November 2019 in southern Spain. All ASIs demonstrated their ability to accurately nowcast GHI, with RMSE ranging from 6.9% to 18.1%. Under cloudy conditions, all ASIs' nowcasts outperform the persistence models. Under clear skies, three ASIs are better than persistence. Discrepancies in the observed nowcasting performance become larger at increasing forecast horizons. The findings of this study highlight the feasibility of ASIs to reliably nowcast GHI at different sky conditions, time intervals and horizons. Such nowcasts can be used either to estimate solar power at distant times or detect sudden GHI fluctuations.

all-sky imagers↗

Effective Fragment Potential-Based Molecular Dynamics Studies of Diffusion in Acetone and Hexane

To facilitate more reliable descriptions of transport properties in liquids, molecular dynamics (MD) simulations are performed based on the effective fragment potential (EFP) method derived from first-principles quantum mechanics (in contrast to MD based upon empirically fitted potentials). The EFP method describes molecular interactions in terms of Coulomb, polarization/induction, dispersion, exchange-repulsion, and charge-transfer interactions. The EFP MD simulations described in this paper, performed on hexane and acetone, are able to track the mean-square displacement of molecules for sufficient time to reliably extract translational diffusion coefficients. Finally, the results reported here are in reasonable agreement with experiment.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Comparing Liquid Vortex Capture & the Rapid Droplet Sampling Interface for Single Cell Mass Spectrometry

High-throughput single-cell mass spectrometry is a rapidly evolving field that requires innovative sampling and ionization techniques to balance speed, sensitivity, and reliability for metabolomic and lipidomic analyses. This study provides a comparative analysis of two cutting-edge ionization platforms for single-cell analysis: Liquid Vortex Capture (LVC) and Rapid Droplet Sampling Interface (RDSI). The performance was benchmarked by testing pharmaceuticals, EquiSPLASH, and single-cell experiments. RDSI demonstrated up to 100-fold improvements in sensitivity for drugs and lipids such as propranolol, amiodarone, atorvastatin, and phosphocholines in water and phosphate-buffered solutions. This was attributed to its low-flow rate operation (3 μL/min) and reduced dilution. Conversely, LVC excelled in handling higher liquid volumes with greater reproducibility due to its higher solvent flow rate (200 μL/min), enabling increased dilution, solubility, and cleaning. Single-cell uptake of atorvastatin incubated for 10 min, or amiodarone incubated for 24 h in HepG2 cells, similarly revealed up to 85-fold enhancement in sensitivity by RDSI for drugs and lipids. These findings highlight the potential of RDSI for enhancing sensitivity in single-cell drug monitoring and lipidomics.

Cahill, John [ORNL] (ORCID:0000000298664010)↗

Probabilistic Diffusion Models Advance Extreme Flood Forecasting

Extreme floods pose escalating risks in a changing climate, yet forecasting remains challenging due to peak flow underestimation and high uncertainty. We introduce diffusion-based runoff model (DRUM), a probabilistic deep learning (DL) approach that advances extreme flood forecasting across representative basins in the contiguous United States. DRUM outperforms state-of-the-art benchmarks, enhancing nowcasting skill for the top 1‰ of flows in 72.3% of studied basins. Under operational scenarios, DRUM extends reliable lead times by nearly a full day for 20- and 50-year floods. When evaluated with measured precipitation, an ideal condition, recall improves by 0.3–0.4 and the early warning window extends by 2.3 days for 50-year floods. The enhancement potential varies regionally, with precipitation-driven flood zones in the eastern and northwestern US benefiting most, gaining 3–7 days in lead time. These findings highlight the transformative potential of diffusion models as a cutting-edge generative AI technique for advancing hydrology and broader Earth system sciences.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Evaluating Supply Prioritization Strategies for Risk-Informed Decision Making in an Arbitrary Gas Network

