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At least 361 records · Page 20

On Magnitudes and Inferred Yields of the 39 Underground Nuclear Test Explosions at the Novaya Zemlya Test Site

ABSTRACT We review the previously compiled seismic magnitudes for underground nuclear explosions at the Union of the Soviet Socialist Republics Novaya Zemlya Test Site, and analyze these data in the context of published details about individual tests and official Russian reports of annual cumulative explosive energy release at the test site. We derive relationships between teleseismic body wave magnitude mb and explosive yield Y by predicting the yield of each test using mb and minimizing the difference between predicted and reported annual cumulative yield. A linear relationship between mb and logY with a slope of 0.82 provides a good fit to the annual total yield, with a root mean square (rms) misfit of 0.095 logY units. A spectral magnitude relationship based on the explosion source model of Mueller and Murphy (1971) with a single-free-parameter provides a slightly better fit. For the 10 tests for which individual yields can be directly deduced from the official reports, the rms misfit of reported yields is less than 0.1 logY units or about 25%. More complex relationships that differentiate between the northern and southern test areas, or take account of variations in the scaled depth of burial, do not provide substantially better fits to the reported yields.

Geochemistry & Geophysics↗

Rapid and Temporary Deployment of Fiber-Optic Arrays to Measure Surface Chemical Explosion Series with Distributed Acoustic Sensing

Rapid and temporary distributed acoustic sensing (DAS) deployments are crucial for accurately capturing the seismic wavefield following major events, such as earthquakes, or in anticipation of known events of interest, such as chemical explosions. We provide an overview of two DAS campaigns conducted in May and October 2024 to record the seismoacoustic waves generated by two series of surface chemical explosions in New Mexico, United States, involving 1- and 10-ton trinitrotoluene-equivalent charges. In both campaigns, we deployed approximately 2 km of fiber-optic cables in a dry riverbed, about 12 km east of the explosion sites. For the October campaign, seven geophones and two anemometers were collocated with the fiber. We describe the field deployments and present preliminary results from the recorded signals. Specifically, we cross analyze the data recorded in May and October, validate the DAS data with geophone measurements, and highlight the benefits of burying fibers to reduce wind noise and improve signal-to-noise ratios. This study demonstrates the potential of DAS to record the seismoacoustic waves generated by surface chemical explosions of varying sizes at distances of approximately 10 km from the source.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Differential Seismic Phase Detection Probability as a Potential Discriminant of Explosions and Earthquakes

Deep learning models trained to estimate the probability of seismic P and S phases are rapidly expanding the scale of local event detections. Here, we evaluate the potential for deep learning model output phase detection probabilities to contribute to event‐type classification, particularly discrimination of single‐fired borehole explosions and earthquakes at local distances (<300 km). Motivated by the empirical success of P/S amplitude ratios, we consider the difference between P and S pick probability output from previously developed phase detection models, P prob −S prob ⁠, as a discriminant. Test data include M L ∼1–4 earthquakes and explosions observed by common seismographs in ten geologically diverse localities. Depending on the picking model and training data, binary classification using P prob −S prob with at least three stations can achieve approximately equivalent classification accuracy as P/S amplitude ratios without requiring any customization. Joint classification with P/S and P prob −S prob improves accuracy for most quality control scenarios. Pick probabilities are an efficient attribute to consider in explosion discrimination because they can be automated byproducts of event detection. They avoid the binary choice of picking or not picking weakly visible S waves common to explosions.

Duan, Chenglong [Rice Univ., Houston, TX (United S↗

Summary Report of Ecological Risk Assessment for the Operation of the Explosives Waste Treatment Facility at Site 300 of the Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory.

