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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 361 records · Page 20
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2025

Machine learning and process-based modeling of spatiotemporal changes in active layer thickness across Alaska

Permafrost degradation poses a growing threat to infrastructure stability and ecosystem resilience in the rapidly warming Arctic. We investigated the spatiotemporal dynamics of active layer thickness (ALT) across Alaska by integrating field observations, environmental datasets, a physically based Stefan model, and machine learning (ML) techniques. Using weather projections from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 under two Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSP 2-4.5 and SSP 5-8.5), we assessed ALT sensitivity to projected future weather conditions. The random forest (RF) model outperformed the Stefan approach in predicting ALT on the training dataset (R² = 0.84 vs. 0.53) but demonstrated lower generalizability on the test dataset (R² = 0.24 vs. 0.54). The root mean square error (RMSE) for the RF model for training and testing ranged from 14 to 22 cm, compared to 17 and 18 cm for the Stefan model. Variable importance analysis revealed that mean annual temperature and slope angle were the strongest predictors of ALT, accounting for 19% and 18% of the variance, respectively, followed by sediment transport index (14%) and stream power index (11%). Comparative analysis of baseline ALT predictions showed the Stefan model tended to project a thicker active layer (mean ± SD: 65 ± 16 cm), compared to the RF model (mean ± SD: 59 ± 8.8) cm). Both models indicated a latitudinal gradient in ALT, with shallower depths at higher latitudes. Projected ALT increases by 2100 were estimated at 3.3 ± 2.2 cm under SSP 2-4.5 and 5.9 ± 4.0 cm under SSP 5-8.5 for the ML model, whereas the Stefan model projected substantially larger increases of 13 ± 2.6 cm (SSP 2-4.5) and 28 ± 4.4 cm (SSP5-8.5). Spatial analysis showed the greatest ALT increases in northern Alaska, with relatively smaller changes in southern regions. These findings highlight the complex, multifactorial nature of ALT dynamics and the value of hybrid modeling approaches. As rising temperatures accelerate permafrost thaw, changes in ALT can disrupt ecosystems, damage infrastructures, and enhance the release of stored soil carbon, highlighting the urgent need for improved predictive capabilities to inform adaptation strategies in the Arctic.

Climate sciences↗
DOE OSTI2026

A non-intrusive framework using acoustic signals and deep learning for boiling diagnostics in visual-limited environments

Accurate monitoring of boiling heat transfer is critical for safeguarding high-power systems operating in environments where conventional optical diagnostics are hindered by radiation fields or restricted visual accessibility. This study presents a non-intrusive framework that integrates hydroacoustic sensing with deep learning to infer near-wall boiling characteristics and enable predictive thermal assessment without visual access. In a prototypical subcooled flow-boiling facility representative of the Isotope Production Facility (IPF) at Los Alamos, hydrophones capture boiling-induced acoustic emissions that are transformed into background-removed Short-Time Fourier Transform (STFT) spectrograms. A convolutional neural network (CNN) then regresses heat flux, wall superheat, and key bubble parameters directly from these spectrograms. The CNN achieved predictive accuracy under nominal conditions and demonstrated robustness and generalization under acoustic noise for Signal-to-Noise Ratios (SNRs) down to approximately 0 dB. When integrated into an ANSYS CFX wall-boiling model, the acoustically inferred parameters reproduced boiling curve and critical heat flux (CHF) values consistent with image-based benchmarks. Furthermore, the model retained reliable performance under moderate variations in bulk temperature, flow rate, and hydrophone placement, confirming its generalizability across practical boundary conditions. These results demonstrate the feasibility of hydroacoustic-based deep learning as a viable path toward real-time, radiation-tolerant boiling diagnostics and predictive thermal safety assessment in inaccessible systems such as the IPF.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2023

Physics informed deep neural network embedded in a chemical transport model for the Amazon rainforest

Secondary organic aerosols (SOA) are fine particles in the atmosphere, which interact with clouds, radiation and affect the Earth’s energy budget. SOA formation involves chemistry in gas phase, aqueous aerosols, and clouds. Simulating these chemical processes involve solving a stiff set of differential equations, which are computationally expensive steps for three-dimensional chemical transport models. Deep neural networks (DNNs) are universal function approximators that could be used to represent the complex nonlinear changes in aerosol physical and chemical processes; however, key challenges such as generalizability to extended time periods, preservation of mass balance, simulating sparse model outputs, and maintaining physical constraints have limited their use in atmospheric chemistry. Here, we develop an approach of using a physics-informed DNN that overcomes previous such challenges and demonstrates its applicability for the chemical formation processes of isoprene epoxydiol SOA (IEPOX-SOA) over the Amazon rainforest. The DNN is trained with data generated by simulating IEPOX-SOA over the entire atmospheric column, using the Weather Research and Forecasting Model coupled with Chemistry (WRF-Chem). The trained DNN is then embedded within WRF-Chem to replace the computationally expensive default solver of IEPOX-SOA formation. The trained DNN predictions generalizes well with the default model simulation of the IEPOX-SOA mass concentrations and its size distribution (20 size bins) over several days of simulations in both dry and wet seasons. The embedded DNN reduces the computational expense of WRF-Chem by a factor of 2. Our approach shows promise in terms of application to other computationally expensive chemistry solvers in climate models.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2026

