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DOE OSTI2020

Play Fairway Analysis: Structurally Controlled Geothermal Systems in the Eastern Great Basin Extensional Regime, Utah

A research team with membership from the University of Utah/Energy & Geoscience Institute, the University of Utah/Dept. of Geology & Geophysics, and the Utah Geological Survey, undertook a play fairway analysis (PFA) for geothermal resources in the Eastern Great Basin (EGB) extensional tectonic regime of western Utah. This is a high-priority region for geothermal exploration because active Basin and Range (B&R) extension with volcanism having a N-S strike is superimposed upon pre-existing E-W belts of plutonic rocks and large-scale structural lineaments. Cumulative heat flow along the N-S strike of the state totals approximately 5 GWt above background stable interior. Three electricity producing power plants currently exist with substantial potential for increase. Succinctly, our PFA approach aims to resolve potential sources of heat and permeability in the region, which are the two principal criteria for establishing a geothermal resource. An initial Phase 1 was carried out using only existing geoscientific data in the area. Criteria selected for focusing heat potential include direct heat flow measurements in boreholes, magnetotelluric (MT) low resistivity anomalies, fluid/gas geochemistry, and proximity to recent volcanic eruptions. Permeability is established through geological structures (fault density, critically stressed areas, seismicity, gravity), and MT low resistivity anomalies. In Phase II of this PFA project, additional geological, geophysical and geochemical data were acquired and analysis carried out primarily over promising composite common risk (CCR) areas initially identified in Phase I in order to focus prospectivity and prepare for drilling recommendations. These prospects are near the Twin Peaks rhyolite field, high heat flow areas north of the producing Cove Fort system, and geophysical structure beneath the Crater Knoll area off the northeast flank of the Mineral Mountains. Additional data included MT site fill-in, structural mapping and analysis using high-resolution imagery, gravity and on-ground mapping, Nodal 3C passive seismic collection, and passive 3He surveying. Heat source and permeability potential are again expressed in terms of their individual common risk segment (CRS) maps, with a color scheme using green for most favorable (low risk) and red for least favorable (high risk). Diverse data types are united through the technique of probability kriging, which establishes prospectivity thresholds for each data type and then computes probability of exceeding that threshold over the PFA area. Modified CRS and CCRS maps are compared to those of Phase I to highlight tighter prospectivity focus. In doing so, the prospectivity threshold for heat was increased significantly to narrow the targeting. In the final Phase III of this project where a recommended deep thermal gradient hole was sited, additional geophysical, geochemical and geological field collection and analysis was carried out to refine drill hole targeting. This includes prospect-scale MT, gravity, structure, passive seismic deployment (Cove Fort area), and detailed 3He isotope profiling. It was the recommendation of the DOE Technical Monitoring Team (TMT) that one or more holes be sited in the north-ern Cove Fort area where legacy TG gradient holes showed high cumulative heat flow. These were to be of moderate depth, 2000-3000 feet, to reach the geothermal fluid table expected to start in excess of 1000 feet depth. The drilling organization stipulated by the DOE/GTO was that of the USGS Research Drilling Program (RDP) centered in Las Vegas, NV. A detailed well plan, appended to this report, was developed principally by Dr. Ben Barker consulting to University of Utah, Dr. Steve Pye on the DOE TMT, Mr. Steven Crawford of the USGS-RDP, and the project PI Phil Wannamaker. However, temperature and possible H 2 S at the systems lead to cancellation of the drilling last-minute as this appeared outside the experience base of the USGS-RDP. We hope to have the opportunity to revisit the test drilling and expand the Play Fairway Analysis of this region at some point in the future.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2023

Double Diffusion Maps and their Latent Harmonics for scientific computations in latent space

