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DOE OSTI2024

Development of multi-scale computational frameworks to solve fusion materials science challenges

Over the past two decades, the US-DOE has funded multiple projects that rely on high-performance computing and exascale computing platforms to accelerate scientific discoveries and address grand scientific challenges, such as harnessing fusion energy. In this article, we review in detail one of these efforts aimed at enhancing our capability to model plasma-facing materials subject to plasma and high-energy ion/neutron irradiation. The plasma surface interactions project has built a multi-scale modeling framework where many of the plasma- and high-energy ion/neutron irradiation-induced effects occurring in tungsten are explored. Here, this knowledge is used to develop atomistically-informed, high-fidelity continuum and meso-scale models that can be validated against experiments. We review the developments within this project, with attention to experimental validation efforts, and specifically highlight activities associated with: helium bubble bursting and equation of state, and hydrogen-helium interactions in tungsten; atomistically-informed model development for beryllium-tungsten material mixing; coupling of scrape-of-layer plasma, sheath and material models; and coupling of stochastic cluster-dynamics and crystal plasticity models to address radiation effects in tungsten under stress. Finally, we present how the project is preparing for future computational architectures, for instance through efforts to adapt atomistic methods to exascale computing.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2024

Towards verifiable cancer digital twins: tissue level modeling protocol for precision medicine

Cancer exhibits substantial heterogeneity, manifesting as distinct morphological and molecular variations across tumors, which frequently undermines the efficacy of conventional oncological treatments. Developments in multiomics and sequencing technologies have paved the way for unraveling this heterogeneity. Nevertheless, the complexity of the data gathered from these methods cannot be fully interpreted through multimodal data analysis alone. Mathematical modeling plays a crucial role in delineating the underlying mechanisms to explain sources of heterogeneity using patient-specific data. Intra-tumoral diversity necessitates the development of precision oncology therapies utilizing multiphysics, multiscale mathematical models for cancer. This review discusses recent advancements in computational methodologies for precision oncology, highlighting the potential of cancer digital twins to enhance patient-specific decision-making in clinical settings. We review computational efforts in building patient-informed cellular and tissue-level models for cancer and propose a computational framework that utilizes agent-based modeling as an effective conduit to integrate cancer systems models that encode signaling at the cellular scale with digital twin models that predict tissue-level response in a tumor microenvironment customized to patient information. Furthermore, we discuss machine learning approaches to building surrogates for these complex mathematical models. These surrogates can potentially be used to conduct sensitivity analysis, verification, validation, and uncertainty quantification, which is especially important for tumor studies due to their dynamic nature.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2026

Illuminating the Material World: Autonomous Microscopy to Understand Order, Disorder, and Everything In Between

Artificial intelligence (AI) holds immense promise for revolutionizing microscopy, yet its widespread adoption has been hindered by challenges ranging from user inexperience to limited model transferability and difficulties in operationalizing machine learning. This presentation showcases our approach to developing practical autonomy for materials discovery, aiming to accelerate the integration of AI into everyday microscopy workflows. As shown in Fig. 1, I will focus on three key areas: understanding order-disorder transitions, quantifying point defects, and achieving truly device-scale microscopy. First, I will demonstrate the power of multi-modal knowledge graphs for integrating diverse microscopy data. By combining imaging, spectroscopy, and diffraction data, these graphs provide a holistic view of material behavior, capturing the intricate relationships between different modalities [1,2]. I will present a case study on how these models illuminate the structural and chemical changes associated with irradiation in oxide thin films, revealing critical insights for designing materials for extreme environments like spaceflight and nuclear energy. Specifically, I will show how multi-modal analysis clarifies the evolution of order-disorder transitions under irradiation, a key factor influencing material performance in these applications. Next, I will address the challenge of quantifying point defects in 2D materials. We demonstrate the application of computer vision and transfer learning to accurately identify and classify various defect types, such as vacancies and substitutional atoms, and to quantify their concentrations. This information is crucial for understanding and tailoring the properties of 2D materials for applications in electronics, optoelectronics, and catalysis. For example, I will show how our models can characterize the topological distribution of point defects in MXene transition metal carbides, providing valuable insights for optimizing their performance in energy storage and separation science. Finally, I will discuss our progress toward autonomous device-scale microscopy [3,4]. We are fundamentally redesigning electron microscopes around the principles of machine reasoning, enabling automation beyond basic tasks like sample navigation and data acquisition to include sophisticated experimental design. This approach paves the way for truly reproducible and massively scaled analysis campaigns. I will emphasize the importance of autonomous microscopy platforms for high-throughput materials discovery and characterization, facilitating the rapid screening of materials for a broad range of applications and accelerating the development of next-generation technologies.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2024

