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Global disease burden linked to diet high in red meat and colorectal cancer from 1990 to 2019 and its prediction up to 2030

Background Numerous studies have already identified an association between excessive consumption of red meat and colorectal cancer (CRC). However, there has been a lack of detailed understanding regarding the disease burden linked to diet high in red meat and CRC. Objective We aim to offer evidence-based guidance for developing effective strategies that can mitigate the elevated CRC burden in certain countries. Methods We used the data from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) Study 2019 to evaluate global, regional, and national mortality rates and disability-adjusted Life years (DALYs) related to diet high in red meat. We also considered factors such as sex, age, the socio-demographic index (SDI), and evaluated the cross-national inequalities. Furthermore, we utilized DALYs data from 204 countries and regions to measure cross-country inequalities of CRC by calculating the slope index of inequality and concentration index as standard indicators of absolute and relative inequalities. Discussion The results show that globally, the age-standardized mortality rate (ASMR) and age-standardized disability adjusted life year rate (ASDR) related to CRC due to diet high in red meat have decreased, with estimated annual percent change (EAPCs) of −0.32% (95% CI −0.37 to −0.28) and-0.18% (95% CI −0.25 to −0.11). Notably, the burden was higher among males and the elderly. The slope index of inequality rose from 22.0 (95% CI 18.1 to 25.9) in 1990 to 32.9 (95% CI 28.3 to 37.5) in 2019 and the concentration index fell from 59.5 (95% CI 46.4 to 72.6) in 1990 to 48.9 (95% CI 34.6 to 63.1) in 2019. Also, according to our projections, global ASDR and ASMR might tend to increase up to 2030. Conclusion ASMR and ASDR for CRC associated with high red meat diets declined globally from 1990 to 2019, but the absolute number of cases is still rising, with men and the elderly being more affected. CRC associated with diets high in red meat exhibits significant income inequality, placing a disproportionate burden on wealthier countries. Moreover, according to our projections, ASMR and ASDR are likely to increase globally by 2030. In order to address this intractable disease problem, understanding changes in global and regional epidemiologic trends is critical for policy makers and others.

Yang, Xuesong↗

Role of Fe in long-range ordered Ni 2 Cr precipitates in Ni-Cr-Fe model alloys during isothermal aging

The precipitation of new phases during long-term service at elevated temperatures is a concern for the thermal stability of engineering alloys. In Ni-Cr-based alloys, e.g., Alloy 690, the formation of long-range ordered Ni 2 Cr causes embrittlement and may impact the lifetime of nuclear power plant components. In this work, we quantify the formation and evolution of Ni 2 Cr precipitation in eleven Ni-Cr-Fe model alloys with 0, 5, 7, and 10wt % Fe contents, and with Ni/Cr atomic ratios of 1.8, 2.0, 2.2, 2.4. These alloys were isothermally aged up to 10,000h at temperatures between 330 and 475°C. The alloys were characterized by synchrotron-based x-ray diffraction and Vickers hardness testing to quantify Ni 2 Cr precipitate size, and the impact of precipitate size on the mechanical properties as a function of Fe content. After 10,000 h of aging at 475°C and 418°C, the formation of Ni 2 Cr was observed in all alloys with 0 and 5wt % Fe. After 10,000h of aging at 418°C, Ni 2 Cr precipitates were also observed in the 7wt % Fe containing Ni/Cr=2.0 sample. Further, no clear evidence of Ni 2 Cr was observed in any of the 10wt % Fe samples at any time and temperature combination. We find that the face-centered cubic matrix lattice contraction and Vickers hardness are correlated with the Ni 2 Cr formation. The greatest change in hardness and lattice contraction occurs in stoichiometric alloys (Ni/Cr=2.0) with 0wt % Fe at 475°C. The rate of change in the material properties for the 5wt % Fe alloys is reduced, however the magnitude of changes is similar to 0wt % Fe alloys. A precipitation hardening model developed for Ni-Cr alloys based on critical resolved shear stress with weakly coupled dislocations shows a clear link between Ni 2 Cr precipitate size and hardness. This trend held across all alloys with Ni 2 Cr formation regardless of Fe concentration. This important structure-property relationship can potentially help define Ni-Cr-Fe-based component lifetimes directly through an understanding of how Ni 2 Cr formation impacts mechanical properties as a function of Fe content.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Post-Irradiation Fracture Toughness Characterization of Generation II FeCrAl Alloys

