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DOE OSTI2021

Fluctuating hydrodynamics of chiral active fluids

Active materials are characterized by continuous injection of energy at the microscopic level and typically cannot be adequately described by equilibrium thermodynamics. Here we study a class of active fluids in which equilibrium-like properties emerge when fluctuating and activated degrees of freedom are statistically decoupled, such that their mutual information is negligible. We analyse three paradigmatic systems: chiral active fluids composed of spinning frictional particles that are free to translate, oscillating granular gases and active Brownian rollers. In all of these systems, a single effective temperature generated by activity parameterizes both the equation of state and the emergent Boltzmann statistics. The same effective temperature, renormalized by velocity correlations, relates viscosities to steady-state stress fluctuations via a Green–Kubo relation. To rationalize these observations, we develop a theory for the fluctuating hydrodynamics of these non-equilibrium fluids and validate it through large-scale molecular dynamics simulations. Our work sheds light on the microscopic origin of odd viscosities and stress fluctuations characteristic of parity-violating fluids, in which mirror symmetry and detailed balance are broken.

74 ATOMIC AND MOLECULAR PHYSICS↗

DOE OSTI2024

Microscopic evidence for scission neutrons

We discuss the neck rupture stage of fission and the emission of particles afterwards, two extremely rapid and highly non-equilibrium processes. Currently, the neck rupture cannot be directly probed by experiment, highlighting the importance of reliable theoretical predictions for this stage of fission. Time-dependent density functional theory (TDDFT) is used to simulate the spontaneous fission of 252 Cf. In conjunction with statistical models, inputs from microscopic calculations can be used to make predictions for prompt neutron and gamma emission spectra, quantities which can be experimentally measured. Here we characterize the scission mechanism within TDDFT and estimate the number of scission neutrons and their kinetic energies.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

DOE OSTI2024

Microscopic Evidence for Scission Neutrons

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

NASA NTRS2019

Modeling Mg II During Solar Flares. I. Partial Frequency Redistribution, Opacity, and Coronal Irradiation

The Interface Region Imaging Spectrograph has routinely observed the ﬂaring Mg II near-ultraviolet (NUV) spectrum, offering excellent diagnostic potential and a window into the location of energy deposition. A number of studies have forward-modeled both the general properties of these lines and speciﬁc ﬂare observations. Generally these have forward-modeled radiation via post-processing of snapshots from hydrodynamic ﬂare simulations through radiation transfer codes. There has, however, not been a study of how the physics included in these radiation transport codes affects the solution. A baseline setup for forward-modeling Mg II in ﬂares is presented and contrasted with approaches that add or remove complexity. It is shown for Mg II that (1) partial frequency distribution (PRD) is still required during ﬂare simulations despite the increased densities; (2) using full angle-dependent PRD affects the solution but takes signiﬁcantly longer to process a snapshot; (3) including Mg I in non-LTE (NLTE) results in negligible differences to the Mg II lines but does affect the NUV quasi-continuum; (4) only hydrogen and Mg II need to be included in NLTE; (5) ideally the nonequilibrium hydrogen populations, with nonthermal collisional rates, should be used rather than the statistical equilibrium populations; (6) an atom consisting of only the ground state, h and k upper levels, and continuum level is insufﬁcient to model the resonance lines; and (7) irradiation from a hot, dense ﬂaring transition region can affect the formation of Mg II. We discuss modiﬁcations to the RH code allowing straightforward inclusion of the transition region and coronal irradiation in ﬂares.

Kerr, Graham S.↗

DOE OSTI2023

An atomistic theory of nucleation: Self-organization via non-equilibrium work and fluctuations

For this work, insights from non-equilibrium statistical mechanics, highlighting the role of work and fluctuations at the microscale, are applied toward the development of a fundamental, rigorous and purely atomistic theory of nucleation. Nanoscale fluctuations in order, density and heat influence the local nucleation rate by orders of magnitude, necessitating their inclusion through a modern approach. Coarse-graining over the underlying Hamiltonian dynamics allows derivation of a microscale expression for the nucleation rate in terms of a classical path integral over far from equilibrium trajectories and their associated work. Second law violating states at the microscale, as found from the dynamics of small critical nucleation clusters, contribute exponentially to the observable macroscale nucleation rate.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

NASA NTRS1995

Fractal mechanisms and heart rate dynamics. Long-range correlations and their breakdown with disease

Under healthy conditions, the normal cardiac (sinus) interbeat interval fluctuates in a complex manner. Quantitative analysis using techniques adapted from statistical physics reveals the presence of long-range power-law correlations extending over thousands of heartbeats. This scale-invariant (fractal) behavior suggests that the regulatory system generating these fluctuations is operating far from equilibrium. In contrast, it is found that for subjects at high risk of sudden death (e.g., congestive heart failure patients), these long-range correlations break down. Application of fractal scaling analysis and related techniques provides new approaches to assessing cardiac risk and forecasting sudden cardiac death, as well as motivating development of novel physiologic models of systems that appear to be heterodynamic rather than homeostatic.