In this work, we introduce a data-driven approach to building reduced dynamical models through manifold learning; the reduced latent space is discovered using Diffusion Maps (a manifold learning technique) on time series data. A second round of Diffusion Maps on those latent coordinates allows the approximation of the reduced dynamical models. This second round enables mapping the latent space coordinates back to the full ambient space (what is called lifting); it also enables the approximation of full state functions of interest in terms of the reduced coordinates. In our work, we develop and test three different reduced numerical simulation methodologies, either through pre-tabulation in the latent space and integration on the fly or by going back and forth between the ambient space and the latent space. The data-driven latent space simulation results, based on the three different approaches, are validated through (a) the latent space observation of the full simulation through the Nyström Extension formula, or through (b) lifting the reduced trajectory back to the full ambient space, via Latent Harmonics. Latent space modeling often involves additional regularization to favor certain properties of the space over others, and the mapping back to the ambient space is then constructed mostly independently from these properties; here, we use the same data-driven approach to construct the latent space and then map back to the ambient space.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

DOE OSTI2021

Report on Mowry Shale Thermal Maturity Mapping in the Powder River Basin, Wyoming

The Enhanced Oil Recovery Institute (EORI) has completed a map of thermal maturity of the Mowry Shale in the Powder River Basin (PRB). Thermal maturity, the degree to which the total organic carbon in a formation has been transformed from kerogen to producible hydrocarbons due to heat and pressure, is an important measure for not just the quality of a source rock, but also helps for delineating areas more favorable for unconventional drilling. There is a dearth of published Mowry maturity maps available for the PRB and this publication endeavors to provide a detailed map based on a large, public data set covering the Wyoming portion of the PRB. Additional data, currently held confidential by operators in the basin, would be of benefit to future iterations of this map.

02 PETROLEUM↗

DOE OSTI2021

Report on Mowry Shale Thermal Maturity Mapping in the Powder River Basin, Wyoming

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2024

Assessing the Viability of Geothermal Microgrid Deployment: A Geospatial Analysis Across the United States

Geothermal microgrids hold a potential of supplying clean and dependable power to communities throughout the United States (US), all while sidestepping the expenses associated with connecting to strained or isolated power grids. Nonetheless, their implementation is still in its early stages in the country. The objective of this analysis is to leverage available data to pinpoint regions across the US that exhibit favorable conditions for the development of geothermal microgrids. Drawing from a variety of sources, including estimates of geothermal resources, the costs associated with geothermal energy generation and electricity transmission, existing microgrid locations, and subsidy programs, we aim to identify promising areas for further exploration. By mapping out the contiguous US, Alaska, and Hawaii, we delineate regions with high relative favorability for geothermal microgrid deployment. Our findings reveal the presence of highly favorable regions across the Western states of the contiguous US, as well as isolated areas in Alaska and Hawaii. Furthermore, we delve into a discussion on state policies and incentive programs, considering their role in fostering favorable conditions or posing barriers to geothermal microgrid development.

Alaska↗

DOE OSTI2023

Three‐Dimensional Broadband Interferometric Mapping and Polarization (BIMAP‐3D) Observations of Lightning Discharge Processes

Abstract Following on our earlier single‐station, 2‐dimensional (2D) broadband interferometric mapping and polarization (BIMAP) observations of lightning discharges, we recently deployed two BIMAP stations at Los Alamos National Laboratory to map the lightning sources and their polarization in full 3‐dimensional (3D) space (BIMAP‐3D). The two stations are separated by 11.5‐km and each station consists of four antenna sets (instead of three for the original BIMAP) that form a Y ‐shaped array for improved interferometric performance. In this paper, we report the BIMAP‐3D system design, a generalized and analytical 2D interferometry technique for noncoplanar antenna array, a two‐stage 3D mapping technique based on geometric triangulation and baseline‐based differential time of arrival, and a technique to reconstruct the polarization orientation in 3D space by combining the 2D polarization results from the two‐station observations. Along with description of the techniques, we demonstrate and discuss the initial lightning results, including 3D maps for a hybrid intracloud and cloud‐to‐ground flash and for a normal intracloud flash, development of abnormal K‐change leaders, and polarization signatures for a K‐change leader. We find that with the two‐stage 3D mapping techniques, the sources can be located to meters accuracy for a favorable event that occurs between the two stations. We also find the polarization vectors for the example K leader are mostly orthogonal to the leader channel after the full 3D polarization analysis. The main purpose of this paper is to report the BIMAP‐3D techniques and capabilities. Detailed analysis of more specific discharge processes will be reported in later studies.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2023

