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Reservoirs Modify River Thermal Regime Sensitivity to Climate Change: A Case Study in the Southeastern United States

Seasonal thermal stratification in reservoirs changes the thermal regime of regulated river systems as well as stream temperature responses to climate change. Cold releases from reservoir hypolimnion can depress downstream river temperature during warm seasons. Recent large-scale climate change studies on stream temperature have largely ignored reservoir thermal stratification. In this study, we used established models to develop a framework which considers water demand and reservoir regulation with thermal stratification, and applied this model framework to the southeastern US. About half of all 271 reservoirs in our study area retain strong thermal stratification by the 2080s (2070-2099) under RCP8.5 even as median residence times decrease to 60 days from 69 days in the historic period (1979-2010). Reservoir impacts on downstream temperatures become slightly weaker in the future because of higher air temperature and stronger solar radiation. We defined a “cooling potential” to quantify the thermal energy that a water body can absorb before exceeding a water temperature threshold. In the future, higher river temperatures will reduce the cooling potential for all river segments, but more so for river segments minimally impacted by thermal stratification. Reservoir impacts on cooling potential remain strong for river segments downstream of reservoirs with strong thermal stratification. We conducted a sensitivity analysis to evaluate the robustness of our findings to errors in the hydrological simulations. While river segments subject to reservoir regulation are more sensitive to errors in hydrology than those without regulation impacts, our overall findings do not materially change due to these errors.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Benchmark Specifications for Select Experiments Conducted at the Kansas State University Gallium Thermal-hydraulic Experiment Facility

The Department of Energy (DOE) – Nuclear Energy University Programs (NEUP) supported the creation and operation of the Gallium Thermal-hydraulic Experiment (GaTE) facility at Kansas State University (KSU) as part of a larger effort to understand thermal stratification behavior in liquid-metal-cooled reactors. GaTE was designed to simulate transients in a reactor plenum that are known to cause thermal stratification. High-reliability and high-resolution measurements describing stratification behavior in the coolant were collected for use as experimental benchmarks in validation efforts for computational models. The results of these tests contribute to a greater understanding of thermal stratification behavior of liquid metal under various configurations and operating conditions. This report provides a complete description of the benchmark problem, including all necessary details and description of a set of four forced flow and four natural circulation tests and measured data for comparison with model results.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Thermal-Hydraulics Modeling and Simulations of Hot Pool Using the SAS-CFD Coupled Code

The main goal of this activity is to test the dynamic coupling of the SAS4A/SASSYS-1 (SAS) and CFD models, using a recently patched version of the SAS code intended to address an undocumented limitation that hindered the Versatile Test Reactor (VTR) simulation efforts in FY21. As described in previous VTR calculation reports, the undocumented limitation in SAS v5.4 does not allow the user to activate the CFD coupling option during restart calculations. Since the analysts were unaware of this limitation, prior SAS-CFD simulation results for the protected station blackout (PSBO) transient were erroneous. Root-cause analysis was performed to determine the cause of this undocumented limitation in SAS v5.4, the SAS software was updated in a new patch, and the SAS-CFD simulations were repeated with this patched software. The results of the SAS-CFD simulations documented in this report show that the software patch does address the cited issue, and that the patched software indeed supports the activation of the CFD coupling model in restart calculations. The SAS development team will determine the schedule for implementing the patch in an official software release. This report documents updated SAS-CFD simulations of the PSBO transient response in the VTR. The hot pool is modeled with the CFD code STAR-CCM+, which is coupled at the flow boundaries to the SAS model of the primary heat transport system. SAS computes the mass flow rate and temperature at each core subassembly outlet, the thermal insulation cavity bypass, and the IHX inlet windows. CFD in turn computes the absolute pressure and temperature at each of these boundaries. The SAS code will ignore the temperature data at flow boundaries where flow is directed into the hot pool, i.e., at the core subassembly outlets unless flow reversal occurs. Similarly, CFD will ignore temperature data at boundaries where the flow is directed out of the hot pool, i.e., at the IHX inlets except under flow reversal. The focus of this work is to ensure that the SAS software patch addresses the undocumented limitation described in prior VTR calculation reports, rather than the accurate assessment of thermal stratification in the VTR during protected transients. This motivates the development of a new, simplified CFD model with a coarser mesh to accelerate the testing process. The updated model, and simplifying assumptions, are documented in this report. In future work, the thermal stratification assessment should be performed in more detail. The simplified CFD model can be improved by performing grid convergence studies sensitivity studies of turbulence parameters (e.g., Prandtl number, turbulence production and dissipation parameters) on temperature distributions and thermal stratification.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Computationally efficient evaluation of optimum homogeneous charge compression ignition operating range with accelerated multizone engine cycle simulation