NASA Discipline Cardiopulmonary↗

DOE OSTI2025

Potentials of mean force fail to describe chemical bond-breaking in solution

Many liquid phase studies assume that the potential energy surfaces of reacting molecules are the same as in the gas phase, neglecting complex solvent dynamics that can completely alter the nature of chemical reactivity. Even studies that include solvent effects typically only consider them in an average, equilibrium way as part of a potential of mean force (PMF). In this work, we use mixed quantum/classical simulations to compare how equilibrium and non-equilibrium solvent motions affect the photodissociation of a simple diatomic molecule, NaK + , in liquid tetrahydrofuran. A PMF analysis shows that as the excited-state molecule dissociates with the solvent at equilibrium, the bonding electron remains associated with K + at short bond distances but eventually localizes on Na + at the end of dissociation. When we examine non-equilibrium dynamical photodissociation trajectories, however, we find that they fall into three distinct categories: about a quarter of them have the bonding electron mainly associated with Na + , another quarter stay mainly associated with K + , and about half have the bonding electron shared roughly equally between the two ions. The results show that equilibrium PMFs cannot accurately describe the dynamics of bond-breaking chemical reactions in solution because there is insufficient time for the solvent to reach equilibrium on the time scale over which bond dissociation occurs. Furthermore, our analysis shows that the solvent coupling between the electronic energy surfaces is similar at and away from equilibrium, suggesting that other factors, such as solute velocity-driven solvent memory effects, play a more important role in explaining the failure of the equilibrium PMF to predict the non-equilibrium dynamics.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

DOE OSTI2026

Thermodynamics and its prediction and CALPHAD modeling: Review, state of the art, and perspectives

Thermodynamics is a science concerning the state of a system, whether it is stable, metastable, or unstable, when interacting with its surroundings. The combined law of thermodynamics derived by Gibbs about 150 years ago laid the foundation of thermodynamics. In Gibbs combined law, the entropy production due to internal processes was not included, and the 2nd law was thus practically removed from the Gibbs combined law, so it is only applicable to systems under equilibrium, thus commonly termed as equilibrium or Gibbs thermodynamics. Gibbs further derived the classical statistical thermodynamics in terms of the probability of configurations in a system in the later 1800's and early 1900's. With the quantum mechanics (QM) developed in 1920's, the QM-based statistical thermodynamics was established and connected to classical statistical thermodynamics at the classical limit as shown by Landau in the 1940's. In 1960's the development of density functional theory (DFT) by Kohn and co-workers enabled the QM prediction of properties of the ground state of a system. On the other hand, the entropy production due to internal processes in non-equilibrium systems was studied separately by Onsager in 1930's and Prigogine and co-workers in the 1950's. In 1960's to 1970's the digitization of thermodynamics was developed by Kaufman in the framework of the CALculation of PHAse Diagrams (CALPHAD) modeling of individual phases with internal degrees of freedom. CALPHAD modeling of thermodynamics and atomic transport properties has enabled computational design of complex materials in the last 50 years. Our recently termed zentropy theory integrates DFT and statistical mechanics through the replacement of the internal energy of each individual configuration by its DFT-predicted free energy. The zentropy theory is capable of accurately predicting the free energy of individual phases, transition temperatures and properties of magnetic and ferroelectric materials with free energies of individual configurations solely from DFT-based calculations and without fitting parameters, and is being tested for other phenomena including superconductivity, quantum criticality, and black holes. Those predictions include the singularity at critical points with divergence of physical properties, negative thermal expansion, and the strongly correlated physics. Furthermore, those individual configurations may thus be considered as the genomic building blocks of individual phases in the spirit of the materials genome®. This has the potential to shift the paradigm of CALPHAD modeling from being heavily dependent on experimental inputs to becoming fully predictive with inputs solely from DFT-based calculations and machine learning models built on those calculations and existing experimental data through newly developed and future open-source tools. Furthermore, through the combined law of thermodynamics including the internal entropy production, it is shown that the kinetic coefficient matrix of independent internal processes is diagonal with respect to the conjugate potentials in the combined law, and the cross phenomena that the phenomenological Onsager flux and reciprocal relationships are due to the dependence of the conjugate potential of a molar quantity on nonconjugate molar quantities and other potentials, which can be predicted by the zentropy theory and CALPHAD modeling.