An ecological risk assessment is required as part of the Resource Recovery and Conservation Act (RCRA) permit renewal process for Miscellaneous Units subject to 22 CCR 66270.23. This risk assessment is prepared in support of the RCRA permit renewal for the Explosives Waste Treatment Facility (EWTF) at Site 300 of the Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory (LLNL). LLNL collected soil samples and used the resulting data to produce a scoping-level ecological risk assessment pursuant to the Department of Toxic Substances Control, Guidance for Ecological Risk Assessment at Hazardous Waste Sites and Permitted Facilities, Part A: Overview, July 4, 1996. The scoping-level ecological risk assessment provides a framework to determine the potential interaction between ecological receptors and chemicals of concern from hazardous waste treatment operations in the area of EWTF. A scoping-level ecological risk assessment includes the step of conducting soil sampling in the area of the treatment units. The Sampling Plan in Support of the Human Health and Ecological Risk Assessment for the Operation of the Explosives Waste Treatment Facility at Site 300 of the Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, (Terusaki, 2007), outlines the EWTF project-specific soil sampling requirements. Soil samples were obtained and analyzed for constituents from four chemical groups: furans, explosives, semi-volatiles and metals. Analytical results showed that furans, explosives and semi-volatiles were not detected; therefore, no further analysis was conducted. The soil samples did show the presence of metals. Soil samples analyzed for metals were compared to site-wide background levels, which had been developed for site -wide cleanup activities pursuant to the Comprehensive Environmental Response, Compensation, and Liability Act (CERCLA). Total metal concentrations from 28 discrete soil samples obtained in the EWTF area were all below CERCLA-developed background levels. Therefore, following DTSC 1996 guidance, the EWTF hazardous waste treatment units exit the ecological risk evaluation process upon completion of the requirements of a scoping-level assessment report. This summary report documents that the requirements of a scoping-level assessment have been met.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Application of Active Seismic and Electrical Methods to Detect and Characterize Subsurface Effects of an Underground Explosion

During the period of underground nuclear testing in the U.S., now ended for over 20 years, the focus of work was to conduct the test and analyze the data as quickly as possible; there was little concern about application of technologies that could be used to detect and characterize the location and depth of the explosion. Thus, there is little experience with applying geophysical methods in places where an underground nuclear explosion (UNE) has taken place. On the other hand, application of geophysical methods to the detection of shallow artifacts and water table depth is commonly applied in the environmental remediation and site characterization realm of commercial geophysical surveys. For nuclear nonproliferation treaty applications which may incorporate both shallow and deep geophysical probing methods (such as on-site inspection (OSI) under the Comprehensive Nuclear Test Ban Treaty [CTBT]), there thus remains a need to better understand detection capabilities of the deeper targets: anomalies related to an explosion cavity or rubble zone that may be located several hundred meters below the ground surface. The purpose of this Coordinated Inspection Technologies (CIT) project was to gain experience in applying active seismic methods and electrical methods at a site in Nevada where an underground nuclear test (UNE) had been conducted in the past to get a better understanding of the capabilities of these methods for detection and characterization of deep subsurface effects of the explosion.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Isolator fragmentation and explosive initiation tests

Three tests were conducted to evaluate the effects of firing an isolator in proximity to a barrier or explosive charge. The tests with explosive were conducted without barrier, on the basis that since any barrier will reduce the shock transmitted to the explosive, bare explosive represents the worst-case from an inadvertent initiation perspective. No reaction was observed. The shock caused by the impact of a representative plastic material on both bare and cased PBX9501 is calculated in the worst-case, 1-D limit, and the known shock response of the HE is used to estimate minimum run-to-detonation lengths. The estimates demonstrate that even 1-D impacts would not be of concern and that, accordingly, the divergent shocks due to isolator fragment impact are of no concern as initiating stimuli.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Analysis of xRAGE and flag high explosive burn models with PBX 9404 cylinder tests

High explosives are energetic materials that release their chemical energy in a short interval of time. They are able to generate extreme heat and pressure by a shock driven chemical decomposition reaction, which makes them valuable tools that must be understood. This study investigated the accuracy and performance of two Los Alamos National Laboratory hydrodynamic codes, which are used to determine the behavior of explosives within a variety of systems: xRAGE which utilizes an Eulerian mesh, and FLAG with utilizes a Lagrangian mesh. Various programmed and reactive burn models within both codes were tested using a copper cylinder expansion test. The test was based on a recent experimental setup which contained the plastic bonded explosive PBX 9404. Detonation velocity versus time curves for this explosive were obtained using Photon Doppler Velocimetry (PDV). The modeled results from each of the burn models tested were then compared to one another and to the experimental results. This study validate

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Isolator fragmentation and explosive initiation tests

Three tests were conducted to evaluate the effects of firing an isolator in proximity to a barrier or explosive charge. The tests with explosive were conducted without a barrier, on the basis that since any barrier will reduce the shock transmitted to the explosive, bare explosive represents the worst-case from an inadvertent initiation perspective. No reaction was observed. The shock caused by the impact of a representative plastic material on both bare and cased PBX 9501 is calculated in the worst-case, 1-D limit, and the known shock response of the HE is used to estimate minimum run-to-detonation lengths. The estimates demonstrate that even 1-D impacts would not be of concern and that, accordingly, the divergent shocks due to isolator fragment impact are of no concern as initiating stimuli.

