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Impact of reservoir parameters and wellbore permeability uncertainties on CO 2 and brine leakage potential at the Shenhua CO 2 Storage Site, China

Here, this paper describes a system-level risk assessment for the Shenhua CO 2 storage site, China, using the National Risk Assessment Partnership Integrated Assessment Model for Carbon Storage (NRAP-IAM-CS). Here, we begin by determining the optimal number of Monte Carlo (MC) simulations to achieve CO 2 and brine leakage result convergence. Then, we calculate mass CO 2 and brine leakage to the atmosphere and a hypothetical shallow aquifer. Finally, we assess the geochemical impacts in the event of leakage as if there were a shallow freshwater aquifer at the Shenhua site. Simulation results show that leakage results tend to stabilize after 300 Monte Carlo simulations. When the three wells on site are assigned a permeability of 10 -11 m 2 (representing significantly leaking wells), moderate CO 2 and brine leakages occur, and the percentage of CO 2 leakage exceeds the threshold value we set based on the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). This is, however, unlikely to be the case for the Shenhua site. For all the other scenarios, the CO 2 leakage is trivial although there is still the possibility of CO 2 leakage into the groundwater aquifer exceeding the 1% threshold over 1000 years, assuming constant legacy wellbore permeability. For the significantly leaking scenario, there is a 10% probability to have a moderate (2.7 × 10 7 m 3 ) leakage-affected volume in the shallow aquifer with the pH below 6.5, and a large (1.4 × 10 8 m 3 ) volume with the total dissolved solids (TDS) above 500 ppm, hence pH and TDS may be considered for site monitoring plans. Based on the simulation results, there is a very low probability of significant CO 2 /brine leakage through the existing wells at the Shenhua CO 2 storage site.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Deep learning inversion of gravity data for detection of CO 2 plumes in overlying aquifers

In this work, we developed an effective U-Net based deep learning (DL) model for inversion of surface gravity data on a rectangular grid to predict 2-D high-resolution subsurface CO 2 distribution along a vertical cross-section due to CO 2 leakage through a wellbore within a deep CO 2 storage reservoir. We used synthetic data to model two types of CO 2 leakage scenarios: one CO 2 plume in a shallow aquifer (single plume case), and two plumes present at different depths (double plume case). The 3-D synthetic plume samples were created by sampling among predetermined CO 2 plume depths, saturations, and volumes. The corresponding surface gravity data on a rectangular grid were generated by a 3-D forward model. The U-Net model detected 72% of single-plume samples, and one or both plumes in 75% of double-plume samples. Most of the undetected single plumes have small gravity field strengths below the typical noise level of 5 μGal. This model generated reproducible, reliable predictions with acceptable errors and demonstrated improved spatial resolution over the conventional least-squares inversion. In contrast to the conventional least-squares inversion, which often overestimates the size of its target and underestimates its density, this U-Net model accurately delineated the boundary of a target. Furthermore, this DL inversion detected deep, small, or low saturation CO 2 plumes that are often more difficult to resolve with conventional gravity inversion methods. We note the limitations of this feasibility study, including the use of synthetic data with regular CO 2 plume shapes, and the prediction of a 2-D plume cross-section rather than the full 3-D plume, as well, we recognize the lower detection fraction for double-plume scenarios. Nevertheless, this study demonstrates that DL gravity inversion is a promising and potentially superior method to conventional least-squares inversion. Our U-Net based deep learning inversion approach may be adapted for inversion of other types of geophysical data. DL inversion can facilitate near real-time monitoring of geologic carbon sequestration to provide site operators with prompt information about subsurface CO 2 distribution for risk management and mitigation.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Direct Subsurface Measurements through Precise Micro Drilling

Wellbore integrity is a significant problem in the U.S. and worldwide, which has serious adverse environmental and energy security consequences. Wells are constructed with a cement barrier designed to last about 50 years. Indirect measurements and models are commonly used to identify wellbore damage and leakage, often producing subjective and even erroneous results. The research presented herein focuses on new technologies to improve monitoring and detection of wellbore failures (leaks) by developing a multi-step machine learning approach to localize two types of thermal defects within a wellbore model, a prototype mechatronic system for automatically drilling small diameter holes of arbitrary depth to monitor the integrity of oil and gas wells in situ, and benchtop testing and analyses to support the development of an autonomous real-time diagnostic tool to enable sensor emplacement for monitoring wellbore integrity. Each technology was supported by experimental results. This research has provided tools to aid in the detection of wellbore leaks and significantly enhanced our understanding of the interaction between small-hole drilling and wellbore materials.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Simulation of Multiphase Flow and Poromechanical Effects Around Injection Wells in CO 2 Storage Sites

