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At least 361 records · Page 20

Effective climate sensitivity distributions from a 1D model of global ocean and land temperature trends, 1970–2021

Abstract Current theoretically based Earth system models (ESMs) produce Effective Climate Sensitivities (EffCS) that range over a factor of three, with 80% of those models producing stronger global warming trends for 1970–2021 than do observations. To make a more observationally based estimate of EffCS, a 1D time-dependent forcing-feedback model of temperature departures from energy equilibrium is used to match measured ranges of global-average surface and sub-surface land and ocean temperature trends during 1970–2021. In response to two different radiative forcing scenarios, a full range of three model free parameters are evaluated to produce fits to a range of observed surface temperature trends (± 2σ) from four different land datasets and three ocean datasets, as well as deep-ocean temperature trends and borehole-based trend retrievals over land. Land-derived EffCS are larger than over the ocean, and EffCS is lower using the newer Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSP245, 1.86 °C global EffCS, ± 34% range 1.48–2.15 °C) than the older Representative Concentration Pathway forcing (RCP6, 2.49 °C global average EffCS, ± 34% range 2.04–2.87 °C). The strongest dependence of the EffCS results is on the assumed radiative forcing dataset, underscoring the role of radiative forcing uncertainty in determining the sensitivity of the climate system to increasing greenhouse gas concentrations from observations alone. The results are consistent with previous observation-based studies that concluded EffCS during the observational period is on the low end of the range produced by current ESMs.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Effect of successive heat treatment on the performance of superconducting radio frequency niobium cavities

One of the primary sources of radio frequency residual losses leading to lower quality factor is trapped residual magnetic field during the cooldown of superconducting radio frequency cavities. It has been reported that non-uniform recrystallization of niobium cavities after the post fabrication heat treatment leads to higher flux trapping during the cooldown, and hence the lower quality factor. Here, we fabricated two 1.3 GHz single cell cavities from high purity fine grain niobium and processed with successive heat treatments in the range 800-1000 ?C to measure the flux expulsion and flux trapping sensitivity. The results show the improved flux expulsion with increase in heat treatment temperature and flux trapping sensitivity depends on the final surface preparation prior to the rf test.

Khanal, Bashu↗

Sensitivity and Uncertainty Analysis of Generator Failures under Extreme Temperature Scenarios in Power Systems

This report summarizes work done under the Verification, Validation, and Uncertainty Quantification (VVUQ) thrust area of the North American Energy Resilience Model (NAERM) Program. The specific task of interest described in this report is focused on sensitivity analysis of scenarios involving failures of both wind turbines and thermal generators under extreme cold-weather temperature conditions as would be observed in a Polar Vortex event.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

Third Harmonic Generator Optics Loop Transportation and Handling

The National Ignition Facility (NIF) uses crystal optics made from Potassium Di-Hydrogen Phosphate (KDP) for frequency conversion, changing the fundamental wavelength of 1053 nm to the third harmonic at 351 nm. The crystal optics are manufactured at a vendor and shipped to Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory (LLNL) where they are measured, mitigated, cleaned, coated, and placed into line replaceable units (LRUs) in the Optics Processing Facility (OPF) clean room and transported to the NIF where they are stored under Nitrogen purge until they are installed in the beamline. The KDP crystal optics are sensitive to humidity and temperature, so they are stored under Nitrogen purge providing a clean and dry environment. The sensitivity to the environment and the brittle nature of the crystals makes transportation and handling (T&H) challenging. Coupled with challenges in holding the crystal optics in the LRU to not distort the optic, there is a balance between T&H and fixturing the optic in the laser system. The purpose of the LRU is to make the optics interchangeable allowing for a relatively quick interchange. Kinematic mounts and ceramic frames aid in making this possible. Optics in the NIF that are frequently changed out have an established recycle loop. The loop for an optic can be complex depending on the amount of processing and rework necessary. Some optics can’t be reconditioned so they are replaced with new optics.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗

Sensitivity of pore collapse heating to the melting temperature and shear viscosity of HMX

