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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 37 records · Page 2

Stochastic multiscale modeling for quantifying statistical and model errors with application to composite materials

This paper provides a coherent and efficient computational framework for stochastic multiscale analysis of material systems in the presence of parametric uncertainties and modeling errors. Uncertainty in those model parameters that are not deduced as upscaled quantities is attributed to an uncertainty “germ”. While such parameters can appear at any scale, they are predominant at the finest analysis scale. Additional uncertainties stemming from statistical estimation, attributed to lack of data and model error, are associated with each submodel contributing to the multiscale system. Here, a robust and efficient framework based on a generalized extended polynomial chaos expansion (gEPCE) is proposed to simultaneously propagate all these uncertainties in order to provide a probabilistic representation of specific quantities of interest (QoI). We characterize the full probability distribution of the QoI and the uncertainty in the failure probability pertaining to its tails. By combining gEPCE with kernel density estimation (KDE) and directional derivatives, we construct sensitivity measures that connect these statistical metrics of QoI to the various sources of uncertainty to assess their individual and combined impacts. An illustrative problem featuring three-point bending of a composite beam is investigated to demonstrate the presented approach.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

ANTARES and IceCube Combined Search for Neutrino Point-like and Extended Sources in the Southern Sky

A search for point-like and extended sources of cosmic neutrinos using data collected by the ANTARES and IceCube neutrino telescopes is presented. The data set consists of all the track-like and shower-like events pointing in the direction of the Southern Sky included in the nine-year ANTARES point-source analysis, combined with the throughgoing track-like events used in the seven-year IceCube point-source search. The advantageous field of view of ANTARES and the large size of IceCube are exploited to improve the sensitivity in the Southern Sky by a factor of ~2 compared to both individual analyses. In this work, the Southern Sky is scanned for possible excesses of spatial clustering, and the positions of preselected candidate sources are investigated. In addition, special focus is given to the region around the Galactic Center, whereby a dedicated search at the location of SgrA* is performed, and to the location of the supernova remnant RXJ 1713.7-3946. Furthermore, no significant evidence for cosmic neutrino sources is found, and upper limits on the flux from the various searches are presented.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

The Tianlai Cylinder Pathfinder Array: System Functions and Basic Performance Analysis

The Tianlai Cylinder Pathfinder is a radio interferometer array designed to test techniques for 21 cm intensity mapping in the post-reionization Universe, with the ultimate aim of mapping the large scale structure of the Universe and measuring cosmological parameters such as the dark energy equation of state. Each of its three parallel cylinder reflectors are oriented in the north-south direction, and the array has a large field of view. As the Earth rotates, the northern sky is observed by drift scanning. The array is located in Hongliuxia, a radio quiet site in Xinjiang, and saw its first light in September 2016. In this first paper on the data analysis of the Tianlai cylinder array, we describe the system functions of the array, the commissioning observations during 2016- 2018, and present its basic performance characteristics. We show examples of the interferometric visibility data, then using the observational data, we derive the actual beam profile in the east-west direction, the bandpass response, and calibrate the complex gains for the array elements either with a strong astronomical point source, or with an artificial calibrator source. Based on the preliminary analysis of the data, we derive the system temperature and sensitivity of the array.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Discovering hydrothermalism from Afar: In Situ methane instrumentation and change-point detection for decision-making

Seafloor hydrothermalism plays a critical role in fundamental interactions between geochemical and biological processes in the deep ocean. A significant number of hydrothermal vents are hypothesized to exist, but many of these remain undiscovered due in part to the difficulty of detecting hydrothermalism using standard sensors on rosettes towed in the water column or robotic platforms performing surveys. Here, we use in situ methane sensors to complement standard sensing technology for hydrothermalism discovery and compare sensors on a towed rosette and an autonomous underwater vehicle (AUV) during a 17 km long transect in the Northern Guaymas Basin in the Gulf of California. This transect spatially intersected with a known hydrothermally active venting site. These data show that methane signalled possible hydrothermal-activity 1.5–3 km laterally (100–150 m vertically) from a known vent. Methane as a signal for hydrothermalism performed similarly to standard turbidity sensors (plume detection 2.2–3.3 km from reference source), and more sensitively and clearly than temperature, salinity, and oxygen instruments which readily respond to physical mixing in background seawater. We additionally introduce change-point detection algorithms—streaming cross-correlation and regime identification—as a means of real-time hydrothermalism discovery and discuss related data supervision technologies that could be used in planning, executing, and monitoring explorative surveys for hydrothermalism.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Analytic Sensitivity Coefficients for Bethe's Solution of the Neutron Slowing Down Equation