Roadmap for transforming heterogeneous catalysis with artificial intelligence

Artificial intelligence (AI) is poised to transform heterogeneous catalysis, opening avenues for catalytic materials discovery. By uncovering intricate patterns in high-dimensional data, AI has been reshaping our pursuit of sustainable catalytic processes across the energy, environmental and chemical sectors. This promise, however, hinges on overcoming fundamental barriers, including limitations in data availability and quality, challenges in the generalizability and interpretability of data-augmented decisions, and the persistent gap between in silico predictions and experiments. Furthermore, we outline a forward-looking roadmap for deeply integrating AI into heterogeneous catalysis with an AI-ready data ecosystem, multimodal foundation models, and ultimately autonomous laboratories to accelerate the development of next-generation catalytic technologies via AI-empowered human–machine collaboration.

Computational methods↗
DOE OSTI2025

A hybrid calorimetry-simulation model of mixing enthalpy for molten salt

Calorimetric determination of enthalpies of mixing (ΔH mix ) in multicomponent molten salts is often interpreted using empirical models that lack physically meaningful parameters. However, for improving pyrochemical separation of spent nuclear fuel, where lanthanides are major fission products and critical elements, a deeper thermodynamic understanding of the link between excess thermodynamic properties and solvation structure is critically needed. In this work, we implement a hybrid and physics-informed framework, MIVM+Calorimetry+AIMD, which integrates experimentally measured ΔH mix (via high temperature drop calorimetry) with solvation structures from ab initio molecular dynamics (AIMD). This approach is demonstrated using LaCl 3 mixed with eutectic LiCl-KCl (58 mol% – 42 mol%) at 873 K and 1133 K. MIVM-derived parameters enable extrapolation of excess Gibbs energy and La 3+ activity across compositions. In contrast, direct ΔH mix predictions from AIMD and polarizable ion model simulations deviate significantly. By incorporating experimentally benchmarked solvation structures into an interpretable thermodynamic model, the MIVM+Calorimetry+AIMD formalism achieves higher accuracy and generalizable method for studying molten salts, offering a robust path for understanding and optimizing molten salt chemistry relevant to nuclear fuel cycles and separation science.

Goncharov, Vitaliy G. [Washington State Univ., Pul↗
DOE OSTI2023

Differentiable modelling to unify machine learning and physical models for geosciences

Process-based modelling offers interpretability and physical consistency in many domains of geosciences but struggles to leverage large datasets efficiently. Machine-learning methods, especially deep networks, have strong predictive skills yet are unable to answer specific scientific questions. Here, in this Perspective, we explore differentiable modelling as a pathway to dissolve the perceived barrier between process-based modelling and machine learning in the geosciences and demonstrate its potential with examples from hydrological modelling. ‘Differentiable’ refers to accurately and efficiently calculating gradients with respect to model variables or parameters, enabling the discovery of high-dimensional unknown relationships. Differentiable modelling involves connecting (flexible amounts of) prior physical knowledge to neural networks, pushing the boundary of physics-informed machine learning. It offers better interpretability, generalizability, and extrapolation capabilities than purely data-driven machine learning, achieving a similar level of accuracy while requiring less training data. Additionally, the performance and efficiency of differentiable models scale well with increasing data volumes. Under data-scarce scenarios, differentiable models have outperformed machine-learning models in producing short-term dynamics and decadal-scale trends owing to the imposed physical constraints. Differentiable modelling approaches are primed to enable geoscientists to ask questions, test hypotheses, and discover unrecognized physical relationships. Future work should address computational challenges, reduce uncertainty, and verify the physical significance of outputs.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2023

Defect graph neural networks for materials discovery in high-temperature clean-energy applications