A multiscale modeling strategy is used to quantify factors governing the temperature rise in hot spots formed by pore collapse from supported and unsupported shock waves in the high explosive HMX (octahydro-1,3,5,7-tetranitro-1,3,5,7-tetrazocine). Two physical aspects are examined in detail, namely the melting temperature and liquid shear viscosity. All-atom molecular dynamics simulations of phase coexistence are used to predict the pressure-dependent melting temperature up to 5 GPa. Equilibrium simulations and the Green–Kubo formalism are used to obtain the temperature- and pressure-dependent liquid shear viscosity. Starting from a simplified continuum-based grain-scale model of HMX, in this study we systematically increase the complexity of treatments for the solid–liquid phase transition and liquid shear viscosity in simulations of pore collapse. Using a realistic pressure-dependent melting temperature completely suppresses melting for supported shocks, which is otherwise predicted when treating it as a constant determined at atmospheric pressure. Alternatively, melt pools form around collapsed pores when the pressure (and melting temperature) are reduced during the release stage of unsupported shocks. Capturing the pressure dependence of the shear viscosity increases the peak temperature of melt pools by hundreds of Kelvin through viscous work. The complicated interplay of the solid-phase plastic work, solid–liquid phase transition, and liquid-phase viscous work identified here motivate taking a systematic approach to building increasingly complex grain-scale models.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

High-volume tunable resonator for axion searches above 7 GHz

In this research, we present results from an experimental demonstration of a tunable thin-shell axion haloscope whose geometry decouples its overall volume from its resonant frequency, thereby evading the steep sensitivity degradation at high frequencies. An aluminum 2.6-l (41⁢λ 3 ) prototype, which tunes from 7.1 to 8.0 GHz, was fabricated and characterized at room temperature. An axion-sensitive, straightforwardly tunable TM 010 mode is clearly identified with a room-temperature quality factor, Q, of approximately 5000. The on-resonance E-field distribution is mapped and found to agree with numerical calculations. Anticipating future cryogenic operation, we develop an alignment protocol relying only on rf measurements of the cavity, maintaining a form factor of 0.57 across the full tuning range. These measurements demonstrate the feasibility of cavity-based haloscopes with operating volume V $\gg$ λ 3 . We discuss plans for future development and the parameters required for a thin-shell haloscope exploring the postinflationary axion parameter space (approximately 4 to 30 GHz) at Dine-Fischler-Srednicki-Zhitnitsky sensitivity.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

Experimental and modeling study of the autoignition behavior of a saturated heterocycle: Pyrrolidine

Experiments are conducted in both rapid compression machine (RCM) and shock tube (ST) to better quantify autoignition behavior (e.g., ignition delay, heat release) and understand heteroatomic effects in heterocyclic compounds, which are important reference components for the combustion of biomass-derived liquid fuels. These tests focus on the nitrogen-containing, five-membered saturated ring, pyrrolidine, at diluted conditions covering pressures of 20 and 50 bar, temperatures of 720–1450 K and a range of stoichiometries (ϕ = 0.5–2). A chemical kinetic model is developed and coupled to an existing combustion kinetics framework describing key nitrogen containing intermediates (e.g. pyrrole, ammonia and NOx). H-abstraction reactions by OH, H, CH 3 and HO 2 , are determined using ab-initio transition state theory methods, while analogies to cyclopentane are adopted for many other reactions, such as ring-opening. Here, the autoignition measurements reveal the lack of negative temperature coefficient (NTC) behavior and low-temperature chemistry for pyrrolidine, as opposed to its saturated hydrocarbon analogue, cyclopentane. Interestingly, at the lowest temperatures (T < 750 K), the reactivity of cyclopentane is greater than pyrrolidine, while at higher temperatures, pyrrolidine becomes more reactive. Agreement between the experimental measurements and the model is good, and it is found that H-abstraction reactions by HO 2 and ensuing chemistry play key roles in controlling the reactivity of this cyclic amine. Most of the fluxes, i.e., >70 %, are predicted to move through 1- or 2-pyrroline (C 4 H 7 N) and then the cyclic C 4 H 6 N radical, at both lower and higher temperatures, to form either CH 2 CHCHCHNH via ring-opening or pyrrole via β-scission. It appears that the ring opens more easily at lower temperature whereas the C–H β-scission dominates at higher temperature and lower pressure, such that the reaction of the fuel radical intermediate carrying an unpaired electron on the nitrogen atom with HO 2 is the next most notable in promoting oxidation. When comparing pyrrolidine and cyclopentane, which exhibits distinct pathways in different temperature regimes, the pyrrolidine pathways and sensitivity analysis align more closely to the high temperature case of cyclopentane where the important role of HO 2 radicals is seen to provide chain branching through HO 2 reaction with the fuel, accompanied by H 2 O 2 formation and decomposition to OH. The formation of 5-membered diene rings and ring opening reactions are also found to be highly relevant. Of particular note, it is found that there is little influence of small molecule nitrogen-chemistry, e.g., NH 2 , HCN, NO/NO 2 on the reactivity of the pyrrolidine mixtures investigated here where no recirculated combustion gases are included.

