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DOE OSTI2025

ORBIT-2: Scaling Exascale Vision Foundation Models for Weather and Climate Downscaling

Sparse observations and coarse-resolution climate models limit effective regional decision-making, underscoring the need for robust downscaling. However, existing AI methods struggle with generalization across variables and geographies and are constrained by the quadratic complexity of Vision Transformer (ViT) self-attention. We introduce ORBIT-2, a scalable foundation model for global, hyper-resolution climate downscaling. ORBIT-2 incorporates two key innovations: (1) Residual Slim ViT (Reslim), a lightweight architecture with residual learning and Bayesian regularization for efficient, robust prediction; and (2) TILES, a tile-wise sequence scaling algorithm that reduces self-attention complexity from quadratic to linear, enabling long-sequence processing and massive parallelism. ORBIT-2 scales to 10 billion parameters across 65,536 GPUs, achieving up to 4.1 ExaFLOPS sustained throughput and 74–98% strong scaling efficiency. It supports downscaling to 0.9 km global resolution and processes sequences up to 4.2 billion tokens. On 7 km resolution benchmarks, ORBIT-2 achieves high accuracy with R2 scores in range of 0.98–0.99 against observation data.

Wang, Xiao [ORNL] (ORCID:0000000165451943)↗

DOE OSTI2025

ORBIT-2 Weather and Climate Downscaling Software Repository

ORBIT-2 is a scalable foundation model for global, hyper-resolution climate and weather downscaling. ORBIT-2 incorporates two key innovations: (1) Residual Slim ViT (Reslim), a lightweight architecture with residual learning and Bayesian regularization for efficient, robust prediction; and (2) TILES, a tile-wise sequence scaling algorithm that reduces self-attention complexity from quadratic to linear, enabling long-sequence processing and massive parallelism. ORBIT-2 scales to 10 billion parameters across 65,536 GPUs, achieving up to 4.1 ExaFLOPS sustained throughput and 74–98% strong scaling efficiency. It supports downscaling to 0.9 km global resolution and processes sequences up to 4.2 billion tokens. On 7 km resolution benchmarks, ORBIT-2 achieves high accuracy with 𝑅2 scores in range of 0.98–0.99 against observation data.

Wang, Xiao [Oak Ridge National Laboratory]↗

DOE OSTI2026

MFC 5.0: An exascale many-physics flow solver

Many problems of interest in engineering, medicine, and the fundamental sciences rely on high-fidelity flow simulation, making performant computational fluid dynamics solvers a mainstay of the open-source software community. Previous work MFC 3.0 was made a published, documented, and open-source solver via Bryngelson et al. Comp. Phys. Comm. (2021) with numerous physical features, numerical methods, and scalable infrastructure. MFC 5.0 is a significant update to MFC 3.0, featuring a broad set of well-established and novel physical models and numerical methods, as well as the introduction of GPU and APU (or superchip) acceleration. Here, we exhibit state-of-the-art performance and ideal scaling on the first two exascale supercomputers, OLCF Frontier and LLNL El Capitan. Combined with MFC’s single-accelerator performance, MFC achieves exascale computation in practice, and achieved the largest-to-date public CFD simulation at 200 trillion grid points as a 2025 ACM Gordon Bell Prize finalist. New physical features include the immersed boundary method, N-fluid phase change, Euler–Euler and Euler–Lagrange sub-grid bubble models, fluid-structure interaction, hypo- and hyper-elastic materials, chemically reacting flow, two-material surface tension, magnetohydrodynamics (MHD), and more. Numerical techniques now represent the current state-of-the-art, including general relaxation characteristic boundary conditions, WENO variants, Strang splitting for stiff sub-grid flow features, and low Mach number treatments. Weak scaling to tens of thousands of GPUs on OLCF Summit and Frontier and LLNL El Capitan achieves efficiencies within 5% of ideal to over 90% of their respective system sizes. Strong scaling results for a 16-times increase in device count show parallel efficiencies over 90% on OLCF Frontier. MFC’s software stack has undergone further improvements, including continuous integration, which ensures code resilience and correctness through over 300 regression tests; metaprogramming, which reduces code length while maintaining performance portability; and code generation for computing chemical reactions

