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At least 37 records · Page 2

Aerodynamic sound in a relaxing medium

A theory of aerodynamic sound propagation, when inhomogeneities characterized by a relaxation process are present in both the source and propagation region, is formulated. The details of the relaxation process need not be specified at the outset, although the relaxation process is characterized by a relaxation time and by an equilibrium and a frozen sound speed in a propagation region which is otherwise in equilibrium. Propagation is described in terms of a D'Alembertian characterized by the frozen sound speed relaxing toward one characterized by the equilibrium sound speed, while the source is interpreted in terms of a frozen Lighthill stress tensor relaxing toward the equilibrium stress tensor. An appropriate Green's function for the three-dimensional relaxing wave propagation operator is used to construct an exact integral for the aerodynamic sound. The sound generated far from the source is then estimated in terms of the aerodynamic sound source.

Liu, J. T. C.↗

Interpretation of ozone temperature correlations. II - Analysis of SBUV ozone data

In an effort to understand the behavior of ozone in the transition region, the terms in the perturbation continuity equation have been evaluated from solar backscattered ultraviolet ozone data, National Meteorological Center temperature data, and geostrophic winds derived from the temperature data at 2 mbar, winter 1978-1979. A linear parameterization is used to estimate the chemical source term. The perturbation ozone field calculated by integrating the net forcing evaluated from the data compares well with the measured perturbation ozone field. There are occasions during the winter when the sum of the dynamic terms is small due to cancellation, and the ozone and temperature perturbations are anticorrelated. The -1 correlation between the ozone and temperature perturbations does not necessarily imply that chemical forcing is dominant.

Douglass, A. R.↗

Potential health risks from postulated accidents involving the Pu-238 RTG on the Ulysses solar exploration mission

Potential radiation impacts from launch of the Ulysses solar exploration experiment were evaluated using eight postulated accident scenarios. Lifetime individual dose estimates rarely exceeded 1 mrem. Most of the potential health effects would come from inhalation exposures immediately after an accident, rather than from ingestion of contaminated food or water, or from inhalation of resuspended plutonium from contaminated ground. For local Florida accidents (that is, during the first minute after launch), an average source term accident was estimated to cause a total added cancer risk of up to 0.2 deaths. For accidents at later time after launch, a worldwide cancer risk of up to three cases was calculated (with a four in a million probability). Upper bound estimates were calculated to be about 10 times higher.

Goldman, Marvin↗

Application of NEAMS Codes to Capture MSR Phenomena

This report documents work completed in FY21 under the Nuclear Energy Advanced Modeling and Simulation (NEAMS) program’s Molten Salt Reactor (MSR) Application Drivers activity at Argonne. The common focus was on identifying the modeling and simulation functional requirements for designing, licensing, and operating MSRs and applying those capabilities already developed in NEAMS tools to example problems of interest. The four main parts of this report each focuses on a specific area of simulation physics as it relates to MSR phenomena: fuel evolution, chemistry, computational fluid dynamics (CFD), and systems analysis. In terms of fuel evolution, which includes depletion, decay, on-line separations, and transmutation, the current state of computational capabilities for modeling this behavior in liquid-fueled molten salt reactor is discussed. Some of the functional requirements to accomplish the various applications of MSR fuel depletion modeling are highlighted, followed by a summary of recent approaches and code development activities. The chemistry functional requirements were discussed in the context of several applications of high importance for MSRs, such as corrosion, salt chemistry, and species transport. Each of these types of chemistry modeling have considerable impact on various aspects of reactor applications, including informing on reactor designs, improving operational efficiencies, analyzing safety and reactivity concerns, and estimating the mechanistic source term of the reactor. A brief overview is also provided on code development activities ongoing under NEAMS relevant to chemistry modeling of MSRs. In terms of CFD applications, the state-of-the-art spectral element code, Nek5000 was used to model the fluid dynamics within a full core of the Molten Salt Fast Reactor (MSFR) concept designed as part of the Euratom EVOL project. This concept was selected as the challenge problem because of its similar features to several U.S. industry concepts. The goal was to model some of the fast MSR design challenges, including potential large internal re-circulations, the need of accurate tracking of delayed neutron precursors (DNP), and the lack of relevant thermal-hydraulics models/correlations, etc. Therefore, a series of CFD models were created for the MSFR core cavity using a k – τ model two-equation model for the turbulence. These first full core results demonstrated that any potential recirculation zones could be properly identified with the current NEAMS CFD capabilities. The development of these models will also set the stage for future testing of Nek5000’s functionalities to model other MSR thermal-fluid phenomena. Lastly, the validation of SAM against experimental data from the Molten Salt Reactor Experiment, which started in FY19, continues with the inclusion of modeling the reactivity insertion tests. This involved using SAM and its point kinetics model for flowing fuel salt to recreate the time dependent power changes and response after positive reactivity insertions at the 1, 5, and 8 MWt power levels. Through these exercises, several code modifications were suggested to the SAM development team and accommodated to enable closer agreement with solid technical and physical justifications. These include adding a moderator reactivity feedback coefficient as an available input and modifying the solution approach for the point kinetics model. Additional SAM development suggestions for flowing fuel MSRs include adding the capability to allow the moderator power change proportionally with the reactor power and enabling specification of the power and DNP distributions separately.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

