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All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2026

Cost and Carbon Intensity Implications of Coprocessing Sustainable Aviation Fuel at Petroleum Refineries

Sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) will play a critical role in decarbonizing the aviation industry. Among SAF production pathways, alcohol-to-jet (ATJ) stands out for its scalability, supported by abundant feedstock availability and a well-established bioethanol industry. However, significant reductions in SAF carbon intensity (CI) require the use of future feedstocks (e.g., cellulosic) whose adoption is hindered by high capital costs for feedstock processing and ethanol upgrading. Here, we evaluate the financial viability and environmental implications of integrating an ATJ SAF biorefinery within a petroleum refinery, utilizing miscanthus and switchgrass as example feedstocks. Three scenarios are evaluated: standalone (benchmark), colocated, and repurposing (coprocessing SAF within the petroleum refinery). Results show repurposing reduces baseline capital costs by 36% and SAF minimum selling price (MSP) by 12% to 8.14 USD·gal −1 ; the superior performance of repurposing is consistent across both feedstocks. Integration has a limited effect on SAF CI, which remains stable across scenarios, whereas using cellulosic feedstocks reduces CI by over 70% relative to corn, with baseline values of 17.01 g CO 2 e· MJ −1 for miscanthus and 12.23 g CO 2 e·MJ −1 for switchgrass. Global sensitivity analysis reveals MSP declines with greater coprocessing levels.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗
DOE OSTI2024

Cycloalkane-rich sustainable aviation fuel production via hydrotreating lignocellulosic biomass-derived catalytic fast pyrolysis oils

Sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) produced from lignocellulosic biomass is emerging as an ideal alternative to conventional jet fuel for aviation sector decarbonization. Catalytic fast pyrolysis (CFP) can convert lignocellulosic biomass into relatively stable bio-oil that can be selectively transformed to various transportation fuels through hydroprocessing under conditions of different severities. In this contribution, two CFP oils produced from pine-based feedstocks over different types of catalysts (i.e., ZSM-5 and Pt/TiO 2 catalysts) were hydrotreated at 125 bar in a non-isothermal process with a maximum temperature of 385 °C over a sulfided NiMo/Al 2 O 3 catalyst to produce SAF with high cycloalkane concentrations of 89–92 wt%. Cycloalkanes are an important component of jet fuel with advantageous fuel properties, such as high energy density, low sooting, and potential for replacing aromatic hydrocarbons to provide good seal swelling properties. The hydrotreating process successfully converted 91–92% of the biogenic carbon in the CFP oil intermediates to liquid-phase hydrotreated products. Through distillation, 39–40 wt% of the hydrotreated oils were collected in the jet-fuel range as SAF fractions. The rest of the hydrotreated product could be valorized as fuels (e.g., diesel) or chemicals. The SAF fractions with oxygen contents below the detection limit (<0.01 wt%) met ASTM D7566 finished fuel blend and D4054 Tier 1 specifications with respect to density, lower heating value (LHV), volatility, flash point, and freeze point. These results indicate hydrotreating lignocellulosic biomass-derived CFP oil as a promising pathway to produce high-quality SAF rich in cycloalkanes. Continued research is required to increase the SAF yield by process improvements, such as increased CFP oil yields, and an enhanced production of SAF-range molecules via e.g., cracking of high-molecular weight compounds either during CFP or hydrotreating, as well as evaluation of a broader range of jet fuel properties and performance requirements.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗
DOE OSTI2025

Opportunity Assessment for Sustainable Aviation Fuel Production from Woody Biomass via Ex Situ Catalytic Fast Pyrolysis and Refinery Hydroprocessing

