Predictive modeling of atmospheric nuclear fallout microphysics
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During the early response to large-scale radioactive contamination events, people who are potentially affected need to be screened for radioactive contamination and public health staff need to triage individuals who may need immediate decontamination. This is typically done by screening individuals for external contamination using ionising radiation detection equipment. In this study, spatially and temporally dependent isotopic compositions from a simulated nuclear detonation and Monte Carlo methods were used to relate contamination activity levels to the measurable radiation levels at select distances away from an individual with whole-body contamination. Radionuclide-specific air kerma rate coefficients and Geiger–Mueller instrument response coefficients at five select distances from contaminated individuals are presented for 662 radionuclides. Temporally and spatially dependent incident-specific coefficients are presented for a hypothetical surface detonation of a 235 U-fueled device.
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During the “Godzilla” dust storm of June 2020, unusually high fluxes of mineral dust traveled across the Atlantic from the Sahara Desert, reaching the Caribbean Basin, Gulf Coast, and southeastern United States. Additionally, an eruption of the La Soufrière volcano on St. Vincent in April 2021 generated substantial ashfall in the southeastern Caribbean. While many studies have analyzed mineral dust’s ability to relieve nutrient limitation of phosphorus (P) in the P-stressed North Atlantic, less is known about the impact of extreme events and other natural aerosols on fluxes of P into seawater and from seawater into marine microbial cells. We quantified P and iron (Fe) content in mineral dust from the Godzilla dust storm and volcanic ash from the La Soufrière eruption collected at Ragged Point, Barbados. We also performed seawater incubations to assess the marine microbial response to aerosol deposition. Using environmentally-relevant concentrations of atmospheric particles for within the ocean’s mixed layer allowed us to draw realistic conclusions about how these deposition events impacted P cycling in situ. Volcanic ash has lower P content than mineral dust, and P in volcanic ash is far less soluble (~1%) than assumed in current atmospheric deposition models. Adding mineral dust and the volcanic ash leachate in concentrations representing different deposition scenarios increased soluble reactive phosphorus (SRP) concentrations in coastal seawater by ~7-32 nM. Phosphate uptake rate was stimulated in coastal seawater after either mineral dust or volcanic ash deposition at aerosol concentrations relevant to the Godzilla dust event, with ash eliciting the fastest uptake rate. Furthermore, high concentrations of both the mineral dust and volcanic ash led to slightly elevated alkaline phosphatase activity (APA) compared to the relevant controls, indicating higher potential for use of dissolved organic phosphorus (DOP) as a P source. Quantifying these aerosols’ impacts on P cycling is a significant step towards achieving a better understanding of their potential roles in relieving nutrient limitation and fueling the biological carbon pump.
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Dust particulate fallout on materials in use for rare-event searches is a concerning source of radioactive backgrounds due to the presence of the naturally occurring radionuclides 40 K, 232 Th, 238 U, and their progeny in dust. Much effort is dedicated to inform radioactive backgrounds from dust and evaluate the efficacy of mitigation procedures. A great portion of such effort relies on fallout models and assumed dust composition. Here, in this work, an ICP-MS based methodology was employed for a direct determination of fallout rates of radionuclides and stable isotopes of interest from dust particulate at the SNOLAB facility. Hosted in an active mine, the SNOLAB underground laboratory strives to maintain experimental areas at class 2000 cleanroom level. This work validates the mitigation procedures in place at SNOLAB and informs dust backgrounds during laboratory activities. Fallout rates of major constituents of the local rock were measured two to three orders of magnitude lower in the clean experimental areas compared to non-clean transition areas from the mine to the laboratory. An increase of approximately two orders of magnitude in the fallout rate of stable Pb isotopes was determined in an experimental area during activities involving handling of Pb bricks. Increased 40 K, 232 Th, and 238 U fallout rates were measured in clean experimental areas during activities generating particulate.