A Pathway for the Development of Advanced Reactor Mechanistic Source Term Modeling and Simulation Capabilities

Source term analysis, or the estimation of the potential radionuclide release to the environment during reactor events, is a central focus of the reactor licensing process and a vital part of risk-informed reactor design approaches. A mechanistic source term (MST) analysis is designed to realistically model the release and transport of radionuclides from the source to the environment for specific scenarios, while accounting for retention or transmutation phenomena and associated uncertainties. The objective of MST analyses, in comparison to bounding or conservative source term assessments, is to provide a non-biased representation of reactor risk and improve the information available for siting, emergency planning, and reactor design decisions. In support of the advanced reactor community in its pursuit of MST analysis capabilities, this work outlines a recommended research pathway for the development of MST modeling and simulation (mod/sim) tools.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Single Grid Error Estimation for Neutron Transport Solvers

The method of nearby problems (MNP) is a solution verification technique that does not require the use of multiple spatial grids. To estimate spatial discretization error without requiring a high-fidelity spatial grid, an analytical curve fit is interpolated from the numerical solution. The residual between the curve fit solution and numerical solution is calculated and added as an additional source term to the governing equation. The nearby solution is estimated using the updated source term and boundary conditions to remain consistent with the curve fit interpolation. The nearby solution can be compared to the curve fit solution as a discretization error estimation while using a single spatial grid. Without the use of higher fidelity spatial grids, the MNP is able to approximate the spatial discretization error, a facet of solution verification. The application of the method of nearby problems is presented for one- and two-dimensional neutron transport problems for both fixed source and criticality problems on the spatial variable. The fixed source results demonstrate the effectiveness of nearby problems for spatial error identification using the discrete ordinates method. Criticality results are shown to identify area of high spatial error for the C5G7 problem as well as for the discrete ordinates solver. A novel approach of combining the capabilities of Monte Carlo with the discrete ordinates nearby problems is presented for one- and two-dimensional fixed source problems. In conclusion, the MNP demonstrates its effectiveness at identifying spatial error on a single structured grid with a wide variety of neutron transport problems.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Estimating Uncertainty in Long Term Total Ozone Records from Multiple Sources

Total ozone measurements derived from the TOMS and SBUV backscattered solar UV instrument series cover the period from late 1978 to the present. As the SBUV series of instruments comes to an end, we look to the 10 years of data from the AURA Ozone Monitoring Instrument (OMI) and two years of data from the Ozone Mapping Profiler Suite (OMPS) on board the Suomi National Polar-orbiting Partnership satellite to continue the record. When combining these records to construct a single long-term data set for analysis we must estimate the uncertainty in the record resulting from potential biases and drifts in the individual measurement records. In this study we present a Monte Carlo analysis used to estimate uncertainties in the Merged Ozone Dataset (MOD), constructed from the Version 8.6 SBUV2 series of instruments. We extend this analysis to incorporate OMI and OMPS total ozone data into the record and investigate the impact of multiple overlapping measurements on the estimated error. We also present an updated column ozone trend analysis and compare the size of statistical error (error from variability not explained by our linear regression model) to that from instrument uncertainty.

