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At least 361 records · Page 20

Technoeconomic Analysis of the Electrochemically Mediated Amine Regeneration CO 2 Capture Process

The electrochemically mediated amine regeneration (EMAR) process presents an alternative route to the conventional thermal amine regeneration for carbon capture from a flue gas source. In this study, we conducted an economic analysis on the EMAR system for postcombustion CO2 capture from a 550 MWe power plant capturing 3.1 MtCO2 annually and from a mini steel mill with annual capture close to 170 ktCO2. We followed the recommendation of the National Energy Technology Laboratory (NETL) 2010 report to estimate the cost of CO2 avoided ([$/tCO2]). Detailed cost modeling of the electrochemical separation stage was conducted. This is integrated with the entire process flowsheet (e.g., including absorber, compressor, pumps, and other auxiliary equipment). Here, we identified the membrane cost as the dominant capital cost for the electrochemical separation train. At a membrane unit price of less than 10/m2, the CO2 capture cost can be reduced to below 50/tCO2 with optimized process conditions (e.g., desorption pressure and utilization of waste heat). Improvements in process design, cell construction, and solvent formulation may lead to additional reductions in the CO2 capture cost.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Development of a 300 MWe Utility Scale Oxy-Fuel sCO2 Turbine

A 300 MWe direct-fired supercritical carbon dioxide (sCO2) oxy-fuel turbine is being developed that will burn natural gas-fired, coal syngas and even hydrogen mixtures capable of 1,150ºC turbine inlet temperature at 300 bar. This design will significantly improve the state-of-the-art for thermal efficiency and results in a high-pressure stream of CO2 with 98%+ carbon capture, making the power plant near emission-free and more efficient than Natural Gas Combined Cycle (NGCC) plants with carbon capture. This power plant will be capable of burning coal through gasification and cleanup of the synthesis gas (syngas). sCO2 power cycles are a transformational technology for the energy industry, providing higher efficiency heat source energy conversion for conventional and alternative energy sources. This novel cycle significantly reduces capital costs because of smaller equipment footprints, design modularity, and allows for rapid cyclic load and source following to balance solar and wind energy power swings. Oxy-fuel sCO2 cycles take these advantages even further, utilizing higher firing temperatures, improved efficiency, and simpler carbon capture strategies. This turbine will require cooled turbine nozzles and blades as well as advanced thermal management systems to accommodate these high temperatures. The cooled blade heat transfer correlations required new test programs at higher Reynolds number than air-breathing gas turbines for impingement, serpentine, and pin-fin regions. Novel blade optimization was performed to maximize aerodynamic efficiency, while minimizing cooling flows. A turbine layout was generated utilizing individual combustor cans with cooled liners feeding into a 6-stage axial flow turbine with cooled stator nozzles and turbine blades. The case design and thermal management preliminary design will be described.

Moore, Jeffrey↗

Microwave-Assisted Reactive CO 2 Capture with the SrCO 3 -Graphite System

This study details the initial development of a microwave heat-driven reactive CO 2 capture (RCC) process using the SrO/SrCO 3 cycle and graphitic carbon to absorb ppm-levels of CO 2 from humidified room temperature air and selectively convert it into CO. By combining first-principles density functional theory (DFT) simulations with thermogravimetric analysis (TGA) and X-ray diffraction (XRD) verification, it is demonstrated that SrO spontaneously absorbs moisture to generate Sr(OH) 2 followed by Sr(OH) 2 *1H 2 O, which then can spontaneously react with atmospheric levels of CO 2 to form SrCO 3 . The resulting SrCO 3 can then react with solid carbon at elevated temperatures to selectively produce CO and regenerate SrO. Graphitic carbon is an excellent microwave absorber that can quickly generate temperatures approaching 1000 °C and then cool to room temperature within minutes, potentially allowing for integration with intermittent electricity. It is shown that using microwaves to selectively heat a mixture of graphitic carbon and SrCO 3 produced CO with 85 ± 3% selectivity and stable performance over ten cycles. The rapid heating for release and room temperature CO 2 uptake processes appeared to prevent performance loss from particle sintering typically observed with traditional thermal systems. In conclusion, these results demonstrate a new RCC approach that adds to the growing number of potential technologies available for converting CO 2 to useful chemicals.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Nonconvex Robust Optimization for the Design and Operation of Advanced Energy Systems Using PyROS

This work discusses recent advances of the two-stage robust optimization (RO) solver PyROS and applications to advanced energy systems optimization. To demonstrate the computational performance and reliability of PyROS, a study on a monoethanolamine (MEA)-based CO2 absorption flowsheet is presented. (Near-)robust feasible designs for CO2 absorption flowsheet at high carbon capture are obtained with the PyROS solver. The results demonstrate that the PyROS solver, including recent extensions to multi-stage RO settings, provides a reliable avenue to optimize the design and operation of advanced energy systems subject to various sources of parametric uncertainty.

