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Solar Sources of Severe Space Weather

Severe space weather is characterized by intense particle radiation from the Sun and severe geomagnetic storm caused by magnetized solar plasma arriving at Earth. Intense particle radiation is almost always caused by coronal mass ejections (CMEs) traveling from the Sun at super-Alfvenic speeds leading to fast-mode MHD shocks and particle acceleration by the shocks. When a CME arrives at Earth, it can interact with Earth's magnetopause resulting in solar plasma entry into the magnetosphere and a geomagnetic storm depending on the magnetic structure of the CME. Particle radiation starts affecting geospace as soon as the CMEs leave the Sun and the geospace may be immersed in the radiation for several days. On the other hand, the geomagnetic storm happens only upon arrival of the CME at Earth. The requirements for the production of particles and magnetic storms by CMEs are different in a number of respects: solar source location, CME magnetic structure, conditions in the ambient solar wind, and shock-driving ability of CMEs. Occasionally, intense geomagnetic storms are caused by corotating interaction regions (CIRs) that form in the interplanetary space when the fast solar wind from coronal holes overtakes the slow wind from the quiet regions. CIRs also accelerate particles, but when they reach several AU from the Sun, so their impact on Earth's space environment is not significant. In addition to these plasma effects, solar flares that accompany CMEs also produce excess ionization in the ionosphere causing sudden ionospheric disturbances. This paper highlights these space weather effects using space weather events observed by space and ground based instruments during of solar cycles 23 and 24.

Gopalswamy, N.

Mitigating Aviation Communication and Satellite Orbit Operations Surprises from Adverse Space Weather

Adverse space weather affects operational activities in aviation and satellite systems. For example, large solar flares create highly variable enhanced neutral atmosphere and ionosphere electron density regions. These regions impact aviation communication frequencies as well as precision orbit determination. The natural space environment, with its dynamic space weather variability, is additionally changed by human activity. The increase in orbital debris in low Earth orbit (LEO), combined with lower atmosphere CO2 that rises into the lower thermosphere and causes increased cooling that results in increased debris lifetime, adds to the environmental hazards of navigating in near-Earth space. This is at a time when commercial space endeavors are posed to begin more missions to LEO during the rise of the solar activity cycle toward the next maximum (2012). For satellite and aviation operators, adverse space weather results in greater expenses for orbit management, more communication outages or aviation and ground-based high frequency radio used, and an inability to effectively plan missions or service customers with space-based communication, imagery, and data transferal during time-critical activities. Examples of some revenue-impacting conditions and solutions for mitigating adverse space weather are offered.

Tobiska, W. Kent

What Properties of CMEs are Most Important for Space Weather?

Severe space weather is characterized by intense particle radiation from the Sun and major geomagnetic storm caused by magnetized solar plasmas arriving at Earth. Coronal mass ejections (CMEs) are key players in both these aspects. CMEs traveling at super-Alfv nic speeds drive fast-mode MHD shocks that create the high levels of particle radiation. When a CME arrives at Earth, the CME-associated magnetic fields reconnect with Earth s magnetopause fields resulting in solar plasma entry into the magnetosphere and a geomagnetic storm depending on the magnetic structure of the CME. Particle radiation starts affecting geospace as soon as the CMEs leave the Sun and the geospace may be immersed in the radiation for several days. On the other hand, the geomagnetic storm happens only upon CME arrival at Earth. The requirements for the production of particles and magnetic storms by CMEs are different in a number of respects: solar source location, CME magnetic structure, conditions in the ambient solar wind, and shock-driving ability of CMEs. Intense shocks arriving at Earth have additional space weather effects such as sudden impulse that shrinks the magnetosphere often exposing satellites in geosynchronous orbit to the solar wind and energetic storm particle events. This paper highlights these space weather effects using CME observations space and ground based instruments during of solar cycles 23 and 24.

Gopalswamy, Nat

Space Weather Services at Goddard Space Flight Center

The Space Weather Laboratory (SWL) forms a focal point at GSFC for the generation of space weather tools and information. This information is based on data from space mission and ground observatories, as well as on forefront model calculations conducted at the Community Coordinated Modeling Center (CCMC). CCMC works with the research community to bring to bear the power of communitydeveloped space science models on space weather problems. Data from primarily from NASA missions but also from NOAA and other partner agencies are combined with model results into a fully configurable space weather information display by means of the iSWA system. This information and iSWA form the basis for and SWL-provided service to NASA's robotic mission fleet, which includes forecasts, regular updates, and warnings. This service benefits from a strong partnership with NASA's Space Radiation Analysis Group, and with the US Air Force Weather Agency. In this presentation, we provide a summary of space weather capabilities and services and we present an outlook into the future.

