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At least 361 records · Page 20

Underestimation of multi-decadal global O 2 loss due to an optimal interpolation method

Abstract. The global ocean's oxygen content has declined significantly over the past several decades and is expected to continue decreasing under global warming, with far-reaching impacts on marine ecosystems and biogeochemical cycling. Determining the oxygen trend, its spatial pattern, and uncertainties from observations is fundamental to our understanding of the changing ocean environment. This study uses a suite of CMIP6 Earth system models to evaluate the biases and uncertainties in oxygen distribution and trends due to sampling sparseness. Model outputs are sub-sampled according to the spatial and temporal distribution of the historical shipboard measurements, and the data gaps are filled by a simple optimal interpolation method using Gaussian covariance with a constant e-folding length scale. Sub-sampled results are compared to full model output, revealing the biases in global and basin-wise oxygen content trends. The simple optimal interpolation underestimates the modeled global deoxygenation trends, capturing approximately two-thirds of the full model trends. The North Atlantic and subpolar North Pacific are relatively well sampled, and the simple optimal interpolation is capable of reconstructing more than 80 % of the oxygen trend in the non-eddying CMIP models. In contrast, pronounced biases are found in the equatorial oceans and the Southern Ocean, where the sampling density is relatively low. The application of the simple optimal interpolation method to the historical dataset estimated the global oxygen loss to be 1.5 % over the past 50 years. However, the ratio of the global oxygen trend between the sub-sampled and full model output has increased the estimated loss rate in the range of 1.7 % to 3.1 % over the past 50 years, which partially overlaps with previous studies. The approach taken in this study can provide a framework for the intercomparison of different statistical gap-filling methods to estimate oxygen content trends and their uncertainties due to sampling sparseness.

Ito, Takamitsu (ORCID:000000019873099X)↗

Reduced-order modeling for efficient cross section library development in high-temperature gas reactor pebble-bed depletion analysis

Accurate modeling of running-in and equilibrium conditions in pebble-bed reactors (PBRs) requires precise microscopic multigroup neutron cross sections. In Griffin, deterministic neutronics calculations rely on multivariate interpolation over large cross section libraries, resulting in significant memory usage and performance bottlenecks. This work, together with a companion paper on Griffin integration, explores reduced-order models (ROMs) to replace interpolation with lightweight surrogates. Several ROM techniques are benchmarked, with deep neural networks (DNNs) demonstrating superior memory efficiency, scalability, and predictive accuracy. A total of 295 DNNs were trained to build a comprehensive isotope library, integrated into Griffin through a custom LibTorch interface for depletion analysis. Initial results demonstrate that DNN-based ROMs drastically reduce memory demands while preserving accuracy, enabling finer tabulations and additional state variables without overhead. In conclusion, the framework also supports online cross section generation and real-time DNN updates through transfer learning, improving fidelity by capturing self-shielding and evolving nuclide compositions during burnup.

22 - GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Performance and Evaluation of the Global Modeling and Assimilation Office Observing System Simulation Experiment

The National Aeronautics and Space Administration Global Modeling and Assimilation Office (NASA/GMAO) has spent more than a decade developing and implementing a global Observing System Simulation Experiment framework for use in evaluting both new observation types as well as the behavior of data assimilation systems. The NASA/GMAO OSSE has constantly evolved to relect changes in the Gridpoint Statistical Interpolation data assimiation system, the Global Earth Observing System model, version 5 (GEOS-5), and the real world observational network. Software and observational datasets for the GMAO OSSE are publicly available, along with a technical report. Substantial modifications have recently been made to the NASA/GMAO OSSE framework, including the character of synthetic observation errors, new instrument types, and more sophisticated atmospheric wind vectors. These improvements will be described, along with the overall performance of the current OSSE. Lessons learned from investigations into correlated errors and model error will be discussed.

OSS↗

From IEC 61853 power measurements to PV system simulations.

The IEC 61853 PV module energy rating standard requires measuring module power (and hence efficiency) over a matrix of irradiance and temperature conditions. These matrix points represent nearly the full range of operating conditions encountered in the field in all but the most extreme locations, and create an opportunity to develop alternative approaches to existing modelssuch as the single-diode models and the Sandia Array Performance Modelfor calculating system performance. This report begins by discussing the bilinear interpolation and extrapolation method from IEC 61853-3, and then describes four existing model-based methods that could be used with matrix measurements. Then a new model is developed and all options are compared according to seven objective criteria using the matrix measurements of four PV modules of different technologies. The results show that the new model is an excellent candidate for launching power matrix-based PV system simulations.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

