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Colloid-Facilitated Radionuclide Transport: Current State of Knowledge from a Nuclear Waste Repository Risk Assessment Perspective

This report provides an overview of the current state of knowledge of colloid-facilitated radionuclide transport from a nuclear waste repository risk assessment perspective. It draws on work that has been conducted over the past 3 decades, although there is considerable emphasis given to work that has been performed over the past 3-5 years as part of the DOE Used Fuel Disposition Campaign. The timing of this report coincides with the completion of a 3-year DOE membership in the Colloids Formation and Migration (CFM) partnership, an international collaboration of scientists studying colloid-facilitated transport of radionuclides at both the laboratory and field-scales in a fractured crystalline granodiorite at the Grimsel Test Site in Switzerland. This Underground Research Laboratory has hosted the most extensive and carefully-controlled set of colloid-facilitated solute transport experiments that have ever been conducted in an in-situ setting, and a summary of the results to date from these efforts, as they relate to transport over long time and distance scales, is provided in Chapter 3 of this report.

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Estimation of stress and stress-induced permeability change in a geological nuclear waste repository in a thermo-hydrologically coupled simulation

Geologic disposal is a promising solution for a safe permanent isolation of accumulated high-level nuclear waste from nuclear powerplants. The behavior of host rock is highly coupled thermally, hydromechanically, and chemically. Numerical simulations of such coupled phenomena for the extremely long term (>100,000 years) and large length scale (>1 km) of geologic disposal remain to be computationally challenging. In this study, a methodology has been developed to approximate stress and stress-induced permeability change in host rock using only thermo-hydrological (TH) variables. A coupled thermo-hydromechanical (THM) simulation is carried out using TOUGH-FLAC simulator to model THM behaviors of a generic nuclear waste repository, in order to evaluate the performance of the developed methodology, which is implemented in a coupled TH simulation. Results show that stress and permeability change estimated by the developed methodology in the TH-coupled simulation match those calculated in the THM-coupled simulation over the simulated timeframe of over 10,000 years. Details about errors in stress and permeability estimates accrued by the developed methodology are discussed here. The developed methodology will help incorporate stress-induced permeability change into existing TH simulators for the long-term radionuclide transport in geologic disposal.

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Long-length Scintillating Fibers for Nuclear Waste Repositories (Conference Record)

This paper describes the fabrication, testing, and characterization of long-length, up to 50 m, scintillating fibers for the purpose of radiation monitoring in inaccessible radiological and nuclear waste repositories. The fabrication aspect was focused on ruggedizing the 1-mm diameter fiber and limiting external light interference for fibers. Testing and characterization were performed in a laboratory setting with radiation sources, a photosensor module and a multi-channel analyzer. Light attenuation was studied as a function of distance by analyzing both the spectrum and count rate. Additionally, the scintillating fibers were coupled to optical communication fibers (100 m) to extend the reach of the system. This paper also includes the optical spectrometry results from the sensitivity and response of the signal attenuation. Lastly, the paper covers the field testing of the scintillating fibers in a relevant environment.

47 - OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗

A record of uranium-series transport at Nopal I, Sierra Pena Blanca, Mexico: Implications for natural uranium deposits and radioactive waste repositories

Studies of uranium-series (U-series) disequilibria within and around ore deposits provide valuable information on the extent and timing of actinide mobility, via mineral-fluid interaction, over a range of spatial and temporal scales. Such information is useful in studies of analogs of high-level nuclear-waste repositories, as well as for mining and mineral extraction sites, locations of previous nuclear weapons testing, and legacy nuclear waste contamination. In this study we present isotope dilution mass spectrometry U-series measurements for fracture-fill materials (hematite, goethite, kaolinite, calcite, dolomite and quartz) from one such analog; the Nopal I uranium ore deposit situated at Peña Blanca in the Chihuahua region of northern Mexico. The ore deposit is located in fractured, unsaturated volcanic tuff and fracture-fill materials from surface fractures as well as fractures in a vertical drill core have been analyzed. High uranium concentrations in the fracture-fill materials (between 12 and 7700 ppm) indicate uranium mobility and transport from the deposit. Furthermore, uranium concentrations generally decrease with horizontal distance away from the deposit but in this deposit there is no trend with depth below the surface.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Seismic design of a nuclear waste repository against an earthquake induced rock shear load - 15346

