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All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2024

Nonnegligible cascading impacts of global urban expansion on net primary productivity

Accelerated global urban expansion not only directly occupies surrounding ecosystems, but also induces cascading losses of natural vegetation elsewhere through cropland displacement. Yet, how such effects alter the net primary productivity (NPP) worldwide remains unclear. Here, we quantified the direct and cascading impacts of global urban expansion on terrestrial NPP from 1992 to 2020 and projected the impacts under the shared socioeconomic pathways framework by 2100. We found that global urban expansion caused a cascading loss of 29.2 to 63.9 Tg C/year of terrestrial NPP in the historical period (1992–2020), accounting for 13–29% of the total direct NPP loss. Instead, our projections indicate that during 2020–2100, mainly due to the increased relocation of displaced croplands to low-productive ecosystems, the cascading impacts gradually change from negative to positive, leading to a net NPP increase. Such an increase may offset up to 7% of the total direct NPP loss, better balancing crop compensation with NPP maintenance. Our findings highlight the unexpected large cascading impacts of urban expansion on the carbon cycle and stress the importance of regulating land transitions to curtail land-use emissions.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2020

Mitigating Cascading Outages in Severe Weather Using Simulation-Based Optimization

Severe weather events can trigger cascading power outages and lead to significant losses. In this work, we investigate cascading outage mitigation under severe weather conditions. Given day-ahead weather forecasts and component failure models, we aim to identify a set of power lines that can be hardened to minimize the expected impact of potential cascading outages. Since the expected load shedding cannot be expressed as an explicit function of line hardening decisions and system states, we developed a cascading outage simulator to estimate the expected value of load shedding under various initial weather-related disruption scenarios generated using a weather forecast. To avoid massive enumeration of all possible combinations of line hardening decisions and reduce the simulation efforts, we employed an efficient simulation-based optimization approach that quickly identifies the (near) optimal line hardening decisions in the presence of both large simulation noises due to the highly variable initial disturbances and system states, and significant randomness in the subsequent cascades. Furthermore, the algorithm is also able to utilize parallel computing to dramatically reduce computation time to support decision making in preparation for severe weather conditions. We performed a case study on the Northeast Power Coordinating Council (NPCC) 140-bus system model to demonstrate that our approach can significantly improve power grid resilience to adverse weather events.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗
DOE OSTI2026

Finite-element-based simulations of electrodes for CO 2 cascade reduction reactions

The multielectron reduction of CO 2 to liquid fuels could be a path to scalable energy storage, but reaching this goal requires major advances in catalysis and systems engineering. Cascade catalysis, which couples sequential reactions without isolating intermediates, has emerged as a promising route to enhance selectivity and efficiency in CO 2 reduction (CO 2 R). In this review, we examine how finite-element-based simulations of continuum model [finite element method (FEM)] approaches are being used to analyze and guide CO 2 R cascade systems. We first outline the fundamentals of cascade catalysis and recent advances in catalytic materials (metallic, molecular, and hybrid architectures). We then focus on FEM developments at the electrode and device scales, emphasizing how these models capture transport phenomena, local microenvironments, and geometry-dependent effects. To clarify design principles, we present case studies of cascade electrodes organized in systems without and with integrated semiconductors. We further emphasize the integration of FEM with multiscale frameworks (density functional theory, molecular dynamics, kinetic Monte Carlo) and its role in bridging atomic-level insights with device-level performance. Finally, we identify current limitations and future prospects, including improved boundary conditions, coupling with operando experiments, and machine learning-accelerated model development. Together, these insights provide design principles for next-generation CO 2 R cascade systems for efficient solar fuel production.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2024

Phase-space entropy cascade and irreversibility of stochastic heating in nearly collisionless plasma turbulence