TOMS and SBUV↗

Estimation in satellite control.

The use of estimators or observers is discussed as applied to satellite attitude control and the control of drag-free satellites. The practical problems of implementation are discussed, and the relative advantages of full and reduced state estimators are compared, particularly in terms of their effectiveness and bandwidth as filters. Three applications are used to illustrate the principles. They are: (1) a reaction wheel control system, (2) a spinning attitude control system, and (3) a drag-free satellite translational control system. Fixed estimator gains are shown to be adequate for these (and many other) applications. Our experience in the hardware realization of estimators has led to categorize the error sources in terms of those that improve with increased estimator gains and those that get worse with increased estimator gains.

Debra, D. B.↗

Assessing Effects of Climate Change on Legacy Waste at the Enewetak Atoll

The Republic of the Marshall Islands (RMI) is in the central Pacific Ocean ~4,500 km west of Hawaii. The Enewetak Atoll, located in the northwest part of the RMI, was the site for 43 nuclear weapon tests between 1948 and 1958. Fallout and deposition from the tests contaminated the island surfaces, lagoon waters and sediment, and nearby ocean waters at the atoll. In the 1970s, a cleanup effort collected radioactive waste and placed it in the Cactus Crater on Runit Island (also called the Runit Dome). In December 2021, Congress directed the U.S. Department of Energy to study the impacts of climate change on the Runit Dome nuclear waste disposal site. Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL) assembled a multidisciplinary team of climate scientists, ocean modelers, environmental scientists, and health physicists to assess the likely effects of remaining radionuclides at the Enewetak Atoll. PNNL’s approach focused on effects of tropical cyclones that were postulated to mobilize and transport contaminated lagoon sediments and result in human and biota exposure. PNNL’s study estimated (1) the radionuclide source term, (2) the effects of climate change on severe storms, (3) mobilization and transport of radionuclides, and (4) radiation dose to humans and biota. Radionuclides in the lagoon and/or ocean waters of the Enewetak Atoll were characterized by the U.S. Atomic Energy Commission (AEC) in 1972, Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution in 2015, and Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory in 2018. The RMI Nationwide Radiological Study was conducted in the early 1990s for radionuclides remaining in island soils. The 1972 AEC survey remains the most comprehensive source of radionuclide data on lagoon sediments. Climate change modeling at a regional scale in the central Pacific Ocean is limited. PNNL climate scientists simulated severe historical storms postulated to occur both in a recent climate (2015) and in the future (2090) using the Advanced Research Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF-ARW) model, employing a pseudo-global-warming technique. A postulated complete, future failure of the Runit Dome was also considered. PNNL developed a high-resolution regional ocean hydrodynamics model covering the entire RMI extended economic zone using the Finite Volume Coastal Ocean Model (FVCOM). The FVCOM model was run using global reanalysis data for current climate and WRF-ARW simulation for the future climate. PNNL also developed a radionuclide fate and transport model using the FVCOM Integrated Compartment Model (FVCOM-ICM) to simulate the current and future mobilization and transport of radionuclides sorbed to lagoon sediments and the exchange of radionuclides between the water and sediment. FVCOM-ICM-predicted radionuclide concentrations were then used to estimate radiation dose to humans and biota at all islands of the Enewetak Atoll. Under current climate conditions, annual radiation exposures for the southern islands including Enewetak (Fred) and Medren (Elmer) were below the current U.S. standards. Radiation doses were somewhat elevated starting at Runit Island northward and westward to Enjebi Island (Janet). The islands in the northwest quadrant, particularly Bokoluo (Alice) and Bokombako (Belle), remain relatively contaminated. The islands in the southwestern quadrant have low contamination. The highest contribution to radiation doses comes from consumption of locally grown foods. Two radionuclides, 90Sr and 137Cs, contributed the greatest fraction for most terrestrial foods. In current climate conditions, the storms temporarily increased radionuclide concentrations in the lagoon waters, increasing the radiation dose slightly. In future conditions, doses are expected to be smaller, primarily because of the radioactive decay of the shorter-lived radioisotopes of 90Sr and 137Cs. This could make all islands in the far northwest of the atoll – except Bokombako (Belle) and perhaps Bokoluo (Alice) – suitable for residency. For the f