Concepts for isolation of spent nuclear fuel have been studied by organizations in countries that employ nuclear power. These concepts typically involve a deep geological repository in bedrock, with processed radioactive waste encased in deposition canisters emplaced in underground excavations and surrounded by clay-based buffer. This multi-barrier approach is intended to provide long-term isolation of the waste package from the biosphere. According to many statistics, there is a tendency toward increasing numbers of earthquakes in the Korean peninsula each year. If an earthquake induced rock shear load occurs at a repository site, the engineered barrier system (EBS) can be sheared, resulting in a pressure increased in the buffer material. This is expected to result in damage to the canisters. Therefore, because the damage, which can be fatal to a disposal canister, can be given in case an earthquake occurs, the method protecting the canisters safely is needed. In this paper, 'an earthquake-resistance type buffer' was proposed using a method for protection from earthquake damage. To aid in achieving this objective, we have developed a technique for estimating the behavior of the EBS affected by earthquake induced rock shear using an analysis method, such as finite element method. As a first step, experimental tests are performed for understanding the behavior of the buffer material. Comparing the results of the numerical simulations to the experimental results can be used to verity the reliability of the analysis model. Then we developed the real scale analysis model of a nuclear waste repository. The main parameter having an effect on the earthquake-resistant performance was analyzed and an earthquake-resistance proof type buffer was designed. To improve the earthquake-resistance performance, we designed the buffer by putting the low- density buffer between the canister and buffer. The simulation results show that the earthquake-resistant performance was improved by about 65%. (authors)

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Sorption and Transport Behavior of {sup 137}Cs, {sup 90}Sr, and {sup 99}Tc on Geological Media in Radioactive Waste Repository, South Korea - 16112

Sorption experiments and a behavior investigation for the radionuclides {sup 137}Cs, {sup 90}Sr, and {sup 99}Tc were conducted using groundwater and solid materials (mud-stone and sandstone) sampled from the Wolsong low- and intermediate-level radioactive waste repository at Gyeongju, Korea. After experiments involving batch sorption, diffusion, and a flow-through column, distribution coefficients (K{sub d}) of the radionuclides were obtained, and sorption properties for each radionuclide were analyzed. Increasing K{sub d} values were observed in the sequence {sup 137}Cs, {sup 90}Sr, and {sup 99}Tc regardless of the geological media tested. For all sorbing radionuclides, K{sub d} values for the mud-stone were observed to be higher than those for sandstone regardless of the groundwater. These higher K{sub d} values are the result of higher levels of total organic carbon in the mud-stone than were present in the sandstone. In addition, the chlorite, kaolinite, and montmorillonite contents in the mud-stone also were higher than in the sandstone. The mineralogical composition of the solid materials was observed to be important in the sorption of sorbing radionuclides. (authors)

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Modeling of Coupled Thermo-Hydro-Mechanical-Chemical Processes for High-Level Radioactive Waste Repositories - 17361

To ensure that multi-barrier systems in high-level radioactive waste (HLW) repositories can efficiently perform their functions and isolate the waste from the biosphere, coupled thermo-hydro-mechanical-chemical (THMC) processes used for the performance assessment of HLW disposal facilities should be modeled. To evaluate coupled THMC processes, the DECOVALEX project, a unique international research collaboration project initiated in 1992, developed mathematical models and field experiments involving THMC processes in engineered barrier systems and host rocks for HLW disposal. The DECOVALEX project and the current status of coupled THMC model development can provide further insights into the performance assessment of HLW disposal facilities. This study provides information regarding the DECOVALEX project and reviews the development of coupled THMC models. The study results furnish knowledge of coupled THMC processes and techniques for the performance assessment and safety analysis of the final HLW disposal. (authors)

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Need for an Independent Monitoring of Nuclear Waste Repository: Lessons from WIPP Experience - 18130