Computational fluid dynamics↗

DOE OSTI2025

A GPU Accelerated Mixed‐Precision Finite Difference Informed Random Walker (FDiRW) Solver for Strongly Inhomogeneous Diffusion Problems

In nature, many complex multi‐physics coupling problems exhibit significant diffusivity inhomogeneity, where one process occurs several orders of magnitude faster than others temporally. Simulating rapid diffusion alongside slower processes demands intensive computational resources due to the necessity for small time steps. To address these computational challenges, we have developed an efficient numerical solver named Finite Difference informed Random Walker (FDiRW). In this study, we propose a GPU‐accelerated, mixed‐precision configuration for the FDiRW solver to maximize efficiency through GPU multi‐threaded parallel computation and lower precision computation. Numerical evaluation results reveal that the proposed GPU‐accelerated mixed‐precision FDiRW solver can achieve a 117× speedup over the CPU baseline, while an additional 1.75× speedup is achieved by employing lower precision GPU computation. Notably, for large model sizes, the GPU‐accelerated mixed‐precision FDiRW solver demonstrates strong scaling with the number of nodes used in simulation. When simulating radionuclide absorption processes by porous wasteform particles with a medium‐sized model of 192 × 192 × 192, this approach reduces the total computational time to 10 min, enabling the simulation of larger systems with strongly inhomogeneous diffusivity.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

DOE OSTI2025

Extremely Scalable Distributed Computation of Contour Trees via Pre-Simplification

Contour trees offer an abstract representation of the level set topology in scalar fields and are widely used in topological data analysis and visualization. However, applying contour trees to large-scale scientific datasets remains challenging due to scalability limitations. Recent developments in distributed hierarchical contour trees have addressed these challenges by enabling scalable computation across distributed systems. Building on these structures, advanced analytical tasks—such as volumetric branch decomposition and contour extraction—have been introduced to facilitate large-scale scientific analysis. Despite these advancements, such analytical tasks substantially increase memory usage, which hampers scalability. In this paper, we propose a pre-simplification strategy to significantly reduce the memory overhead associated with analytical tasks on distributed hierarchical contour trees. We demonstrate enhanced scalability through strong scaling experiments, constructing the largest known contour tree—comprising over half a trillion nodes with complex topology—in under 15 minutes on a dataset containing 550 billion elements.

Li, Mingzhe [University of Utah]↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Sparse Linear Algebra Toolkit for Computational Aerodynamics

Finding solutions to sparse linear systems of equations is an essential step in Computational Engineering applications of interest to NASA. Linear systems of equations are composed and solved in almost every computational engineering application. The characteristics of linear systems vary greatly from one application to another. Accordingly, there are a wide variety of methods for the solution of linear systems of equations. The operations and methods prepared by the authors are focused on linear systems of interest to NASA, primarily those associated with Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD), Aeroelasticity, and Aeroacoustics. The Sparse Linear Algebra Toolkit (SLAT) is a coordinated collection of software featuring operations, methods, and data structures that are useful when solving sparse linear systems of equations on modern computer architectures. The implemented operations and methods are designed and tuned for parallelism in shared memory, in distributed memory, and across the hybrid combination of distributed-shared memory. The toolkit includes novel methods and implementations for modern architectures and facilitates development of new approaches for meeting NASA’s evolving computational engineering challenges using evolving computer architectures that are not available in vendor libraries. In this paper, significant features and interfaces within SLAT are presented and verified for simulations performed with NASA’s CFD solver, FUN3D. The runtime and scaling performance of the Generalized Minimum Residual (GMRES) method implemented in SLAT is analyzed for the linear subproblems within the solution of turbulent Navier-Stokes equations employed in the simulation of high-lift configurations. Prior to this work, the SPARSKIT GMRES implementation was the only Krylov subspace method available within FUN3D. A strong scaling study shows the SLAT GMRES implementation facilitates accurate Reynolds-averaged Navier-Stokes CFD solutions between 15% and 56% faster than the SPARSKIT GMRES implementation.

