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At least 37 records · Page 2

Probabilistic projections of the Amery Ice Shelf catchment, Antarctica, under conditions of high ice-shelf basal melt

Abstract. Antarctica's Lambert Glacier drains about one-sixth of the ice from the East Antarctic Ice Sheet and is considered stable due to the strong buttressing provided by the Amery Ice Shelf. While previous projections of the sea-level contribution from this sector of the ice sheet have predicted significant mass loss only with near-complete removal of the ice shelf, the ocean warming necessary for this was deemed unlikely. Recent climate projections through 2300 indicate that sufficient ocean warming is a distinct possibility after 2100. This work explores the impact of parametric uncertainty on projections of the response of the Lambert–Amery system (hereafter “the Amery sector”) to abrupt ocean warming through Bayesian calibration of a perturbed-parameter ice-sheet model ensemble. We address the computational cost of uncertainty quantification for ice-sheet model projections via statistical emulation, which employs surrogate models for fast and inexpensive parameter space exploration while retaining critical features of the high-fidelity simulations. To this end, we build Gaussian process (GP) emulators from simulations of the Amery sector at a medium resolution (4–20 km mesh) using the Model for Prediction Across Scales (MPAS)-Albany Land Ice (MALI) model. We consider six input parameters that control basal friction, ice stiffness, calving, and ice-shelf basal melting. From these, we generate 200 perturbed input parameter initializations using space filling Sobol sampling. For our end-to-end probabilistic modeling workflow, we first train emulators on the simulation ensemble and then calibrate the input parameters using observations of the mass balance, grounding line movement, and calving front movement with priors assigned via expert knowledge. Next, we use MALI to project a subset of simulations to 2300 using ocean and atmosphere forcings from a climate model for both low- and high-greenhouse-gas-emission scenarios. From these simulation outputs, we build multivariate emulators by combining GP regression with principal component dimension reduction to emulate multivariate sea-level contribution time series data from the MALI simulations. We then use these emulators to propagate uncertainty from model input parameters to predictions of glacier mass loss through 2300, demonstrating that the calibrated posterior distributions have both greater mass loss and reduced variance compared to the uncalibrated prior distributions. Parametric uncertainty is large enough through about 2130 that the two projections under different emission scenarios are indistinguishable from one another. However, after rapid ocean warming in the first half of the 22nd century, the projections become statistically distinct within decades. Overall, this study demonstrates an efficient Bayesian calibration and uncertainty propagation workflow for ice-sheet model projections and identifies the potential for large sea-level rise contributions from the Amery sector of the Antarctic Ice Sheet after 2100 under high-greenhouse-gas-emission scenarios.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES

SimPoint++: Less Simulation Points

We propose SimPoint++, which replaces the BIC method by combining WCSS and Silhouette to find the optimal cluster. The new Python framework of SimPoint++ provides a dimension reduction pipeline for effective clustering and supports multi-thread application analysis. We evaluate SimPoint++ with Spec CPU 2017 benchmarks. SimPoint++ achieves comparable or higher accuracy with significantly fewer simulation points, resulting in a 5x speed-up in simulation time compared to state-of-the-art solutions.

Chen, Si

Variance reduction in lattice QCD observables via normalizing flows

Normalizing flows can be used to construct unbiased, reduced-variance estimators for lattice field theory observables that are defined by a derivative with respect to action parameters. This work implements the approach for observables involving gluonic operator insertions in the SU(3) Yang-Mills theory and two-flavor QCD in four space-time dimensions. Variance reduction by factors of 10–60 is achieved in glueball correlation functions and in gluonic matrix elements related to hadron structure, with demonstrated computational advantages. The observed variance reduction is found to be approximately independent of the lattice volume, so volume transfer can be utilized to minimize training costs.