The Waste Isolation Pilot Plant (WIPP) is the only operating deep geological repository for the permanent disposal of defense transuranic (TRU) waste in the world. The facility recently resumed waste disposal operations after recovering from a February 2014 accident involving a radiological release from a waste container in the WIPP underground. WIPP had been a DOE success story, operating nearly 15 years with no significant incidents or accidents. Many factors contributed to this success, one of the most important being the overwhelming support exhibited by the local community and the local elected officials. One component of the broad public acceptance by the citizens of Southeast New Mexico has been the concept of independent, third party monitoring of environmental effluents at the site. Independent environmental monitoring ensures a role for the local community in ongoing evaluation of the safety and performance of the site. At WIPP this has been achieved through an independent environmental monitoring program operated by the Carlsbad Environmental Monitoring and Research Center (CEMRC). The CEMRC has been conducting independent environmental monitoring activities on and around the WIPP site since 1991 and makes the results of monitoring activities available and easily accessible to members the general public. The public's free and open access to this data and their direct participation in the CEMRC's whole body counting program provides transparency, which is key to maintaining public trust and confidence. The circumstances following the 2014 radiological release event at WIPP reinforced the value of independent environmental monitoring in order to maintain the high level of transparency necessary for long term local acceptance and support for nuclear facilities. Following what was a minor radiological release event, there were understandably fearful reactions from a number of citizens residing in Carlsbad and the nearby communities of Hobbs, Loving, and Artesia. CEMRC's independent environmental monitoring program and their early public engagement proved invaluable in providing timely and accurate environmental data to local community leaders and members of the general public. The data, and open communication from CEMRC, helped reassure citizens in Carlsbad and the surrounding area that the release was extremely low and the extent was very limited. CEMRC further communicated that the probability of any environmental or health impacts from the release was extremely low. It is unlikely the local community would have placed the same level of trust in similar assurances of safety coming from DOE or other State and Federal regulators. The CEMRC's performance in the days following the release meant the local community had access to independent monitoring data and an independent voice in the dialogue with DOE and state officials that shaped the recovery and eventual re-opening of the WIPP facility. The WIPP radiological release event yielded a plethora of lessons learned that will frame the next phase of operational, oversight, and emergency planning surrounding the facility. In this presentation we will be discussing the value and viability of federally-funded, university-housed independent monitoring programs in maintaining trust of state officials and the local communities. (authors)

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Update on Construction Planning for the Bulgarian Low and Short-Lived Intermediate Level Radioactive Waste Repository - 16159

The Bulgarian State Enterprise for Radioactive Waste Management (SERAW) is planning the construction of a near-surface repository for low and short-lived inter-mediate level radioactive waste, the National Disposal Facility (NDF), at the Radiana Site adjacent to the Kozloduy Nuclear Power Plant (KNPP). This paper presents an update on construction planning activities that were originally presented at the 2015 Waste Management Conference. The Site, a rectangular area approximately 1.2 km east-west by 0.4 north-south, is located on a slopping area between the second and sixth loess terraces above the River Danube with elevations ranging from approximately +40 m to elevation +95 m. Construction of the NDF will be divided into three phases separated by approximately 20 years each. The first phase will see the construction of the primary support facilities, referred to as the Auxiliary Buildings and including the Waste Reception and Buffer Storage (WRBS) Building, and the first set of 22 reinforced concrete disposal cells and supporting infrastructure, including a network of subsurface observation galleries, the Infiltration Network Control (ICN) Galleries. Each disposal cell will be 20.15 m long by 17.05 m wide by 9.45 m in height. The disposal cells will be arranged in two parallel rows. Disposal activities will be conducted using overhead cranes installed inside of track mounted mobile roofs. Each row of disposal cells will be serviced by one mobile roof. The mobile roofs will be supported by massive concrete foundations. Construction at the site will present several logistical challenges that will need to be overcome to fully realize the NDF. First in order to begin construction of these facilities nearly 1 million m{sup 3} of soil will require excavation and handling. Consistent with requirements to minimize potential environmental impacts identified in the site Environmental Safety Assessment (EIA) excavated soil will, to the extent possible, remain onsite. Approximately three quarters of the soil can be accommodated within the site boundaries. Another challenge results from requirements imposed by the ground conditions. The sub-grade at the site, which consists primarily of loess, will require considerable improvement. To this end a 5 m thick loess-cement cushion will be constructed across much of the site. Specifically, the cushion will be required beneath the disposal cells and the WRBS Building. The cushion beneath the disposal cells also contains embedded structures, including the ICN Galleries as well as the massive concrete foundation beams required for the two mobile roofs. Construction of these structures will require planned interruptions in the construction of the loess-cement cushion. Specific cement types and strict quality requirements will be required for completion of the loess-cement cushion as well as for the completion of the ICN Galleries. The construction planning will need to account for the large volumes of soil to be excavated as well as ensuring sufficient material supplies in terms of both quality as well as quantity. Large quantities of materials including both dry cement for mixing with the loess, and wet concrete for pouring of the mobile roof foundations are ac-counted for by the plan. However, even after completion of these activities additional challenges are addressed by the plan related to the contemporaneous construction management of the auxiliary buildings and the disposal cells. (authors)

