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Quantum Computing Strategy 2026

Quantum computing (QC) is a rapidly maturing technology with the potential for revolutionary impacts on stockpile stewardship science and national security. Recent developments in fault-tolerant architectures have compressed vendor roadmaps, and predictions of a production-ready quantum computer by the mid-2030s are becoming increasingly credible. This strategy provides a roadmap for integrating QC into the Advanced Simulation and Computing (ASC) program by investing in four strategic focus areas: 1. Develop Capabilities in Mission-Relevant Quantum Applications: ASC will prioritize developing quantum-ready applications in mission areas that have shown significant promise for quantum advantage, including simulations of materials in extreme environments, nuclear dynamics, solving linear and nonlinear partial differential equations, and uncertainty quantification. These applications directly support stockpile stewardship science and modernization objectives. 2. Conduct R&D in Algorithms, Software, and Hardware: Sustained research into quantum algorithms, robust software tools, and quantum hardware is essential. ASC will develop efficient quantum algorithms; invest in quantum compilers, debuggers, and performance tools; and explore specialized quantum hardware tailored to NNSA’s unique requirements. 3. Engage with Vendors and Partners: Early and active collaboration with commercial quantum hardware vendors and academic partners is critical. Through testbeds, co-design agreements, and quantum demonstration facilities, ASC will influence hardware design, gain early access to emerging technologies, and ensure that quantum platforms evolve to meet mission needs. 4. Build Knowledge, Experience, and Workforce: Expanding and upskilling the quantum-trained workforce is essential to long-term success. This includes hiring, internal training, university outreach, and postdoctoral support to ensure ASC maintains the expertise required to operate, program, and integrate quantum systems as they become available. While quantum computing will never replace classical computing, it has the potential to solve certain problems with speed and accuracy that would be unachievable using any conceivable classical high-performance computing (HPC) system. By investing strategically in QC, ASC will help propel the emergent QC industry, maintain U.S. technological leadership, ensure mission readiness, and position itself to rapidly adopt quantum technologies as they mature.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

PV Hosting Capacity Estimation: Experiences with Scalable Framework

Hosting capacity is an indication of the amount of solar photovoltaics (PV) that can be hosted in a distribution system without additional changes to infrastructure or oper-ations. This paper presents a framework for estimating the PV hosting capacity at scale. First, we analyze computational, modeling and other key challenges of performing relevant, large-scale simulations, provided along with the experiences and lessons learned. Then, we develop two open-source Python-based software tools to conduct repeatable distribution analyses: the Distribution Integration Solution Cost Options (DISCO) for configuring and analyzing simulations and the Job Automation and Deployment Engine (JADE) for parallelizing jobs on high-performance computing clusters. A case study of hosting capacity estimation for the SMART-DS San Francisco (SFO) 2000+ synthetic feeders, is used to demonstrate the capability of the developed DISCO+JADE framework and tools. The framework and tools can help utilities assess the overall hosting capacity of their service territory, which can help them better plan for the overall upgrade costs to integrate more PV in the future. The experiences are shared to aid the tool users and researchers to conduct relevant studies and research.

distributed energy resources↗

Increasing Software Testing Coverage and Portability with Spack

Adequate testing coverage is critical for successful scientific software development. For numerically intensive codes, the test matrix should cover a variety of machines, compilers, third-party library dependencies, as well as possible other features such as memory testing, parallelization paradigms, and application options that may be enabled or disabled, as some examples. Such coverage can be a major burden on developers without powerful methods for managing the matrix. Spack is a great tool developed by Lawrence Livermore National Lab for managing software on a Unix-based system and in addition to this, we are leveraging Spack to simplify application testing development and management. Here we demonstrate exploiting many of Spack's features to orchestrate the test coverage for the Nalu-Wind application we are developing under the Exascale Computing Project. By using Spack underneath our testing infrastructure, we have increased our testing coverage, portability, robustness, and software quality. While we use our Nalu-Wind application as an example, the benefits of exploiting Spack for application testing can be had for other applications as well.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Community-Driven Methods for Open and Reproducible Software Tools for Analyzing Datasets from Atom Probe Microscopy

Atom probe tomography, and related methods, probe the three-dimensional architecture of a material. The software tools that microscopists use, and how these tools are connected into workflows, makes a substantial contribution to the accuracy and precision of such a material characterization experiment. Typically, we adapt methods from other communities like mathematics, data science, computational geometry, artificial intelligence, or scientific computing. We also realize that improving on research data management is a challenge when it comes to align with the FAIR data stewardship principles. Faced with this global challenge, we are convinced that collaborating is useful. Here, we report the results and challenges with an inter-laboratory call for developing test cases for several types of atom probe software tools. The results support why defining detailed recipes of software workflows and sharing these recipes is necessary and rewarding: Open source tools and (meta)data exchange can help to make our day-to-day data processing tasks become more efficient, the training of new users and knowledge transfer become easier, and assist us with automated quantification of uncertainties to gain access to substantiated results.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Advanced Tri-lab Software Environment (ATSE)