Biofuels have become a promising solution to reduce emissions in hard-to-electrify transportation sectors, such as aviation. However, several biofuel conversion pathways will likely be needed to scale sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) production to meet lower carbon intensity goals when biomass feedstock availability constraints are considered. This study evaluates the future potential of the catalytic fast pyrolysis (CFP) pathway to contribute to U.S. SAF production goals as outlined in the U.S. Department of Energy’s (DOE) SAF Grand Challenge, understanding that the CFP pathway is still under development toward maturity and scaleup. National forestland resource data from the DOE’s 2023 Billion Ton Study are integrated with recent experimental results demonstrating end-to-end woody biomass conversion to SAF via CFP and hydroprocessing in a novel bioeconomy optimization framework. U.S. refinery hydroprocessing capacity is also considered with repurposing and coprocessing strategies. Results indicate that the CFP process can contribute up to 4.6 billion gallons of SAF annually by 2040, meeting 13% of the 2050 SAF Grand Challenge target while reducing the carbon intensity (CI) of the U.S. jet fuel pool by 16%. The study further explores optimal processing strategies, suggesting that colocating CFP operations with existing petroleum refineries and repurposing some U.S. hydrocracking capacity may offer significant cost advantages and enhance the commercial viability of the CFP pathway. These results underscore the CFP pathway’s potential to support the global aviation industry’s lower carbon intensity objectives while producing other renewable fuels and products.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗
DOE OSTI2024

Opening pathways for the conversion of woody biomass into sustainable aviation fuel via catalytic fast pyrolysis and hydrotreating

Meeting aggressive decarbonization targets set by the International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO) will require the rapid development of technologies to produce sustainable aviation fuel (SAF). Catalytic fast pyrolysis (CFP) can support these efforts by opening pathways for the conversion of woody biomass into an upgraded biogenic oil that can be further processed to SAF and other fuels. However, the absence of end-to-end experimental data for the process leads to uncertainty in the yield, product quality, costs, and sustainability of the pathway. The research presented here serves to address these needs through a series of integrated experimental campaigns in which real biomass feedstocks are converted to a final SAF product using large bench-scale continuous reactor systems. For these campaigns, the degree of catalytic upgrading during CFP was varied to produce CFP-oils with oxygen contents of 17 and 20 wt% on a dry basis. The CFP-oils were then hydrotreated and distilled into gasoline, diesel, and SAF fractions. Detailed yield and compositional data were obtained for each step of the process to inform technoeconomic and lifecycle analyses, and the fuel properties of the SAF fraction were evaluated to provide first-of-its-kind insight into the quality of the final product. This research reveals opportunities to optimize process carbon efficiency by tuning the degree of catalytic upgrading during the CFP step and highlights routes to produce a high-quality cycloalkane-rich SAF with 85–92% reduction in greenhouse gas emissions compared to fossil-based pathways.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗
DOE OSTI2024

Evaluating Impacts of Sustainable Aviation Fuel Production with CO2-to-Fuels Technologies on High Renewable Share Power Grid

This paper investigates the impact of Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF) production using CO 2 -to-Fuels technologies on a future power grid with a high share of renewable energy. We focus on understanding the implications of the 2050 SAF production goal on the U.S. power system's long-term planning, encompassing generation, transmission, and cost analysis. Via the Regional Energy Deployment System (ReEDS) model, we developed a detailed SAF electricity demand model based on a low-temperature electrolysis-syngas fermentation-ethanol pathway. Four SAF target scenarios which aim to meet 10%, 15%, 20%, and 27% of SAF demand by 2050. These scenarios are exhaustively simulated to assess their impact on the power grid. Our results reveal that increasing SAF demand will result in higher electricity requirements, as well as expanded generator and transmission capacities, leading to an overall rise in system costs. However, these impacts are manageable within the broader context of U.S. capacity expansion plans. This study provides valuable insights into incorporating the CO 2 -to-Fuels electricity demand model and other carbon capture technologies into power system planning, emphasizing their significance in shaping a sustainable energy future.

capacity expansion model↗
DOE OSTI2024

Evaluating Impacts of Sustainable Aviation Fuel Production with CO2-to-Fuels Technologies on High Renewable Share Power Grid: Preprint

This paper investigates the impact of Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF) production using CO2-to-Fuels technologies on a future power grid with a high share of renewable energy. We focus on understanding the implications of the 2050 SAF production goal on the U.S. power system's long-term planning, encompassing generation, transmission, and cost analysis. Via the Regional Energy Deployment System (ReEDS) model, we developed a detailed SAF electricity demand model based on a low-temperature electrolysis-syngas fermentation-ethanol pathway. Four SAF target scenarios which aimto meet 10%, 15%, 20%, and 27% of SAF demand by 2050. These scenarios are exhaustively simulated to assess their impact on the power grid. Our results reveal that increasing SAF demand will result in higher electricity requirements, as well as expanded generator and transmission capacities, leading to an overall rise in system costs. However, these impacts are manageable within the broader context of U.S. capacity expansion plans. This study provides valuable insights into incorporating the CO2-to-Fuels electricity demand model and other carbon capture technologies into power system planning, emphasizing their significance in shaping a sustainable energy future.