The Effect of the Prior and the Experimental Design on the Inference of the Precision Matrix in Gaussian Chain Graph Models

Here, we investigate whether (and how) experimental design could aid in the estimation of the precision matrix in a Gaussian chain graph model, especially the interplay between the design, the effect of the experiment and prior knowledge about the effect. Estimation of the precision matrix is a fundamental task to infer biological graphical structures like microbial networks. We compare the marginal posterior precision of the precision matrix under four priors: flat, conjugate Normal-Wishart, Normal-MGIG and a general independent. Under the flat and conjugate priors, the Laplace-approximated posterior precision is not a function of the design matrix rendering useless any efforts to find an optimal experimental design to infer the precision matrix. In contrast, the Normal-MGIG and general independent priors do allow for the search of optimal experimental designs, yet there is a sharp upper bound on the information that can be extracted from a given experiment. We confirm our theoretical findings via a simulation study comparing (i) the KL divergence between prior and posterior and (ii) the Stein’s loss difference of MAPs between random and no experiment. Our findings provide practical advice for domain scientists conducting experiments to better infer the precision matrix as a representation of a biological network.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2025

Uncertainty quantification for neural network potential foundation models

Abstract For neural network potentials (NNPs) to gain widespread use, researchers must be able to trust model outputs. However, the blackbox nature of neural networks and their inherent stochasticity are often deterrents, especially for foundation models trained over broad swaths of chemical space. Uncertainty information provided at the time of prediction can help reduce aversion to NNPs. In this work, we detail two uncertainty quantification (UQ) methods. Readout ensembling, by finetuning the readout layers of an ensemble of foundation models, provides information about model uncertainty, while quantile regression, by replacing point predictions with distributional predictions, provides information about uncertainty within the underlying training data. We demonstrate our approach with the MACE-MP-0 model, applying UQ to the foundation model and a series of finetuned models. The uncertainties produced by the readout ensemble and quantile methods are demonstrated to be distinct measures by which the quality of the NNP output can be judged.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2020

Discrete element modeling of switchgrass particles under compression and rotational shear

Switchgrass is a perennial herbaceous plant regarded as a biomass energy crop in the United States for its highadaptability and yield potential. Processing and handling of switchgrass particles are challenging due to the erratic mechanical and flow behavior originating from their intrinsic particulate properties. Here, we present a bonded-sphere discrete element model designed specifically for switchgrass particles. The model simultaneously captures three key particulate features, i.e., fibrous particle shapes, a wide range of particle sizes, and particle deformability. Realistic yet computationally efficient particle shape templates are created based on the image analysis data of switchgrass specimens. A fitting procedure is proposed to ensure both the particle width and length distributions are captured, a unique requirement for fibrous particles. Two full-scale numerical models, i.e., a uniaxial compression model and a Schulze ring shear model, are developed using information fromphysical experiments. The model is calibrated using experimental data of chopped-small switchgrass specimens, and then, is validated using data of chopped-large specimens in both compression and ring-shear tests. Numerical results show that the numerical models capture bulk densities accurately (with an error of 3%) while slightly underestimate the bulk friction angle. Furthermore, an extensive sensitivity analysis reveals that (1) switchgrass particles with rougher edges (due to different processing techniques) exhibit a higher shear strength and a lower flowability; (2) stiffer particles yield a lower bulk density (up to 21% lower) compared to more deformable particles, indicating particle deformability should be incorporated when modeling biomass flow in a preprocessing system.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

DOE OSTI2024

Microgrid design and multi-year dispatch optimization under climate-informed load and renewable resource uncertainty