Sherman, Jason↗

Life cycle greenhouse gas emissions of different CO 2 supply options for an algal biorefinery

This paper characterizes the greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions from the provision of CO 2 for twelve hours of the day from a range of sources operating on a twenty-four-hour basis. Twelve CO 2 supply cases spanning from fossil fuel power plant stack gases to direct air capture (DAC) systems are modeled. The results are compared in a life cycle assessment (LCA) framework. The CO 2 supply from the combustion or gasification of biomass has GHG emissions of –1.62 gCO 2 eq./g CO 2 delivered and is the case with the lowest carbon footprint for supplied CO2. The emissions for all the CO 2 supply cases were found to be negative, either because of capturing more CO 2 from the atmosphere than is released from the CO 2 production process, or because of production of excess electricity that is exported to the grid (replacing emissions from grid electricity). A purpose-built Natural Gas Combined Cycle (NGCC) power plant CO 2 source has the highest GHG emissions of -0.40 gCO 2 eq./gCO 2 delivered of the cases considered because of nighttime emissions and natural gas supply chain losses. The impact of a diurnal cycle can be mitigated by using capture and refrigeration systems as part of the CO 2 management system. The results are sensitive to the GHG emissions of the grid electricity, which is imported or exported in different cases. The results provide a benchmark for the comparison of different CO 2 supply options for the establishment of a sustainable algal biorefinery.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Compact Hydrogen Generator

GTI Energy (GTI) is developing a One-Step Hydrogen Generation through Sorption Enhanced Reforming (SER) process that provides significant improvements in energy productivity (18% efficiency improvement), environmental performance (90% CO 2 capture and up to 98%), product yield (30% reduction in natural gas consumption), and economic benefit (reduce Levelized Cost of Hydrogen by 28%) as compared to the Steam Methane Reforming process. A 20,000 Standard Cubic Feet per Day pilot plant (or Feasibility Demonstration Unit, FDU) located at the Energy and Environmental Research Center (EERC) was moved to GTI’s Des Plaines, IL facility and reconfigured to utilize an atmospheric calciner which enables CO 2 capture as a high purity product. Between operations at EERC and GTI’s facility, the pilot plant has demonstrated over 110 hours of sorbent enhanced hydrogen production at 80% or higher purity. The primary objective of this project is to advance the development of GTI’s Sorption Enhanced Reforming (SER) hydrogen production technology, known as the Compact Hydrogen Generator (CHG), to allow for a future commercial demonstration. This effort was performed over the course of 51 months. The previous effort demonstrated that previously observed catalyst deactivation can be mitigated with different catalyst substrates and operating conditions. This follow-on effort will improve both the system operational reliability, and system efficiency. Additionally, a novel approach for the calcination process will be demonstrated which can reduce the cost of carbon dioxide capture by up to 60% compared to equivalent commercial approaches.

