An Assessment of Stratospheric Water Vapor Trends and Variations Above the Boulder Region
This study analyzes time series of stratospheric water vapor (SWV) data at 30 hPa, based on frost-point hygrometer (FPH) measurements at Boulder, CO (40°N, 255°E), and on sets of HALOE scans above that region for 1993 through 2005; their differing trends agree with previously published findings. Yet, there is an apparent switch over in 2002 from positive to negative trends in the HALOE time series, and that change follows the episodic decrease of tropical, lower stratospheric SWV in early 2001. The HALOE data points only resolve medium to large scale spatial variations, as they are based on an average of four or more limb scans within a latitude/longitude sector near Boulder. The FPH time series do not indicate a similar change of trend in 2002, although its time series points have variations about the mean that are twice as large as those from HALOE. The FPH soundings are sensitive to variations from all spatial scales, however, including the effects of a local vertical mixing of the air due to gravity waves. The vertical gradient SWV mixing ratio with altitude is positive at 30 hPa. There is also a positive trend in methane and its conversion to water vapor during this time that may explain a slightly larger SWV trend from the local FPH data than from the HALOE data. The Nimbus 7 LIMS experiment provides daily SWV plots at medium to large scales during the dynamically active, winter and springtime periods, for assessing the effects of meridional transport of SWV from its source regions. There is transport of high SWV from polar regions and of lower SWV from the subtropics at those times. SWV variations and trends from both the FPH and HALOE time series are reasonable and in accord with the spatial scales that they observed.