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At least 37 records · Page 2
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
NASA NTRS2014

Statistical Aspects of North Atlantic Basin Tropical Cyclones During the Weather Satellite Era, 1960-2013: Part 1

A tropical cyclone is described as a warm-core, nonfrontal, synoptic-scale system that originates over tropical or subtropical waters, having organized deep convection and closed surface wind circulation (counterclockwise in the Northern Hemisphere) about a well defined center. When its sustained wind speed equals 34-63 kt, it is called a tropical (or subtropical) storm and is given a name (i.e., alternating male and female names, beginning in 1979); when its sustained wind speed equals 64-95 kt, it is called a hurricane (at least in the Eastern Pacific and North Atlantic basin); and when its sustained wind speed equals 96 kt or higher, it is called an intense or major hurricane (i.e., categories 3-5 on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale). Although tropical cyclones have been reported and described since the voyages of Columbus, a detailed record of their occurrences extends only from 1851 to the present, with the most reliable portion extending only from about 1945 to the present, owing to the use of near-continuous routine reconnaissance aircraft monitoring flights and the use of satellite imagery (beginning in 1960; see Davis). Even so, the record may still be incomplete, possibly missing at least one tropical cyclone per yearly hurricane season, especially prior to the use of continuous satellite monitoring. In fact, often an unnamed tropical cyclone is included in the year-end listing of events at the conclusion of the season, following post-season analysis (e.g., as happened in 2011 and 2013, each having one unnamed event). In this two-part Technical Publication (TP), statistical aspects of the North Atlantic basin tropical cyclones are examined for the interval 1960-2013, the weather satellite era. Part 1 examines some 25 parameters of tropical cyclones (e.g., frequencies, peak wind speed (PWS), accumulated cyclone energy (ACE), etc.), while part 2 examines the relationship of these parameters against specific climate-related factors. These studies are a continuation of nearly two decades of previous tropical cyclone-related investigations.

Wilson, Robert M.↗
NASA NTRS1973

Effect of bottom topography, eddy diffusivity, and wind variation on circulation in a two-layer stratified lake

The steady-state, wind-driven circulation is calculated in a stratified lake composed of two layers having uniform but unequal densities and eddy diffusivities. The position of the thermocline and the velocities in both layers are calculated from an asymptotic solution of the shallow lake equations when the Ekman number in the epilimnion (upper layer) is of order one but the ratio of hypolimnion (lower layer) to epilimnion eddy diffusivities is much less than one. Large differences in the thermocline shape and the velocities occur between the solution for uniform wind stress and the one for unit order wind stress gradients. For the latter solution the hypolimnion eddy diffusivity magnitude and the bottom topography have a large and important effect.

Gedney, R. T.↗
NASA NTRS1976

Use of variational methods in the determination of wind-driven ocean circulation

Simple polynomial approximations and a variational approach were used to predict wind-induced circulation in rectangular ocean basins. Stommel's and Munk's models were solved in a unified fashion by means of the proposed method. Very good agreement with exact solutions available in the literature was shown to exist. The method was then applied to more complex situations where an exact solution seems out of the question.

Gelos, R.↗
NASA NTRS2023

Historical Changes in Wind-Driven Ocean Circulation Can Accelerate Global Warming

Mitigation and adaptation strategies for climate change depend on accurate climate projections for the coming decades. While changes in radiative heat fluxes are known to contribute to surface warming, changes to ocean circulation can also impact the rate of surface warming. Previous studies suggest that projected changes to ocean circulation reduce the rate of global warming. However, these studies consider large greenhouse gas forcing scenarios, which induce a significant buoyancy-driven decline of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation. Here, we use a climate model to quantify the previously unknown impact of changes to wind-driven ocean circulation on global surface warming. Wind-driven ocean circulation changes amplify the externally forced warming rate by 17% from 1979 to 2014. Accurately simulating changes to the atmospheric circulation is key to improving near-term climate projections.

