Evaluating Potential Benefits of Flexible Solar Power Generation in the Southern Company System
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Energy & Fuels↗
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Potential impacts of climate change on wind and solar electricity generation in Texas
Wind and solar energy sources are climate and weather dependent, therefore susceptible to a changing climate. in this paper, we quantify the impacts of climate change on wind and solar electricity generation under high concentrations of greenhouse gases in Texas. We employ mid-twenty-first century climate projections and a high-resolution numerical weather prediction model to generate weather variables in the future and produce wind and solar generation time series. We find that mid-twenty-first century projections based on five global climate models agree on the multiyear average increases across Texas in direct normal irradiance, global horizontal irradiance, surface air temperature, and 100-m wind speed of up to 5%, 4%, 10%, and 1%, respectively. These changes lead to multiyear average relative changes across Texas of -0.6 to + 2.5% and of + 1.3 to + 3.5% in solar and wind capacity factors, respectively, with significant regional, seasonal, and diurnal differences. Areas with low solar resource show an increase in solar capacity factors but reductions in wind capacity factors. Areas with high solar resource show reductions in solar capacity factors. The spatial and temporal differences in our results highlight the importance of using high-resolution data sets to study the potential impacts of climate change on wind and solar power.
14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
Exploring the interplay between distributed wind generators and solar photovoltaic systems
This study investigates the spatial and temporal dynamics of wind and solar energy generation across the continental United States, focusing on energy availability, reliability, variability, and cooperation. Using data from the National Renewable Energy Laboratory, we analyze the performance of wind turbines and photovoltaic systems, revealing distinct patterns in energy production and reliability. The classification of wind and solar zones based on energy availability and reliability provides valuable insights for renewable energy planning and grid integration strategies. Overall, this methodology contributes to understanding wind and solar interactions, which will lead to informing effective renewable energy deployment and grid integration efforts.
14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
Dynamic Building Load Control to Facilitate High Penetration of Solar Photovoltaic Generation (Final Technical Report)
Solar photovoltaic (PV) resources are the most common form of distributed generation in residential and commercial customer premises within electric distribution networks. A higher penetration of PV generation in distribution circuits will impose challenges on maintaining service voltages within the range of industry standards, power quality, and power flow. Buildings consume 74% of the electricity produced in the United States, and a significant portion of the building load is dispatchable, making them responsive to electrical grid needs. Oak Ridge National Laboratory—in collaboration with Southern Company; the University of Tennessee, Knoxville; and the Georgia Institute of Technology—is examining the PV integration issues in distribution-level electrical grids and developing integrated demand-side control and communication systems to enable responsive loads. The proposed responsive loads mechanism performs renewable generation following to increase the penetration of solar PV within each feeder. The specific objectives of this project are to (1) examine distribution-level PV integration scenarios to understand requirements, (2) undertake an end-to-end simulation-based design of a distributed control strategy of loads geographically near the PV generation asset to minimize the effect on the distribution feeder, (3) deploy and demonstrate the control technology developed in partnership with utilities, and (4) perform a scalability analysis at the utility scale. This 3-year integrated project aims to develop, demonstrate, and validate demand-side control technology to enable increased the penetration of renewables while mitigating challenges that arise due to their intermittency. Activities in Budget Period (BP) 1 focused on a literature review and the formal design of a control system for integrating local distribution with generation and loads. The team used modeling and simulation to evaluate the impact of varying buildings loads, variable PV generation, and power flow dynamics on the distribution circuit. The dynamic models developed in BP 1 were used in BP 2 to develop a model-based control design and a test bed. The test bed has enabled the simulation-based testing and comparison of different control designs and formulations applied to different configurations of the distribution grid, PVs, and building loads. The control approaches developed in BP 2 were implemented in BP 3 in the form of hardware deployed at the Central Baptist Church (CBC) in Knoxville, Tennessee, for testing and evaluation. The outcome of this project was the development and demonstration of open-source, low-cost, low-touch sensing and control retrofits to distributed PV generation and building loads that, in a coordinated fashion, provide the load-shaping response needed to integrate high levels of renewable penetration. This research addresses the target metrics by dynamically controlling a load with solar generation variability to minimize the extent of two-way power flow, enhance reliability, facilitate high PV penetration (>100% of peak load in a line segment), and generate scalable software and hardware solutions adaptable to any penetration levels. The research and development activities are focused and designed to be impactful within the relevant 2020 targets time frame.An accurate open-source integration simulation framework for end-to-end control design was developed and deployed at the CBC facility for testing and evaluation. This final report provides a detailed review of the technical results achieved during this 3-year integrated project. A novel spectral analysis of PV data is demonstrated to derive the requirements of the control design. A detailed simulation-based analysis of PV integration at increasing penetration levels is presented using 1 year of PV data to demonstrate the impact on the distribution circuits. Two different control strategies were developed and demonstrated via simulation to track variable PV generation with adaptive load dispatch. The report concludes with a summary of accomplishments and recommendations for a path forward.
