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Neutral winds derived from IRI parameters and from the HWM87 wind model for the sundial campaign of September, 1986

Meridional neutral winds derived from the height of the maximum ionization of the F2 layer are compared with values from results of the HWM87 empirical neutral wind model. The time period considered is the SUNDIAL-2 campaign, 21 Sept. through 5 Oct. 1986. Winds were derived from measurements by a global network of ionosondes, as well as from similar quantities generated by the International Reference Ionosphere. Global wind patterns from the three sources are similar. Differences tend to be the result of local or transient phenomena that are either too rapid to be described by the order of harmonics of the empirical models, or are the result of temporal changes not reproduced by models based on average conditions.

Miller, K. L.

Atmospheric and wind modeling for ATC

The section on atmospheric modeling covers the following topics: the standard atmosphere, atmospheric variations, atmosphere requirements for ATC, and implementation of a software model for Center/Tracon Advisory System (CTAS). The section on wind modeling covers the following topics: wind data -- NOAA profiler system; wind profile estimation; incorporation of various data types into filtering scheme; spatial and temporal variation; and software implementation into CTAS. The appendices contain Matlab codes for atmospheric routines and for wind estimation.

Slater, Gary L.

Neutral winds derived from IRI parameters and from the HWM87 wind model for the SUNDIAL campaign of September, 1986

Meridional neutral winds derived from the height of the maximum ionization of the F2-layer are compared with values from results of the HWM87 empirical neutral wind model. The time period considered in this study is the SUNDIAL-2 campaign, September 21 through October 5, 1986. Winds have been derived from measurements by a global network of ionosondes, as well as from similar quantities generated by the International Reference Ionosphere. Global wind patterns from the three sources are similar. Differences tend to be the result of local or transient phenomena that are either too rapid to be described by the order of harmonics of the empirical models, or are the result of temporal changes not reproduced by models based on average conditions.

Miller, K. L.

Status of solar wind modeling from the transition region outwards

In recent years, solar wind modeling has to some extent undergone a shift of emphasis, from attempts to produce high-speed streams far from the sun, to investigations of what conditions must exist in the solar corona and transition region in order to produce the observed conditions in both the solar wind and low corona. Thus there has been an increased awareness that the solar wind should really be treated as part of the solar atmosphere, and that the problems associated with heating and accelerating the solar wind should be treated in concert with the coronal (and perhaps chromospheric) heating problems. We will discuss several models which take this point of view but we will place particular emphasis on some outstanding problems, viz. the mass flux problem, some puzzling recent IPS data, our persistent difficulties with electron heat conduction, and observational uncertainties about the coronal and transition region boundary conditions which should be put into the models. We will conclude by suggesting some possible alternatives for future models.

Hollweg, J. V.

Empirical wind model for the middle and lower atmosphere. Part 1: Local time average

The HWM90 thermospheric wind model was revised in the lower thermosphere and extended into the mesosphere and lower atmosphere to provide a single analytic model for calculating zonal and meridional wind profiles representative of the climatological average for various geophysical conditions. Gradient winds from CIRA-86 plus rocket soundings, incoherent scatter radar, MF radar, and meteor radar provide the data base and are supplemented by previous data driven model summaries. Low-order spherical harmonics and Fourier series are used to describe the major variations throughout the atmosphere including latitude, annual, semiannual, and longitude (stationary wave 1). The model represents a smoothed compromise between the data sources. Although agreement between various data sources is generally good, some systematic differences are noted, particularly near the mesopause. Root mean square differences between data and model are on the order of 15 m/s in the mesosphere and 10 m/s in the stratosphere for zonal wind, and 10 m/s and 4 m/s, respectively, for meridional wind.

Hedin, A. E.

Wind models for flight simulator certification of landing and approach guidance and control systems

The definition of a model suitable for certification was the main objective of this report. The model was designed to simplify and reduce the wind model parameters to enable evaluation of a large number of aircraft and control system design parameters. Analytical descriptions of wind phenomena were presented. For those parameters defying analytic description, probabilistic descriptions were sought. A brief analysis of the effects of wind on aircraft motion was conducted. The axes transformations required between wind and turbulence components in their inherent axis system and in the airplane's axis system were shown. Techniques of providing a random process on computers for the representation of turbulence were presented. A simulation model was presented that combines all the foregoing components.

Schaeffer, D. R.

Empirical wind model for the middle and lower atmosphere. Part 2: Local time variations

The HWM90 thermospheric wind model was revised in the lower thermosphere and extended into the mesosphere and lower atmosphere to provide a single analytic model for calculating zonal and meridional wind profiles representative of the climatological average for various geophysical conditions. Local time variations in the mesosphere are derived from rocket soundings, incoherent scatter radar, MF radar, and meteor radar. Low-order spherical harmonics and Fourier series are used to describe these variations as a function of latitude and day of year with cubic spline interpolation in altitude. The model represents a smoothed compromise between the original data sources. Although agreement between various data sources is generally good, some systematic differences are noted. Overall root mean square differences between measured and model tidal components are on the order of 5 to 10 m/s.