Abbott, Ryan [Columbia U.; MIT, Cambridge, CTP; IA

Improving the Quasi‐Biennial Oscillation via a Surrogate‐Accelerated Multi‐Objective Optimization

Accurate simulation of the quasi-biennial oscillation (QBO) is challenging due to uncertainties in representing convectively generated gravity waves. We develop an end-to-end uncertainty quantification workflow that calibrates these gravity wave processes in E3SM for a realistic QBO. Central to our approach is a domain knowledge-informed, compressed representation of high-dimensional spatio-temporal wind fields. By employing a parsimonious statistical model that learns the fundamental frequency from complex observations, we extract interpretable and physically meaningful quantities capturing key attributes. Building on this, we train a probabilistic surrogate model that approximates the fundamental characteristics of the QBO as functions of critical physics parameters governing gravity wave generation. Leveraging the Karhunen–Loève decomposition, our surrogate efficiently represents these characteristics as a set of orthogonal features, capturing cross-correlations among multiple physics quantities evaluated at different pressure levels and enabling rapid surrogate-based inference at a fraction of the computational cost of full-scale simulations. Finally, we analyze the inverse problem using a multi-objective approach. Our study reveals a tension between amplitude and period that constrains the QBO representation, precluding a single optimal solution. To navigate this, we quantify the bi-criteria trade-off and generate a set of Pareto optimal parameter values that balance the conflicting objectives. This integrated workflow improves the fidelity of QBO simulations and offers a versatile template for uncertainty quantification in complex geophysical models.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES

Co-Active Subspace Methods for the Joint Analysis of Adjacent Computer Models

Active subspace (AS) methods are a valuable tool for understanding the relationship between the inputs and outputs of a Physics simulation. In this article, an elegant generalization of the traditional ASM is developed to assess the co-activity of two computer models. This generalization, which we refer to as a Co-Active Subspace (Co-AS) Method, allows for the joint analysis of two or more computer models allowing for thorough exploration of the alignment (or non-alignment) of the respective gradient spaces. We define co-active directions, co-sensitivity indices, and a scalar “concordance” metric (and complementary “discordance” pseudo-metric) and we demonstrate that these are powerful tools for understanding the behavior of a class of computer models, especially when used to supplement traditional AS analysis. Details for efficient estimation of the Co-AS and an accompanying R package (concordance) are provided. Practical application is demonstrated through analyzing a set of simulated rate stick experiments for PBX 9501, a high explosive, offering insights into complex model dynamics.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING

Sharp detection of low-dimensional structure in probability measures via dimensional logarithmic Sobolev inequalities

Identifying low-dimensional structure in high-dimensional probability measures is an essential pre-processing step for efficient sampling. To identify this structure, we approximate the target measure as a perturbation of an arbitrary reference measure along a few directions in $\mathbb{R}^{d}$. These directions are determined by minimizing an upper bound on the Kullback–Leibler (KL) divergence between the target and its approximation. Our contribution improves upon previous works by leveraging dimensional logarithmic Sobolev inequalities to refine the bound on the KL divergence. These inequalities lead to a uniformly tighter bound on the KL divergence, thereby enhancing the identification of the most significant perturbation directions. In particular, when the target and reference are both Gaussian, minimizing the resulting bound is equivalent to minimizing the KL divergence. We further demonstrate the applicability of this analysis to the squared Hellinger distance, where analogous reasoning shows that the dimensional Poincaré inequality offers improved bounds.

Bayesian inference

Commuting embeddings for parallel strategies in non-local games

Non-local games provide a versatile framework for probing quantum correlations and for benchmarking the power of entanglement. In finite dimensions, the standard method for playing several games in parallel requires a tensor product of the local Hilbert spaces, which scales additively in the number of qubits. In this work, we show that this additive cost can be reduced by exploiting algebraic embeddings. We introduce two forms of compressions. First, when a referee selects one game from a finite collection of games at random, the game quantum strategy can be implemented using a maximally entangled state of dimension equal to the largest individual game, thereby eliminating the need for repeated state preparations. Second, we establish conditions under which several games can be played simultaneously in parallel on fewer qubits than the tensor product baseline. These conditions are expressed in terms of commuting embeddings of the game algebras. Moreover, we provide a constructive framework for building such embeddings. Using tools from Lie theory, we show that aligning the various game algebras into a common Cartan decomposition enables such a qubit reduction. Beyond the theoretical contribution, our framework casts NLGs as algebraic primitives for distributed and resource-constrained quantum computations and suggested NLGs as a comparable device-independent dimension witness.

