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At least 361 records · Page 20

Effect of Preconditioning on Post-Soldering Failures in Tantalum Capacitors

Soldering have a strong effect on performance and reliability of most surface mount technology components, including tantalum capacitors. High quality tantalum capacitors are likely the only type of components where soldering simulation is the first step during screening. Nevertheless, post-soldering failures of tantalum capacitors do happen and require additional analysis. Popcorning is a well-known effect in plastic encapsulated microcircuits (PEM) and it occurs also in chip tantalum capacitors. The sensitivity of parts to the presence of moisture during soldering is characterized by the moisture sensitivity level (MSL); however, contrary to PEMs, there is no standard procedure for establishing MSL for tantalum capacitors, and standard J-STD-020 is applicable partially only. In this work, the effect of absorbed moisture on soldering related degradation and failures in tantalum capacitors have been studied using 22 types of polymer and 11 types of MnO2 cathodes tantalum capacitors including single and multianode parts. The amount of moisture released during soldering has been estimated by measurements of mass and capacitance variations. Results show that moisture uptake in similar parts is approximately two times greater in polymer than in MnO2 capacitors. Cracking of the case and degradation of parameters can occur in both types of parts, but MnO2 capacitors are much more susceptible to catastrophic short circuit failures and their ignition is possible during the first power-on cycle. This type of failure in MnO2 capacitors is lot-related, can occur even at derated voltages and relatively low levels of moisture sorption corresponding to room conditions. Baking before soldering is an effective measure to prevent failures even in lots susceptible to popcorning damage. Recommendations for testing to establish MSL and for baking to reduce the probability of failures are suggested.

tantalum polymer capacitors↗

Adaptive Stress Testing: Finding Likely Failure Events with Reinforcement Learning

Finding the most likely path to a set of failure states is important to the analysis of safety-critical systems that operate over a sequence of time steps, such as aircraft collision avoidance systems and autonomous cars. In many applications such as autonomous driving, failures cannot be completely eliminated due to the complex stochastic environment in which the system operates.As a result, safety validation is not only concerned about whether a failure can occur, but also discovering which failures are most likely to occur. This article presents adaptive stress testing (AST), a framework for finding the most likely path to a failure event in simulation. We consider a general black box setting for partially observable and continuous-valued systems operating in an environment with stochastic disturbances. We formulate the problem as a Markov decision process and use reinforcement learning to optimize it. The approach is simulation-based and does not require internal knowledge of the system, making it suitable for black-box testing of large systems. We present different formulations depending on whether the state is fully observable or partially observable. In the latter case, we present a modified Monte Carlo tree search algorithm that only requires access to the pseudorandom number generator of the simulator to overcome partial observability. We also present an extension of the framework, called differential adaptive stress testing (DAST), that can find failures that occur in one system but not in another. This type of differential analysis is useful in applications such as regression testing, where we are concerned with finding areas of relative weakness compared to a baseline. We demonstrate the effectiveness of the approach on an aircraft collision avoidance application, where a prototype aircraft collision avoidance system is stress tested to find the most likely scenarios of near mid-air collision.

Verification and Validation↗

Methodology to Assess the Changing Risk of Yield Failure Due to Heat and Drought Stress Under Climate Change

While the understanding of average impacts of climate change on crop yields is improving, few assessments have quantified expected impacts on yield distributions and the risk of yield failures. Here we present the relative distribution as a method to assess how the risk of yield failure due to heat and drought stress (measured in terms of return period between yields falling 15% below previous five year Olympic average yield) responds to changes of the underlying yield distributions under climate change. Relative distributions are used to capture differences in the entire yield distribution between baseline and climate change scenarios, and to further decompose them into changes in the location and shape of the distribution. The methodology is applied here for the case of rainfed wheat and grain maize across Europe using an ensemble of crop models under three climate change scenarios with simulations conducted at 25 km resolution. Under climate change, maize generally displayed shorter return periods of yield failures (with changes under RCP 4.5 between −0.3 and 0 years compared to the baseline scenario) associated with a shift of the yield distribution towards lower values and changes in shape of the distribution that further reduced the frequency of high yields. This response was prominent in the areas characterized in the baseline scenario by high yields and relatively long return periods of failure. Conversely, for wheat, yield failures were projected to become less frequent under future scenarios (with changes in the return period of −0.1 to +0.4 years under RCP 4.5) and were associated with a shift of the distribution towards higher values and a change in shape increasing the frequency of extreme yields at both ends. Our study offers an approach to quantify the changes in yield distributions that drive crop yield failures. Actual risk assessments additionally require models that capture the variety of drivers determining crop yield variability and scenario climate input data that samples the range of probable climate variation.

