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Measurement of particulated matter (PM1, PM2.5, PM10) using a PM sensor during the SAIL campaign in Gothic, CO and Mt. Crested Butte, CO

We deployed another PM sensor (Modulair-PM, QuantAQ) to measure the mass concentration of particulate matter (PM) for three size cuts at both the main site (M1) and supplementary site (S2) of the SAIL from 14 June 2022 to 14 June 2023. The instruments provide the mass concentration of PM1, PM2.5 and PM10. Mass concentrations were calculated based on measurements made with a nephelometer and an OPC. We used Quant-AQ's algorithm [please see their documentation here and the references within] to determine the mass concentrations reported. Here, we present the time series of sample relative humidity, temperature, pressure, and the mass concentration of PM1, PM2.5 and PM10. We also present the size distribution of the aerosol particles within a diameter range of 0.35 - 40 micron, measured by the OPC of the pm-modulair. However, we encourage caution while using the size distribution data, since it is operated only with the factory calibration. Abstract and description of the campaign can be found here : https://www.arm.gov/research/campaigns/amf2022ssb.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Evaluating Heat Extraction Performance of Closed-Loop Geothermal Systems with Thermally Conductive Enhancements in Conduction-Only Reservoirs: Preprint

We investigated the impact of disc-shaped and linear thermal enhancements on performance of closed-loop geothermal systems using steady-state and transient COMSOL numerical simulations. Thermal enhancements refer to thermally conductive material introduced in the rocks surrounding a wellbore to compensate for the relatively low rock thermal conductivity and increase heat extraction. Materials proposed include composite cements with thermally conductive additives such as metals or graphite to obtain overall cement thermal conductivities of 10 to 100x the rock thermal conductivity. Our simulation approach was modeling a subsegment (e.g., 100 m long) of a wellbore with idealized (e.g., perfect disc-shaped) thermal enhancements, and we report results as relative increase in heat extraction with respect to systems without thermal enhancements. We did not evaluate technical feasibility or cost of installing thermal enhancements. Simulations indicate that for 5-mm thick disc-shaped thermal enhancements with 5-m radius, repeated every 1 m along the wellbore and with thermal conductivity of 100x the rock thermal conductivity, the thermal output increases roughly 20% with respect to a closed-loop system without thermal enhancements. For fishbone structure thermal enhancements, we estimate a roughly 7% increase in thermal output for 5-m long radially outward pipes with half the radius of the main wellbore, repeated every 2.5 m, with thermal conductivity of 100x the rock thermal conductivity.

advanced geothermal systems↗

Fundamental 235 Uranium Nuclear Resonance Spectroscopy (End of Year Report)

Uranium-235 is ubiquitous in the nuclear industry however, detailed characterization by magnetic resonance spectroscopy has remained largely elusive to-date. Conventional nuclear magnetic resonance techniques are ill-suited for characterizing 235 U due to the small gyromagnetic ratio and extremely large quadrupole moment of this spin$^{7}$ /2 isotope. Thus, we have designed and built a high-frequency nuclear quadrupole resonance spectrometer for measuring the quadrupole resonance of this important isotope. A successful nuclear quadrupole resonance measurement of 235 U would be a significant accomplishment and could yield valuable physical parameters such as chemical shifts, local electric field gradients, and through-bond and through-space internuclear couplings, all of which are directly related to local structure. These terms can be used to understand structural details of poorly characterized uranium materials and can improve computational models of uranium for which accurate reference data is lacking

07 ISOTOPE AND RADIATION SOURCES↗

Characterization Strategy of a Limited Number of Radioactive Waste Effluent Tanks in View of Decommissioning a Large Number of Tanks - 20286

