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DOE OSTI2022

Calculation of the Heat Transfer Coefficient in the Outer Body for a Rotational Detonation

Unsteady heat transfer characterization on the combustion surfaces of Rotational Detonation Engines (RDE) is not well understood. It is generally thought that the complex nature of the unsteady, reacting, compressible fluid flow inside the combustion anulus of the RDE causes the convective heat transfer coefficient to be significantly higher than it is in other applications. Empirical models that have been used to analyze this strictly apply to steady flows where dimensionless groups can be employed. The reacting flow fields that are characteristic of RDEs are inherently compressible, three dimensional, unsteady, and turbulent, having properties that change by orders of magnitude throughout the flow field. They will therefore contain multiple length scales and time scales operating everywhere in the flow during all times. Because of this it is not likely that the RDE flow fields will lend themselves to explanation using simple dimensionless parameters. The dimensionless groups have meaning only in situations where length scales and time scales are singular and well defined. In spite of this it may be possible to get a relatively good idea of what the convection heat transfer coefficient is. In this work a numerical study is performed where the inside wall surface temperature distribution in the RDE outer body is systematically changed over a given range that would be characteristic of the start-up flows inside an RDE. For each case, temperature distributions inside the outer containment wall of the RDE was calculated and compared with experimental data. The closet match can then be used to directly calculate the convection heat transfer coefficient on the inside surface of the RDE.

VanOsdol, John↗

DOE OSTI2023

Smoothing Lexis diagrams using kernel functions: A contemporary approach

Lexis diagrams are rectangular arrays of event rates indexed by age and period. Analysis of Lexis diagrams is a cornerstone of cancer surveillance research. Typically, population-based descriptive studies analyze multiple Lexis diagrams defined by sex, tumor characteristics, race/ethnicity, geographic region, etc. Inevitably the amount of information per Lexis diminishes with increasing stratification. Several methods have been proposed to smooth observed Lexis diagrams up front to clarify salient patterns and improve summary estimates of averages, gradients, and trends. In this article, we develop a novel bivariate kernel-based smoother that incorporates two key innovations. First, for any given kernel, we calculate its singular values decomposition, and select an optimal truncation point—the number of leading singular vectors to retain—based on the bias-corrected Akaike information criterion. Second, we model-average over a panel of candidate kernels with diverse shapes and bandwidths. The truncated model averaging approach is fast, automatic, has excellent performance, and provides a variance-covariance matrix that takes model selection into account. We present an in-depth case study (invasive estrogen receptor-negative breast cancer incidence among non-Hispanic white women in the United States) and simulate operating characteristics for 20 representative cancers. The truncated model averaging approach consistently outperforms any fixed kernel. Our results support the routine use of the truncated model averaging approach in descriptive studies of cancer.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2022

Taylor wave solution for a general equation of state

This document describes a solution procedure for calculating the Taylor wave behind an unsupported Chapman–Jouguet (CJ) detonation in planar, cylindrical, and spherical geometries given a general equation of state. The resulting semi-analytic solution can be utilized to examine new equation of state models for detonation products and during the verification of hydrodynamic codes. The governing partial differential equations are reduced to ordinary differential equations in both characteristic and self-similar forms. The first-order systems corresponding to each geometry are amenable to solution numerically using commonly available methods. A difficulty arises at the CJ point in radial coordinates where the similarity equations become singular. Two separate strategies are proposed to integrate the first-order system. The first one uses an asymptotic approximation near the CJ point that can be used to perturb the boundary conditions. The second one applies a change of variables which removes the singularity at the expense of an additional equation to be integrated. A test problem is provided for the Davis products equation of state to illustrate the qualitative features of the Taylor wave in each geometric configuration and compared with a Lagrangian hydrodynamics research code. A Python code listing gives an implementation using the SciPy library to assists users in generating the results.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

DOE OSTI2024

Advances in statistical methods for cancer surveillance research: an age-period-cohort perspective