Back in bismuth: controlling triplet energy transfer, phosphorescence, and radioluminescence via supramolecular interactions

Five bismuth(III)-organic phases that consist of supramolecular assemblies of Bi-2,6-pyridinedicarboxylate structural units and substituted 1,10-phenanthroline molecules (R-Phen; R = H, 5-methyl, 5-chloro, 2,9-dimethyl, and 2,9-dicholoro) were synthesized. All five compounds exhibited solid-state photoluminescence. Whereas the phases containing 2,9-dimethylphenanthroline (Me 2 Phen) and 2,9-dichlorophenanthroline (Cl 2 Phen) displayed solely phosphorescence, the structures built from 5-methylphenanthroline and 5-chlorophenanthroline showed exclusively fluorescence. The remaining phase, consisting of phenanthrolinium, exhibited both fluorescence and phosphoresence. It was determined that phosphorescence arises from triplet state emission (T 1 → S 0 ) of substituted R-Phen units while fluorescence originates from Bi(III) coordinated pyrdinedicarboxylate ligands. Bismuth induces spin–orbit coupling for triplet state population and additionally acts as a heavy metal attenuator for X-ray luminescence (radioluminescence). The electronic structure was mapped and excitation pathway investigated via density functional theory calculations. Computational findings indicate favorable conditions for triplet energy transfer from donor Bi(III)-organic units to acceptor R-Phen derivatives. It is proposed that for the phosphorescent compounds, strong π–π interactions promote electron transfer, whereas the compounds that exhibit purely fluorescence lack any such π–π interactions and undergo triplet energy transfer. In conclusion, these results provide a useful platform for probing structure–property relationships of luminescent bismuth-organic compounds, and specifically highlights the role of noncovalent interactions in achieving room temperature phosphorescence and radioluminescence.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

DOE OSTI2022

Linking Synoptic Patterns to Cloud Properties and Local Circulations Over Southeastern Texas

This report classifies meteorological regimes in the southeastern Texas region to identify environmental conditions that favor sea-breeze induced convection. The classification is accomplished using a Self-Organizing Map (SOM) approach. We applied SOM to 10 years of 700-hPa geopotential height anomalies during the summer months from reanalysis data to distinguish three dominant synoptic regimes, with a continuum of transitional states between those. The primary regimes include: (a) a pre-trough regime associated with a synoptic trough, (b) a post-trough regime with upper-level northerly flow, and (c) an anticyclonic regime within the westward extent of the Bermuda High. We project the data from the Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellite and the Next Generation Weather Radar system onto each SOM node to investigate the characteristics of cloud and precipitation properties in different regimes. When southeastern Texas is positioned to the southwest quadrant of a maritime high pressure system, an increased cloud frequency is observed over the region during the afternoon hours due to significant moisture advection. A confluence of synoptic southerly flow and sea-breeze circulation commonly occurs in this regime. When a high pressure system is over southeastern Texas, the area is dominated by large-scale subsidence with weak pressure gradients and moderate precipitable water vapor. This weak synoptic forcing is favorable for the formation of a sea-breeze circulation. This is confirmed by an enhanced onshore flow and a decreased temperature at the surface in the early afternoon, as well as a sharp increase in radar echo top height.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2025

Effect of Propagating Dopant Reactivity on Lattice Oxygen Loss in LLZO Solid Electrolyte Contacted with Lithium Metal

Lithium lanthanum zirconium oxide (LLZO) is widely known as the most stable solid electrolyte against lithium metal electrodes. This thermodynamic stability can be lost by the presence of dopants which are required to stabilize the cubic phase of LLZO and can be reduced by lithium metal. However, the role of oxygen in such reactions is taken for granted. In this work, the reduction of Nb-substituted LLZO (Nb-LLZO) is explored by Li metal and shows that interfacial reactions propagate and lead to the decomposition with substantial Nb 5+ reduction deep into the bulk electrolyte. Scanning Transmission Electron Microscopy with Energy Dispersive X-ray Spectroscopy and thermogravimetric analyses show much of the reduction is due to oxygen vacancies formed, leading to increased electronic conductivity mapped with conductive Atomic Force Microscopy. Density functional theory calculations indicate oxygen release is favored by increased excess lithiation of Nb-LLZO. Electrochemical impedance of polycrystalline Nb-LLZO shows the continuous evolution of ionically resistive interphases near the lithium metal interface with Nb-LLZO while single crystals show little reactivity at room temperature and self-limiting reduction at 60°C. This work underlines the role of grain boundaries in propagating destructive solid electrolyte reactions and highlights previously unseen mechanisms involving lattice oxygen in LLZO.