03 NATURAL GAS↗

NASA Tech Briefs, March 2004

Topics covered include: 1) Advanced Signal Conditioners for Data-Acquisition Systems; 2) Downlink Data Multiplexer; 3) Viewing ISS Data in Real Time via the Internet; 4) Autonomous Environment-Monitoring Networks; 5) Readout of DSN Monitor Data; 6) Parallel-Processing Equalizers for Multi-Gbps Communications; 7) AIN-Based Packaging for SiC High-Temperature Electronics; 8) Software for Optimizing Quality Assurance of Other Software; 9) The TechSat 21 Autonomous Sciencecraft Experiment; 10) Software for Analyzing Laminar-to-Turbulent Flow Transitions; 11) Elastomer Filled With Single-Wall Carbon Nanotubes; 12) Modifying Ship Air-Wake Vortices for Aircraft Operations; 13) Strain-Gauge Measurement of Weight of Fluid in a Tank; 14) Advanced Docking System With Magnetic Initial Capture; 15) Blade-Pitch Control for Quieting Tilt-Rotor Aircraft; 16) Solar Array Panels With Dust-Removal Capability; 17) Aligning Arrays of Lenses and Single-Mode Optical Fibers; 18) Automatic Control of Arc Process for Making Carbon Nanotubes; 19) Curved-Focal-Plane Arrays Using Deformed-Membrane Photodetectors; 20) Role of Meteorology in Flights of a Solar-Powered Airplane; 21) Model of Mixing Layer With Multicomponent Evaporating Drops; 22) Solution-Assisted Optical Contacting; 23) Improved Discrete Approximation of Laplacian of Gaussian; 24) Utilizing Expert Knowledge in Estimating Future STS Costs; 25) Study of Rapid-Regression Liquefying Hybrid Rocket Fuels; and 26) More About the Phase-Synchronized Enhancement Method.

Source record↗

In silico assessment of the potential of basalt amendments to reduce N 2 O emissions from bioenergy crops

Abstract The potential of large‐scale deployment of basalt to reduce N 2 O emissions from cultivated soils may contribute to climate stabilization beyond the CO 2 ‐removal effect from enhanced weathering. We used 3 years of field observations from maize ( Zea mays ) and miscanthus ( Miscanthus × giganteus ) to improve the nitrogen (N) module of the DayCent model and evaluate the potential of basalt amendments to reduce N losses and increase yields from two bioenergy crops. We found 20%–60% improvement in our N 2 O flux estimates over previous model descriptions. Model results predict that the application of basalt would reduce N 2 O emissions by 16% in maize and 9% in miscanthus. Lower N 2 O emissions responded to increases in the N 2 :N 2 O ratio of denitrification with basalt‐induced increases in soil pH, with minor contributions from the impact of P additions (a minor component of some basalts) on N immobilization. The larger reduction of N 2 O emissions in maize than in miscanthus was likely explained by a synergistic effect between soil pH and N content, leading to a higher sensitivity of the N 2 :N 2 O ratio to changes in pH in heavily fertilized maize. Basalt amendments led to modest increases in modeled yields and the nitrogen use efficiency (i.e., fertilizer‐N recover in crop production) of maize but did not affect the productivity of miscanthus. However, enhanced soil P availability maintained the long‐term productivity of crops with high nutrient requirements. The alleviation of plant P limitation led to enhanced plant N uptake, thereby contributing to lower microbial N availability and N 2 O emissions from crops with high nutrient requirements. Our results from the improved model suggest that the large‐scale deployment of basalt, by reducing N 2 O fluxes of cropping systems, could contribute to the sustainable intensification of agriculture and enhance the climate mitigation potential of bioenergy with carbon capture and storage strategies.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

CO 2 to Bioplastics: Beneficial Re-use of Carbon Emissions from Coal-fired Power Plants using Microalgae

This project sought to address the technical and economic barriers to carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) capture and utilization using microalgae. Specifically, a dual photobioreactor (PBR)/open raceway pond (ORP) cultivation system was evaluated with respect to capital and operational costs, productivity, and culture health, and compared to an ORP-only cultivation system. In the dual (or “hybrid”) system, a cyclic flow PBR was used to provide inoculum for two open raceway ponds after each harvest, with the hypothesis that this PBR + pond system should result in improved performance compared to traditional raceway ponds. Two other raceway ponds were operated conventionally as a control, the experiments being performed at Duke Energy’s East Bend Station in northern KY using coal-derived flue gas as the CO 2 source. Although algae productivity achieved was mediocre due to the fact that the experiments had to be performed late in the growing season when climatic conditions were not optimal for high growth, the hybrid cultivation system showed a higher level of algae productivity (statistically significant) compared to the traditional ponds. In order to realize the maximum value of the algal biomass produced, fractionation of the biomass was examined. Bioplastic compounding and material characterization was subsequently performed using three feed stocks: whole biomass, lipid-extracted biomass and the proteinaceous residue from full fractionation. In general, the whole and lipid-extracted biomass gave similar results in terms of the properties of the resulting bioplastics, while the proteinaceous residue showed promise for the production of a polybutylene adipate terephthalate (PBAT) blend. Finally, sustainability assessment of a putative biorefinery system was conducted, including techno-economic and life cycle impact assessment. Nine different production scenarios were considered, comprising combinations of the three different biomass growth architectures (ORP, PBR and dual PBR-ORP systems) coupled with three different algae biomass processing pathways (drying only, lipid extraction and fractionation). Results show that the minimum selling price of the bioplastic feed stock (BPFS) is within the realm of economic competition with prices as low as $970 USD tonne -1 . Additionally, life cycle impact assessment results indicate drastic improvements in performance of the produced BPFS, with reductions in greenhouse gas emissions ranging between 67 and 116% compared to a petroleum based plastic feedstock.

01 COAL, LIGNITE, AND PEAT↗

Roadmap to Iodine and Mercury Abatement Materials Selection in Nuclear Waste Processing Off-Gas Streams

This work provides a guide for candidate mercury (Hg) and iodine-129 (129I) abatement material identification, screening, evaluation, technical gap identification, and bench-scale testing prioritization while also conceptualizing a materials deployment roadmap for implementation of new materials in the Hanford Waste Treatment and Immobilization Plant (WTP) Low-Activity Waste (LAW) Facility at Hanford in Richland, Washington, and elsewhere in the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) complex for similar applications. The study was prompted by the need to replace the Kombisorb BAT-37 due to uncertainties in Hg and 129I capture performance and future availability for use in the WTP LAW Facility secondary off-gas system, specifically the Carbon Adsorber units. However, replacement of this material could also mitigate two other issues with Kombisorb BAT-37 (and its successor BAT II 37): (1) fire safety risk due to exothermic heat generated by adsorption reactions between the carbon material and Hg and (2) the risk of low retention of 129I in glass and subsequent downstream impacts on secondary liquid waste treatment at the Effluent Treatment Facility.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Crystal Engineering of Hydrogen Bonding for Direct Air Capture of CO2: A Quantum Crystallography Perspective

Rising atmospheric CO2 levels demand efficient and sustainable carbon capture solutions. Direct air capture (DAC) via crystallizing hydrogen-bonded frameworks such as carbonate salts has emerged as a promising approach. This review explores the potential of crystal engineering, in tandem with advanced quantum crystallography techniques and computational modeling, to unlock the full potential of DAC materials. We examine the critical role of hydrogen bonding and other noncovalent interactions within a family of bis-guanidines that governs the formation of carbonate salts with high CO2 capture capacity and low regeneration energies for utilization. Quantum crystallography and charge density analysis prove instrumental in elucidating these interactions. A case study of a highly insoluble carbonate salt of a 2,6-pyridine-bis-(iminoguanidine) exemplifies the effectiveness of these approaches. However, challenges remain in the systematic and precise determination of hydrogen atom positions and atomic displacement parameters within DAC materials using quantum crystallography, and limitations persist in the accuracy of current energy estimation models for hydrogen bonding interactions. Future directions lie in exploring diverse functional groups, designing advanced hydrogen-bonded frameworks, and seamlessly integrating experimental and computational modeling with machine learning. This synergistic approach promises to propel the design and optimization of DAC materials, paving the way for a more sustainable future.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Multiphase computational fluid dynamics modeling of reacting flows in absorption columns for carbon capture

First-principles derived computational fluid dynamics (CFD) simulations have been proposed as a fundamental tool for investigating solvent-based CO 2 absorption in packed columns due to their ability to accurately represent the underlying nonlinear, multiscale dynamics. Numerous studies have previously utilized such CFD simulations to investigate hydrodynamics of columns with structured and random packings by assessing the key hydrodynamic metrics such as the interfacial and wetted areas. While mapping such metrics for different conditions is essential to the optimization of absorption columns, it is not sufficient, as the CO 2 capture rate depends also on the coupled, nonlinear dynamics from the underlying chemical reaction kinetics, thermodynamics, and heat-transfer rates. In this work, we present detailed CFD simulation results augmented by incorporating the effects of interfacial physical mass transfer of CO 2 , heat release from chemical reaction kinetics, and thermophysical property variations from resulting temperature gradients. We demonstrate the applicability of the proposed approach in numerically assessing the performance of packed columns by evaluating key hydrodynamic quantities, CO 2 absorption rates, and temperature rise in a reference column with packings that are structurally similar to the Sulzer Mellapak™ 250.Y packing, for different solvent inflow velocities and temperatures. Predictions from simulation results are found to be consistent with the trends in experimental observations from the literature, suggesting that the predictive capabilities of the simulation framework can be leveraged to guide the future development of absorber-column designs and optimized process flowsheets.

Absorption columns↗

The role of negative emissions in meeting China’s 2060 carbon neutrality goal

China’s pledge to reach carbon neutrality before 2060 is an ambitious goal and could provide the world with much-needed leadership on how to limit warming to +1.5°C warming above preindustrial levels by the end of the century. But the pathways that would achieve net zero by 2060 are still unclear, including the role of negative emissions technologies. We use the Global Change Analysis Model to simulate how negative emissions technologies, in general, and direct air capture (DAC) in particular, could contribute to China’s meeting this target. Our results show that negative emissions could play a large role, offsetting on the order of 3 GtCO 2 per year from difficult-to-mitigate sectors, such as freight transportation and heavy industry. This includes up to a 1.6 GtCO 2 per year contribution from DAC, constituting up to 60% of total projected negative emissions in China. But DAC, like bioenergy with carbon capture and storage and afforestation, has not yet been demonstrated anywhere approaching the scales required to meaningfully contribute to climate mitigation. Deploying NETs at these scales will have widespread impacts on financial systems and natural resources, such as water, land and energy in China.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Circular Economy for Photovoltaics in Service of Energy Transition

The challenge of energy transition is immediate and immense; current projections target 75 TW of photovoltaics (PV) capacity by 2050. While any transition to renewable energy technology is preferable to the current fossil-based system, it is ideal to improve the sustainability of PV to minimize negative environmental and social impacts. Circular economy (CE) has been proposed as a method to improve the sustainability of PV, especially for emerging materials like perovskites. CE is a set of actions, principles, and systems which aim to design out waste and keep products and materials in use, to reduce environmental impacts and enable sustainable development. At the most basic level, CE is "reduce, reuse, recycle", the R-actions, in ranked order. CE of a PV technology can be metricized in a variety of ways, such as the Material Circularity Indicator (Smith and Jones, Ellen MacArthur Foundation, 2019) or recycling rates. Unfortunately, standard CE metrics have several shortcomings for measuring renewable energy technologies in the context of deployment for energy transition (Figge 2018, Saidani 2019): 1) Only measure mass flows; 2) De-prioritization of the use phase in favor of mass circularity when scoring; and 3) Tight focus on a single product scale The use phase and energy flows of PV are key to energy transition, and therefore need to be quantified. Additionally, correlating product-scale to system-scale is necessary for quantifying the environmental impacts of energy transition. Life Cycle Assessment (LCA) can address some of these concerns, but also focuses on a single product scale and has trouble capturing the dynamics of system-scale energy transition, such as the interaction of module lifetime with manufacturing demands for energy transition deployment schedules. Therefore, we developed an open-source Python-based system dynamics model to quantify the mass, energy and carbon impacts of CE R-actions for PV technologies in the energy transition; PV in the CE (PV ICE) (Ovaitt & Mirletz 2021). The tool captures supply chains from material extraction through end of life, incorporating 5 circular end of life pathways. PV ICE takes in any evolving bill of materials, module properties and deployment schedule to support researchers and decision makers with data-backed insights. In this work, we quantify and compare proposed CE sustainable PV module designs and lifecycle management strategies, spanning currently commercialized technologies, government and industry technology targets, and several low Technology Readiness Level (TRL) emerging PV technologies, including perovskites. Our analyses capture the projected evolutions of lifetime, efficiency and material circularity of these PV technologies, as well as their material supply chains. Our analyses emphasize the importance of examining a suite of metrics to identify priorities and tradeoffs, and inform design or lifecycle management decisions holistically. Previous analyses have demonstrated the central importance of PV module lifetime to support energy transition while minimizing impacts. High levels of material circularity (>90%) enable minimizing lifecycle wastes, can reduce virgin material demands if paired with improving efficiency, but demonstrate tradeoffs in energy return on investment. In the fervor of new material and technology development, it is important to remember that CE is not the end goal; decarbonization and energy transition are the end goal. CE should be used in service to improve the sustainability of PV, and R-actions evaluated for their usefulness and efficacy to this end.