Stephen L Wood↗

DOE OSTI2025

Random Phase Approximation Correlation Energy Using Real-Space Density Functional Perturbation Theory

We present a real-space method for computing the random phase approximation (RPA) correlation energy within Kohn–Sham density functional theory, leveraging the low-rank nature of the frequency-dependent density response operator. In particular, we employ a cubic-scaling formalism based on density functional perturbation theory that circumvents the calculation of the response function matrix, instead relying on the ability to compute its product with a vector through the solution of the associated Sternheimer linear systems. We develop a large-scale parallel implementation of this formalism using the subspace iteration method in conjunction with the spectral quadrature method while employing the Kronecker product-based method for the application of the Coulomb operator and the conjugate orthogonal conjugate gradient method for the solution of the linear systems. We demonstrate convergence with respect to key parameters and verify the method’s accuracy by comparing with plane-wave results. We show that the framework achieves good strong scaling to many thousands of processors, reducing the time to solution for a lithium hydride system with 128 electrons to around 150 s on 4608 processors.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

DOE OSTI2025

Lens Modeling of STRIDES Strongly Lensed Quasars Using Neural Posterior Estimation

Strongly lensed quasars can be used to constrain cosmological parameters through time-delay cosmography. Models of the lens masses are a necessary component of this analysis. To enable time-delay cosmography from a sample of $\mathcal{O}(10^3)$ lenses, which will soon become available from surveys like the Rubin Observatory’s Legacy Survey of Space and Time and the Euclid Wide Survey, we require fast and standardizable modeling techniques. To address this need, we apply neural posterior estimation (NPE) for modeling galaxy-scale strongly lensed quasars from the Strong Lensing Insights into the Dark Energy Survey (STRIDES) sample. NPE brings two advantages: speed and the ability to implicitly marginalize over nuisance parameters. We extend this method by employing sequential NPE to increase precision of mass model posteriors. We then fold individual lens models into a hierarchical Bayesian inference to recover the population distribution of lens mass parameters, accounting for out-of-distribution shift. After verifying our method using simulated analogs of the STRIDES lens sample, we apply our method to 14 Hubble Space Telescope single-filter observations. We find the population mean of the power-law elliptical mass distribution slope, γ lens , to be $\mathcal{M}_γ$ lens = 2.13 ± 0.06. Our result represents the first population-level constraint for these systems. This population-level inference from fully automated modeling is an important stepping stone toward cosmological inference with large samples of strongly lensed quasars.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

The Influence of Computer Architecture on Performance and Scaling for Hypersonic Flow Simulations

It is critical to understand how hypersonic simulation tools perform on a range of computational platforms. This information will aid in the acquisition of appropriate hardware and the potential refactoring of hypersonic codes to run on different systems. In this paper, we consider two representative high-speed reacting flow cases: a model Mach 8 hypersonic waverider glide vehicle and a model hydrocarbon-fueled hypersonic ramjet propulsion system. In both scenarios, the flow fields are in chemical non-equilibrium and are modeled by the multi-species reacting Navier-Stokes equations. For these simulations we use several hypersonic simulation tools, including US3D, Kestrel, FUN3D, and the JENRER© flow solver. We explore several high performance computing systems containing IntelR© XeonR© Platinum processors, AMD EPYCTM7702 processors, and NVIDIAR© Tesla V100 devices. We compare performance and strong scaling between the different systems.