In order to organize the D and D of the former effluent treatment facility at the CEA Cadarache Center (France), the key data to gather through the facility characterization are the following:: volumes and masses, liquid/solid distribution and specific activity. By studying the treatment processes and the history of the facility, families of tanks have been defined and a reference tank chosen for investigation in each family. The intrusive investigations (video, residue thickness, dose rate..), the gamma spectrometry measurements carried out on site on the residue samples and radiochemical results collected in laboratories, led us to conclude that there was a relative radiological homogeneity (for specific activity and Am-241/Cs-137 ratio) within each tank. The next step consisted in extrapolating the specific activity evaluated for the reference tanks, to the other tanks of each family by using data such as geometry, dose rate or the function of the tanks within the process. Thus, a cartography of the 130 tanks of the facility is available. Finally, the conclusions drawn from the radiological homogeneity of the tanks and their affiliation to homogeneous, well-identified tank clusters lead to a simple and efficient operational approach for the D and D of the 130 tanks of the facility. Indeed, because of the residue characteristics (homogeneous activity and strong differentiation of Cs/Am ratio), a sample collected when opening the tank, and measured on site by gamma spectrometry will allow us to validate the operational design and the emptying techniques defined during the D and D study phase thanks to the characterization of a limited number of reference tanks. (authors)

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Uncertainty evaluation in reference material characterization by double isotope dilution inductively coupled plasma mass spectrometry (ID-ICP-MS)

Double isotope dilution inductively coupled plasma mass spectrometry (ID-ICP-MS) is one of the most important measurement methods in the establishment of measurement standards for inorganic analysis. However, there is still no good consensus on approaches for uncertainty evaluation in double ID-ICP-MS. Particularly, approaches to treating the instrumental isotopic fractionation (IIF) phenomenon and correlation between uncertainty sources are diverse and often unclear in the literature. Here, an approach for uncertainty evaluation in double ID-ICP-MS measurements is described. Using three certified reference materials (CRMs), it is shown that the IIF effects cancel out and should not be included in the uncertainty budget. Further, a consistent way of considering correlated sources of uncertainty to prevent double counting of uncertainties is described in detail along with an example of measuring the mass fraction of magnesium in an oyster powder CRM.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

Development of Analysis Methods that Integrate Numeric and Textual Equipment Reliability Data

Within the Light Water Reactor Sustainability (LWRS) program, the Risk-Informed Systems Analysis (RISA) Pathway is performing collaborative research on the development and deployment of technologies designed to assist operating nuclear power plants (NPPs) to reduce operating costs improve plant reliability and availability. One of the RISA research areas is focusing on the development of methods and tools designed to optimize plant operations (e.g., maintenance/replacement schedules, optimal maintenance postures for plant structures, systems, and components [SSCs]) in a manner that is more cost effective than current approaches and makes better use of available SSC health data. The Risk-Informed Asset Management (RIAM) project targets this research area by creating a direct bridge between component equipment reliability (ER) data and system engineer decision making regarding maintenance activity scheduling and component aging management. In this respect, one challenge that NPP system engineers are facing is that the amount of ER data being continuously generated is not only extremely large in size, but it comes in different forms: textual (e.g., condition or maintenance reports) and numeric (e.g., generated by monitoring systems). All these data elements provide them with valuable insights and information regarding: 1) the discovery of anomalous behaviors or degradation trends, 2) the identification of the possible causes behind such behaviors/trends, and 3) the prediction of their direct consequences. However, several challenges have proved to be roadblocks to this process. While some of these challenges are technical in nature (i.e., data are often distributed over several physical servers/databases), others are conceptual in nature: data elements come in different formats (e.g., numeric or textual), and measured values have different scales (e.g., vibration spectra and oil temperature). The activities performed by the RIAM project during FY23 directly tackles the need to simultaneously integrate the analysis of ER data in all its forms, numeric and textual. Note that such task has never been performed before due to the complexity of the systems under consideration but, most importantly, because of the technical challenges behind the harmonization of ER data formats and the lack of adequate computational methods to analyze them. Our approach borrows ideas and concepts from the medical field where integration of several data sources is vital to assist medical practitioners to perform correct diagnosis and indicate optimal treatments. In our view a NPP asset is equivalent to a patient in a medical context. The main difference is the complexity of a human body is a magnitude more complex when compared to typical assets commonly present in NPPs (e.g., centrifugal pumps, or motor operated valves). This simplifies our first requirement when analyzing heterogenous ER data formats: to put data into “context”. Context is here intended as the additional piece of information that is needed by ER data analysis tools to understand what these data elements are referring to, i.e., which king of knowledge they are generating. In our context, this knowledge can be translated into models that capture the form and functional architecture of assets/systems, their dependencies, and how they interact. These models actually emulate the knowledge that that NPP system engineers possess about assets and systems; this is their key of success when analyzing ER data, their challenge is ability to handle large amount of data. Here, we employ model-based system engineering (MBSE) models of systems and assets to represent and capture their architecture and functional, i.e. cause-effect, relations. Then, ER data elements are processed by identifying first of all which elements of the developed MBSE elements they are referring to. For numeric ER data this task is fairly easy since it is possible to precisely pinpoint what MBSE elements the corresponding sensor are observing (e.g., bearing temperature of a centrifugal pump). Task is much harder for textual data since the information contained in issue or maintenance reports needs to “be understood” by a computational tool. Here we called this process as “knowledge extraction”. Once again, we borrow the experience in the medical field where methods to extract knowledge from textual data have been developed in the past decade. The missing element for us is the availability of a complete dictionary of NPP related concepts (in addition to the MBSE models presented earlier) that can put “text into context”. In FY23, such dictionary has been developed along with all the computational elements required for knowledge extraction. Lastly, once numeric and textual ER data elements have been processed and “understood”, then the last step is the discovery of possible cause-effect relations among them. This is performed by observing if a logical connection through the MBSE models exists, and if the