In geological CO 2 storage operations, wellbore deformations and leakage pathways formations can occur around injection and abandoned wells subjected to high rates and long-term CO 2 injection. To guide engineering design and prevent CO 2 leakage risks, a full understanding of the underlying physics and robust numerical models is necessary to evaluate the response of underground formations in the near wellbore region and in the reservoir. In this study, a multi-scale and multi-physics open-source simulator (GEOS) is used to simulate multiphase flow and poromechanical deformations over time in three dimensions. The governing equations for mechanical deformations of the rock body and multiphase compositional fluid flow within the rock matrix are solved with a fully coupled finite element and finite volume approach. The Drucker–Prager model with friction hardening is applied to simulate elastoplastic deformation and a multiphase fluid model with power-law correlations for relative permeability is used to model the migration of CO 2 plume, which are coupled with numerical implicit scheme. Simulation results are verified against multiple analytical solutions for multiphase flow and wellbore problems, thus demonstrating the accuracy of this advanced simulator. In two engineering applications, here we highlight the impact of elastoplastic deformation and coupled modeling for assessing induced displacements and stress perturbations, which are more pronounced in the near wellbore regions. This work focuses on short-term processes in the vicinity of injection wells where stress evolutions, rock deformations and multiphase compositional flow and transport are simulated jointly to ensure wellbore stability and prevent damage. This fully coupled geomechanical model can simulate multiphase flow and any associated poromechanical effects within the CO 2 storage site and in the surrounding formations. Such a large-scale, long-term, multi-physics simulation model is useful in many ways: it can guide operational decisions for CO 2 injection, assess the containment potential and risks of a site, and analyze the wellbore stability and integrity during and after CO 2 injection.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Visco-inertial gas flow through wellbore cement fractures

Understanding the nature of fluid flow through fractured wellbore cement is fundamental for evaluating the leakage potential and risk assessments of leaky wellbores. In this study, the conditions that require considering visco-inertial flow for describing the gas flow through wellbore cement fractures were investigated. Nitrogen gas flow tests were conducted on fractured cement samples under varying pressure conditions and flow rates, covering both viscous and visco-inertial flow regimes. The data substantially deviated from Darcy's law at higher flowrates and were well-fit to Forchheimer's equation for visco-inertial flow. The inertial coefficient and critical Reynolds number were expressed as a function of the hydraulic aperture. Finally, the empirical function obtained from the experiments was used as an input to numerical simulations which showed the significant role of visco-inertial flow in wellhead pressure build-up and leakage rates, and demonstrated the importance of visco-inertial flow when modeling gas flow through wellbore cement fractures.

03 NATURAL GAS↗

Risk-based area of review estimation in overpressured reservoirs to support injection well storage facility permit requirements for CO 2 storage projects