We consider a nearly collisionless plasma consisting of a species of “test particles” in one spatial and one velocity dimension, stirred by an externally imposed stochastic electric field—a kinetic analog of the Kraichnan model of passive advection. The mean effect on the particle distribution function is turbulent diffusion in velocity space—known as stochastic heating. Accompanying this heating is the generation of fine-scale structure in the distribution function, which we characterize with the collisionless (Casimir) invariant C 2 ∝ ∫ ∫ d x d v 〈 f 2 〉 —a quantity that here plays the role of (negative) entropy of the distribution function. We find that C 2 is transferred from large scales to small scales in both position and velocity space via a phase-space cascade enabled by both particle streaming and nonlinear interactions between particles and the stochastic electric field. We compute the steady-state fluxes and spectrum of C 2 in Fourier space, with k and s denoting spatial and velocity wave numbers, respectively. In our model, the nonlinearity in the evolution equation for the spectrum turns into a fractional Laplacian operator in k space, leading to anomalous diffusion. Whereas even the linear phase mixing alone would lead to a constant flux of C 2 to high s (towards the collisional dissipation range) at every k , the nonlinearity accelerates this cascade by intertwining velocity and position space so that the flux of C 2 is to both high k and high s simultaneously. Integrating over velocity (spatial) wave numbers, the k -space ( s -space) flux of C 2 is constant down to a dissipation length (velocity) scale that tends to zero as the collision frequency does, even though the rate of collisional dissipation remains finite. The resulting spectrum in the inertial range is a self-similar function in the ( k , s ) plane, with power-law asymptotics at large k and s . Our model is fully analytically solvable, but the asymptotic scalings of the spectrum can also be found via a simple phenomenological theory whose key assumption is that the cascade is governed by a “critical balance” in phase space between the linear and nonlinear timescales. We argue that stochastic heating is made irreversible by this entropy cascade and that, while collisional dissipation accessed via phase mixing occurs only at small spatial scales rather than at every scale as it would in a linear system, the cascade makes phase mixing even more effective overall in the nonlinear regime than in the linear one. Published by the American Physical Society 2024

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2024

Analysis and Mitigation of Cascading Outages Using an Interaction Graph Addressing Transient Stability

Cascading outages of power systems pose great threats to system security and reliability, potentially leading to large-scale blackouts. For analysis and mitigation of cascading outages, this paper proposes a transient stability-incorporated interaction graph. This graph statistically quantifies the interactions among line outages and instabilities of generators, which can model propagation paths and patterns of cascading outages. Compared with an interaction graph that only models line outages, this new interaction graph provides important insights on how transient instability occurs along with cascading outages. It also offers more effective strategies for mitigating outage propagation. The proposed interaction graph can be constructed from datasets of historical or simulated cascading events. It is demonstrated on an NPCC 140-bus system with mitigation strategies.

Guo, Zhenping↗
DOE OSTI2022

Increasing risk of cascading hazards in the central Himalayas

Cascading hazards are becoming more prevalent in the central Himalayas. Primary hazards (e.g., earthquakes, avalanches, and landslides) often trigger secondary hazards (e.g., landslide dam, debris flow, and flooding), compounding the risks to human settlements, infrastructures, and ecosystems. Risk management strategies are commonly tailored to a single hazard, leaving human and natural systems vulnerable to cascading hazards. In this commentary, we characterize diverse natural hazards in the central Himalayas, including their cascading mechanisms and potential impacts. A scientifically sound understanding of the cascading hazards, underlying mechanisms, and appropriate tools to account for the compounding risks are crucial to informing the design of risk management strategies. Here, we also discuss the need for an integrated modeling framework, reliable prediction and early warning system, and sustainable disaster mitigation and adaptation strategies.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2021

Healing of nanocracks by collision cascades in nickel

We use molecular dynamics simulations to investigate the interaction between collision cascades and pre-existing nano-cracks in nickel (Ni). We find that collision cascades cause the cracks to heal whenever a cascade initiates a thermal spike whose core overlaps with the crack. Moreover, crack healing affects the distribution of radiation-induced defects generated during a collision cascade: defect clusters, such as dislocations and stacking fault tetrahedra, dominate in the presence of crack healing, while isolated point defects dominate in its absence. Furthermore, this work indicates that irradiation may reduce the number of pre-existing crack-like flaws in metallic components, potentially improving their mechanical resilience.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2022

Cascaded Optical Nonlinearities in Dielectric Metasurfaces

Since the discovery of the laser, optical nonlinearities have been at the core of efficient light conversion sources. Typically, thick transparent crystals or quasi-phase matched waveguides are utilized in conjunction with phase-matching techniques to select a single parametric process. In recent years, due to the rapid developments in artificially structured materials, optical frequency mixing has been achieved at the nanoscale in subwavelength resonators arrayed as metasurfaces. Phase matching becomes relaxed for these wavelength-scale structures, and all allowed nonlinear processes can, in principle, occur on an equal footing. This could promote harmonic generation via a cascaded (consisting of several frequency mixing steps) process. However, so far, all reported work on dielectric metasurfaces have assumed frequency mixing from a direct (single step) nonlinear process. In this work, we prove the existence of cascaded second-order optical nonlinearities by analyzing the second- and third-wave mixing from a highly nonlinear metasurface in conjunction with polarization selection rules and crystal symmetries. We find that the third-wave mixing signal from a cascaded process can be of comparable strength to that from conventional third-harmonic generation and that surface nonlinearities are the dominant mechanism that contributes to cascaded second-order nonlinearities in our metasurface.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2023