wind stress↗
NASA NTRS1981

Forced shelf circulation by an alongshore wind band

The forced circulation over a continental shelf generated by the alongshore wind stress is studied within the frictional regime. The model alongshore wind stress has a finite extent in the alongshore direction and oscillates monochromatically, resembling a series of anticyclones traveling across the coastline. Both the shelf-wave response and the localized non-wavelike response exist within the wind band. The numerical results show that the interaction of shelf waves with locally wind-forced response generates a large increase in the phase speed within the wind band. Given an alongshore variation in the alongshore wind stress, a right-bounded phase propagation is possible even in the absence of continental shelf waves. Given a reasonable friction currently accepted for the east coast of the United States, the resonance mechanism at the cutoff frequency may not be important, and lower frequency wind events generate larger amplitude continental shelf circulation. By reducing the friction, energy at cutoff fequencies leaks out of the wind band in both directions effectively. It also is shown that non-wavelike response depends only on the local wind stress and is not affected significantly by friction.

Chao, S.-Y.↗
NASA NTRS1986

Observations of vertical winds and the origin of thermospheric gravity waves launched by auroral substorms and westward travelling surges

Several sequences of observations of strong vertical winds in the upper thermosphere are discussed, in conjunction with models of the generation of such winds. In the auroral oval, the strongest upward winds are observed in or close to regions of intense auroral precipitation and strong ionospheric currents. The strongest winds, of the order of 100 to 200 m/sec are usually upward, and are both localized and of relatively short duration (10 to 20 min). In regions adjacent to those displaying strong upward winds, and following periods of upward winds, downward winds of rather lower magnitude (40 to about 80 m/sec) may be observed. Strong and rapid changes of horizontal winds are correlated with these rapid vertical wind variations. Considered from a large scale viewpoint, this class of strongly time dependent winds propagate globally, and may be considered to be gravity waves launched from an auroral source. During periods of very disturbed geomagnetic activity, there may be regions within and close to the auroral oval where systematic vertical winds of the order of 50 m/sec will occur for periods of several hours. Such persistent winds are part of a very strong large scale horizontal wind circulation set up in the polar regions during a major geomagnetic disturbance. This second class of strong horizontal and vertical winds corresponds more to a standing wave than to a gravity wave, and it is not as effective as the first class in generating large scale propagating gravity waves and correlated horizontal and vertical oscillations. A third class of significant (10 to 30 m/sec) vertical winds can be associated with systematic features of the average geomagnetic energy and momentum input to the polar thermosphere, and appear in statistical studies of the average vertical wind as a function of Universal Time at a given location.

Rees, D.↗
NASA NTRS1972

Magnetic storm effects in the neutral composition.

Demonstration that the thermospheric wind circulation excited during magnetic storms, presumably by Joule heating within the auroral zone, is an effective mechanism for removing atomic oxygen at high latitudes. Wind-induced variations in O exceed the temperature effects up to 250 km. The calculated depletion is most pronounced at around 180 km, where the density can decrease by as much as a factor of two, consistent with the observed storm time variations in the ionosphere. At higher altitudes, this effect is canceled by the thermal expansion in atomic oxygen, thus explaining the negligible response in the concentration of this atmospheric constituent under disturbed conditions, when N2 increased by as much as a factor of ten.

Mayr, H. G.↗
NASA NTRS1989

Solar wind and high energy particle effects in the middle atmosphere

The solar wind variability and high energy particle effects in the neutral middle atmosphere are not much known. These factors are important in the high latitude upper mesosphere, lower thermosphere energy budget. They influence temperature, composition (minor constituents of nitric oxide, ozone), circulation (wind system) and airflow. The vertical and latitudinal structures of such effects, mechanisms of downward penetration of energy and questions of energy abundance are largely to be solved. The most important recent finding seems to be the discovery of the role of highly relativistic electrons in the middle atmosphere at L = 3 - 8 (Baker et al., 1987). The solar wind and high energy particle flux variability appear to form a part of the chain of possible Sun-weather (climate) relationships. The importance of such studies in the nineties is emphasized by their role in big international programs STEP and IGBP - Global Change.