Climate risk assessment↗

Flying Qualities Analysis and Piloted Simulation Testing of a Lift+Cruise Vehicle with Propulsion Failures in Hover and Low-Speed Conditions

The recent emergence of electric-Vertical Take-Off and Landing (eVTOL) vehicles for Urban Air Mobility (UAM) applications has resulted in a wide variety of configurations with unique stability and control characteristics. NASA is currently conducting research to develop conceptual design tools to accelerate public acceptance of these vehicles which includes requirements for safety during failure scenarios. This paper summarizes progress toward a toolbox for predicting flying qualities of eVTOL vehicles during critical propulsion failures that could impact the allowable design of the vehicle geometry or control system. Key topics include unique vulnerabilities of eVTOL/multirotor vehicles to propulsion failures, relevant flying qualities design metrics, and simulation modeling requirements for assessing flying qualities degradation due to failures. Results of a piloted simulation study conducted in the NASA Ames Vertical Motion Simulator (VMS) are presented. The VMS experiment was designed to assess and validate key handling qualities and safety design metrics for propulsion failures. These results show the correlation between control system design requirements and the degradation in handling qualities for various propulsion failures.

George Altamirano↗

A Confidence-Based Approach to Including Survivors in a Probabilistic TID Failure Assessment

A probabilistic total ionizing dose (TID) failure assessment is extended to include survivor data, enabling the bounding of failure probability to a desired confidence level (CL) without failure data. The extension provides an avenue for analyzing microelectronics tested for TID without reaching a failure mode, a scenario often encountered by missions utilizing commercial-off-the-shelf (COTS) technologies. Using the type-I censored likelihood formulation and a realistic upper bound on expected device performance, the failure probability space is bounded by confidence contours within the context of a variable environment. The framework accommodates any type of distribution assumed for the part failure or the environment under consideration. Furthermore, the framework can be utilized pre-emptively to plan future device TID tests, minimizing costs while meeting survival requirements. Heritage data may also be used as survivors to further minimize testing costs when parts are from the same lot, but the amount of constraint derived from heritage is limited. Altogether, the framework enables a formal, mathematically rigorous analysis of radiation tolerant devices tested to a maximum dose, as well as flight heritage, in a hardness assurance methodology.

confidence↗

Reversionary Control Modes for the Mitigation of Failures in a Partially Turboelectric Aircraft Propulsion System

In support of emission and fuel burn reduction goals, the aviation industry is actively pursuing the advancement of electrified aircraft propulsion (EAP) technology. This includes turboelectric and hybrid electric propulsion designs that combine gas turbine engine and electrical system hardware. Such architectures exhibit a high degree of coupling between subsystems. This drives the need for system-level control strategies to ensure the safe, coordinated, and efficient operation of all subsystems. The design and certification of any aircraft propulsion system requires that all potential subsystem failures are identified, and the hazards posed by these failures are appropriately mitigated. This requirement is particularly challenging for EAP systems due to their integrated nature. One approach to assist in EAP failure mitigation is the inclusion of automated reconfiguration capabilities within the propulsion control system. Such control modes, referred to as reversionary control modes, are designed to automatically detect failures and activate backup control modes upon failure detection. This paper covers the design and evaluation of reversionary control mode logic developed for a partially turboelectric propulsion concept. Test results from a real-time hardware-in-the-loop evaluation of the concept are also presented and discussed. The results show that the developed reversionary control logic can successfully detect and mitigate subsystem failures in a representative environment that includes actual electrical system hardware.

Electrified Aircraft Propulsion↗

Reversionary Control Modes for the Mitigation of Failures in a Partially Turboelectric Aircraft Propulsion System

In support of emission and fuel burn reduction goals, the aviation industry is actively pursuing the advancement of electrified aircraft propulsion (EAP) technology. This includes turboelectric and hybrid electric propulsion designs that combine gas turbine engine and electrical system hardware. Such architectures exhibit a high degree of coupling between subsystems. This drives the need for system-level control strategies to ensure the safe, coordinated, and efficient operation of all subsystems. The design and certification of any aircraft propulsion system requires that all potential subsystem failures are identified, and the hazards posed by these failures are appropriately mitigated. This requirement is particularly challenging for EAP systems due to their integrated nature. One approach to assist in EAP failure mitigation is the inclusion of automated reconfiguration capabilities within the propulsion control system. Such control modes, referred to as reversionary control modes, are designed to automatically detect failures and activate backup control modes upon failure detection. This paper covers the design and evaluation of reversionary control mode logic developed for a partially turboelectric propulsion concept. Test results from a real-time hardware-in-the-loop evaluation of the concept are also presented and discussed. The results show that the developed reversionary control logic can successfully detect and mitigate subsystem failures in a representative environment that includes actual electrical system hardware.