The very intensive calculations necessary to define a performance map requiring evaluation of over a hundred individual operating points can be efficiently conducted with accelerated multizone for engine cycle simulation, leading to a definition of regions of acceptable and optimum homogeneous charge compression ignition operation. Accelerated multizone for engine cycle simulation has the virtue of enabling accurate evaluation of many operating conditions based on thermal stratification data from a single fluid mechanics run at motored conditions. This is possible because thermal stratification is more sensitive to engine geometry than to operating conditions. In this article, accuracy of accelerated multizone for engine cycle simulation is demonstrated by comparison with experimental data for iso-octane homogeneous charge compression ignition operation over a broad range of lean equivalence ratios (0.14–0.28). The validated accelerated multizone for engine cycle simulation model is then applied to generating a performance map for an engine controlled by appropriately adjusting equivalence ratio and internal exhaust gas recirculation. Regions of acceptable and optimum combustion are identified. It is finally demonstrated that while indicated mean effective pressure remains low for optimum homogeneous charge compression ignition operation (1–4 bar), this is sufficient for a large fraction of typical driving in light-duty vehicles. Much driving including idle can therefore be done in homogeneous charge compression ignition mode at high efficiency and low (essentially zero) NOx and particulate matter emissions.

30 DIRECT ENERGY CONVERSION↗

A New 1D Model for Thermal Mixing and Stratification in Advanced Reactor Transients

Thermal mixing and stratification in large pools and enclosures play a critical role in the safety and performance of pool-type nuclear reactors, particularly during transient scenarios involving significant temperature differences between incoming and bulk coolant. Accurate modeling of these phenomena is essential for predicting system behavior and supporting passive safety features such as natural circulation. Here, this paper presents a new 1D model for thermal mixing and stratification, developed and implemented in the SAM code. The model represents a large pool as 1D coolant jet channels and zero-dimensional bulk pool volumes, enabling the simulation of a wide range of flow configurations, including hot and cold jet interactions, stratified layers, and the influence of complex geometries such as ceilings, free surfaces, and internal obstacles. Heat exchange between jet and pool regions is governed by closure relations calibrated against 3D computational fluid dynamics (CFD) simulations. The model improves upon earlier approaches by incorporating time-dependent jet characteristics and capturing the associated delay effects more accurately. Code-to-code comparisons and validation against experimental data from the Thermal Stratification Test Facility demonstrate the model’s accuracy and flexibility. This work offers two key contributions: (1) an efficient and robust method for simulating thermal mixing and stratification at the system level, eliminating the need for external coupling between system analysis codes and CFD, and (2) a significant enhancement of SAM’s capabilities to analyze thermal stratification phenomena in advanced reactor systems.

SAM↗

RELAP-7 Application and Enhancement for FLEX Strategies and ATF Behavior under Extended Loss of AC Power Conditions