Background: Analysis of Lexis diagrams (population-based cancer incidence and mortality rates indexed by age group and calendar period) requires specialized statistical methods. However, existing methods have limitations that can now be overcome using new approaches. Methods: We assembled a “toolbox” of novel methods to identify trends and patterns by age group, calendar period, and birth cohort. We evaluated operating characteristics across 152 cancer incidence Lexis diagrams compiled from United States (US) Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results Program data for 21 leading cancers in men and women in four race and ethnicity groups (the “cancer incidence panel”). Results: Nonparametric singular values adaptive kernel filtration (SIFT) decreased the estimated root mean squared error by 90% across the cancer incidence panel. A novel method for semi-parametric age-period-cohort analysis (SAGE) provided optimally smoothed estimates of age-period-cohort (APC) estimable functions and stabilized estimates of lack-of-fit (LOF). SAGE identified statistically significant birth cohort effects across the entire cancer panel; LOF had little impact. As illustrated for colon cancer, newly developed methods for comparative age-period-cohort analysis can elucidate cancer heterogeneity that would otherwise be difficult or impossible to discern using standard methods. Conclusions: Cancer surveillance researchers can now identify fine-scale temporal signals with unprecedented accuracy and elucidate cancer heterogeneity with unprecedented specificity. Birth cohort effects are ubiquitous modulators of cancer incidence in the US. The novel methods described here can advance cancer surveillance research.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2021

Magnetic nulls in interacting dipolar fields

The prominence of nulls in reconnection theory is due to the expected singular current density and the indeterminacy of field lines at a magnetic null. Electron inertia changes the implications of both features. Magnetic field lines are distinguishable only when their distance of closest approach exceeds a distance Δ d . Electron inertia ensures Δ d ≳ c/ω pe . The lines that lie within a magnetic flux tube of radius Δ d at the place where the field strength B is strongest are fundamentally indistinguishable. If the tube, somewhere along its length, encloses a point where B = 0 vanishes, then distinguishable lines come no closer to the null than ≈ (a 2 c/ω pe ) 1/3 , where a is a characteristic spatial scale of the magnetic field. Here, the behaviour of the magnetic field lines in the presence of nulls is studied for a dipole embedded in a spatially constant magnetic field. In addition to the implications of distinguishability, a constraint on the current density at a null is obtained, and the time required for thin current sheets to arise is derived.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

DOE OSTI2026

Electronic structure of the kagome compound CaTi 3⁢ Bi 4 using high-field torque magnetometry and density functional theory

Here, we report systematic torque magnetometry measurements to investigate the electronic properties of the newly discovered kagome compound CaTi 3 ⁢Bi 4 . Electrical transport, magnetic susceptibility, and thermal measurements reveal no evidence of a magnetic ground state in this material. Torque data obtained in magnetic fields up to 41.5 T exhibit clear de Haas–van Alphen (dHvA) oscillations, with nine distinct frequencies ranging from 13 to 6164 T. Angular-dependent dHvA measurements show that, with the exception of the lowest frequency (13 T), all observed frequencies nearly follow a 1/cos ⁡𝜃 dependence, where 𝜃 is the angle between the crystallographic 𝑐 axis and the magnetic field direction. This behavior is characteristic of quasi-two-dimensional Fermi-surface sheets with nearly circular cross sections. To further elucidate the electronic structure, we performed density functional theory (DFT) calculations of the band structure and Fermi surface. The calculated bands reveal the presence of multiple Dirac points (DP), flat bands (FB), and van Hove singularities (VHS) near the Fermi level. The resulting Fermi surface consists of several quasi-two-dimensional cylindrical sheets, consistent with the experimentally observed 1/cos⁡ 𝜃 dependence. Notably, the theoretical dHvA frequencies, derived from extremal Fermi-surface cross-sectional areas, agree well with the experimental values and reproduce their angular dependence. Remarkably, all experimentally observed frequencies are captured by the DFT predictions. Pressure-dependent calculations up to 10 GPa show that the electronic features—DP, FB, and VHS—evolve systematically with pressure. In particular, the VHS shifts closer to the Fermi level, demonstrating that pressure acts as an effective tuning parameter in this material. These combined experimental and theoretical results provide a comprehensive understanding of the electronic structure of CaTi 3 ⁢Bi 4 and demonstrate how pressure can be used to tune its key electronic features, offering valuable guidance for exploring related kagome materials.