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On the long-term migration of uranyl in bentonite barrier for high-level radioactive waste repositories: The effect of different host rocks

Repositories for high level radioactive waste hosted in argillite or granite with bentonite backfill are the two disposal concepts that been extensively studied. A general perception is that granite has very low sorption capacity and therefore is disadvantageous in retarding the migration of radionuclides in comparison with argillite. However, when there is bentonite backfill, does the sorption capacity of granite really matter for the migration of radionuclides? How different host rocks would affect the migration of U(VI) through the bentonite backfill of an engineered barrier system (EBS), and which properties of the host rocks cause those differences in migration, given that migration of radionuclides is a critical measure in assessing the performance of a repository? Here we present two coupled thermal, hydrological, and chemical models for the transport of U(VI), each with an identical setup except for the type of host rock (argillite vs granite rock). Comparisons between our models show that the different host rocks exert their influence on migration of U(VI) via regulating the chemical conditions in the bentonite, which affect the concentration of U(VI) at the source and the adsorption of U(VI) in the bentonite. The key chemical conditions are pH, Ca + , and HCO 3 - concentration in pore-water, which are strongly affected by soluble carbonate minerals. Our models also show the occurrence of illitization (dissolution of smectite and precipitation of illite) in the bentonite, which affects the migration of U(VI) through changing pH and the quantity of adsorbents. Although generalization of current model results for granite and argillite should be done carefully, the simulations highlight the importance of pore-water chemistry in host rock, as well as bentonite-host rock interactions, when assessing the performance of a repository. In comparison to properties such as thermal conductivity, permeability, and adsorption capacity, properties that have been studied intensively, the pore-water chemistry of host rocks deserve equal or even more attention because of its strong influence on radionuclide migration.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Chemical degradation of fly ash blended concrete with the seasonal variation of rainwater in a radioactive waste repository: A thermodynamic modeling approach

Highlights: • The thermodynamic model for the cementitious system was successfully developed. • The chemical degradation of concrete was greatly affected by rainwater types. • Inorganic carbon species in rainwater reduced the chemical resistance of concrete. • The durability of concrete to rainwater decreased with increasing fly ash content. This study presents a long-term degradation behavior of fly ash blended concrete in a vault type low- and intermediate-level radioactive waste (LILW) repository by thermodynamic equilibrium calculations using PHREEQC combined with CEMDATA18 database. Since rainwater plays a predominant role as leachate for the concrete waste container in the repository, the effect of chemical properties of seasonal rainwater on the chemical degradation of concrete was analyzed. In addition, the impact of the blending with fly ash on the chemical degradation was evaluated through a gradual replacement of ordinary Portland cement (OPC) by fly ash. Regardless of the replacement level, autumn rainwater showed the greatest influence on the concrete degradation owing to the presence of inorganic carbon species, which induce the carbonation. The resistance of concrete to chemical degradation by rainwater was persistently reduced due to the decreasing formation of portlandite and calcium silicate hydrate (C-S-H) with increasing replacement level.