Neutron slowing down theory is used to derive expressions for the sensitivity coefficients of the neutron collision density in a hydrogenous infinite medium with respect to the fixed source, scattering probability, and macroscopic nuclear cross sections. Analytic expressions for Bethe’s solution of the neutron slowing down equation are derived for the constant cross section approximation with a point, uniform, and gamma lethargy spectrum. Analytic expressions for the corresponding sensitivity coefficients are derived and used to verify Monte Carlo neutron transport calculations.

Analytic Benchmark↗

Simulation and Sensitivity Analysis of a Cryogenic Carbon Capture System for the Cement Industry

The talk will describe modeling and analysis of cryogenic systems for carbon capture from industrial point sources, thermodynamic and process simulation requirements to predict capture from typical flue gases, quantification of temperature and flow profiles for a range of gas feed compositions and capture levels, and impacts of process conditions and heat transfer on energy requirements for heat integration.

Paul, Brandon↗

Measurements of proton capture in the A=100–110 mass region: Constraints on the In 111 (γ,p)/(γ,n) branching point relevant to the γ process

The γ process is an explosive astrophysical scenario, which is thought to be the primary source of the rare proton-rich stable p nuclei. However, current γ-process models remain insufficient in describing the observed p-nuclei abundances, with disagreements up to two orders of magnitude. A sensitivity study has identified 111 In as a model-sensitive (γ,p)/(γ,n) branching point within the γ process. Constraining the involved reaction rates may have a significant impact on the predicted p-nuclei abundances. Here we report on measurements of the cross sections for 102 Pd (p,γ) 103 Ag, 108 Cd (p,γ) 109 In, and 110 Cd (p,γ) 111 In reactions for proton laboratory energies 3–8 MeV using the high efficiency total absorption spectrometer and the γ-summing technique. These measurements were used to constrain Hauser-Feshbach parameters used in talys 1.9, which constrains the 111 In(γ,p) 110 Cd and 111 In(γ,n) 110 Ag reaction rates. The newly constrained reaction rates indicate that the 111 In(γ,p)/(γ,n) branching point occurs at a temperature of 2.71 ± 0.05 GK, well within the temperature range relevant to the γ process. These findings differ significantly from previous studies and may impact the calculated abundances.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Absolute calibration of the conical crystal configuration of the zinc spectrometer (ZSPEC) at the OMEGA laser facility

In this study, we present the absolute calibration of the conical crystal for the zinc spectrometer (ZSPEC), an x-ray spectrometer at the OMEGA laser facility at the Laboratory for Laser Energetics. The ZSPEC was originally designed to measure x-ray Thomson scattering using flat or cylindrically curved highly oriented pyrolytic graphite crystals centered around Zn He-alpha emission at 9 keV. To improve the useful spectral range and collection efficiency of the ZSPEC, a conical highly annealed pyrolytic graphite crystal was fabricated for the ZSPEC. The conically bent crystal in the Hall geometry produces a line focus perpendicular to the spectrometer axis, corresponding to the detector plane of electronic detectors at large scale laser facilities such as OMEGA, extending the useful range of the spectrometer to 7–11 keV. Further, using data collected using a microfocus Mo x-ray source, we determine important characteristics of ZSPEC such as the dispersion, spatial resolution, and absolute sensitivity of the instrument. A ray-trace model of ZSPEC provides another point of agreement in calculations of the ZSPEC dispersion and crystal response.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗

Detecting Long-period Variability in the SDSS Stripe 82 Standards Catalog

We report the results of a search for long-period (100 < P < 600 days) periodic variability in the SDSS Stripe 82 standards catalog. The SDSS coverage of Stripe 82 enables such a search because there are on average 20 observations per band in ugriz bands for about one million sources, collected over about 6 yr, with a faint limit of r ~ 22 mag and precisely calibrated 1%–2% photometry. We calculated the periods of variable source candidates in this sample using the Lomb–Scargle periodogram and considered the three highest periodogram peaks in each of the gri filters as relevant. Only those sources with gri periods consistent within 0.1% were later studied. We use the Kuiper statistic to ensure uniform distribution of data points in phased light curves. We present five sources with the spectra consistent with quasar spectra and plausible periodic variability. This SDSS-based search bodes well for future sensitive large-area surveys, such as the Rubin Observatory Legacy Survey of Space and Time, which, due to its larger sky coverage (about a factor of 60) and improved sensitivity (~2 mag), will be more powerful for finding such sources.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

A Life Cycle Analysis Framework for Point Source Capture Systems

NETL studies the costs and benefits of PSC for electricity, industry, and mobile applications. Mobile point source capture (MPSC) and storage applied to freight modes captures emissions directly from exhaust. This poster presents a framework for conducting LCA of PSC systems applied to heavy-duty trucks, freight trains, and marine vessels. The framework defines a wheels-to-storage (gate-to-grave) boundary, including energy demands (electricity, heat, and cooling requirements), solvent use and cycling, onboard system components, carbon storage in a saline aquifer, and upstream manufacturing impacts for equipment, with a suggested functional unit of 1 tonne-km. Potential data sources for analysis include material, energy, and operational data from Oak Ridge National Laboratory, GREET (Greenhouse gases, Regulated Emissions, and Energy use in Technologies) model, and scientific literature. The suggested analytical approach includes comparison to publicly available business-as-usual systems without capture across all modes of transportation, sensitivity to composition of the capture solvent, and sensitivity to capture rate variation, all of which would support a wholistic PSC business case analysis. For future consideration, analysis can be augmented with consideration of different sources of electricity (e.g., nuclear), fuel substitution, deploying supportive infrastructure such as pipeline offloading points, and downstream applications like enhanced oil recovery (EOR).

life cycle analysis (LCA)↗

Detector Characterization for SuperCDMS Commissioning

Super Cryogenic Dark Matter Search (SuperCDMS) SNOLAB is a next generation direct detection experiment search ing for low mass dark matter using cryogenic germanium and silicon detectors operated at millikelvin temperatures. As the experiment begins its first commissioning data taking, establishing that the detectors respond to energy deposits in a stable, predictable way is a prerequisite for any future physics analysis. This work presents a study of detector stability for four SuperCDMS SNOLAB detectors, det 7 and det 15 (germanium), and det 11 and det 14 (silicon), using two data sets taken during early commissioning: dedicated Barium-133 calibration runs, which provide a known gamma ray energy reference at 356 keV, and low background runs, which record whatever background radiation the detectors see with no external source present. The Ba-133 data do not show a distinct, well localized line at the expected energy, and the low background data show a baseline that drifts and oscillates over time rather than remaining flat. This baseline instability appears consistently across multiple channels rather than being confined to one, suggesting a shared, detector wide cause rather than a single faulty channel. Together, these observations point to the detectors’ cryogenic support system as the likely source of the instability, since small temperature fluctuations introduced during normal operation of the cooling system could plausibly couple into the exquisitely temperature sensitive detectors. These results inform the ongoing commissioning effort by narrowing down where instability in the current data is originating from.

O'Hanlon, Viktoria M. [Skidmore Coll.; Fermilab]↗

Detector Characterization for SuperCDMS Commissioning

Super Cryogenic Dark Matter Search (SuperCDMS) SNOLAB is a next generation direct detection experiment search ing for low mass dark matter using cryogenic germanium and silicon detectors operated at millikelvin temperatures. As the experiment begins its first commissioning data taking, establishing that the detectors respond to energy deposits in a stable, predictable way is a prerequisite for any future physics analysis. This work presents a study of detector stability for four SuperCDMS SNOLAB detectors, det 7 and det 15 (germanium), and det 11 and det 14 (silicon), using two data sets taken during early commissioning: dedicated Barium-133 calibration runs, which provide a known gamma ray energy reference at 356 keV, and low background runs, which record whatever background radiation the detectors see with no external source present. The Ba-133 data do not show a distinct, well localized line at the expected energy, and the low background data show a baseline that drifts and oscillates over time rather than remaining flat. This baseline instability appears consistently across multiple channels rather than being confined to one, suggesting a shared, detector wide cause rather than a single faulty channel. Together, these observations point to the detectors’ cryogenic support system as the likely source of the instability, since small temperature fluctuations introduced during normal operation of the cooling system could plausibly couple into the exquisitely temperature sensitive detectors. These results inform the ongoing commissioning effort by narrowing down where instability in the current data is originating from.