Shtefiienko, Kyryl [West Texas A & M University, C↗

DOE OSTI2023

Building an EPA Class VI Permit Application

Summary To accelerate the commercialization of carbon capture and storage (CCS), the US Department of Energy (US DOE) is building on decades of characterization efforts and pilot-scale projects through their CarbonSAFE program. Administered through their National Energy Technology Laboratory, this program seeks to bring fully integrated projects to the sector that can store more than 50 million tonnes of CO2 over a 30-year period. The program, which was enacted before the enhancement of Internal Revenue Code Section 45Q, is in the capture assessment, characterization, and permitting phase. The objectives of this paper are to discuss (a) the injection permitting requirements of the CarbonSAFE projects; (b) information gathering in support of the permit; (c) the timelines of field development and permit-related activities; (d) the major technical components of the field development plan; and (e) early feedback from the regulators toward acceptance of the permit. In Mississippi, more than 30,000 acres have been characterized by six deep characterization wells, a deep groundwater well, and 92 line miles of 2D seismic as part of the CarbonSAFE Project ECO2S. During the acquisition of seismic data, all receiver lines were live, which resulted in the generation of a pseudo-3D seismic design. The incorporation of a 3D seismic survey was not included as part of this project due to logistical difficulties presented by the undulating, wooded surface terrain. A suite of openhole geophysical logs was taken from each well, allowing for a detailed interpretation of prospective storage reservoirs and confining intervals to complement the analysis carried out on the 290 ft of a whole core that was cut through the prospective confining zone and storage reservoir. The detailed geologic and reservoir data were assembled and entered into a 3D model to assess the injection capacity and the area of review (AoR). This information fed into the detailed corrective action, monitoring, testing, and postinjection site care (PISC) modeling. The results have been exceptional. The geologic assessment has revealed three primary storage targets, ranging in depth from 3,500 ft to 6,000 ft. These storage reservoirs net 1,300 ft of sandstone, with mean porosity and permeability of 29% and 3.6 darcies, respectively. Together, these reservoirs have storage capacities that may exceed 20 million tonnes per square mile, making this a gigatonne prospect. Forward modeling of the project resulted in an AoR of 16 sq miles, injecting about 8000 t/d, for 30 years, via two deep injection wells. The excellent confining characteristics of the caprock, relatively simple geologic structure, and lack of historical well drilling activity in this area provide excellent containment of the injected CO2. Based on this work, the project has proposed 20 years of PISC. To date, only two US CO2 injection permits have been granted. These projects relied on a singular capture point feeding a singular sequestration point (source to sink), and considerations have not been made to garner CO2 emissions from other industrial sources. The Kemper County Storage Complex is a first-of-its-kind storage hub concept that looks to develop an area capable of storing significant quantities of CO2 from the region. Also, this work will show how characterization efforts, geological and numerical modeling efforts, and plan development were constructed in support of permit and incentives acceptance.

Energy & Fuels↗

DOE OSTI2020

Editors’ Choice—Perspective—Challenges in Moving to Multiscale Battery Models: Where Electrochemistry Meets and Demands More from Math

There has been significant recent interest in studying multiscale characteristics of current and next-generation batteries, including lithium-metal and lithium-sulfur batteries. Advances in computing power make researchers believe that the detailed multiscale models can be efficiently simulated to arrive at the insights for the degradation and performance loss; however, this is not true and special attention needs to be paid to local singularities, boundary layers, moving boundaries, etc. This article presents 2D examples that illustrate the importance of grid convergence studies, provides well-defined detailed models to test the efficiency of numerical schemes, and discusses the associated simulation challenges.

Shah, Krishna (ORCID:0000000278026361)↗

DOE OSTI2020

Visualization of Multifractal Superconductivity in a Two-Dimensional Transition Metal Dichalcogenide in the Weak-Disorder Regime