42 ENGINEERING↗

DOE OSTI2023

A First Principles Approach to Spectral Phonon Transport in Heterostructures

Understanding thermal transport across interfaces which give rise to a thermal resistance (also known as Kapitza resistance) is a critical issue affecting the development of nanotechnologies. Much modern and emergent nanotechnology consist of adjacent materials, and phonon mediated heat transfer governs thermal behavior across internal interfaces in these devices. The physics of thermal transport in solids are governed both by phenomena occurring at the atomic scale and interactions with the material's microstructure. The forecasting of fundamental quantities such as temperature, heat flux and thermal conductivity typically employs the semi-classical Boltzmann transport equation to predict the macroscopic behavior of materials in terms of the microscopic dynamics of its heat carriers. Kapitza resistance was first discovered in liquid helium experiments and has led to a fundamental research thrust in micro and nano-scale heat transport, the behavior of thermal carriers across internal interfaces. Thermal interfacial resistance (TIR) is a widely studied phenomenon, first engaged by Swartz and Pohl through their development of the acoustic and diffuse mismatch methods, then continued through myriad efforts with varying methods and approaches in an attempt to resolve carrier behavior at thermal interfaces. Many of the fundamental approaches to TIR have been at the nanoscale, and research is conducted with molecular dynamics (MD) and density functional theory (DFT) methods. The limitations of these methods is system size; atomistic methods tend to be limited to system sizes of 100,000 atoms or less. Larger length-scale methods have also been pursued, based on the principles of acoustic or diffuse mismatch, but not all include simulation of TIR using a full phonon band spectrum, or temperature dependent methods. Our approach to enabling phonon transport in layered materials draws upon our previous work of demonstrating spectrally coupled phonon transport in homogeneous and heterogeneous materials. We use a semi-analytical approach in which the Bose-Einstein (B-E) statistics set the strength of the phonon radiance in a frequency group, but the B-E statistics are informed with information from the transport system. The B-E statistics in a single frequency group feels the influence of all the groups through the spatial temperature. We also include a new field term which is an indicator of the amount of non-equilibrium behavior of the phonon spectrum---this is added to the phonon source term in all groups to ensure closure and conservation of energy, as the phonon groups in the transport system and the analytical systems are coupled. This work builds upon our previous approach by adding a phonon coupling term at an internal interface, using the principles of the DMM through transmission and reflection coefficients. In this work, the coefficients are determined through computing a common temperature at the interface, influenced by the phonon band structure of both materials, in effect, providing mixing between the two material systems and using the common temperature to set the strength of the phonon radiance at the boundaries on either side of the interface. Our approach uses material properties computed along various crystallographic orientations, and while some isotropy is built into the interface condition, the material properties weight the phonon distributions in the proper crystalline direction. Greater resolution of phonon behavior in proximity to an interface, and more accurate predictions of TIR are obtained. While it is true the assumption of diffuse mismatch can yield inconsistent results compared to experiment especially at low temperatures, this work focuses on room temperature and beyond effects, for future applications in nuclear fuel, or thermoelectric devices; a modified mismatch approach may be feasible if applied properly. Additionally, our methods focus on bridging mesoscale to engineering scale

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2025

Metastability of stratified magnetohydrostatic equilibria and their relaxation

Motivated by explosive releases of energy in fusion, space and astrophysical plasmas, we consider the nonlinear stability of stratified magnetohydrodynamic equilibria against two-dimensional interchanges of straight magnetic-flux tubes. We demonstrate that, even within this restricted class of dynamics, the linear stability of an equilibrium does not guarantee its nonlinear stability: equilibria can be metastable. We show that the minimum-energy state accessible to a metastable equilibrium under non-diffusive two-dimensional dynamics can be found by solving a combinatorial optimisation problem. These minimum-energy states are, to good approximation, the final states reached by our simulations of destabilised metastable equilibria for which turbulent mixing is suppressed by viscosity. To predict the result of fully turbulent relaxation, we construct a statistical mechanical theory based on the maximisation of Boltzmann's mixing entropy. This theory is analogous to the Lynden-Bell statistical mechanics of collisionless stellar systems and plasma, and to the Robert–Sommeria–Miller theory of two-dimensional vortex turbulence. Our theory reproduces well the results of our numerical simulations for sufficiently large perturbations to the metastable equilibrium.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