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Powering the Blue Economy: A Survey of Station-Keeping Methods for Mooringless Platforms

The term “ocean platform” is used to reference everything from stationary, typically moored, buoys to mobile water vehicles, whether they operate on the ocean’s surface or underwater. For certain applications for which relatively stationary station-keeping conditions are desired, the use of mooring systems is not always a viable alternative either for economic, environmental, regulatory, or otherwise practical reasons, or a combination thereof, (e.g., short deployments, sensitive ecosystems, very deep project sites). Maintaining a platform at a single waypoint or reference location without being moored would require additional control systems and a power source to counteract the drift forces that would naturally displace it. Mobile platforms, which are usually untethered except for remotely operated vehicles, typically require energy input to power their station-keeping capabilities so that they hold or control their location in the ocean. Currently, most of these platforms use combustion engines or batteries for this purpose, which, depending on the specific systems, may be costly, pollute the environment, or create limitations on the length of the deployment. However, powering this kind of platforms with surrounding renewable resources (waves, currents, winds, or sun) has been identified as a promising solution to expand their application. The intent of this report is to investigate station-keeping methods for various ocean platforms that are not moored or otherwise anchored to the ocean floor, or another platform or vessel, paying particular interest to technologies that use marine renewable resources to power their operation, because that is of particular interest to the U.S. Department of Energy’s Powering the Blue Economy (PBE) initiative. As a first step, 72 articles and technical reports related to mooringless station-keeping methods were collected for review. The preliminary literature review provided a broad overview of common themes across the literature from which a descriptive methodology for analyzing various platforms was developed. That is, station-keeping methods were categorized based on their predominant energy source and consumption (renewable, nonrenewable, or hybrid if the platform uses renewable and nonrenewable resources equally), and their localization strategy (drift reduction, “path-planning or “waypoint-holding”). In addition, platform types were segregated into the following groups: buoys, surface drifters, and unoccupied surface vehicles (USVs); offshore renewable energy systems; and unoccupied underwater vehicles (UUVs). The main types of station-keeping methods encountered in this report achieve their intended localization strategy by means of drift mitigation, steering, and/or propulsion. Drift mitigation is commonly accomplished via drogues and sea anchors. Stand-along steering subsystems use control surfaces (e.g., ship rudder, wing sail, etc.) that react to ocean currents, waves, or winds to provide varying-degrees of course adjustments. Combined steering and propulsion subsystems include differential thrusters, directional thrusters separate from a primary thruster that cause the platform to pitch up/down or yaw clockwise/counterclockwise, or vectored thrusters that direct the propulsion in a range of directions relative to the platform’s local coordinate system. Propulsion is often achieved by running a motor and applying active control strategies but can also involve buoyancy shifts and using sails to generate lifting forces that propel a platform in a desired direction. Future research is primarily expected to take place in the form of a technoeconomic analysis that would aim to determine the technological viability, cost, and added value of mooringless station-keeping use cases identified through this research, including docking for UUV recharging or for georeferencing drifter buoys, deep-sea floating wind farms, U.S. Navy sonar arrays, and a Pacific Ocean wave buoy network.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