Hesse, M.

Surface-Correlated Nanophase Iron Metal in Lunar Soils: Petrography and Space Weathering Effects

Space weathering is a term used to include all of the processes that act on material exposed at the surface of a planetary or small body. In the case of the Moon, it includes a variety of processes that formed the lunar regolith, caused the maturation of lunar soils, and formed patina on rock surfaces. The processes include micrometeorite impact and reworking, implantation of solar wind and flare particles, radiation damage and chemical effects from solar particles and cosmic rays, interactions with the lunar atmosphere, and sputtering erosion and deposition. Space weathering effects collectively result in a reddened continuum slope, lowered albedo, and attenuated absorption features in reflectance spectra of lunar soils as compared to finely comminuted rocks from the same Apollo sites. Understanding these effects is critical in order to fully integrate the lunar sample collection with remotely sensed data from recent robotic missions (e.g., Lunar Prospector, Clementine, Galileo). Our objective is to determine the origin of space weathering effects in lunar soils through combined electron microscopy and microspectrophotometry techniques applied to individual soil particles from <20 pm size factions (dry-sieved) of mature lunar soils. It has been demonstrated that it is the finest size fraction (<25 pm) of lunar soils that dominates the optical properties of the bulk soils.

Keller, Lindsay P.

Space Weather Monitoring for ISS Space Environments Engineering and Crew Auroral Observations

The awareness of potentially significant impacts of space weather on spaceand ground ]based technological systems has generated a strong desire in many sectors of government and industry to effectively transform knowledge and understanding of the variable space environment into useful tools and applications for use by those entities responsible for systems that may be vulnerable to space weather impacts. Essentially, effectively transitioning science knowledge to useful applications relevant to space weather has become important. This talk will present proven methodologies that have been demonstrated to be effective, and how in the current environment those can be applied to space weather transition efforts.

Minow, Joseph I.

Space Weather Monitoring for ISS Space Environments Engineering and Crew Auroral Observations

Today s presentation describes how real time space weather data is used by the International Space Station (ISS) space environments team to obtain data on auroral charging of the ISS vehicle and support ISS crew efforts to obtain auroral images from orbit. Topics covered include: Floating Potential Measurement Unit (FPMU), . Auroral charging of ISS, . Real ]time space weather monitoring resources, . Examples of ISS auroral charging captured from space weather events, . ISS crew observations of aurora.

Minow, Joseph

Recent Applications of Space Weather Research to NASA Space Missions

Marshall Space Flight Center s Space Environments Team is committed to applying the latest research in space weather to NASA programs. We analyze data from an extensive set of space weather satellites in order to define the space environments for some of NASA s highest profile programs. Our goal is to ensure that spacecraft are designed to be successful in all environments encountered during their missions. We also collaborate with universities, industry, and other federal agencies to provide analysis of anomalies and operational impacts to current missions. This presentation is a summary of some of our most recent applications of space weather data, including the definition of the space environments for the initial phases of the Space Launch System (SLS), acquisition of International Space Station (ISS) frame potential variations during geomagnetic storms, and Nascap-2K charging analyses.

Willis, Emily M.

Recent Applications of Space Weather Research to NASA Space Missions

Marshall Space Flight Center s Space Environments Team is committed to applying the latest research in space weather to NASA programs. We analyze data from an extensive set of space weather satellites in order to define the space environments for some of NASA s highest profile programs. Our goal is to ensure that spacecraft are designed to be successful in all environments encountered during their missions. We also collaborate with universities, industry, and other federal agencies to provide analysis of anomalies and operational impacts to current missions. This presentation is a summary of some of our most recent applications of space weather data, including the definition of the space environments for the initial phases of the Space Launch System (SLS), acquisition of International Space Station (ISS) frame potential variations during geomagnetic storms, and Nascap-2K charging analyses.

Willis, Emily M.