Microgrids are an increasingly popular solution to provide energy resilience in response to increasing grid dependency and the growing impacts of climate change on grid operations. However, existing microgrid models do not currently consider the uncertain and long-term impacts of climate change when determining a set of design and operational decisions to minimize long-term costs or meet a resilience threshold. In this paper, we develop a novel scenario generation method that accounts for the uncertain effects of (i) climate change on variable renewable energy availability, (ii) extreme heat events on site load, and (iii) population and electrification trends on load growth. Additionally, we develop a two-stage stochastic programming extension of an existing microgrid design and dispatch optimization model to obtain uncertainty-informed and climate-resilient energy system decisions that minimizes long-term costs. Use of sample average approximation to validate our two case studies illustrates that the proposed methodology produces high-quality solutions that add resilience to systems with existing backup generation while reducing expected long-term costs.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

DOE OSTI2025

Modeling and Optimization of a Rotating Packed Bed Contactor with a Tetraamine-Appended Metal−Organic Framework for CO 2 Capture

A potential contactor technology for sorbent-based CO 2 capture is the rotating packed bed that contains separate sections for continuous adsorption and desorption. A heat exchanger can be embedded to remove heat in the adsorption section and add heat in the desorption section. In this work, we develop a two-dimensional (2D) model of a rotating packed bed for use in CO 2 capture applications. Mass and energy balances for the model are developed based on a Ljungström-type air preheater, which accounts for the counter-current axial flow of gas phases in separate sections of the bed and the rotation of a solid sorbent, which cycles between adsorption and desorption sections. The sorbent used for this analysis is the tetraamine-appended metal−organic framework Mg 2 (dobpdc)(3−4− 3), chosen for its stability and affinity for CO 2 at low partial pressures, such as those from a natural gas power plant source. An optimization problem is solved that considers the trade-off between maximizing the productivity of the bed and minimizing energy consumption. Maximum productivity and minimum energy are found to be 8.53 kg/h/m 3 and 3.84 MJ/kg, respectively, when these objectives are optimized independently. It is observed that the flue gas pressure and bed rotational speed are the desired operating variables to vary for model-based design of experiments to reduce uncertainty in parameter estimation, as these two variables yielded the most information content based on the Fisher information matrix.

20 FOSSIL-FUELED POWER PLANTS↗

DOE OSTI2023

Variational Quantum Linear Solver

Previously proposed quantum algorithms for solving linear systems of equations cannot be implemented in the near term due to the re quired circuit depth. Here, we propose a hybrid quantum-classical algorithm, called Variational Quantum Linear Solver (VQLS), for solving linear systems on near-term quantum computers. VQLS seeks to variationally prepare |x$\rangle$ such that A|x$\rangle$ ∝ |b$\rangle$. We derive an operationally meaningful termination condition for VQLS that allows one to guarantee that a desired solution precision ϵ is achieved. Specifically, we prove that C $&GreaterSlantEqual;$ ϵ 2 /κ 2 , where C is the VQLS cost function and κ is the condition number of A. We present efficient quantum circuits to estimate C, while providing evidence for the classical hardness of its estimation. Using Rigetti’s quantum computer, we success fully implement VQLS up to a problem size of 1024 × 1024. Finally, we numerically solve nontrivial problems of size up to 2 50 × 2 50 . For the specific examples that we consider, we heuristically find that the time complexity of VQLS scales efficiently in ϵ, κ, and the system size N.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

DOE OSTI2021

Interpretable Deep Learning for the Earth System with Fractal Nets

Focal Area 3: Explainable AI Our confidence in the projections made by Earth System Models (ESMs) depends on understanding them to be, in some important respects, faithful representations of the Earth system. Here we present an “explainable Artificial Intelligence (AI)” method that allows us to uncover the dynamical structure of the observed and modeled Earth system, discover hidden links across wide spatiotemporal scales, target model development efforts at poorly-represented dynamics, and optimize observed or modeled data collection to maximize predictive information. Science Challenge: Dynamical system science for the Earth system poses unique challenges given the large degree of internal climate variability. Thus, tools that help us understand how ESMs succeed and fail at representing these dynamics are crucial, particularly in relation to the observed system. Furthermore, the computational and memory constraints on ESM data output motivate in situ analysis of ESM dynamics, including automatic detection of dynamical shifts. Also, of key importance are procedures that leverage ESMs to optimize observational campaigns for improving process representation, reducing structural uncertainty and improving model skill.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2021