Li metal, solid-state electrolytes↗

DOE OSTI2022

Induced microearthquakes predict permeability creation in the brittle crust

Predicting the evolution of permeability accurately during stimulation at the reservoir scale and at the resolution of individual fractures is essential to characterize the fluid transport and the reactive/heat-transfer characteristics of reservoirs where stress exerts significant control. Here, we develop a hybrid machine learning (ML) model to visualize in situ permeability evolution for an intermediate-scale (~10 m) hydraulic stimulation experiment. This model includes an ML model that was trained using the well history of flow rate and wellhead pressure and MEQ data from the first three stimulation episodes to predict average permeability from the statistical features of the MEQs alone for later episodes. Moreover, a physics-inspired model is integrated to estimate in situ fracture permeability spatially. This method relates fracture permeability to fracture dilation and scales dilation to the equivalent MEQ magnitude, according to laboratory observations. The seismic data are then applied to define incremental changes in permeability in both space and time. Our results confirm the excellent agreement between the ground truth and model-predicted permeability evolution. The resulting permeability map defines and quantifies flow paths in the reservoir with the averaged permeability comparing favorably with the ground truth of permeability.

induced seismicity↗

DOE OSTI2024

Geothermal play fairway analysis, part 1: Example from the Snake River Plain, Idaho

The Snake River Plain (SRP) volcanic province overlies the track of the Yellowstone hotspot, a thermal anomaly that extends deep into the mantle. Most of the area is underlain by a basaltic volcanic province that overlies a mid-crustal intrusive complex, which in turn provides the long-term heat flux needed to sustain geothermal systems. Previous studies have identified several known geothermal resource areas within the SRP. For the geothermal study presented herein, our goals were to: (1) adapt the methodology of Play Fairway Analysis (PFA) for geothermal exploration to create a formal basis for its application to geothermal systems, (2) assemble relevant data for the SRP from publicly available and private sources, and (3) build a geothermal PFA model for the SRP and identify the most promising plays, using GIS-based software tools that are standard in the petroleum industry. The study focused on identifying three critical resource parameters for exploitable hydrothermal systems in the SRP: heat source, reservoir and recharge permeability, and cap or seal. Data included in the compilation for heat source were heat flow, distribution and ages of volcanic vents, groundwater temperatures, thermal springs and wells, helium isotope anomalies, and reservoir temperatures estimated using geothermometry. Reservoir and recharge permeability was inferred from the analysis of stress orientations and magnitudes, post-Miocene faults, and subsurface structural lineaments based on magnetics and gravity data. Data for cap or seal included the distribution of impermeable lake sediments and clay-seal associated with hydrothermal alteration below the regional aquifer. These data were used to compile Common Risk Segment maps for heat, permeability, and seal, which were combined to create a Composite Common Risk Segment map for all southern Idaho that reflects the risk associated with geothermal resource exploration and identifies favorable resource tracks. Our regional assessment indicated that undiscovered geothermal resources may be located in several areas of the SRP. Two of these areas, the western SRP and Camas Prairie, were selected for more detailed assessment, during which heat, permeability, and seal were evaluated using newly collected field data and smaller grid parameters to refine the location of potential resources. These higher resolution assessments illustrate the flexibility of our approach over a range of scales.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2023

Influence of Methylammonium Chloride on Wide-Bandgap Halide Perovskites Films for Solar Cells

Wide-bandgap perovskites are of paramount importance as the photoactive layer of the top cell in high-efficiency tandem solar cells. Comparably high Br contents are required to widen the perovskite bandgap. However, the increase in Br content causes heterogeneous halide distribution and photoinstability. Here, in this study, the positive effect of the additive methylammonium chloride (MACl) on the optical and electronic properties of Br-rich perovskite, deposited using N-methyl-2-pyrrolidone (NMP) as co-solvent and the gas quenching method, is investigated. Simultaneous in situ grazing-incidence wide-angle X-ray scattering and photoluminescence spectroscopy are used to track the evolution of the structural and optoelectronic properties of the perovskites with different amounts of Br and MACl during the spin-coating and thermal annealing steps. The formation mechanism is elucidated in the presence of MACl. It is observed that chloride ions inhibit the intermediate phases, favoring the formation of a perovskite phase with higher crystallinity. Nano X-ray fluorescence mapping recognizes Br-richer and poorer nanometric domains, whose average sizes reduce for samples with MACl. In conclusion, it is demonstrated that adding MACl affects the formation of wide-bandgap perovskites via destabilization of the intermediate phases and acts on the homogenization of the halide distribution, leading to improved solar cell performances.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2025

Web-Based Tools for Data-Informed Remedy Optimization: Software Theory and User Guide

This report documents the development and application of two web-based decision-support tools for pump-and-treat (P&T) groundwater remediation systems: PTOLEMY (Pump-and-Treat Optimized Location Evaluation to Maximize Yields) and OPTIMA (Optimization for Pump-and-Treat Implementation, Management, & Assessment). These tools enhance remedy design and management by leveraging advanced computational methods – specifically deep learning and multi-objective optimization – within a user-friendly platform. By integrating data-driven models with established hydrogeological knowledge, PTOLEMY and OPTIMA enable more efficient evaluation of well placement and operational strategies, helping site managers balance multiple remediation objectives under complex conditions. Both tools are implemented as modules within the SOCRATES (Suite Of Comprehensive Rapid Analysis Tools for Environmental Sites) web platform, which provides data access, visualization, and analytics to support remedy optimization across sites in the U.S. Department of Energy Office of Environmental Management complex. PTOLEMY is a rapid screening module designed to identify promising locations for new extraction wells. It employs a multi-channel three-dimensional convolutional neural network (MC3D-CNN) trained on high-fidelity simulation data to predict the relative performance (in terms of contaminant mass recovery) of potential well sites. Through an interactive web interface, PTOLEMY visualizes the probability of high performance across a site, highlighting areas where an extraction well is likely to yield above-threshold contaminant removal over a multi-year period. PTOLEMY’s map-based displays and exportable results support transparent communication of screening analyses. By focusing attention on the most favorable candidate locations, the tool augments traditional engineering judgment and physics-based modeling, providing a data informed basis for subsequent detailed evaluations. OPTIMA is a multi objective optimization module designed to find wellfield layouts and operating schedules that meet various cleanup goals. It quickly evaluates thousands of candidate setups – combinations of well locations, timing, and rates – and returns a small set of best trade-off options for comparison. At its core, OPTIMA uses a U-Net-based surrogate model – a deep-learning emulator of a groundwater flow and transport simulator – to dramatically accelerate scenario evaluations. Coupling this fast surrogate with the NSGA-II (Non-dominated Sorting Genetic Algorithm II) evolutionary algorithm, OPTIMA explores a wide decision space of well locations and schedules to identify Pareto-optimal solutions that trade off key objectives (e.g., minimizing cleanup time, maximizing contaminant mass removal, and minimizing plume extent). The tool outputs a family of optimal configurations and visualizes their trade-offs (Pareto frontiers of cleanup metrics and maps of optimized well placements). Site managers can use these results to understand the range of viable strategies and to select candidate designs for more detailed verification. OPTIMA is currently under active development and not yet fully released; this guide provides early documentation to support planning and gather user feedback.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2024

Hamiltonian learning using machine-learning models trained with continuous measurements

Here, we build upon recent work on the use of machine-learning models to estimate Hamiltonian parameters using continuous weak measurement of qubits as input. We consider two settings for the training of our model: (1) supervised learning, where the weak-measurement training record can be labeled with known Hamiltonian parameters, and (2) unsupervised learning, where no labels are available. The first has the advantage of not requiring an explicit representation of the quantum state, thus potentially scaling very favorably to a larger number of qubits. The second requires the implementation of a physical model to map the Hamiltonian parameters to a measurement record, which we implement using an integrator of the physical model with a recurrent neural network to provide a model-free correction at every time step to account for small effects not captured by the physical model. We test our construction on a system of two qubits and demonstrate accurate prediction of multiple physical parameters in both the supervised context and the unsupervised context. We demonstrate that the model benefits from larger training sets, establishing that it is “learning,” and we show robustness regarding errors in the assumed physical model by achieving accurate parameter estimation in the presence of unanticipated single-particle relaxation.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

DOE OSTI2025

Multi-fidelity is the new annealing: Gradient-free learning of posterior densities via transport maps

To tackle concentrated, multi-modal Bayesian inference problems, we propose using an annealed importance sampling procedure. To do this, we form a sequence of annealed distributions and employ transport maps to act as a surrogate of each distribution. This process is demonstrated on a few examples, favorably showing its potential for efficiently parallelizing the process of PDE evaluations and allowing for surrogates that we can sample from exactly.

van Bloemen Waanders, Bart G [Sandia National Labo↗

DOE OSTI2020

Method for error correction in scanning probe microscopy

Disclosed here is a scanning probe microscope system and method for operating the same for producing scanning probe microscope images at fast scan rates and reducing oscillation artifacts. In some embodiments, an inverse consistent image registration method is used to align forward and backward scan traces for each line of the scanning microscope image. In some embodiments, the aligned forward and backward scan traces are combined using a weighting factor favoring the scan trace with higher smoothness. In some embodiments, the scanning probe microscope image is a potentiometry map and a method is provided to extract from the potentiometry map a conductivity map.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗

DOE OSTI2025

Intermolecular Interactions in Direct Air Capture Materials: Insights from Charge Density Analysis

Direct air capture (DAC) materials enable the removal of CO 2 from the atmosphere, but improving their efficiency requires a detailed understanding of the intermolecular interactions that govern CO 2 sorption and release. Here, we present an experimental electron density study of methylglyoxal-bis(iminoguanidine) (MGBIG), a promising DAC material, using high-resolution X-ray and neutron diffraction data combined with quantum crystallographic analysis. This approach bridges theoretical and experimental data by quantifying electron density distributions and revealing how hydrogen bonds stabilize CO 2 -derived carbonate phases and may influence the desorption behavior. We identify distinct hydrogen-bonding environments in two crystalline carbonate phases: P1, a transient kinetic product, and P3, a thermodynamically stable phase. Multipolar refinement and electrostatic potential and multipole moment calculations precisely map electron density distributions, revealing key hydrogen bonds involved in CO 2 capture. Topological analysis of electron density highlights a cooperative hydrogen-bonding network in the thermodynamically favored P3 phase, where enhanced electron density delocalization and water-mediated interactions contribute to a more stable lattice. Energetic analyses confirm that stronger hydrogen bonding networks enhance the stability of P3 with a binding energy of −607.0 kJ/mol and greater lattice stability (−847.3 kJ/mol) compared to P1 (−302.5 and −571.0 kJ/mol, respectively). Electrostatic potential maps further illustrate polarization patterns that may influence the stability of the binding of CO 2 and release conditions. These findings establish a direct experimental framework for linking electron density distributions to intermolecular interactions in DAC materials, providing a rational design strategy for optimizing sorbents with improved CO 2 capture efficiency and reduced energy demands.

Electron density↗

DOE OSTI2025

On tests for baby universes in AdS/CFT

To address a puzzle by Antonini and Rath — where a single CFT state has two bulk duals, one with a baby universe and one without — Engelhardt and Gesteau recently devised a test for baby universes in AdS/CFT. Using the extrapolate dictionary, they showed that the boundary dual of a bulk swap test favored bulk spacetimes without a baby universe, providing evidence against their semiclassical validity. However, recent work suggests that holographic maps should post-select on such closed universes, and we argue that this is consistent with the extrapolate dictionary. We therefore construct a new holographic map for bulk states with baby universes and use this to show that the swap test cannot distinguish between Antonini and Rath’s two candidate bulk duals. This not only allows for a valid semiclassical description of the baby universe, but also enables the application of recent techniques for including observers in holographic maps.

AdS-CFT correspondence↗