Supply disruptions and infrastructure failures in natural gas networks present critical challenges to energy reliability and risk-informed planning. This study evaluates two supply prioritization strategies, Maximum Delivery Prioritization (MDP) and Demand-Based Prioritization (DBP), within an arbitrary natural gas network under conditions of supply shortage. Model performance under both strategies is assessed in response to node and edge failure using demand satisfaction metrics, system-wide and localized dependency scores, and geographic information system (GIS)-based spatial analysis. Results show that DBP better preserves supply for high-demand nodes, while MDP offers broader coverage. The underlying network topology plays a critical role in shaping prioritization outcomes. Integrated GIS visualization enhances the interpretability of vulnerability assessments, revealing structurally critical components and localized vulnerabilities. The proposed framework supports scalable, data-driven decision-making for infrastructure planners and engineers, enabling improved disruption recovery and efficiency in constrained natural gas networks. These insights contribute to the development of more robust energy systems capable of withstanding stress and disruptions.

Peterson, Steven [ORNL] (ORCID:0000000287672998)↗

Data-driven prediction of scaling and ignition of inertial confinement fusion experiments

Recent advances in inertial confinement fusion (ICF) at the National Ignition Facility (NIF), including ignition and energy gain, are enabled by a close coupling between experiments and high-fidelity simulations. Neither simulations nor experiments can fully constrain the behavior of ICF implosions on their own, meaning pre- and postshot simulation studies must incorporate experimental data to be reliable. Linking past data with simulations to make predictions for upcoming designs and quantifying the uncertainty in those predictions has been an ongoing challenge in ICF research. We have developed a data-driven approach to prediction and uncertainty quantification that combines large ensembles of simulations with Bayesian inference and deep learning. The approach builds a predictive model for the statistical distribution of key performance parameters, which is jointly informed by past experiments and physics simulations. The prediction distribution captures the impact of experimental uncertainty, expert priors, design changes, and shot-to-shot variations. We have used this new capability to predict a 10× increase in ignition probability between Hybrid-E shots driven with 2.05 MJ compared to 1.9 MJ, and validated our predictions against subsequent experiments. We describe our new Bayesian postshot and prediction capabilities, discuss their application to NIF ignition and validate the results, and finally investigate the impact of data sparsity on our prediction results.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

An integrated transportation-power system model for a decarbonizing world

Rising demand for electricity from electric vehicles (EVs) will require new paradigms to guarantee reliable and low-cost electricity. This study couples an agent-based travel demand simulator and an electricity grid model to assess the economic costs of supplying power to meet EVs' added demand across the Chicago region. Results suggest that shifting from personal EVs to a fleet of shared, fully-automated all-electric vehicles (SAEVs) could lower per-mile emissions, congestion, and embodied vehicle and charging infrastructure emissions. Further, the results should compel policymakers to shift the cost of providing power onto commercial customers, like electric ride-hail fleets, through price-indexed electricity prices, which can shift charging to off-peak periods or away from resource-scarce hours.

Integrated modeling↗

PIP-II cryoplant non thermal cycling updates

The Proton Improvement Plan-II (PIP-II) is a crucial upgrade to the Fermilab accelerator complex, featuring a new 800-MeV Superconducting Radio-Frequency (SRF) linear accelerator (LINAC) with 23 cryomodules operating at 2 K. The LINAC thermohydraulic conditions are satisfied by the cryogenic subsystems: Cryogenic Distribution System (CDS), a helium refrigerator cold box (CB), a warm compression station (WCS) and a helium recovery system (RSYS). The accelerator has a strict requirement of non-thermal cycling of the LINAC cryomodules during planned and unplanned subsystem outages. This paper presents an integrated reliability analysis of the PIPII cryoplant. The study evaluates both normal and abnormal operating modes, with a focus on identifying integrated scenarios that put subsystems components under stress. The conclusions of this study will help build redundancy to mitigate LINAC thermal cycling risks during planned and unplanned subsystem outages.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗

A Novel Dosimetry Method for Small Animal Irradiators Using 3D-printed Mouse Phantoms and Alanine Dosimeters

