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At least 37 records · Page 2

Distributed Intrusion Detection System using Semantic-based Rules for SCADA in Smart Grid

Cyber-physical system (CPS) security for the smart grid enables secure communication for the SCADA and wide-area measurement system data. Power utilities world-wide use various SCADA protocols, namely DNP3, Modbus, and IEC 61850, for the data exchanges across substation field devices, remote terminal units (RTUs), and control center applications. Adversaries may exploit compromised SCADA protocols for the reconnaissance, data exfiltration, vulnerability assessment, and injection of stealthy cyberattacks to affect power system operation. In this paper, we propose an efficient algorithm to generate robust rule sets. We integrate the rule sets into an intrusion detection system (IDS), which continuously monitors the DNP3 data traffic at a substation network and detects intrusions and anomalies in real-time. To enable CPS-aware wide-area situational awareness, we integrated the methodology into an open-source distributed-IDS (D-IDS) framework. The D-IDS facilitates central monitoring of the detected anomalies from the geographically distributed substations and to the control center. The proposed algorithm provides an optimal solution to detect network intrusions and abnormal behavior. Different types of IDS rules based on packet payload, packet flow, and time threshold are generated. Further, IDS testing and evaluation is performed with a set of rules in different sequences. The detection time is measured for different IDS rules, and the results are plotted. All the experiments are conducted at Power Cyber Lab, Iowa State University, for multiple power grid models. After successful testing and evaluation, knowledge and implementation are transferred to field deployment.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Assessing the ASME Section III, Division 5, Class A Primary Load Design Rules Against Creep Notch Effects

This report assesses the ASME Section III, Division 5, Subsection HB, Subpart B rules covering the design and construction of high temperature Class A nuclear reactor components for their robustness against creep notch effects. The creep notch effect combines the effect of multiaxial stresses on material creep deformation and damage. This report considers both effects, including the potential for creep mechanism shifts affecting the extrapolation of design data from high stress, short-time experimental data to low stress, long time operating component conditions. The report summarizes the history of and literature on multiaxial creep and surveys the current ASME design rules dealing with multiaxial effects. The report then describes the results of two dedicated numerical studies, one assessing the robustness of the ASME rules against uncertainty in extrapolating from uniaxial creep test data to multiaxial component conditions and a second study examining the potential effects of a mechanism shift from high stress, dislocation-mediated creep to diffusion-dominated creep at lower stresses. The final conclusion of the report is that the ASME rules adequately guard against multiaxial creep failure, though there are several aspects of the Code that could be optimized to provide less over-conservative design predictions or to provide a more consistent design margin as a function of temperature and stress. In a few areas, particularly the potential for mechanism shifts outside the currently-available experimental data, the Code rules should be revaluated as additional experimental data and new modeling and simulation results become available

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Methods for rule-based genome design

Methods and systems for designing, testing, and validating genome designs based on rules or constraints or conditions or parameters or features and scoring are described herein. A computer-implemented method includes receiving data for a known genome and a list of alleles, identifying and removing occurrences of each allele in the known genome, determining a plurality of allele choices with which to replace occurrences in the known genome, generating a plurality of alternative gene sequences for a genome design based on the known genome, wherein each alternative gene sequence comprises a different allele choice, applying a plurality of rules or constraints or conditions or parameters or features to each alternative gene sequence by assigning a score for each rule or constraint or condition or parameter or feature in each alternative gene sequence, resulting in scores for the applied plurality of rules or constraints or conditions or parameters or features, scoring each alternative gene sequence based on a weighted combination of the scores for the plurality of rules or constraints or conditions or parameters or features, and selecting at least one alternative gene sequence as the genome design based on the scoring.

Kuznetsov, Gleb↗

On the prediction of pressure effects for the combination kinetics of two alkyl radicals with the geometric mean rule