carbon↗

Scaling dynamics in low-salt-rejection reverse osmosis for high-salinity produced water desalination: Mechanistic modeling and membrane autopsy

Membrane scaling remains a critical barrier to the reliable operation of desalination systems, particularly for hypersaline produced water (PW) treatment. This study fills the knowledge gap of autopsy-based model validation for PW desalination by elucidating scaling mechanisms in a Low-Salt-Rejection Reverse Osmosis (LSRRO) system through the integration of pilot-scale experimentation and complementary modeling approaches. A semi-empirical modeling framework was developed and applied to a multistage pilot LSRRO system equipped with nanofiltration and RO membranes treating high-salinity PW from the Permian Basin. Water quality analysis showed that total dissolved solids decreased from ~130,000 mg/L to ~1900 mg/L in the permeate, then further reduced to ~300 mg/L by a second-pass RO. Two different thermodynamic modeling approaches were evaluated: the first extends the LSRRO framework by incorporating system complexity and scaling phenomena, whereas the second method explicitly captures concentration polarization in localized supersaturation. Both methods illustrate the tendency for carbonate and sulfate scaling throughout the stages. Membrane autopsies revealed a silica-dominated deposit matrix, localized CaSO 4 at Stage 2, and minor barite/celestite despite their prominence in model predictions. Quantum-chemical calculations indicated silica scaling can be rationalized by favorable adsorption of H 4 SiO 4 on Fe-oxide surfaces (ΔG ≈ −44 kJ/mol), providing a kinetic pathway for interfacial inorganic polymerization even when bulk equilibrium predictions are conservative. Overall, the thermodynamic scaling modeling and membrane autopsy revealed heterogeneous, localized deposits with limited impact on LSRRO performance, while quantum analysis rationalized the thermodynamically unfavorable precipitation formation under bulk equilibrium, reconciling model–autopsy discrepancies. These insights support targeted pretreatment and silica-specific antiscalants to extend membrane lifetime and increase recovery, providing a transferable framework for hypersaline water desalination systems. The combined experimental–computational approach provides new mechanistic insight into scaling in hypersaline membrane systems and establishes a transferable framework for predicting and mitigating scaling in next-generation desalination technologies.

Low-salt-rejection reverse osmosis↗

Deep Eutectic Solvent Formed by Imidazolium Cyanopyrrolide and Ethylene Glycol for Reactive CO 2 Separations

Solvents made from a reactive ionic liquid, with an imidazolium cation and pyrrolide anion, and ethylene glycol at a wide compositional range were studied for separations of CO 2 at low partial pressures (<<0.1 bar up to 1 bar). Thermal analysis and measurements of viscosity and density show compacting of the liquid upon mixing with enhanced stability achieved by hydrogen bonding. A detailed mechanistic study was performed by IR, quantitative NMR, and ab initio calculations that show significant CO 2 absorption capacity below 5000 ppm of CO 2 in N 2 . Three reversible routes are found that yield carbonate (major product), carboxylate (moderate), and carbamate (minor) species. With CO 2 at 100% RH, bicarbonate along with carbonate species form. The CO 2 -ethlyene glycol reaction complex, the carbonate anion, is stabilized by the hydrogen bonding and Coulombic interactions, thus preventing evaporation of the solvent during regeneration. This study demonstrates a promising approach to designer green solvents for CO 2 separations in open systems such as direct air capture.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Sunsetting coal power in China

Reducing CO 2 emissions from coal-fired electricity generation in China is critical to limit global warming. Long-term projections of China's electricity supply tend to assume that coal generation will be a mainstay of China's electricity system through 2050, due to limitations in the scalability of hydropower, nuclear, and natural gas generation and the commercial availability of carbon capture and storage. This paper examines the resource, economic, and institutional implications of reducing and replacing coal generation in China with mostly renewable energy and energy storage by 2040. We find that the scale of solar, wind, and storage resources needed to do so is on the order of 100–150 GW/year of solar and wind capacity and 15 GW/year of energy storage from 2020 to 2025, growing to 250 GW/year and 90 GW/year, respectively, from 2025 to 2040. We then also evaluate the sensitivities if coal plants are retired by 2050.

01 COAL, LIGNITE, AND PEAT↗