O'Hanlon, Viktoria M. [Skidmore Coll.; Fermilab]↗

Dynamical Aspects of the Quark Gluon Plasma

Shortly after the Big Bang the entire universe was filled with a nearly perfect fluid known as the Quark Gluon Plasma. Relativistic heavy ion collisions can now reproduce this fluid in the laboratory where the Quark Gluon Plasma exhibits a rapid but smooth cross-over phase transition into hadrons at vanishing net-baryon densities. Recent experiments plan to explore finite baryon densities where a critical point is expected. If found, this would mark the first discovery of a critical point in a relativistic system described by a fundamental theory of nature, which would have far-reaching consequences for high-energy nuclear physics and nuclear astrophysics (such as in neutron star mergers). Characteristic temperatures of equilibrium (e.g. the inflection point of the entropy density) and transport coefficients (e.g. minimum of the shear viscosity over entropy density) vary widely at a cross-over phase transition but converge at a critical point, and extracting the behavior of these characteristic temperatures is a major focal point of this research. Specifically, the interplay between strange and light hadrons is exploited to study the flavor hierarchy in the cross-over region. To investigate this, a viscous relativistic hydrodynamics framework with two conserved charges is being developed into a new open-source code along with initial conditions that contain baryon number and strangeness. Flow observables sensitive to the equation of state and transport coefficients are calculated across beam energies. New techniques are being developed to study this flavor hierarchy from first principles and to extract the characteristic temperatures from experimental data. Through this new dynamical framework, this project provides essential guidance to the Beam Energy Scan II runs at Relativistic Heavy-Ion Collider and the future Facility for Antiproton and Ion Research facility in the search for the Quantum Chromodynamic critical point and subsequent investigation of the baryon-rich Quark Gluon Plasma.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

The MeerKAT Fornax Survey: II. The rapid removal of H I from dwarf galaxies in the Fornax cluster

We present MeerKAT Fornax Survey atomic hydrogen (H I) observations of the dwarf galaxies located in the central ~2.5 × 4 deg 2 of the Fornax galaxy cluster (R vir ~2°). The H I images presented in this work have a 3σ column density sensitivity between 2.7 and 50 × 10 18 cm –2 over 25 km s –1 for spatial resolution between 4 and 1 kpc. We are able to detect an impressive M HI = 5 × 10 5 M ⊙ 3σ point source with a line width of 50 km s –1 at a distance of 20 Mpc. We detected H I in 17 out of the 304 dwarfs in our field, with 14 out of the 36 late-type dwarfs (LTDs) and three out of the 268 early-type dwarfs (ETDs). The H I-detected LTDs have likely just joined the cluster and are on their first infall as they are located at large clustocentric radii, with comparable MHI and mean stellar surface brightness at fixed luminosity as blue, star-forming LTDs in the field. By contrast, the H I-detected ETDs have likely been in the cluster longer than the LTDs and acquired their H I through a recent merger or accretion from nearby H I. Eight of the H I-detected LTDs host irregular or asymmetric H I emission and disturbed or lopsided stellar emission. There are two clear cases of ram pressure shaping the H I, with the LTDs displaying compressed H I on the side closest to the cluster centre and a one-sided, starless tail pointing away from the cluster centre. The H I-detected dwarfs avoid the most massive potentials (i.e. cluster centre and massive galaxies), consistent with massive galaxies playing an active role in the removal of H I. We created a simple toy model to quantify the timescale of H I stripping in the cluster by reproducing the observed M r' –M HI relation. We find that a M HI = 10 8 M ⊙ dwarf is stripped in ~240 Myr. The model is consistent with our observations, where low-mass LTDs are directly stripped of their H I from a single encounter and more massive LTDs can harbour a disturbed H I morphology due to longer times or multiple encounters being required to fully strip their H I. This is the first time dwarf galaxies with M HI ≲ 1 × 10 6 M ⊙ have been detected and resolved beyond the local group and in a galaxy cluster.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Radiological Monitoring Plan for the Oak Ridge Y-12 National Security Complex: Surface Water