Lastovicka, Jan↗
DOE OSTI2024

Are Atmospheric Models Too Cold in the Mountains? The State of Science and Insights from the SAIL Field Campaign

Mountains play an outsized role in water resource availability, and the amount and timing of water they provide depend strongly on temperature. To that end, we ask the question: How well are atmospheric models capturing mountain temperatures? We synthesize results showing that high-resolution, regionally relevant climate models produce 2-m air temperature (T2m) measurements colder than what is observed (a “cold bias”), particularly in snow-covered midlatitude mountain ranges during winter. We find common cold biases in 44 studies across global mountain ranges, including single-model and multimodel ensembles. We explore the factors driving these biases and examine the physical mechanisms, data limitations, and observational uncertainties behind T2m. Our analysis suggests that the biases are genuine and not due to observation sparsity or resolution mismatches. Cold biases occur primarily on mountain peaks and ridges, whereas valleys are often warm biased. Our literature review suggests that increasing model resolution does not clearly mitigate the bias. By analyzing data from the Surface Atmosphere Integrated Field Laboratory (SAIL) field campaign in the Colorado Rocky Mountains, we test various hypotheses related to cold biases and find that local wind circulations, longwave (LW) radiation, and surface-layer parameterizations contribute to the T2m biases in this particular location. We conclude by emphasizing the value of coordinated model evaluation and development efforts in heavily instrumented mountain locations for addressing the root cause(s) of T2m biases and improving predictive understanding of mountain climates.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2024

Are Atmospheric Models Too Cold in the Mountains? The State of Science and Insights from the SAIL Field Campaign

Mountains play an outsized role in water resource availability, and the amount and timing of water they provide depend strongly on temperature. To that end, we ask the question: How well are atmospheric models capturing mountain temperatures? We synthesize results showing that high-resolution, regionally relevant climate models produce 2-m air temperature (T2m) measurements colder than what is observed (a “cold bias”), particularly in snow-covered midlatitude mountain ranges during winter. We find common cold biases in 44 studies across global mountain ranges, including single-model and multimodel ensembles. We explore the factors driving these biases and examine the physical mechanisms, data limitations, and observational uncertainties behind T2m. Our analysis suggests that the biases are genuine and not due to observation sparsity or resolution mismatches. Cold biases occur primarily on mountain peaks and ridges, whereas valleys are often warm biased. Our literature review suggests that increasing model resolution does not clearly mitigate the bias. By analyzing data from the Surface Atmosphere Integrated Field Laboratory (SAIL) field campaign in the Colorado Rocky Mountains, we test various hypotheses related to cold biases and find that local wind circulations, longwave (LW) radiation, and surface-layer parameterizations contribute to the T2m biases in this particular location. We conclude by emphasizing the value of coordinated model evaluation and development efforts in heavily instrumented mountain locations for addressing the root cause(s) of T2m biases and improving predictive understanding of mountain climates.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2020

Causal Interactions between Southern Ocean Polynyas and High-Latitude Atmosphere–Ocean Variability

Abstract Weddell Sea open-ocean polynyas have been observed to occasionally release heat from the deep ocean to the atmosphere, indicating that their sporadic appearances may be an important feature of high-latitude atmosphere–ocean variability. Yet, observations of the phenomenon are sparse and many standard-resolution models represent these features poorly, if at all. We use a fully coupled, synoptic-scale preindustrial control simulation of the Energy Exascale Earth System Model (E3SMv0-HR) to effectively simulate open-ocean polynyas and investigate their role in the climate system. Our approach employs statistical tests of Granger causality to diagnose local and remote drivers of, and responses to, polynya heat loss on interannual to decadal time scales. First, we find that polynya heat loss Granger causes a persistent increase in surface air temperature over the Weddell Sea, strengthening the local cyclonic wind circulation. Along with responding to polynyas, atmospheric conditions also facilitate their development. When the Southern Ocean experiences a rapid poleward shift in the circumpolar westerlies following a prolonged negative phase of the southern annular mode (SAM), Weddell Sea salinity increases, promoting density destratification and convection in the water column. Finally, we find that the reduction of surface heat fluxes during periods of full ice cover is not fully compensated by ocean heat transport into the high latitudes. This imbalance leads to a buildup of ocean heat content that supplies polynya heat loss. These results disentangle the complex, coupled climate processes that both enable the polynya’s existence and respond to it, providing insights to improve the representation of these highly episodic sea ice features in climate models.