RhizoVision Explorer: open-source software for root image analysis and measurement standardization

Abstract Roots are central to the function of natural and agricultural ecosystems by driving plant acquisition of soil resources and influencing the carbon cycle. Root characteristics like length, diameter and volume are critical to measure to understand plant and soil functions. RhizoVision Explorer is an open-source software designed to enable researchers interested in roots by providing an easy-to-use interface, fast image processing and reliable measurements. The default broken roots mode is intended for roots sampled from pots and soil cores, washed and typically scanned on a flatbed scanner, and provides measurements like length, diameter and volume. The optional whole root mode for complete root systems or root crowns provides additional measurements such as angles, root depth and convex hull. Both modes support providing measurements grouped by defined diameter ranges, the inclusion of multiple regions of interest and batch analysis. RhizoVision Explorer was successfully validated against ground truth data using a new copper wire image set. In comparison, the current reference software, the commercial WinRhizo™, drastically underestimated volume when wires of different diameters were in the same image. Additionally, measurements were compared with WinRhizo™ and IJ_Rhizo using a simulated root image set, showing general agreement in software measurements, except for root volume. Finally, scanned root image sets acquired in different labs for the crop, herbaceous and tree species were used to compare results from RhizoVision Explorer with WinRhizo™. The two software showed general agreement, except that WinRhizo™ substantially underestimated root volume relative to RhizoVision Explorer. In the current context of rapidly growing interest in root science, RhizoVision Explorer intends to become a reference software, improve the overall accuracy and replicability of root trait measurements and provide a foundation for collaborative improvement and reliable access to all.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Managing Solar Photovoltaic Integration in the Western United States Appendix: Reference and High Solar Photovoltaic Scenarios for Three Regions [Slides]

This slide deck is an appendix to a paper series that examines potential challenges related to planning future power systems with higher solar photovoltaic (PV) penetrations. The series uses the western U.S. power system for these investigations because it is a region the authors and their colleagues have already extensively studied. We are therefore well-suited to analyze even higher PV penetrations and then examine the results in multiple models to determine whether our current approaches are missing key details that only emerge at higher PV penetrations. This deck details the systems underlying those analyses and how they were modeled using the Resource Planning Model (RPM), a capacity expansion modeling tool. We examine both Western Interconnection-wide and regional results for three regions in the Western U.S. with significantly different existing power systems and connections to neighboring regions; this provides a more balanced picture as to how power systems with high PV penetration might emerge in different contexts and what the resulting grid challenges, if any, might be.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Direct analysis of cotton swipes for plutonium isotope determination by microextraction-ICP-MS