Abstract Accurate dosimetry is a crucial component of small animal and preclinical irradiation studies. Various dosimetry options are available but fail to characterize complex geometries and variable energy spectra of modern x-ray irradiators accurately. These options also lack national/international standards of recognition. This paper presents a novel dosimetry system, Dosequate, which uses murine phantoms embedded with alanine dosimeters and paired with x-ray energy spectra corrections to deliver consistent and accurate dosimetry measurements. This study compares Dosequate measurements against a Precision X-RAD 320 internal ion chamber and the treatment planning system of an Xstrahl Small Animal Radiation Research Platform. Results demonstrate the accuracy and reproducibility of the Dosequate system, highlighting its potential for standardizing dosimetry in preclinical research throughout the industry. Results demonstrate the accuracy and reproducibility of the Dosequate system, highlighting its potential for standardizing dosimetry in preclinical research throughout the industry. The Dosequate dosimetry method provides a robust and standardized approach for measuring absorbed dose in small animal irradiators. Its accuracy, reproducibility, and ability to account for complex irradiation geometries make it a valuable tool for preclinical research. This system has the potential to significantly improve the intercomparability of studies across different facilities and enhance the reliability of results.

Environmental Sciences & Ecology↗

Feed the fish: A review of aquaculture feeders and their strategic implementation

Automatic feeders are revolutionizing aquaculture by enabling precise and controlled feeding regimens that optimize growth, reduce feed waste, and enhance the overall efficiency of farming operations. Demand feeders provide some similar benefits but with feeding tailored to fish appetites and, in some cases, feed dispersal without electricity. This review explores the evolution, technological advancements, and applications of these feeders with a survey of recent research. It looks at common feeder designs and compares the pros and cons of five automatic feeder configurations in commercial use today. The article contrasts feeders and feed sizes for farmed species in different life stages and facilities, from hatcheries to ponds and offshore cages. It discusses the importance of species-tailored feeding strategies as well as impacts on fish behavior and health, nutrient delivery, and environmental sustainability. Incorporating sensors and on-site computing enables optimization in feeding algorithms that feeders then implement precisely and reliably. The review compiles results from multiple studies comparing growth rate, weight, and feed conversion ratio (FCR) outcomes from automatic feeders and demand feeders versus traditional hand-feeding regimens. The integration of feeders with real-time monitoring and data analytics is also discussed, highlighting future directions for research and adoption across the industry.

42 ENGINEERING↗

A Big Problem for Small Earthquakes: Benchmarking Routine Magnitudes and Conversion Relationships with Coda Envelope-Derived Mw in Southern Kansas and Northern Oklahoma

Earthquake magnitudes are widely relied upon measures of earthquake size. Although moment magnitude (M w ) has become the established standard for moderate and large earthquakes, difficulty in reliably measuring seismic moments for small (generally M w <4) earthquakes has meant that magnitudes for these events remain plagued by a patchwork of inconsistent measurement scales. Because of this, magnitudes of small earthquakes and statistics derived from them can be biased. Furthermore, because small earthquakes are much more numerous than large ones, many applications, such as seismic hazard modeling, depend critically on analysis of events characterized by magnitudes other than M w . Therefore, to assess this problem, we apply coda envelope analysis to reliably determine moment magnitudes for a case study of small earthquakes from northern Oklahoma and southern Kansas. Not surprisingly, we find significant differences among M L , m bLg , and M w for M ~2–4 earthquakes examined here. More troublingly, we find that relations designed to convert other magnitudes to M w , which are relied upon for important applications such as seismic hazard analysis, often increase rather than decrease this bias for our dataset. In our case study, we find that converted magnitudes can result in a systematic bias sometimes exceeding 0.5 magnitude units, a difference that typically corresponds to a factor of ~3 in seismicity rate. Moreover, we find a correspondingly large bias in Gutenberg–Richter b-values, controlled primarily by inaccurate magnitude scaling in the conversion relationships. Although this study focuses on a relatively small geographic area, we can expect that similar issues exist with varying severity in other regions. Therefore, magnitudes of small earthquakes and their associated statistics, including seismicity rates and b-values, should be treated with caution.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Key Considerations for Adoption of Technical Codes and Standards for Battery Energy Storage Systems in Thailand