FeCrAl alloys are promising candidate materials for the accident tolerant fuel (ATF) cladding application due to their exceptional resistance to oxidation in elevated temperature steam environments. Currently, limited fracture toughness data are available for the FeCrAl alloys, including the FeCrAl alloys newly developed at Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL) under the U.S. Department of Energy’s Advanced Fuels Campaign (AFC) program. In this study, two Generation II candidate FeCrAl alloys, i.e., C06M (81.8Fe-10Cr-6Al-0.03Y-2Mo-0.2Si) and C36M (78.8Fe-13Cr-6Al-0.03Y-2Mo-0.2Si), were irradiated in the High Flux Isotope Reactor (HFIR) at ORNL to assess the fracture characteristics of these alloys after neutron irradiation. A total of six rabbit capsules were irradiated in HFIR at target temperatures of 200°C, 330°C, and 500°C up to target damage doses of 8 displacements per atom (dpa) and 16 dpa. Post-irradiation fracture toughness testing was performed following the Master Curve method in the ASTM E1921 standard. The main findings of this study are:1) Both the C06M and C36M alloys exhibited a similar response to irradiation concerning irradiation hardening and embrittlement.2) The irradiation temperature played different roles in terms of irradiation hardening and embrittlement for both C06M and C36M: after irradiation between 166°C and 204°C, both materials exhibited significant irradiation hardening and embrittlement; after irradiation between 315°C and 343°C, both materials showed small irradiation hardening without irradiation embrittlement. After irradiation between 501°C and 507°C, however, the irradiation softening without irradiation embrittlement was observed in both materials.3) Comparing the microhardness and Master Curve reference temperature T0q before and after neutron irradiation, we did not observe a linear correlation between the two parameters for both C06M and C36M steels. This should be mainly due to a flat response of the Master Curve reference temperature T0q to the irradiations at 166–204°C and 315–343°C ranges4) C06M showed a lower T0q, meaning better toughness, than C36M at the unirradiated condition, and such trend was kept even after neutron irradiation except for the 166–204°C irradiation after which both materials had similar T0q.5) In terms of hardening and embrittlement, the irradiation effect on both C06M and C36M appeared to saturate after an irradiation dose of 7 dpa.

Chen, Xiang↗

Fracture Toughness Characterization of Generation II FeCrAl Alloys after ~18 dpa Irradiation

FeCrAl alloys are promising candidate materials for the accident tolerant fuel (ATF) cladding applications due to their excellent corrosion resistance to the elevated temperature steam environment. Currently, the handbook on FeCrAl material properties contains only limited data regarding the fracture toughness properties of any FeCrAl alloy. This includes alloys currently under investigation within the Advanced Fuels Campaign (AFC) at Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL). In this project, a series of irradiation capsules have been irradiated in the High Flux Isotope Reactor (HFIR) at ORNL with two Generation II FeCrAl candidate alloys, i.e., C06M and C36M, to assess the fracture response of these alloys after neutron irradiation. These alloys represent the “book-end” compositions for C26M, the alloy currently being developed as the leading candidate for LWR cladding. A total of six irradiation capsules were irradiated in HFIR at target temperatures of 200°C, 330°C, and 500°C up to target damage doses of 8 displacements per atom (dpa) and 16 dpa. These damage doses represent the expected middle and end of life damage levels for typical LWR cladding while the irradiation temperature regimes will provide insight into the role of varying microstructural features on the fracture toughness properties of neutron irradiated FeCrAl alloys. To date, irradiation of all capsules has been completed in HFIR. This report summarizes the latest results of microhardness and fracture toughness PIE for the 16 dpa capsules (FCAB2, FCAB4, and FCAB6), for which the measured irradiation conditions were: 204°C/17.6dpa, 343°C/18.3dpa, and 507°C/18.6dpa. The main conclusions of this study can be summarized as follows: 1) After the 204°C/17.6dpa irradiation, both C06M and C36M exhibited significant irradiation hardening and embrittlement 2) After the 343°C/18.3dpa irradiation, both C06M and C36M exhibited small irradiation hardening without irradiation embrittlement 3) After the 507°C/18.6dpa irradiation, both C06M and C36M exhibited irradiation softening without irradiation embrittlement 4) Comparing the microhardness and Master Curve reference temperature T 0q before and after neutron irradiation, we did not observe a linear correlation between the two parameters for both C06M and C36M. This should be mainly due to a flat response of the Master Curve reference temperature T 0q to the irradiations at 166-204°C and 315-343°C ranges 5) C06M showed a lower T 0q , meaning better toughness, than C36M at the unirradiated condition and such trend was kept even after neutron irradiation except for the 166-204°C irradiation where both materials had similar T 0q . 6) In terms of hardening and embrittlement, the irradiation effect on both C06M and C36M appeared to saturate after an irradiation dose of 7 dpa.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