14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
Stabilization of Catalytically Active Surface Defects on Ga-doped La–Sr–Mn Perovskites for Improved Solar Thermochemical Generation of Hydrogen
Solar thermochemical hydrogen (STCH) production from water splitting typically requires performing redox cycles at temperatures above 1200 °C to reduce and re-oxidize the bulk of a reversible material. Bulk processes such as oxygen vacancy formation and oxygen diffusion energies dictate the viability of a material for STCH. The surface plays an important role in the formation and destruction of vacancies and interacts with gas phase water and surface adsorbed species. These surface processes can lead to surface reconfigurations and even the formation of surface phases with stoichiometry and oxygen content very different from the bulk composition. Understanding in-situ the surface chemical state and its evolution under water splitting is important to design nonstoichiometric oxides capable of longer-lasting STCH generation at lower temperatures. In this work, we describe the water splitting active defect sites in LSM ((La 0.65 Sr 0.35 ) 0.95 MnO 3–δ ) and Ga-doped LSM ((La 0.6 Sr 0.4 ) 0.95 (Mn 0.8 Ga 0.2 )O 3–δ ) perovskites during Operando thermochemical water splitting conditions using ambient-pressure X-ray photoelectron spectroscopy (AP-XPS) experiments at 800 °C under steam. We show that sub-stoichiometric La +3 in the oxygen-vacancy rich surface at operating conditions can be used to correlate surface water splitting activity and the creation of surface hydroxide intermediates. The addition of Ga in LSM is shown to drastically stabilize the surface chemical composition by preventing Sr segregation and stabilizing catalytically active surface defects that promote the binding of adsorbed hydroxides. Here, we use Operando AP-XPS quantification of metastable surface hydroxide intermediates (La(OH) 3 ) to determine the amount of catalytically active surface sites in LSM (2.9%) and in LSMG (7.8–8.1%, depending on the bulk oxidation state).
08 HYDROGEN↗
Solar fuels generator with pH separation
A solar fuels generator includes an anolyte and a catholyte in contact with a separator. The separator is configured such that the pH of the anolyte and the pH of the catholyte are each held at a steady state pH level during operation of the solar fuels generator. The steady state pH level of the anolyte is different from the steady state pH level of the catholyte.
14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
Solar fuels generator with pH separation
A solar fuels generator includes an anolyte and a catholyte in contact with a separator. The separator is configured such that the pH of the anolyte and the pH of the catholyte are each held at a steady state pH level during operation of the solar fuels generator. The steady state pH level of the anolyte is different from the steady state pH level of the catholyte.
14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
Multiscale textured solar absorber coatings for next-generation concentrating solar power
Not Available
Sibin, K. P. (ORCID:0000000190180073)↗
Simulation of wind and solar energy generation over California with E3SM SCREAM regionally refined models at 3.25 km and 800 m resolutions
This study presents wind and solar power generation estimates derived from the US Department of Energy’s Simple Cloud-Resolving E3SM Atmosphere Model (SCREAM) Regionally Refined Models (RRM) over California at 3.25 km and 800 m horizontal resolutions, using the Python wrapper for the System Advisor Model (PySAM). The resulting wind and solar generation estimates are compared to monthly capacity factors reported to the Energy Information Administration (EIA), High-Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRR, 3 km resolution) forecast model, and E3SM North American regionally refined model (NARRM, 25 km resolution). We systematically assess the impacts of generation modeling assumptions, meteorological models, and horizontal resolution. Results show that resolution plays a dominant role for wind energy: increasing from 25 to 3.25 km brings qualitative and quantitative improvements, most notably by resolving the phase error in the seasonal cycle found in coarser simulations. However, further refinement to 800 m offers minimal gains. SCREAM performs better than HRRR for solar power generation in single- and dual-axis tracking systems, likely due to more accurate surface radiation. The sensitivity of PySAM to system configuration, particularly for axis-tracking modeling in photovoltaics, is also highlighted. Overall, SCREAM-RRM shows strong potential for high-resolution energy assessments, with future progress depending on more in situ observations and clearer quantification of uncertainties in generation modeling.