DOE Order 458.1 requires that dose estimates consider contributions from all facilities. In the Y-12 Radiological Monitoring Plan (RMP), surface water is monitored at points that reflect individual facilities, as well as at points that reflect the combined contributions of all facilities. This monitoring plan does not consider other potential routes (i.e., airborne releases and food chains). Thus, a complete determination of total effective dose (TED) cannot be made based on this plan alone. The other routes from Y-12, and all routes from other DOE facilities on the Oak Ridge Reservation (e.g., Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL) and The Heritage Center), must be considered in order to satisfy DOE Order 458.1 requirements. Determination of TED from all sites and pathways is done through the use of dose-assessment models and is documented in the Annual Site Environmental Report. This monitoring plan provides adequate monitoring goals for Y-12 surface water releases to provide input of sufficient sensitivity and accuracy to reliably determine the Y-12 surface water component of the TED. The routine radiological monitoring program is designed to monitor effluents at four types of locations: (1) treatment facilities, (2) other point and area source discharges, (3) instream locations, and (4) production building roof run-off. With this sampling and analysis program, data will be obtained on primary point sources as well as on locations that represent the composite of other potential sources. This plan will be reviewed periodically to determine necessary modifications to the sampling frequencies, parameters, and locations. Modifications, if any, will be based on the analysis of the previous data and its effectiveness in satisfying the objectives of this plan. Appendix A contains graphs of the sum of the DCS fractions for locations and frequencies contained in a previous version of this plan. The data was collected from January 2009 through December 2019. Each sample was analyzed, and each result was divided by the appropriate DCS to compute a DCS fraction. These fractions were summed for all isotopes. According to DOE –STD-1196-2011, the annual average of these sums should be below 1.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Dependence of Cosmological Constraints on Gray Photometric Zero-point Uncertainties of Supernova Surveys

Abstract Type Ia supernova (SN) measurements of the Hubble constant, H 0 ; cosmic mass density, Ω M ; and dark energy equation-of-state parameter, w , rely on heterogeneous SN surveys across three decades of observation. These distinct surveys may have undiagnosed, relative photometric zero-point errors. We determine the sensitivities of the SH0ES+Pantheon+ cosmological constraints to unknown gray systematics in the photometric zero-point calibration between the 19 surveys that comprise the Pantheon+ SN compendium. Varying the surveys’ gray zero-points simultaneously with cosmological parameters, we determine that the SH0ES+Pantheon+ measurement of H 0 is robust against gray intersurvey photometric miscalibration. Specifically, uncalibrated intersurvey systematics could represent a source of uncertainty no larger than 0.39 km s −1 Mpc −1 for H 0 . This modest increase in H 0 uncertainty could not account for the 7 km s −1 Mpc −1 “Hubble tension” between the SH0ES measurement of H 0 and the Planck ΛCDM-based inference of H 0 . However, the SH0ES+Pantheon+ best-fit values of Ω M and w are not robust against gray zero-point error, slipping by up to 0.16 and −0.63. Because measurements of Ω M and w depend on intrasurvey cross-band calibration, the hypothetical gray miscalibration underestimates the sensitivity of these measurements to zero-point miscalibration. Because the Pantheon+ compendium contains many surveys that share low- z Hubble flow (HF) and Cepheid-paired SNe, intersurvey photometric calibration errors do not significantly impede the joint use of SH0ES and Pantheon+ to measure H 0 to 1% accuracy. However, H 0 constraints that rely on one HF survey but numerous galactic distance calibration surveys are susceptible to intersurvey photometric miscalibration.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Accounting for uncertainty sources in pyrometric measurements: Variables affecting Surface Temperature measurements using the LLNL Streak Spectrometers

Here we present a detailed analysis of the error sensitivities of the LLNL temperature analysis package used in analyzing streak spectrometer data. These sensitivities include noise, temperature, wavelength, emissivity, missing bands, and missing data points. The analysis package was tested for its ability to accurately reconstruct randomly generated noisy data and found to perform within specifications.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