Hedin, A. E.

Composite statistical method for modeling wind gusts for aircraft simulation

This paper discusses the application of three statistical methods in combination to model wind gusts for use in aircraft flight simulation. The approach combines principal components analysis, time series analysis and probability distribution model to analyze and simulate wind gust components. Comparisons are given between wind gust components generated by the model and components measured onboard an aircraft.

Schiess, J. R.

The formation of a standing shock in a polytropic solar wind model within 1-10 Rs

It is shown how a one-fluid polytropic solar wind model exhibits properties similar to an isothermal wind when localized momentum and/or rapid area divergence produce multiple critical points in the flow. In particular, it is shown that when the sonic transition in the flow occurs closer to the coronal base, multiple steady solutions can exist. These multiple steady solutions consist of a contiuous solution passing through the innermost critical point and other steady solutions involving a steady shock transition. By following the temporal evolution of the solar wind from a steady state with one critical point to a steady state with three critical points, it is shown that a standing shock solution is more likely to develop than a continuous solution when momentum deposition occurs close to the coronal base and the equation of motion admits multiple steady solutions. This result is particularly relevant to the solar wind when momentum deposition occurs as a result of a rapidly diverging coronal hole geometry.

Habbal, S. R.

Propfan model wind tunnel aeroelastic research results

Some of the single rotation propfan model wind tunnel aeroelastic findings from the experimental part of this research program are described. These findings include results for unstalled or classical flutter, blade response from separated flow excitations, and blade response from aerodynamic excitations at angled inflow conditions.

Mehmed, Oral

Investigations of a turbulence-driven solar wind model

This work presents an investigation of the properties of the one-dimensional, two-fluid turbulence-driven solar wind model introduced by Hollweg and Johnson (1988). It is found that the model has serious difficulties in reproducing the observed high-speed wind at 1 AU. In particular, the model proton temperatures are lower than those observed by a factor of 2 or more, and the highest temperature models yield excessive wave intensities at 1 AU. It appears that the problem stems from the specific spatial distribution of heat deposition in the model. Thus this study does not rule out a turbulence-driven fast solar wind, since other forms of the turbulent evolution could probably achieve better results. A three-fluid version of the model is also presented to show that the addition of alpha particles does not significantly reduce the extreme proton temperatures displayed near the sun by the Hollweg and Johnson work. Finally, it is suggested that the additional heating needs to be located well beyond the critical point, implying that the heating mechanism for the fast solar wind is likely not the same as that heating the solar corona.

Isenberg, Philip A.

Three-fluid solar wind model with Alfven waves

We present a study of a three-fluid solar wind model. with continuity, momentum and separate energy equations for protons. alpha particles and electrons. Allowing separate coronal heat sources for all three species, we study the flow properties of the solar wind as a function of heat input, Alfven wave energy input, and alpha particle abundance.

Esser, Ruth

Self-Consistent and Time-Dependent Solar Wind Models

We describe the first results from a self-consistent study of Alfven waves for the time-dependent, single-fluid magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) solar wind equations, using a modified version of the ZEUS MHD code. The wind models we examine are radially symmetrical and magnetized; the initial outflow is described by the standard Parker wind solution. Our study focuses on the effects of Alfven waves on the outflow and is based on solving the full set of the ideal nonlinear MHD equations. In contrast to previous studies, no assumptions regarding wave linearity, wave damping, and wave-flow interaction are made; thus, the models naturally account for the back-reaction of the wind on the waves, as well as for the nonlinear interaction between different types of MHD waves. Our results clearly demonstrate when momentum deposition by Alfven waves in the solar wind can be sufficient to explain the origin of fast streams in solar coronal holes; we discuss the range of wave amplitudes required to obtained such fast stream solutions.

Ong, K. K.

Unifying the Validation of Ambient Solar Wind Models

Progress in space weather research and awareness needs community-wide strategies and procedures to evaluate our modeling assets. Here we present the activities of the Ambient Solar Wind Validation Team embedded in the COSPAR ISWAT initiative. We aim to bridge the gap between model developers and end-users to provide the community with an assessment of the state-of-the-art in solar wind forecasting. To this end, we develop an open online platform for validating solar wind models by comparing their solutions with in situ spacecraft measurements. The online platform will allow the space weather community to test the quality of state-of-the-art solar wind models with unified metrics providing an unbiased assessment of progress over time. In this study, we propose a metadata architecture and recommend community-wide forecasting goals and validation metrics. We conclude with a status update of the online platform and outline future perspectives.

Space weather