This study demonstrates a method for determining the isotopic composition of low-level (sub-pg) plutonium (Pu) directly from a cotton swipe. Environmental sample (ES) swipes are routinely employed as a tool for monitoring activities in nuclear facilities. Traditional ES swipe analysis, as employed in nuclear safeguards, utilizes laborious ashing, digestion, and chemical separation procedures prior to mass spectrometric (MS) analysis. Here, an innovative sample introduction technique employing a microextraction probe to extract Pu directly from the swipe surface is described. The microextraction probe lowers onto the swipe surface, seals on a small area (8 mm 2 ), and delivers solvent (2% HNO 3 ) to extract actinide material that may be present. The extracted analyte is subsequently directed into a sector field inductively coupled plasma (ICP)-MS for isotope ratio determination. This microextraction-ICP-MS method successfully determined the isotopic composition ( 240 Pu/ 239 Pu and 242 Pu/ 239 Pu) of three Pu certified reference materials (CRM 136, 137, and 138) that were deposited (1 pg) onto ES swipes. The percent relative difference from the certified value, uncorrected for instrumental fractionation, was <2% for the 240 Pu/ 239 Pu ratio on all three CRMs and <10% for the 242 Pu/ 239 Pu ratio on CRM 136 and 138. Here, the percent relative standard deviation, an estimate of the sample-to-sample isotopic precision, was <4% for the 240 Pu/ 239 Pu and <15% for the 242 Pu/ 239 Pu. Method limits of detection were determined, based on measurements of an enriched 244 Pu material, to be ~7 fg. Additionally, a mixed uranium (U) and Pu deposition was made to determine the method's ability to simultaneously extract U and Pu and determine the isotopic composition of both analytes.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

Tunable noninteracting free-energy density functionals for high-energy-density physics applications

In this work, we introduce the concept of a tunable noninteracting free-energy density functional and present two examples realized: (i) via a simple one-parameter convex combination of two existing functionals and (ii) via the construction of a generalized gradient approximation (GGA) enhancement factor that contains one free parameter and is designed to satisfy a set of incorporated constraints. Functional (i), constructed as a combination of the local Thomas–Fermi and a pseudopotential-adapted GGA for the noninteracting free-energy, has already demonstrated its practical usability for establishing the high temperature end of the equation of state of deuterium [Phys. Rev. B 104, 144104 (2021)] and CHON resin [Phys. Rev. E 106, 045207 (2022)] for inertial confinement fusion applications. Hugoniot calculations for liquid deuterium are given as another example of how the application of computationally efficient orbital-free density functional theory (OF-DFT) can be utilized with the employment of the developed functionals. Once the functionals have been tuned such that the OF-DFT Hugoniot calculation matches the Kohn–Sham solution at some low-temperature point, agreement with the reference Kohn–Sham results for the rest of the high temperature Hugoniot path is very good with relative errors for compression and pressure on the order of 2% or less.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Case Studies and Parametric Analysis of Heliostat Performance With a Tradeoff-Informed Technoeconomic Analysis Metric

The Heliostat Consortium (HelioCon) was launched in 2021 to advance heliostat technology. Here this work presents a collection of baseline case studies for the technoeconomic analysis (TEA) of candidate heliostat improvements for concentrating solar power (CSP) and concentrated solar thermal (CST) systems that employ central receivers. The case studies we develop include a large-scale CSP plant, a smaller, modular CSP plant, and a small CST plant used for industrial process heat. In this work, we also propose a novel metric for TEA of a plant component technology that recasts relative changes in levelized system costs into component-specific capital cost budgets. This measure, which we refer to as the equivalent breakeven installed cost, is the maximum budget for the technology component that leads to improved levelized costs. Finally, we perform a parametric analysis to show the impact of candidate technologies on the levelized cost of heat and, by extension, equivalent breakeven installed cost.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Using low volume eDNA methods to sample pelagic marine animal assemblages