File Specification for M2AMIP Products: Version Number - 1.0

The Modern-Era Retrospective analysis for Research and Applications, Version 2 (MERRA-2) is an atmospheric reanalysis computed with the Goddard Earth Observing (EOS) System, Version 5.12.4 (GEOS) data assimilation system (Gelaro et al., 2017). To supplement the reanalysis, the GEOS General Circulation Model (GCM) used in MERRA-2 has been used to generate a 10-member ensemble of simulations, configured following the convention of the Atmospheric Model Intercomparison Project (AMIP; Gates et al., 1992). Each ensemble member was initialized using meteorological fields from a different date in November 1979. The AMIP simulations used the sea-surface temperature (SST) and sea-ice boundary conditions that were used in MERRA-2 (Bosilovich et al., 2016). This 10-member ensemble of AMIP simulations, denoted M2AMIP, is available for download in a group of self-describing files, which are documented in this office note. All data collections are provided on the same horizontal grid as MERRA-2. This grid has 576 points in the longitudinal direction and 361 points in the latitudinal direction, corresponding to a resolution of 0.625 degrees by 0.5 degrees. Although data collections are available at this grid, all fields are computed on a cubed-sphere grid with an approximate resolution of 50 km by 50 km and are then spatially interpolated to the latitude-longitude grid. There are no changes in the vertical grids used: variables are provided on either the native vertical grid of 72 model layers, or interpolated to 42 standard pressure levels. Unlike MERRA, no data collections are available at the vertical layer edges. More details on the grid are provided in Section 4. MERRA-2 introduced observation-based precipitation forcing for the land surface parameterization and the corresponding variable PRECTOTCORR in the MERRA-2 FLX (surface turbulent fluxes and related quantities) and LFO (land-surface forcing) collections (see Section 6; Reichle et al., 2017). While this variable is still available for M2AMIP, there was no observation-based forcing, making the value identical to the model derived precipitation, PRECTOT. Similarly, without data assimilation, the values for the analysis increments, D*DTANA, in the tendency and vertically integrated file collections are zero. The M2AMIP data are available for download online through the NASA Center for Climate Simulation (NCCS) DataPortal (https://portal.nccs.nasa.gov/datashare/gmao_m2amip/). Data are arranged in subdirectories based on ensemble member, followed by year and month. Control files that are compatible with the Grid Analysis and Display System (GrADS) are available in the ctl_daily and ctl_monthly directories for the hourly, three hourly, and monthly mean data. Control files for the monthly mean diurnal cycle can be found in the ctl_diurnal subdirectory within the directory for each individual ensemble member.

M2AMIP↗

The Effects of Atmospheric Models on the Estimation of Infrasonic Source Functions at the Source Physics Experiment

We invert infrasound signals for an equivalent seismoacoustic source function using different atmospheric models to produce the necessary Green’s functions. The infrasound signals were produced by a series of underground chemical explosions as part of the Source Physics Experiment (SPE). In a previous study, we inverted the infrasound data using so-called predictive atmospheric models, which were based on historic, regional-scaled, publicly available weather observations interpolated onto a 3D grid. For the work presented here, we invert the same infrasound data, but using atmospheric models based on weather data collected in a time window that includes the approximate time of the explosion experiments, which we term postdictive models. We build two versions of the postdictive models for each SPE event: one that is based solely on the regional scaled observations, and one that is based on both regional scaled observations combined with on-site observations obtained by a weather sonde released at the time of the SPE. We then invert the observed data set three times, once for each atmospheric model type. We find that the estimated seismoacoustic source functions are relatively similar in waveform shape regardless of which atmospheric model that we used to construct the Green’s functions. However, we find that the amplitude of the estimated source functions is systematically dependent on the atmospheric model type: using the predictive atmospheric models to invert the data generally yields estimated source functions that are larger in amplitude than those estimated using the postdictive models.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

First‐Order Empirical Interpolation Method for Real‐Time Solution of Parametric Time‐Dependent Nonlinear PDEs

ABSTRACT We present a model reduction approach for the real‐time solution of time‐dependent nonlinear partial differential equations (PDEs) with parametric dependencies. A major challenge in constructing efficient and accurate reduced‐order models for nonlinear PDEs is the efficient treatment of nonlinear terms. We address this by unifying the implementation of hyperreduction methods to deal with nonlinear terms. Furthermore, we introduce a first‐order empirical interpolation method (EIM) to provide an efficient approximation of the nonlinear terms in time‐dependent PDEs. We demonstrate the effectiveness of our approach on the Allen–Cahn equation, which models phase separation, and the Buckley–Leverett equation, which describes two‐phase fluid flow in porous media. Numerical results highlight the accuracy, efficiency, and stability of the proposed method compared with both the Galerkin–Newton approach and hyper‐reduced models using the standard EIM.