This report summarizes the results of a three-year research project sponsored by the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) Nuclear Energy University Program (NEUP) to enhance and apply the RELAP-7 code by adding and improving several important components (e.g., a mechanistic Reactor Core Isolation Cooling (RCIC) system model) for thermal hydraulic studies of LWRs under ELAP conditions and evaluating the time available for transition to portable FLEX equipment. The project team included University of Massachusetts–Lowell, The Ohio State University, Texas A&M University, Idaho National Laboratory and Oak Ridge National Laboratory. In the Fukushima accident, it was found that the RCIC system played a crucial role in delaying core meltdown by almost three days in Fukushima Daiichi Unit 2, because of self-regulated operation of the steam driven RCIC turbine-pump injection system. Steam flow in the convergent-divergent nozzles of the RCIC Terry turbine is two-phase non-equilibrium transonic flow with homogenous nucleation condensation. To more accurately predict the dynamic process and behavior of the transonic compressible steam flow, a one-dimensional transient two-phase analytical model is presented. A simplified four-fluid model was employed in the present work with the consideration of four separate fluid fields: vapor, liquid film, entrained droplets and condensed droplets. The mass, momentum and energy interactions between the fluids were considered and modeled. An extended seven-equation non-equilibrium critical flow model was developed to obtain the critical pressure and velocities of each phase at the nozzle throat. To predict the wetness in the divergent section, a mechanistic nucleation condensation model was integrated in the nozzle analysis model, considering the generation and consequent growth of droplets. The governing differential equations on a staggered grid were discretized using the second-order Lax-Wendroff scheme with a flux limiter, and the Semi-Implicit Method for Pressure-Linked Equation (SIMPLE) algorithm was employed to solve the discrete linear system. To demonstrate the predictability and reliability of the physical models and the numerical method proposed in the present work, three representative nozzles were modeled and simulated. The results show good agreement with the available experimental data, even for condensation shock. Then, the 1D nozzle model was employed to obtain nozzle flow tables of the Terry turbine nozzle for different working pressures which can cover the operation pressure range of the RCIC system. A mechanistic RCIC turbine-pump system model was developed and implemented in the system code TRACE to simulate dynamic responses of the RCIC system under Beyond Design Basis Accident (BDBA) conditions. The turbine-pump governing equations are based on the control volume approach of the angular momentum balance. The physics based mechanistic RCIC model was developed using the TRACE control system components (i.e., signal variables, control blocks, and tables), and incorporated into a TRACE boiling water reactor (BWR) model. The TRACE model in this report has a detailed nodalization of the reactor pressure vessel (RPV), and all of the major flow paths and system components, including the safety relief valves (SRVs) and the containment suppression pool and drywell. Based on the nozzle flow tables generated from the 1D nozzle model developed, the turbine drive torque can be calculated from table lookup. Since the detailed specifications of the RCIC pump are unavailable, the homologous curves for a Bingham pump were used in the current pump component. A station black-out (SBO) accident test problem was selected to demonstrate the TRACE RCIC model. The short-term SBO simulations were performed for two cladding materials: Zircaloy and FeCrAl, to demonstrate the effect of the accident tolerant fuel cladding on fuel heat-up under BDBA accident conditions. The wetwell plays a vital safety role in SBO and other BWR accident scenarios in that it can reduce containment pressure and supply additional core make-up water. The suppression pool temperature distribution has a very large impact on both RPV and containment pressure. Thus, another novel contribution of the project comes mainly from an improved, systems-level wetwell model which can capture buoyancy-induced thermal stratification effects due to steam injection and condensation. A two-zone stratified wetwell model has been implemented in RELAP-7 and some results from that model are presented. This wetwell model is capable of simulating thermal stratification due to a low steam mass injection rate. With a low mass flow rate, the model assumes that all the steam condenses within the pipe and the resulting plume can be approximated with a purely buoyant, heat-source driven model. The wetwell model developed with these assumptions is adequate to simulate slow transients such as extended SBO transients.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Two-zone stratified wetwell model development and implementation for RELAP-7

The Reactor Core Isolation Cooling (RCIC) system consists of a turbine, pump and wetwell and is used in many US Boiling Water Reactors (BWRs) as an important heat removal system. The wetwell is a major heat sink within containment. Experimental investigations have shown that thermal stratification may occur in the wetwell during RCIC operation. Current systems-level analysis codes lack stratified wetwell models. Here, this paper describes the development of a stratified wetwell model for the RELAP-7 code. This paper uses a simple two-zone model for the wetwell water that can capture thermal stratification. This model assumes that a buoyant plume transports heat and mass from the steam injection site to the upper water zone. The buoyant plume assumption requires that steam is injected at a low enough rate so it adds negligible momentum. Model validation against experimental data shows similar trends of temperature field development in the suppression pool.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Comparison of plug flow and multi-node stratified tank modeling approaches regarding computational efficiency and accuracy