This paper by the Energy & Environmental Research Center presents a workflow and modeling approach for delineating a risk-based area of review (AOR) to support a U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) Class VI permit for a carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) storage project. The approach combines semianalytical solutions for estimating formation fluid leakage through a hypothetical leaky wellbore with the results of numerical reservoir simulations to define the AOR. The modeling utilizes 1) semianalytical solutions from the peer-reviewed literature for formation fluid leakage through abandoned wellbores by Raven (1990) and Avci (1994), 2) a FORTRAN model compiled and described in Cihan et al. (2011, 2012) called ASLMA (Analytical Solution for Leakage in Multilayered Aquifers), and 3) a computational framework for estimating a risk-based AOR first proposed by Oldenburg et al. (2014, 2016). Therefore, the approach builds upon well-established research and underlying hydrogeological principles that have been upheld for nearly three decades. Moreover, the ASLMA model has been broadly applied to an array of storage projects. The work presented herein extends these earlier works using a custom wrapper written in the software environment, R (R Core Team, 2020), which was developed to perform multiple runs of the ASLMA model using given ranges for one or more input parameters. In addition, the current work simulates the pressure buildup within the storage reservoir in response to CO 2 injection using a compositional simulator to better accommodate the temporospatial evolution of pressure buildup within the storage reservoir that is more accurately modeled using a heterogeneous geologic model and a compositional simulator that accounts for the multiphase interactions. The workflow is demonstrated using a case study for a 180,000-metric-ton-per-year storage project located in the PCOR (Plains CO 2 Reduction) Partnership region. For the storage project evaluated here, under the scenario where the leaky wellbore is open to a saline aquifer (thief zone) between the overlying seal (cap rock) and the underground sources of drinking water (USDW), the risk-based AOR essentially collapses to the areal extent of the CO 2 plume in the storage reservoir because the pressure buildup in the storage reservoir beyond the CO 2 plume is insufficient to drive formation fluids up a hypothetical leaky wellbore into the USDW. However, even under the conservative assumption that the leaky wellbore is not open to a thief zone, beyond the areal extent of the CO 2 plume, the incremental leakage is less than 400 m 3 over 20 years, which represents ~0.0001% or less of the total volume of water contained within the USDW rock volume. As discussed in the text, the threshold criterion for defining the risk-based AOR is site-specific and should be informed by the results of the sensitivity analysis and available site characterization data. The approach outlined in this paper is designed to be protective of USDWs and, therefore, comply with the Safe Drinking Water Act requirements and provisions for the U.S. EPA Class VI Underground Injection Control (UIC) Program (Class VI Rule) and North Dakota Administrative Code Chapter 43-05-01.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Wabash CarbonSAFE (Subtask 3.1 - Application of the NRAP Tools to the Wabash CarbonSAFE Site for Risk Assessment Associated with Geologic Carbon Storage Activities)

This report documents a risk assessment of CO 2 containment loss and induced shear failure due to geologic carbon storage at the Wabash CarbonSAFE site. The operator, Wabash Valley Resources, has proposed adapting the onsite integrated gasification combined cycle (IGCC) facilities to produce hydrogen and injecting the byproduct CO 2 stream into the subsurface Potosi dolomite formation. The purpose of this study is to assess (1) CO 2 sequestration performance relative to the CarbonSAFE goals of storing 50 Mt over 30 years, (2) the risk of containment loss due to leakage along a wellbore and into an overlying aquifer, and (3) the state of stress and risk of reactivating existing fractures. This study relied upon the initial site characterization work performed by the Illinois State Geologic Survey (ISGS) along with analogue data collected from other carbon sequestration projects in the region.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Graphene nanoplatelets reinforced cement as a solution to leaky wellbores reinforcing weak points in hydrated Portland cement with graphene nanoparticles improves mechanical and chemical durability of wellbore cements

In this work, to improve the performance of wellbore cement under subsurface environments, graphene nanoplatelets (GNPs) were added in various percentages to Class-H cement slurry. Microstructural characterization of cement slurries cured at 90 °C and 95% RH indicates that GNP modifies the microstructure of hydrated cement by reinforcing pore spaces. As a result, the mechanical properties, such as Young's modulus and axial peak stress, obtained from high temperature triaxial compression tests are significantly improved based on different percentages of added GNPs. Furthermore, the hydrated 1 × 2 inch GNP- Portland cement cores tested under simulated deep wellbore conditions of high-temperature and high pressure (HTHP), appear to have a ductile-like behavior, when compared to a typical brittle nature of Portland cement pastes. From our observations and published data on graphene resistance to fracture, GNP addition to cement is evidently enhancing the flexibility of cement. These improvements would reduce the risks associated with wellbore cement deterioration and a consequent leakage in fossil fuel production, geothermal energy production, CO 2 storage as well as long-term sealing materials in plugging and abandonment of all wellbores at the end of their service life.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Dynamic risk assessment for geologic CO 2 sequestration

At a geologic CO 2 sequestration (GCS) site, geologic uncertainty usually leads to large uncertainty in the predictions of properties that influence metrics for leakage risk assessment, such as CO 2 saturations and pressures in potentially leaky wellbores, CO 2 /brine leakage rates, and leakage consequences such as changes in drinking water quality in groundwater aquifers. The large uncertainty in these risk-related system properties and risk metrics can lead to over-conservative risk management decisions to ensure safe operations of GCS sites. The objective of this work is to develop a novel approach based on dynamic risk assessment to effectively reduce the uncertainty in the predicted risk-related system properties and risk metrics. We demonstrate our framework for dynamic risk assessment on two case studies: a 3D synthetic example and a synthetic field example based on the Rock Springs Uplift (RSU) storage site in Wyoming, USA. Results show that the U.S. National Risk Assessment Partnership’s Open Source Integrated Assessment Model (NRAP-Open-IAM) coupled with a conformance evaluation can be used to effectively quantify and reduce the uncertainty in the predictions of risk-related system properties and risk metrics in GCS.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Experimental study on nanoparticle injection by using a lab-scale wellbore system