A Review on Simulation Models of Cascading Failures in Power Systems

Among various power system disturbances, cascading failures are considered the most serious and extreme threats to grid operations, potentially leading to significant stability issues or even widespread power blackouts. Simulating power systems' behaviors during cascading failures is of great importance to comprehend how failures originate and propagate, as well as to develop effective preventive and mitigative control strategies. The intricate mechanism of cascading failures, characterized by multi-timescale dynamics, presents exceptional challenges for their simulations. This paper provides a comprehensive review of simulation models for cascading failures, providing a systematic categorization and a comparison of these models. The challenges and potential research directions for the future are also discussed.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗
DOE OSTI2021

Thermoeconomic Evaluation and Optimization of Using Different Environmentally Friendly Refrigerant Pairs for a Dual-Evaporator Cascade Refrigeration System

Applications of dual-evaporator refrigeration systems have recently gained much attention both in academia and industry due to their multiple benefits. In this study, a comprehensive thermodynamic and economic analysis is conducted to evaluate the potential of using several environmentally friendly refrigerant couples and identifies the most suitable one yielding the best economic results. To achieve this goal, a detailed parametric study is conducted, and an optimization process is performed using a particle swarm optimization (PSO) approach to minimize the unit production cost of cooling (UPCC) of the cascade refrigeration system. The results showed that among all selected 18 refrigerant pairs and for all ranges of examined operating parameters, the R170-R161 pair and R1150-R1234yf pair are identified as the best and worst pairs, respectively, from both thermodynamic and economic viewpoints. The results also confirm that R170-R161 pair has an improvement over R717-R744, used as a typical refrigerant pair of cascade refrigeration cycles. For a base case analysis, the COP of R170-R161 and R1150-R1234yf pairs is determined as 1.727 and 1.552, respectively, while their UPCC is found to be $0.395/ton-hr and $0.419/ton-hr, respectively, showing the influence of proper selection of refrigerant pairs on the cascade cycle’s performance. Overall, this study offers a useful thermodynamic and economic insight regarding the selection of proper refrigerant pairs for a dual-evaporator cascade vapor compression refrigeration system.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2025

Single-Walled Zeolitic Nanotube–Poly(oxazoline) Nanocomposites as Heterogeneous Catalysts for Acid–Base Cascade Reactions

Zeolites with a unique, 1-dimensional form factor were recently discovered − zeolite nanotubes (ZNTs). Here we describe the synthesis and characterization of NaH-ZNTpoly( oxazoline) composites targeting liquid-phase acid−base cascade catalysis. NaH-ZNT, a one-dimensional zeolite analogue with mesoporosity (3−4 nm) associated with nanotubes and inherent Brønsted acid sites associated with the microporous zeolite domains, is functionalized with poly(oxazoline)-based triblock copolymers with varying molecular weights (3−17 kDa). The composites are characterized using N2 sorption, STEM, FTIR, and elemental analysis, confirming successful grafting and preservation of the zeolite nanotube structure. The composites’ catalytic performance is evaluated through separate acid and base reactions, followed by a combined cascade of a deacetalization−Knoevenagel condensation for the synthesis of chalcone compounds. High initial reaction rates are demonstrated, but modest overall cascade product formation rates are observed, attributed to interactions between Brønsted acid sites and base amine groups that occur in the polymer-grafted systems. Physical mixtures of NaH-ZNT-SH and poly(oxazoline)s, lacking covalent linkages between ZNT and the polymer, support this supposition. This work demonstrates the potential of NaH-ZNT-poly(oxazoline) composites for liquid-phase cascade catalysis for synthesizing compounds of potential medicinal interest, highlighting the benefits of the grafting-to approach as well as the need for further optimization of the catalytic performance.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2022

Epidermal growth factor receptor cascade prioritizes the maximization of signal transduction