Residential water heaters contain water stratified by temperature-driven density differences. This implies that a water tank can reach a state in which the top and bottom sections have different temperatures, unless mixing happens. A high degree of thermal stratification can improve the efficiency of some water heaters, by saving the amount of energy required for the heat-up process. Studies of stratification became popular in the 1970s and it remains an active research topic today. The research has led to the development of different models and techniques to better predict and define a stratified tanks behavior. By comparing these models and techniques used previously to describe thermal stratification, the phenomenon could be better understood, exploited, and used to increase efficiency and thermal energy capacity in modern water tanks. From the existing models, we found the one-dimensional standard plug-flow and a multi node model to be appropriate for analyzing the processes of the heat up and cool-down in a water tank. These two models are based on energy balances. This work involved comparing the accuracy and computational effort needed to implement these models. To assess accuracy, we compared both types of existing models to experimental data (also collected in this work) which included a heat up process using an external heat pump. This external process included a layering process that has an eddy diffusivity at five times the rate of thermal diffusion. For this project, we implemented the models in MATLAB, the multi-paradigm numerical computing environment. We quantified model accuracy using the root mean squared error between modeled data and experimental data for six measured tank temperatures. Comparing the accuracy and the computational time taken to run the simulation provides a method to contrast the performance of each model and a way to rate it. The multi node model was run using from 6 to 96 spatial nodes; the plug flow model was run using 1 to 0.001 º C temperature bin sizes. Additionally, timesteps were varied from 4 to 236 s. The results quantify the tradeoff between accuracy and computational time, providing guidance for simulations to intelligently select the best model type and simulation parameters. This research can be used to validate the pre-existing models and possibly improve the modern water tank.

Bulnes, Fernando Karg↗

Uniform momentum and temperature zones in unstably stratified turbulent flows

Wall-bounded turbulent flows exhibit a zonal arrangement, in which streamwise velocity organizes into uniform momentum zones (UMZs), separated by thin layers of elevated interfacial shear. While significant research efforts have focused on these structural features in neutrally stratified flows, the effects of unstable thermal stratification on UMZs and on analogous uniform temperature zones (UTZs) have not been considered previously. In this article, statistical properties of UMZs and UTZs are investigated using a suite of large eddy simulations of unstably stratified turbulent channel flow spanning weakly to highly convective conditions. When normalized by the friction velocity and stability-dependent mixing length, the mean velocity gradient based on UMZ interfacial velocity jumps and the vorticity thickness exhibits good collapse for all stabilities, establishing a link between UMZ properties and scaling predictions from Monin–Obukhov similarity theory. A similar relationship is found between UTZ properties and surface-layer scaling of the mean temperature gradient. In the mixed layer, mean UMZ depth is quasi-constant with wall-normal distance, while the deepest UTZs are found in the centre of the boundary layer. These instantaneous structures are found to be linked to the well-mixed velocity and temperature profiles in the convective mixed layer. Conditional averaging indicates that both UMZ and UTZ interfaces are associated with ejections of momentum and warm updrafts below the interface and sweeps of momentum and cool downdrafts above the interface. These results demonstrate a tangible connection between instantaneous structural features, mean properties and scaling laws in unstably stratified flows.

Mechanics↗

SAM-ML: Integrating data-driven closure with nuclear system code SAM for improved modeling capability

Advanced reactors often involve complicated thermal-fluid (T-F) phenomena. Modeling such phenomena with the traditional one-dimensional (1-D) system code is a challenging task. The System Analysis Module (SAM), a modern nuclear system code, has developed a coarse mesh multi-dimensional (multi-D) flow model to capture the spatial effect of T-F phenomena in advanced reactors. As a coarse mesh solver, constitutive relations are required for SAM's multi-D model for unresolved fine-scale physics, such as turbulence. Here this work presents a novel approach that integrates neural networks as data-driven closure for SAM's multi-D flow model. The data-driven closure is trained with fine-resolution data to ensure its accuracy while maintaining a coarse mesh setup to ensure its efficiency and consistency with SAM. We demonstrate the applicability of this SAM-ML capability in an open volume thermal stratification problem, where a neural network model serves as the eddy viscosity closure. A customized interface between the neural network and SAM is developed to ensure flexible and efficient data exchange. The SAM-ML results demonstrate superior performance compared to SAM's built-in zero-equation eddy viscosity closure. The case study shows that although the generalization capability of the data-driven closure still needs to be improved for different transient case or different geometric setup, SAM -ML demonstrates good potential for challenging simulation problems with improved accuracy and computational efficiency.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Hydrodynamic Modeling of Stratification and Mixing in a Shallow, Tropical Floodplain Lake