We present a graph neural network approach that fully automates the prediction of defect formation enthalpies for any crystallographic site from the ideal crystal structure, without the need to create defected atomic structure models as input. Here we used density functional theory reference data for vacancy defects in oxides, to train a defect graph neural network (dGNN) model that replaces the density functional theory supercell relaxations otherwise required for each symmetrically unique crystal site. Interfaced with thermodynamic calculations of reduction entropies and associated free energies, the dGNN model is applied to the screening of oxides in the Materials Project database, connecting the zero-kelvin defect enthalpies to high-temperature process conditions relevant for solar thermochemical hydrogen production and other energy applications. The dGNN approach is applicable to arbitrary structures with an accuracy limited principally by the amount and diversity of the training data, and it is generalizable to other defect types and advanced graph convolution architectures. In conclusion, it will help to tackle future materials discovery problems in clean energy and beyond.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2024

Virtual node graph neural network for full phonon prediction

Understanding the structure-property relationship is crucial for designing materials with desired properties. The past few years have witnessed remarkable progress in machine-learning methods for this connection. However, substantial challenges remain, including the generalizability of models and prediction of properties with materials-dependent output dimensions. Here we present the virtual node graph neural network to address the challenges. By developing three virtual node approaches, we achieve Γ-phonon spectra and full phonon dispersion prediction from atomic coordinates. We show that, compared with the machine-learning interatomic potentials, our approach achieves orders-of-magnitude-higher efficiency with comparable to better accuracy. This allows us to generate databases for Γ-phonon containing over 146,000 materials and phonon band structures of zeolites. Additionally, our work provides an avenue for rapid and high-quality prediction of phonon band structures enabling materials design with desired phonon properties. The virtual node method also provides a generic method for machine-learning design with a high level of flexibility. In this study, the authors present a virtual node graph neural network to enable the prediction of material properties with variable output dimensions. This method offers fast and accurate predictions of phonon band structures in complex solids.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2020

Interpreting Tafel behavior of consecutive electrochemical reactions through combined thermodynamic and steady state microkinetic approaches

Assessing the reaction pathway of multi-electron-transfer reactions is an essential yet difficult task for the rational design of electrocatalysts. In this work, we develop a heuristic approach that combines thermodynamic adsorption energetics calculated through density functional theory with microkinetic modeling using the steady state approximation to interpret the potential-dependent Tafel behavior of consecutive electrochemical reactions. In doing so, we introduce a kinetic framework for ab initio calculations that ensures self-consistent adsorption energetics based on kinetically limited adsorbate coverages. The approach is applied to experimental results on CoO x (OH) 2-x single crystal electrocatalyst particles yielding coverage dependent mechanistic information and identification of the rate-limiting step with standard rate constants for the oxygen evolution reaction on the ($11\bar{2}0$) surfaces of the β-Co(OH) 2 , β-CoOOH, and CoO 2 bulk phases. Finally, this generalizable method enables catalyst benchmarking based on determining the active species involved and associated intrinsic reaction rate constants in consecutive multi-electron-transfer reactions.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2021

Multiple selectivity-determining mechanisms of H 2 O 2 formation in iron porphyrin-catalysed oxygen reduction

Multiple H 2 O 2 -forming mechanisms are accessible in Fe(porphyrin)-catalysed oxygen reduction, a key reaction in both fuel cell technologies and oxygen-utilizing enzymes. Our kinetic analysis reveals that the porphyrin secondary structure dictates the pathway for H 2 O 2 formation. This approach is generalizable to other electrocatalytic processes and provides insight into the selectivity-determining steps.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2020

Deep learning for characterizing the self-assembly of three-dimensional colloidal systems

Creating a systematic framework to characterize the structural states of colloidal self-assembly systems is crucial for unraveling the fundamental understanding of these systems’ stochastic and non-linear behavior. The most accurate characterization methods create high-dimensional neighborhood graphs that may not provide useful information about structures unless these are well-defined reference crystalline structures. Dimensionality reduction methods are thus required to translate the neighborhood graphs into a low-dimensional space that can be easily interpreted and used to characterize non-reference structures. We investigate a framework for colloidal system state characterization that employs deep learning methods to reduce the dimensionality of neighborhood graphs. The framework next uses agglomerative hierarchical clustering techniques to partition the low-dimensional space and assign physically meaningful classifications to the resulting partitions. In this work, we first demonstrate the proposed colloidal self-assembly state characterization framework on a three-dimensional in silico system of 500 multi-flavored colloids that self-assemble under isothermal conditions. We next investigate the generalizability of the characterization framework by applying the framework to several independent self-assembly trajectories, including a three-dimensional in silico system of 2052 colloidal particles that undergo evaporation-induced self-assembly.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2023