After long-term underground storage of CO 2 gas, leakage generated from the cement annulus in the wellbore system is often detected due to unbalanced pressure, chemical attack, etc. Here in this paper, nanoparticle injection technology is introduced to inject different types of nanoparticles into the cementitious material for repairing the leakage paths through electrochemical means. The pressure vessel is designed and built to provide a realistic underground environment with high pressure and high temperature. The testing results are evaluated by the saturate-drying method, charge-passed method, and X-ray microscopy (XRM) test. The results consistently show that all types of nanoparticles tested in this paper can be successfully driven into the cement annulus within the wellbore system. The pressure (6.89 MPa) and temperature (80 °C) in the pressure vessel, and the surrounding rock can directly affect the injection effectiveness. The nanoparticle injection technology is proven to be beneficial to the cracked cement annulus for preventing the leakage of CO 2 gas through the lab-scale wellbore system.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

NRAP-Open-IAM: Open Wellbore Component (V.2.0)

The Open Wellbore component of NRAP-Open-IAM is applicable to the calculation of Area of Review at a carbon storage site and fast estimation of dense gas dispersion from multiple continuous CO 2 surface leakage sources for risk assessment. The Open Wellbore Component of NRAP-Open-IAM is a lookup table model based on the drift-flux approach. The National Research Assessment Partnership’s second-generation integrated assessment model, NRAP-Open-IAM, is open-source software written in Python for use in performance and quantitative risk assessment of geologic carbon storage (GCS) systems. The look-up table for open well leakage is an updated version the previous model which provides finer resolution of reservoir depth and more accurate fluid properties than the previous open well look-up table, especially in calculating the gas (CO 2 -rich) phase properties. The component model input parameters include the reservoir transmissivity, aquifer transmissivity, brine salinity, well radius, and well top and bottom depths. The reservoir transmissivity and brine salinity were set to values consistent with the reservoir component, and the well top and bottom depths varied with location. The possible outputs from the Open Wellbore component are leakage rates of CO 2 and brine to either an aquifer or atmosphere, depending on the depth of the well top. Several python test scripts are presented that demonstrate that the Open Wellbore component works correctly. Use of the open wellbore model in NRAP-Open-IAM may result in a large CO 2 leakage rates, comparable to the leakage rates of CO 2 blow out.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Identification of potential CO 2 leakage pathways and mechanisms in oil reservoirs using fault tree analysis

Geological storage of CO 2 technologies has become an important and effective way to reduce the greenhouse gas emissions, especially when it is combined with CO 2 enhanced oil recovery (EOR), which can not only trap CO 2 but also enhance oil recovery. However, the risk of CO 2 leakage has always been a prominent issue. In this paper, the mechanisms and pathways of CO 2 leakage during geological storage in oil reservoirs were analyzed using fault tree analysis (FTR). Besides, monitoring technologies were discussed and deployed in a CO 2 EOR demonstration project. The analysis results showed that the sealing failures of oil producer and CO2 injector wells, like well cement failure and casing failure, are the main reasons for the CO 2 leakage, which has been observed in the oil field monitoring project. The monitoring results indicated that there is no large-scale CO 2 leakage, while relatively high and abnormal CO 2 concentration in soil gas near some wellbores are observed, which indicates there is some leakage of CO 2 through incomplete cement ring and well casing string. FTR results provide guidelines for monitoring and preventing of CO 2 leakage during geological storage in oil reservoirs. Finally, the near-surface monitoring methods, especially the soil gas monitoring technologies, can effectively detect the leakage of CO 2 , and are a proper method for CO 2 leakage monitoring.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Deep-learning-enhanced assessment of wellbore barrier effectiveness in geologic storage systems with intermediate aquifers