Request for Information: Access to Quantum Systems

Quantum science and technology is a focal point of research at Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory (LLNL). Quantum-coherent devices offer the potential for unprecedented precision in sensing and the ability to directly simulate complex quantum phenomena that have no known efficient classical algorithms. Thus, development and implementation of quantum technologies is expected to have a significant impact on our ability to address some of the most complex national security problems. LLNL maintains projects involving a broad spectrum of Quantum Information Science (QIS) research activities including investigating sources of decoherence, the 3DQ microscope, studies into quantum interconnects, 3-D printed ion traps, fusion energy and nuclear physics simulations, modeling for data-starved environments, and quantum sensing, including accelerometry and timing.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

DOE OSTI2024

Revolutionizing Neuromorphic Computing for Science (Brochure on the 2024 ASCR Workshop on Neuromorphic Computing for Science)

The ASCR basic research needs for Neuromorphic Computing for Science workshop was held in September 2024. The workshop brochure and report aim to inform and draft a set of grand challenges for advancing the field of neuromorphic computing and developing proof of principle neuromorphic circuits applicable for High Performance Computer (HPC) acceleration for scientific discovery, and brainstorm ideas needed for a successful, robust, and world leading basic research program. The resulting priority research directions are: (1) Neuromorphic computing circuit primitives; (2) Connectivity, communication, and hardware integration; (3) Neuroscience-derived dynamics and algorithms; and (4) Ecosystem for scalable neuromorphic co-design. Breakthroughs in understanding, designing, and prototyping the circuitry and simulation capabilities for a truly neuromorphic computer are essential to enable progress in the field.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

DOE OSTI2024

Revolutionizing Neuromorphic Computing for Science (Report for the 2024 ASCR Workshop on Neuromorphic Computing for Science)

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

DOE OSTI2023

Microstructure modeling of nuclear structural materials: Recent progress and future directions

Modeling and simulation of microstructures are essential to understand the complex responses and behaviors of nuclear materials in extreme environments. The needs to assess the extended life operation as well as the growing interest in accelerating nuclear materials development and qualification have stimulated the use of high-fidelity multiscale models aided by empirical and ab initio data. This paper reviews the role of various models across different length and time scales in investigating irradiation effects on microstructure evolution and degradation, in particular the embrittlement caused by radiation induced or enhanced formation of nanoscale chemical heterogeneities. The strength and limitations of these models, including classical rate theories, cluster dynamics, phase-field methods, and atomistic models informed by ab initio energies, are discussed with seminal examples. Challenges regarding the lack of thermo-kinetic data and theoretical treatments considering chemical complexities and magnetic excitations, as well as the stabilizing effect by excess point defects in nuclear structural materials are presented, along with potential solutions based on ab initio informed surrogate energy models and statistical sampling by Monte Carlo simulations. Further, the review then highlights the opportunities to leverage the advantages of different methods by establishing hybrid models by shared variables or coupled codes and applications. Finally, the review concludes with forward-looking remarks on how the use of physics-based models can aid the improvement of machine-learning models of property degradation and vice versa.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2023

Directed Energy Deposition Process Modeling, Validation, and Process-Informed Optimization

The directed energy deposition (DED) process, one of the most popular additive manufacturing techniques in use today, involves various complex physical mechanisms that are not yet well understood. In this regard, computational tools show promise for elucidating the manufacturing process and enabling nondestructive performance evaluations of manufactured parts. To better control and optimize the DED process?thereby improving the manufactured product? the present work develops and demonstrates a novel artificial intelligence (AI)-based process control and optimization technique. Specifically, a geometry-free thermo-mechanical model with adaptive subdomain construction is developed to accurately capture the material?s thermo-mechanical response under cyclical reheating and high cooling rates [1]. The model is demonstrated and validated with experimental measurements, in light of various geometries and processing parameters. Moreover, based on this thermo-mechanical model, a physics-informed reduced-order model is developed to enable quick predictions of the temperature field at every time step. Furthermore, an AI-based controller is developed that can adapt to the ever-changing system states by automatically adjusting the manufacturing process parameters. This entire work is based on the open-source Multiphysics Object-Oriented Simulation Environment (MOOSE) [2] and its recent integration with Libtorch (the C++ frontend of PyTorch [3]). The combined development of the adaptive material deposition scheme, thermo-mechanical model, associated reduced-order model, and AI-based process controller carries great potential for improving advanced manufacturing processes.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2024

