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Multi-Modal Characterization of Nuclear Fuels and Materials at the Idaho National Laboratory Materials & Fuels Complex

The Idaho National Laboratory (INL) leads cutting-edge research pertaining to the advancement of nuclear reactor technologies, including nuclear fuels and materials. The INL Irradiated Materials Characterization Laboratory (IMCL), Electron Microscopy Laboratory (EML), and future Sample Preparation Laboratory (SPL) are available to the nuclear research community to assess the behavior of nuclear fuels and materials, efficiently and comprehensively characterizing from the engineering to atomistic scale. The IMCL is a unique, 12,000-square-foot facility located at the INL Materials and Fuels Complex designed for analysis of irradiated materials. The facility operates advanced characterization instruments that are sensitive to vibration, temperature, and electromagnetic interference in modular radiological shielding and confinement systems, granting researchers the ability to assess the microstructural, chemical, mechanical and thermophysical properties of nuclear materials, especially irradiated fuels. The EML is dedicated to advanced characterization of materials with optical and electron microscopy tools, including scanning electron microscopy/focused-ion beam (SEM/FIB) and transmission electron microscopy (TEM). Upon construction, the SPL will be a 3 story, 49,000 sq. ft facility, that is the most modern reactor structural materials testing and analysis facility in the world, designed to investigate reactor structural materials in support of life-extension programs and development of advanced reactor concepts, including mechanical testing and advanced characterization capabilities. This presentation will showcase some of the main capabilities available at both IMCL, EML, and SPL, specifically illustrating how these characterization techniques are incorporated into multi-modal characterization work scopes to elucidate the degradation of nuclear structural materials and irradiated fuels.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Development and Demonstration of a Reduced-Order PWR Power Dispatch Simulator

This report describes the development, modeling, and results of a reduced-order thermal power dispatch pressurized water reactor (RO-TPD-PWR) power plant simulator that incorporates coupled electrical and thermal power dispatch to an industrial process. The simulator is built on models that have been developed in previous work, including a Rancor Microworld model previously developed by INL and the University of Idaho [Ref] and reactor core and secondary system models that have been published previously [Ref]. The simulator also includes a scalable model of a high temperature electrolysis (HTE) system that has been developed at INL. A particular benefit of the Rancor Microworld model is that it is compatible with a human-system interface (HMI) that has already been developed by the Human System Simulation Laboratory (HSSL) at INL that can emulate the control room of a PWR for realistic human-in-the-loop studies with mock nuclear power plant operating procedures. The results of these human-in-the-loop tests will be compared with similar tests using a commercial full-scope generic PWR (GPWR) simulator that has been modified to include thermal power dispatch, referred to as the TPD-GPWR [ , ]. The simplicity of the RO-TPD-PWR helps to better understand and verify the results of the TPD-GPWR, which employs >1,000 variables and has much greater complexity. A second key purpose of the RO-TPD-PWR simulator is that its relative simplicity allows it scale between lab-size equipment (~100 kW) and full-scale nuclear power plants (~1 GW) by adjusting only a few parameters in the models, such as fluid masses and heat exchanger areas. The RO-TPD-PWR simulator will be used to guide the controls of lab tests, so that equipment in those tests, such as the Thermal Energy Distribution System (TEDS) and pilot-scale high temperature electrolysis (HTE) units at scales of 50-250 kW, may operate in a manner that is relevant to full-scale PWR operations.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

Forecasted Dynamic Line Ratings for Regional Transmission Lines

This report was prepared for the Wind Energy Technology Office for the FY 2022, quarter 3 deliverable. This details the use of forecasted dynamic line rating as an improvement over static rating for three transmission lines in three regions of interest. A selection of wind plants across Idaho, the Columbia River Gorge and offshore wind in the NYSERDA territory were modeled for their concurrent cooling effects for dynamic line rating. Regional transmission lines for the wind plant interconnections were determined and a CFD domain was created to determine local wind flows over the lines. A dynamic line rating for each of the lines was calculated for both weather observation data and HRRR model forecast data. The comparison of peaks in the wind power production were compared to the DLR peaks. It was determined that for shorter regional transmission lines, the effect of concurrent cooling that commonly occur with gen-tie lines were still valid. Concurrent cooling effects drop as the length of the regional transmission lines increase in distance from the wind plants. In addition, the accuracy of the forecasted ampacity to the weather observation data for ampacity was assessed. In general, the accuracy was best for the INL region with the NOAA-maintained sites. The Columbia River Gorge and Long Island sites showed similar levels of accuracy for the forecasted DLR. The accuracy levels were around 11% for the INL region, 15% for Columbia River Gorge and 7% for New York Long Island. The higher error for the Columbia Gorge region is likely due to the sparse availability of weather stations available, whereas both the INL site and Long Island are well instrumented.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Pillars of Innovation Across Southeast Idaho & the Interstate-15 Corridor