BIOMASS FUELS,ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗
DOE OSTI2026

Massachusetts and New England Sustainable Aviation Fuel Study

The Massachusetts Port Authority established a project to assess feedstock availability to produce SAF near 10 New England airports. A techno-economic analysis was conducted to determine renewable fuels and SAF that could be produced from these feedstocks. The resource assessment found municipal solid waste, woody biomass, and food waste were most abundant. The techno-economic analysis found that potential fuel production varied widely based on location, feedstock, and technology production pathway ranging from 1 to 369 million gallons of gasoline equivalent per year. An assessment of infrastructure readiness to handle SAF was conducted. It was determined that SAF produced outside of New England should be blended in other regions with more capacity and flexibility and delivered to New England as Jet A is today. For SAF produced in New England, there are terminals that have existing infrastructure to receive, blend, and distribute SAF/Jet A blends.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗
DOE OSTI2026

An Overview of Potential Future Aviation Energy Carriers

Global jet fuel demand is projected to grow to 165 billion gallons by 2050 and there is growing interest in the aviation industry to understand the capabilities of alternative energy carriers. This report considers several potential energy carriers, reviewing their production potential, operational considerations, and economic implications to inform potential next steps in aeronautics research. The following energy carriers (i.e., fuels) were evaluated in this study for future use in aviation: sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) - both biomass-based and power-to-liquids (PtL) - based SAF - cryogenic hydrogen (LH 2 ) - also known as liquid hydrogen - liquefied natural gas (LNG), liquefied ethane (LE), and Jet X. The barriers and opportunities for the evaluated energy carriers vary. SAF is a commercially available drop-in fuel compatible with existing aircraft and infrastructure. SAF is limited by both higher prices and slow commercialization of multiple pathways using different feedstocks necessary to significantly grow supply. Cryogenic fuels, in contrast, have very different thermal, physical, and chemical properties than SAF and Jet A, requiring the construction of new airport storage and dispensing infrastructure and the design of new aircraft energy systems capable of mitigating heat transfer and boil-off. Cryogenic fuels offer an opportunity to diversify aviation fuel carriers from domestic energy relevant for both energy security and resilience. This means cryogenic fuels are more of a longer-term solution for aircraft but are worth exploring for potential future cost savings and emissions benefits. Jet X refers to non-drop-in liquid hydrocarbon fuels in the early stages of investigation seeking favorable properties. There are substantial barriers to non-drop-in liquid aviation fuels that are not compatible with existing aircraft and fuel infrastructure.

33 ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗
DOE OSTI2024

Evaluating Impacts of Sustainable Aviation Fuel Production with CO2-to-Fuels Technologies on High Renewable Share Power Grids

This paper investigates the impact of Sustainable Aviation Fuel production using CO2-to-Fuels technologies on a future power grid with a high share of renewable energy. We focus on understanding the implications of the 2050 SAF production goal on the U.S. power system's long-term planning, encompassing generation, transmission, and cost analysis. Via the Regional Energy Deployment System (ReEDS) model, we developed a detailed SAF electricity demand model based on a low-temperature electrolysis-syngas fermentation-ethanol pathway. Four SAF target scenarios which aims to meet 10%, 15%, 20%, and 27% of SAF demand by 2050. These scenarios are exhaustively simulated to assess their impact on the power grid. Our results reveal that increasing SAF demand will result in higher electricity requirements, as well as expanded generator and transmission capacities, leading to an overall rise in system costs. However, these impacts are manageable within the broader context of U.S. capacity expansion plans. This study provides valuable insights into incorporating the CO2-to-Fuels electricity demand model and other carbon capture technologies in power system planning, emphasizing their significance in shaping a sustainable energy future.