Predicting metabolic modules in incomplete bacterial genomes with MetaPathPredict

The reconstruction of complete microbial metabolic pathways using ‘omics data from environmental samples remains challenging. Computational pipelines for pathway reconstruction that utilize machine learning methods to predict the presence or absence of KEGG modules in incomplete genomes are lacking. Here, we present MetaPathPredict, a software tool that incorporates machine learning models to predict the presence of complete KEGG modules within bacterial genomic datasets. Using gene annotation data and information from the KEGG module database, MetaPathPredict employs deep learning models to predict the presence of KEGG modules in a genome. MetaPathPredict can be used as a command line tool or as a Python module, and both options are designed to be run locally or on a compute cluster. Benchmarks show that MetaPathPredict makes robust predictions of KEGG module presence within highly incomplete genomes.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2022

GLUE Code: A framework handling communication and interfaces between scales

Many scientific applications are inherently multiscale in nature. Such complex physical phenomena often require simultaneous execution and coordination of simulations spanning multiple time and length scales. This is possible by combining expensive small-scale simulations (such as molecular dynamics simulations) with larger scale simulations (such continuum limit/hydro solvers) to allow for considerably larger systems using task and data parallelism. However, the granularity of the tasks can be very large and often leads to load imbalance. Traditionally, we use approximations to streamline the computation of the more costly interactions and this introduces trade-offs between simulation cost and accuracy. In recent years, the available computational power and the advances in machine learning have made computing these scale-bridging interactions and multiscale simulations more feasible. One driving application has been plasma modeling in inertial confinement fusion (ICF), which is fundamentally multiscale in nature. This requires deep understanding of how to extrapolate microscopic information into macroscopically relevant scales. For example, in ICF one needs an accurate understanding of the connection between experimental observables and the underlying microphysics. The properties of the larger scales are often affected by the microscale behavior incorporated usually into the equations of state and ionic and electronic transport coefficients (Liboff, 1959; Rinderknecht et al., 2014; Rosenberg et al., 2015; Ross et al., 2017). Instead of incorporating this information using reliable molecular dynamics (MD) simulations, one often needs to use theoretical models, due to the inability of MD to reach engineering scales (Glosli et al., 2007; Marinak et al., 1998). One approach to resolve this issue is by coupling two MD simulations of different scales via force interpolation, e.g., the AdResS method (Krekeler et al., 2018; Nagarajan et al., 2013). Another approach, which we will pursue in the scope of this work, is by enabling scale bridging between MD simulations and meso/macro-scale models through the development and support of application programming interfaces that these different applications can interact through.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2025

LLMs for Mfg.—On the State of Large Language Models and Applications to Manufacturing

Additive Manufacturing (AM), referred to as 3D printing, has emerged as a key pillar of Industry 4.0 enabling layer-by-layer fabrication of intricate geometries from CAD models. In parallel, Large Language Models (LLMs), deep learning models for natural language generation trained on vast text corpora, have demonstrated unprecedented capabilities in understanding and generating human-like text. The convergence of these trends opens new opportunities at the intersection of AM and AI/ML, where LLMs can assist engineers and researchers in design, manufacture planning, and knowledge discovery. Recent academic work has begun to explore LLM applications in AM and adjacent fields, such as material science, mechanical engineering, and design for additive manufacturing. This exploration ranges from intelligent process planning to domain-specific knowledge retrieval. This survey provides a comprehensive review of current developments, focusing on peer-reviewed literature contributions that apply, adapt, and advance LLMs in general and domain-specific domains. We analyze state-of-the-art (SOTA) techniques, such as fine-tuning foundational models for specific domains, retrieval-augmented generation (RAG) pipelines, knowledge graph integration, and delve into the architectures and evaluation methods employed. The goal of this survey is to inform researchers and practitioners of the current capabilities and limitations of LLMs in general and in domain-specific applications, and to outline how these models are being tailored to meet the requirements of these applications.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