Here, alkyl combination reactions, along with their reverse alkane unimolecular decomposition reactions, are widely present in pyrolysis and combustion systems. These reactions occur mainly at temperatures at which their rate coefficients depend on pressure, and only a few studies have explored this dependence for large size alkyls. The accurate calculation of these kinetic data is limited by the size of the alkyl fragments involved, since the theoretical methods used are computationally expensive. Therefore, little reliable data is available for the modeling of real fuels alkane decomposition kinetics. In this paper, we propose an alternative approach that allows an accurate estimation of pressure-dependent kinetic rates for the combination of long-chain alkyl radicals, based on tabulated reaction models. The rates of combination of linear alkyls radicals forming ethane to pentane were calculated using the CASPT2-F12/cc-pVDZ-F12 level within VRC-TST theory combined with master-equation simulations. The computed high-pressure limit rate coefficients showed that n-propyl could be a minimum-size representative structure for larger n-alkyl chain, but this approach fails to capture the pressure dependence of the reaction that remains size-dependent for larger alkyls. The Geometric Mean Rule (GMR), a simple rule that links the self and cross-reactions of three alkyl radicals, is used to address this issue. Our theoretical calculations show for the first time that the GMR applies not only at the high-pressure limit, but also for every pressure explored. The GMR is shown to be accurate, with a maximum 22 % deviation in the falloff region for the estimation of rates for small alkyl combinations. Using this method, we propose a tabulated reaction rate rule for the combination of alkyl radicals up to C5+C5. The use of computed rate coefficients with the GMR approximation opens ways to develop pressure-dependent reaction rate rules for large n-alkyl combinations, based on accurate and computationally expensive theoretical calculations on smaller alkyl fragments.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Feasibility of Formulating Ecosystem Biogeochemical Models From Established Physical Rules

Abstract To improve the predictive capability of ecosystem biogeochemical models (EBMs), we discuss the feasibility of formulating biogeochemical processes using physical rules that have underpinned the many successes in computational physics and chemistry. We argue that the currently popular empirically based approaches, such as multiplicative empirical response functions and the law of the minimum, will not lead to EBM formulations that can be continuously refined to incorporate improved mechanistic understanding and empirical observations of biogeochemical processes. Instead, we propose that EBM parameterizations, as a lossy data compression problem, can be better formulated using established physical rules widely used in computational physics and chemistry, and different biogeochemical processes can be more robustly integrated within a reactive‐transport framework. Through several examples, we demonstrate how mathematical representations derived from physical rules can improve understanding of relevant biogeochemical processes and enable more effective communication between modelers, observationalists, and experimentalists regarding essential questions, such as what measurements are needed to meaningfully inform models and how can models generate new process‐level hypotheses to test in empirical studies. Finally, while empirical models with more parameters are often less robust, physical rules‐based models can be more robust and show lower predictive equifinality, stemming from their enhanced consistency in representations of processes, interactions and spatial scaling.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Update of the Nuclear Criticality Slide Rule: Review of the Estimation of the Number of Fissions

IRSN (France), LLNL (USA) and ORNL (USA) began a long-term collaboration effort in 2015 to update the nuclear criticality Slide Rule (https://ncsp.llnl.gov/analytical-methods/criticality-sliderule) for the emergency response to a nuclear criticality accident. The Slide Rule permits the estimation of neutron and gamma dose rates and integrated doses based upon estimated fission yields, as a function of distance from the fission source, and time after criticality accidents for different critical systems. This paper presents the review of the section “estimation of the number of fissions”, named “fission yield” in the Slide Rule document. This estimation is important because the other information provided by the Slide Rule is directly proportional to the number of fissions. The previous models, based on Hansen and Barbry formulae, will be presented with their associated assumptions and limitations. Then, new proposals will be presented with a comparison to past criticality accidents and experimental data. The new formulae, based on the heat energy equation, cover many types of criticality accidents (solution, dry or low-moderated powder, rods/assemblies in water and dry metal) and require limited information in an emergency situation.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

FY23 status report on the development of new ASME Section III, Division 5 Class B rules

This report summarizes the work done in Fiscal Year 2023 on the development of the new American Society of Mechanical Engineers Boiler and Pressure Vessel Code, Section III, Division 5, Class B rules to address the gaps identified for high temperature reactor designs. The summary of the design-by-analysis strain limit evaluation and creep-fatigue damage assessment is presented. The proposed design-by-analysis creep-fatigue damage calculation approach uses a new elastic follow-up-based Isochronous Stress Strain Curve stress relaxation procedure. This approach captures the elastic follow-up generated due to interactions of components with adjacent components, supports, and other connections in the power plant. A set of sample problems are selected to validate the proposed design-by-analysis rules for creep-fatigue damage assessment. The proposed Class B rules are evaluated against the Class A elastic design rules, and the experimental data obtained from a family of Simplified Model Test based key-feature test results. The proposed Class B creep-fatigue damage assessment methodology yields conservative design cycles estimates compared to the experimental results.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Sum rules in the standard model effective field theory from helicity amplitudes