Microkinetic insights into the role of catalyst and water activity on the nucleation, growth, and dissolution during COF-5 synthesis

The chemical pathway for synthesizing covalent organic frameworks (COFs) involves a complex medley of reaction sequences over a rippling energy landscape that cannot be adequately described using existing theories. Even with the development of state-of-the-art experimental and computational tools, identifying primary mechanisms of nucleation and growth of COFs remains elusive. Other than empirically, little is known about how the catalyst composition and water activity affect the kinetics of the reaction pathway. In this work, for the first time, we employ time-resolved in situ Fourier transform infrared spectroscopy (FT-IR) coupled with a six-parameter microkinetic model consisting of ~10 million reactions and over 20 000 species. The integrated approach elucidates previously unrecognized roles of catalyst pK a on COF yield and water on growth rate and size distribution. COF crystalline yield increases with decreasing pK a of the catalysts, whereas the effect of water is to reduce the growth rate of COF and broaden the size distribution. The microkinetic model reproduces the experimental data and quantitatively predicts the role of synthesis conditions such as temperature, catalyst, and precursor concentration on the nucleation and growth rates. Furthermore, the model also validates the second-order reaction mechanism of COF-5 and predicts the activation barriers for classical and non-classical growth of COF-5 crystals. The microkinetic model developed here is generalizable to different COFs and other multicomponent systems.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2025

Aging matrix visualizes complexity of battery aging across hundreds of cycling protocols

To reliably deploy lithium-ion batteries, a fundamental understanding of cycling aging behavior is critical. Battery aging consists of complex and highly coupled phenomena, making it challenging to develop a holistic interpretation. In this work, we generate a diverse battery cycling dataset with a broad range of degradation trajectories, consisting of 359 high energy density commercial Li(Ni,Co,Al)O 2 /graphite + SiO x cylindrical 21 700 cells cycled across 207 unique cycling protocols. We consolidate aging via 16 mechanistic state-of-health (SOH) metrics, including cell-level performance metrics, electrode-specific capacities/state-of-charges (SOCs), and aging trajectory metrics. We develop a framework using interpretable machine learning and explainable features to generate an aging matrix that visually deconvolutes the complex battery degradation behavior. This generalizable data-driven mechanistic framework simplifies the complex interplay between cycling conditions, degradation modes, and SOH, acting as a hypothesis-generation tool to aid battery users in identifying key degradation regimes for further study and experimentation.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗
DOE OSTI2025

Atomate2: modular workflows for materials science

High-throughput density functional theory (DFT) calculations have become a vital element of computational materials science, enabling materials screening, property database generation, and training of “universal” machine learning models. While several software frameworks have emerged to support these computational efforts, new developments such as machine learned force fields have increased demands for more flexible and programmable workflow solutions. This manuscript introduces atomate2, a comprehensive evolution of our original atomate framework, designed to address existing limitations in computational materials research infrastructure. Key features include the support for multiple electronic structure packages and interoperability between them, along with generalizable workflows that can be written in an abstract form irrespective of the DFT package or machine learning force field used within them. Our hope is that atomate2's improved usability and extensibility can reduce technical barriers for high-throughput research workflows and facilitate the rapid adoption of emerging methods in computational material science.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2026

Molecular concentration field design using closed-form steady-state solutions

Control over spatial concentration fields represents a fundamental challenge in designing synthetic biological systems and programmable soft materials. While nature creates morphogen gradients that orchestrate complex developmental processes, synthetic approaches have largely relied on empirical optimization and computationally intensive simulations. Here, we present an analytical framework for steady-state concentration fields generated by finite-sized localized sources in diffusion–degradation systems and derive closed-form solutions for one-, two-, and three-dimensional geometries. By expressing these solutions in dimensionless form, we show that gradient steepness and spatial structure are organized by the Thiele modulus, which captures the competition between diffusion and degradation length scales. The analysis reveals distinct design regimes: in degradation-dominated systems, gradient shape is governed by exponential decay and becomes dimension-independent, whereas in diffusion-dominated systems, gradient magnitude and extent follow dimension-dependent power-law scaling. Building on these results, we introduce a quantitative design strategy that uses threshold-based criteria to program concentration ranges by tuning physically accessible parameters, most directly the production rate, while holding transport and degradation properties fixed. Comparisons with numerical solutions and reported experimental systems demonstrate consistency with the predicted scaling behavior. Together, this work provides a generalizable and physically transparent framework for designing steady-state concentration fields in synthetic biological and soft matter systems, enabling predictive control of gradient-mediated organization without reliance on extensive numerical optimization.

Kim, Dong Woo [Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore↗