The US Department of Energy (DOE) Forensics Operations (DFO) is a member of the Ground Collections Task Force (GCTF), which is responsible for sample collection of radiological debris for attribution should a nuclear detonation ever occur in the United States. The DFO runs the Defense Land Fallout Interpretive Code (DELFIC) Fallout Planning Tool to predict the deposition of fallout from a nuclear detonation. This prediction is refined using the DELFIC Updater tool, which takes ground measurements and adjusts DELFIC inputs to minimize the difference between prediction and observation, yielding improved predictions of fallout in locations both measured and not yet measured. Samoa, a framework for uncertainty analysis and optimization, is used to improve DELFIC predictive fallout modeling. This new capability using Samoa, dubbed “Samoa Updater,” is compared with the current DELFIC Updater, a brute-force sampling approach. Samoa Updater uses the Levenberg– Marquardt (LM) method, a gradient-based nonlinear least squares approach that uses the functional shape of the input space to increase optimization speed. In simulated test cases Samoa Updater yields faster and more accurate solutions than the current Updater.
Debris from nuclear tests has a complex formation process and can inform multiple fields of study such as geology, atmospheric science, shock physics, and chemistry under extreme conditions. Macroscopic nuclear debris forms as the result of fireball interaction with surrounding materials (e.g., structural and environmental component), which rapidly undergo melting and vaporization followed by condensation, convective/diffusive mixing, and solidification over the course of seconds. In atmospheric events, some of this material may disperse over long distances, but much of the material is deposited close-in to ground zero, often in multicomponent, partially (or entirely) amorphous debris formations. During the U.S. nuclear testing program, this material was collected and analyzed, particularly for radionuclide composition. Fallout formation models were developed from nuclear test data based on such radionuclide compositional analyses. These models were not just used to understand fallout dispersion (i.e. the spread of radioactivity over geographical regions) but also guide radiochemical interpretations of historical nuclear tests.6 Developments in analytical techniques over the past several decades have made it possible to make new analyses on historical debris, some of which may be more than a half-century old. For example, inductively-coupled plasma mass spectrometry (ICP-MS) has been used to look at the trace elements in glassy fallout material from aboveground nuclear tests (including the Trinity test). Advanced analyses using X-ray absorption allowed for the measurement of oxidation state of fallout constituents, including actinides. The ability to measure trace actinides and their subsequent oxidation state is important to understanding how the surrounding environment may have influenced the resultant fallout composition and may have implications for why certain fractionation trends have been observed. Here we present data from historic nuclear test debris illustrating the power of spatially resolved methods to connect interaction of the near-field environment with the explosion and provide new insights into nuclear debris formation.
We present an overview and description of the atmospheric transport model (ATM) component of the Defense Land Fallout Interpretative Code (DELFIC) and its revision history. In particular, we discuss the hybrid Eulerian-Lagrangian model of the DELFIC diffusive transport module (DTM), its assumptions and constraints, and assess its capability for modeling the transport, dispersion, and deposition of nuclear fallout debris. This hybrid model is an efficient transport model for the wide range of particle sizes found in nuclear fallout debris. Furthermore, we validate the 1979 version of DELFIC using the 1979 test case input and output presented in its documentation. Except for some rounding differences and exposure rate differences from the OPM, the DTM output is in very good agreement with the 1979 results. Overall, the DELFIC DTM provides a reasonable and rapid approximation to the transport and deposition of local nuclear fallout debris.
Training nuclear forensic analysis personnel in post-detonation scenarios is of critical importance to nuclear threat response capabilities. Thus, realistic nuclear debris simulants which resemble the size, color, elemental composition, and radionuclide content of actual nuclear fallout from a recent detonation would be valuable for training nuclear first responders in realistic scenarios. As nuclear fallout types vary significantly in each of these parameters based on detonation environment (rural, urban, maritime etc.) and collection location, the ability to tailor each of these parameters accurately in simulated debris would be of immense benefit to the post-detonation analysis community for training both in-field collections and triage and the validation of laboratory level nuclear forensic techniques. Sol-gel synthesis techniques can provide the tunability of size, shape and composition required for producing surrogate nuclear debris of a wide variety. The sol-gel process consists of forming a metal oxide material, often silica, through polymerization of a metal-alkoxy precursor. In this work, we characterize the ability to load the sol-gel particles with secondary elemental components such as iron, aluminum, and calcium toward approximating the elemental composition of debris from various detonation environments and demonstrate the ability to produce particles with controllable size, shape, and color. We also demonstrate quantitative radionuclide encapsulation toward reproducing the radionuclide content of actual fallout from a recent detonation. Finally, we then employ these techniques in producing simulated aerodynamic debris samples with realistic elemental matrix composition and radionuclide content simulating a recent uranium-fueled detonation taking place in a rural desert environment and compare it to historic fallout from the Nevada Nuclear Security Site.