45 MILITARY TECHNOLOGY, WEAPONRY, AND NATIONAL DEF↗

Shear Heating of Explosives using the Crush Gun; FY2018 Report

Explosives subject to rapid mechanical deformation can experience large internal velocity gradients; this is a dissipative process, causing internal temperature rise. If this internal frictional heating is sufficiently large and sufficiently localized it can cause ignition of the explosive. Modeling the heat deposition that arises from mechanical insult is an ongoing effort, and additional experimental data is required to develop the model [1]. Apneumatic gun apparatus was designed and built to deliver crushing impacts at velocities of 0-70 m/s. The apparatus is designed to halt the projectile approximately 1 mm before impacting the sapphire imaging surface, preventing a complete “pinch” condition from attaining. The primary diagnostics include high-speed visible videography and infrared imaging to determine spatial temperature rise of the sample during impact. Forty-seven tests were performed with the apparatus during FY18, on four different explosives: Comp-B, PBX 9501, LX-07, and LX-14.No measurable heating was observed with Comp-B at a nominal velocity of 58 m/s. A maximum temperature rise of 17 °C was recorded with PBX 9501 at an impact velocity of 59 m/s. A maximum temperature rise of 32 °C was observed with LX-07 at an impact velocity of 57 m/s. A maximum temperature rise of 15 °C was observed with LX-14 at an impact velocity of 59 m/s. In contrast to drop-weight tower sensitivity testing [2,3], no ignitions were observed in any of the impacts. The lack of appreciable heating is attributed to the arrest mechanism which prevents the projectile from completing the final ~2 mm of crush. Differences between the explosive compositions are attributed primarily to binder effects.

45 MILITARY TECHNOLOGY, WEAPONRY, AND NATIONAL DEF↗

Analysis of Three-Component Rotational and Translational Ground Motions from Source Physics Experiment Chemical Explosions and Local Earthquakes

Igel et al. (2005) demonstrated that using single point measurements of translational displacement and rotational strain can reconstruct the long-period teleseismic wavefield including wave-type, apparent velocity and propagation direction. We examine if this also holds true for higher frequencies at local distances. Four co-located three-component (3C) Eentec R-1 rotational velocity sensors and Kinemetric 3C accelerometers were deployed at the Nevada National Security Site (NNSS) to record 3 Source Physics Experiment (SPE) chemical explosions with yields of 90kg (SPE-1), 997kg (SPE-2), and 905kg (SPE-3) equivalent TNT. The four sensors were deployed 1-km from the source on granite, sedimentary, and alluvium outcrops. Three small earthquakes were also recorded, a Ml 3.3 at 28 km, a Ml 2.6 at 58 km, and Ml 3.5 at 123 km distance from SPE site. From the 3C rotational and translational motions, we measured the horizontal phase velocity of 450 m/s and 1125 m/s along two separate directions from the source consistent with near-surface geology. In contrast, the horizontal phase velocity measured for the Ml 3.3 earthquake is 5.4 km/s in the 0.1 to 10 Hz band with a propagation direction consistent with the epicenter location. While the earthquake exhibited very high coherency between 3C rotational and translational motions, the explosions exhibited more coherency with P-SV waves but less for SH-waves. This may be due to explosion SH waves originating from motions along joints or scattering near the source. This difference could be exploited as a discriminant between explosions and earthquakes.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Low Temperature Time-to-Explosion Experiments in the LLNL’s ODTX/P-ODTX System