Autoignition↗

Parametrized ion-distribution model for extended x-ray absorption fine-structure analysis at high-energy-density conditions

Experiments today can compress solids near isentropically to pressures approaching 100 × 106 atmospheres; however, determining the temperature of such matter remains a major challenge. Extended x-ray absorption fine-structure (EXAFS) spectroscopy is one of the few techniques sensitive to the bulk temperature of highly compressed solid matter, and the validity of this temperature measurement relies on constraining the local ion structure from the EXAFS spectrum. At high-energy-density (HED) conditions, the local ion structure often becomes distorted, which must be accounted for during the EXAFS analysis. Described here is a technique, using a parametrized ion-distribution model to directly analyze EXAFS spectra that provides a better constraint on the local structure than traditional second- or third-order cumulant expansion techniques at HED conditions. The parametrized ion-distribution model is benchmarked by analyzing EXAFS spectra from nickel molecular-dynamics simulations at ∼100 GPa and shown to provide a 10%–20% improvement in constraining the cumulants of the true ion distribution.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Stomatal closure as a driver of minimum leaf conductance declines at high temperature and vapor pressure deficit in Quercus

Abstract Rising global temperatures and vapor pressure deficits (VPDs) are increasing plant water demand and becoming major drivers of large-scale plant mortality. Controlling transient leaf water loss after stomatal closure (minimum stomatal conductance [gmin]) is recognized as a key trait determining how long plants survive during soil drought. Yet, substantial uncertainty remains regarding how gmin responds to elevated temperatures and VPD and the underlying mechanisms. We measured gmin in 24 Quercus species from temperate and Mediterranean climates to determine whether gmin was sensitive to a coupled temperature and VPD increase. We also explored mechanistic links to phenology, climate, evolutionary history, and leaf anatomy. We found that gmin in all species exhibited a nonlinear negative temperature and VPD dependence. At 25 °C (VPD = 2.2 kPa), gmin varied from 1.19 to 8.09 mmol m−2 s−1 across species but converged to 0.57 ± 0.06 mmol m−2 s−1 at 45 °C (VPD = 6.6 kPa). In a subset of species, the effect of temperature and VPD on gmin was reversible and linked to the degree of stomatal closure, which was greater at 45 °C than at 25 °C. Our results show that gmin is dependent on temperature and VPD, is highly conserved in Quercus species, and is linked to leaf anatomy and stomatal behavior.

Zailaa, Joseph (ORCID:000000019103190X)↗

The Wiedemann-Franz law in doped Mott insulators without quasiparticles

Many metallic quantum materials display anomalous transport phenomena that defy a Fermi liquid description. In this report we use numerical methods to calculate thermal and charge transport in the doped Hubbard model and observe a crossover separating high- and low-temperature behaviors. Distinct from the behavior at high temperatures, the Lorenz number L becomes weakly doping dependent and less sensitive to parameters at low temperatures. At the lowest numerically accessible temperatures, L roughly approaches the Wiedemann-Franz constant L, even in a doped Mott insulator that lacks well-defined quasiparticles. Decomposing the energy current operator indicates a compensation between kinetic and potential contributions, which may help to clarify the interpretation of transport experiments beyond Boltzmann theory in strongly correlated metals.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

Responses of particulate and mineral-associated organic carbon to temperature changes and their mineral protection mechanisms: A soil translocation experiment

Mineral protection mechanisms are important in determining the response of particulate organic carbon (POC) and mineral-associated organic carbon (MAOC) to temperature changes. However, the underlying mechanisms for how POC and MAOC respond to temperature changes are remain unclear. Here, by translocating soils across 1304 m, 1425 m and 2202 m elevation gradient in a temperate forest, simulate nine months of warming (with soil temperature change of +1.41 °C and +3.91 °C) and cooling (with soil temperature change of −1.86 °C and −4.20 °C), we found that warming translocation significantly decreased POC by an average of 10.84 %, but increased MAOC by an average of 4.25 %. Conversely, cooling translocation led to an average increase of 8.64 % in POC and 13.48 % in MAOC. Exchangeable calcium (Ca exe ) had a significant positive correlation with POC and MAOC during temperature changes, and Fe/Al-(hydr)oxides had no significant correlation or a significant negative correlation with POC and MAOC. Our results showed that POC was more sensitive than MAOC to temperature changes. Ca exe mediated the stability of POC and MAOC under temperature changes, and Fe/Al-(hydr)oxides had no obvious protective effect on POC and MAOC. Our results support the role of mineral protection in the stabilization mechanism of POC and MAOC in response to climate change and are critical for understanding the consequences of global change on soil organic carbon (SOC) dynamics.