INMARSAT's personal communicator system

Inmarsat has been providing near global mobile satellite communications since 1982 and Inmarsat terminals are currently being used in more than 130 countries. The terminals have been reduced in size and cost over the years and new technology has enabled the recent introduction of briefcase sized personal telephony terminals (Inmarsat-M). This trend continues and we are likely to see Inmarsat handheld terminals by the end of the decade. These terminals are called Inmarsat-P and this paper focuses on the various elements required to support a high quality service to handheld terminals. The main system elements are: the handheld terminals; the space segment with the associated orbits; and the gateways to terrestrial networks. It is both likely and desirable that personal handheld satellite communications will be offered by more than one system provider and this competition will ensure strong emphasis on service quality and cost of ownership. The handheld terminals also have to be attractive to a large number of potential users, and this means that the terminals must be small enough to fit in a pocket. Battery lifetime is another important consideration, and this coupled with radiation safety requirements limits the maximum radiated EIRP. The terminal G/T is mainly constrained by the gain of the omnidirectional antenna and the noise figure of the RF front end (including input losses). Inmarsat has examined, with the support of industry, a number of Geosynchronous (GSO), Medium Earth Orbit (MEO) and Low Earth Orbit (LEO) satellite options for the provision of a handheld mobile satellite service. This paper describes the key satellite and orbit parameters and tradeoffs which affect the overall quality of service and the space segment costing. The paper also stresses not only the importance of using and sharing the available mobile frequency band allocations efficiently, but also the key considerations affecting the choice of feeder link bands. The design of the gateways and the terrestrial network is critical to the overall viability of the service, and this paper also examines the key technical parameters associated with the Land Earth Stations (LES), which act as gateways into the Public Switched Telephone Network (PSTN). These not only include the design tradeoffs associated with the LES, but also the different terrestrial network interface options. The paper concludes with a brief description of the satellite propagation conditions associated with the use of handheld terminals. It describes how the handheld results in a number of propagation impairments which are not common to the previous measurements associated with vehicle mounted antennas. These measurements indicate that there is a complex tradeoff between link margin and the elevation angle to the satellite which has a significant impact on the space segment requirements and costing.