Battery storage is “technology that enables power system operators and utilities to store energy for later use. A battery energy storage system (BESS) is an electrochemical device that charges (or collects energy) from the grid or a power plant and then discharges that energy at a later time to provide electricity or other grid services when needed”. As countries in Asia consider the inclusion of BESS in their power systems to meet policy objectives, renewable energy goals, increase resilience, and expand energy access, there is an opportunity to learn from the experiences of other regions and jurisdictions that have developed more advanced storage markets and deployment methodologies. This report presents global best practices of codes, standards, and interconnection procedures developed to support the safe and reliable deployment of BESS. Several relevant case studies highlight current efforts to ensure safe operation of BESS and showcase potential pathways for adoption of relevant codes and standards. Specifically, this report is intended to support the Thailand Office of Energy Regulatory Commission (OERC) and other stakeholders in their efforts to develop technical codes and standards to govern the installation and operation of BESS; it may also be utilized as a guide for other countries as interest in the deployment of BESS technologies continues to grow.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Next-Generation, High-temperature, High-frequency, High-efficiency, High-power-density Traction System

To meet performance and reliability requirements necessary for broader adoption of electric drive vehicles, the Electrical and Electronics Technical Team of the U.S. Drive partnership has established aggressive design goals for next-generation electric vehicle drivetrains. Specifically, the 2025 roadmap stipulates a 100 kW/L power density target and a $\$$2.7/kW cost target for power electronics, in addition to high-voltage operation (i.e., greater than 800 VDC). The additional targets for traction motor and the overall system performance impose further challenges on the power electronics design. For example, many high specific power machines have reduced iron content, and therefore reduced intrinsic filtering, thus requiring the inverter to supply a low-distortion drive current. These machines also typically have a high pole count, thus requiring drive current at a higher electrical frequency. Other motors, such as brush-less dc and switch reluctance machines, require a carefully-shaped, non-sinusoidal drive current (Yang, Shang, Brown, & Krishnamurthy, 2015), (Zhang, Bowman, O'Connel, & Haran, 2018), (Anderson, et al., 2018). Two- and three-level inverter topologies are the conventional framework for the power electronics design of the drivetrain, and some demonstrations have shown recent progress towards addressing cost, power density and efficiency goals (Gurpinar & Ozpineci, 2018), (Zhu, Kim, Chen, Erickson, & Maksimović, 2018), (Deshpande, Chen, Narayanasamy, Sathyanarayanan, & Luo, 2018), (Alizadeh, et al., 2019). However, an unconventional approach may be necessary to take the dramatic leap in power density necessitated by the roadmap—while simultaneously addressing the other system needs. Therefore, this project leverages the flying capacitor multilevel (FCML) topology, together with a scalable, modular approach, to address these needs. This type of hybrid converter has several advantages: lower voltage (i.e., less than 300 V) transistors can be used, energy-dense capacitors process most of the power, and the output current waveform is multilevel and exhibits a frequency multiplying effect—in other words, the output has reduced dv/dt and filtering requirements for the same high voltage dc bus. For example, in an electric vehicle with an 800 V bus, a 10-level FCML could leverage 100 V, commercially available GaN devices switching at 115 kHz to produce a ~1 MHz switching waveform (modulated according to the motor drive requirements) with one ninth of the dv/dt of a two-level converter. Prior work has already demonstrated promising performance and gravimetric power density figures for more electric aircraft applications (Pallo, Foulkes, Modeer, Coday, & Pilawa-Podgurski, 2018). This project leverages lessons learned to achieve the volumetric power density of 100 kW/L by employing advanced liquid cooling, address the 300,000 mile reliability challenge with redundant design, topology failure studies and online health monitoring, and reduce costs to $\$$2.7/kW through the use of low-cost GaN devices, modular converter assemblies, and modest modifications to traditional manufacturing methods. The project involved several hardware designs, each achieving increasing performance. At the conclusion of the project, a volumetric power density of 380 kW/L was achieved, in a 800V dc-ac converter, greatly surpassing even the aggressive target goal.

33 ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