Mineral protection↗

Effects of Experimental Warming and Elevated CO 2 on CO 2 and CH 4 Fluxes in an Ombrotrophic Black-Spruce. Final Report

High latitude peatlands and permafrost soils contain nearly half of the soil carbon pool on Earth. The potential for large soil C stocks in peatlands and permafrost to become a positive feedback to climate change by increasing net emissions of CO₂ and CH₄ to the atmosphere is a subject of grave concern. This research was conducted at the Spruce and Peatland Responses Under Changing Environments (herein SPRUCE) experimental facility, located in the USDA’s Marcell Experimental Forest in northern Minnesota. The site is dominated by Picea mariana [herein black spruce], ericaceous shrubs and Sphagnum spp. Ten 12m-diameter open top chambers expose portions of the 8.1-ha S1 bog to warming up to +9°C in 2.25°C increments at ambient and elevated CO₂ (eCO₂, 900ppm). The Finzi lab group began manual measurements of CO₂ and CH₄ fluxes and their C-isotopic compositions in 2014. With funding from the DOE-TES program automated measurements of these species began in 2015. With a one-year no cost extension we were able to make measurements through the 2018 growing season. Across the study period we find that experimental warming of the peatland significantly increases the flux of CO₂ and CH₄ to the atmosphere. The highest temperature treatments had the highest fluxes. As peatlands have complex topography and water table dynamics, many of these results were contingent upon the topographic location in which the measurements were made. In the raised portions of the peatland divorced from the water table, fluxes of CO₂ were high and fluxes of CH₄ were low. By contrast, in the lower portions of the peatland surface, which is at or very near the water table, fluxes of CH₄ were substantially higher. A significant fraction of the total annual CH₄ flux was derived from episodic ebullitive fluxes. The occurrence and size of these ebullitive fluxes also increased with temperature. Experimental fumigation of the black spruce peatland with elevated concentrations of atmospheric CO₂ [herein eCO₂] also had significant effects on emissions of greenhouse gasses. In general these effects were far more subtle than the effects of rising temperature. This indicates that temperature change more than atmospheric chemistry changes are affect the belowground cycle of C in the peatland. Overall, this study shows that boreal peatlands are highly sensitive to changes in temperature. The warmer it becomes the more C will be lost from the peatland to the atmosphere. This appears to create a positive feedback loop that is likely to enhance the concentration of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

High Temperature Acclimation of Leaf Gas Exchange, Photochemistry, and Metabolomic Profiles in Populus trichocarpa

High temperatures alter the thermal sensitivities of numerous physiological and biochemical processes that impact tree growth and productivity. Foliar and root applications of methanol have been implicated in plant acclimation to high temperature via the C 1 pathway. Here, we characterized temperature acclimation at 35°C of leaf gas exchange, chlorophyll fluorescence and extractable metabolites of potted Populus trichocarpa saplings and examined potential influences of mM concentrations of methanol added during soil watering over a two-month period. Relative to plants grown under the low growth temperature (LGT), high growth temperature (HGT) plants showed a suppression of leaf water use and carbon cycling including transpiration (E), net photosynthesis (P n ), an estimate of photorespiration (R p ), and dark respiration (R d ), attributed to reductions in stomatal conductance and direct negative effects on gas exchange and photosynthetic machinery. In contrast, HGT plants showed an upregulation of non-photochemical quenching (NPQ t ), the optimum temperature for ETR, and leaf isoprene emissions at 40°C. A large number of metabolites (867) were induced under HGT, many implicated in flavonoid biosynthesis highlighting a potentially protective role for these compounds. Methanol application did not significantly alter leaf gas exchange but slightly reduced the suppression of R d and R p by the high growth temperature while slightly impairing ETR, Fv’/Fm’, and q p . However, we were unable to determine if soil methanol was sufficiently taken up by the plant to have a direct effect on foliar processes. A small number of extracted leaf tissue metabolites (55 out of 10,015) showed significantly altered abundances under LGT and methanol treatments relative to water controls, and this increased in compound number (222) at the HGT. The results demonstrate the large physiological and biochemical impacts of high growth temperature on poplar seedlings and highlights the enhancement of the optimum temperature of ETR as a rapid thermal acclimation mechanism. Finally, although no large effect on leaf physiology was observed, the results are consistent with methanol both impairing photochemistry of the light reactions via formaldehyde toxicity, and stimulating photosynthesis and dark respiration through formate oxidation to CO 2 .