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Status of DOE-Managed Waste Repository Safety Assessment Information Needs

The U.S. DOE evaluated the need for disposing of only DOE-Managed high-level-waste (HLW, which includes DOE-managed spent nuclear fuel [SNF] in this report) in a geologic repository by using the Nuclear Waste Policy Act 1982 (NWPA, as amended) and stated (DOE, 2015) “A geologic repository for permanent disposal of Defense HLW could be sited, licensed, constructed, and operated more quickly than a Common NWPA Repository and would provide valuable experience to reduce the cost of a future repository and the time needed to develop it.” Based in part on that report, the President of the United States issued a memorandum stating that such a repository was required (see website with content at https://www.whitehouse.gov/the-press-office/2015/03/24/presidential-memorandum-disposal-defensehigh-level-radioactive-waste-se). This furthered the recommendation from DOE (2014) to “…begin implementation of a phased, adaptive, and consent-based strategy with development of a separate mined repository for some DOE-managed HLW and cooler DOE-managed SNF, potentially including some portion of the inventory of naval SNF.” The work in this report summarizes the status of activities within the Used Fuel Disposition Campaign (UFDC) to begin assessing the information needs for evaluating the safety of such a repository, considering both the waste forms being disposed and the repository concepts being considered. This report is milestone M3FT-15SN0824011 performed under the UFDC work package FT-15SN082401 to provide a status of the progress made towards this objective.

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Long-term performance of engineered barriers for high-level waste repositories - 15358

The evolution of the engineered barrier system (EBS) of geological repositories for high-level radioactive waste (HLW) and spent fuel (SF) has been the subject of many national and international research programs during recent years. The emphasis of the research activities was on the elaboration of a detailed understanding of the complex coupled thermo-hydro-mechanical and -chemical (THM-C) processes, which are expected to evolve in the early post-closure period in the near field. From the perspective of radiological long-term safety, an in-depth understanding of these coupled processes is of great significance, because the evolution of the EBS during the early post-closure phase may have a non-negligible impact on the safety functions at later stages of the repository's lifetime. Process interactions during the re-saturation phase (heat pulse, gas generation, non-uniform water uptake from the host rock) could impair the homogeneity of the safety-relevant properties in the EBS (e.g. swelling pressure, hydraulic conductivity, diffusivity). The 7. Framework EURATOM PEBS project (long-term Performance of Engineered Barrier Systems) was initiated in 2010 and completed in March 2014. The project aimed at evaluating the sealing and barrier performance of clay-based EBS over time. The project approach included experiments, model development and consideration of the potential impact on long-term safety functions. The specific project aims were to: -deepen the understanding of the THM and THM-C evolution of the EBS system with time, - provide an enhanced quantitative basis for relating the evolutionary behavior to the safety functions, - clarify further the significance of residual uncertainties for long-term performance assessment. It can be concluded that uncertainties in process understanding occurring in the re-saturation period have been better constrained through PEBS studies, thus the uncertainties in the long-term performance of bentonite barriers have been reduced in some areas. Improvements are in the areas of evolution of materials properties and model development and testing at various scales. On-going in-situ experiments in underground research laboratories may play an important role in further confirming bentonite performance over periods of 10 - 20 years. (authors)

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Anthropogenic influences on groundwater in the vicinity of a long-lived radioactive waste repository: Anthropogenic influences on groundwater