Kaufman, Zachary S.↗
NASA NTRS1966

Ionosphere

Ionospheric dynamics and properties, structure of D and F regions, global wind circulation, and radio wave absorption

RADIO WAVE↗
NASA NTRS1971

Semiannual variations in the neutral composition.

Meteor trail observations of the meridional mesospheric wind field are analyzed in terms of spherical harmonics, showing a predominance in the P3 term for the semiannual component. This suggests two heat sources for the semiannual variations. One that peaks at the equator is associated with the semiannual migration of the sun between the two hemispheres. A second heat input of greater magnitude that peaks at high latitudes is presumably related to auroral heating associated with the semiannual component in the occurrence of magnetic storms. The wind circulation, consistent with these sources, is shown to cause a semiannual redistribution of the minor constituent O in the lower thermosphere with the effects of decreasing the ratios of O/N2 and O/O2 at high latitudes and of enhancing these ratios at mid to low latitudes during equinox.

Mayr, H. G.↗
NASA NTRS1972

Diffusion model for the phase delay between thermospheric density and temperature.

Consideration of a two-dimensional time-dependent model in which the thermosphere dynamics is excited by the UV heat input within the thermosphere, showing that the wind-induced variations in the diurnal component of atomic oxygen dominate over its temperature-induced variations up to 200 km. The assumption of diffusive equilibrium is therefore in general not valid for O within the lower thermosphere. The effect of the diurnal wind circulation is to redistribute O so that the diurnal variations in the forbidden O/forbidden N2 and forbidden O/forbidden O2 ratios are damped by about 20%, thus contributing to the maintenance of the nighttime F2 region, and the maximum in the diurnal variation of O is shifted by one to two hours away from the temperature maximum toward noon, thus contributing significantly to the temperature-density time lag at thermospheric heights above 200 km, where O becomes the major constituent.

Mayr, H. G.↗
NASA NTRS1973

Theory of the phase anomaly in the thermosphere

The temperature-density phase anomaly is discussed on the basis of a quasi-three-dimensional model in which the thermosphere dynamics (including energy advection and diffusion associated with wind circulation) is considered in a self consistent form. Included in this analysis are the first three harmonics with nonlinear coupling between diurnal and semi-diurnal tides.

Mayr, H. G.↗
NASA NTRS1973

Theory of the phase anomaly in the thermosphere

Discussion of the temperature-density phase anomaly on the basis of a quasi-three-dimensional model in which the thermosphere dynamics associated with wind circulation is considered in a self-consistent form. Included in this analysis are the first three harmonics, which involve nonlinear coupling between diurnal and semidiurnal tides. It is shown that the phase anomaly with exospheric temperature peaks near 1600 LT and mass density peaks between 1400 and 1445 LT can be reproduced in a self-consistent theory without invoking ad hoc assumptions and boundary conditions that would mask the physical processes to be explored. A number of factors and processes are found to contribute to the phase anomaly, including the semidiurnal and particularly the terdiurnal components, heat advection, diffusion, and energy coupling with the lower atmosphere.

Mayr, H. G.↗
NASA NTRS1975

The measurement of meteor winds over Atlanta /34 N, 84 W/

An all-sky, continuous wave radio meteor wind facility has been installed in Atlanta. A double sideband suppressed carrier CW transmitter, operating at around 32.5 MHz, with an rms output of 2 kW, has been installed, and a receiving site was established at 27 km away. Details of the equipment, together with height/time profiles of mean wind circulation and tides between 80 and 100 km, measured from August 9 to September 4, 1974, are presented.

Roper, R. G.↗