Eigenstate multifractality is a distinctive feature of noninteracting disordered metals close to a metal–insulator transition, whose properties are expected to extend to superconductivity. While multifractality in three dimensions (3D) only develops near the critical point for specific strong-disorder strengths, multifractality in 2D systems is expected to be observable even for weak disorder. Here we provide evidence for multifractal features in the superconducting state of an intrinsic, weakly disordered single-layer NbSe 2 by means of low-temperature scanning tunneling microscopy/spectroscopy. The superconducting gap, characterized by its width, depth, and coherence peaks’ amplitude, shows a characteristic spatial modulation coincident with the periodicity of the quasiparticle interference pattern. The strong spatial inhomogeneity of the superconducting gap width, proportional to the local order parameter in the weak-disorder regime, follows a log-normal statistical distribution as well as a power-law decay of the two-point correlation function, in agreement with our theoretical model. Furthermore, the experimental singularity spectrum f(α) shows anomalous scaling behavior typical from 2D weakly disordered systems.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

DOE OSTI2025

Electronic structure of the kagome metal YbTi 3 Bi 4 studied using torque magnetometry

This study investigates the electronic structure of the kagome metal YbTi 3 ⁢Bi 4 using high-field torque magnetometry. The torque signal measured at a maximum field of 41.5 T reveals clear de Haas–van Alphen (dHvA) oscillations with a major frequency peak at F δ ~ 130 T. By rotating the sample at various tilt angles Θ, we observed that F δ exhibits a nearly 1/cos⁡Θ dependence, indicating the presence of a quasi-two-dimensional (2D) Fermi surface (FS) in YbTi 3 ⁢Bi 4 . This argument is further supported by the detection of a forward-leaning, sawtoothlike waveform in the dHvA effect, a hallmark of 2D FS characteristics. Notably, we identified two high-frequency peaks near F χ ~ 1900 T and F λ ~ 5600 T; however, these peaks quickly disappear at Θ greater than 21°. To better understand experimental observations, we computed the electronic band structure and FS using ab initio density-functional theory (DFT). The electronic bands reveal the presence of several Dirac points, flat bands, and van Hove singularities near the Fermi level. Five bands cross the Fermi level and contribute to the FS of this material. The FS comprises cylindrical sheets, with theoretical frequencies from the FS pockets aligning well with the experimental dHvA frequencies. Several FS parameters characterizing F δ were determined by analyzing the temperature and field dependence of the dHvA oscillations using the Lifshitz-Kosevich theory. Further, the detailed electronic properties presented in this work provide critical insights into the electronic structure of YbTi 3 ⁢Bi 4 and other titanium-based kagome compounds.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

DOE OSTI2023

Small-Magnitude Seismic Swarms in Central Utah (US): Interactions of Regional Tectonics, Local Structures and Hydrothermal Systems

Swarms in Central Utah are situated in the complex transition between the Basin and Range (BR) province and the Colorado Plateau. Transecting transverse structures, volcanic deposits, and hydrothermal systems complicate the extensional BR horst and graben structures and provide a multitude of plausible triggering mechanisms. Revisiting the catalog of the University of Utah Seismograph Stations (1981–2022), we analyze spatio-temporal patterns and characteristic features of seismic sequences. Swarms with alternating seismicity rates, bursts, and longer swarms with persistent moment release exhibit a remarkable diversity in temporal evolution. Swarm durations do not scale with cumulative seismic moment: swarms lasting less than 1 day can have similar cumulative seismic moments as month-long swarms. Here, we observe stationary swarms re-occurring for years (e.g., Mineral Mountains), as well as singular swarms in low-seismicity areas (e.g., activating a local structure). The swarms show a pronounced heterogeneity in triggering and driving mechanisms, observed in the detailed analysis of exemplary sequences (detections, relocations, moment tensors, waveform-based clustering, and repeater analysis). The 2022 Sevier Valley sequence activated a BR-related normal fault, the first resolved fault plane in the valley since 1983. The 2011 Circleville sequence is interpreted as a swarm triggered by mainshock-aftershock activity characterized by increasing magnitudes, changing rupture mechanisms, and a concentration of highly similar events in the second part of the sequence. By jointly discussing exemplary sequences and catalog statistics, we draw a comprehensive picture of swarm activity and its relation to geothermal and tectonic activity.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2023

Topological enhancement of nonlinear transport in unconventional point-node semimetals