Prasad, Rajiv↗

Improved Understanding of Airborne Release Fraction and Respirable Fraction from Postulated Free-Fall Spill in DOE Nuclear Facilities (Annual Project Summary Report for NSRD-38)

The two-year experimental project has been completed to update the Airborne Release and Respirable Fraction (ARF and RF) estimates from the free-fall spills of liquid waste simulants. The objectives of the project at the Savannah River National Laboratory (SRNL) are to: (1) establish a technically defensible bounding approach for a reasonably conservative limit to the fall height used in the Ballinger correlation for the ARF, such that spill heights for near-water density liquid solutions above a critical height result in the same value of the ARF; and (2) provide a revised technical basis and data to support the ARF and RF correlation for free-fall liquid spills of heights from 1 to 10 meters. After peer review, these data and associated correlation will be available for consideration in a revision to DOE-HDBK-3010, Airborne Release Fractions/Rates and Respirable Fractions for Nonreactor Nuclear Facilities.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Estimating the Distribution of Colored Dissolved Organic Matter During the Southern Ocean Gas Exchange Experiment Using Four-Dimensional Variational Data Assimilation

We diagnosed the effect of various physical processes on the distribution of mixed-layer colored dissolved organic matter (CDOM) and a sulfur hexauoride (SF6) tracer during the Southern Ocean Gas Exchange Experiment (SO GasEx). The biochemical upper ocean state estimate uses in situ and satellite biochemical and physical data in the study region, including CDOM (absorption coefcient and spectral slope), SF6, hydrography, and sea level anomaly. Modules for photobleaching of CDOM and surface transport of SF6 were coupled with an ocean circulation model for this purpose. The observed spatial and temporal variations in CDOM were captured by the state estimate without including any new biological source term for CDOM, assuming it to be negligible over the 26 days of the state estimate. Thermocline entrainment and photobleaching acted to diminish the mixed-layer CDOM with time scales of 18 and 16 days, respectively. Lateral advection of CDOM played a dominant role and increased the mixed-layer CDOM with a time scale of 12 days, whereas lateral diffusion of CDOM was negligible. A Lagrangian view on the CDOM variability was demonstrated by using the SF6 as a weighting function to integrate the CDOM elds. This and similar data assimilation methods can be used to provide reasonable estimates of optical properties, and other physical parameters over the short-term duration of a research cruise, and help in the tracking of tracer releases in large-scale oceanographic experiments, and in oceanographic process studies.

Del Castillo, C. E.↗

The estimation of nonstationary spectra from moving acoustic source distributions.

It is shown that the Blackman-Tukey estimation procedure provides a natural estimate of a nonstationary spectrum defined in terms of the acoustic sources. The pressure field from the moving source distribution is discussed together with the estimation procedure. The spectrum can be considered as a time-dependent partition of the variance of the pressure field over a Doppler shifted continuum of frequencies. It is found that the effect of nonstationarity on the bias and variance of the estimate is small in cases of practical interest, provided sources directionality is excluded.