BIOMASS FUELS,POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗
DOE OSTI2025

Sustainable aviation fuel from ethanol: Techno-economic analysis and life cycle analysis

Sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) is crucial for improving energy security, enhancing domestic production, and reducing carbon emissions in the aviation sector. Among various SAF production technologies, the ethanol-to-jet (ETJ) pathway is a promising option due to its economic viability and technological maturity. This study integrates a techno-economic analysis (TEA) and a life cycle analysis (LCA) to evaluate emissions reduction strategies for SAF production via the ETJ pathway, considering use of ethanol derived from both corn grain and corn stover. Conventional corn grain-derived ETJ fuel reduces greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions by 22 % compared to fossil jet fuel, with potential reductions of 26 %–96 % when incorporating renewable energy sources, with a 6 %–32 % increase in the minimum fuel selling price (MFSP). Corn stover-derived ETJ achieves a 77 % GHG reduction but with higher MFSPs compared to corn grain ETJ. Carbon capture and storage (CCS without considering the cost for piping and sequestration, only compression) reduces the emissions of corn grain-derived ETJ by up to 32 gCO 2 e/MJ and enables negative emissions for corn stover-derived ETJ, with MFSP increases ranging from 1 % to 22 %. While carbon capture and utilization (CCU) increase ethanol yield by 47 %, it raises MFSPs by 54 % due to high electricity demand. Sustainable farming practices provide only limited carbon intensity (CI) reductions individually but do offer cumulative benefits when combined. These findings highlight the trade-offs between cost and environmental impact, providing insights to optimize SAF production strategies and support aviation sector goals for emissions reduction.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗
DOE OSTI2025

Quantifying health benefits of sustainable aviation fuels: Modeling decreased ultrafine particle emissions and associated impacts on communities near the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport

Exposure to ultrafine particles (UFP, ≤100 nm) is an emerging health concern linked to premature mortality, with jet fuel combustion identified as a significant source of UFPs near airports. Sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) adoption has the potential to reduce aviation-related UFPs and may particularly benefit populations who reside nearby. However, assessing aviation-specific impacts on health remains challenging due to the lack of tools capable of addressing: fine-scale exposure evaluation, novel ambient pollutants, and groups with increased exposure or susceptibility. We develop and apply a method to estimate reductions in mortality associated with aviation-related UFP reductions at the Seattle-Tacoma (SEA-TAC) International Airport under SAF adoption scenarios, with a focus on near-airport communities. Using UFP exposure surfaces generated from AERMOD modeling, flight count data, and UFP measurements, we evaluated UFP reductions under various control scenarios. We estimated mortality reductions by combining this with population data, baseline mortality, and a hazard ratio of 1.012 (95 % confidence interval: 1.010, 1.015) per interquartile range increment of 2723 particles/cm 3 . Our analysis included 412 census tracts representing almost 1.5 million adults. Baseline aviation-related UFP exposures averaged 1145 (SD: 277) particles/cm 3 . The highest baseline concentrations and subsequent reductions under SAF scenarios were near SEA-TAC. Mortality case reductions averaged between 3.1 (95 % range: 2.5–3.7) for a 5 % UFP reduction to 31.0 (24.6–37.4) for a 50 % reduction, with corresponding mortality rate reductions of 0.2 (0.2–0.3) to 2.1 (1.7–2.5) cases per 100,000 people per year. Mortality rate reductions were larger among populations residing closer to SEA-TAC, including those that were Hispanic or Latino, below-poverty, and did not identify as White. Reducing aviation-related UFPs through SAF adoption could lead to lower mortality, particularly in near-airport communities. This reproducible approach can be adapted to other settings to evaluate health benefits from aviation-related UFP reductions.