The topological singularity of the Bloch states close to the Fermi level significantly enhances nonlinear electric responses in topological semimetals. Here, we systematically characterize this enhancement for a large class of topological nodal-point fermions, including those with linear, linear-quadratic, and quadratic dispersions. Specifically, we determine the leading power-law dependence of the nonlinear response functions on the chemical potential μ defined relative to the nodal point. We identify two characteristics that qualitatively improve nonlinear transports compared to those of conventional Dirac and Weyl fermions. First, the type-II (overtilted) spectrum leads to the log μ enhancement of nonlinear response functions having zero scaling dimension with respect to μ, which is not seen in a type-I (moderately or not tilted) spectrum. Second, the anisotropic linear-quadratic dispersion increases the power of small-μ divergence for the nonlinear response tensors along the linearly dispersing direction. Furthermore, our work reveals new experimental signatures of unconventional nodal points in topological semimetals as well as provides a guiding principle for giant nonlinear electric responses.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

DOE OSTI2023

U-rich U-Mo Solidus, Liquidus, Enthalpy, and Thermal Diffusivity

Several material properties have been studied as a function of composition as part of the USHPRR effort to use U-10Mo for LEU monolithic fuel foils, with special attention to areas where simulation outcomes can be improved. The liquidus and solidus phase boundaries are important for engineering design of processing parameters and for predicting the degree of microsegregation within initial castings. The numerous phase diagram constructions available in the literature differ significantly in their solid/liquid boundary definitions, therefore, an experimental strategy was employed in order to resolve some of the discord. That strategy focuses not on proving any singular point, but instead to provide data with highly characterized uncertainty. The data presented here is the most consistent with the U-rich liquidus and solidus boundaries provided by H. Okamoto (2012), Berche et al. (2011), and Mardon et al. (1959). The recently suggested change in the peritectic reaction temperature (to 1302 K) suggested by Berchè and adopted by Okamoto is also supported, but with lower confidence. The enthalpy of fusion is a basic characteristic of the solidification reaction property for which is required for both research-oriented predictions of behavior and development of applied design strategies for casting engineering. It has been determined that an admixture model for the heat of fusion between U BCC and Mo BCC is a reasonable assumption within the composition region of interest, though limitations of the measurement accuracy impacts the ability to support any trends more detailed than this baseline behavior. A limited number of thermal diffusivity measurements were also performed into the gamma region to provide additional information for solidification modeling and simulations as well as a check on the component properties of thermal conductivity, density, and heat capacity.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2020

Learning compact physics‐aware delayed photocurrent models using dynamic mode decomposition

Abstract Radiation‐induced photocurrent in semiconductor devices can be simulated using complex physics‐based models, which are accurate, but computationally expensive. This presents a challenge for implementing device characteristics in high‐level circuit simulations where it is computationally infeasible to evaluate detailed models for multiple individual circuit elements. In this work we demonstrate a procedure for learning compact delayed photocurrent models that are efficient enough to implement in large‐scale circuit simulations, but remain faithful to the underlying physics. Our approach utilizes dynamic mode decomposition (DMD), a system identification technique for learning reduced‐order discrete‐time dynamical systems from time series data based on singular value decomposition. To obtain physics‐aware device models, we simulate the excess carrier density induced by radiation pulses by solving numerically the ambipolar diffusion equation, then use the simulated internal state as training data for the DMD algorithm. Our results show that the significantly reduced‐order delayed photocurrent models obtained via this method accurately approximate the dynamics of the internal excess carrier density—which can be used to calculate the induced current at the device boundaries—while remaining compact enough to incorporate into larger circuit simulations.

Hanson, Joshua↗

DOE OSTI2024

Analysis of Control Behavior in Eco-Driving Speed Optimization Using Pontryagin’s Minimum Principle

The energy efficiency of autonomous vehicles can be improved by selecting an optimized speed profile. Energy savings can be maximized by performing control optimization with knowledge of the powertrain characteristics and future driving conditions. Previous studies have shown that Pontryagin’s minimum principle (PMP) performs well in vehicle speed optimization problems. Building on the methods proposed in previous studies, the contribution of this study is to derive meaningful observations from the concepts and results of PMP to enhance the understanding of the control problem. In particular, the switching behavior of the control mode is analyzed with supportive variables, such as ξ and mv, which dictates the changes in the control modes. Additionally, the existence of the singular control is analyzed, which helps in understanding the cruise driving in the control problem. Finally, we obtain several solutions that satisfy various boundary conditions along with a map of the reachable states, and discuss the impact of cruise driving. This is helpful for designing practical control concepts for real-world applications based on this map. Previous studies have contributed significantly to this control problem; however, this study provides a better understanding of the issue and offers guidance and inspiration for future real-world applications based on these meaningful observations.