CPU↗

DOE OSTI2025

Direct numerical simulations for hybrid rocket boundary layers: Performance modeling and scaling

This paper presents a comprehensive performance and scaling analysis of direct numerical simulations for reacting boundary layers, focusing on slab burner configurations. Using a PETSc-based finite volume CFD framework, the study evaluates the scalability and computational cost of flow, chemistry, and radiation evaluations across 2D and 3D simulations. Polymethyl methacrylate (PMMA) is the fuel with pure O 2 as the oxidizer, modeled using a detailed chemical kinetics mechanism with 113 species and 660 reactions. A ray-tracing-based radiation solver, designed for distributed memory applications, is implemented to model radiation heat transfer. Parallel scalability is analyzed for the coupled flow, chemistry, and radiation heat transfer processes. Weak and strong scaling studies are conducted on up to 15,000 computational ranks, revealing robust performance when flow cells exceed 200 per rank. Chemistry evaluations dominate the computational cost in large 3D simulations, accounting for approximately 40% of the total runtime, while flow processes contribute around 35%, and radiation solver contributions remain below 10% due to reduced evaluation frequencies. GPU accelerated chemistry evaluation, implemented with Zero-RK, demonstrates significant promise, achieving up to a 4x speedup for workloads exceeding 30,000 cells per GPU. However, diminishing returns are observed for smaller workloads due to CPU-GPU communication overhead. This study identifies key challenges, including memory bottlenecks and the effects of domain partitioning on flow scalability, while highlighting the potential of GPU-accelerated chemistry to reduce computational costs. In conclusion, these findings provide realizable run configurations for 2D, 3D, and GPU-accelerated cases, offering insights for optimizing reactive flow solvers.

CFD Scalability↗

NASA NTRS2016

Parallel Adjective High-Order CFD Simulations Characterizing SOFIA Cavity Acoustics

This paper presents large-scale MPI-parallel computational uid dynamics simulations for the Stratospheric Observatory for Infrared Astronomy (SOFIA). SOFIA is an airborne, 2.5-meter infrared telescope mounted in an open cavity in the aft fuselage of a Boeing 747SP. These simulations focus on how the unsteady ow eld inside and over the cavity interferes with the optical path and mounting structure of the telescope. A temporally fourth-order accurate Runge-Kutta, and spatially fth-order accurate WENO- 5Z scheme was used to perform implicit large eddy simulations. An immersed boundary method provides automated gridding for complex geometries and natural coupling to a block-structured Cartesian adaptive mesh re nement framework. Strong scaling studies using NASA's Pleiades supercomputer with up to 32k CPU cores and 4 billion compu- tational cells shows excellent scaling. Dynamic load balancing based on execution time on individual AMR blocks addresses irregular numerical cost associated with blocks con- taining boundaries. Limits to scaling beyond 32k cores are identi ed, and targeted code optimizations are discussed.

CFD↗

NASA NTRS2015

Parallel Adaptive High-Order CFD Simulations Characterizing SOFIA Cavitiy Acoustics

This paper presents large-scale MPI-parallel computational uid dynamics simulations for the Stratospheric Observatory for Infrared Astronomy (SOFIA). SOFIA is an airborne, 2.5-meter infrared telescope mounted in an open cavity in the aft fuselage of a Boeing 747SP. These simulations focus on how the unsteady ow eld inside and over the cavity interferes with the optical path and mounting structure of the telescope. A tempo- rally fourth-order accurate Runge-Kutta, and a spatially fth-order accurate WENO-5Z scheme were used to perform implicit large eddy simulations. An immersed boundary method provides automated gridding for complex geometries and natural coupling to a block-structured Cartesian adaptive mesh re nement framework. Strong scaling studies using NASA's Pleiades supercomputer with up to 32k CPU cores and 4 billion compu- tational cells shows excellent scaling. Dynamic load balancing based on execution time on individual AMR blocks addresses irregular numerical cost associated with blocks con- taining boundaries. Limits to scaling beyond 32k cores are identi ed, and targeted code optimizations are discussed.

