Space weather: geomagnetic quiet, HILDCAAs, magnetic storms and extreme storms
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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.
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Low-frequency observations of type 3 solar radio bursts as function of solar rotation
Type 3 solar radio bursts observed at low frequencies for half rotation, discussing occurrence, drift rates, propagation time and emission
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In December 2001, a series of cyclonic centers progressed rapidly into Europe from the west and north. The cyclones moved in generally similar directions, along paths separated by few hundreds of kilometers. The advancing cyclones brought the usual sequence of changing wind directions and produced some high speed wind events. We investigate the wind patterns for this month based on analyses derived the Special Sensor Microwave/Imager observations and NCEP analyses. Whereas southwesterlies from the North Atlantic produced moderate temperatures early in the month, strong northerlies and northwesterlies (up to 15 m/s on 20-22 December) produced a drop in daily minimum and maximum temperatures of 18.8 C and 9.9 C, respectively, over a 4 day period (to -18.8 C and -6.8 C, respectively, on December 23 in Torun, Poland). Such low values in December are unprecedented in recent decades, though not for January or February.
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Introduction: Dust lifting on Mars likely occurs primarily as a result of the exchange of momentum between the atmosphere and the surface via saltation. During saltation, sand-sized particles are mobilized but do not enter into suspension. When these larger particles fall back to the surface, kinetic energy is transferred to smaller dust particles which are then lofted into suspension in the atmosphere. Depending on the altitude to which dust is lofted, it can have a significant effect on atmospheric temperatures. As a strong absorber and emitter in the infrared, dust can influence atmospheric heating and modify the global circulation and weather on Mars [1,2]. Although dust is present in Mars’ atmosphere throughout the year, the atmosphere is generally dustier during the second half of the year when Mars is near perihelion. Observations reveal that episodic global-scale dust storms and fairly regular regional-scale dust storms are superimposed on a well-defined and highly repeatable seasonal cycle of dust opacity and associated mid-level atmospheric temperature responses. Kass et al. (2016) used 50 Pa temperature observations from MRO/MCS to identify three highly repeatable time periods during which regional dust storms occur, and designated them the “A”, “B” and “C” storms. While “A” and “C” storms have been studied a fair amount to-date, “B” storms have not yet been investigated in detail. This study explores the generation and evolution of the annually recurring regional dust storm known as the “B” storm, which was identified and categorized by Kass et al. (2016) based on 25 km (50 Pa) temperature observations. The B storm is a southern-hemisphere (SH) phenomenon that originates at the cap edge just after perihelion and which reaches peak intensity during the SH summer solstice, Ls 270. It may originate from the cap edge storms that spawn near the edge of the seasonal CO2 cap during retreat, but the mechanisms for B storm genesis have yet to be determined definitively [1]. Methods: We will use observational data sets and a global climate model (GCM) to investigate “B” regional storms. The data analysis component will include the analysis of imagery from MGS/MOC and MRO/MARCI, and spectroscopic data sets of dust and temperatures from MGS/TES and MRO/MCS with the goal of fully characterizing the behavior of these storms. Both MGS and TES provide data well-suited for temperature analysis at 25 km. MCS measures atmospheric temperature, dust extinction, and water ice extinction at 5 km intervals from the surface to about 80 km. TES measured atmospheric temperatures, column dust and water ice opacities, and column water vapor abundances. Measurements made by TES extended from the surface to about 40 km [1]. At the 50 Pa (25 km) level, local dust events usually confined to shallower depths are effectively filtered out of the analysis leaving the regional dust events identifiable by their temperature signatures [1]. Our preliminary analysis makes use of the fact that the brightness temperature at 15 microns (T15 temperature) is a close approximation to observed temperature at 25 km. We first reproduce the zonal mean 50 Pa level temperature plots for MY 29-32 to establish a baseline for our procedures moving forward [1]. Expanding on Kass et al. (2016), we include recent MCS data from MY 33 and 34 as well. Preliminary Analysis: The daytime (3PM) T15 temperatures in Figure 1 indicate: in MY 29, a strong A storm at Ls 240, a B storm at high southern latitudes just after Ls 270, and a C storm at Ls 320; in