33 ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗

DOE OSTI2025

BCARS Simulated Phantom Dataset for Evaluation of Processing Pipelines

Broadband coherent anti-Stokes Raman scattering (BCARS) microscopy is a powerful label-free biological imaging technique, but the raw signal requires careful processing. The vibrationally resonant (Raman) fingerprint signal is usually small compared with instrumental noise sources and the nonresonant background (NRB) inherent in the BCARS signal. Fortunately, the NRB exhibits a systematic phase relationship with the coherent Raman response, acting as a heterodyne amplifier for the weak fingerprint signal. Due to this heterodyne effect, the Raman response can be recovered quantitatively and invariantly across different instruments, provided the NRB shape is known. Even with heterodyne amplification, the amplitudes of fingerprint signal components are often comparable to system noise. Singular value decomposition (SVD), which utilizes spatial information, is often employed for additional noise filtering. Consequently, finding optimal processing parameters to properly distinguish the NRB and Raman responses and suppress noise in the complex BCARS signal requires a reference system that realistically represents the spectral and spatial properties of BCARS signals obtained from biological samples. We present a digital tissue phantom that meets these criteria as a tool for testing candidate signal processing pipelines. The digital phantom is generated with simulated hyperspectral Raman images having system-specific noise and background characteristics. Here, we analyze phantom datasets with differing background and signal-to-noise conditions to evaluate their impact on the performance of multiple signal processing pipelines. Specifically, we investigate the application of a Butterworth filter-based routine to directly estimate the NRB from the BCARS signal. Additionally, we evaluate a Lorentzian wavelet transform as an alternative to the Hilbert transform for extracting the Raman spectrum from the BCARS signal. While we demonstrate this phantom for BCARS, it can be used for any spectroscopic Raman imaging approach.

Dixon, Jessica Z. [Georgia Institute of Technology↗

DOE OSTI2022

Scaling of Shear Rheology of Concentrated Charged Colloidal Suspensions across Glass Transition

Electrostatic interparticle interactions are a key component in controlling and designing rheological characteristics of concentrated charged colloidal suspensions. Herein, we investigate electroviscous effects on shear rheology using highly charged silica particles. By fixing the volume fraction but varying the salinity, the system undergoes a glass transition as evidenced by the evolution of the yield stress and zero-shear viscosity. We show that the steady shear viscosities obey a critical scaling relation that scales the flow curves into a super- and a sub-critical branch with glass transition salinity serving as the bifurcation point; we also demonstrate an isoviscosity scaling that collapses all isoviscosity lines into a single master curve that exhibits no singularity. Based on each scaling relation, in conjunction with common modeling equations, the quantitative relationships between the shear viscosity, stress, and salinity are established. This study demonstrates a new framework to model the steady shear rheology of concentrated charged colloids.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

DOE OSTI2024

A flexible class of priors for orthonormal matrices with basis function-specific structure

Statistical modeling of high-dimensional matrix-valued data motivates the use of a low-rank representation that simultaneously summarizes key characteristics of the data and enables dimension reduction. Low-rank representations commonly factor the original data into the product of orthonormal basis functions and weights, where each basis function represents an independent feature of the data. However, the basis functions in these factorizations are typically computed using algorithmic methods that cannot quantify uncertainty or account for basis function correlation structure a priori. While there exist Bayesian methods that allow for a common correlation structure across basis functions, empirical examples motivate the need for basis function-specific dependence structure. We propose a prior distribution for orthonormal matrices that can explicitly model basis function-specific structure. The prior is used within a general probabilistic model for singular value decomposition to conduct posterior inference on the basis functions while accounting for measurement error and fixed effects. We discuss how the prior specification can be used for various scenarios and demonstrate favorable model properties through synthetic data examples. Finally, we apply our method to two-meter air temperature data from the Pacific Northwest, enhancing our understanding of the Earth system’s internal variability.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