DOE OSTI2023

The onset distribution of rotating m , n = 2 , 1 tearing modes and its consequences on the stability of high-confinement-mode plasmas in DIII-D

Abstract Analysis of a multi-scenario database of over 13 000 DIII-D H-mode discharges shows that the m , n = 2 , 1 magnetic islands are dominantly pressure gradient driven, stochastically triggered non-linear instabilities at all edge safety factor ( q 95 ) values. The instability onset time closely follows the exponential distribution in intermediate and high q 95 scenarios and is characterized by near constant onset rate ( λ ), in accordance with Poisson-point processes. This implies that the plasmas are operated in marginally stable conditions, characterized by a small threshold for instability growth and variations in the trigger amplitude and/or the stabilizing mechanisms with temporally uniform random distribution in this database. While the majority of the tearing modes occur in the first current-profile relaxation time of the β N flattop, constant λ throughout the β N flattop shows that the tearing onset is insensitive to the evolution of the equilibrium current profile. In low q 95 scenarios, where a large fraction of the plasmas are operated at low torque, λ increases over the course of the β N flattop, showing that these plasmas evolve toward more unstable conditions. The onset rate rapidly increases with β N , while it does not show a clear dependence on the current gradient at the mode rational surface. Overall, these observations support that the majority of the analyzed 2,1 tearing modes are non-linear, neoclassically driven instabilities and classical stability does not play a dominant role in their onset.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

DOE OSTI2022

Polyethylene in Dead-End Silica Nanopores: Forces and Mobility from Non-Equilibrium Statistical Mechanics and Exchange Spectroscopy Nuclear Magnetic Resonance

Billions of tons of plastic have been produced, and only a small fraction of this has been recycled. Tennakoon et al. [Nature Catalysis 3, 893 (2020)] developed a catalyst that repeatedly cleaves C 10 –C 30 hydrocarbons from the end of a polyethylene chain. The reaction occurs at a Pt nanoparticle at the base of a cylindrical silica mesopore with a diameter of 2 nm and a length of 110 nm. Portions of the polymer situated inside the pore can be differentiated from those outside using 13 C nuclear magnetic resonance (NMR), allowing the dynamics and extent of polymer threading to be monitored using two-dimensional (2D) exchange spectroscopy NMR. Here we construct a Fokker–Planck equation for the polymer dynamics by assuming a reptation diffusivity and a graduated adsorption free energy that depends linearly on the depth of polymer penetration in the pore. The solutions allow us to predict the intensities of the 2D NMR resonances as a function of time. We use the solutions to extract a polymer diffusivity at each temperature and estimate the per-segment desorption free energy, enthalpy, and entropy. Random and systematic errors are examined to test key assumptions in the theory and interpretation of the experiments.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

DOE OSTI2025

Incorporating the molecular-scale into a hydrodynamic description of confined aqueous systems

Hydrodynamics provides a continuum-level description of fluid motion, but its applicability at the nanoscale becomes uncertain due to the emerging importance of molecular-level effects such as spatial heterogeneity. Hydrodynamic boundary conditions that incorporate molecular details allow us to partition the system into a near-wall region and a bulk fluid region. We identify a hydrodynamic wall located inside the fluid that determines where slip begins. By extending the hydrodynamic wall with the slip length, the position of the extrapolated wall is established. This offers a unified description of both slip and stagnant flow behaviors, with wall hydrophobicity characterized by the relative location of the extrapolated wall with respect to the physical wall. Employing this concept in analyses of equilibrium molecular dynamics (MD) and non-equilibrium MD simulations of Couette and Poiseuille flows, our results demonstrate consistency between equilibrium and non-equilibrium approaches across different flow types and confinement levels. This demonstrates the robust nature of linear response theory. We then explore the effects of fluid-wall and bulk fluid interactions on the hydrodynamic properties. These findings enhance the effectiveness of molecular-based simulations for investigating complex confined systems in nanofluidics, biology, and colloidal science, offering a complementary molecular-scale perspective to traditional continuum approaches.

flow simulations↗

DOE OSTI2024

Theoretical studies of chemical reactions related to the formation and growth of polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAH) and molecular properties of their key intermediates (Final Progress Report)