The dispersion relation of an elastic 4-point amplitude in the forward direction leads to a sum rule that connects the low energy amplitude to the high energy observables. We perform a classification of these sum rules based on massless helicity amplitudes. With this classification, we are able to systematically write down the sum rules for the dimension-6 operators of the Standard Model Effective Field Theory (SMEFT), some of which are absent in previous literatures. These sum rules offer distinct insights on the relations between the operator coefficients in the EFT and the properties of the full theory that generates them. Their applicability goes beyond tree level, and in some cases can be used as a practical method of computing the one loop contributions to low energy observables. They also provide an interesting perspective for understanding the custodial symmetries of the SM Higgs and fermion sectors.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

Single-pion contribution to the Gerasimov-Drell-Hearn sum rule and related integrals

Phenomenological amplitudes obtained in partial-wave analyses (PWA) of single-pion photoproduction are used to evaluate the contribution of this process to the Gerasimov-Drell-Hearn (GDH), Baldin and Gell-Mann-Goldberger-Thirring (GGT) sum rules, by integrating up to 2 GeV in photon energy. Here, our study confirms that the single-pion contribution to all these sum rules converges even before the highest considered photon energy, but the levels of saturation are very different in the three cases. Single-pion production almost saturates the GDH sum rule for the proton, while a large fraction is missing in the neutron case. The Baldin integrals for the proton and the neutron are both saturated to about four fifths of the predicted total strength. For the GGT sum rule, the wide variability in predictions precludes any definitive statement.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Designing Cladded Components for High Temperature Nuclear Service: Part II—Design Rules

The challenge of using existing ASME Section III, Division 5, class A metallic materials for the construction of structural components of advanced reactors with corrosive coolants could be mitigated by allowing designers to use cladding to protect the base material from corrosion. However, the existing Section III, Division 5 rules provide no guidance on the evaluation of strain accumulation and creep-fatigue damage in cladded components. The availability of design rules for cladded components that do not require long-term clad material testing could promote the application of the cladding approach to accelerate the deployment schedule of these advanced reactor systems. To avoid long-term properties for the clad materials Part I of this work proposes two approximate design analysis methods for two types of clad materials—soft clads that creep much faster and have lower yield stress than the class A base material, and hard clads that creep much slower and have higher yield stress than the class A base material. The proposed analysis methods approximate the response of a soft clad by treating it as perfectly compliant and of a hard clad by treating it as linear elastic. Based on these approximate design analysis strategies this Part II develops a complete set of design rules for class A components cladded with either soft or hard clad materials. In conclusion, Part II discusses the reasoning behind the proposed design rules and uses example finite element analyses of representative reactor components to illustrate the use of these design methods.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

An Initial Assessment of the Design Margins of Different ASME Section III, Division 5 Design Rules

This report develops a method for assessing the design margin of the ASME Section III, Division 5 Class A design rules, focusing on a definition of margin as the ratio between the actual, expected component life and the ASME design life. Full inelastic finite element simulations with a complete damage model capturing the available creep, creep-fatigue, fatigue, and tension test failure data produce the expected component lives, which can then be compared to corresponding ASME design calculations. The focus of this particular work is on Alloy 617 and the ASME creep-fatigue design rules, but the approach is general and could be applied to other design limits and to other materials. A margin assessment of a representative Alloy 617 component shows the ASME creep-fatigue design rules applied to this component have a margin of 10 on design life. The report describes several challenges in completing a more comprehensive margin assessment of the ASME rules, in particular challenges in developing probabilistic assessment methods for high temperature structural components. The report details these challenge and discusses the immediate possibilities of the deterministic margin assessment method developed here.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Design rules for 316H nuclear components cladded with nickel or tungsten

The existing Class A metallic materials qualified in the ASME Boiler & Pressure Vessel Code Section III, Division 5 rules for high temperature nuclear reactors are not ideally suited for long term molten salt corrosion resistance in high temperature molten salt reactors. Potentially, corrosion or corrosion driven environmentally assisted cracking could limit the design life of structural components in molten salt reactors. A solution to this limitation is the use of cladded components – overlay the Class A material with a thin layer of some non-qualified, corrosion-resistant material. However, this necessitates the development of design methods for cladded components that do not require long-term testing of clad materials in order to support the near-term deployment of molten salt reactors. This report develops such a methodology along with a complete set of rules presented in a format compatible with an ASME nuclear Code Case. These design rules are for 316H Class A components cladded with either nickel or tungsten. The report also discusses the development of a set of general criteria for selecting clad materials beyond the specific 316H/tungsten and 316H/nickel systems and general acceptance tests for checking the mechanical integrity of the clad/base metal interface. Finally, the report includes a set of fully-documented sample problems detailing the application of the rules to high temperature cladded components

