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At least 361 records · Page 20

Emerging Technologies for Improved Plug Load Management Systems: Learning Behavior Algorithms and Automatic and Dynamic Load Detection

Plug loads are responsible for a significant portion of the energy consumed in commercial buildings, yet their distributed and ever-changing nature makes them one of the most challenging building end uses to manage. Plug load management systems exist today that utilize smart plugs to meter and control devices at the outlet level, however, their uptake has been relatively slow in part due to the significant labor required for installation and maintenance. Learning behavior algorithms and automatic and dynamic load detection have been identified as two technology areas that could accelerate the adoption of plug load management systems by reducing these labor demands and providing additional energy efficiency and non-energy benefits. Learning behavior algorithms learn occupant behavior and adjust plug load management systems accordingly, allowing for the automatic creation of optimized control schedules. Automatic and dynamic load detection allows a plug load management system to identify devices as they are plugged in to a building and keeps the system up to date as devices are moved throughout a building. In this paper, we present our findings with respect to the current state of these two technologies based on a review of existing research and patents, as well as a series of interviews with companies working in the plug load space. We have found that, as of now, no commercialized solutions exist for these plug load technologies and that more work is needed to bring them to market. In addition, we summarize our findings related to the technology challenges, market barriers, drivers, and opportunities for these technologies moving forward.

30 DIRECT ENERGY CONVERSION↗

The Effect of Antagonistic Behavior in Reinforcement Learning

The significant achievements of deep reinforcement learning (RL) have motivated researchers to also investigate its shortcomings. Such work has shown that typical methods in deep RL tend to produce brittle policies that overfit to the training environment. In this paper, we introduce the notion of purely antagonistic behavior in value-based agents, where the objective is not to maximize reward but to minimize the victim’s value over time. This notion is motivated by the scenario in which an antagonistic human architect, without access to the environment’s reward function, wants to build an RL agent that can impede another well-trained RL victim agent. First, we formalize a notion of antagonistic behavior in RL. Then, we provide experiments that show how a purely antagonistic agent performs compared to a well-trained victim that learns directly from the game’s rewards. Our results suggest that if one’s goal is to find vulnerabilities in well-trained agents, direct access to the environment’s rewards is not necessary, and antagonistic behavior can be measured independently from environment wins and losses.

Fujimoto, Ted C.↗

Initial Developments in Modeling Graphite Behavior

Graphite is used in High Temperature Reactor designs as a moderator, reflector and core material responsible for protecting the fuel and maintaining structural stability. From a safety perspective, it is imperative to be able to predict how graphite will behave under reactor operating conditions which may compromise the core’s structural integrity or fuel’s safety performance. The following report summarizes recent modeling work undertaken at Idaho National Laboratory which focuses on graphite degradation behavior. One phenomenon which is explored in this report and can cause significant degradation to graphite properties is oxidation. Oxidation behavior in graphite is highly temperature dependent. At low temperatures, oxygen can fully penetrate a component and cause a homogeneous damage profile. At high temperatures, only the graphite near the surface of a component is affected. Understanding and modeling this temperature dependence is essential to predicting graphite behavior. In this report, three graphite models are discussed. The first model is used to investigate strength loss after low temperature oxidation. It does this by generating an approximate graphite microstructure then determining the required load to cause crack propagation. It has been shown that the model reproduces the quasi brittle stress versus strain relationship observed in graphite. Strength loss results from the model are shown to match experimental values. The second model investigates strength loss under high temperature oxidation conditions. This model is more applicable to full scale graphite components where the oxidation damage is often inhomogeneous throughout a component. The third model computes stresses in graphite under reactor conditions. Specifically, the model incorporates the effect of creep, irradiation dose, thermal strains, and oxidation in order to predict internal stresses in a component. All of these models are implemented in the Multiphysics Object-Oriented Simulation Environment (MOOSE), an open source, parallel finite element framework.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