Mcdaid, E.↗

Review and Assessment of Available Data Regarding the Behavior of Sodium Aerosols

Recently, there has been a resurgence of interest in advanced (non-light water) reactor designs, including sodium fast reactors (SFRs). In parallel, multiple efforts are underway to develop risk informed, performance-based licensing pathways for advanced reactors. However, such licensing approaches depend on the accuracy of the associated safety assessments, including mechanistic source term (MST) analyses. Unlike historical source term assessments, which utilizes bounding estimates of radionuclide release, MSTs attempt to realistically estimate the transport and retention of radionuclides for specific transient scenarios. For SFR MST analyses, the behavior of radionuclide aerosols is a key factor, as noted in recent studies. Due to the use of sodium as the primary coolant, many potential transient scenarios involve the release of radionuclide aerosols in conjunction with sodium aerosols. For such scenarios, sodium may be the dominant aerosol species, compared to that of released radionuclides. Therefore, understanding the behavior of sodium aerosols is particularly important to an accurate assessment of aerosol transport. Although many approaches to aerosol modeling exist, it is vital to establish their capabilities in evaluating sodium aerosol behavior for SFR analyses.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Reply by the Authors to C. K. W. Tam

The prediction of noise generation and radiation by turbulence has been the subject of continuous research for over fifty years. The essential problem is how to model the noise sources when one s knowledge of the detailed space-time properties of the turbulence is limited. We attempted to provide a comparison of models based on acoustic analogies and recent alternative models. Our goal was to demonstrate that the predictive capabilities of any model are based on the choice of the turbulence property that is modeled as a source of noise. Our general definition of an acoustic analogy is a rearrangement of the equations of motion into the form L(u) = Q, where L is a linear operator that reduces to an acoustic propagation operator outside a region upsilon; u is a variable that reduces to acoustic pressure (or a related linear acoustic variable) outside upsilon; and Q is a source term that can be meaningfully estimated without knowing u and tends to zero outside upsilon.

Morris, Philip J.↗

Elevation change (2000-2004) on the Malaspina Glacier, Alaska

The glaciers of the southeastern Alaska coastal region are the largest temperate glacier meltwater source on Earth and may contribute one third of the total glacier meltwater entering the global ocean. Since melt onset and refreeeze timing in this region show a tendency toward earlier onset and longer ablation seasons, accelerated glacier wastage may be occurring. In this study we focus on one of the largest temperate glacier systems on Earth, the Malaspina Glacier. This glacier, with a length of approximately 110 km and an area of approximately square 5,000 km, has the largest piedmont lobe of any temperate glacier. The entire lobe, which lies at elevations below 600 m, is within the ablation zone. We report and interpret ice elevation change between a digital elevation model (DEM) derived from the Shuttle Radar Topography Mission (SRTM C band) observations in Feb. 2000 and ICESat Laser 1-3 observations between Feb. 2003 and Nov. 2004. We use these elevation change results, along with earlier studies, to address the spatial and temporal variability in wastage of the piedmont lobe. Between 2000 and 2004 ice elevation changes of 10-30 meters occurred across the central Malaspina piedmont lobe. From 1972/73 (USGS DEM) to 1999 (SRTM corrected for estimated winter snow accumulation) Malaspina's (Agassiz, Seward Lobe, and Marvine) mean ice thinning was estimated at -47 m with maximum thinning on parts of the lobes to -160 m. The Malaspina's accumulation area is only slightly larger than its ablation area (2,575 km2 vs. 2,433 km2); unfortunately few glaciological observations are available from this source region. Snow accumulation rates have been largely inferred from low-altitude precipitation and temperature data. Comparing sequential ICESat observations in the Malaspina source region, we estimated short-term elevation increases of up to 5 meters during the winter of 2003/04.