Training nuclear forensic analysis personnel in post-detonation scenarios is of critical importance to nuclear threat response capabilities. Thus, realistic nuclear debris simulants which resemble the size, color, elemental composition, and radionuclide content of actual nuclear fallout from a recent detonation would be valuable for training nuclear first responders in realistic scenarios. As nuclear fallout types vary significantly in each of these parameters based on detonation environment (rural, urban, maritime etc.) and collection location, the ability to tailor each of these parameters accurately in simulated debris would be of immense benefit to the post-detonation analysis community for training both in-field collections and triage and the validation of laboratory level nuclear forensic techniques. Sol-gel synthesis techniques can provide the tunability of size, shape and composition required for producing surrogate nuclear debris of a wide variety. The sol-gel process consists of forming a metal oxide material, often silica, through polymerization of a metal-alkoxy precursor. In this work, we characterize the ability to load the sol-gel particles with secondary elemental components such as iron, aluminum, and calcium toward approximating the elemental composition of debris from various detonation environments and demonstrate the ability to produce particles with controllable size, shape, and color. We also demonstrate quantitative radionuclide encapsulation toward reproducing the radionuclide content of actual fallout from a recent detonation. Finally, we then employ these techniques in producing simulated aerodynamic debris samples with realistic elemental matrix composition and radionuclide content simulating a recent uranium-fueled detonation taking place in a rural desert environment and compare it to historic fallout from the Nevada Nuclear Security Site.
The transport of radioactive material following a nuclear event depends heavily on fallout characteristics (e.g., composition, shape, and size), which in turn are controlled by the conditions under which the fallout forms. To this end, we use a novel plasma flow reactor (PFR) to explore how conditions including temperature history and gas mixing influence the chemical speciation and physical characteristics of uranium oxide nanoparticles. The PFR consists of a glass tube attached to an inductively coupled plasma (ICP) torch via an adaptor piece (ring flow injector) located downstream of the plasma-generating RF coil. We increase the gas flow rates from normal ICP operating conditions to higher values both upstream at the RF coil and downstream at the ring flow injector to create four distinct temperature profiles and two distinct gas flow mixing conditions (normal and higher Ar atomic ratios). Ex situ transmission electron microscopy (TEM) analysis is used to determine the crystal structure, morphology, and size distribution of the synthesized particles as a function of temperature and mixing. The particles display a striking dependence on these conditions in terms of the resulting speciation of uranium oxide: lower temperature (higher upstream) and slower cooling (normal downstream with normal Ar atomic ratio mixing) favor the formation of α-UO 3 particles, while faster cooling (higher downstream with higher Ar atomic ratio mixing) and higher temperature (normal upstream) favor the formation of UO 2 particles. The extent of gas mixing dictates particle aggregation: better mixing encourages the particles to aggregate more extensively. Here these results demonstrate the sensitivity of uranium to initial local conditions and can be used to improve our understanding of the kinetics that drive uranium speciation and ultimately inform fallout transport models.
We used a plasma flow reactor (PFR) to generate synthetic fallout nanoparticles from vapor-phase condensation of two different input concentrations of uranium and iron analytes (U/Fe = 1:1 and 1:2). Synthetic fallout from complex chemical matrices (e.g., mixtures of U and Fe) has not been generated in this setup before and allows for the observation of relative condensation and fractionation of nuclear debris. Experiments were conducted under two different temperature histories with variations in particle flow patterns along the PFR. Transmission electron microscopy (TEM) observation and analysis of the nanoparticles revealed variations in speciation of uranium oxides (UO 2 and α-UO 3 ) depending on the competition between flow mixing and oxygen sequestration by iron. A ternary metal oxide, UFeO 4 , was observed in addition to iron oxides (e.g., FeO and Fe 3 O 4 ), which suggests that fallout models should account for chemical speciation of ternary metal oxides (i.e., UFeO 4 ) and their relative condensation behaviors in addition to those of singular metal oxides (e.g., FeO and UO 2 ). X-ray Energy Dispersive Spectroscopy (EDS) elemental maps showed that some particles had Fe-rich cores surrounded by U-rich regions. This suggests that either condensed U oxides coagulate onto molten Fe oxides or that the increase in iron analyte concentration might drive the system toward a higher degree of supersaturation, leading to earlier formation of iron oxide particles and providing an energetically favored pathway for nucleation of uranium oxides around iron oxide particles.