The formation mechanisms of polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons, (PAHs) – organic molecules carrying fused benzene rings – are of great interest to scientists and engineers due to their importance in combustion chemistry and astrochemistry. On Earth, PAHs are largely produced in incomplete combustion of fossil fuel and are considered as critical precursors to unwanted soot particles leading to combustion inefficiency and causing air pollution along with detrimental health effects. Simple PAH molecules initially formed in the gas phase, are further involved in a build-up process in combustion flames leading to larger PAH, bowl-shaped nanostructures, fullerenes, and solid-phase species including carbonaceous dust, graphene particles, and soot. In deep space, PAH and their derivatives are potential key intermediates and nucleation sites leading eventually to carbonaceous nanoparticles (“interstellar grains”). Therefore, the understanding of the key processes in the synthesis of PAHs along with their precursors and their degradation mechanisms in combustion systems and in interstellar, circumstellar, and planetary atmospheric environments will provide critical insights into how complex aromatic structures, carbonaceous nanoparticles, and fullerenes are formed and destroyed. Achieving this understanding is an important step in the development of the efficient combustion processes and of the ecofriendly devices with reduced environmental pollution as well as technological strategies for the production of hydrogen and solid carbon through thermal or plasma-assisted pyrolysis of natural gas and biomass. Also, the understanding of the key processes of PAH and soot growth will help in our comprehension of chemical evolution in the universe. Detailed information on the mechanisms and reliable rate constants of the key elementary chemical reactions involved in PAH formation and destruction processes and in inception of soot particles is often missing, with the main deficiencies being the absence of temperature- and pressure-dependent rate constants for the broad range of conditions occurring in various terrestrial and interstellar processes and the lack of data on the reaction products and their branching ratios. Complementary to experimental studies, these gaps in knowledge can be filled by using quantum chemical calculations of reaction potential energy surfaces providing us with accurate energies of reaction products, intermediates, and transition states, revealing the reaction mechanism, and giving the molecular properties required to compute rate constants for relevant reaction steps and product branching ratios using the RRKM-Master Equation (ME) method. Molecular dynamics (MD) simulations can be used in cases when a reaction rate cannot be properly described by statistical theories. During the terminal renewal project period we employed these ab initio/RRKM-ME and MD approaches to complete our studies on several key reactions relevant to the formation/growth of PAH and inception of soot particles including (1) the reaction mechanism and kinetics of the resonance stabilized fulvenallenyl radical with propargyl and C 3 H 4 isomers; (2) the reaction mechanism and kinetics for the C + indene and C 2 + styrene reactions producing naphthyl or azulenyl radicals in low-temperature environments; (3) the MD study of non-equilibrium dimerization of acepyrene and coronene and its radical. The information derived from our theoretical calculations contributed to a better fundamental understanding of the reaction mechanisms and provide missing critical kinetic data to improve combustion models of hydrocarbon fuels and astrochemical models of the growth of carbonaceous molecules and particles in cold molecular clouds, circumstellar envelopes, and planetary atmospheres.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

DOE OSTI2022

Database-wide hazard modelling of the onset of DIII-D tearing modes with field features

The rate of onset (hazard) of tearing modes is modelled probabilistically using statistical learning algorithms. Axisymmetric energy-density equilibrium fields are taken as raw high-dimensional input features which are reduced with principal component analysis. Signal processing of non-axisymmetric magnetics fluctuation array data provides the target information from which to learn. Model selection, visualization and calibration assessment procedures are detailed. Here, the analysis is deployed at large scale across the DIII-D tokamak database. Standard model selection criteria suggest that the energy-density post-processed feature is a better choice for modelling the onset rate compared to the non-processed equilibrium reconstruction solution. Two example applications of the learned rate function are demonstrated: (i) proximity-to-onset discharge monitoring and (ii) database analysis showing an (expected) observational global trend that the general hazard increases as a plasma performance metric increases. An important connection between the hazard function and its use as a conditional probability generator is reviewed in the Appendix.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