Investigating Space Weather Events Impacting the Spitzer Space Telescope

Our understanding of the dynamical process in the space environment has increased dramatically. A relatively new field of study called "Space Weather" has emerged in the last few decades. Fundamental to the study of space weather is an understanding of how space weather events such as solar flares and coronal mass ejections impact spacecraft in varying orbits and distances around the Sun. Specialized space weather satellite monitoring systems operated by the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) and the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) allow scientists to predict space weather events affecting critical systems on and orbiting the Earth. However, the Spitzer Space Telescope is in an orbit far outside the areas covered by those space weather monitoring systems. This poses a challenge for the Spitzer's Mission Operations Team in determining whether space weather events affect Spitzer.

solar flare

Planning for a Large Space Weather Event: Preparation for and Lessons Learned from the 2024 Space Weather Interagency Tabletop Exercise

On May 8-9 2024, the Space Radiation Analysis Group (SRAG) at NASA/Johnson Space Center participated in a joint exercise with DoD, FEMA, OSTP, DOE and other agencies to assess their ability to respond to a large hypothetical space weather event. SRAG is a uniquely skilled group of scientists and engineers tasked with mitigating impacts of radiation exposure to the astronaut crew aboard the International Space Station and upcoming missions beyond Low Earth Orbit (LEO). In meeting this objective, the team has developed expertise in both modeling the impacts of an enhanced space environment and in the real-time operational support of the Flight Control Team when assessing a response to the environment. Several members of SRAG worked with the Tabletop Exercise (TTX) planners to define a realistic large event and to model the resulting radiation exposure on an Artemis crew. SRAG members participating in the TTX were blinded to the results of this analysis. As the event unfolded during the TTX, SRAG provided their assessment of the likely impact on the crew and recommendations for crew actions. During the exercise, the team tracked lessons learned for their own planning, currently in work, for Artemis-II and subsequent missions.

Janet Barzilla

Global Cooperation in the Science of Space Weather

The international space science community had recognized the importance of space weather more than a decade ago, which resulted in a number of international collaborative activities such as the Climate and Weather of the Sun Earth System (CAWSES) by SCOSTEP and the International Space Weather Initiative (ISWI). The ISWI program is a continuation of the successful International Heliophysical Year (IHY) program. These programs have brought scientists together to tackle the scientific issues behind space weather. In addition to the vast array of space instruments, ground based instruments have been deployed, which not only filled voids in data coverage, but also inducted young scientists from developing countries into the scientific community. This paper presents a summary of CAWSES and ISWI activities that promote space weather science via complementary approaches in international scientific collaborations. capacity building. and public outreach.

Gopalswamy, Nat

Tethered Satellites as Enabling Platforms for an Operational Space Weather Monitoring System

Space weather nowcasting and forecasting models require assimilation of near‐real time (NRT) space environment data to improve the precision and accuracy of operational products. Typically, these models begin with a climatological model to provide "most probable distributions" of environmental parameters as a function of time and space. The process of NRT data assimilation gently pulls the climate model closer toward the observed state (e.g. via Kalman smoothing) for nowcasting, and forecasting is achieved through a set of iterative physics‐based forward‐prediction calculations. The issue of required space weather observatories to meet the spatial and temporal requirements of these models is a complex one, and we do not address that with this poster. Instead, we present some examples of how tethered satellites can be used to address the shortfalls in our ability to measure critical environmental parameters necessary to drive these space weather models. Examples include very long baseline electric field measurements, magnetized ionospheric conductivity measurements, and the ability to separate temporal from spatial irregularities in environmental parameters. Tethered satellite functional requirements will be presented for each space weather parameter considered in this study.