The groundwater flow system in the Culebra Dolomite Member (Culebra) of the Permian Rustler Formation is a potential radionuclide release pathway from the Waste Isolation Pilot Plant (WIPP), the only deep geological repository for transuranic waste in the United States. We did not expect that early conceptual models of the Culebra, groundwater levels would fluctuate markedly, except in response to long-term climatic changes, with response times on the order of hundreds to thousands of years. Recent groundwater pressures measured in monitoring wells record more than 25 m of drawdown. The fluctuations are attributed to pumping activities at a privately-owned well that may be associated with the demand of the Permian Basin hydrocarbon industry for water. Furthermore, the unprecedented magnitude of drawdown provides an opportunity to quantitatively assess the influence of unplanned anthropogenic forcings near the WIPP. Spatially variable realizations of Culebra saturated hydraulic conductivity and storativity were used to develop groundwater flow models to estimate a pumping rate for the private well and investigate its effect on advective transport. Simulated drawdown shows reasonable agreement with observations (average Model Efficiency coefficient = 0.7). Steepened hydraulic gradients associated with the pumping reduce estimates of conservative particle travel times across the domain by one-half and shift the intersection of the average particle track with the compliance boundary by more than two kilometers. Finally, the value of the transient simulations conducted for this study lie in their ability to (i) improve understanding of the Culebra groundwater flow system and (ii) challenge the notion of time-invariant land use in the vicinity of the WIPP.

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Conceptual Design for a Short-Lived Low- and Intermediate-Level Waste Repository at the Al Tuwaitha Nuclear Center, Baghdad, Iraq - 17189

The European Commission under their Instrument for Nuclear Safety Cooperation (INSC) has initiated a project supporting Iraq's efforts for the safe disposal of short lived low- and intermediate-level radioactive waste (SL-LILW) arising from the decommissioning of Iraqi nuclear installations. The INSC project includes both the development of an initial conceptual level basic design and preliminary safety assessment (PSAR) report and the subsequent detailed engineering design and supporting intermediate safety assessment report (ISAR). The project is being executed by a Consortium led by NUKEM Technologies Engineering Services GmbH and joined by DBE Technology GmbH of Germany; JAVYS a.s. of Slovakia and MCM Environmental Services Ltd of the United Kingdom. The current paper focuses on the development of the conceptual level basic design. In previous decades Iraq had a significant nuclear program which encompassed ten nuclear sites spread out across the country. The largest site was located at the Al-Tuwaitha site near Baghdad where 18 nuclear facilities were located. The facilities suffered significant damage from bombing and subsequent looting during the first Gulf War in 1991. Currently, the Ministry of Science and Technology (MoST) is the radioactive waste management operator in Iraq and also the license holder for the ten Iraqi nuclear sites, all of them heavily damaged. Because of the ongoing security concerns in Iraq MoST has selected the Al Tuwaitha Nuclear Center as the preferred and best suited location for development of an SL-LILW repository. As an initial step in development of the conceptual design various repository design options for the site were examined and assessed. The assessment considered similar facilities that have been implemented internationally. At the conclusion of the assessment and in conjunction with the Iraqi Beneficiaries from MoST, a near-surface vault design was selected for the facility. The design of the facility relies on experience gained from existing low-level waste repositories at Centre de l'Aube in France and the El Cabril solid radioactive waste disposal facility in Spain as well as on more recent experience gained in the design of the Bulgaria National Disposal Facility (NDF) under construction near the Kozloduy Nuclear Power Plant. Similar to these reference designs, the concept for the Al Tuwaitha Disposal Facility (ATDF) will rely on a series of reinforced concrete vaults into which containerised waste will be placed. Each vault will consist of two chambers designed specifically to hold the waste. Central drainage points in each waste chamber will lead to an infiltration water collection system designed to detect any failures in the waste containment. Each disposal vault will be sealed after filling by installation of a reinforced concrete closure slab. Once all of the waste has been disposed of the site will be decommissioned and a multilayer protective cover will be installed over the sealed disposal vaults. The multilayer cover will act to further isolate the waste from the environment by limiting the access of water to the waste. Due in part to the presence of shallow groundwater at the site and to avoid potential damage to the facility by flooding from the nearby Tigris River the concept for the Al Tuwaitha Disposal Facility requires construction of the disposal vaults on a raised platform several meters above ground level. Construction of this platform will be integrated into the conceptual safety design and materials will be selected which further enhance the isolation function of the disposal system by hindering or delaying the release of radionuclides to the environment. The infiltration water collection system, which will be constructed in a specifically designed accessible gallery embedded and fully integrated into the platform, will provide access to inspection points located beneath each disposal chamber. The ATDF when completed will be a further demonstration of the adaptability of the disposal vault concept for use in isolating SL-LILW from the environment. (authors)