Commuting embeddings

Adaptive Scalpel Scanning Probe Microscopy for Enhanced Volumetric Sensing in Tomographic Analysis

Controlling nanoscale tip‐induced material removal is crucial for achieving atomic‐level precision in tomographic sensing with atomic force microscopy (AFM). While advances have enabled volumetric probing of conductive features with nanometer accuracy in solid‐state devices, materials, and photovoltaics, limitations in spatial resolution and volumetric sensitivity persist. This work identifies and addresses in‐plane and vertical tip‐sample junction leakage as sources of parasitic contrast in tomographic AFM, hindering real‐space 3D reconstructions. Novel strategies are proposed to overcome these limitations. First, the contrast mechanisms analyzing nanosized conductive features are explored when confining current collection purely to in‐plane transport, thus allowing reconstruction with a reduction in the overestimation of the lateral dimensions. Furthermore, an adaptive tip‐sample biasing scheme is demonstrated for the mitigation of a class of artefacts induced by the high electric field inside the thin oxide when volumetrically reduced. This significantly enhances vertical sensitivity by approaching the intrinsic limits set by quantum tunneling processes, allowing detailed depth analysis in thin dielectrics. The effectiveness of these methods is showcased in tomographic reconstructions of conductive filaments in valence change memory, highlighting the potential for application in nanoelectronics devices and bulk materials and unlocking new limits for tomographic AFM.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE

Mapping Spiking Neural Networks to Heterogeneous Crossbar Architectures using Integer Linear Programming

Advances in novel hardware devices and architectures allow Spiking Neural Network (SNN) evaluation using ultra-low power, mixed-signal, memristor crossbar arrays. As individual network sizes quickly scale beyond the dimensional capabilities of single crossbars, networks must be mapped onto multiple crossbars. Crossbar sizes within modern Memristor Crossbar Architectures (MCAs) are determined predominately not by device technology but by network topology; more, smaller crossbars consume less area thanks to the high structural sparsity found in larger, brain-inspired SNNs. Motivated by continuing increases in SNN sparsity due to improvements in training methods, we propose utilizing heterogeneous crossbar sizes to further reduce area consumption. This approach was previously unachievable as prior compiler studies only explored solutions targeting homogeneous MCAs. Our work improves on the state-of-the-art by providing Integer Linear Programming (ILP) formulations supporting arbitrarily heterogeneous architectures. By modeling axonal interactions between neurons, our methods produce better mappings while removing inhibitive a priori knowledge requirements. We first show a 16.7-27.6% reduction in area consumption for square-crossbar homogeneous architectures. Then, we demonstrate 66.9-72.7% further reduction when using a reasonable configuration of heterogeneous crossbar dimensions. Next, we present a new optimization formulation capable of minimizing the number of inter-crossbar routes. When applied to solutions already near-optimal in area, an 11.9-26.4% routing reduction is observed without impacting area consumption. Finally, we present a profile-guided optimization capable of minimizing the number of runtime spikes between crossbars. Compared to the best-area-then-route optimized solutions, we observe a further 0.5-14.8% inter-crossbar spike reduction while requiring 1–3 orders of magnitude less solver time.