Hart, Nick↗

2023 Cleanroom Monitoring for OSIRIS-REx

OSIRIS-REx is an asteroid sample return mission that delivered asteroid regolith from Bennu to Earth on 9/24/2023 [1]. Cleanroom monitoring of OSIRIS-REx Curation facilities has been ongoing since 2021 when construction of the OSIRIS-REx lab at Johnson Space Center (JSC) was completed [2]. The monitoring continues inside of the OSIRIS-REx lab in Houston. Monitoring was also conducted on a temporary cleanroom constructed inside a hangar at the Utah Test and Training Range (UTTR) to initially receive the Sample Return Capsule (SRC) upon its landing there. The following reports on cleanroom monitoring that has taken place in the months leading up to as well as after OSIRIS-REx return. Monitoring techniques used include particle counts, deployment of Si wafer witness plates (Balazs, Inc.) and Al foil witness plates, gas sampling (Balazs, Inc.) and microbiological monitoring. We collected particle counts at both the lab at JSC as well as the temporary cleanroom at UTTR. Particle counts were taken monthly from six locations in the lab at JSC. Particle counts were taken from seven locations at UTTR in July, August, and September. The UTTR cleanroom particle counts were taken daily in the five days leading to OSIRIS-REx return as well as consistently the day of return (every 2 minutes and 15 seconds 7:21 am- 6:27 pm) from one location inside the cleanroom. The particle counts at UTTR consistently stayed well within the ranges of its required ISO 7 equivalent classification (352,000 maximum particles/ m3 ≥ 0.5 μm). Most analysis showed that the particle counts were far below ISO 7 requirements (highest measured count was 61,484 particles/ m3 ≥ 0.5 um). but the elevated instances correlated to exterior hangar doors being open. Particle counts were reduced when keeping exterior hangar doors closed. The particle counts at JSC have stayed consistently within their ISO 5 equivalent classification (3,520 maximum particles/ m3 ≥ 0.5 um). In most instances, the counts are much better except in one instance where the count measured 13,381 particles/ m3 ≥ 0.5 um. The high spike in particle counts in the JSC lab correlated with the air handlers being shut down temporarily the previous day. The particle counts taken in the same location quickly reduced and measured 0 when taken a month later with the air handlers on. We deployed 8-inch semiconductor polished Si wafer witness plates for 24-hour periods inside of the OSIRIS-REx Curation lab at JSC (in July, August, September, and November 2023) and the cleanroom at UTTR (July and September 2023) to test for possible organic and inorganic contaminants. We also deployed these wafers inside of the OSIRIS-REx Touch-and-Go sample Acquisition Mechanism (TAGSAM) glovebox (where Bennu sample processing occurs) and desiccator (Bennu sample storage) at JSC in August 2023. These samples were all sent to Balazs for analysis via Thermal Desorption Gas Chromatography Mass Spectroscopy (TD-GC-MS) to quantify organic compounds and vapor phase decomposition inductively coupled plasma mass spectrometry (VPD-ICP-MS) to quantify inorganic contaminants. We collected air samples using an adsorbent tube connected to a pump for six hours (100 mL/minute) inside of both the JSC lab and the UTTR cleanroom. These samples were taken at JSC in July, August, September, November, and December and at UTTR in July and September. Additionally, a sample was taken just outside of the TAGSAM glovebox airlock door in July. These samples were sent to Balazs for analysis of volatile organics in air. Overall, the OSIRIS-REx lab at JSC and cleanroom at UTTR yielded very low organic and inorganic contaminants (similar results to Genesis lab at JSC which is ISO 4 equivalent) except for boron, which is attributed to the borosilicate glass in the fan filter units. We collected monthly surface and air samples inside the JSC lab to monitor potential microbial contamination. We report the recovery rate for each sampling event, which is defined as the number of samples exhibiting bacterial or fungal growth divided by the total number of samples collected. Since the lab was commissioned in 2021 the median recovery rate is 29%. This recovery rate is consistent with other ISO 5 equivalent labs used to curate astromaterials collections. Increases in recovery rate correspond to construction and/or extra activity in the lab. However, increases in recovery rate do not reliably correlate to increases in particle counts, which highlights the need for a dedicated microbial monitoring program for biologically sensitive collections. We sampled the temporary clean room at UTTR in July, August, and September of 2023 to monitor potential microbial contamination. The recovery rate decreased from 80% in August to 29% in September. However, in all instances, the diversity of bacteria and fungi was higher in the UTTR cleanroom than in the JSC lab. We routinely collected more than twenty different organisms from the UTTR cleanroom. In the JSC lab the median diversity is 2 organisms. Based on these results we hypothesize that microbes from UTTR could be transported back to JSC with the Bennu samples. To mitigate this risk, in September of 2023, we implemented additional cleaning procedures in the JSC lab to reduce the bioburden on surfaces that could come into direct contact with hardware used to process Bennu samples. Since adopting these additional cleaning measures, the median recovery rate has decreased to 14%. We did not observe an increase in fungal or bacterial diversity in the lab in the October sampling. We will continue to monitor this trend closely for the next several months. Supported by NASA under Award NNH09ZDA007O and Contract NNM10AA11C.

Rachel Comstock Funk↗

Quantifying Properties for a Mechanistic, Predictive Understanding of Aqueous Impact on Aging of Medium and Low Voltage AC and DC Cabling in Nuclear Power Plants