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MODELING OF THE GROUNDWATER TRANSPORT AROUND A DEEP BOREHOLE NUCLEAR WASTE REPOSITORY

The concept of disposal of high-level nuclear waste in deep boreholes drilled into crystalline bedrock is gaining renewed interest and consideration as a viable mined repository alternative. A large amount of work on conceptual borehole design and preliminary performance assessment has been performed by researchers at MIT, Sandia National Laboratories, SKB (Sweden), and others. Much of this work relied on analytical derivations or, in a few cases, on weakly coupled models of heat, water, and radionuclide transport in the rock. Detailed numerical models are necessary to account for the large heterogeneity of properties (e.g., permeability and salinity vs. depth, diffusion coefficients, etc.) that would be observed at potential borehole disposal sites. A derivation of the FALCON code (Fracturing And Liquid CONvection) was used for the thermal-hydrologic modeling. This code solves the transport equations in porous media in a fully coupled way. The application leverages the flexibility and strengths of the MOOSE framework, developed by Idaho National Laboratory. The current version simulates heat, fluid, and chemical species transport in a fully coupled way allowing the rigorous evaluation of candidate repository site performance. This paper mostly focuses on the modeling of a deep borehole repository under realistic conditions, including modeling of a finite array of boreholes surrounded by undisturbed rock. The decay heat generated by the canisters diffuses into the host rock. Water heating can potentially lead to convection on the scale of thousands of years after the emplacement of the fuel. This convection is tightly coupled to the transport of the dissolved salt, which can suppress convection and reduce the release of the radioactive materials to the aquifer. The purpose of this work has been to evaluate the importance of the borehole array spacing and find the conditions under which convective transport can be ruled out as a radionuclide transport mechanism. Preliminary results show that modeling of the borehole array, including the surrounding rock, predicts convective flow in the system with physical velocities of the order of 10-5 km/yr over 105 years. This results in an escape length on the order of kilometers, which is comparable to the repository depth. However, a correct account of the salinity effects reduces convection velocity and escape length of the radionuclides from the repository.

Modeling↗

Panel Session 24B: Records, Knowledge, and Memory for Radioactive Waste Repositories: Generational Equity Focus

This panel focused on the latest thoughts, ideas, and methodologies being explored throughout the world on how to communicate with future generations regarding nuclear waste disposal. Scientists determined many years ago that geological disposal in a repository was the preferred solution for nuclear waste disposal given the longevity concerns of the waste(s). Future generations must be informed through records, memory keeping and permanent markers to ensure they are aware of, and knowledgeable of, the dangers associated with nuclear waste isolated from the biosphere. Panelists with presentations: You Want to Drill Where? Human Intrusion Messaging Considerations (Thomas Peake, Jonathan Major); Ethical Reflections on the Basic Reasons for RK and M Measures (Carl-Reinhold Brakenhielm); NEA Activities on Information, Data and Knowledge Management (Rebecca Tadesse); Records, Knowledge and Memory (RK and M) Across Generations: Recent Activities and Progress in Sweden (Claudio Pescatore)

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Machine Learning Surrogates of a Fuel Matrix Degradation Process Model for Performance Assessment of a Nuclear Waste Repository

Spent nuclear fuel repository simulations are currently not able to incorporate detailed fuel matrix degradation (FMD) process models due to their computational cost, especially when large numbers of waste packages breach. The current paper uses machine learning to develop artificial neural network and k-nearest neighbor regression surrogate models that approximate the detailed FMD process model while being computationally much faster to evaluate. Further, using fuel cask temperature, dose rate, and the environmental concentrations of CO 3 2- , O 2 , Fe 2+ , and H 2 as inputs, these surrogates show good agreement with the FMD process model predictions of the UO 2 degradation rate for conditions within the range of the training data. A demonstration in a full-scale shale repository reference case simulation shows that the incorporation of the surrogate models captures local and temporal environmental effects on fuel degradation rates while retaining good computational efficiency.

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