Pohl, Devin [ORNL] (ORCID:0009000040149027)

A hybrid Monte Carlo-deterministic second moment method with efficient variance reduction

In this work, we present a hybrid method that combines Monte Carlo with deterministic finite element methods to solve a linear Boltzmann transport equation. Our hybrid method runs orders of magnitude faster than Monte Carlo, without sacrificing accuracy, for a proxy problem from radiative transfer that contains both optically-thick and optically-thin material. We believe that this is the first demonstration of a hybrid Second Moment Method in more than one spatial dimension, the first to consider more than one material, and the first to use variance reduction. Our variance reduction approach arises from an asymptotic analysis in which we show that the magnitude of the scattering source grows without bound. We transform the problem to compute the deviation of the radiation intensity from isotropy. The magnitude of the source in the transformed problem is bounded, and the quality of the hybrid method solution is dramatically improved by a substantial reduction in the variance.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS

Layered and Low-Dimensional Lead, Silver, and Bismuth Halide Perovskites Directed by Halogen-Substituted Spacer Cations

Hybrid organic–inorganic metal halides provide a diverse parameter space in which the optoelectronic properties can be tuned through the composition. The compositional tunability extends to the metal site, which can be expanded from single valent metals (e.g., Pb 2+ ) to multivalent metals (e.g., Ag + and Bi 3+ ), and the dimension (2D, 1D, or 0D). However, a deeper understanding of how the organic cations template these metal halide structures is needed. Here, we synthesize and study the structures of a series of new layered and low-dimensional metal (Pb, Ag, and Bi) halides templated by the halogenated aryl spacer cations 2-chlorobenzylammonium (2ClBZ) and 3-chloro-2-fluorobenzylammonium (3Cl2FBZ). We report new lead perovskites, (3Cl2FBZ) 2 PbBr 4 , (2ClBZ) 3 PbI 5 , and (3Cl2FBZ) 2 PbI 4 , and compare them to their silver and/or bismuth analogs (2ClBZ) 4 AgBiBr 8 , (3Cl2FBZ) 4 AgBiBr 8 , (2ClBZ) 3 Bi 2 I 9 , and (3Cl2FBZ) 4 Bi 2 I 10 . In all structures, the halogen-substituted cations result in 2D or “pseudo-2D” layering, but the different halogen substituents introduce different distortions (tilting, octahedral distortion) and dimensional reduction to 1D or 0D depending on the metal and halide compositions. Optical absorption measurements reveal the bandgaps are tunable through metal sites, dimension, and cations to different extents. Furthermore, the 1D (3Cl2FBZ) 4 Bi 2 I 10 crystallizes in the noncentrosymmetric space group Cmc2 1 and exhibits second-harmonic generation (SHG). Furthermore, the organic–inorganic interactions and resultant structural distortions examined here provide insights toward the engineering of noncentrosymmetry and dimensional control in hybrid metal halide perovskites.

Cations

Direct statistical simulation of the Lorenz96 system in model reduction approaches

Direct statistical simulation (DSS) of nonlinear dynamical systems bypasses the traditional route of accumulating statistics by lengthy direct numerical simulations by solving the equations that govern the statistics themselves. DSS suffers, however, from the curse of dimensionality as the statistics (such as correlations) generally have higher dimensions than the underlying dynamical variables. Here we investigate two approaches to reduce the dimensionality of DSS, illustrating each method with numerical experiments with the Lorenz96 dynamical system. The forms of DSS chosen here involve approximate closures at second and third order in the equal-time cumulants. We demonstrate significant reduction in computational effort that can be achieved without sacrificing the accuracy of DSS. The methods developed here can be applied to turbulent fluid and magnetohydrodynamical systems. Published by the American Physical Society 2025

Li, Kuan

Bayesian calibration of irradiated graphite property models under high temperatures