The Advanced Tri-lab Software Environment (ATSE) is an effort to build an open, modular, extensible, community-engaged, and vendor-adaptable software ecosystem that enables the prototyping of new technologies for improving the ASC computing environment. The initial target for ATSE is to accelerate the maturity of the Arm ecosystem for supporting ASC computing and the high-performance computing community more broadly. ATSE provides an integrated and optimized software stack that includes: 1) Application development environment and libraries including compilers, math libraries, tools, MPI, and OpenMP, 2) Low-level system software including optimized Linux, network stack, file systems, containers, and virtual machines, 3) Job scheduling and management including workload manager, application launcher, and user tools, and 4) System administration and management tools supporting booting, monitoring, and operating system image management. SAND2020-12377 M Sandia National Laboratories is a multimission laboratory managed and operated by National Technology & Engineering Solutions of Sandia, LLC, a wholly owned subsidiary of Honeywell International Inc., for the U.S. Department of Energy’s National Nuclear Security Administration under contract DE-NA0003525.

Younge, Andrew J.↗

“Frameworks, Algorithms and Scalable Technologies for Mathematics (FASTMath) SciDAC Institute” (Final Technical Report)

SMU personnel formed a portion of the overall “Time Integration” team within the FASTMath SciDAC-5 Institute, and we interacted very closely with team members from collaborating institutions. The major goals of our team within the FASTMath institute may be categorized into two groups: the development of advanced and application-aware time integration methods and software, and close interactions with DOE application scientists to facilitate their use of these new methods and software. The two goals are intimately linked, since our research and development of novel tools is informed by the needs of our application partners, who in turn benefit from subsequent mathematical and software advances. While the SMU personnel collaborated with the rest of the Time Integration FASTMath team on most of our shared deliverables within the larger FASTMath institute, SMU personnel primarily contributed to the following subset of those goals: ● expanding capabilities for higher-order and solve-decoupled multirate methods, ● enhancing support for temporal adaptivity within multirate methods, and ● adding structure-aware time integration methods. Each of these goals focused both on intellectual contributions through journal articles or research presentations, and on enhancements to the open-source SUNDIALS library of time integrators and nonlinear solvers, of which the SMU PI Reynolds is a core developer.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Operational Energy Life Cycle Data Development for the National Institute of Standards And Technology (NIST) Building Industry Reporting and Design for Sustainability (BIRDS) Neutral Environmental Software Tool (NEST)

For this analysis, regionalized life cycle assessment (LCA) results for environmental impacts (using the Tool for Reduction and Assessment of Chemicals and Other Environmental Impacts [TRACI] 2.1) and cumulative energy demand (using the Federal Life Cycle Analysis Commons Elementary Flow List [FEDEFL] Inventory Methods v1.0.0) were evaluated for the production and utilization of electricity, natural gas, fuel oil, and propane as commodities within residential and commercial buildings. These results can used as a framework for future research into net zero, high-performance buildings, such as done here for the Building Industry Reporting and Design for Sustainability (BIRDS) database by the National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST) Engineering Laboratory. The geographical results were assigned to each United States (U.S.) Zone Improvement Plan (ZIP) code based on the ZIP code location and corresponding Balancing Authority Area, natural gas basin, and Petroleum Administration for Defense Districts (PADDs). Additionally, previously developed models were utilized to develop future life cycle profiles. Projections were based on data available from the U.S. Energy Information Administration Annual Energy Outlook 2022 through 2050 (AEO 2022). Electricity LCA models were updated based on AEO 2022 projected annual generation mixes, while the natural gas baseline model was updated based on projected shares of natural gas types (conventional, shale, tight, and coalbed methane). Projections of crude oil production rates and export rates were applied to the petroleum baseline model in five-year increments to investigate their effects on the life cycle profile of fuel oil and propane. While only 100-year Global Warming Potential (GWP-100) with climate carbon feedback (CC-FB) and Cumulative Energy Demand are shown in Section 4: Results, the complete results, including Acidification Potential, Eutrophication Potential, Freshwater Ecotoxicity Potential, GWP-100 without inclusion of CC-FB, Human Health Impacts Potentials (Cancer, Non-Cancer), Ozone Depletion Potential, Particulate Matter Formation Potential, and Photochemical Smog Formation Potential, are tabulated for each ZIP code in the Excel worksheets that accompany this analysis. For the Excel spreadsheet tools associated with this report, please go to https://www.netl.doe.gov/energy-analysis/details?id=f8890fac-be55-44ac-aaa9-e2888bfabe93