MY 30, a B storm at Ls 270; in MY 31 & MY 32, a B storm just before Ls 270; in MY 33, a B storm at Ls 270; and in MY 34, a strong A storm in the northern hemisphere at Ls 210, and a B storm around Ls 270 although there is a data gap. For the B storms, each is indicative of lofted dust and resultant warming. The daytime temperature structure illustrates that the B storm occurs annually around Ls 270 and is confined to high southern latitudes. It reaches its peak intensity around SH summer solstice, Ls 270, consistently for all six MY assessed. Since direct solar heating is absent overnight, the nighttime T15 temperatures (Figure 2) are often useful for differentiating the heat signature of direct solar heating from the dynamical response to that heating. However, in the southern polar latitudes at perihelion the sun does not set and direct solar heating remains present throughout the night. Importantly for our study, dust lofted in the B storm experiences this direct heating day and night for the entirety of its lifetime. The B storm expands as far north as -60 latitude and decays in latitudinal extent more gradually than it grows. This feature is less obvious in the nighttime (3AM) T15 temperatures (Figure 2). The temperature signal is stronger at night for MY 30-33. The warm pool is larger in area relative to the background at night in these four cases. This more uniform warming masks the “tail” feature somewhat, such that it is barely noticeable during these years. Unfortunately, gaps in MCS data in MY 29 and 34 prevent confirmation of the tail feature during those years, however, the B storm temperature signature follows a very different pattern than that described for MY 30-33. MY 29 and 34 appear to show smaller centers of warming at night and larger centers of warming during the day. This is in opposition to that previously described for MY 30-33. Conclusions and Future Work: We will continue investigating the heat signatures of B storms by looking at the total column heating as recorded by TES. We will also look at lower altitudes for patterns that may describe the relationship between B storms and the cap edge storms that develop while the seasonal cap is retreating. In the future, we will use GCM simulations to determine the atmospheric and thermo-dynamic conditions associated with these storms.
Using rotating vane electric field mills and Gerdien capacitors, we measured the electric field profile and conductivity during 850 overflights of electrified shower clouds and thunderstorms spanning regions including the Southeastern United States, the Western Atlantic Ocean, the Gulf of Mexico, Central America and adjacent oceans, Central Brazil, and the South Pacific. The overflights include storms over land and ocean, with and without lightning, and with positive and negative fields above the storms. The measurements were made with the NASA ER-2 and the Altus-II high altitude aircrafts. Peak electric fields, with lightning transients removed, ranged from -1.0 kV/m to 16 kV/m, with a mean value of 0.9 kV/m. The median peak field was 0.29 kV/m. Integrating our electric field and conductivity data, we determined total conduction currents and flash rates for each overpass. With knowledge of the storm location (land or ocean) and type (with or without lightning), we determine the mean currents by location and type. The mean current for ocean storms with lightning is 1.6 A while the mean current for land storms with lightning is 1.0 A. The mean current for oceanic storms without lightning (i.e., electrified shower clouds) is 0.39 A and the mean current for land storms without lightning is 0.13 A. Thus, on average, land storms with or without lightning have about half the mean current as their corresponding oceanic storm counterparts. Over three-quarters (78%) of the land storms had detectable lightning, while less than half (43%) of the oceanic storms had lightning. We did not find any significant regional or latitudinal based patterns in our total conduction currents. By combining the aircraft derived storm currents and flash rates with diurnal lightning statistics derived from the Lightning Imaging Sensor (LIS) and Optical Transient Detector (OTD) low Earth orbiting satellites, we reproduce the diurnal variation in the global electric circuit (i.e., the Carnegie curve) to within 4% for all but two short periods of time. This excellent agreement with the Carnegie curve was obtained without any tuning or adjustment of the satellite or aircraft data. Given our data and assumptions, mean contributions to the global electric circuit are 0.7 kA (ocean) and 1.1 kA (land) from lightning-producing storms, and 0.22 kA (ocean) and 0.04 (land) from electrified shower clouds, resulting in a mean total conduction current estimate for the global electric circuit of 2.0 kA. Breaking the results down into mean storm counts reveals 1100 for land storms with lightning, 530 for ocean storms without lightning, 390 for ocean storms with lightning, and 330 for land storms without lightning.