Sauber, J.↗

Software Transition Project Retrospectives and the Application of SEL Effort Estimation Model and Boehm's COCOMO to Complex Software Transition Projects

The Multimission Image Processing Subsystem (MIPS) at the Jet Propulsion Laboratory (JPL) has managed transitions of application software sets from one operating system and hardware platform to multiple operating systems and hardware platforms. As a part of these transitions, cost estimates were generated from the personal experience of in-house developers and managers to calculate the total effort required for such projects. Productivity measures have been collected for two such transitions, one very large and the other relatively small in terms of source lines of code. These estimates used a cost estimation model similar to the Software Engineering Laboratory (SEL) Effort Estimation Model. Experience in transitioning software within JPL MIPS have uncovered a high incidence of interface complexity. Interfaces, both internal and external to individual software applications, have contributed to software transition project complexity, and thus to scheduling difficulties and larger than anticipated design work on software to be ported.

SEL Boehm COCOMO↗

Characterization of Surrogate Molten Salt Reactor Aerosol Streams

Measuring the aerosol evolution from MSRs is important for monitoring the off-gas system of the reactor and is particularly important for detecting off-normal conditions. In a molten salt reactor (MSR) accident scenario, an aerosol release would be a major factor in the source term. This aerosol stream would likely be generated from a breach in the cover gas system, which causes particles produced from fission itself to escape, or from a salt spill that produces aerosols through splashing and secondary reactions. The particle size of the produced aerosols is anticipated to vary greatly and range from 0.01 to 10 µm. The transport of these aerosols would be dependent on the particle size. A better understanding of aerosol generation, size, and monitoring methods are needed to inform estimation and mitigation of potential aerosolized source terms from MSRs. While salt spill experiments are being performed at Argonne National Laboratory, the development of aerosol characterization and monitoring methods are being developed at Oak Ridge National Laboratory. To generate prototypic aerosols for use in testing monitoring instruments and mitigation methods, a surrogate aerosol stream was produced with a Collison nebulizer, and the particle size distributions were measured with a cascade impactor. The results demonstrated that by changing the nebulizer pressure, the aerosol particle size distribution can be adjusted to best match the region of interest for experiments with higher pressures, driving the particle size down. However, nearly all aerosols formed exceeded 1 µm in diameter, providing a lower bound for the surrogate aerosol stream. In addition to verifying the applicability of this surrogate aerosol stream, this work has shown that a laser induced breakdown spectroscopy monitoring system that is under development is resilient to changes in particle sizes, increasing its robustness for off-gas monitoring.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

Hydrologic applicability of satellite-based precipitation estimates for irrigation water management in the data-scarce region

Reliable precipitation estimates are crucial for planning and managing water resources, monitoring hydrologic extremes, and fulfilling irrigation water requirements. Accurate precipitation estimates are particularly challenging in complex mountain terrains, where monitoring gauges are often sparsely distributed due to their remote locations, and high installation and long-term operation costs. Recent advances in satellite-based precipitation estimates offer promising opportunities to improve our understanding of hydrologic processes and their applications for irrigation water management. Several datasets are available varying considerably in terms of their data sources, quality control methods, estimation procedure, and spatiotemporal resolutions. Choosing the most suitable dataset for a particular application is a complex task. In this study, we (1) evaluate the performance of six satellite-based precipitation estimates (SPEs): i) CHIRPS v2.0, ii) CMORPH v1.0, iii) ERA5, iv) IMERG v6, v) MSWEP v2.8, and vi) PERSIANN-CDR against the gauge precipitation using continuous statistical and categorical indices, (2) integrate SPEs with a calibrated semi-distributed hydrologic model to predict streamflow, and (3) demonstrate practical implications of improved streamflow prediction for irrigation water management in the central Himalayan region, Nepal. Our results illustrate that satellite-based precipitation estimates have competitive performance in capturing a wide range of rainfall characteristics, with demonstrated variability across river basins and time scales. Further, there are no significant discrepancies observed in satellite-based precipitation estimates for estimating irrigation water requirements for the three major crops (maize, wheat, and paddy) during the cropping period across the selected river basins, showing a greater promise for irrigation water management planning and decision making.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