Many studies have been performed to quantify cell signaling. Cell signaling molecules are phosphorylated in response to extracellular stimuli, with the phosphorylation sequence forming a signal cascade. The information gain during a signal event is given by the logarithm of the phosphorylation molecule ratio. The average information gain can be regarded as the signal transduction quantity (ST), which is identical to the Kullback–Leibler divergence (KLD), a relative entropy. We previously reported that if the total ST value in a given signal cascade is maximized, the ST rate (STR) of each signaling molecule per signal duration (min) approaches a constant value. To experimentally verify this theoretical conclusion, we measured the STR of the epidermal growth factor (EGF)-related cascade in A431 skin cancer cells following stimulation with EGF using antibody microarrays against phosphorylated signal molecules. The results were consistent with those from the theoretical analysis. Thus, signaling transduction systems may adopt a strategy that prioritizes the maximization of ST. Furthermore, signal molecules with similar STRs may form a signal cascade. In conclusion, ST and STR are promising properties for quantitative analysis of signal transduction.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2023

Dark matter halo mass functions and density profiles from mass and energy cascade

Abstract Halo abundance and structure play a central role for modeling structure formation and evolution. Without relying on a spherical or ellipsoidal collapse model, we analytically derive the halo mass function and cuspy halo density (inner slope of −4/3) based on the mass and energy cascade theory in dark matter flow. The hierarchical halo structure formation leads to halo or particle random walk with a position-dependent waiting time $$\tau _g$$ τ g . First, the inverse mass cascade from small to large scales leads to the halo random walk in mass space with $$\tau _g\propto m_h^{-\lambda }$$ τ g ∝ m h - λ , where $$m_h$$ m h is the halo mass and $$\lambda$$ λ is a halo geometry parameter with predicted value of 2/3. The corresponding Fokker-Planck solution for halo random walk in mass space gives rise to the halo mass function with a power-law behavior on small scale and exponential decay on large scale. This can be further improved by considering two different $$\lambda$$ λ for haloes below and above a critical mass scale $$m_h^*$$ m h ∗ , i.e. a double- $$\lambda$$ λ halo mass function. Second, a double- $$\gamma$$ γ density profile can be derived based on the particle random walk in 3D space with a position-dependent waiting time $$\tau _g \propto \Phi (r)^{-1} \propto r^{-\gamma }$$ τ g ∝ Φ ( r ) - 1 ∝ r - γ , where $$\Phi$$ Φ is the gravitational potential and r is the particle distance to halo center. Theory predicts $$\gamma =2/3$$ γ = 2 / 3 that leads to a cuspy density profile with an inner slope of −4/3, consistent with the predicted scaling laws from energy cascade. The Press-Schechter mass function and Einasto density profile are just special cases of proposed models. The small scale permanence can be identified due to the scale-independent rate of mass and energy cascade, where density profiles of different halo masses and redshifts converge to the $$-4/3$$ - 4 / 3 scaling law ( $$\rho _h \propto r^{-4/3}$$ ρ h ∝ r - 4 / 3 ) on small scales. Theory predicts the halo number density scales with halo mass as $$\propto m_h^{-1.9}$$ ∝ m h - 1.9 , while the halo mass density scales as $$\propto m_h^{4/9}$$ ∝ m h 4 / 9 . Results were compared against the Illustris simulations. This new perspective provides a theory for nearly universal halo mass functions and density profiles.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2025

Engineered enzymatic cascade converts diols to amino alcohols

Aliphatic amino alcohols such as 6-amino-1-hexanol are potential platform chemicals for a variety of advanced materials, but applications are currently limited by reagent costs. Aliphatic amino alcohols can currently be synthesized from biomass-derived diols at elevated temperatures and pressures using Ru-based catalysts that produce a mixture of amino-alcohol, diamine, and cyclic amine products. Replacing chemical amination with an enzymatic cascade would reduce resource needs and enable reactions under milder conditions. In this work, we characterized a two-enzyme cascade that selectively converts C4–C7 diols to the corresponding amino alcohols under aqueous conditions at room temperature and pressure. By engineering the rate-limiting enzyme and optimizing reaction conditions, we increased amino alcohol production nearly 30-fold, achieving a selectivity of 99%. The same enzyme cascade could also be used to convert amino alcohols into cyclic amines through reduction of the corresponding cyclic imine. This engineered cascade provides a green opportunity to sustainably synthesize asymmetric bifunctional platform chemicals.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2020

Development and study of high-power quantum-cascade lasers emitting at 4.5 – 4.6 μm

Quantum-cascade room-temperature 4.5 – 4.6 μm lasers with different numbers of quantum cascades are developed and studied. It is shown that losses at the metallised sidewalls of the ridge waveguide considerably increase the threshold current density. It is demonstrated that the current density needed to overcome the internal and outcoupling losses in lasers with 30 quantum cascades is an order of magnitude lower than in lasers with 15 quantum cascades. (lasers)