Nguyen, Ngoc Cuong [Center for Computational Engin↗

TRAP/SEE Code Users Manual for Predicting Trapped Radiation Environments

TRAP/SEE is a PC-based computer code with a user-friendly interface which predicts the ionizing radiation exposure of spacecraft having orbits in the Earth's trapped radiation belts. The code incorporates the standard AP8 and AE8 trapped proton and electron models but also allows application of an improved database interpolation method. The code treats low-Earth as well as highly-elliptical Earth orbits, taking into account trajectory perturbations due to gravitational forces from the Moon and Sun, atmospheric drag, and solar radiation pressure. Orbit-average spectra, peak spectra per orbit, and instantaneous spectra at points along the orbit trajectory are calculated. Described in this report are the features, models, model limitations and uncertainties, input and output descriptions, and example calculations and applications for the TRAP/SEE code.

Armstrong, T. W.↗

Digital image gathering and minimum mean-square error restoration

Most digital image restoration algorithms are inherently incomplete because they are conditioned on a discrete-input, discrete-output model which only accounts for blurring during image gathering and additive noise. For those restoration applications where sampling and reconstruction are important, the restoration algorithm should be based on a more comprehensive end-to-end model which also accounts for the potentially important noiselike effects of aliasing and the low-pass filtering effects of interpolative reconstruction. It is demonstrated that although the mathematics of this more comprehensive model is more complex, the increase in complexity is not so great as to prevent a complete development and analysis of the associated minimum mean-square error (Wiener) restoration filter.

Park, Stephen K.↗

Stanford Thermal Earth Model for the Conterminous United States

Provided here are various forms of the Stanford Thermal Earth Model, as well as the data and methods used for its creation. The predictions produced by this model were visualized in two-dimensional spatial maps across the modeled depths (0-7 km) for the conterminous United States. The thermal earth model is made available as an application programming interface (API) and as feature layers on ArcGIS, which are both provided via links below. A data-driven spatial interpolation algorithm based on physics-informed graph neural networks was used to develop these national temperature-at-depth maps. The model satisfied the three-dimensional heat conduction law by predicting subsurface temperature, surface heat flow, and rock thermal conductivity. Many physical quantities, including bottomhole temperature, depth, geographic coordinates, elevation, sediment thickness, magnetic anomaly, gravity anomaly, gamma-ray flux of radioactive elements, seismicity, and electric conductivity were used as model inputs. Surface heat flow, temperature, and thermal conductivity predictions were constructed for depths of 0-7 km at an interval of 1 km with spatial resolution of 18 km2 per grid cell. The model showed superior temperature, surface heat flow and thermal conductivity mean absolute errors of 4.8C, 8.1 mW/m2 and 0.07 W/(C-m), respectively..

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗

Predicting metal–metal interactions. II. Accelerating generalized schemes through physical insights

Operando-computational frameworks that integrate descriptors for catalyst stability within catalyst screening paradigms enable predictions of rates and selectivity on chemically faithful representations of nanoparticles under reaction conditions. These catalyst stability descriptors can be efficiently predicted by density functional theory (DFT)-based models. The alloy stability model, for example, predicts the stability of metal atoms in nanoparticles with site-by-site resolution. In this work, we use physical insights to present accelerated approaches of parameterizing this recently introduced alloy-stability model. These accelerated approaches meld quadratic functions for the energy of metal atoms in terms of the coordination number with linear correlations between model parameters and the cohesive energies of bulk metals. By interpolating across both the coordination number and chemical space, these accelerated approaches shrink the training set size for 12 fcc p- and d-block metals from 204 to as few as 24 DFT calculated total energies without sacrificing the accuracy of our model. We validate the accelerated approaches by predicting adsorption energies of metal atoms on extended surfaces and 147 atom cuboctahedral nanoparticles with mean absolute errors of 0.10 eV and 0.24 eV, respectively. This efficiency boost will enable a rapid and exhaustive exploration of the vast material space of transition metal alloys for catalytic applications.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Deep learning-based spatio-temporal fusion for high-fidelity ultra-high-speed X-ray radiography