A Real-Time Data Dashboard for Monitoring Travel Behavior

When running a smartphone app-based travel behavior study, it is important to keep participants engaged in contributing data. Long study durations and/or large samples make it difficult to engage participants in reporting their travel behavior. We developed a dashboard web application called 'emdash' to facilitate and ease the data collection maintenance task. It allows deployers to view trip trajectories, track which participants are uploading data, and generate report ready plots. Emdash can also be useful for deployers to identify ways to best encourage a particular transportation mode shift and to provide feedback and reporting to participants. Using the dashboard, a single admin was able to support a classic travel study with 80 participants. The dashboard is currently deployed in a two-year electric bike (e-bike) pilot study called CanBikeCO, conducted in six locations across Colorado, USA. CanBikeCO targets carbon emissions reduction and equity improvement by evaluating changes to participants' travel behavior when they are offered free e-bikes. Each CanBikeCO location has access to their own version of emdash to help them monitor and support participants. After testing and gathering feedback, we made improvements to the dashboard's usability and scalability, and proposed a method to make detecting data issues easier. Improvements include configurable options and limiting the volume of data sent to the dashboard as study size and duration increase.

ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS,MATHEMATICS AND COMPUT↗

High-Fidelity Modeling of Curbside Driving Behavior in SUMO: Preprint

Recent advances in mobility technologies have considerably increased the need for curbside use and congestion at curb-lanes. At airports and in dense urban centers, the growing adoption of Transportation Network Companies (TNCs), such as Uber and Lyft, has led to an increase in curbside traffic due to the reduction in the use public transit and other shared modes. In dense city areas, the curbside demand and congestion were further augmented by the growing use of e-commerce, which requires home-delivery of goods. To model vehicles' curbside interactions realistically, there is a need for high-fidelity simulation models that can represent the complex interplay of vehicles as they complete pick-up or drop-off trips. Vehicles' curbside behaviors are usually not modeled with high-fidelity in microscopic simulators such Simulation of Urban of Mobility (SUMO). This paper presents such a high-resolution model for vehicle curbside behavior in SUMO, using SUMO's Traci interface. Simulations results demonstrate that the improved curbside behavior captures vehicles' curbside maneuvering more accurately than the default SUMO curbside model, and increases the curbside utilization and capacity.

ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗

Modeling the Fundamental Radiation Chemistry of the Organic Diluent, and the Effect of Metal Ion Complexation on the Radiochemical Behavior of Active Compounds

All used nuclear fuel (UNF) reprocessing technologies must operate efficiently in the presence of an intense, multi-component (predominantly alpha, beta, and gamma) radiation field. Consequently, radiation-induced degradation of reprocessing systems is of concern, as it negatively impacts process performance over time due to the destruction of both active compounds (ligands, phase modifiers, holdback agents, etc.) and the formation of degradation products. Reprocessing solvent system radiolysis has been linked to changes in separation efficiency and physical properties of solvent mixtures, solvent-recycle longevity, crud formation, and other unexpected outcomes that impact the efficient recovery of valuable materials (e.g., the actinides) and the volume of hazardous radioactive waste for final disposal, i.e., in a geological repository. Consequently, a fundamental understanding of radiolytic processes and their effects on reprocessing solvent system performance is critical for: (i) the cost-effective development and innovation of separation technologies; (ii) the design and implementation of predictive radiation chemical models for process monitoring and lifetimes; and (iii) potentially the ability to exploit radiolytic phenomenon to our benefit, e.g., strategic radiolysis of active molecules to liberate specific degradation products that aid subsequent process stages. Despite extensive investigation into the radiolytic behavior of active solvent system compounds, little attention has been given to understanding (i) the radiation chemical behavior and modification of the organic diluent and (ii) the effect of metal ion complexation on the radiochemical behavior of active compounds.

38 RADIATION CHEMISTRY, RADIOCHEMISTRY, AND NUCLEA↗

Comparison of Gas Phase Fragmentation Behaviors of Nuclear Fuel Cycle Ligands in Lanthanide and Americium Metal Ligand Nitrate Clusters