Geosciences↗
SoDa: An Irradiance-Based Synthetic Solar Data Generation Tool (SoDa) v0.1
SoDa is an irradiance-based synthetic Solar Data generation tool to generate realistic sub-minute solar photovoltaic (PV) power time series, that emulate the weather pattern for a certain geographical location. Our tool relies on the National Solar Radiation Database (NSRDB) to obtain irradiance and weather data patterns for the site. Irradiance is mapped onto a PV model estimate of a solar plant's 30-min power output, based on the configuration of the panel. We use a stochastic model with a switching behavior due to different weather regimes as provided by the cloud type label in the NSRDB, with parameters for the cloudy states trained on the high-resolution solar power measurements from a Phasor Measurement Unit (PMU).
Carreno, IgnacioLosada↗
Getting brighter: Impacts of improved day-ahead solar forecasts in high-solar, high-storage electricity systems
This paper analyzes the impacts of improved day-ahead solar forecasts on costs and dispatch in the solar-rich Southeast U.S. It uses an optimized high-solar, high-storage resource portfolio in which solar generation capacity accounts for 45 % of total installed capacity (34 %–36 % of generation) and energy storage capacity (43 GW) is equivalent to 33 % of peak demand. In a base scenario, improved day-ahead solar forecasts reduce production costs by $\$87$ million per year ($\$0.13$ per MWh load, $2023$$). This level of savings is within the range or lower than earlier studies of solar forecast improvements at lower levels of solar generation (<25 % of total generation). In this study, solar expansion was accompanied by two important sources of flexibility for managing solar forecast error: energy storage and day-ahead solar curtailment. Furthermore, the analysis finds that regional coordination complements day-ahead solar forecast improvements while natural gas commitment flexibility is a substitute for forecast improvements, as the improved solar forecast leads to sub-optimal commitment of thermal units. Day-ahead solar forecast improvements reduce reserves required to manage forecast error by 30 %. Fewer reserves to manage large, infrequent solar forecast errors could be an important benefit of improved solar forecasts.
14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
Versatile coating with multifunctional performance for solar steam generation
In this work, a new kind of material, composite complex coating (CCC), with multifunctional performance has been developed for solar steam generation. The CCC has many advantages: (a) Scalability. The fabrication process is facile and mild; it can be realized in aqueous solution at room temperature, without high pressure, toxic organic solvents, or complex equipment. (b) Cost-effectiveness. The reagents used for preparation of CCC are low-cost and readily available. (c) Universality and stability. CCC firmly adheres on surfaces of various substrates with diverse shapes (cotton, filter paper, wood, polyurethane sponge, and even chemically inert and highly hydrophobic polyvinylidene fluoride membranes), and can withstand rinsing treatment (3000 r/min for 96 h), cyclic frost-thaw test (-18 °C ⇌ 30 °C, 90 times), and both high and low pH environments. In addition, many other reported coatings, such as carbon black, fail under similar process strain. (d) Anti-crude oil-fouling property. The CCC possesses stable superhydrophilicity and underwater superoleophobicity, which collectively endow substrates with the ability to resist fouling by oils. (e) Broad and strong light absorption. CCC can transform various substrates with diverse shapes into black materials with broadband light absorption due to its d-d transitions and rough surface. Together, these properties of CCC enable substrates with nearly any structural design to be easily transformed into photothermal materials for efficient solar steam generation. Furthermore, as a proof of concept, poplar wood is treated with CCC, achieving a water evaporation rate of ~1.8 kg m-2 h-1 (one sun), which is a record among wood-based photothermal materials.
14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
Development and Application of In Situ Nanocharacterization to Photocatalytic Materials for Solar Fuel Generation
Photocatalytic materials offer an attractive approach for converting solar energy into chemical energy but the performance of the current generation of materials is insufficient to make a technology viable. To address this deficiency, it is necessary to develop a fundamental atomic level understanding of the functioning of such materials so that strategies can be developed to improve performance. This project was undertaken to explore the fundamental structure and properties of photocatalytic materials using atomic resolution imaging and spectroscopy techniques available on advanced transmission electron microscopy. Specifically, there is a need to develop an understanding of how atomic structures/defects and nanoparticle configurations regulate electronic, optical, and catalytic properties to facilitate the design of next generation photocatalysts for solar fuel production. The work focused on fundamental materials information that can be gained from advanced transmission electron microscopy study on novel and existing photocatalytic systems with an emphasis on the hydrogen evolution reaction (HER). Throughout the project, new instrumentation and microscopy characterization tools were developed. Two focus areas were: developing in situ TEM methods and advanced electron energy-loss spectroscopic for nanoscale analysis of catalysts. The work spanned a period of 12 years and for convenience, the report is divided into four phases, approximately corresponding to the four funding periods of the program. Most of the significant results are reported in archival journal publications.