Electrified Aircraft Propulsion↗

Reversionary Control Modes for the Mitigation of Failures in a Partially Turboelectric Aircraft Propulsion System

In support of emission and fuel burn reduction goals, the aviation industry is actively pursuing the advancement of electrified aircraft propulsion (EAP) technology. This includes turboelectric and hybrid electric propulsion designs that combine gas turbine engine and electrical system hardware. Such architectures exhibit a high degree of coupling between subsystems. This drives the need for system-level control strategies to ensure the safe, coordinated, and efficient operation of all subsystems. The design and certification of any aircraft propulsion system requires that all potential subsystem failures are identified, and the hazards posed by these failures are appropriately mitigated. This requirement is particularly challenging for EAP systems due to their integrated nature. One approach to assist in EAP failure mitigation is the inclusion of automated reconfiguration capabilities within the propulsion control system. Such control modes, referred to as reversionary control modes, are designed to automatically detect failures and activate backup control modes upon failure detection. This paper covers the design and evaluation of reversionary control mode logic developed for a partially turboelectric propulsion concept. Test results from a real-time hardware-in-the-loop evaluation of the concept are also presented and discussed. The results show that the developed reversionary control logic can successfully detect and mitigate subsystem failures in a representative environment that includes actual electrical system hardware.

Electrified Aircraft Propulsion↗

Failure detection in high-performance clusters and computers using chaotic map computations

A programmable media includes a processing unit capable of independent operation in a machine that is capable of executing 10.sup.18 floating point operations per second. The processing unit is in communication with a memory element and an interconnect that couples computing nodes. The programmable media includes a logical unit configured to execute arithmetic functions, comparative functions, and/or logical functions. The processing unit is configured to detect computing component failures, memory element failures and/or interconnect failures by executing programming threads that generate one or more chaotic map trajectories. The central processing unit or graphical processing unit is configured to detect a computing component failure, memory element failure and/or an interconnect failure through an automated comparison of signal trajectories generated by the chaotic maps.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Using Rollback Avoidance to Mitigate Failures in Next-Generation Extreme-Scale Systems

High-performance computing (HPC) systems enable scientists to numerically model complex phenomena in many important physical systems. The next major milestone in the development of HPC systems is the construction of the rst supercomputer capable executing more than an exa op, 10 18 oating point operations per second. On systems of this scale, failures will occur much more frequently than on current systems. As a result, resilience is a key obstacle to building next-generation extremescale systems. Coordinated checkpointing is currently the most widely-used mechanism for handling failures on HPC systems. Although coordinated checkpointing remains e ective on current systems, increasing the scale of today's systems to build next-generation systems will increase the cost of fault tolerance as more and more time is taken away from the application to protect against or recover from failure. Rollback avoidance techniques seek to mitigate the cost of checkpoint/restart by allowing an application to continue its execution rather than rolling back to an earlier checkpoint when failures occur. These techniqes include failure prediction and preventive migration, replicated computation, fault-tolerant algorithms, and softwarebased memory fault correction. In this thesis, we examine how rollback avoidance techniques can be used to address failures on extreme-scale systems. Using a combination of analytic modeling and simulation, we evaluate the potential impact of rollback avoidance on these systems. We then present a novel rollback avoidance technique that exploits similarities in application memory. Finally, we examine the feasibility of using this technique to protect against memory faults in kernel memory.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Methods, apparatus and system for notification of predictable memory failure

A method for providing notification of a predictable memory failure includes the steps of: obtaining information regarding at least one condition associated with a memory; calculating a memory failure probability as a function of the obtained information; calculating a failure probability threshold; and generating a signal when the memory failure probability exceeds the failure probability threshold, the signal being indicative of a predicted future memory failure.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Failure Analysis on Multivariate Time-series Data given Uncertain Labels

Machine failure analysis and detection is critical to today’s industrial society. Given a number of failure events on multivariate temporal data, the ability to identify 1) the discriminative patterns prior to the events and 2) the most relevant features to the failure has practical use for early warning and root cause analysis. However, since these patterns are not necessarily adjacent to the onset of failure in time, faulty labels are often with uncertainty, which makes traditional supervised detection methods inapplicable. To address the label uncertainty and learn the complicated correlation in multivariate time series, we design Failure Analysis on Multivariate Time-series Data (MAMT) that jointly selects the most failure-relevant features and time-instances by a novel dynamic and directional label diffusion process. Extensive experiments demonstrate that MAMT is more effective while more efficient than popular baselines.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Probabilistic Risk Assessment of Spent Fuel Pool Cooling System Failure Considering Safety and Security Initiating Events