Graphite under high temperatures and irradiation is central to advanced reactors. We develop a Bayesian calibration framework for graphite property models that explicitly represents model-data mismatch via a Gaussian-process discrepancy. The approach propagates uncertainty from parameters, experimental noise, and model form, with a hierarchical variance structure to capture group and cross-group noise. Using two predictive models across five grades (IG-110, NBG-18, PCEA, NBG-17, 2114) and four properties-irradiation-induced dimension change, creep, Young’s modulus change ratio, and coefficient of thermal expansion change ratio-we obtain average predictive-error reductions of 54%, 65%, 17%, and 17% when discrepancy is included. We illustrate engineering impact with a multiphysics model of a very-high-temperature reactor prismatic reflector brick, analyzing stresses under high fluence and temperature. Accounting for model discrepancy markedly improves predictive accuracy and provides a robust basis for reliable graphite component design in advanced reactors.

36 - MATERIALS SCIENCE

FPGA-accelerated SpeckleNN with SNL for real-time X-ray single-particle imaging

We present the implementation of a specialized version of our previously published unified embedding model, SpeckleNN, for real-time speckle pattern classification in X-ray Single-Particle Imaging (SPI), using the SLAC Neural Network Library (SNL) on an FPGA platform. This hardware realization transitions SpeckleNN from a prototypic model into a practical edge solution, optimized for running inference near the detector in high-throughput X-ray free-electron laser (XFEL) facilities, such as those found at the Linac Coherent Light Source (LCLS). To address the resource constraints inherent in FPGAs, we developed a more specialized version of SpeckleNN. The original model, which was designed for broader classification across multiple biological samples, comprised ~5.6 million parameters. The new implementation, while reducing the parameter count to 64.6K (a 98.8% reduction), focuses on maintaining the model's essential functionality for real-time operation, achieving an accuracy of 90%. Furthermore, we compressed the latent space from 128 to 50 dimensions. This implementation was demonstrated on the KCU1500 FPGA board, utilizing 71% of available DSPs, 75% of LUTs, and 48% of FFs, with an average power consumption of 9.4W according to the Vivado post-implementation report. The FPGA performed inference on a single image with a latency of 45.015 microseconds at a 200 MHz clock rate. In comparison, running the same inference on an NVIDIA A100 GPU resulted in an average power consumption of ~73W and an image processing latency of around 400 microseconds. Our FPGA-accelerated version of SpeckleNN demonstrated significant improvements, achieving an 8.9 × speedup and a 7.8 × reduction in power consumption compared to the GPU implementation. Key advancements include model specialization and dynamic weight loading through SNL, which eliminates the need for time-consuming FPGA design re-synthesis, allowing fast and continuous deployment of models (re)trained online. These innovations enable real-time adaptive classification and efficient vetoing of speckle patterns, making SpeckleNN more suited for deployment in XFEL facilities. This implementation has the potential to significantly accelerate SPI experiments and enhance adaptability to evolving experimental conditions.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION

Exponential Improvements in the Simulation of Lattice Gauge Theories Using Near-Optimal Techniques

We report a first-of-its-kind analysis on post-Trotter simulation of U(1), SU(2), and SU(3) lattice gauge theories including fermions in arbitrary spatial dimension. We provide explicit circuit constructions as well as T-gate counts and logical qubit counts for Hamiltonian simulation. We find a reduction of up to 25 orders of magnitude in space-time volume over Trotter methods for simulations of non-Abelian lattice gauge theories relevant to the standard model. This improvement results from our algorithm having polynomial scaling with the number of colors in the gauge theory, achieved by utilizing oracle constructions relying on the sparsity of physical operators, in contrast to the exponential scaling seen in state-of-the-art Trotter methods, which employ explicit mappings onto Pauli operators. Our work demonstrates that the use of advanced algorithmic techniques leads to dramatic reductions in the cost of simulating fundamental interactions, bringing it in step with resources required for first-principles quantum simulation of chemistry.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC

A Linear-Complexity Tensor Butterfly Algorithm for Compressing High-Dimensional Oscillatory Integral Operators