To address the gap in knowledge in understanding degradation in relevant service conditions, this project aimed to develop a mechanistic, predictive model of medium and low voltage cable failure based on the primary environmental degradation parameters of aqueous immersion time, temperature, and the oxidation extent. To do so, we took a two-fold approach toward evaluating degradation as related to the aqueous condition. First, we evaluated the chemical, mechanical, and electrical properties of polymers that comprise the cabling insulation under varied aqueous conditions at different temperatures. Secondly, we evaluated the performance of insulation materials under similar accelerated aging conditions in addition to the dielectric breakdown of the cabling under submersion conditions. Thermal oxidation and immersion of LDPE thin films were done using a Parr vessel and the extent of oxidation was monitored using the carbonyl index from ATR-FTIR spectrum, a ratio quantifying the carbonyl functionality produced on the LDPE film surface. Increasing the temperature, oxidation time, and oxygen pressure increased the water-vapor permeability and the carbonyl content. Thermogravimetric analysis of the films confirmed that there is indeed an initial weight loss of the smaller molecular weight molecules and volatiles. At higher temperatures, there is a secondary mass loss. Up to 70°C, the mass loss curves were similar until 80°C, when the aged films decreased at a much greater rate with respect to increasing temperature. This was seen in the 10, 50, 90% weight loss temperatures. The mechanical properties of sheet PP and HDPE as well as injection molded LDPE, HDPE, HDPP dog bones were plotted with respect to the time spent in the Parr vessel during thermal oxidation. For the sheet PP and HDPE, the UTS and the modulus of elasticity decreased while the elongation increased. The injection-molded LDPE, HDPE, and HDPP dog bones experienced a similar trend where the changes in the properties were within experimental uncertainty. This analysis of LDPE in dry and immersive oxygen-rich environments is an important baseline for future experiments looking at other degradation mechanisms. A predictive aging model for low-density polyethylene insulative cable housings was developed. This model revealed a combination of physical and chemical processes which lead to an increase in permeability and a decrease in strength of the insulator. In creating this predictive model, a gap of knowledge in the literature was revealed in two areas: understanding how the crystallinity of a polymer changes with time and visualizing the predicted pores formed through the insulator which leads to failure. Developing and using an adapted ATR-FTIR method, crystallinity was monitored and compared to bulk crystallinity found via DSC. Inhomogeneity in crystallinity changes were observed but the FTIR method but was found to be less reliable. Pore visualization was found utilizing electrical impedance spectroscopy saturated aged polyethylene films with synthesized citrate-capped gold nanoparticles, and chloroauric acid precursor. results indicate a decreasing impedance of the polyethylene films caused by the transport of ions through the film. SEM imaging was then performed for elemental analysis of the films and counter electrodes for the presence of ions. Chloride and gold ions were detected; however, no nanoparticles were found. This gives an estimated pore size of at least 0.3 nm through the aged film. Cyclic submergence of polyethylene and polypropylene in aqueous solutions of copper sulfate and Harrison’s solution were examined. It was discovered that aging in these mixed conditions and at 90°C did cause a small, yet significant increase to tensile strength for both unaged polyethylene and polypropylene. The PE and PP in cycled and submerged conditions did not have tensile strengths significantly different from dry-aged after 16 weeks. For both solutions, it was determined that capacitance increases with both water tree depth and cable temperature and is relatively independent of changing water tree AR. As for resistance, there is no apparent change between depth percentages of 10 and 80 for both solutions. This is because the water tree has not yet entered the conductor and thus there is no shorting current flowing through the tree yet. Between 80 and 100% water tree depth, it is observed that for both solutions there is a rapid decrease in resistance because the tree is now impacting the conductor shield and allowing shorting current to flow through it. The relationship between resistance and temperature was found to be inversed. As temperature increases, resistance decreases for both water tree solutions with distilled water having the most apparent difference across the range of temperatures simulated. With regards to water tree AR, resistance was found to be relatively independent at depth percentages of 10, 50, and 70, but there was some relationship at 100% depth for both solutions. At this depth, as water tree AR increased, resistance was found to also increase. Through the examination of voltage and electric field distribution plots, it was confirmed for EPR cables that increasing water tree depth leads to increasing distortion. The increase in shorting current at 100% depth for aqueous copper sulfate compared to distilled water was also visualized. Lastly, the relationship between shorting current and temperature for narrow water trees was visualized and validated using the distribution plots. This study has led to a better understanding of the effect of cable temperature, water tree solution, and geometry of the tree region on cable degradation. Furthermore, this study has documented simulation results of water tree degradation in EPR MV cables, which had been previously lacking in information. Future work in this area will add frequency into the mix and examine what effect it has on the rate of cable degradation as a result of water treeing. To compliment the work being carried by UMD on different polymer chemistries, harvested medium voltage (MV) cables were selected for accelerated aging study at ORNL. These medium voltage cables are representative of the vintages and materials that are currently in use at existing nuclear power plants (NPPs). These cables were immersed in water at 90°C and energized for a period of two years at elevated voltage. Partial discharge was measured during this period of time to track potential degradation. Unfortunately, due to the absence of failure, the extent of integration between the UMD techniques and the harvested MV insulation was limited. However, based on the findings and from the UMD research in the previous sections on polyethylene and polypropylene, follow-on characterization for harvested MV cable insulation should focus on sample preparation to take advantage of the UMD techniques to better understand mechanistic degradation in MV cable insulations. This would include: 1.) Utilization of solutions and impedance measurement insulation to track permeability in harvested and accelerated aging insulation samples, 2.) Adaptation of gold nanoparticle synthesis for electrical impedance spectroscopy with supporting SEM characterization to study pore formation in harvested and accelerated aged insulation samples, & 3.) ATR-FTIR crystallinity with multiple temperature dependent harvested MV cable insulation under different air and submerged accelerated aging. In addition, low voltage dielectric spectroscopy and high voltage dissipation factor, tan δ, could be implemented as a condition monitoring tool for harvested MV cable insulation in submerged environments.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