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DOE OSTI2021

Autoencoder Based Analysis of RF Parameters in the Fermilab Low Energy Linac

Machine learning (ML) has the potential for significant impact on the modeling, operation, and control of particle accelerators due to its ability to model nonlinear behavior, interpolate on complicated surfaces, and adapt to system changes over time. Anomaly detection in particular has been highlighted as an area where ML can significantly impact the operation of accelerators. These algorithms work by identifying subtle behaviors of key variables prior to negative events. Efforts to apply ML to anomaly detection have largely focused on subsystems such as RF cavities, superconducting magnets, and losses in rings. However, dedicated efforts to understand how to apply ML for anomaly detection in linear accelerators have been limited. In this paper the use of autoencoders is explored to identify anomalous behavior in measured data from the Fermilab low-energy linear accelerator.

Edelen, Jonathan P. (ORCID:0000000215180652)↗

DOE OSTI2022

A Review of Irradiation Damage and Effects in α-Uranium

Understanding irradiation damage and effects in α-uranium (α-U) is critical to modeling the behavior of U-based metallic fuels. The aim of this review is to address the renewed interest in U-based metallic fuels by examining the state-of-the-art knowledge associated with the effect of irradiation on the microstructure, dimensional changes, and properties of α-U. We critically review the research progress on irradiation-induced growth and swelling, the enhancement of plastic flow and superplasticity by irradiation, and the effect of irradiation on thermal and electrical properties of α-U. Finally, we outline the research directions that require advancements, specifically the need to carry out fundamental research on several of the less understood mechanisms of irradiation damage and effects in α-U.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2025

Wettability of Two-Dimensional Carbon Allotropes from Molecular Simulations

Force-field Monte Carlo and Molecular Dynamics simulations are used to compare wetting behaviors of model carbon sheets mimicking neat graphene, its saturated derivative, graphane, and related planar allotropes penta-graphene, γ-graphyne, and ψ-graphene in contact with aqueous droplets or an aqueous film confined between parallel carbon sheets. Atomistic and area-integrated surface/water potentials are found to be essentially equivalent in capturing moderate differences between the wetting free energies of tested substrates. Despite notable differences in mechanical and electric properties of distinct allotropes, the predicted allotrope/water contact angles span a narrow window of weakly hydrophilic values. Contact angles in the range of 80 ± 10° indicate modest hydration repulsion incapable of competing with van der Waals attraction between carbon particles. Poor dispersibility in neat water is hence a common feature of studied materials.

Biochemistry & Molecular Biology↗

DOE OSTI2021

Cosmic Inference: Constraining Parameters with Observations and a Highly Limited Number of Simulations

We look at cosmological probes that pose an inverse problem where the measurement result is obtained through observations, and the objective is to infer values of model parameters that characterize the underlying physical system-our universe, from these observations and theoretical forward-modeling. The only way to accurately forward-model physical behavior on small scales is via expensive numerical simulations, which are further “emulated” due to their high cost. Emulators are commonly built with a set of simulations covering the parameter space with Latin hypercube sampling and an interpolation procedure; the aim is to establish an approximately constant prediction error across the hypercube. In this paper, we provide a description of a novel statistical framework for obtaining accurate parameter constraints. The proposed framework uses multi-output Gaussian process emulators that are adaptively constructed using Bayesian optimization methods with the goal of maintaining a low emulation error in the region of the hypercube preferred by the observational data. In this paper, we compare several approaches for constructing multi-output emulators that enable us to take possible inter-output correlations into account while maintaining the efficiency needed for inference. Using a Lyα forest flux power spectrum, we demonstrate that our adaptive approach requires considerably fewer-by a factor of a few in the Lyα P(k) case considered here-simulations compared to the emulation based on Latin hypercube sampling, and that the method is more robust in reconstructing parameters and their Bayesian credible intervals.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

DOE OSTI2022

Extension and Validation of NEMA-Style Dual-Ring Controller in SUMO

Until recently, SUMO users could not model the behavior of a ring-and-barrier traffic signal via existing signal types, which left North American SUMO users without the direct ability to capture traffic dynamics of their local networks. This work presents the methods, implementation overview, and validation of a 'dual-ring' NEMA style traffic controller which has recently been added to the main SUMO code base. A brief explanation of the 'dual-ring' implementation is also provided as context for those new to this type of traffic controller. The foundation for this work was presented at the SUMO User Conference 2021 by researchers at the US Department of Energy's National Renewable Energy Laboratory, but was not integrated into SUMO code base at the time. Following the initial inclusion of the controller to SUMO, the authors began validation of the SUMO controller against an Econolite software-in-the-loop (SIL) traffic signal controller configured with actual setup parameters from controllers in a real-world three-intersection corridor in Tuscaloosa, Alabama, USA. This paper documents the process of adding new features to the controller code as well as validating their implementation through simulation-based and automated grey-box testing is presented in this paper. Key features such as fully-actuated operation, various timing offset plans, proper next-phase fit algorithms and more, have been added and validated against this SIL system. Though not an exhaustive demonstration of features, this work is intended make more users aware of this extension of SUMO capabilities.

MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

DOE OSTI2021

Physics-Informed Machine Learning-Aided System Space Discretization

Decision-making is the process of identifying and choosing alternatives based on an agreed-upon set of metrics and preferences established by the decision-maker. There are options to be considered during the decision-making process and each option offers a different trajectory and associated success profile in moving from a given system state to the desired system state. The decision-making process typically involves uncertainties associated with the current component and system states. In this sense, probabilistic risk assessment (PRA) can be an analytical method and tool for accomplishing the probabilistic aspect of the decision-making process. Dynamic PRA is an evolution of conventional PRA methodology in which driving forces on modeled plant elements and the element behaviors are explicitly modeled over time. In the recent past, risk assessment methodologies have evolved to address risk issues in a continuously evolving environment and a novel probabilistic dynamics framework in continuous time and state-space discretization forms has been proposed. While state-space discretization has shown its strength in both consequence and causal reasoning modes, several challenges, including the computational requirement and physically meaningful system state identification, exist. Conventional system space discretization has usually been done by either the equal width discretization method or a data-driven method. Those methods naturally possess challenges coming from the physical understanding of discretized system space (i.e., system state) and the trajectory moving from a given system state to another system state. The purpose of this paper is to present a physics-based and data-driven system state discretization method such that one can justify what the discretized system space implies and understand the state trajectory from the viewpoint of operational actions.

Kim, Junyung↗

DOE OSTI2023

A Study of Wake Characteristics of Marine Turbine Arrays: Preprint

As the marine energy industry continues to develop and installations grow from single turbines to small arrays and larger farms, understanding and predicting wake behavior using modeling tools is necessary for array design and optimization. The wake characteristics of upstream turbines, including velocity deficit, wake swirling, tip vortices, wake shape and direction, and flow recovery, influence the inflow conditions experienced by downstream turbines in an array and, subsequently, affect the individual turbine loading and power generated by the array. These wake characteristics are influenced by many factors, including site geography, inflow shear profile, turbulence, waves, the strength of the current resource, gravitational forces, storm surges, and seasonal effects like temperature and wind conditions. Efficient array modeling tools that capture these wake effects and resulting turbine-to-turbine interactions need to be developed to optimize farm layouts and design individual turbines for operation within arrays. Unlike the wind industry, the marine energy research community is largely limited to the use of either numerical tools or tank/flume testing to understand marine turbine wake interactions. This paper will investigate recent advances in numerical and experimental marine turbine wake modeling, with a focus on recent publications and on both axial-flow and cross-flow marine turbines. A summary of recent research on these topics is provided. Additionally, a demonstration of turbine wake interactions using computational fluid dynamics is presented.

marine hydrokinetic turbine↗

DOE OSTI2025

Nondestructive Evaluation of Concrete: Elastic Property Imaging Through Full-Waveform Inversion

Concrete is a vital material in construction—especially in the nuclear industry, where it is used in critical structures such as containment vessels. Over time, concrete can degrade due to harsh operational and environmental conditions, necessitating that its elastic properties be accurately evaluated to ensure structural integrity and safety. Traditional nondestructive evaluation methods such as ultrasound-based techniques often rely on simplifying assumptions that may not hold true for concrete. This paper presents an advanced ultrasound-based method that uses elastic full-waveform inversion (EFWI) to create detailed images of concrete’s mechanical properties. By accurately modeling wave behaviors such as scattering and reflection, we aim to overcome the limitations of conventional ultrasonic-based methods. In this work, the imaging problem involved reconstructing the various elastic properties of a heterogenous concrete block with three steel rebars embedded in it. The ultrasonic measurements were synthetically generated from multiple sources and receivers, and the reconstruction process was performed using a gradient-based optimization algorithm. Our approach leveraged EFWI to reconstruct high-resolution images of the pressure wave speed, shear wave speed, and density. Multiple misfit functions—including L2-norm, cross-correlation (CC), and L1-norm—combined with total variation (TV) regularization and parameter constraints using a Sigmoid function—were explored for the reconstruction. The results demonstrated that using the L1-norm misfit function in conjunction with TV regularization and Sigmoid constraints significantly improved the reconstruction quality in comparison to traditional methods. This approach provided clearer images with fewer artifacts and better captured background heterogeneity. Our findings highlight that, when properly designed, EFWI carries great potential for providing comprehensive, more accurate, and more reliable assessments of concrete conditions, as is crucial for the maintenance and safety of nuclear power plant structures.