DOE OSTI2025

Turbulence statistical analysis of the L-H transition and RMPs in KSTAR

Here, we investigate the turbulence statistics associated with low-to-high confinement (L-H) transitions and externally applied resonant magnetic perturbations (RMPs) in KSTAR. Time-series fluctuations of electron density n e , electron temperature T e , and the time derivative of the poloidal magnetic field dB θ /dt (Mirnov coils) are analysed using information-geometric measures (information rate Γ and information length $\mathcal{L}$ = ∫ Γ dt), together with kurtosis κ and variance σ 2 . In low-density upper single-null plasmas (n e ~ 1.2 x 10 19 m -3 ), a ~80 kHz magnetic mode coupling n e , T e , dB θ /dt and emerges prior to the L-H transition and persists into the edge-localised modes H-mode. Edge-localised RMPs (ERMPs) suppress this coherent mode but enhance intermittency, producing frequent bursts that abruptly reshape the time-dependent probability density functions (PDFs) and generate large spikes in Γ (with smaller changes in κ), signalling ERMP-driven departures from quasi-stationarity. The impact of ERMPs on background fluctuation levels depends on density, radial location, and the fluctuating variable itself ($\tilde{n}$, $\tilde{T}$, $\dot{B}$ θ ), whereas $\mathcal{L}$ provides a robust, regime-agnostic measure of cumulative statistical reorganisation and spatial decorrelation. In particular, at low density we observe weaker coupling between $\tilde{n}$ and $\tilde{T}$, along with a tendency toward decreased radial correlation-most clearly for $\tilde{T}$-under ERMPs. Overall, information geometry cleanly captures intermittent events, quantifies non-equilibrium PDF evolution, and offers a compact, cross-diagnostic metric for assessing resonant magnetic perturbation effects on edge transport and correlation across densities, radial locations, and confinement states.

Kim, Eun-jin [Coventry Univ. (United Kingdom); Seo↗

DOE OSTI2024

A Gaussian process autoregressive model capturing microstructure evolution paths in a Ni–Mo–Nb alloy

Additive manufacturing is increasingly being employed to produce components of complex geometries in structural alloys because of the expected energy savings associated with the near-net-shape capability and the ability to build in novel internal features that are not possible with many conventional manufacturing approaches. However, because of the extreme thermal conditions encountered, the non-equilibrium microstructures produced during powder bed-based additive manufacturing processes must be subjected to custom post-heat treatment processes to recover the target mechanical properties. Phase-field models and simulation techniques have matured to a state where the microstructure evolution paths, and the morphologies of the resulting precipitate phases can be predicted reasonably accurately, considering alloy-specific thermodynamic and kinetic aspects of the nucleation and growth processes. However, phase-field simulations are computationally intensive, which precludes the ability to apply the simulations directly to the length scale of the entire component. Therefore, it is highly desirable to develop low-computational-cost surrogate models that effectively capture the physics at the microstructural length scale, while facilitating the design of optimized processing conditions resulting in location-specific targeted microstructures at the component scale. The work presented here demonstrates the application of the materials knowledge system framework to develop a surrogate model that effectively captures the microstructural path during annealing of a Ni–Mo–Nb alloy containing different Mo and Nb compositions known to segregate during solidification under additive manufacturing conditions. Specifically, the surrogate model built in this work is based on a Gaussian process autoregressive model informed by statistical representation of simulated microstructures using two-point correlations and dimensionality reduction through principal component analysis. In conclusion, this surrogate model is shown to capture the bifurcation of the microstructural path during precipitation, which yields a microstructure dominated by the $\gamma^{\prime\prime}$ phase at high Nb concentrations and the $\delta$ phase at low Nb concentrations.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2023

Ice Supersaturation Variability in Cirrus Clouds: Role of Vertical Wind Speeds and Deposition Coefficients

Abstract Aircraft measurements reveal ice supersaturation statistics in cirrus (ISSs) with broad maxima around ice saturation and pronounced variance. In this study, processes shaping ISSs in midlatitude and tropical upper tropospheric conditions are systematically investigated. Water vapor deposition and sublimation of size‐resolved ice crystal populations are simulated in an air parcel framework. Mesoscale temperature fluctuations (MTFs) due to gravity waves force the temporal evolution of supersaturation. Various levels of background wave forcing and cirrus thickness are distinguished in stochastic ensemble simulations. Kinetic limitations to ice mass growth are brought about by supersaturation‐dependent deposition coefficients that represent efficient and inefficient growth modes as a function of ice crystal size. The simulations identify a wide range of deposition coefficients in cirrus, but most values stay above 0.01 such that kinetic limitations to water uptake remain moderate. Supersaturation quenching times are long, typically 0.5–2 hr. The wave forcing thus causes a remarkably large variability in ISSs and cirrus microphysical properties except in the thickest cirrus, producing ensemble‐mean ISSs in line with in‐situ measurements. ISS variance is controlled by MTFs and increases with decreasing cirrus integral radii. In comparison, the impact of ice crystal growth rates on ISSs is small. These results contribute to efforts directed at identifying and solving issues associated with ice‐supersaturated areas and non‐equilibrium cirrus physics in global models.

Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences↗