36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
Malcolm Deployment Guide for Solar Power Generation Plants
This guide provides detailed instructions for deploying Malcolm in Solar Power Generation systems. It covers the deployment process, from understanding the network architecture of these systems to configuring network switches and Switched Port Analyzer (SPAN) ports or mirror ports or TAPs. The guide also includes best practices for deploying Hedgehog sensors, another critical component in these systems. Following this guide, users can enhance network visibility, improve their system’s security, and effectively troubleshoot common issues.
14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
Integrated Evaporator for Efficient Solar-Driven Interfacial Steam Generation
Solar-driven interfacial steam generation is a promising technique for clean water production as it can minimize thermal loss by localizing solar-to-heat conversion at the air/liquid interface. Here we report an integrated solar-evaporator by partially growing two-dimensional polypyrrole microsheets within a melamine foam through chemical vapor polymerization. These microsheets can induce multiple light reflections within the foam, enable omnidirectional light absorption, provide abundant surfaces to promote heat transfer, and achieve spatially-defined hydrophobicity to facilitate vapor escape. Meanwhile, the inherent hydrophilicity of the bottom part of the foam promotes spontaneous upward water transport and suppresses heat loss. The composite foam exhibits an excellent apparent evaporation rate of ~2 kg/(m 2 ·h) and solar-to-vapor efficiency of ~91%. Here, the combined advantages of large surface area, high efficiency, low cost, all weather application, excellent durability, and scalable manufacturing make our integrated design promising for fabricating large-scale solar steam generation systems that are suitable for practical clean water production.
36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
Power generation forecasting for solar plants based on Dynamic Bayesian networks by fusing multi-source information
A Dynamic Bayesian network (DBN) model for solar power generation forecasting in solar plants is proposed in this paper. The key idea is to fuse sensor data, operational indicators, meteorological data, lagged output power information, and model errors for more accurate short-term (e.g., hours) and mid-term (e.g., days to weeks) power generation forecasting. The proposed DBN augments automated data-driven structure learning with expert knowledge encoding using continuous and categorical data given constraints to represent causal relationships within a solar inverter system. Additionally, an error compensation mechanism is proposed to capture temporal fluctuation. The effectiveness of the DBN on solar power generation forecasting was evaluated by rolling window analysis with one-year testing data collected from a local solar plant. The proposed DBN is compared with four state-of-art methods including support-vector regression (SVR), k-nearest neighbors (kNN), artificial neural network (ANN), and long short-term memory (LSTM) models. The result show that the proposed DBN achieves better accuracy in general, and it is not as data-hungry as some neural network-based models. The proposed DBN is also shown to have robust and consistent forecasting power with different forecasting horizons. The accuracy is 92% - 95% from one hour to one week ahead forecasting.
14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
Demand for off-grid desalination technology in small-island communities — Can interfacial solar vapor generation be the answer?
The demand for an off-grid desalination technology and the feasibility of using interfacial solar vapor generation (ISVG) to address the problem were evaluated within the context of Bungin Island. Bungin Island is a small-island community in Indonesia facing water scarcity. By conducting interviews with households there, we found that households located on the exterior portion of the island faced the greatest challenges to water access. For example, only 17% of exterior households had piped water access, whereas 67% central households had piped water access. Similar inequities for exterior households were also found with respect to the cost of getting additional water. Thus, we determined that an off-grid desalination technology is best suited for solving the water access problems for the most vulnerable communities in small islands. Further, ISVG technologies that draw on the radiative energy in sunlight to achieve desalination are promising in increasing water access by offering a floating off-grid devices on water near exterior households, passive operation, low capital investment, and simple maintenance. These findings stress the importance of understanding how contextual factors shape barriers to water access and provide a road map on how to begin incorporating these factors into the development of a more sustainable desalination technology.
42 ENGINEERING↗