Environmental DNA (eDNA) is an increasingly useful method for detecting pelagic animals in the ocean but typically requires large water volumes to sample diverse assemblages. Ship-based pelagic sampling programs that could implement eDNA methods generally have restrictive water budgets. Studies that quantify how eDNA methods perform on low water volumes in the ocean are limited, especially in deep-sea habitats with low animal biomass and poorly described species assemblages. Using 12S rRNA and COI gene primers, we quantified assemblages comprised of micronekton, coastal forage fishes, and zooplankton from low volume eDNA seawater samples (n = 436, 380–1800 mL) collected at depths of 0–2200 m in the southern California Current. We compared diversity in eDNA samples to concurrently collected pelagic trawl samples (n = 27), detecting a higher diversity of vertebrate and invertebrate groups in the eDNA samples. Differences in assemblage composition could be explained by variability in size-selectivity among methods and DNA primer suitability across taxonomic groups. The number of reads and amplicon sequences variants (ASVs) did not vary substantially among shallow (<200 m) and deep samples (>600 m), but the proportion of invertebrate ASVs that could be assigned a species-level identification decreased with sampling depth. Using hierarchical clustering, we resolved horizontal and vertical variability in marine animal assemblages from samples characterized by a relatively low diversity of ecologically important species. Low volume eDNA samples will quantify greater taxonomic diversity as reference libraries, especially for deep-dwelling invertebrate species, continue to expand.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Machine Learning-Based Identification of the Interface Regions for Coupling Local and Nonlocal Models

Local-nonlocal coupling approaches provide a means to combine the computational efficiency of local models and the accuracy of nonlocal models. However, the coupling process can be challenging, requiring expertise to identify the interface between local and nonlocal regions. Here, this study introduces a machine learning-based approach to automatically detect the regions in which the local and nonlocal models should be used. The method uses loading functions evaluated at grid points to decide the model selection at those points. Training of the networks is based on datasets provided by classes of loading functions for which reference coupling configurations are computed using accurate coupled solutions, where accuracy is measured in terms of the relative error between the solution to the coupling approach and the solution to the nonlocal model. We study two approaches that vary in data structure. The first, the full-domain input data approach, uses the entire load vector and outputs a complete label vector, performing a global classification. The second, a window-based approach, processes loads into windows and addresses the problem as a node-wise classification where each window's central point is classified individually. The classification problems are solved via deep learning algorithms based on convolutional neural networks. The performance of these approaches is studied on one-dimensional numerical examples using F1-scores and accuracy metrics. Notably, the windowing approach achieves an accuracy of 0.96 and an F1-score of 0.97, highlighting its potential to automate coupling processes effectively and enhance computational efficiency in material science applications.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Equivalent Breakeven Installed Cost: A Tradeoff-Informed Measure for Technoeconomic Analysis of Candidate Heliostat Improvements

Technoeconomic analysis (TEA) is commonly used to determine economic viability of power-generating technologies, including concentrating solar power (CSP) and thermal (CST) production plants. Levelized cost of electricity (LCOE) and analogous measures provide an estimate of long-term costs for operating power plants over their designed lifetimes by accounting for revenues and costs in a time-discounted manner. While these measures are effective when assessing a technology’s total lifecycle costs and productivity under various designs, TEA of candidate incremental technology improvements from the lens of LCOE can be limited when required investment and LCOE impacts are small. In this work, we propose a novel metric for TEA of a plant component technology that recasts relative changes in levelized system costs into component-specific capital cost budgets. This measure, which we refer to as the equivalent breakeven installed cost, is the maximum budget for the technology component that leads to improved levelized costs. We illustrate the usefulness of this metric using the example of candidate heliostat improvements for a CSP tower plant. Here, the results suggest that a reduction in mirror washing costs yield a total plant O&M cost of $37/kWe-yr, which is a breakeven proposition if the average reflectance is reduced from 0.90 to 0.85 as a result of the cost savings.

Zolan, Alexander (ORCID:0000000326017604)↗

Equivalent Breakeven Installed Cost: A Tradeoff-Informed Measure for Technoeconomic Analysis of Candidate Heliostat Improvements: Preprint