Parallell↗

DOE OSTI2025

Scalable training of trustworthy and energy-efficient predictive graph foundation models for atomistic materials modeling: a case study with HydraGNN

We present our work on developing and training scalable, trustworthy, and energy-efficient predictive graph foundation models (GFMs) using HydraGNN, a multi-headed graph convolutional neural network architecture. HydraGNN expands the boundaries of graph neural network (GNN) computations in both training scale and data diversity. It abstracts over message passing algorithms, allowing both reproduction of and comparison across algorithmic innovations that define nearest-neighbor convolution in GNNs. This work discusses a series of optimizations that have allowed scaling up the GFMs training to tens of thousands of GPUs on datasets consisting of hundreds of millions of graphs. Our GFMs use multitask learning (MTL) to simultaneously learn graph-level and node-level properties of atomistic structures, such as energy and atomic forces. Using over 154 million atomistic structures for training, we illustrate the performance of our approach along with the lessons learned on two state-of-the-art US Department of Energy (US-DOE) supercomputers, namely the Perlmutter petascale system at the National Energy Research Scientific Computing Center and the Frontier exascale system at Oak Ridge Leadership Computing Facility. The HydraGNN architecture enables the GFM to achieve near-linear strong scaling performance using more than 2000 GPUs on Perlmutter and 16,000 GPUs on Frontier.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

DOE OSTI2025

DIMPLES: Distributed Influence Maximization for Pandemic pLanning on Exascale Systems

We study exascale parallel algorithms for the selection of intervention or monitoring strategies in massive realistic socio-technical networks through scalable Influence Maximization (InfMax) algorithms. We employ novel techniques to enable efficient scaling on up to 8k nodes of OLCF Frontier, with 65k AMD GPUs and 458k AMD CPU cores. Current state-of-the-art InfMax tools are limited to networks with only a few million actors (vertices) and a few hundred million interactions (edges). By overcoming these limitations, we show that our approach is capable of processing a realistic social contact network of the United States with 285 million nodes and about 8 billion edges. This two orders-of-magnitude improvement over the previous state-of-the-art is obtained by leveraging algorithmic advancements for the InfMax problem and designing several problem-specific approaches to overlap communication with computation, improve GPU efficiency, and lower the application’s memory requirements. We evaluate strong scaling for computing 10k most influential seeds using up to 8k nodes of an exascale system, and weak scaling from 128 to 8k system nodes for seed sets ranging from 625 to 40k seeds. We achieve the fastest-known runtime of 25 minutes while performing 48 million diffusion simulations totaling 2.31 petabytes to identify 40k influential seeds using 8k nodes, and take 5.75 minutes to identify 10k seeds while using 4k nodes.

Minutoli, Marco [Pacific Northwest National Labora↗

DOE OSTI2026

HOLISMOKES XIX

We present imaging and spectroscopic observations of supernova SN 2025wny, associated with the lens candidate PS1 J0716+3821. Photometric monitoring from the Lulin and Maidanak observatories confirms multiple point-like images, consistent with SN 2025wny being strongly lensed by two foreground galaxies. Optical spectroscopy of the brightest image with the Nordic Optical Telescope and the University of Hawaii 88-inch Telescope allowed us to determine the redshift to be z SN = 2.008 ± 0.001, based on narrow absorption lines originating in the interstellar medium of the supernova host galaxy. At this redshift, SN 2025wny shows a very high rest-frame UV flux and broad spectral features even weeks after the explosion, which is consistent with superluminous supernovae of Type I. We find a high ejecta temperature and depressed spectral lines compared to other similar objects. We also measured, for the first time, the redshift of the fainter of the two lens galaxies (the ‘perturber’) to be z p = 0.375 ± 0.001, which is fully consistent with the DESI spectroscopic redshift of the main deflector at z d = 0.3754. Thus, SN 2025wny represents the first confirmed galaxy-scale strongly lensed supernova with time delays likely in the range of days to weeks, as judged from the image separations. This makes SN 2025wny suitable for cosmography, offering a promising new system for independent measurements of the Hubble constant. Following a tradition in the field of strongly lensed supernovae, we give SN 2025wny the nickname SN Winny.