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗
DOE OSTI2026

Primary defect production from molecular dynamics simulations of high-energy displacement cascades in NbMoTaW alloys

In this work, we report on large-scale molecular-dynamics (MD) simulations of displacement cascades in equiatomic NbMoTaW alloys at PKA energies ranging from 0.15 to 150 keV. We find defect production to be strongly dependent on recoil energy, scaling sublinearly up to 10 keV, and linearly thereafter. We find the sublinear regime to be defined by low values of surviving Frenkel pairs, typically found as isolated point defects or small defect clusters, while at higher recoil energies dense cascades become more frequent, leading to splitting into subcascades and the production of relatively large prismatic-dislocation loops with ⟨111⟩ and ⟨001⟩ Burgers vectors. These loops immobilize large fractions of defects, leading to a rapid growth of the number of surviving defects in the linear regime. We also anneal post-cascade defect configurations using object-kinetic Monte Carlo (OKMC) simulations to account for intracascade recombination on time scales not accessible to MD simulations. Cascade annealing is strongly temperature dependent, with the OKMC simulations only showing significant recovery at 1000 K but not below. Our results are in general agreement with existing published data for refractory concentrated alloys.

Zhou, Xinran [Lawrence Berkeley National Laborator↗
DOE OSTI2022

Cascaded Control for Building HVAC Systems in Practice

Actuator hunting is a widespread and often neglected problem in the HVAC field. Hunting is typically characterized by sustained or intermittent oscillations, and can result in decreased efficiency, increased actuator wear, and poor setpoint tracking. Cascaded control loops have been shown to effectively linearize system dynamics and reduce the prevalence of hunting. This paper details the implementation of cascaded control architectures for Air Handling Unit chilled water valves at three university campus buildings. A framework for implementation the control in existing Building Automation software is developed that requires only a single line of additional code. Results gathered for more than a year show that cascaded control not only eliminates hunting in control loops with documented hunting issues, but provides better tracking and more consistent performance during all seasons. A discussion of efficiency losses due to hunting behavior is presented and illustrated with comparative data. Furthermore, an analysis of cost savings from implementing cascaded chilled water valve control is presented. Field tests show 2.2–4.4% energy savings, with additional potential savings from reduced operational costs (i.e., maintenance and controller retuning).

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗
DOE OSTI2022

Study of Excited Cascade Baryons and Preliminary Cross-Sections for Ξ(1530) Using Data from the GlueX Experiment

The spectra of predicted particles from elementary quark models (CQMs) are expansive, accurate for the low-lying spectra, but incomplete. The GlueX experiment at Jefferson Lab is a vehicle to study medium energy photoproduction of hadronic states. The primary goal of the GlueX collaboration is to study Quantum Chromodynamics (QCD, also known as the strong nuclear force) and the nature of quark confinement. The GlueX collaboration uses a polarized photon beam incident on a liquid hydrogen target (LH 2 ) to investigate the aftermath of photon-proton interactions. The cascade baryons, denoted by Ξ, are defined by having two, second-generation, strange quarks with an additional first-generation light quark (u or d). Experimentally, few cascades have been discovered, which is the antithesis of what most models expect. The cascades have some favorable attributes but are difficult to detect because the production cross sections are small and direct production is unlikely. Fortunately, in the 12 GeV era of the GlueX experiment, there is sufficient energy, beam time and data analysis tools for the detection of excited cascade states and their properties. From the reaction γ p →Κ + Κ + Ξ - π 0 , the invariant mass spectra of Ξ - π 0 system was surveyed for new possible resonances. The invariant mass spectrum has a strong Ξ(1530) signal with other smaller resonances throughout the spectrum. Preliminary cross sections for the Ξ(1530) that was photoproduced from the proton are presented at energies never before explored. While the Ξ(1530) couples almost exclusively to the Ξπ channel, there is an easily identifiable Ξ(1690) signal decaying Ξπ. Through the use of a simultaneous fitting routing of the Ξ*- mass spectra, I was able to observe the Ξ(1690) decaying to the KΛ, as well as to the Ξ - π 0 branch. With additional statistics, a measurement of the branching ratio should be possible. Lastly, a partial wave analysis (PWA) was completed to verify that the total angular momentum of Ξ(1530) is J = 3/2 and consistent with having positive parity. Additionally, there is evidence of a potentially interesting feature slightly above the mass of the Ξ(1530) that should be more fully explored as new GlueX data becomes available.

Sumner, Brandon↗