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Status of the Optical Dilatometer Method of Evaluating the Peak Irradiation Temperatures of SiC Passive Monitors

The main objective of this project was to conduct a comparative assessment between the optical dilatometer method and resistivity method, using all 10 SiC temperature monitors provided by two Nuclear Science User Facility experiments: BSU-8242 and General Electric Hitachi. Unfortunately, due to multiple delays in acquiring, shipping, and cleaning the SiC temperature monitors, the project was only able to process one (1) SiC temperature monitor during this period. SiC temperature monitor KGT-3357 was evaluated via the optical dilatometer method to determine its peak irradiation temperature. The KGT-3357 sample was from the BSU-8242 experiment and designed for a temperature of 300°C and an exposure of 1 dpa. The optical dilatometer measurements indicated that the KGT-3357 SiC temperature monitor’s peak irradiation temperature range was 240–267°C, with sensitivity of approximately ±20°C. Additionally, this temperature range falls within the evaluated melt wire temperature range of 238.6–271.5 °C. The remaining six (6) SiC temperature monitors from the BSU-8242 experiment and three (3) from the General Electric Hitachi experiment will be used in the future work to further validate the optical dilatometer method for measuring SiC peak irradiation temperatures.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

New tree-ring data from Canadian boreal and hemi-boreal forests provide insight for improving the climate sensitivity of terrestrial biosphere models

Understanding boreal/hemi-boreal forest growth sensitivity to seasonal variations in temperature and water availability provides important basis for projecting the potential impacts of climate change on the productivity of these ecosystems. Our best available information currently comes from a limited number of field experiments and terrestrial biosphere model (TBM) simulations of varying predictive accuracy. Here, we assessed the sensitivity of annual boreal/hemi-boreal forest growth in Canada to yearly fluctuations in seasonal climate variables using a large tree-ring dataset and compared this to the climate sensitivity of annual net primary productivity (NPP) estimates obtained from fourteen TBMs. We found that boreal/hemi-boreal forest growth sensitivity to fluctuations in seasonal temperature and precipitation variables changed along a southwestern to northeastern gradient, with growth limited almost entirely by temperature in the northeast and west and by water availability in the southwest. We also found a lag in growth climate sensitivity, with growth largely determined by the climate during the summer prior to ring formation. Analyses of NPP sensitivity to the same climate variables produced a similar southwest to northeast gradient in growth climate sensitivity for NPP estimates from all but three TBMs. However, analyses of growth from tree-ring data and analyses of NPP from TBMs produced contrasting evidence concerning the key climate variables limiting growth. While analyses of NPP primarily indicated a positive relationship between growth and seasonal temperature, tree-ring analyses indicated negative growth relationships to temperature. Also, the positive effect of precipitation on NPP derived from most TBMs was weaker than the positive effect of precipitation on tree-ring based growth: temperature had a more important limiting effect on NPP than tree-ring data indicated. These mismatches regarding the key climate variables limiting growth suggested that characterization of tree growth in TBMs might need revision, particularly regarding the effects of stomatal conductance and carbohydrate reserve dynamics.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Millikelvin-resolved ambient thermography

Thermography detects surface temperature and subsurface thermal activity of an object based on the Stefan-Boltzmann law. Impacts of the technology would be more far-reaching with finer thermal sensitivity, called noise-equivalent differential temperature (NEDT). Existing efforts to advance NEDT are all focused on improving registration of radiation signals with better cameras, driving the number close to the end of the roadmap at 20 to 40 mK. In this work, we take a distinct approach of sensitizing surface radiation against minute temperature variation of the object. The emissivity of the thermal imaging sensitizer (TIS) rises abruptly at a preprogrammed temperature, driven by a metal-insulator transition in cooperation with photonic resonance in the structure. The NEDT is refined by over 15 times with the TIS to achieve single-digit millikelvin resolution near room temperature, empowering ambient thermography for a broad range of applications such as in operando electronics analysis and early cancer screening.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