97 - MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

DOE OSTI2026

Mu2e Production Target Thermal Test Project

The Mu2e experiment requires a production target that is capable of operating under extreme thermal conditions caused by an 8 GeV proton beam. This project’s objective supports the development of the Mu2e Pro- duction Target by testing the Stickman model’s thermal behavior. Angel Flores Luviano has assisted Jonathan Williams in progressing this project by contributing to the development of a Radiative Cooling Test Fixture (RCTF) that will be used to evaluate the thermal behavior of the new production target model. Engineering calculations were performed to an- alyze thermal performance and pressure drop within the cold well and wa- ter cooling circuit. These calculations also determined the optimal sizing for key components of the water system. An engineering note was made to document these calculations. CAD models of the water circuit piping, thermocouple mounting bars, and radiator chimney were developed, and prototype test rig components were fabricated using 3D printing. Future work will focus on continued RCTF development which includes control system integration, heater hardware design, and interfaces that can be scaled up to increase thermal capacity.

Flores Luviano, Angel Augusto [Unlisted, US]↗

DOE OSTI2023

Non-Fermi Liquid Behavior in the Three-Dimensional Hubbard Model

We present a numerical study on the non-Fermi liquid behavior of a three-dimensional strongly correlated system. The Hubbard model in a simple cubic lattice is simulated by the dynamical cluster approximation; in particular, the quasi-particle weight is calculated at finite dopings for a range of temperatures. By fitting the quasi-particle weight to the marginal Fermi liquid form at finite doping near the putative quantum critical point, we find evidence of a separatrix between Fermi liquid and non-Fermi liquid regions. Our results suggest that a marginal Fermi liquid and possibly a quantum critical point exist in the non-symmetry broken solution of the three-dimensional interacting electron systems. We also calculate the spectral function, close to the half-filling, and we obtain evidence of pseudogap.

Kellar, Samuel↗

DOE OSTI2023

Emergent Behaviors and the Limits of Large Language Model Generalization

Over the past couple years, large language models (LLMs) have rapidly grown in size and performance across wide numbers of tasks, leading some to herald them as machine learning models with truly “general” capabilities. We address some of the ways that the language used to describe these models can be both deceptive and a poor framing for making progress towards understanding their capabilities, and also review arguments on to what extent these models can represent and interact with the meaning of language. Emergent behaviors in these highly complex models are unpredictable and research into understanding them is still in early phases, which limits the strength of claims of generality about them. Moreover, while these models demonstrate surprising emergent reasoning capabilities on many tasks, there are still many limitations in generalization that overall high benchmark performance can hide. We review the literature showcasing limitations of LLMs as well as techniques to mitigate or overcome these challenges, while also highlighting how fundamental problems in model evaluation may prevent true claims of generality. We conclude with a practical section on using LLMs on real world problems while appropriately evaluating and validating these tasks to prevent or mitigate the downstream impacts of incorrect results.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

DOE OSTI2020

Safety evaluation of connected and automated vehicles in mixed traffic with conventional vehicles at intersections

Connected and Automated Vehicles (CAVs) can potentially improve the performance of the transportation system by reducing human errors. This paper investigates the safety impact of CAVs in a mixed traffic with conventional vehicles at intersections. Analyzing real-world AV crashes in California revealed that rear-end crashes at intersections are the dominant crash type. Therefore, to enhance our understanding of the future interactions between human-driven vehicles with CAVs at intersections, a simulation framework was developed to model the mixed traffic environment of Automated Vehicles (AV), cooperative AVs, and conventional human-driven vehicles. In order to model AVs driving behavior, Adaptive Cruise Control (ACC) and cooperative ACC (CACC) models are utilized. Particularly, this study explores system improvements due to automation and connectivity across varying CAV market penetration scenarios. ACC and CACC car following models are used to mimic the behavior of AVs and cooperative AVs. Real-world connected vehicle data are utilized to modify and tune the acceleration/deceleration regimes of the Wiedemann model. Next, the driving volatility concept capturing variability in vehicle speeds was utilized to calibrate the simulation to represent the safety performance of a real-world environment. Two surrogate safety measures are used to evaluate the safety performance of a representative intersection under different market penetration rate of CAVs: the number of longitudinal conflicts and driving volatility. At low levels of ACC market penetration, the safety improvements were found to be marginal, but safety improved substantially with more than 40% ACC penetration. Additional safety improvements can be achieved more quickly through the addition of cooperation and connectivity through CACC. Furthermore, ACC/CACC vehicles were found to improve mobility performance in terms of average speed and travel time at intersections.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