We present a study analyzing relativistic and ultra relativistic electron energization and the evolution of pitch angle distributions using data from the Van Allen Probes. We study the connection between energization and isotropization to determine if there18is a coherence across storms and across energies. Pitch angle distributions are fit with a J(sub 0) sin(sup n)θ function, and the variable ’n’ is characterized as the pitch angle index and tracked over time. Our results show that, consistently across all storms with ultra relativistic electron energization, electron distributions are most anisotropic within around a day of Dst(sub min) and become more isotropic in the following week. Also, each consecutively higher energy channel is associated with higher anisotropy after storm main phase. Changes in the pitch angle index are reflected in each energy channel; when 1.8 MeV electron pitch angle distributions increase (or decrease) in pitch angle index, so do the other energy channels. We show that the peak anisotropies differ between CME- and CIR- driven storms and measure the relaxation rate as the anisotropy falls after the storm. The isotropization rate in pitch angle index for CME-driven storms is -0.15±0.02 day(sup −1) at 1.8 MeV, -0.30±0.01 day(sup −1) at 3.4 MeV, and -0.39±0.02 day(sup −1) at 5.2 MeV. For CIR-driven storms, the isotropization rates are -0.10±0.01 day(sup −1) for 1.8 MeV, -0.13±0.02 day(sup −1) for 3.4 MeV, and -0.11±0.0231 day(sup −1) for 5.2 MeV. This study shows that there is a global coherence across energies and that storm type may play a role in the evolution of electron pitch angle distributions. Plain Language Summary Using Van Allen Probes data, we measure pitch angle distributions of relativistic and ultra relativistic electrons. Anisotropic pitch angle distributions are sharply peaked around 90 degrees. More evenly distributed pitch angles are isotropic. Our results show that, consistently across all storms with ultra relativistic electron enhancements, electrons are most anistropic within around a day of storm onset and slowly isotropize in the following week. In addition, each consecutively higher energy channel is also associated with higher anisotropy after the main phase of geomagnetic storms, a characteristic which holds through the storm and recovery. Changes in the pitch angle index are reflected in each energy channel; when 1.8 MeV electrons increase (or decrease) in pitch angle index, so do all the other energy channels. In a superposed epoch study, we show that the peak anisotropies differ between different storm drivers (namely, coronal mass ejections and corotating interaction regions) and measure the isotropization rate as the anisotropy falls after the storm. This study shows that there is a global coherence across energies and that storm type may play a role in the evolution of electron pitch angle distributions.
Seventy-nine major geomagnetic storms (minimum Dst less than or equal to -100 nT) observed in 1996 to 2004 were the focus of a Living with a Star Coordinated Data-Analysis Workshop (CDAW) in March, 2005. In 9 cases, the storm driver appears to have been purely a corotating interaction region (CIR) without any contribution from coronal mass ejection-related material (interplanetary coronal mass ejections, ICMEs). These storms were generated by structures within CIRs located both before and/or after the stream interface that included persistently southward magnetic fields for intervals of several hours. We compare their geomagnetic effects with those of 159 CIRs observed during 1996 - 2005. The major storms form the extreme tail of a continuous distribution of CIR geoeffectiveness which peaks at Dst approx. -40 nT but is subject to a prominent seasonal variation of - 40 nT which is ordered by the spring and fall equinoxes and the solar wind magnetic field direction towards or away from the Sun. The O'Brien and McPherron [2000] equations, which estimate Dst by integrating the incident solar wind electric field and incorporating a ring current loss term, largely account for the variation in storm size. They tend to underestimate the size of the larger CIR-associated storms by Dst approx. 20 nT. This suggests that injection into the ring current may be more efficient than expected in such storms. Four of the nine major storms in 1996 - 2004 occurred during a period of less than three solar rotations in September - November, 2002, also the time of maximum mean IMF and solar magnetic field intensity during the current solar cycle. The maximum CIR-storm strength found in our sample of events, plus additional 23 probable CIR-associated Dst less than or equal to -100 nT storms in 1972 - 1995, is (Dst = -161 nT). This is consistent with the maximum storm strength (Dst approx. -180 nT) expected from the O'Brien and McPherron equations for the typical range of solar wind electric fields associated with CIRs. This suggests that CIRs alone are unlikely to generate geomagnetic storms that exceed these levels.