Incidents caused by fire and some operations can heat energetic materials that may lead to thermal explosion and result in structural damage and casualty. Thus, explosive thermal sensitivity is an important topic for oilfield perforating operations and impacts perforating system performance and safety. Explosives have time-dependent temperature limits which can lead to thermal decomposition when exceeded and, under some circumstances, can result in performance losses and safety hazards. The One-Dimensional-Time to Explosion (ODTX) system at the Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory (LLNL) has been used for decades to characterize thermal safety of energetic materials. In this study, an integration of a pressure monitoring element has been added into the ODTX system (P-ODTX) to perform extended thermal experiments on HMX at three temperatures 160 °C, 170 °C and 185 °C. The tests generate time-temperature data as well as useful gas pressure data to assist with the thermal safety assessment of the energetics and systems that use the energetics. This report summarizes results of the 3 tests that were performed from July 2018 to November 2018.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Light Initiated High Explosive Driven Flyer Plate Impulse Generation Technique For Material and Structural Response

The objective for this research has been to develop a method to induce a high frequency, large amplitude shock pulse into materials and structures as an above-ground laboratory simulation of an exo-atmospheric cold x-ray induced blow-off event. This work builds on the successes of direct-spray Light Initiated High Explosive impulse delivery technique, in order to drive a flyer to a desired impact velocity to induce the proper combined material and structural response of the target. The reported development focuses on flyer velocity from explosive initiation to target impact to flyer rebound. A comprehensive derivation of an analytical model to predict flyer velocity as a function of explosive deposition and flyer properties is presented. One-and two-dimensional test series were conducted to evaluate impulse delivery and impact pressure, as well as target material and structural response. Experimental results show good agreement in flyer velocity between that predicted by the developed theory and that inferred by impulse delivery. A definitive material response was measured in each of the one-dimensional targets. The structural strain response measured in the ring experiments showed excellent agreement with both the predicted flyer performance and the analytical strain solution for a cosine distributed impulsive loading. This work has focused on the utilization of analytical, hydrocode, and test analysis to confirm that a LIHE driven flyer impulse technique can be an effective simulation of a cold x-ray blow-off event. It is shown that a thin metallic flyer plate can be explosively accelerated to impact a target with sufficient energy to generate an impulsive load which induces both structural and material response in a test item.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Low-frequency Electromagnetic Detection Limits of Underground Nuclear Explosions

Underground nuclear explosions produce a broadband electromagnetic signal that can propagate to the surface at some distance. We perform a logistic regression on historical electromagnetic detections to calculate a probabilistic detection curve for prediction of the propagation distance for any given underground nuclear explosion. The curve predicts positive detections at scaled ranges of 2414.6, 2025.7, 1908.3, and 1672.4 m/ktonne 1/3 at probabilities of 50, 90, 95 and 99%, respectively. For a theoretical 100 ktonne underground nuclear explosion these scaled ranges translate to absolute ranges of 11.2, 9.4, 8.9, and 7.8 km at probabilities of 50, 90, 95 and 99%, respectively. We also motivate a need for improved electromagnetic sensor design and deployment by extending the detection analysis using the quoted signal-to-noise ratio of two and noise amplitude of 10 pT along with attenuation relationships that go as 1/r to 1/r 3 . We find that reducing the noise floor by a factor often could extend the detection limit to approximately 5 to 25 km/ktonne 1/3 , which translates to 24 to 112 km for a theoretical 100 ktonne underground nuclear explosion.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

EDS V26 Vessel Clamp Explosive Test Report

This report documents the results of explosive re-qualification tests of the EDS V26 Vessel that were conducted at Sandia National Laboratories in Albuquerque, New Mexico in May 2015 following the retrofitting of the vessel with a three piece clamp for use on the P2A system. The V26 containment vessel is the second EDS vessel to be fabricated under Code Case 2564 of the ASME Boiler and Pressure Vessel Code, which provides rules for the design of impulsively loaded vessels. The explosive rating for the vessel, based on the code case, is nine (9) pounds TNT-equivalent for up to 637 detonations. The goals of the tests were to qualify the vessel, particularly the clamping system, for explosive use. The explosive tests consisted of a 9 pound bare charge of Composition C-4 (equivalent to 11.25 pounds TNT), followed by a 7.2 pound bare charge of Composition C-4 (equivalent to 9 pounds of TNT). Helium permeation measurements of the seal and strain measurements using a pi tape and strain gauges were made. All vessel acceptance criteria were met.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Standardizing an Intermediate-Scale High Explosive Safety Test Suite