In order to quantify the probable risk associated with a safety system, nuclear safety risk evaluation process is applied which is generally performed in three steps. The first step is to calculate the damage frequency of a critical system. This step is followed by the radioactive source term estimation due to the potential system damage. The final step is the assessment of off-site consequences. The safety risk formula is shown by Eq. (1). P{sub F} is the probability of safety system failure (the probability used describes a random, independent event), and C is the consequence value. R{sub SAF} = P{sub F} * C (1) The security risk associated with an attack on critical infrastructure and/or special nuclear materials theft is usually evaluated using three- term risk equation (probability of attack, probability of adversary success, and consequence). A security threat and the related initiating events are not considered in a pure safety risk analysis. The vulnerability of the physical protection system is performed independently even though the consequence resulting from a security initiating event can be similar to a safety related initiating event and thus gets double counted. The security risk can be calculated using Eq. (2) R{sub SEC} = P{sub A} * P{sub S} * C (2) PA is the probability of attack, P{sub S} is the probability of adversary success (P{sub S} = 1 - P{sub I} P{sub N}). P{sub I} being the probability of interruption which accounts for the probabilities of detection of all timely detection elements along an adversary path. PN being the probability of neutralization: the result of engagement of the response force with the adversaries after the interruption has occurred. C is the consequence magnitude from a successful attack. The two security probabilities do not describe random, independent events. As a result, because of the differences in the randomness and independence of the respective safety and security probabilities, the safety and the security risks are currently calculated separately. The consequence term in nuclear safety and security risk evaluation have the same definition. An effort is made here to study the effect on the overall risk by considering security initiating events along with the subsequent failure of the intermediate safety element. The target selected is a spent fuel storage pool for analyzing the public risk arising from the interplay between nuclear security and safety initiating events. EASI (Estimate of Adversary Sequence Interruption) model is used to calculate the probability of interruption related to a security system that leads to the calculation of the security initiating event frequency. Further progression of this initiating security event to a top event is analyzed using a Probabilistic Safety Assessment (PSA) tool, SAPHIRE (version 8) to obtain a joint pool damage frequency. For the progression of events leading to a top event, the failure of the intermediate safety elements is assumed to be external random events such as heavy load drop and fire events. The objectives of this study is to (1) determine the double accounting of frequency of failure, risk and allocated resources in the scenario of a non-random security initiating event leading to a safety random event chain (2) compare the damage frequency from pure security with the frequency of combined security-safety failure event and pure safety failure events. (authors)

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Efficient evaluation of small failure probability in high-dimensional groundwater contaminant transport modeling via a two-stage Monte Carlo method

In decision-making for groundwater management and contamination remediation, it is important to accurately evaluate the probability of the occurrence of a failure event. For small failure probability analysis, a large number of model evaluations are needed in the Monte Carlo (MC) simulation, which is impractical for CPU-demanding models. One approach to alleviate the computational cost caused by the model evaluations is to construct a computationally inexpensive surrogate model instead. However, using a surrogate approximation can cause an extra error in the failure probability analysis. Furthermore, constructing accurate surrogates is challenging for high-dimensional models, i.e., models containing many uncertain input parameters. To address these issues, we propose an efficient two-stage MC approach for small failure probability analysis in high-dimensional groundwater contaminant transport modeling. In the first stage, a low-dimensional representation of the original high-dimensional model is sought with Karhunen–Loève expansion and sliced inverse regression jointly, which allows for the easy construction of a surrogate with polynomial chaos expansion. Then a surrogate-based MC simulation is implemented. In the second stage, the small number of samples that are close to the failure boundary are re-evaluated with the original model, which corrects the bias introduced by the surrogate approximation. The proposed approach is tested with a numerical case study and is shown to be 100 times faster than the traditional MC approach in achieving the same level of estimation accuracy.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Correlation between failure and local material property in chopped carbon fiber chip-reinforced sheet molding compound composites under tensile load