Abstract Floodplain lakes are widespread and ecologically important throughout tropical river systems, however data are rare that describe how temporal variations in hydrological, meteorological and optical conditions moderate stratification and mixing in these shallow lakes. Using time series measurements of meteorology and water‐column temperatures from 17 several day campaigns spanning two hydrological years in a representative Amazon floodplain lake, we calculated surface energy fluxes and thermal stratification, and applied and evaluated a 3‐dimensional hydrodynamic model. The model successfully simulated diel cycles in thermal structure characterized by buoyancy frequency, depth of the actively mixing layer, and other terms associated with the surface energy budget. Diurnal heating with strong stratification and nocturnal mixing were common; despite considerable heat loss at night, the strong stratification during the day meant that mixing only infrequently extended to the bottom at night. Simulations indicated that the diurnal thermocline up and downwelled creating lake‐wide differences in near‐surface temperatures and mixing depths. Infrequent full mixing creates conditions conducive to anoxia in these shallow lakes given their warm temperatures.

Environmental Sciences & Ecology↗

Report on Initial Sodium Testing on the Thermal Hydraulic Experimental Test Article (THETA) (Fiscal Year 2024 Final Report)

The Thermal Hydraulic Experimental Test Article (THETA) is a facility that is used to develop sodium components and instrumentation as well as to acquire experimental data for validation of reactor thermal hydraulic and safety analysis codes. The facility simulates nominal thermal hydraulic conditions as well as protected/unprotected loss of flow accidents in a sodium-cooled fast reactor (SFR). High fidelity distributed temperature profiles of the developed flow field may be acquired with Rayleigh backscatter based optical fiber temperature sensors. The facility was designed in partnership with systems code experts to tailor the experiment to ensure the most relevant and highest quality data for code validation. THETA is comprised of a traditional primary coolant and secondary coolant system. The primary system is submerged in the pool of sodium and consists of a pump, electrically heated core, intermediate heat exchanger, and connected piping and thermal barriers (redan). The secondary system, located outside of the sodium pool, consists of a pump, sodium to air heat exchanger, and connected piping and valves. In fiscal year 2023, thermal stratification tests were completed with the primary system online, while the secondary system was being constructed [1]. These tests had shown that the core barrel and intermediate heat exchanger (IHX) outlet required increased thermal insulation. The THETA primary system was removed from METL, cleaned, thermal insulators installed, and then inserted into METL Test Vessel 4. At the time of this writing the THETA primary and secondary system are operational. During this fiscal year 100+ hours of testing was completed to characterize thermal hydraulic phenomena associated with steady state and transient conditions in a pool type liquid metal cooled reactor. A majority of the testing campaign was completed to satisfy the experimental data acquisition requirements for the GAIN Voucher with Oklo, CRADA 2021-21121. THETA is still operational at the time of this publication and future testing is planned for fiscal year 2025. Work is underway to publish existing and future data to an online database to facilitate collaboration with SFR engineers looking to validate their systems code or computational fluid dynamics models.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Experimental Validation of Thermal Hydraulic Behavior in Sodium Fast Reactors (SFR) with the Thermal Hydraulic Experimental Test Article (THETA)

Thermal stratification and transition to natural circulation pose two of the largest sources of uncertainty in systems-level modeling of liquid metal-cooled fast reactors. As these phenomena typically develop during transient event sequences, licensing-basis events analyzed using systemslevel models may have considerable uncertainties associated with thermal-hydraulic parameters of the system to account for these phenomena. As a result, the validation basis for these phenomena for systems-level codes is insufficient to fully support the wide range of liquid metal fast reactors being developed in the US. Currently, the most viable path for licensing a design is to take significant conservatisms and maintain sufficiently large safety margins to account for this uncertainty.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

System efficiency of packed bed TES with radial flow vs. axial flow – Influence of aspect ratio