Krause, L. Habash

SURFACE EXOSURE TIMESCALES OF APOLLO CORE SAMPLE 73002 SPACE WEATHERED GRAINS

Introduction: Space weathering causes the surface regolith on airless bodies like the Moon to be morphologically, microstructurally, and chemically altered due to micrometeoroid bombardment and solar wind irradiation[1]. These processes produce a multitude of microstructural and chemical changes in individual soil grains that accumulate as grains are exposed on the surface over time. One microstructural feature produced by exposure to the solar wind is the development of ion-damaged rims on regolith grains via H+ and He+ ion irradiation. Also present are solar energetic particle (SEP) tracks, which are nanoscale lineations of ionization damage within grain interiors formed by high energy solar flare ions(primarily Fe group nuclei) which penetrate millimeters below the surface [2]. Recent work has confirmed that the thickness of solar wind-damaged amorphous rims on anorthite grains, nanocrystalline rims on olivine grains, and their respective SEP track densities are correlated with their surface exposure ages [3].Core sample 73002, recently released under the Apollo Next Generation Sample Analysis (ANGSA) Program, has provided an opportunity to study material collected from the light mantle formation during Apollo 17. The light mantle is thought to have been deposited via a landslide originating from the neighboring South Massif [4]. Spectral profiles and ferromagnetic resonance measurements of bulk soils sampled at cm-intervals from 73002 indicate the existence of mature regolith extending ~8 cm below the surface, suggesting the presence of an in-situ reworking zone in the core[5,6].Here we present the distribution of SEP track densities, solar wind damaged rim widths, and the corresponding surface exposure ages of grains residing in the proposed in-situ reworking zone of core 73002. Methods: Bulk samples of regolith from the first eight intervals and every following fourth interval down the core (dissection Pass 2) were delivered to Purdue University as <45 μm size fractions. The first eight0.5 cm intervals, representing the top 4cmof regolith, were individually dry sieved to a<20 μm size fraction, and grains were prepared by ultramicrotomy for analysis in the scanning transmission electron microscope (STEM). Bright field (BF) and dark field (DF) STEM images of solar flare tracks and solar wind damaged rims were acquired on a JEOL 2500SE TEM, equipped with a 60 mm2ultra-thin window silicon drift energy dispersive X-ray (EDX) spectrometer at NASA John-son Space Center. Grain compositions were determined by EDX compositional spectrum imaging. SEP track densities and amorphous rim thicknesses were measured on BF and DF images. Results: The fraction of grains with discernable space weathering features decreased with depth, with 100% in the first interval exhibiting space weathering features as opposed to ~60% in Interval 8.BF and DF STEM images show splash-melt and vapor deposited rims on outermost grain margins with embedded Fe-bearing nanoparticles ranging in size up to ~10 nm in diameter. Images also show solar-wind damaged rims below the vapor deposits, and SEP tracks present in grain interiors. The rim thicknesses and SEP track densities were determined using the methods of [3] for 54grains spanning the top 4 cm. ~80% of the grains analyzed were anorthite and ~20% were olivine. The track production rate from[3] was used to estimate the surface exposure times of the grains in this study. The majority of exposure times are in the 1 -5 MY range for all intervals. The lowest value was 3.8x 10¬5years in Interval 8and the highest value was1.1x 107years in Interval 6. Grains with the highest solar wind damage rim thicknesses and SEP track densities are found in Interval 6.The highest rim thickness and track density observed for anorthiteis126.5 nm and4.7 x 1011tracks/cm2, while for olivine they are 98.6 nm and 1.83 x 1011tracks/cm2, respectively. Discussion: Intervals from the top 4 cm of 73002 show similar SEP track density and solar wind damaged rim thickness distributions. Spectral and ferromagnetic resonance measurements of 73002 indicate an in-situ reworking zone up to~8 cm below the surface[5,6].The depth analyzed in this work is within the core’s uppermost in-situ reworking zone and may serve as an explanation to the homogenous distribution of exposure ages. The decreasing abundance of space weathered features with depth is consistent with regolith mixing models showing an exponential decay in regolith maturity with depth over time[7].A maximum surface exposure age determined via SEP track density is approximately 10million years. This timescale is consistent with the lower estimate of surface exposure ages of the light mantle determined in previous studies, which can range from 10s to over 100 Ma [4].It also falls within the core regolith reworking development timescale of ~17 Ma [5,6]. Additional analysis will be performed for a further seven intervals in 73002.

J A McFadden

Space Weathering of Rocks

Space weathering discussions have generally centered around soils but exposed rocks will also incur the effects of weathering. On the Moon, rocks make up only a very small percentage of the exposed surface and areas where rocks are exposed, like central peaks, are often among the least space weathered regions we find in remote sensing data. However, our studies of weathered Ap 17 rocks 76015 and 76237 show that significant amounts of weathering products can build up on rock surfaces. Because rocks have much longer surface lifetimes than an individual soil grain, and thus record a longer history of exposure, we can study these products to gain a deeper perspective on the weathering process and better assess the relative impo!1ance of various weathering components on the Moon. In contrast to the lunar case, on small asteroids, like Itokowa, rocks make up a large fraction of the exposed surface. Results from the Hayabusa spacecraft at Itokowa suggest that while the low gravity does not allow for the development of a mature regolith, weathering patinas can and do develop on rock surfaces, in fact, the rocky surfaces were seen to be darker and appear spectrally more weathered than regions with finer materials. To explore how weathering of asteroidal rocks may differ from lunar, a set of ordinary chondrite meteorites (H, L, and LL) which have been subjected to artificial space weathering by nanopulse laser were examined by TEM. NpFe(sup 0) bearing glasses were ubiquitous in both the naturally-weathered lunar and the artificially-weathered meteorite samples.

Noble, Sarah