Since 1949, Idaho National Laboratory (INL) has been home to developing civilian and defense nuclear reactor technologies and managing spent nuclear fuel. Today, INL is the nation’s nuclear energy research laboratory, sustaining the safe and efficient operation of existing reactors, powering science in space, and breaking ground on the future fleet of advanced nuclear reactors. INL is only one of many rising technology resources in the region, however. Along the Interstate 15 (I-15) corridor, technology and cybersecurity industries and intellectual assets are rapidly expanding. Creating an innovation hub in this region would unite capabilities to solve current and future challenges in nuclear reactor sustainment and expanded deployment, integrated fuel cycle solutions, integrated energy systems, advanced materials and manufacturing for extreme environments, and secure and resilient cyber-physical systems.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Extended Finite Element Based Approach in Additive Manufacturing Modeling for Optimizing Highly Complex Manifold in Protonic Ceramic Electrochemical Cells

The objective of this project is to develop a novel numerical approach based on the extended finite element method (XFEM) for modeling moving boundaries of material deposited in additive manufacturing (AM) process with improved accuracy and reduced computational cost. One of the major challenges in simulating AM processes is that the boundaries of the computational domain need to change as material is deposited. Previous approaches have achieved this by activating new finite elements, but this requires a high level of mesh refinement to capture small movement of the boundary. XFEM allows the solution boundary to move independently of the mesh, permitting smooth representation of the evolution of the boundary as material is deposited. As a result, this new method will significantly improve the simulation accuracy while reducing the computational cost compared with existing approaches. Furthermore, this project will bring significant improvements for the design and AM process optimization in an iterative fashion among numerical simuation, parameter optimization, and experimental validation. Specifically, this project will support the protonic ceramic electrochemical cells (PCEC) stack development at INL by providing insights into the density, residual stress, thermal and mechanical properties of the PCEC manifold and interconnect, which is critical in enhancing the system lifetime and reducing the overall cost. Upon the success of proposed development and validation of the proposed approach, simulation will be applied to determine an optimal set of AM process parameters for the PCEC manifold production. This project will consolidate Idaho National Laboratory (INL)’s simulation capabilities provided by the MOOSE framework and the Valhalla AM simulation application, with encouraging expansion to emerging PCEC applications and AM technologies at INL and beyond.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

WETO Resilience Research: Microgrids, Infrastructure Resilience, and Advanced Controls Launchpad (MIRACL)

INL focuses on resilience and cybersecurity for distributed wind under the Microgrids, Infrastructure Resilience, and Advanced Controls Launchpad (MIRACL) project. Following the development of a resilience framework, INL has developed an application for resilience planning that includes automated hazard simulations to evaluate performance of various configurations. Additionally, INL is exploring the resilience of advanced distributed wind systems that leverage advanced controls and hybrid resources.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

An Experimental Investigation of Students’ Learning Effects When Using a Simplified Nuclear Simulator

Securing enough data has been a main challenge in human reliability analysis (HRA). Many researchers and institutes have made a lot of efforts for collecting HRA data to produce reasonable human error probabilities (HEPs) as well as reduce the uncertainty of HRA quantification. Representatively, U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission (U.S. NRC), Korea Atomic Energy Research Institute (KAERI) and Idaho National Laboratory (INL) have led lots of empirical research regarding the HRA data collection. The U.S. NRC and KAERI have mainly carried out full-scope simulator research collecting HRA data through experiments using full-scope simulators with actual operators. In contrast, INL has experimentally collected the data using simplified simulators and student operators. INL has proposed the Simplified Human Error Experimental Program (SHEEP) framework to complement full-scope data collection efforts by suggesting a way to infer full-scope data based on experimental data collected from students operating simplified simulators, specifically the Rancor Microworld Simulator (Rancor) and the Compact Nuclear Simulator (CNS). The aim of the SHEEP framework is to lower the entry point for collecting useful HRA data by securing large sample sizes at a reasonable amount of cost and labor while also guaranteeing a high degree of freedom when designing experiments. The authors’ previous research investigated whether data collected from the SHEEP framework could support a representative full-scope study. Besides, human performance differences between professional and student operators when using Rancor and CNS have been analyzed to understand the lack of fidelity of the simplified simulators and student operators within the SHEEP study. As a follow up research, this study experimentally investigates students’ learning effects and the performance trends over a certain period when using Rancor. This study aims to find out 1) how much training or education is required to collect HRA data from non-experts (i.e., students) when using Rancor and 2) how much differences there are in human performance measures between students and professional operators. In this study, a longitudinal experiment is developed. The four experiment trials with two weeks interval are carried out for sixteen undergraduate students majoring nuclear engineering at Chosun University. Totally four scenarios randomly selected from ten Rancor scenarios are used in each experiment trial. Four human performance measurements (i.e., workload, situation awareness, time and error) are considered in the experiment. Lastly, the trend of students’ performance is compared with operator data having been collected from the previous experiment.

99 GENERAL AND MISCELLANEOUS↗

In Cell Thermal Creep Frames for Demonstration Project Preparations

The thrust of advanced nuclear reactor demonstrations demands the accelerated qualification of in-core materials to enable licensing processes and developing the performance data. Due to the high-operating temperatures of such reactors, long-term mechanical behavior under constant load is essential to determine the geometrical and mechanical integrity of in-core components during operation and off-normal conditions. Therefore, the thermal creep behavior of neutron-irradiated advanced reactor materials must be determined. The feasibility of using subsize specimens for the irradiation campaigns and the limited available infrastructure challenge the assessment of thermal creep behavior of advanced reactor materials. Therefore, the U.S. Department of Energy Office of Nuclear Energy (DOE-NE) National Reactor Innovation Center (NRIC) prioritizes the development of a thermal creep testing infrastructure for multiple subsize specimens to accelerate the demonstration and deployment of advanced reactor concepts. This report describes the activities for the construction of a thermal creep testing capability at Idaho National Laboratory (INL). The overall project consists of conceptual design, out-of-cell demonstration, and in-cell demonstration phases. During fiscal year (FY)-2021, the team finished the conceptual design of a thermal creep test facility that can test multiple subsize specimens. This conceptual design consisted of the determination of technical and functional requirements, the determination of the design space, and the preparation of the technical drawings. Technical and functional requirements were categorized as required and desired capabilities and the conceptual design was performed to meet all the required capabilities with the flexibility to achieve the desired capabilities. The design space identified the operational capacity of the creep frame for different advanced reactor relevant materials with the consideration of the feasible operation in the hotcell at the Fuels and Applied Science Building (FASB) at INL. Based on the requirements and design space, the multiple specimen creep frame was designed. The official INL engineering drawing process was started and the procurement of materials for construction was initiated. For FY-2022, the out-of-cell demonstration and final installation of the multiple creep frame is planned.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Advanced Reactors Development in USA

Small and micro-reactor advanced reactor development in the USA. Advanced Reactor programs, nuclear renaissance, and INL as a test bed facility. These slides are for presentations in general on the past, INL and nuclear engineering worldwide, GEN IV reactor designs, SMRs and micro Rx designs, multiple commercial designs, and what INL as a test bed means and who uses this to their advantage.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Retractable Sensors for In-Core Use in Material Test Reactors - conf paper

Material Test Reactors (MTRs) such as the Advanced Test Reactor (ATR) at the Idaho National Laboratory (INL) are used to irradiate nuclear fuels and materials to evaluate their performance after high levels of exposure to a reactor in-core environment. The most critical tests are equipped with instrumentation leads, which allow real-time data collection. However, because of the very harsh environment inside high-power MTR experiments, there are very few sensors that can survive and maintain their calibrated readings for the time periods required to obtain the high neutron doses needed for new fuels and materials qualification. As a result, sometimes sponsoring programs are forced to accept low reliability of sensors, collecting useful data for only part of the experiment duration. The work described herein is based on the observation that MTRs normally run at constant power and the corresponding conditions within reactor experiments typically evolve relatively slowly. Therefore, even one or two measurements per day would provide a complete and representative data set. With this in mind, INL has embarked on a program to develop a mechanism capable of pushing a very small-diameter sensor (typically a thermocouple or optical fiber) into the location to be measured, leave the sensor for roughly 60 seconds to allow it to reach equilibrium and transmit the signal, then pull it up and away from the high neutron flux and high-temperature region. Small-diameter capillary tubes, up to 8 m long, are used to guide the sensors to the appropriate locations. These capillary tubes serve as essentially very deep, thin-walled thermowells. The distance a thermocouple or optical fiber would need to traverse is on the order of 40 - 80 cm. By adopting this infrequent cycling strategy, the thermocouple or optical fiber would spend only a few hours in the high-neutron flux/high-temperature environment over the duration of even the longest irradiation experiment. To date, INL has developed two styles of drive mechanisms. The first is based on friction drive wheels which drive the sensors in a manner similar to a small MIG welder. This has the advantage of being able to accommodate a very long insertion length. The second is based on a ball screw drive and has the advantages of positive attachment and being able to move more than one sensor at a time. Both drive mechanisms have been fabricated and tested in a laboratory setting. Both systems can handle hard mineral insulated cable (such as thermocouples) or optical fibers encased in small diameter tube. The sizes tested to date are 1 - 1.6 mm diameter. Work in this area is ongoing with an eye toward demonstration in the Massachusetts Institute of Technology's MITR reactor, followed by deployment in an ATR irradiation experiment.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

Retractable Sensors for In-Core Service in Material Test Reactors

Material Test Reactors (MTRs) such as the Advanced Test Reactor (ATR) at the Idaho National Laboratory (INL) are used to irradiate nuclear fuels and materials to evaluate their performance after high levels of exposure to a reactor in-core environment. The most critical tests are equipped with instrumentation leads, which allow real-time data collection. However, because of the very harsh environment inside high-power MTR experiments, there are very few sensors that can survive and maintain their calibrated readings for the time periods required to obtain the high neutron doses needed for new fuels and materials qualification. As a result, sometimes sponsoring programs are forced to accept low reliability of sensors, collecting useful data for only part of the experiment duration. The work described herein is based on the observation that MTRs normally run at constant power and the corresponding conditions within reactor experiments typically evolve relatively slowly. Therefore, even one or two measurements per day would provide a complete and representative data set. With this in mind, INL has embarked on a program to develop a mechanism capable of pushing a very small-diameter sensor (typically a thermocouple or optical fiber) into the location to be measured, leave the sensor for roughly 60 seconds to allow it to reach equilibrium and transmit the signal, then pull it up and away from the high neutron flux and high-temperature region. Small-diameter capillary tubes, up to 8 m long, are used to guide the sensors to the appropriate locations. These capillary tubes serve as essentially very deep, thin-walled thermowells. The distance a thermocouple or optical fiber would need to traverse is on the order of 40 - 80 cm. By adopting this infrequent cycling strategy, the thermocouple or optical fiber would spend only a few hours in the high-neutron flux/high-temperature environment over the duration of even the longest irradiation experiment. To date, INL has developed two styles of drive mechanisms. The first is based on counter-rotating wheels which drive the sensors in a manner similar to a small MIG welder. This has the advantage of being able to accommodate a very long insertion length. The second is based on a ball screw drive and has the advantages of positive attachment and being able to move more than one sensor at a time. Both drive mechanisms have been fabricated and tested in a laboratory setting. Both systems can handle hard mineral insulated cable (such as thermocouples) or optical fibers encased in small diameter tube. The sizes tested to date are 1 - 1.6 mm diameter. Work in this area is ongoing with an eye toward demonstration in the Massachusetts Institute of Technology's MITR reactor, followed by deployment in an ATR irradiation experiment.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

Multi-scale modeling of the evolution of structure and properties in materials for nuclear energy applications

Nuclear energy is an important component of an overall strategy to address climate change. Idaho National Laboratory (INL) is the U.S. Department of Energy’s primary facility for research and development in nuclear science and technology for energy generation, supporting the improvement and life extension of the existing reactor fleet and the development and licensing of new reactor designs. Computational modeling is an important component of these activities, particularly in the area of materials for nuclear applications, where experimental data can be very challenging and expensive to acquire, and where data is especially scarce for new reactor designs. INL has used multi-scale modeling – linking atomistic, mesoscale, and engineering scales – to improve the ability to predict the performance of materials for nuclear energy applications. These modeling efforts make extensive of MOOSE (Multiphysics Object-Oriented Simulation Environment), a general-purpose open source finite element framework developed at INL. In this talk, I will give an overview of the approach and tools used, and several examples of application, including performance of nuclear fuels, understanding radiation-driven formation of nanoscale void and gas bubble superlattices, and powder densification through electric field assisted sintering.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Retractable Sensors for In-Core Service in Material Test Reactors

Material Test Reactors (MTRs) such as the Advanced Test Reactor (ATR) at the Idaho National Laboratory (INL) are used to irradiate nuclear fuels and materials to evaluate their performance after high levels of exposure to a reactor in-core environment. The most critical tests are equipped with instrumentation leads, which allow real-time data collection. However, because of the very harsh environment inside high-power MTR experiments, there are very few sensors that can survive and maintain their calibrated readings for the time periods required to obtain the high neutron doses needed for new fuels and materials qualification. As a result, sometimes sponsoring programs are forced to accept low reliability of sensors, collecting useful data for only part of the experiment duration. The work described herein is based on the observation that MTRs normally run at constant power and the corresponding conditions within reactor experiments typically evolve relatively slowly. Therefore, even one or two measurements per day would provide a complete and representative data set. With this in mind, INL has embarked on a program to develop a mechanism capable of pushing a very small-diameter sensor (typically a thermocouple or optical fiber) into the location to be measured, leave the sensor for roughly 60 seconds to allow it to reach equilibrium and transmit the signal, then pull it up and away from the high neutron flux and high-temperature region. Small-diameter capillary tubes, up to 8 m long, are used to guide the sensors to the appropriate locations. These capillary tubes serve as essentially very deep, thin-walled thermowells. The distance a thermocouple or optical fiber would need to traverse is on the order of 40 – 80 cm. By adopting this infrequent cycling strategy, the thermocouple or optical fiber would spend only a few hours in the high-neutron flux/high-temperature environment over the duration of even the longest irradiation experiment. To date, INL has developed two styles of drive mechanisms. The first is based on counter-rotating wheels which drive the sensors in a manner similar to a small MIG welder. This has the advantage of being able to accommodate a very long insertion length. The second is based on a ball screw drive and has the advantages of positive attachment and being able to move more than one sensor at a time. Both drive mechanisms have been fabricated and tested in a laboratory setting. Both systems can handle hard mineral insulated cable (such as thermocouples) or optical fibers encased in small diameter tube. The sizes tested to date are 1 – 1.6 mm diameter. Work in this area is ongoing with an eye toward demonstration in the Massachusetts Institute of Technology’s MITR reactor, followed by deployment in an ATR irradiation experiment.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

Cyber-Informed Engineering Guidance—Implementing CIE in Early Systems Engineering Lifecycle Stages

Traditionally, cybersecurity is not considered in the design process. Design engineers typically focus on building safety and reliability into their products and applications. Security against malicious cyber incidents is often an afterthought, resulting in deployment of security solutions during installation or operation. Unfortunately, waiting to consider cybersecurity until later in the systems engineering lifecycle often results in less effective and more expense security. Idaho National Laboratory (INL) developed the concept of Cyber-Informed Engineering (CIE) in 2015 to provide a framework that enables cybersecurity to be built into systems beginning at the conceptual design stage. In addition to ongoing research by INL, the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) Office of Cybersecurity, Energy Security, and Emergency Response has recently developed a National CIE Strategy document for incorporating CIE into the design and operation of infrastructure systems reliant on digital monitoring or controls. This paper provides a brief review of this National CIE Strategy as well as a roadmap to historical, current, and future CIE research by INL through the U.S. DOE Office of Nuclear Energy (NE) Cybersecurity Crosscutting Technology Development Program. A near-term focus of the DOE-NE’s research and development is to extend the foundational CIE work into detailed guidance for implementation during initial systems engineering stages in nuclear digital instrumentation and control projects and to demonstrate use of the guidance in an integrated energy systems project.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Multi-scale modeling of the evolution of structure and properties in materials for nuclear energy applications

Nuclear energy is an important component of an overall strategy to address climate change. Idaho National Laboratory (INL) is the U.S. Department of Energy’s primary facility for research and development in nuclear science and technology for energy generation, supporting the improvement and life extension of the existing reactor fleet and the development and licensing of new reactor designs. Computational modeling is an important component of these activities, particularly in the area of materials for nuclear applications, where experimental data can be very challenging and expensive to acquire, and where data is especially scarce for new reactor designs. INL has used multi-scale modeling – linking atomistic, mesoscale, and engineering scales – to improve the ability to predict the performance of materials for nuclear energy applications. These modeling efforts make extensive of MOOSE (Multiphysics Object-Oriented Simulation Environment), a general-purpose open source finite element framework developed at INL. In this talk, I will give an overview of the approach and tools used, and several examples of application, including performance of nuclear fuels, understanding radiation-driven formation of nanoscale void and gas bubble superlattices, and powder densification through electric field assisted sintering.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Process Improvement For Pu-238 Production at Idaho National Laboratory

Idaho National Laboratory (INL) has supported the production of Pu-238 for future NASA deep space missions since 2017. Over this time, INL has worked to improve the qualification process of Pu-238 production targets as well as improve processes related to the shipping, storage, irradiation, and storage of Pu-238 production targets. Qualification of Pu-238 production targets began with flux measurements and scoping analysis to provide fundamental data to confirm the impacts on the operation of the Advanced Test Reactor (ATR), Fig1. Later, initial production targets were irradiated in ATR’s I-7 position, and then the South Flux Trap (SFT). A modified target design was then implemented which would use the full length of the ATR core and increase Pu-238 production. While working to improve and streamline the qualification of the Pu-238 production targets, INL worked to improve multiple operational aspects of the Pu-238 production process. These changes include updating procedures to streamline operations, supporting modification of shipping containers to contain five rather than one production target, reviewing target receipt procedures and changing work flow to provide flexibility in target receipt, and designing and fabricating support equipment for the storage and internal transfer of production targets

07 ISOTOPE AND RADIATION SOURCES↗

Process Improvements For Pu-238 Production at Idaho National Laboratory

Idaho National Laboratory (INL) has supported the production of Pu-238 for future NASA deep space missions since 2017. Over this time, INL has worked to improve the qualification process of Pu-238 production targets as well as improve processes related to the shipping, storage, irradiation, and storage of Pu-238 production targets. Qualification of Pu-238 production targets began with flux measurements and scoping analysis to provide fundamental data to confirm the impacts on the operation of the Advanced Test Reactor (ATR), Fig1. Later, initial production targets were irradiated in ATR’s I-7 position, and then the South Flux Trap (SFT). A modified target design was then implemented which would use the full length of the ATR core and increase Pu-238 production. While working to improve and streamline the qualification of the Pu-238 production targets, INL worked to improve multiple operational aspects of the Pu-238 production process. These changes include updating procedures to streamline operations, supporting modification of shipping containers to contain five rather than one production target, reviewing target receipt procedures and changing work flow to provide flexibility in target receipt, and designing and fabricating support equipment for the storage and internal transfer of production targets.

07 ISOTOPE AND RADIATION SOURCES↗

Leveraging Hydropower Multi-Sensor Data for Inference and Age-Informed Modeling

Increased demand of operational flexibility such as faster ramp up/down in generation, and more frequent start/stops are putting hydropower plants and their associated components in unprecedented stress. Consequently, these plants are at the high risk of extended and more frequent outage to accommodate unscheduled, and unexpected maintenance. Therefore, hydropower plants are in critical need of data driven and age-informed analysis for their regular and unscheduled operation. Yet not all hydropower plants are exhaustively equipped with sensors and/or measurement streams for their respective components – demanding solutions on how to detect, identify, and locate the cause of any event from the unobservable. Idaho National Laboratory (INL) analyzed the anonymized measurements and event records from the Hydropower Research Institute (HRI) to address this issue, as part of the Water Power Technologies Office (WPTO) funded one year multi-lab project. First, we investigated how time series of multiple sensor measurements can be leveraged to identify an event “root cause” as well as to develop an inference (i.e., estimate the unobservable) problem. INL also investigated how individual hydropower components’ reaction or response times vary across the pre-event, during event, and post-event conditions – enabling the hydropower dynamic models to be age-informed. Finally, the impact of clustering multi-sensor time series on short-term vibration prediction is analyzed. INL will present key findings from these analyses and recommend next steps for stakeholder adoption.

13 HYDRO ENERGY↗