Technoeconomic analysis (TEA) is commonly used to determine economic viability of power-generating technologies, including concentrating solar power (CSP) and thermal (CST) production plants. Levelized cost of electricity (LCOE) and analogous measures provide an estimate of long-term costs for operating power plants over their designed lifetimes by accounting for revenues and costs in a time-discounted manner. While these measures are effective when assessing a technology's total lifecycle costs and productivity under various designs, TEA of candidate incremental technology improvements from the lens of LCOE can be limited when required investment and LCOE impacts are small. In this work, we propose a novel metric for TEA of a plant component technology that recasts relative changes in levelized system costs into component-specific capital cost budgets. This measure, which we refer to as the equivalent breakeven installed cost, is the maximum budget for the technology component that leads to improved levelized costs. We illustrate the usefulness of this metric using the example of candidate heliostat improvements for a CSP tower plant. Here, the results suggest that a reduction in mirror washing costs yield a total plant O&M cost of $37/kWe-yr, which is a breakeven proposition if the average reflectance is reduced from 0.90 to 0.85 as a result of the cost savings.

concentrating solar power↗

Coupled Cluster Study of the Interactions of AnO 2 , AnO 2 + , and AnO 2 2+ (An = U, Np) with N 2 and CO

We report thermochemical and spectroscopic properties for actinyl complexes involving UO 2 2+/1+/0 and NpO 2 2+/1+/0 with N 2 and CO, together with the UO 2 -O 2 , UO 2 + -O 2 , and UO 2 + -NO complexes, have been studied for the first time using an accurate composite coupled cluster approach. Two general bonding motifs were investigated, end-on (η 1 ) and side-on (η 2 ) relative to the metal center of the actinyls. For end-on CO complexes, both C-coordinated (An-C) and O-coordinated (An-O) structures were examined, with the former always being lower in energy. All of the η 1 complexes were calculated to be stable, with dissociation energies ranging from 2 to 36 kcal/mol, except for that of UO 2 + -O 2 (the η 1 orientation for UO 2 + -NO was not amenable to single reference coupled cluster). In agreement with a previous study, the η 2 structure for UO 2 + -O 2 was calculated to be relatively strongly bound, by 22.3 kcal/mol in this work. The closely related NO complex, however, had a calculated dissociation energy of just 4.0 kcal/mol. The binding energy of O 2 to neutral UO 2 in a η 2 orientation was calculated to be very strong, 75.4 kcal/mol, and strongly resembled a UO 2 + (O 2 – ) complex at equilibrium. The N–N and C–O bonds were found to be somewhat activated for all the side-on (η 2 ) neutral An(IV) complexes, with stretching frequencies of N 2 or CO being red-shifted by as much as 480 cm –1 with a 0.06 Å bond length elongation. Dissociation energies for the η 1 complexes are strongly correlated with the extent of electron transfer from ligand to actinyl. The nature of bonding in the actinyl complexes is examined using natural resonance theory (NRT). The correlation between bonding motif and small molecule activation is in agreement with experiments in condensed phases.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Dynamic Model Agnostic Reliability Evaluation of Machine-Learning Models Integrated in Instrumentation & Control Systems

In recent years, the field of data-driven neural network-based machine learning (ML) algorithms has grown significantly and spurred research in its applicability to instrumentation and control systems. While they are promising in operational contexts, the trustworthiness of such algorithms is not adequately assessed. Failures of ML-integrated systems are poorly understood; the lack of comprehensive risk modeling can degrade the trustworthiness of these systems. In recent reports by the National Institute for Standards and Technology, trustworthiness in ML is a critical barrier to adoption and will play a vital role in intelligent systems' safe and accountable operation. Thus, in this work, we demonstrate a real-time model-agnostic method to evaluate the relative reliability of ML predictions by incorporating out-of-distribution detection on the training dataset. It is well documented that ML algorithms excel at interpolation (or near-interpolation) tasks but significantly degrade at extrapolation. This occurs when new samples are "far" from training samples. The method, referred to as the Laplacian distributed decay for reliability (LADDR), determines the difference between the operational and training datasets, which is used to calculate a prediction's relative reliability. LADDR is demonstrated on a feedforward neural network-based model used to predict safety significant factors during different loss-of-flow transients. LADDR is intended as a "data supervisor" and determines the appropriateness of well-trained ML models in the context of operational conditions. Ultimately, LADDR illustrates how training data can be used as evidence to support the trustworthiness of ML predictions when utilized for conventional interpolation tasks.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