To develop further understanding towards the role of a heterogeneous microstructure on tensile crack initiation and failure behavior in chopped carbon fiber chip-reinforced composites, uni-axial tensile tests are performed on coupons cut from compression molded plaque with varying directions. Our experimental results indicate that failure initiation is relevant to the strain localization, and a new criterion with the nominal modulus to predict the failure location is proposed based on the strain analysis. Furthermore, optical microscopic images show that the nominal modulus is determined by the chip orientation distribution. At the area with low nominal modulus, it is found that chips are mostly aligning along directions transverse to loading direction and/or less concentrated, while at the area with high nominal modulus, more chips are aligning to tensile direction. On the basis of failure mechanism analysis, it is concluded that transversely-oriented chips or resin-rich regions are easier for damage initiation, while longitudinally-oriented chips postpone the fracture. Good agreement is found among failure mechanism, strain localization and chip orientation distribution.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Simulation of hardened cement degradation and estimation of uncertainty in predicted failure times with peridynamics

Modeling the degradation of cement-based infrastructure due to aqueous environmental conditions continues to be a challenge. In order to develop a capability to predict concrete infrastructure failure due to chemical degradation, here we created a chemomechanical model of the effects of long-term water exposure on cement paste. The model couples the mechanical static equilibrium balance with reactive–diffusive transport and incorporates fracture and failure via peridynamics (a meshless simulation method). The model includes fundamental aspects of degradation of ordinary Portland cement (OPC) paste, including the observed softening, reduced toughness, and shrinkage of the cement paste, and increased reactivity and transport with water induced degradation. This version of the model focuses on the first stage of cement paste decalcification, the dissolution of portlandite. Given unknowns in the cement paste degradation process and the cost of uncertainty quantification (UQ), we adopt a minimally complex model in two dimensions (2D) in order to perform sensitivity analysis and UQ. We calibrate the model to existing experimental data using simulations of common tests such as flexure, compression and diffusion. Then we calculate the global sensitivity and uncertainty of predicted failure times based on variation of eleven unique and fundamental material properties. We observed particularly strong sensitivities to the diffusion coefficient, the reaction rate, and the shrinkage with degradation. Also, the predicted time of first fracture is highly correlated with the time to total failure in compression, which implies fracture can indicate impending degradation induced failure; however, the distributions of the two events overlap so the lead time may be minimal. Extension of the model to include the multiple reactions that describe complete degradation, viscous relaxation, post-peak load mechanisms, and to three dimensions to explore the interactions of complex fracture patterns evoked by more realistic geometry is straightforward and ongoing.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Failure analysis of solid oxide fuel cells nickel-yttria stabilized zirconia anode under siloxane contamination

In this study, the failure process of the solid oxide fuel cell (SOFC) Ni-yttria-stabilized zirconia (YSZ) anode is investigated with D4 siloxane (octamethylcyclotetrasiloxane) contamination. In order to evaluate the influence of the electrochemical reaction on the siloxane deposition process, the SOFC experiments were operated at open circuit voltage (OCV) and 50 mA cm -2 conditions at 800°C. During the failure process, electrochemical, morphology and exhaust gas component analysis testing are conducted at the critical points. An equivalent circuit model and corresponding microstructure parameter calculations for separated physicochemical processes were utilized for the quantitative analysis of the failure process. Further, the results confirm the siloxane chemical adsorption deposition mechanism proposed in previous work. As a result, the failure of the anode was attributed to the gas diffusion blockage by dense silicon dioxide layer formation. The anode failure process with siloxane contamination is faster when the anode is operated under polarization.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

A generalized power-law criterion for rocks based on Mohr failure theory

Nonlinearity of Mohr envelopes confirmed by past laboratory test data can be of considerable importance in theoretical interpretation of rock strength behaviors and many practical applications. Current nonlinear failure criteria are introduced with parameters to empirically fit test data, and the physical and mechanical meanings of these fitting parameters are often not known. Predicted strengths by theoretical criteria (e.g., Griffith criterion) generally do not agree well with test data. Considering the nonlinear properties of a Mohr envelope, a nonlinear failure criterion in a generalized power-law form is derived in this paper based on strength magnitude coefficient (a) and failure envelope curvature coefficient (n) which are expressed in terms of uniaxial tensile strength, uniaxial compressive strength, and angle of internal friction. Test data on granite, marble, dolomite, and andesite from published literature were chosen to test the performance of the proposed criterion along with Griffith and Hoek-Brown criteria. Statistical analysis was performed to evaluate the application of different criteria in predicting the strength of rocks. In addition, some Griffith-typed criteria are mathematically shown to be the special cases of the proposed criterion. The proposed and Hoek-Brown criteria have similar power-law forms with a significant difference in the coefficient functions that govern the shear strength magnitude of rock. The different tensile and compressive failure mechanisms are also investigated from the perspective of the relationship between the uniaxial tension Mohr circle and the proposed failure envelope.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