Here, this paper compares the net system efficiency, including thermal efficiency and pressure drop effects, of radial versus axial flow packed beds for thermal energy storage. The traditional packed bed system is a cylindrical geometry where fluid flows axially from one end to another. However, issues of thermal stratification and high-pressure drop have led to recent studies on radial flow systems. One potential benefit is the reduced pressure drop in a radial flow system. This paper compares the performance of radial flow and axial flow systems at a range of aspect ratios (AR = H/D bed ) from 0.21 to 1.92 using a numerical model where the storage volume is held constant in all cases. When the radial flow bed is at a low aspect ratio (short/wide), the thermal front is improved but the pressure drop is high. At a high aspect ratio, the velocity is reduced in radial flow, leading to decreased pressure drop but an increased spreads in the thermal front that lowers thermal efficiency. The opposite trends are noted in axial flow. Thermal efficiencies of 83–91 % were noted for radial flow, while they ranged from 85 to 94 % in axial flow. Net efficiencies including pressure drop ranged from 74 to 82 % for radial flow and 80–87 % for axial flow. In both systems, a peak net efficiency was noted between the highest and lowest aspect ratio. While some aspect ratios with radial flow outperform axial flow from a net efficiency perspective, the results show that the highest net efficiency from axial flow is higher than that from radial flow. Overall, this paper highlights the importance of innovative TES designs and their potential to improve energy efficiency.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

The Thermal Response of a Packed Bed Thermal Energy Storage System upon Saturated Steam Injection Using Distributed Temperature Sensing

The effectiveness of a thermal energy storage (TES) system is typically characterized with the help of thermal stratification or temperature gradients along the direction of heat injection, which is typically the flow direction of heat transfer fluid. The steepness of temperature gradients are a direct indicator of the effectiveness or efficiency of the heat storage or dispatch process. The temperature gradient evolution along the packed bed of ceramic particles upon saturated steam injection is presented in this work. Distributed temperature sensing based on optical frequency domain reflectometry was deployed in a packed bed of ceramic particles to capture the thermal front evolution in the axial direction. The physical processes accompanying steam injection in packed beds are complex due to phase change, transitioning two-phase flow, and changes in condensate accumulation. Therefore, the variation of thermal response of the TES system for various steam injection flow rates was experimentally studied using a high-resolution distributed temperature sensing system in a chemically inert alumina particle-packed bed. Distinct zones of different heat transfer modes were observed during the steam injection experiments. A distinct conduction zone, evident from diffuse thermal fronts, was observed at low flow rates, and these thermal gradients became sharper as the flow rate increased. The diffuse thermal fronts in the heat storage media suggest a low exergy efficiency of the TES system, as energy losses started initiating before a significant fraction of the bed was saturated with steam.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Effect of seasonal anoxia on geochemical cycling in a stratified pond: Comparison to cooler pond conditions 40 years ago

Seasonal stratification in temperate lakes deeper than a few meters creates favorable conditions for pronounced vertical redox zones, often resulting in anaerobic hypolimnions and significant geochemical changes. Here, this study examined thermocline formation and trace element behavior in a seasonally stratified pond amid rising air temperatures. Over two years, data were collected from Pond B at the US Department of Energy Savannah River Site in Aiken, South Carolina. Pond B, a man-made monomictic reservoir, received cooling water from a nuclear reactor from 1961 to 1964. Strong thermal stratification forms a distinct thermocline in May and progresses downward until November. Compared to the 1980s, this study shows a delayed onset and extended duration of stratification. The prolonged summer stratification reduces deep water oxygen replenishment, extending hypoxic conditions. Trace and major elements sampled in the water column revealed strong correlations between As, Fe, and Mn profiles, with concentrations increasing by 1–2 orders of magnitude in the anaerobic hypolimnion. This period captured the seasonal transition from winter mixing to summer stratification to fall overturn. Under anoxic conditions, Fe(III) reduces to Fe(II) in the sediment, releasing dissolved iron into the water column. The extended anoxic periods likely promoted arsenic release from sediments. Prolonged anoxia may enhance arsenic mobilization and solubility in the lake. This study illustrates how climate-induced changes in seasonal stratification of contaminated waters can convert contaminant sinks into sources, offering insights into the cycling of arsenic and other dissolved ions in stratified lakes and their implications for water quality management.

Anoxic conditions↗

Causes of and Solutions to Wind Speed Bias in NREL's 2020 Offshore Wind Resource Assessment for the California Pacific Outer Continental Shelf