Full-field ultra-high-speed (UHS) X-ray imaging experiments have been well established to characterize various processes and phenomena. However, the potential of UHS experiments through the joint acquisition of X-ray videos with distinct configurations has not been fully exploited. In this paper, we investigate the use of a deep learning-based spatio-temporal fusion (STF) framework to fuse two complementary sequences of X-ray images and reconstruct the target image sequence with high spatial resolution, high frame rate and high fidelity. We applied a transfer learning strategy to train the model and compared the peak signal-to-noise ratio (PSNR), average absolute difference (AAD) and structural similarity (SSIM) of the proposed framework on two independent X-ray data sets with those obtained from a baseline deep learning model, a Bayesian fusion framework and the bicubic interpolation method. The proposed framework outperformed the other methods with various configurations of the input frame separations and image noise levels. With three subsequent images from the low-resolution (LR) sequence of a four times lower spatial resolution and another two images from the high-resolution (HR) sequence of a 20 times lower frame rate, the proposed approach achieved average PSNRs of 37.57 dB and 35.15 dB, respectively. When coupled with the appropriate combination of high-speed cameras, the proposed approach will enhance the performance and therefore the scientific value of UHS X-ray imaging experiments.

deep learning↗

Hypersonic research engine project. Phase 2: Aerothermodynamic Integration Model (AIM) data reduction computer program, data item no. 54.16

The data reduction program used to analyze the performance of the Aerothermodynamic Integration Model is described. Routines to acquire, calibrate, and interpolate the test data, to calculate the axial components of the pressure area integrals and the skin function coefficients, and to report the raw data in engineering units are included along with routines to calculate flow conditions in the wind tunnel, inlet, combustor, and nozzle, and the overall engine performance. Various subroutines were modified and used to obtain species concentrations and transport properties in chemical equilibrium at each of the internal and external engine stations. It is recommended that future test plans include the configuration, calibration, and channel assignment data on a magnetic tape generated at the test site immediately before or after a test, and that the data reduction program be designed to operate in a batch environment.

Gaede, A. E.↗

An analysis of LANDSAT MSS scene-to-scene registration accuracy

Measurements were made for 12 registrations done by ERL for 8 registrations done by SRS. The results indicate that the ERL method is significantly more accurate in five of the eight comparison. The difference between the two methods are not significant in the other three cases. There are two possible reasons for the differences. First, the ERL model is a piecewise linear model and the EDITOR model is a cubic polynomial model. Second, the ERL program resamples using bilinear interpolation while the EDITOR software uses a nearest neighbor resampling. This study did not indicate how much of the difference is attributable to each factor. The average of all merged scene error values for ERL was 31.6 meters and the average for the eight common areas was 32.6 meters. The average of the eight merged scene error values for SRS was 40.1 meters.

Seyfarth, B. R.↗

A Natural Bias Approach to Cardinal Spline Curves

The cardinal spline approach to defining interpolatory curves is of interest in the application of computer graphics to modelling and animation problems. The formulation of this interpolation problem (C) a vector valued function V is obtained which forms a C1 map from 0,n into the plane in such a way that V(i) and V prime (i) attain prespecified (vector) values P sub i and T sub i for the integers i=0, 1,...n. The intent is that the planar curves V(s) pass through each point P sub i in the direction corresponding to T sub i. In actual practice it is common for only the interpolation points P sub i to be user specified. Suitable tangents T sub i are then provided by some heuristic to complete the specification of (C). A convex control polygon yields a convex interpolant. Examples exist where the interpolant fails to be convex if the tangents are left unbiased.

Fletcher, G. Y.↗

Estimation of the processes controlling variability in phytoplankton pigment distributions on the southeastern U.S. continental shelf

Five coastal-zone-color-scanner images from the southeastern U.S. continental shelf are combined with concurrent moored current meter measurements to assess the processes controlling the variability in chlorophyll concentration and distribution in this region. An equation governing the space and time distribution of a nonconservative quantity such as chlorophyll is used in the calculations. The terms of the equation, estimated from observations, show that advective, diffusive, and local processes contribute to the plankton distributions and vary with time and location. The results from this calculation are compared with similar results obtained using a numerical physical-biological model with circulation fields derived from an optimal interpolation of the current meter observations and it is concluded that the two approaches produce different estimates of the processes controlling phytoplankton variability.

Mcclain, Charles R.↗

Evaporation over global oceans derived from satellite data and AGCM

Evaporation over ocean at 100 km has been estimated using operational satellite data. Recent satellite results are compared to data obtained through atmospheric general circulation models (AGCMs). A large systematic error is found in AGCM data which is considered to be due to overestimation of atmospheric moisture. It is suggested that the discrepancy may be caused by errors in operational infrared sounder data assimilated into the model. The error may also be caused by interpolation of very sparse in situ data in areas of sharp gradients.

Liu, W. T.↗