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

TU-C-17A-03: An Integrated Contour Evaluation Software Tool Using Supervised Pattern Recognition for Radiotherapy

Purpose: Radiotherapy (RT) contours delineated either manually or semiautomatically require verification before clinical usage. Manual evaluation is very time consuming. A new integrated software tool using supervised pattern contour recognition was thus developed to facilitate this process. Methods: The contouring tool was developed using an object-oriented programming language C# and application programming interfaces, e.g. visualization toolkit (VTK). The C# language served as the tool design basis. The Accord.Net scientific computing libraries were utilized for the required statistical data processing and pattern recognition, while the VTK was used to build and render 3-D mesh models from critical RT structures in real-time and 360° visualization. Principal component analysis (PCA) was used for system self-updating geometry variations of normal structures based on physician-approved RT contours as a training dataset. The inhouse design of supervised PCA-based contour recognition method was used for automatically evaluating contour normality/abnormality. The function for reporting the contour evaluation results was implemented by using C# and Windows Form Designer. Results: The software input was RT simulation images and RT structures from commercial clinical treatment planning systems. Several abilities were demonstrated: automatic assessment of RT contours, file loading/saving of various modality medical images and RT contours, and generation/visualization of 3-D images and anatomical models. Moreover, it supported the 360° rendering of the RT structures in a multi-slice view, which allows physicians to visually check and edit abnormally contoured structures. Conclusion: This new software integrates the supervised learning framework with image processing and graphical visualization modules for RT contour verification. This tool has great potential for facilitating treatment planning with the assistance of an automatic contour evaluation module in avoiding unnecessary manual verification for physicians/dosimetrists. In addition, its nature as a compact and stand-alone tool allows for future extensibility to include additional functions for physicians’ clinical needs.

62 RADIOLOGY AND NUCLEAR MEDICINE↗

Kokkos v.4.0

SAND2023-07883O Kokkos software implements C++ performance portability programming models, tools and math libraries, which enables science and engineering software developers to use single-source codes for a wide range of computer architectures. Kokkos also provides implementations of existing and proposed C++ standard features that support programming model and math libraries that are used for implementing performance-portable scientific and engineering applications. The Kokkos libraries provide algorithms, data structures, and tools to enable high-performance computing developers to write performance-portable code. Capabilities fall into three broad categories: Kokkos Core, Kokkos Kernels, and Kokkos Tools. Sandia National Laboratories is a multimission laboratory managed and operated by National Technology & Engineering Solutions of Sandia, LLC, a wholly owned subsidiary of Honeywell International Inc., for the U.S. Department of Energy’s National Nuclear Security Administration under contract DE-NA0003525.

SciDAC↗

Pyomo: Accidentally outrunning the bear

Pyomo is an open-source optimization modeling software that has undergone significant evolution since its inception in 2008. Pyomo has evolved to enhance flexibility, solver integration, and community engagement. Modern collaborative tools for open-source software have facilitated the development of new Pyomo functionality and improved our development process through automated testing and performance-tracking pipelines. However, Pyomo faces challenges typical of research software, including resource limitations and knowledge retention. The Pyomo team’s commitment to better development practices and community engagement reflects a proactive approach to these issues. We describe Pyomo’s development journey, highlighting both successes and failures, in the hopes that other open-source research software packages may benefit from our experiences.

automation↗

Pathway Aggregation in the Risk Assessment of Proliferation Resistance and Physical Protection (PR&PP) of Nuclear Energy Systems

The framework for Proliferation Resistance and Physical Protection (PR & PP) evaluation is to define a set of challenges, to obtain the system responses, and to assess the outcomes. The assessment of outcomes heavily relies on pathways, defined as sequences of events or actions that could potentially be followed by a State or a group of individuals in order to achieve a proliferation objective, with the defined threats as initiating events. There may be large number of segments connecting pathway stages (e.g. acquisition, processing, and fabrication for PR) which can lead to even larger number of pathways or scenarios through possible different combinations of segment connections, each with associated probabilities contributing to the overall risk. Clustering of these scenarios in specified stage attribute intervals is important for their tractable analysis and outcome assessment. A software tool for scenario generation and clustering (OSUPR) is developed that utilizes the PRCALC code developed at the Brookhaven National Laboratory for scenario generation and the K- means, mean shift and adaptive mean shift algorithms as possible clustering schemes. The results of the study using the Example Sodium Fast Breeder as an example system show that clustering facilitates the probabilistic or deterministic analysis of scenarios to identify system vulnerabilities and communication of the major risk contributors to stakeholders. The results of the study also show that the mean shift algorithm has the most potential for assisting the analysis of the scenarios generated by PRCALC.

98 NUCLEAR DISARMAMENT, SAFEGUARDS, AND PHYSICAL P↗

Bird-Strike Analysis Using Eulerian Peridynamic Formulation

The purpose of this project between Sandia National Laboratories (SNL) and The Boeing Company (Boeing) was to develop an analysis capability for predicting the loads on aircraft structures due to the inflight impact of birds. The main technical accomplishment was the development and delivery to Boeing of a new software tool that predicts the pressure over a structure's surface area, as a function of time and impact conditions, during the impact. The benefit to Boeing, and to government agencies such as NASA and the FAA, is an accurate tool to help design structures to withstand potentially catastrophic damage due to bird strike.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Safety Applications Project FY20-21 Highlights, FY2022 Goals [Slides]

Collaborations leverage the investment and expertise of others. Code capabilities determine the questions that can be addressed using SAP tools. Infrastructure acts as a force multiplier for software developer skills. Improved code performance allows simulations to finish faster or with greater fidelity. Code performance has dramatically improved over the past ~4 years.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Safety Applications Project FY18-19 Highlights, FY2020 Goals [Slides]

Collaborations leverage the investment and expertise of others. Code capabilities determine the questions that can be addressed using SAP tools. Infrastructure acts as a force multiplier for software developer skills. Improved code performance allows simulations to finish faster or with greater fidelity.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

NIRP Core Software Suite v. 1.0

The NIRP Core Software Suite is a core set of code that supports multiple applications. It includes miscellaneous base code for data objects, mathematic equations, and user interface components; and the framework includes several fully-developed software applications that exist as stand-alone tools to compliment other applications. The stand-alone tools are described below. Analyst Manager: An application to manage contact information for people (analysts) that use the software products. This information is often included in generated reports and may be used to identify the owners of calculations. Radionuclide Viewer: An application for viewing the DCFPAK radiological data. Compliments the Mixture Manager tool. Mixture Manager: An application to create and manage radionuclides mixtures that are commonly used in other applications. High Explosive Manager: An application to manage explosives and their properties. Chart Viewer: An application to view charts of data (e.g. meteorology charts). Other applications may use this framework to create charts specific to their data needs.

Whitener, Dustin Heath↗

The FabrIc for Frontier Experiments Project at Fermilab: Computing for Experiments

The FabrIc for Frontier Experiments (FIFE) project is a major initiative within the Fermilab Scientific Computing Division designed to steer the computing model for non-LHC experiments at Fermilab. The FIFE project enables close collaboration between experimenters and computing professionals to serve high-energy physics experiments of differing scope and physics area of study. The project also tracks and provides feedback on the development of common tools for job submission, identity management, software and data distribution, job monitoring, and databases for project tracking. The computing needs of the experiments under the FIFE umbrella continue to increase, and present a complex list of requirements to their service providers. To meet these requirements, recent advances in the FIFE toolset include a new identity management infrastructure, significantly upgraded job monitoring tools, and a workflow management system. We have also upgraded existing tools to access remote computing resources such as GPU clusters and sites outside the United States. We will present these recent advances, highlight the nature of collaboration between the diverse set of experimenters and service providers, and discuss the project's future directions.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗

Developing a Supply Chain Security Program

Amid growing concerns over foreign manufacturing for components and devices deployed in critical energy infrastructure, this research from the national labs will highlight best practices for developing and maintaining a supply chain security program. Tools for asset inventory, tips for developing and maintaining software- and hardware-bills-of-materials (SBOMs and HBOMs), recommended contractual language for vendor agreements, and identification of responsibilities will be shared. We discuss the one-time requirements to enable a successful supply chain security program and the best ways to operationalize this program for maximum impact, including development of robust practices for vulnerability tracking, patch management, and workarounds, with understanding of the reliability and uptime requirements for utilities. The recommendations shared are based on a cyber-informed engineering approach to identification of high-consequence impacts and the engineering controls related to supply chain management that can best mitigate these impacts. This approach allows for prioritization of resources. Additionally, we highlight relative up-front and ongoing costs associated with recommended controls. Viewers will leave with an understanding what a supply chain security program is, and what steps, prioritized for resource-constrained organizations, can build a robust program.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