Here, the hydrothermal corrosion of polished and as-cut high purity chemical vapor deposited (CVD) SiC was studied in a constantly refreshing water loop. Light water reactor (LWR) conditions were simulated at 288, 320, and 350 °C with dissolved gas concentrations between 0.15 and 3 ppm H 2 or between 1 and 4 ppm O 2 . In hydrogenated water, the rate of material loss was low, calculated to be ~1.3 μm of recession after 5 years of service in 320 °C water. Moreover, there was no observed localized attack at any temperature. In oxygenated conditions, the corrosion rate was higher, with a calculated material loss >10 μm after 5 years of service in 1 ppm O 2 , 320 °C water. Mass loss significantly increased when grain fallout became significant (as early as 200h with 4 ppm O 2 at 350 °C or after 1000–2000h with 2 ppm O 2 at 288 °C). Grain fallout more than doubled the corrosion rate and a steady state corrosion rate in the grain fallout regime was not observed but expected to eventually occur once large grains begin to be removed. Polished specimens had lower mass loss than unpolished coupons. A kinetic analysis of the data in this work suggests that the corrosion rates are controlled by a single activation step in both oxygenated and deoxygenated conditions, with the reaction order with respect to oxygen being 1. A resulting reaction rate equation to predict corrosion of SiC (in mg/cm 2 s) in high purity water from 288 to 350 °C and up to 4 ppm O 2 was constructed: Rate = $\frac{0.1458}{1+SA}$ T (1.09(1–10 -3 T)[O 2 ]e– $\frac{1.275x10^4}{T}$ + 7.91x10 -6 e– $\frac{7.39x10^3}{T}$).
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Local conditions, such as temperature and oxygen availability, have a pronounced effect on the formation and evolution of fallout following a nuclear explosion. While the behavior of nuclear-relevant materials such as uranium has begun to be explored under a wider range of environments, little is known about the behavior of plutonium. Here, using cerium as a surrogate, we track the vapor-phase aggregation of cerium oxide nanoparticles created in a plasma flow reactor under conditions of controlled temperature at two different oxygen fugacities. In situ optical emission spectroscopy is used to measure the variations in the spectral intensity of atomic and molecular species with temperature and oxygen content. We find that the relative rate of gas-phase oxidation of cerium is highly dependent on both temperature and local redox conditions within the flow reactor, to the extent that doubling the oxygen availability effectively doubles the amount of vapor-phase cerium monoxide at high temperatures (>2000 K). Condensed cerium oxide nanoparticles are also collected and analyzed ex situ via transmission electron microscopy and grazing-incidence small-angle X-ray scattering to determine their elemental composition, crystal structure, and size distribution. The size and morphology of the condensed nanoparticles are independent of local redox conditions, forming the same crystal type with the same size distribution regardless of oxygen availability. Postcondensation particle evolution, however, is found to be predominantly driven by temperature, with the average particle size increasing as particles cool and subsequently aggregate. These results expand our understanding of the chemical and physical behavior of refractory oxides that form during the early stages of fallout formation.
Post detonation nuclear forensic materials which resemble the size, color, elemental composition, and radionuclide content of real nuclear debris would be valuable for developing and validating new nuclear forensic techniques. As nuclear fallout types vary significantly, the ability to tailor each of these parameters accurately is desired to produce materials capable of testing analytical methods under a wide array of forensic scenarios. Sol–gel synthesis techniques can provide tunability of size, shape and composition for producing a wide variety of solid nuclear forensics benchmarking materials. Further, the sol–gel process consists of forming a metal oxide material, often silica, through polymerization of a metal-alkoxy precursor. In this work, we characterize the ability to load sol–gel particles with secondary elemental components such as iron, aluminum, and calcium toward producing benchmarking materials approximating the elemental composition of historic nuclear debris from the Nevada National Security Site. We also demonstrate quantitative radionuclide encapsulation toward producing benchmarking materials with controllable radionuclide content. Finally, we employ these techniques to produce nuclear debris benchmarking materials with controllable elemental matrix composition and radionuclide content and compare these samples with the composition of a historic fallout sample previously reported from the Nevada National Security Site.