Small-scale safety testing, while successful in screening out extremely dangerous explosive compositions, does not fully characterize the explosive hazards associated with handling larger, consolidated or bare charges. It is proposed that intermediate-scale tests using consolidated charges in the range 25 mg – 1 kg are warranted to satisfactorily address the hazards. A standard for this intermediate-scale testing should be developed, proofed, peer-reviewed and adopted to assist in the development of safe new high explosive compositions across the complex. This whitepaper explains why current small-scale safety testing is insufficient to characterize the handling hazard, identifies the guiding aspects of explosive response that drive the handling hazards associated with larger consolidated charges, and proposes a suite of tests/experiments that can serve as a starting point for an intermediate-scale safety standard.

42 ENGINEERING↗

A multi-Physics Experiment for Low-Yield Nuclear Explosion Monitoring

A series of multi-physics experiments, referred to as Physics Experiment 1 (PE1) is underway at the United States’ Nevada National Security Site (NNSS). The PE1 series includes detonations of three underground chemical explosions in P-tunnel, with fully coupled (PE1 A), partially decoupled (PE1 D L ), and fully decoupled (PE1 B) emplacements. Canisters with gas tracers are imbedded in the explosives, and the tracers are released when the canister is destroyed by the detonation. A dedicated electromagnetic (EM) experiment (EMX) generates well-characterized EM signals at an underground location near the chemical explosive experiments. A series of atmospheric experiments (METEX, REACT, and METREX) release smoke and radioactive tracers around Aqueduct Mesa to test gas transport in complex topography. Each of the chemical explosive experiments includes a network of sensors to record seismic, acoustic, and electromagnetic waves, measurement of atmospheric conditions, and air sample collection for measurement of tracer concentration. EMX records EM signals underground and on the surface of Aqueduct Mesa. METEX, REACT, and METREX include measurement of atmospheric condition, as well as tracking smoke releases. REACT and METREX add low-level radioactive gas tracers to the atmospheric releases.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Temperature and Pressure Instrumentation for LYNM PE1 Chemical Explosive Testing

Underground chemical explosive testing has been conducted at the Nevada National Security Site under the Physics Experiment 1 (PE1) to validate explosive computer modeling and, ultimately, improve the accuracy of subsurface explosive detection. This SAND Report describes the dynamic temperature and pressure measurements within the chamber induced by the chemical explosive for the first of three experiments, PE1-A. The report details the instrumentation used for the experiment, the emplacement of the hardware, and the measured results. Dynamic temperature measurements were accomplished with the use of optical spectrometers and dynamic pressure was measured with a series of high-rated pressure transducers. This report includes details of the design and results of four cavity sensor systems used to measure early-time temperature, early-time pressure, late-time temperature, and late time pressure. The outcomes of PE1-A were used to inform the design of the remaining PE1 series experiments, PE1-B and PE1-DL.

45 MILITARY TECHNOLOGY, WEAPONRY, AND NATIONAL DEF↗

Type Ia Supernova Explosions From Hybrid Carbon–Oxygen–Neon White Dwarf Progenitors

Motivated by recent results in stellar evolution that predict the existence of hybrid white dwarf (WD) stars with a C–O core inside an O–Ne shell, we simulate thermonuclear (Type Ia) supernovae from these hybrid progenitors. We use the FLASH code to perform multidimensional simulations in the deflagration-to-detonation transition (DDT) explosion paradigm. Our hybrid progenitor models were produced with the MESA stellar evolution code and include the effects of the Urca process, and we map the progenitor model to the FLASH grid. We performed a suite of DDT simulations over a range of ignition conditions consistent with the progenitor's thermal and convective structure assuming multiple ignition points. To compare the results from these hybrid WD stars to previous results from C–O WDs, we construct a set of C–O WD models with similar properties and similarly simulate a suite of explosions. We find that despite significant variability within each suite, trends distinguishing the explosions are apparent in their ${}^{56}\mathrm{Ni}$ yields and the kinetic properties of the ejecta. We compare our results with other recent work that studies explosions from these hybrid progenitors.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