Title (20 word): Comparison of Gas Phase Fragmentation Behaviors of Nuclear Fuel Cycle Ligands in Lanthanide and Americium Metal Ligand Nitrate Clusters Introduction (120 words): Transport of metal ions across the aqueous-organic phase boundary is an essential step in a hydrometallurgical nuclear fuel reprocessing strategy. The study of transport agents for nuclear fuel elements is imperative to guide the design of ligands that boost the separation efficiency of the recovery process from fission products. However, limited studies have been made on the chemistry of these transport agents when complexing with transuranic elements in gas-phase where all surrounding factors are essentially excluded. This work investigates the reagent ligand complexations to transuranic and other metals and their dissociations in the gas phase. Comparisons are made between 4f and 5f elements and between ligands. Methods (120 words): (N,N-diisobutylcarbamoylmethyl)phenyloctylphosphine oxide (CMPO) and N,N,N',N'-tetraoctyldiglycolamide (TODGA) have been selected to complex with metal nitrates. The actinide americium and lanthanides neodymium, samarium, and europium were investigated as part of this work. The lanthanides were selected to act as size and electron configuration analogues of the minor actinides. Metal complexes with two ligands and two nitrates ([M(NO3)2(CMPO)2]+, for example) are studied in Bruker micrOTOF-Q II mass spectrometer equipped with collision-induced dissociation capability. The comparisons of the mass spectra are made in groups of homogenous ligands and mixed TODGA-CMPO ligands clusters. Comparisons are also made based on the complexed metals (Am and lanthanides). Preliminary data (300 words): Collision-induced dissociation mass spectrometry data are collected on two ligands complexed with metal nitrates where the two ligands are homogenous, with (CMPO)2 or (TODGA)2, or heterogeneous, with (TODGA)(CMPO). Several fragmentation patterns are observed among complexes with the CMPO ligand whereas the TODGA ligand commonly dissociates intact from the complex. Most of the metal complexes exhibit similar fragmentation patterns, but there are a few notable deviations in fragmentation patterns between the Am and Ln-bearing complexes. For the [M(CMPO)2(NO3)2]+ complexes, the initial loss of nitrate in the form of nitric acid is observed in all four complexes. However, [Am(CMPO)2(NO3)2]+ exhibits an additional fragmentation not found in the lanthanide complexes. Also, a significantly different ratio of the second nitric acid loss is found in the Am complex. These deviations may indicate the different interaction behaviors between actinides and lanthanides. The [M(TODGA)2(NO3)2]+ complexes exhibit the fragmentation as the loss of one TODGA ligand as an intact form and the loss of nitrate as nitric acid. The Am complex exhibits an additional fragmentation after losing the TOGDA ligand, which is not observed among the Ln complexes. The heterogeneous [M(TODGA)(CMPO)(NO3)2]+ complexes exhibit both similarities and differences between the Am and Ln complexes. For example, the heterogenous Am complex does not exhibit the loss of an intact TODGA ligand while all three Ln complexes do. This indicates that TODGA may bind more strongly to Am than Ln. Additionally, the intensity of the loss of CMPO ligand (as partially or whole) is found to be significantly larger than that of the loss of TODGA (as partially of whole) indicating that TODGA is bound to the metal significantly stronger than CMPO. Planned computational analysis will help understand the deviation in fragmentation behaviors between americium and lanthanide metal centers, or between TODGA and CMPO ligands. Novel aspect (20 words): Gas-phase actinide and lanthanide complex formation and fragmentation provide insight into the coordination environment differences of f-element metals.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Assessing High Burnup U-19Pu-10Zr Fuel Performance against Historical and Modeled Behavior

Advancing the deployment of sodium-cooled fast reactors (SFRs) requires thorough testing of metallic fuel pins under accident conditions to establish safe operational limits of high burnup fuel. To conduct transient testing, a comprehensive understanding of steady-state fuel behavior obtained through both experimental characterization and accurate predictive capabilities is needed. This study comparatively assesses the steady-state irradiation performance of two high burnup U-19Pu-10Zr fuel pins, DP-36 and DP-40, irradiated under prototypic fast reactor conditions in preparation for planned safety testing at the Transient Reactor Test Facility. Since DP-40 was designated for use in the test and DP-36 serves as its sibling pin, non-destructive, engineering-scale post-irradiation examinations (PIE) were conducted on both pins while destructive examinations were performed exclusively on DP-36. The results were then assessed against historical performance data from similar fuel pins irradiated in the Experimental Breeder Reactor-II. Additionally, the steady-state irradiation of each pin was modeled using the BISON fuel performance code to assess the accuracy of current modeling capabilities in predicting the baseline irradiation behavior. Non-destructive examinations included neutron radiography to measure fuel column elongation, gamma scanning to verify pin integrity and fission product migration, and profilometry to assess dimensional changes. Benchmarking against existing PIE data revealed consistent patterns in axial fuel column growth and cladding diametral strain, though both pins exhibited longer low-density “fluff” structures, which can have implications for core reactivity and source term calculations. Destructive examinations on DP-36 included fission gas release analysis and sectioning for optical microscopy, which showed more complex constituent redistribution patterns than the traditionally accepted 3-ring model. The axial evolution of fractional areas and porosities of each of the redistributed zones were quantified and presented. Modeling comparisons showed agreement in fractional fission gas release but consistently overestimated axial and radial swelling and disagreed with measured axial porosity patterns. These conservative overpredictions suggested that the pins would appear closer to failure or operational limits at the start of transient tests, potentially leading to higher strain accumulation during the transient. While conservative estimates provide safety margins, they can negatively impact fuel economics. A review of the swelling models identified areas for improvement in the gaseous swelling, solid swelling, and fuel hot-pressing models when applied to ternary fuel. The results of this study highlight the critical importance of conducting pre-test characterization on both test and sibling pins to accurately capture steady-state fuel behavior, providing a precise baseline for post-test evaluations and essential inputs for transient modeling of the planned experiments. The analysis also revealed significant data gaps that require further investigation to enhance the understanding and prediction of fuel swelling and pore dynamics. Collecting comprehensive data across different irradiation conditions, burnup levels, and fuel compositions are essential for refining existing models and developing mechanistic models for both binary and ternary metallic fuels, ultimately improving the integration of modeling and experimental approaches in accident testing.

11 - NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Statistical Estimation of EV Driver Charging Behavior and Influential Factors

INL received data collected via telematics from battery electric vehicles (BEVs), and these vehicles were owned by retail customers who had entered into a telematics user agreement. The goal of analyzing these data was to develop mathematical models to characterize how different sets of BEV drivers use charging infrastructure at home and away from home (i.e., public charging) and quantify how various factors influence BEV drivers’ decision to charge and use available infrastructure. The data used in this analysis are unique because they provide real world BEV driving and charging behavior at the individual driving and parking event level. In this study we seek to leverage this data to quantify BEV charging and driving metrics to help inform models that predict quantities like the specific times when loads are imposed on the electrical grid due to BEV charging. Most models that have been developed to predict electrical grid load due to BEV charging, use simulations of BEV driving events and rely on assumptions such as every vehicle charges every night. Using a statistical modelling framework, we seek to investigate BEV charging behavior and quantitatively assess these common assumptions of BEV charging behavior.

33 - ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗

Thermoelectric Behavior of Structurally Disordered Lanthanide and Actinide Silicides

Lanthanide and actinide intermetallic materials exhibit intriguing electronic, structural, and magnetic properties arising from their partially filled f orbitals. Strong f-electron correlations can significantly modify the electronic density of states, carrier scattering, and transport behavior, making these systems promising candidates for unconventional thermoelectric materials. In previous studies, single crystals of A1.33T4Al8Si2 (A = Ce, Th, U, Np; T = Co, Ni) were synthesized. This structure consists of ordered TAl2 corrugated double layers separated by disordered An–Si monolayers. The inherent disorder within the An–Si layers has been linked to unusual magnetic behavior, such as spin-glass phenomena, and is expected to strongly influence phonon scattering and charge-carrier transport relevant to thermoelectric performance. However, the thermoelectric properties of this material family have not previously been explored. In this work, DFT calculations were performed to evaluate the electronic density of states, band structures, and thermoelectric properties, including the effects of doping. To validate these predictions, Ce1.33Co4Al8Si2 single crystals were grown and experimentally characterized. Additionally, a new Yb1.33Co4Al8Si2 phase was synthesized and characterized using single-crystal XRD, SEM-EDS, magnetization measurements, and thermoelectric measurements. These results provide insight into structure–property relationships governing thermoelectric behavior in f-electron intermetallics and offer guidance for future thermoelectric materials.

37 - INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL AND ANALYTICAL C↗

Mechanical Behavior of Neutron Irradiated Refractory Multi-Principal Element Alloys Processed via Spark Plasma Sintering

The search for advanced materials capable of withstanding the extreme conditions of Generation IV reactors is a critical area in materials science research. These reactors operate under severe environments, including high temperatures, corrosion, stress, and irradiation damage. Consequently, there is a need for innovative alloy systems to ensure the reliability and longevity of proposed Generation IV reactor components. Refractory multi-principal-element alloys (RMPEA) have emerged as a promising candidate due to their exceptional properties. These alloys, characterized by their composition of multiple principal elements in near-equiatomic ratios, exhibit superior resistance to irradiation damage, reduced void swelling, enhanced microstructural stability, and minimal irradiation-induced hardening. While initial studies on RMPEAs have shown promising results, most research has been limited to thin films, nanocrystalline microstructures, and ion irradiation, which do not accurately represent the behavior of bulk materials. To address this gap, our research focused on the neutron irradiation of bulk RMPEAs. We aim to conduct comprehensive post-irradiation examinations (PIE) of RMPEAs irradiated at the Advanced Test Reactor at Idaho National Laboratory. The RMPEAs were synthesized using spark plasma sintering (SPS) with mechanically alloyed metallurgical powder. The RMPEA specimens are a MoNbTi alloy system with additions of -Zr, and -ZrV. Furthermore, PIE consisted of mechanical testing and advanced materials characterization. The mechanical testing consisted of sub-sized tensile testing, micro- and nano- indentation. Microstructural characterization included scanning electron microscopy and transmission electron microscopy. Mechanical testing coupled with advanced microscopy techniques provides insight into phase morphology and its effects on the mechanical properties of the RMPEA specimens. The results indicate that both pristine and irradiated RMPEA specimens exhibited brittle behavior during tensile testing, which can be attributed to their heterogeneous microstructure. The SPS manufacturing process did not include any post treatment, which resulted in a heterogeneous microstructure. Energy-dispersive X-ray spectroscopy revealed the presence of intermetallic such as laves phases within the microstructure. Specifically, Ti-rich precipitates were observed in the MoNbTi specimen, while Mo-rich precipitates were found in the MoNbTiZrV specimen. Nano-hardness testing of pristine samples showed that the laves phases exhibited higher hardness values compared to the matrix phase, suggesting that precipitate hardening is likely the dominant hardening mechanism in these specimens. The results from this work will be used to build a finite element model to predict mechanical behavior of future MPEA compositions. Thus, enabling for a streamlined approach to developing novel MPEAs for the nuclear industry.

36 - MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Decoupling Accurate Electrochemical Behaviors for High-Capacity Electrodes via Reviving Three-Electrode Vehicles

Developing high-capacity electrodes requires the evaluation of electrochemical behaviors with an increasing current density. Currently, the current density for evaluation of high-capacity electrodes has reached a new stage where the polarization at the lithium counter electrode has become a technical barrier for the accurate evaluation of battery electrodes, resulting in severe performance and mechanism mischaracterizations. Here, the accurate electrochemical behavior for high-capacity electrodes via a single-channel three-electrode vehicle is decoupled, by which the impact of lithium counter electrode is minimized. The testing high-capacity graphite electrode is capable of delivering an excellent rate capability with 81.7% capacity retention at 0.3 C, as well as stable cycling performance retaining 97.5% practical reversible capacity after 225 cycles, much higher than the graphite electrode tested with traditional half-cell testing vehicle but in close agreement with the results obtained from a well-matched full cell, reflecting accurate electrochemical performance evaluations of high-capacity electrodes. Moreover, detailed electrochemical mechanisms of impedance and diffusion properties for working electrodes are also successfully decoupled individually. Here, this work uncovers the mismatch between traditional evaluation configuration and increasing testing current density and provides a guideline for accurate electrochemical evaluation for ever-increasing high-capacity electrodes, which is of great significance for high-energy lithium or other alkali-metal ion batteries.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Phase Behavior of Charged Star Block Copolymers at Fluids Interface

The phase behavior of block copolymers (BCPs) at the water-oil interface is influenced by the segmental interaction parameter (χ) and chain architecture. We synthesized a series of star block copolymers (s-BCPs) having polystyrene (PS) as core and poly(2-vinylpyridine) (P2VP) as corona. The interaction parameters of block-block (χ PS-P2VP ) and block-solvent (χ P2VP-solvent ) were varied by adjusting the pH of the aqueous solution. Lowering pH increased the fraction of quaternized-P2VP (Q-P2VP) with enhanced hydrophilicity. By transferring the equilibrated interfacial assemblies, morphologies ranging from bicontinuous films at pH of 7 and 3.1 to nanoporous and nanotubular structure at pH of 0.65 were observed. The nanoporous films formed hexagonally packed pores in s-BCP matrix, while nanotubes comprised Q-P2VP as corona and PS as core. Control over pore size, d-spacing between pores, and nanotube diameters was achieved by varying polymer concentration, molecular weight, volume fraction and arm number of s-BCPs. Large-scale nanoporous films were obtained by freeze-drying emulsions. Remarkably, the morphologies of linear BCPs were inverted, forming hexagonal-packed rigid spherical micelles with Q-P2VP as core and PS as corona in multilayer. Here, this work provides insights of phase behaviors of BCP at fluids interface and offer a facile approach to prepare nanoporous film with well-controlled pore structure.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

A comparative experimental study of the hygroscopic and mechanical behaviors of electrospun nanofiber membranes and solution–cast films of polybenzimidazole

This article reports a comparative experimental study of the hygroscopic and mechanical behaviors of electrospun polybenzimidazole (PBI) nanofiber membranes and solution-cast PBI films. As-electrospun nonwoven PBI nanofiber mats (with the nanofiber diameter of ~250 nm) were heat-pressed under controlled temperature, pressure and duration for the study; lab-made solution-cast PBI films and commercially available PBI films (the PBI Performance Product Inc., Charlotte, NC) were used as the control samples. Thermogravimetric and microtensile tests were utilized to characterize the hygroscopic (moisture absorption) and mechanical properties of the PBI nanofiber membranes at varying heat-pressing conditions, which were further compared to those of solution-cast PBI films. Experimental results indicated that the PBI nanofiber membranes carried slightly higher thermal stability and less hygroscopic properties than those of solution-cast PBI films. In addition, heat-pressing conditions significantly influenced the mechanical properties of the resulting PBI nanofiber membranes. The stiffness and tensile strength increase with increasing either the heat-pressing pressure or duration, and relevant mechanisms were explored. Here, the present study provides a rational understanding of the hygroscopic and mechanical behaviors of electrospun PBI nanofiber membranes and solution-cast PBI films that are beneficial to their reliable cutting-edge applications in high-temperature filtration, polymer electrolyte membranes (PEMs), etc.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Lessons Learned in Employing Data Analytics to Predict Oxidation Kinetics and Spallation Behavior of High-Temperature NiCr-Based Alloys

Machine learning (ML) can offer many advantages in predicting material properties over traditional materials development methods based solely on limited experimental investigations or physical-based simulations with the capability to reduce development cost, risk, and time. However, so far, limited efforts have been made to predict alloy oxidation kinetics and spallation behavior via ML due to the lack of consistently measured and sufficient experimental data and the inherent complexity in oxidation behavior of multicomponent high-temperature alloys. A previous study reported the ability of ML to predict oxidation kinetics of NiCr-based alloys as a function of alloy composition and operating conditions. Here, the performance of a ML model in predicting rate constants and spallation probability was evaluated in light of the roles of the data distribution of the experimental dataset (data analytics), the alloy composition, the exposure environment and the chosen oxidation approach to extracting kinetic values from the measured mass changes (but using either a simple parabolic law or a statistical cyclic oxidation model). Potential strategies to improve the predictions and enhance the extrapolative capability of the previously trained model will be discussed.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Effects of slope steepness and cross-slope wind speed on fire spreading behavior for various vegetation

Wildland fire behavior is significantly influenced by environmental factors such as slope steepness, wind speed, and fuel type. Understanding these interactions is critical for improving predictive models and fire management. This study explores how slope steepness and cross-slope wind speed influence fire spread dynamics in various fuel bed types. Simulations are conducted using a physics-based wildland fire model, HIGRAD/FIRETEC, across six slope angles (0–50 %), four cross-slope wind speeds (4–10 m s –1 ), and three fuel bed types (grass, shrubland, and forest). Representative cases are additionally compared with FARSITE fireline evolution. Fire behavior is categorized into distinct propagation types based on spread characteristics and analyzed. The fire propagation angle, which indicates deviation from the wind direction, generally increases with steeper slopes and decreases with stronger cross-slope winds. Secondary upslope propagation is observed in shrubland under moderate slopes, while secondary downwind propagation occurs in all fuel beds at higher wind speeds. These findings highlight fire spread characteristics that differ from predictions by traditional models like Rothermel’s. By capturing complex propagation patterns and dynamics, this study demonstrates the value of a physics-based, atmosphere-fire coupled model for accurate wildland fire prediction. Incorporating secondary propagations and the influence of fuel bed complexities into predictive models can improve the accuracy of fire spread forecasts, enabling more effective fire management and risk mitigation efforts.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Numerical simulation of involute-plate research reactor flow behavior using RANS, LES and DNS

This paper investigates the flow behavior of involute-plate research reactors by performing Reynolds-Averaged Navier Stokes simulation (RANS), Large Eddy Simulation (LES) and Direct Numerical Simulation (DNS) of the channel flow between fuel plates. By modeling turbulence with different numerical approaches, this study provides data with three levels of fidelity. For the RANS simulation, three widely used turbulence models, i.e., k-ε, k-ω, Reynolds Stress Turbulence model (RST) are applied by using the commercial CFD code STAR-CCM +. For LES and DNS, the open-source CFD code, Nek5000, is used given its outstanding scalability on High Performance Computer (HPC) and high-order technique. The results from RANS simulations are compared with that from LES and DNS for benchmarking. Both macroscale parameters and turbulence statistics, such as velocity magnitude, lateral velocity and turbulence kinetic energy, are presented and analyzed. The results from RANS simulation achieve good agreement with LES and DNS on velocity and turbulence kinetic energy prediction. The RST turbulence model predicts the most similar flow pattern of lateral velocity as compared to LES and DNS. The Lambda-2 (λ2) criterion with a reasonable threshold is used to demonstrate the instantaneous vortices distribution in the involute channel from both LES and DNS calculation. The DNS simulation captures more detailed turbulence especially near the corner, which explains the discrepancy between LES and DNS results near the corner. The normalized RMS error are defined and calculated to assess the performance of those turbulence models. The RST model captures the anisotropic feature of turbulence, which enable it to outperform other turbulence models for predicting the flow behavior in an involute channel. Although some discrepancies are found between LES and DNS results in the corner, the overall deviations between LES and DNS are found to be small. In conclusion, given that the computational cost of DNS calculation is an order of magnitude higher, using LES data for benchmarking RANS model is a cost-effective approach.

DNS↗

Adaptive behavior and different thermal experiences of real people: A Bayesian neural network approach to thermal preference prediction and classification

Various observed and unquantifiable factors affect the thermal comfort of occupants in indoor environments and can lead to high uncertainty in the prediction and classification of their thermal preferences. The behavioral adaptation of occupants, by operating window systems for example, changes their thermal experience and expectations and therefore contributes to even higher prediction uncertainty. In this study, we applied a Bayesian neural network (BNN) algorithm to build a predictive model for occupant thermal preference using the ASHRAE Global Thermal Comfort Database II. The Bayesian method allows us to synthesize prior knowledge and available measurements into a unified modeling framework. It also offers a way to express and quantify uncertainty. Here we have performed a systematic study to test the efficiency and robustness of different BNN model configurations. In this study, the results show that the BNN model outperforms conventional thermal comfort models such as Predicted Mean Vote (PMV) and adaptive comfort model. The BNN model tends to produce more confident “prefer cooler” predictions with high possibility and low uncertainty. In contrast, the BNN model produces less certain predictions for “prefer no change” and “prefer warmer” across all occupants. Our findings suggest that linking occupants’ subjective evaluation measures and window opening/closing behavior to thermal comfort modeling effectively improves predictive performance.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