Aviation-related air pollution↗
DOE OSTI2024

Sustainable Aviation Fuel Blending and Logistics

Worldwide, aviation accounts for 2% of all manmade carbon dioxide emissions and 12% of all transportation CO2 emissions. In 2023, the U.S. accounted for 27% of the world jet fuel consumption. The aviation industry has set sustainability goals, and mandates. Sustainable aviation fuel (SAF), made from nonpetroleum feedstocks, significantly reduces aviation emissions. SAF must be blended with petroleum-based jet fuel prior to its use in aircraft. Jet fuel quality standards and certification documents are essential to fuel performance, operability, and safety and are the primary driver in determining locations for blending. Several locations were evaluated including terminals, airports, refineries, and greenfield/brownfield sites. While all the locations evaluated are technically capable of blending fuel, there are practical considerations that make terminals the optimal location for blending. The report includes background on jet fuel and SAF use, fuel quality standards, modes of transport for both conventional jet fuel and SAF, and terminal information.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗
DOE OSTI2025

Mobilizing mine lands for biobased decarbonization strategies

Over 163 000 ha of mine lands in Pennsylvania (PA) have the potential to produce willow as a feedstock for renewable energy generation. Each year these lands could produce between 454 000 and 907 000 dry Mg of willow, which can be a feedstock for bioenergy (i.e., biopower) with carbon capture and sequestration (BECCS) or sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) production. We used a spatially explicit model to explore cost-minimized allocation of willow biomass from abandoned mine lands (AML) to be used for BECCS or SAF production and to abate carbon dioxide. The results suggest that between 454 000 and 907 000 dry Mg of biomass can be produced on AML in PA at costs from $94 to $250 per dry Mg. This AML willow biomass could be combined with other available biomass and aggregated to ten facilities to produce 17.9 TWh of power; alternatively, it could produce 958 million liters of jet fuel, 638 million liters of renewable diesel, and 1.289 billion liters of naphtha, along with 0.735 TWh of electricity. From this analysis, in PA, under the BECCS pathway, up to 36 million Mg per year of CO2 could be abated at costs of up to $134 per Mg; under the SAF pathway, up to 17.5 million Mg per year of CO2 could be abated at costs up to $150 per Mg of CO2. The use of mine land willow as a supplemental feedstock for SAF and BECCS would need strong incentive programs if costs of production are to be comparable with production on agricultural land.

Wahlstrom, Mallory [Pennsylvania State University]↗
DOE OSTI2026

Expanding the horizon of bio-naphtha beyond gasoline blend: property characterization and conversion opportunity assessment through technoeconomic and life-cycle analyses

Bio-naphtha, a common by-product of biorefineries, is expected to experience substantial growth in supply due to increasing demands for renewable diesel and synthetic aviation fuel (SAF). However, demand for bio-naphtha itself as a gasoline blendstock is limited because of the electrification of light-duty vehicles. This work investigated valorization opportunities for bio-naphtha from catalytic fast pyrolysis, hydrothermal liquefaction, Fischer–Tropsch synthesis, and hydrotreated esters and fatty acids pathways. These opportunities include producing polymer-grade olefin via steam cracking, SAF via steam cracking followed by olefin oligomerization, and renewable aromatics benzene, toluene, and xylene (BTX) and hydrogen via catalytic reforming. Process models were developed in Aspen Plus V14 and Aspen HYSYS V14 to calculate the mass and energy balances for each conversion step. Technoeconomic assessment and life-cycle analysis were conducted to evaluate the minimum fuel/product selling price, conversion cost, and life-cycle CO2 equivalent (CO2e) emission reduction. Technoeconomic assessment results suggest a minimum fuel/product selling price as low as $1.9/kg of olefins, $6.30/gal of gasoline-equivalent SAF, and $1.2/kg of BTX without any incentives. For all pathways, these prices are dominated by bio-naphtha feedstock costs, which account for at least 76% of the total cost. Compared with petroleum baselines, bio-naphtha-derived SAF, olefins, and BTX can achieve significant CO2e emission reductions from the use of renewable carbon resources. The results of life-cycle analysis and subsequent technoeconomic assessment, incorporating carbon credits, indicate the economic viability of using bio-naphtha for polymer-grade olefin and BTX production, with product costs comparable to market prices.