Taubenberger, Stefan↗

DOE OSTI2025

Scaling Uintah on the Aurora Exascale System up to 122,880 Intel Ponte Vecchio Xe Stacks

The challenge of being able to scale application codes based on the Asynchronous Many-Task (AMT) Uintah framework on the Department of Energy (DOE) Aurora exascale system is addressed in this work by considering a challenging Reverse Monte Carlo Ray Tracing radiation benchmark calculation. This benchmark involves potentially global all-to-all communication and uses adaptive mesh refinement and ray tracing to achieve scalability. This benchmark has been used as part of previous scalability studies on a number of pre-exascale systems and on the DOE Frontier exascale system. This paper describes steps taken to enable this benchmark to run successfully on up to 10,240 nodes and 122,880 Intel® Ponte Vecchio Xe stacks on the DOE Aurora exascale system. This scalability was achieved through a limited number of experiments on Aurora, given machine loads and its uniqueness. These experiments constitute valuable lessons learned to achieve scalability at this level. The resulting scalability runs, while few in number, demonstrate relatively good strong-scaling characteristics. A detailed analysis of these results provides important indications about the path to scalability on Aurora for future work. Overall, these results continue the remarkable ability of this AMT approach to produce scalable solutions for challenging problems at extreme scale on heterogeneous architectures.

Garcia, Marta [Argonne National Laboratory (ANL)]↗

DOE OSTI2024

Measuring Thread Timing to Assess the Feasibility of Early-Bird Message Delivery Across Systems and Scales

Early-bird communication is a communication/computation overlap technique that leverages fine-grained communication to improve application run-time. Communication is divided such that each individual thread can initiate transmission of its portion of the data upon completion rather than waiting for a dedicated communication phase. The benefit of early-bird communication depends on the completion timing of the individual threads: On the one hand, if all threads are complete at nearly the same time, the overheads of sending multiple messages will accumulate, leading to performance that is worse than if a single message had been sent. On the other hand, if thread completions are spread out in time, those that complete earlier can send data while others continue working, leading to performance that is better than if a single message had been sent. The challenge is that the completion times are currently unknown and can vary based on application, problem size, system software, and underlying hardware. In this paper, we address this lacuna by measuring and evaluating the potential overlap afforded by early-bird communication for a selection of proxy applications. These measurements help us understand whether a given application could benefit from early-bird communication. Here, we present our technique for gathering this data and evaluate data collected from three proxy applications: MiniFE, MiniMD, and MiniQMC. Each application is run on three systems with distinct CPU architectures and strong scales across three run sizes. To characterize the behavior of these workloads, we study the trends of thread timings at both a macro level, across all threads across all runs of an application, and a micro level, that is, within a single process of a single run. We observe that our tested applications exhibit significantly different thread arrival distributions. The machine used had a significant impact, with the window of potential overlap varying by as much as an order of magnitude.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

DOE OSTI2025

OpenSn: A massively parallel, open-source simulation environment for discrete ordinates radiation transport

OpenSn is an open-source, massively parallel deterministic radiation transport code for solving the discrete-ordinates ( S N ) form of the Boltzmann transport equation on unstructured, arbitrary polyhedral meshes. It supports high-fidelity simulations involving steady-state, eigenvalue, and adjoint problems for neutral particles (e.g., neutrons, photons, multi-particles), using the multigroup approximation in energy. OpenSn combines angular discretization via discrete ordinates with a discontinuous Galerkin finite element method (DGFEM) in space, enabling accurate resolution of transport physics on arbitrary polyhedral cells, included locally refined spatial grids. It includes multiple angular quadrature types, including locally refined angular quadratures. Written in modern C++ with a Python API, OpenSn runs efficiently on platforms ranging from laptops to supercomputers. The transport sweep algorithm is implemented using a task-based, directed-acyclic-graph (DAG) approach for each angle and supports asynchronous parallelism across thousands of MPI ranks. Group-set aggregation improves compute intensity, and synthetic acceleration techniques (e.g., diffusion synthetic acceleration, second-moment method) enhance solver convergence. OpenSn has been verified on reactor physics problems and demonstrated excellent weak and strong scaling performance on more than 32,768 processes, making it a versatile and robust platform for large-scale transport simulations in complex geometries.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