For geologic systems where carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) is injected underground, existing wells represent potential pathways for fluid migration. Here, this study introduces a novel deep learning model to quantify the likelihood and potential magnitude of fluid migration through wellbores at sites with intermediate aquifers or thief zones between the injection units and underground drinking water sources. Synthetic datasets, generated using reservoir simulations, captured a wide range of subsurface conditions, well attributes, operational parameters, and fluid migration scenarios. Among the regression models developed to predict brine and CO 2 leakage rates and CO 2 saturations along leaky wellbores, convolutional neural network (CNN) outperformed both Light Gradient Boosting Machine and deep neural network. Additionally, a CNN-based classification model was created to predict whether brine and CO 2 would leak along a wellbore, further improving performance over regression alone. The best models were integrated into the National Risk Assessment Partnership Open-source Integrated Assessment Model for rapid, stochastic assessment of storage system containment and leakage risks. A case study demonstrated the model’s ability to simulate fluid migration through existing wells with multiple intermediate aquifers. This computationally efficient wellbore model offers value in support of site performance evaluation and risk-informed decision making by stakeholders.

CO2 leakage↗

Polymer-cement composites with adhesion and re-adhesion (healing) to casing capability for geothermal wellbore applications

Deterioration of cement/casing adhesion in wellbore scenarios can result in unwanted and potentially harmful leakage with the potential of serious repair costs. In this work, we explore the use of self-healing polymers added to conventional wellbore cements as a way to bring about self-healing and readhering (to steel casing) properties to the composite material. The polymers are pH resistant and seem to improve the cement integrity after exposure to typical chemical and thermal stresses encountered under geothermal wellbore conditions. We find that addition of about 10-15 wt% of polymer to the cement visually increases its resistance to fracturing from exposure to geothermal conditions, while the adhesive strength of cement/stainless steel increases with curing time for a period of about 10 days. Self-healing capability was demonstrated by permeability analysis showing that polymer-cement composites reduce flow by 50-70% at cement bulk and at the cement/steel interface. Use of atomistic simulations imply that these polymers have good wetting properties on the steel surfaces. Analysis of the interactions between steel/polymer and cement/polymer show that they are complementary, resulting in a wider range of bonding patterns. Cracks are likely to expose under-coordinated sites that result in more bonding interactions, which agrees well with the permeability measurements showing high degree of healed cracks and healed (cement-steel) interfacial gaps together with an overall increased in structural integrity of these advanced polymer-cement composite materials.

Rod, Kenton A.↗

Advanced Downhole Acoustic Sensing for Wellbore Integrity (Final Report)

Borehole cement is used across the range of energy technologies to stabilize casing, to serve as a barrier to behind-casing fluid movement. Cement debonding and other flaws, both at cement interfaces and within the cement itself, can create leakage pathways that can threaten safety to personnel, and wellbore performance, with economic and regulatory consequences. A primary method to assess cement health and wellbore integrity is via acoustic methods. This project was designed with three aims: demonstrate a significant improvement in the interpretation of cement acoustic behavior, both during curing, and in interpreting effects of flaws and evolving interfaces; develop sensor technologies to improve signal-noise ratios and cement acoustic responses; and lastly, provide a borehole demonstration of at least one of these technologies. We have accomplished the first two objectives, and the third, delayed by pandemic health concerns, is proceeding as of this writing via a technology partner with the University of Texas Advanced Energy Consortium.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗

Alteration of Fractured Foamed Cement Exposed to CO2-Saturated Water: Implications for Well Integrity

Geologic CO2 storage (GCS) is a method to mitigate the adverse impact of global climate change. Potential leakage of CO2 from fractured cement at the wellbore poses a risk to the feasibility of GCS. Foamed cement is widely applied in deepwater wells where fragile geologic formations cannot support the weight of conventional cement. Thus, it is critical to know whether fractures in foamed cement self-seal in a similar manner as conventional cement systems. This study is the first to investigate the changes in physical and chemical attributes of foamed cement under dynamic flow conditions using CO2-saturated water. Self-sealing of fractures in the cement was observed at a solution flow rate of 0.1 mL/min and a pressure of 6.9 MPa. The formation of CaCO3 precipitates in pore spaces and fractures led to a decrease in permeability by 1 order of magnitude. The extents of self-sealing in foamed cement samples, specifically the 20 and 30% air volume formulations, were similar to that of conventional cements. We attribute this to the greater alteration depth in the foamed cement, which compensated for the reduced availability of Portlandite and higher initial porosity. The results can be used to evaluate the risk of leakage associated with foamed cement.

Geologcial Carbon Storage, Well Integrity in CO2 S↗