DOE OSTI2020

Improved Models of Long-Term Creep Behavior of High Performance Structural Alloys

In this program, QuesTek Innovations LLC, a leader in the field of computational materials design, proposes to develop a robust creep-modeling toolkit that expands its computational Materials by Design® technology, in order to predict the long-term creep performance of materials for base alloys and weldments in fossil energy systems under wide thermal and mechanical conditions. The Material Database Group of NIMS (National Institute for Material Science, JAPAN) provides reliable public data for long-term creep behavior over 300,000 hours (> 34 years) for a variety of materials including high Cr steels along with seminal work performed by EPRI (Electric Power Research Institute) on creep failure of these steels. QuesTek would rely on these premier institutions for experimental data needed to calibrate models. The developed tool has wider applications than the state-of-the-art modeling tools. It includes the effects of chemistry variations, microstructure variation (weldments) etc .which is lacking in many available models requiring the model to be calibrated to large number of datasets for accurate predictions. A model based on fundamental mechanism has promises in application to different materials, other than the demonstrated material (Grade 91 steels) in the current program. As a result of such an effort, we envision greatly advancing the state-of-the-art modeling tools for creep life assessments of different materials.

20 FOSSIL-FUELED POWER PLANTS↗

DOE OSTI2020

Alignment and dissociation of electronically excited molecular hydrogen with intense laser fields

The dissociation of aligned, electronically excited H 2 (E,F 1 Σ g + ), followed by ionization of the produced H atom, is analyzed via the velocity mapped imaging technique. The dissociation and ionization processes are accomplished, respectively, by a two- and a onephoton absorption from a single 532-nm laser pulse, while the alignment is induced by a separate 1064-nm laser pulse. The velocity of the produced H + photofragments shows a weak perpendicular alignment at low alignment laser field values, evolving to strongly parallel for larger fields. We modeled this alignment behavior with a simple two-state model involving the Stark mixing of the initially-prepared J = 0 with the J = 2 rotational state. This model is able to reproduce all of the observed angular distribution, and permits us to extract from the fit the polarizability anisotropy of H 2 (E,F) electronic state. We determine this value to be (3.7 ± 1.2) x 10 3 a.u. As this value is extremely large in comparison to what one would expect from the pure H 2 (E,F) electronic state, we hypothesize that this value comes from the 1064-nm laser beam mixing nearby electronic states with the initially laser prepared (E,F) state generating a mixed state (EF**) with an extremely large polarizability anisotropy.

74 ATOMIC AND MOLECULAR PHYSICS↗

DOE OSTI2020

(U) PRAD0697 & PRAD0698: Complex Loading of CeO₂ Powder

Cerium(IV) oxide (CeO₂) powder is shock compressed using the Precision High Energy-density Liner Implosion eXperiment (PHELIX) platform. Experimental results are compared against several modeling approaches. Compaction behavior is best captured with a P-∝ model, which calculates CeO₂ powder bulk densities within 80-99% of experimental values but overpredicts densi cation at the cylindrical target's outer radius and center by up to 20%. Preliminary calculations suggest that accuracy could be increased with the inclusion of a coupled strength model. Several common computational modeling approaches for the shock compression response of granular materials and the magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) force upon the impactor/liner in pulsed power compression experiments are investigated and analyzed for their validity. The Bi-linear Ramp, P-∝ PACXP, and P-∝ Menikoff-Kober continuum compaction models are calibrated to planar impact Hugoniot data for CeO₂ powder and used to predict the powder's shock compaction response under non-planar shock wave compression. MHD calculations of the PHELIX pulsed power driver are performed using an idealized resistor-inductor-capacitor (RLC) circuit calibrated to previous experiments. All simulations are performed using the LANL code FLAG. Two validation experiments are computationally designed using the calibrated compaction and circuit models, executed using the PHELIX platform on CeO₂ targets with initial porous densities of 3.95 and 4.03 g/cm³, measured with proton radiography, and analyzed against the model predictions. The two P-∝ models more accurately describe CeO₂ powder densi cation than the Bi-linear Ramp model. However, the two P-∝ models overpredict bulk density of the shock compressed CeO₂ powder by up to 20% when the appropriate impact velocities are applied. MHD calculations for both validation experiments underpredict liner impact velocities by 4-11% when using the idealized RLC circuit model calibrated to previous experiments. Compensating underpredictions of impact velocity and overpredictions of powder densication lead to a false accuracy in pre-shot calculations compared to experimental data. To improve correlation between simulations and experiments, the following improvements are suggested: 1. A coupled strength model for CeO₂ powder that updates strength as a function of porosity and applied stress. 2. An improved MHD circuit model that more accurately captures the PHELIX machine.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2024