This paper presents a multilevel tensor compression algorithm called tensor butterfly algorithm for efficiently representing large-scale and high-dimensional oscillatory integral operators, including Green's functions for wave equations and integral transforms such as Radon transforms and Fourier transforms. The proposed algorithm leverages a tensor extension of the so-called complementary low-rank property of existing matrix butterfly algorithms. The algorithm partitions the discretized integral operator tensor into subtensors of multiple levels and factorizes each subtensor at the middle level as a Tucker-type interpolative decomposition, whose factor matrices are formed in a multilevel fashion. For a d-dimensional (d > 1) integral operator discretized into a 2d-mode tensor with n2d entries, the overall CPU time and memory requirement scale as O(nd), in stark contrast to the O(nd log n) complexity of existing matrix algorithms such as matrix butterfly algorithms and fast Fourier transforms (FFTs), where n is the number of points per direction. When comparing with other tensor algorithms such as quantized tensor train (QTT), the proposed algorithm also shows superior CPU and memory performance for tensor contraction. Remarkably, the tensor butterfly algorithm can efficiently model high-frequency Green's function interactions between two unit cubes, each spanning 512 wavelengths per direction, which represents problems of scale over 512× larger than that existing butterfly algorithms can handle, with the same amount of computation resources. On the other hand, for a problem representing 64 wavelengths per direction, which is the largest size existing algebraic matrix algorithms can handle, our tensor butterfly algorithm exhibits 200x speedups and 30× memory reduction compared with existing ones. Moreover, the tensor butterfly algorithm also permits O(nd)-complexity FFTs and Radon transforms up to d = 6 dimensions.

Kielstra, P Michael

Visualizing Size-Dependent Dynamics of CeO 2-δ {100}-Supported CoO x Nanoparticles Under CO 2 Hydrogenation Conditions

Carbon dioxide is a major greenhouse gas. In order to optimize processes focused on its chemical valorization, one needs detailed information about the effects of CO 2 and/or CO 2 /H 2 mixtures on the structure and morphology of metal/oxide catalysts. Here, in this study, the evolution of a catalyst with cobalt supported on CeO 2 -cube nanostructures under CO 2 hydrogenation conditions was investigated by using a set of in situ characterization techniques (X-ray absorption fine structure, X-ray diffraction, diffuse reflectance infrared Fourier transform spectroscopy, and environmental transmission electron microscopy (TEM)). The {100} facets of the ceria support displayed an unexpectedly high stability due to strong interactions with the aggregates of cobalt oxide. A significant influence of interfacial bonding between CoO x and CeO 2-δ {100} is evident through a clear preference in the orientation of CoO x nanoparticles (NPs) with respect to the substrate. For initially reduced Co/CeO 2 -cube nanostructures, a kinetically controlled oxidation of cobalt upon the introduction of CO 2 was observed during the early stages of CO 2 hydrogenation. Environmental TEM revealed the size-dependent morphological behavior of cobalt oxide NPs due to strong interactions with the CeO 2 {100} surface. When the environment was switched from H 2 to a mixture of H 2 and CO 2 at 250 °C, small CoO x NPs (in the largest dimension < 2.5 nm) rapidly transformed from a pyramidal three-dimensional (3D) form to a planar, monatomic layer attached to the concurrently oxidized CeO 2-δ {100} surface. This maximizes the number of sites available for the binding of CO 2 or reaction intermediates. The shape transformation reflected the oxophilic character of cobalt and strong metal–support interactions. The removal of CO 2 from the gas phase led to a reduction of the cobalt oxide NPs by hydrogen and a reversible two-dimensional → 3D transformation. In contrast, no significant morphological changes, apart from further oxidation, were observed for big CoO x NPs (in the largest dimension > 3 nm). These trends are not seen for nanoparticles of noble metals. The observed morphological and structural changes in the small CoO x NPs affected the stability of reaction intermediates and modified the selectivity of the CoO x /CeO 2 catalyst system for methane production.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE