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At least 361 records · Page 20
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2020

Event Screening Methods for the Eastern Interconnection Situational Awareness and Monitoring System (ESAMS)

The Eastern Interconnection Situational Awareness and Monitoring System (ESAMS) is a tool developed to explore the applications and advantages of sharing phasor measurement unit (PMU) data among operating entities. An initial conclusion from testing was that detected events required further screening before being reported to ensure that events would be of interest to system operators. The methods described in this report were integrated into ESAMS to meet this need. First, an event is screened for whether the change in voltage angle measurements indicates that the detected disturbance is sufficiently large. Next, an event is classified to determine if it was related to a loss of generation. Finally, a neural network is used to determine if the system’s response to the disturbance is normal or abnormal. These methods were tested with one month of field-measured PMU data. Results indicate that the additional information provided by these additional screening tools will improve selection of events for inclusion in the daily event reports automatically generated by ESAMS.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗
DOE OSTI2022

GraphAlign: Graph-Enabled Machine Learning for Seismic Event Filtering

This report summarizes results from a 2 year effort to improve the current automated seismic event processing system by leveraging machine learning models that can operated over the inherent graph data structure of a seismic sensor network. Specifically, the GraphAlign project seeks to utilize prior information on which stations are more likely to detect signals originating from particular geographic regions to inform event filtering. To date, the GraphAlign team has developed a Graphical Neural Network (GNN) model to filter out false events generated by the Global Associator (GA) algorithm. The algorithm operates directly on waveform data that has been associated to an event by building a variable sized graph of station waveforms nodes with edge relations to an event location node. This builds off of previous work where random forest models were used to do the same task using hand crafted features. The GNN model performance was analyzed using an 8 week IMS/IDC dataset, and it was demonstrated that the GNN outperforms the random forest baseline. We provide additional error analysis of which events the GNN model performs well and poorly against concluded by future directions for improvements.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2020

Chimera Events for Performance Studies of the MicroBooNE Deep Learning-based Low Energy Excess Search

MicroBooNE is a short baseline neutrino oscillation experiment based at Fermilab that employs Liquid Argon Time Projection Chamber (LArTPC) technology. One of its target measurements is to investigate the nature of the excess of low energy electron-like events observed by MiniBooNE. This measurement will require an excellent understanding of systematic uncertainties, obtained through testing the performance of reconstruction algorithms on samples with known properties. However, using exclusively Monte Carlo events for this task is limited by how well the discrepancies between simulation and data are understood. An alternative is to test against samples of “chimera” events, which are made up of separate single-particle components from data that are combined to create neutrino-like events. These chimera events can be used to help quantify systematic uncertainties. This note covers the performance and status of creating and using chimera events that match a target neutrino topology in MicroBooNE.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗
DOE OSTI2026

GridCoPilot for Thermal Events: An LLM-Based Platform for Power Grid Reliability Analysis

Large Language Models show promise for translating natural language into database queries, but deploying such systems in safety-critical domains requires high reliability. We present an application of GridCoPilot to thermal event analysis (heatwaves and coldwaves) that affect power grid reliability. Our approach uses a LangChain SQL Agent to translate natural language queries into auditable SQL statements, with deterministic visualization routines that parse the structured query results. We introduce structural framing as a design principle, we integrate a NERC-region-level event library with county-level meteorology and decompose the combined data into three relational tables (event metadata, county-level event details, and a county-to-NERC subregion mapping), using prompt-guided joins to direct the model toward correct multi-table queries. For two core analytical patterns (identifying worst events by region and by region-year), the system achieved 100% SQL accuracy across all 16 NERC subregions and both event types (64 queries total). These results validate the approach for target use cases, though performance on diverse natural language formulations requires further investigation. We discuss design trade-offs, failure modes including JSON output truncation, and pathways for extending this approach to other hazard domains.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗
DOE OSTI2026

Estimating IDP Origins Using ACLED Political Violence Events: Validation with Lebanon IDP Flow Data

A key input in modeling population distribution and flows following conflict events is the inclusion of Internally Displaced Person (IDP) flows between administrative units within a country. These flows are critical for capturing population movement and redistribution driven by current events, particularly conflict. In some cases, IDP destination data are available while origin data is incomplete or unavailable. This creates a gap in understanding where displacement is occurring, limiting the ability to model population redistribution accurately. Without origin data, it is not possible to reallocate population flows or accurately represent where displacement is occurring within the country. This report evaluates whether Armed Conflict Location Event Data (ACLED) political violence event data can be used to estimate IDP origin distributions when direct origin data are unavailable. The approach is validated using historical IDP flow data from Lebanon, where both origins and destinations are observed. Results show that ACLED event distributions strongly correspond to observed IDP-origin patterns, particularly when using cumulative 60-day event windows. The method is most reliable for identifying major origin districts and approximating proportional origin shares. However, it is not intended to reconstruct exact individual displacement flows, but rather to provide a probabilistic spatial allocation of displacement origins.

99 GENERAL AND MISCELLANEOUS↗
DOE OSTI2020

OGLE-2016-BLG-1227L: A Wide-separation Planet from a Very Short-timescale Microlensing Event

We present the analysis of the microlensing event OGLE-2016-BLG-1227. The light curve of this short-duration event appears to be a single-lens event affected by severe finite-source effects. Analysis of the light curve based on a single-lens single-source (1L1S) model yields very small values of the event timescale, t{sub E}∼3.5 days, and the angular Einstein radius, θ{sub E}∼0.009 mas, making the lens a candidate of a free-floating planet. Close inspection reveals that the 1L1S solution leaves small residuals with an amplitude of ΔI ≲ 0.03 mag. We find that the residuals are explained by the existence of an additional widely separated heavier lens component, indicating that the lens is a wide-separation planetary system rather than a free-floating planet. From Bayesian analysis, it is estimated that the planet has a mass of M{sub p}=0.79{sub −0.39}{sup +1.30} M{sub J} and it is orbiting a low-mass host star with a mass of M{sub host}=0.10{sub −0.05}{sup +0.17} M{sub ⊙} located with a projected separation of a{sub ⊥}=3.4{sub −1.0}{sup +2.1} au. The planetary system is located in the Galactic bulge with a line-of-sight separation from the source star of D{sub LS}=1.21{sub −0.63}{sup +0.96} kpc. The event shows that there is a range of deviations in the signatures of host stars for apparently isolated planetary lensing events and that it is possible to identify a host even when a deviation is subtle.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2020

A Free-floating or Wide-orbit Planet in the Microlensing Event OGLE-2019-BLG-0551

High-cadence observations of the Galactic bulge by the microlensing surveys led to the discovery of a handful of extremely short-timescale microlensing events that can be attributed to free-floating or wide-orbit planets. Here, we report the discovery of another strong free-floating planet candidate, which was found from the analysis of the gravitational microlensing event OGLE-2019-BLG-0551. The light curve of the event is characterized by a very short duration (≲3 days) and a very small amplitude (≲0.1 mag). From modeling of the light curve, we find that the Einstein timescale, t{sub E}=0.381±0.017 day, is much shorter, and the angular Einstein radius, θ{sub E}=4.35±0.34 μas, is much smaller than those of typical lensing events produced by stellar-mass lenses (t{sub E}∼20 days, θ{sub E}∼0.3 mas), indicating that the lens is very likely to be a planetary-mass object. We conduct an extensive search for possible signatures of a companion star in the light curve of the event, finding no significant evidence for the putative host star. For the first time, we also demonstrate that the angular Einstein radius of the lens does not depend on blending in the low-magnification events with strong finite source effects.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2020

PopSyCLE: A New Population Synthesis Code for Compact Object Microlensing Events

We present a new Milky Way microlensing simulation code, dubbed PopSyCLE (Population Synthesis for Compact object Lensing Events). PopSyCLE is the first resolved microlensing simulation to include a compact object distribution derived from numerical supernovae explosion models and both astrometric and photometric microlensing effects. We demonstrate the capabilities of PopSyCLE by investigating the optimal way to find black holes (BHs) with microlensing. Candidate BHs have typically been selected from wide-field photometric microlensing surveys, such as OGLE, by selecting events with long Einstein crossing times (tE > 120 days). These events can be selected at closest approach and monitored astrometrically in order to constrain the mass of each lens; PopSyCLE predicts a BH detection rate of ~40% for such a program. We find that the detection rate can be enhanced to ~ 85% by selecting events with both tE > 120 days and a microlensing parallax of πE < 0.08. Unfortunately, such a selection criterion cannot be applied during the event as πE requires both pre- and post-peak photometry. However, historical microlensing events from photometric surveys can be revisited using this new selection criteria in order to statistically constrain the abundance of BHs in the Milky Way. The future WFIRST microlensing survey provides both precise photometry and astrometry and will yield individual masses of O(100 - 1000) black holes, which is at least an order of magnitude more than is possible with individual candidate follow-up with current facilities. The resulting sample of BH masses from WFIRST will begin to constrain the shape of the black hole present-day mass function, BH multiplicity, and BH kick velocity distributions

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2022

A Reanalysis of Public Galactic Bulge Gravitational Microlensing Events from OGLE-III and -IV

Abstract Modern surveys of gravitational microlensing events have progressed to detecting thousands per year, and surveys are capable of probing Galactic structure, stellar evolution, lens populations, black hole physics, and the nature of dark matter. One of the key avenues for doing this is the microlensing Einstein radius crossing time (t E) distribution. However, systematics in individual light curves as well as oversimplistic modeling can lead to biased results. To address this, we developed a model to simultaneously handle the microlensing parallax due to Earth's motion, systematic instrumental effects, and unlensed stellar variability with a Gaussian process model. We used light curves for nearly 10,000 OGLE-III and -IV Milky Way bulge microlensing events and fit each with our model. We also developed a forward model approach to infer the t E distribution by forward modeling from the data rather than using point estimates from individual events. We find that modeling the variability in the baseline removes a source of significant bias in individual events, and the previous analyses overestimated the number of t E > 100 day events due to their oversimplistic model ignoring parallax effects. We use our fits to identify the hundreds filling a regime in the microlensing parameter space that are 50% pure of black holes. Finally, we have released the largest-ever catalog of Markov Chain Monte Carlo parameter estimates for microlensing events.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2023

IceCat-1: The IceCube Event Catalog of Alert Tracks

We present a catalog of likely astrophysical neutrino track-like events from the IceCube Neutrino Observatory. IceCube began reporting likely astrophysical neutrinos in 2016, and this system was updated in 2019. The catalog presented here includes events that were reported in real time since 2019, as well as events identified in archival data samples starting from 2011. We report 275 neutrino events from two selection channels as the first entries in the catalog, the IceCube Event Catalog of Alert Tracks, which will see ongoing extensions with additional alerts. The Gold and Bronze alert channels respectively provide neutrino candidates with a 50% and 30% probability of being astrophysical, on average assuming an astrophysical neutrino power-law energy spectral index of 2.19. For each neutrino alert, we provide the reconstructed energy, direction, false-alarm rate, probability of being astrophysical in origin, and likelihood contours describing the spatial uncertainty in the alert's reconstructed location. We also investigate a directional correlation of these neutrino events with gamma-ray and X-ray catalogs, including 4FGL, 3HWC, TeVCat, and Swift-BAT.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2023

Observations of extreme wave runup events on the US Pacific Northwest coast

Extreme, tsunami-like wave runup events in the absence of earthquakes or landslides have been attributed to trapped waves over shallow bathymetry, long waves created by atmospheric disturbances, and long waves generated by abrupt breaking. These runup events are associated with inland excursions of hundreds of meters and periods of minutes. While the theory of radiation stress implies that nearshore energy transfer from the carrier waves to the infragravity waves can also lead to very large runup, there have not been observations of runup events induced by this process with magnitudes and periods comparable to the other three mechanisms. This work presents observations of several runup events in the US Pacific Northwest that are comparable to extreme runup events related to the other three mechanisms. It also discusses possible generation mechanisms and shows that energy transfer from carrier waves to bound infragravity waves is a plausible generation mechanism. In addition, a method to predict and forecast extreme runup events with similar characteristics is presented.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
NASA NTRS1974

Variability of intensity ratios of H to He and He to ions with Z not smaller than 3 in solar energetic particle events

Data from the solid-state detector on Explorer 35 are applied to a study of two intensity ratios in the sub-MeV per nucleon specific kinetic energy range for several energetic particle events. It is found that the intensity ratios vary markedly from event to event, particularly during the time history of the individual events. This implies that the ratios have no simple relationship to 'solar abundances' in the usual sense of the term. The pattern of the variability of each ratio is established; the ratio of He to ions with Z not smaller than 3 starts with a low value and increases as the event proceeds. The H/He ratio exhibits a qualitatively similar time history with marked relative enhancement of He early in an event. Differential diffusion of the various ionic species with differing magnetic rigidities is seen to be the dominant physical cause for the variabilities observed.

Van Allen, J. A.↗
NASA NTRS1976

Skylab ATM/S-056 X-ray event analyzer: Instrument description, parameter determination, and analysis example (15 June 1973 1B/M3 flare)

The Skylab ATM/S-056 X-Ray Event Analyzer, part of an X-ray telescope experiment, is described. The techniques employed in the analysis of its data to determine electron temperatures and emission measures are reviewed. The analysis of a sample event - the 15 June 1973 1B/M3 flare - is performed. Comparison of the X-Ray Event Analyzer data with that of the SolRad 9 observations indicates that the X-Ray Event Analyzer accurately monitored the sun's 2.5 to 7.25 A X-ray emission and to a lesser extent the 6.1 to 20 A emission. A mean average peak temperature of 15 million K at 1,412 UT and a mean average peak electron density (assuming a flare volume of 10 to the 13 power cu km) of 27 million/cu mm at 1,416 to 1,417 UT are deduced for the event. The X-Ray Event Analyzer data, having a 2.5 s time resolution, should be invaluable in comparisons with other high-time resolution data (e.g., radio bursts).

Wilson, R. M.↗
NASA NTRS1978

Prompt solar proton events and coronal mass ejections

Data from the HAO white-light coronagraph and the X-ray telescope on Skylab have been used to investigate the coronal manifestations of 18 prompt solar proton events observed on the IMP 7 spacecraft during the Skylab period. Evidence is found that a mass-ejection event is a necessary condition for the occurrence of a prompt proton event. Mass-ejection events can be observed directly in the white-light coronagraph when they occur near the limb and inferred from the presence of a long-decay X-ray event when they occur on the disk. It is suggested that: (1) the occurrence of mass-ejection events facilitates the escape of protons - whether accelerated at low or high altitudes - to the interplanetary medium; and (2) there may exist a proton acceleration region above or around the outward moving ejecta far above the flare site.

Kahler, S. W.↗
NASA NTRS1984

The effect of numbers of noise events on people's reactions to noise - An analysis of existing survey data

Even though there are surveys in which annoyance decreases as the number of events increases above about 150 a day, the available evidence is not considered strong enough to reject the conventional assumption that reactions are related to the logarithm of the number of events. The data do not make it possible to reject the conventional assumption that the effects of the number of events and the peak noise level are additive. It is found that even when equivalent questionnaire items and definitions of noise events could be used, differences between the surveys' estimates of the effect of the number of events remained large. Three explanations are suggested for inconsistent estimates. The first has to do with errors in specifying the values of noise parameters, the second with the effects of unmeasured acoustical and area characteristics that are correlated with noise level or number, and the third with large sampling errors deriving from community differences in response to noise. It is concluded that significant advances in the knowledge about the effects of the number of noise events can be made only if surveys include large numbers of study areas.

Fields, J. M.↗
NASA NTRS1984

Survey of He(+)/He(2+) abundance ratios in energetic particle events

First results of a systematic study of the helium ionic charge distribution in the energy range 0.4-0.62 MeV per nucleon in energetic particle events are reported. Large fluctuations of the He(+)/He(2+) ratios are found, especially at low interplanetary particle fluxes. The ratios exceeded a value of 0.3 for 41 days and a value of 1.0 for 11 days out of the 216 days analyzed. The median of the distribution is He(+)/He(2+) = 0.11. No obvious association with optical flare events could be observed for the events richest in He(+). No significant differences were found between the proton energy spectra and the elemental abundances of helium relative to hydrogen and heavy ions for He(+)-rich events versus events low in He(+). However, it has been found that generally He(+)-rich events are predominantly low in energetic particle intensity.

Hovestadt, D.↗
NASA NTRS1984

Electron-rich particle events and the production of gamma-rays by solar flares

The abundance of electrons of 5-50 MeV energies relative to protons of similar energy has been determined in a total of 49 particle events of apparently solar origin during the year 1980. Most events with high electron abundances appear to have been produced by flares which also produced observable fluxes of gamma-rays. The overall distribution of abundances is consistent with that measured in 1968-1970 at similar energies, but is systematically lower in electron content than abundance distributions measured at lower energies. Electron-rich particle events have harder electron spectra than more normal events, and are never accompanied by strong interplanetary shocks. Therefore, an investigation is conducted to decide whether observations are consistent with models in which energetic particles are accelerated by a shock produced at the flare site. It is concluded that, in such models, the variable nature of the interplanetary particle events must reflect some fundamental but variable property of the shocks - possibly their direction of propagation. An outward moving shock may produce a particle event in interplanetary space whereas a shock directed toward the sun may produce a flux of particles in the lower solar atmosphere which generate the gamma-radiation.

Evenson, P.↗
NASA NTRS1985

The frequency of long-duration solar X-ray events

The rate of occurrence of coronal and interplanetary phenomena during the solar sunspot cycle was studied based on nearly continuous satellite data for long-duration events in the period 1969-1982. The data were obtained using the NRL SOLRAD and the NOAA GOES spacecraft for each year in the interval. The duration of the X-ray events was defined as the time for the logarithm of the 1-8 A flux to return to approximately 10 percent of the pre-event level. The total number of X-ray events is plotted next to the annual sunspot number for the interval 1969-1982. It is shown that the long duration of X-ray events was not related to the sunspot cycle, particularly events of 6 hr or more.

Koomen, M. J.↗