Understanding and controlling water-organic co-transport in amorphous microporous materials

The transport of molecules in microporous material is a significant and active area of research in separation applications. The movement of vapor/liquid molecules in a high-loading condition in microporous spaces is especially challenging to interrogate. This project aims to understand and control the transport of complex water and organic solvent mixtures in varying structures of microporous carbon molecular sieve (CMS) and activated carbon membranes. Modeling of transport behavior in such carbonaceous samples using computational modeling is difficult due to their amorphous structure. Therefore, this research intends to study the transport mechanism of water-organic mixtures by experimentally revealing fundamental transport properties, such as guest sorption amounts as well as diffusion and permeation rates. Considering the different size and guest-host affinity of water and organic solvent molecules, the objective of this research is to understand the structural conditions within the ultramicropores and micropores that generate different types of molecular transport and selection mechanisms within such complex systems. Carbonaceous materials are developed using tailored pyrolysis techniques to pyrolyze polymeric precursors, including polyvinylidene chloride (PVDC),polyvinylidene fluoride (PVDF), polymer of intrinsic microporosity (PIM) -1, and fully aromatic polyamide. The initial stage of the research will focus on the microscopic diffusion and sorption studies of pure component water, xylene isomers, and n,n- dimethylformamide within various carbons. Additional structural investigation on CMS, such as gas physisorption and neutron scattering studies, will be executed to gain deeper insight into these structure-transport relationships. Scanning electron microscopy and X-ray photoelectron microscopy are also used to further characterize these materials. The research will progress to probe mutual diffusion of complex water-organic mixtures within various CMS microstructures. Competitive sorption and permeation studies of the binary mixtures in different microstructural CMS will be followed. The obtained binary mixture transport parameters were used to predict binary water-organic mixtures transport.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2025

Simulation of Creep Deformation and Failure in Graded AM Microstructures

This report describes modeling tools and techniques developed to simulate the long-term material performance of 316H stainless steel manufactured using Laser Powder Bed Fusion (LPBF). A physics-based Crystal Plasticity Finite Element model is used to simulate creep in microstructures and to study the roles of grain morphology, porosity, and texture. We describe our modeling methodology, including an orientation-mapping technique to capture the spatially varying crystallographic orientation that results from the build conditions. Our study of microstructural features shows that AM microstructures produced by LPBF tend to creep faster in the build direction, while texture and grain boundaries strengthen the transverse directions. However, when grain-boundary porosity and the consequent cavity growth are included in the model, the transverse directions begin to creep faster. In examining texture, the results indicate that spatially varying orientation arising from the build conditions increases anisotropy in the material, making it critical to account for orientation gradients in the material to accurately model its mechanical behavior. We also describe a material-model calibration campaign in which we calibrated the constitutive model specifically for LPBF 316H stainless steel at 725℃ for both solution-annealed and as-built conditions. Finally, these tools and techniques are used to model creep in microstructures representing different regions of an LPBF material with graded microstructure, owing to intentional variation in processing conditions. The creep simulation results show good agreement with experimental data across all three microstructures, with future work planned to study rupture in the material.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2026

Empirical Comparison of Machine Learning Approaches for Black-Box Modeling of Power Conversion System Dynamics

Inverter-based resources are key components in modern power systems, but accurately modeling their complex behavior can be challenging. Standard, generic converter models often oversimplify inverter dynamics, leading to significant errors in predicting performance. In this work, we compare several data-driven machine learning (ML) approaches for inverter modeling, performing experiments on power conversion systems, systematically varying input conditions, and recording the resulting voltages and currents. The ML models were then trained on this measured data to capture the inverter's dynamic response and to predict the inverter's output current. A performance comparison between the four ML models under study is conducted, laying the foundation for future work on hardware implementation for real-time inference.

30 DIRECT ENERGY CONVERSION↗