Xu, Shuang↗
DOE OSTI2025

Techno-economics of hydrocarbon fuel production and recyclables recovery from landfill-destined municipal solid waste: AI-enhanced materials recovery facility design

Sustainable aviation fuels (SAF) production from cellulosic paper fractions of municipal solid waste (MSW) destined for landfills has strong potential to advance environmental, social, and economic sustainability across the aviation and waste sectors. This study proposes an artificial intelligence-enabled material recovery facility (AI-MRF) design to efficiently characterize, separate, process, and convert recovered paper waste from MSW into intermediate chemicals and SAF. The AI-MRF, designed to process 233,091 metric tons of MSW annually, integrates smart manufacturing technologies including AI, visual and hyperspectral imaging, multi-sensor data, and traditional sorting systems. Well-characterized and sorted cellulosic paper waste was utilized for chemical and fuel production scenarios, while clean plastics, metals, and glass were considered for recycling. Conversion of paper waste into intermediate sugars achieved a net present value (NPV) of up to $\$67$ million. For sugar-to-SAF production scenarios, the minimum fuel selling price (MFSP) was calculated at $\$6.11$ per gasoline gallon equivalent (GGE) when excluding recyclable revenue, and $\$4.03$ per GGE when halving recyclable revenue. The MFSP was further reduced to $\$1.96$ per GGE when accounting for SAF sales and recyclables. Nationally, this approach could yield about 2 billion GGE of hydrocarbon fuel annually from available MSW in the United States.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗
DOE OSTI2025

Solvent-Free Dimerization of Isoprene at Ambient Temperature: A Green Route to Biofuel-Range Hydrocarbons

In order to achieve a net-zero carbon footprint by 2050, the global aviation industry must reduce its dependence on fossil fuels. In this regard, there is a global challenge to produce sufficient sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) from renewable sources. Isoprene is an intermediate molecule that can be derived from multiple biomass-based or biosynthetic routes. Here, in this work, we report a green route for the catalytic conversion of isoprene to hydrocarbons that are suitable for aviation fuel. By using an Amberlyst-15 catalyst without metal loading at ambient temperature (19–23 °C), as well as 40 °C, 50 °C, and 60 °C, isoprene was converted into olefinic precursors for SAF and/or blending with conventional aviation fuels. Specifically, at ambient temperature, the process achieved approximately 70 wt % conversion of isoprene with over 50 mol % carbon selectivity toward the aviation fuel range. The resulting SAF-range hydrocarbons were composed of iso-alkenes, branched olefinic monocyclic compounds, and bicyclic compounds, covering a wide range of aviation fuel components. Our work demonstrates, for the first time, the formation of diverse hydrocarbon families for SAF and/or aviation fuel blending at ambient temperature from isoprene.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗
DOE OSTI2026

Harnessing ketones as hydrogen acceptors for atom-efficient upgrading of oxygenates to fuels over H/ZSM-5

Heterogeneous mixtures of bio-derived oxygenates are promising feedstocks for synthetic aviation fuel (SAF), but conversion strategies for one common component—short-chain (C 5–7 ) internal ketones—are lacking. Previous work has shown that cyclization of ketones over H/ZSM-5 is limited by its high productivity of light paraffins. We study 4-heptanone upgrading over H/ZSM-5 and show that aromatics and olefins can be formed at high carbon yield when operating at up to 90% conversion. The yield of desirable products is not impacted by the introduction of a recycle stream of the unconverted 4-heptanone and other products with similar boiling points. We hypothesize, based on first-principles calculations, that the higher olefin yield is driven by the ease of hydrogen transfer to unreacted ketones as opposed to hydrogenating olefin products. We demonstrate how this ease of hydrogen transfer to ketones can be leveraged to enhance olefin selectivity in the conversion of methanol to olefins as well by co-feeding ketones. Olefinic products of the cyclization reaction are then oligomerized to a SAF blendstock to demonstrate an end-to-end ketone-to-SAF process facilitated by upgrading ketones over H/ZSM-5 at partial conversion with a recycle stream. The results of this work demonstrate a strategy to improve the carbon yield from bio-derived acids to SAF to over 75%, representing a relative improvement of more than 50% compared to previously reported data.

08 HYDROGEN↗