Daily global imaging by the Mars Color Imager (MARCI) continues the record of the Mars Orbiter Camera (MOC) and has allowed creation of a long-duration record of Martian dust storms. We observe dust storms over the first two Mars years of the MARCI record, including tracking individual storms over multiple sols, as well as tracking the growth and recession of the seasonal polar caps. Using the combined 6 Mars year record of textured dust storms (storms with visible textures on the observed dust cloud tops), we study the relationship between textured dust storm activity and meteorology (as simulated by the MarsWRF general circulation model) and surface properties. We find that textured dust storms preferentially occur in places and seasons with above average surface wind stress. Textured dust storm occurrence also has a modest linear anti-correlation with surface albedo (0.43) and topography (0.40). Lastly, we perform an empirical orthogonal function (EOF) analysis on the distribution of occurrence of textured dust storms and find that over 50 of the variance in textured dust storm activity can be explained by two EOF modes. We associate the first EOF mode with cap-edge storms just before Ls = 180deg and the second EOF mode with flushing dust storms that occur from Ls = 180-210deg and again near Ls = 320deg.
NASA's 4th Convection and Moisture Experiment (CAMEX-4) focused on Atlantic hurricanes during the 2001 hurricane season and it involved both NASA and NOAA participation. The NASA ER-2 and DC-8 aircraft were instrumented with unique remote sensing instruments to help increase the overall understanding of hurricanes. This paper is concerned about one of the storms studied, Tropical Storm Chantal, that was a weak storm which failed to intense into a hurricane. One of the practical questions of high importance is why some tropical sto~ins intensify into hurricanes, and others remain weak or die altogether. The magnitude of the difference between the horizontal winds at lower levels and upper altitudes in a tropical storm, i.e., the wind shear, is one important quantity that can affect the intensification of a tropical storm. Strong shear as was present during Tropical Storm Chantal s lifetime and it was detrimental to its intensification. The paper presents an analysis of unique aircraft observations collected from Chantal including an on-board radar, radiometers, dropsondes, and flight level measurements. These measurements have enabled us to examine the internal structure of the winds and thermal structure of Chantal. Most of the previous studies have involved intense hurricanes that overcame the effects of shear and this work has provided new insights into what prevents a weaker storm from intensifying. The storm had extremely intense thunderstorms and rainfall, yet its main circulation was confined to low levels of the atmosphere. Chantal's thermal structure was not configured properly for the storm to intensify. It is most typical that huricanes have a warm core structure where warm temperatures in upper levels of a storm s circulation help intensify surface winds and lower its central pressure. Chantal had two weaker warm layers instead of a well-defined warm core. These layers have been related to the horizontal and vertical winds and precipitation structure and have helped us learn more about why this storm didn't develop.
On the afternoon and evening of 10 November 2002, the Midwest and Deep South were struck by a major outbreak of severe storms that produced some 80 tornadoes. In terms of number of tornadoes, this was the largest outbreak in the United States since November 1992. Some 32 of the tornadoes occurred in Tennessee, Mississippi, Alabama and Georgia, including several long-track killers. We use the North Alabama Lightning Mapping Array (LMA) and other data sources to perform a comprehensive analysis of the structure and evolution of the outbreak. Most of the Southern tornadoes occurred in isolated, fast-moving supercell storms that formed in warm, moist air ahead of a major cold front. Storms tended to form in lines parallel to storm cell motion, resulting in many communities being hit multiple times by severe storms that evening. Supercells in Tennessee produced numerous strong tornadoes with short to medium-length track paths, while the supercells further south produced several very long-track tornadoes. Radar data indicate that the Tennessee storms tended to split frequently, apparently limiting their ability to sustain long-lived tornadoes, while storms further south split at most one time. The differences between these storms appear to be related to the presence of stronger jetstream winds in Tennessee relative to those present in Mississippi, Alabama and Georgia. LMA-derived flash rates associated with most of the supercell storm cores were about 1-2 flashes per second. Rapid increases in lightning rates (or "jumps") occurred prior to tornado touchdown in many instances. Lightning "holes" (lightning-free regions associated with the echo-free vault) occurred in two of the Tennessee supercells. The complexity of the relationship between lightning and storm severity is revealed by the behavior of one Alabama supercell, which produced a peak flash rate of nearly 14 flashes per second, well after the end of its long-track tornado, while interacting and ultimately merging with a daughter supercell on its southwest flank. Close examination of this powerful storm indicates that its prodigious flash rate was the result of strong flash activity over an unusually large area, rather than a concentrated core of extremely high flash rate activity.