This report provides the results of a detailed analysis into the causes of high wind speed bias in the 20-year wind resource data set for offshore California the National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) released in 2020, herein called CA20. The data set was developed using the state-of-the-art Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model. Notably, no floating lidars were available at the time in offshore California to validate offshore hub-height wind speeds. In late 2020, the Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL) deployed two floating lidars in the California outer continental shelf (OCS), near the Bureau of Ocean Energy Management (BOEM) call areas of Humboldt and Morro Bay. Using these observations through 2021, NREL found considerable bias in modeled hub-height winds at both locations: up to +2 m/s at Humboldt over a 6-month period, and up to +1 m/s at Morro Bay over a one-year period. Upon the discovery of this bias, the Department of Energy (DOE) and BOEM funded NREL and PNNL to investigate the causes of, impacts of, and solutions to the bias in the CA20 data set. This report summarizes the findings of this research. We first investigated whether different WRF model setups could lead to reduced bias. We found that the choice of planetary boundary layer (PBL) scheme - which controls the vertical turbulent mixing of momentum, heat, and moisture in the lowermost part of the atmosphere - greatly affected hub-height wind speeds in the region. Specifically, switching from the Mellor-Yamada-Nakanishi-Niino (MYNN) scheme used in CA20 (and widely used across a range of operational and research weather models) to the less common Yonsei University (YSU) scheme nearly eliminated the bias at both the Humboldt and Morro Bay lidar locations. The large discrepancy between the MYNN- and YSU-modeled hub-height winds pointed towards the role of atmospheric stability. In general, PBL schemes agree well in conditions of high turbulence and mixing, normally referred to as "unstable" conditions. By contrast, PBL schemes start to diverge in "stable" conditions, where turbulence is low and thermal stratification (i.e., higher temperature air sitting on top of colder air) greatly suppresses vertical mixing. Under such conditions, winds aloft can decouple from surface effects and greatly accelerate, causing high wind speeds at hub-height and frequent low-level jets (LLJs). We determined that these stable conditions are in fact dominant in offshore California. The region is characterized by moderate-to-extreme stable stratification with a LLJ on average around 200 meters above sea-level. To our knowledge, no wind energy area globally has as strongly stable stratification as offshore California. Under these extreme conditions, we determined that the MYNN scheme models higher stability than YSU, resulting in less vertical turbulent mixing than YSU, allowing for the acceleration of hub-height winds, more intense LLJs, and higher-amplitude inertial oscillations. Using surface observations, we found that MYNN overestimates near-surface stability, whereas YSU tends to model stability better. We then considered several short-term case studies to assess additional meteorological drivers of the bias at Humboldt. We found that during synoptic scale northerly flows driven by the North Pacific High and inland thermal low, a coastal warm bias in the MYNN case studies contributes to the modeled wind speed bias by altering the boundary layer thermodynamics via a thermal wind mechanism. Given the strong performance of the YSU-based runs in offshore California, NREL has produced and published an updated version of the CA20 data set with YSU as the PBL scheme. This updated data set is now part of NREL's 2023 National Offshore Wind (NOW-23) data set, which covers all the U.S. offshore waters. The development and final validation of the NOW-23 data set in offshore California is documented in this report.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

A System-Level Model for Estimating Residual Strain and Life of Nuclear Reactor Coolant System Components Under Connected-System-Thermal–Mechanical Boundary Conditions

Background: Environmental-assisted fatigue (EAF) is a major issue for the long-term survival of nuclear power plant fleets in the U.S. and worldwide. Multi-material welded regions (e.g., nozzles) and other high-stress regions of reactor coolant system (RCS) components are prone to EAF-related damage. Objective: The discussed work describes a system-level finite element (FE) model of RCS components of a pressurized water reactor (PWR). This is with the goal of predicting the stress hotspots, strain residuals, strain amplitudes and the resulting fatigue lives. Methods: Herein, the FE model was developed considering system-level loading conditions (under connected system thermal-mechanical boundary conditions). Thermal-mechanical stress analysis was performed considering thermal stratification and a design-basis reactor loading cycle. Based on the FE model results, the strain residuals, strain amplitudes and resulting fatigue lives of RCS components were predicted. Results: The results show that some of the RCS components can have significantly different strain amplitudes, residual strain, and fatigue lives, despite having similar geometry and material. Higher residual strain can lead to accelerated cyclic hardening of material and the associated effect of EAF. The simulated component-level strain profile (under realistic multi-axial-multi-physics loading cycle) can guide the selection of appropriate test inputs for conducting laboratory-scale EAF tests, which is a focus of future works. Conclusions: Despite similar geometry and material the RCS component can have significantly different strain profiles and resulting fatigue lives. The discussed approach can help to identify and prioritize the RCS components for conducting expensive nondestructive evaluation (NDE) inspections.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