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Draft Rules for Alloy 617 Creep-Fatigue Design Using an EPP+SMT Approach

The report describes an improved new creep-fatigue design method for structural components in high temperature nuclear service. The new method uses an integrated elastic-perfectly plastic (EPP) analysis and Simplified Model Test (SMT) approach that greatly simplifies the design process by avoiding the separate evaluation of creep and fatigue damages and eliminating the requirement of stress classification. The report includes draft design rules, presented in a format compatible with an ASME nuclear Code Case, as well as a commentary on the rules and the validation of the rules using pressurized SMT (p-SMT) test data. Areas of potential improvement have been identified for further evaluation. The report also develops EPP+SMT design charts for Alloy 617 at temperatures between 800°C and 950°C by extrapolating high strain range, short hold test data to low strain range and long hold times, typical for structural components in high temperature nuclear service. The design charts are currently limited to 10,000 cycles to avoid excessive extrapolation outside the test database. More robust alternate extrapolation procedures will be considered in future work. The report includes several verification problems comparing the new EPP+SMT design method with current ASME creep-fatigue design methods. The comparison demonstrates that the EPP+SMT method significantly reduces the over-conservatism in current methods. Finally, the report includes a fully-documented sample problem with multiple load cases detailing the application of proposed EPP+SMT design rules.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Comparison of Saturation Rules Used for Gyrokinetic Quasilinear Transport Modeling

Theory-based transport modeling has been widely successful and is built on the foundations of quasilinear theory. Specifically, the quasilinear expression of the flux can be used in combination with a saturation rule for the toroidal mode amplitude. Most transport models follow this approach. Saturation rules are heuristic and difficult to rigorously derive. We compare three common saturation rules using a fairly accurate quasilinear expression for the fluxes computed using local linear gyrokinetic simulation. We take plasma parameters from experimental H-mode profiles and magnetic equilibrium and include electrons, deuterium, and carbon species. We find that the various saturation rules provide qualitatively similar behavior. This may help to explain why the different theory-based transport models can all predict core tokamak profiles reasonably well. Comparisons with nonlinear local and global gyrokinetic simulations are discussed.

Parker, Scott E. (ORCID:000000030942630X)↗

Experimental and Analytical Verification of ASME Section IiII Division 5 Creep-Fatigue Design Rules

The continuous advancement of structural materials and the growing demands for more reliable and economical structural components in high-temperature reactor applications have necessitated the development of comprehensive design methodologies and design rules. Mechanical degradation of structural components at elevated temperatures subjected to cyclic deformation is controlled by the creep-fatigue damage. Over the past few decades, diligent research efforts have been dedicated to refining the development of elevated temperature design rules in the American Society of Mechanical Engineers (ASME) Boiler and Pressure Vessel Code (BPVC), Section III, Division 5 and to develop conservative design rules that can effectively guard against the risk of creep-fatigue failure. In ASME Section III, Division 5, for a design to pass the creep-fatigue acceptance criteria, creep damage and fatigue damage are evaluated separately, and these damages must not violate the bi-linear creep-fatigue interaction diagram, i.e., the so-called D-diagram. The creep-fatigue damage evaluation procedure assumes that the effects of the actual cyclic loading sequence can be bounded by assuming that the individual loading cycles are uniformly distributed throughout the component design life. In this study, creep-fatigue experiments with variable amplitudes and loading sequencies were designed and performed on Alloy 617 at high temperatures. The results were analyzed to evaluate the loading history effect on creep-fatigue damage accumulation and to verify the assumptions for the creep-fatigue evaluation design rules.

36 - MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Initial Development of Variable Design Lifetimes and Creep-Fatigue Evaluations for ASME Section III, Division 5, Class B Code Rules

This report summarizes the initial development of new ASME Section III, Division 5, Class B rules to address the gaps identified for new high temperature reactor designs. The overall objective is to introduce the design-by-analysis approach, the variable design lifetimes for primary load design, and the strain limits and creep-fatigue damage evaluations for Class B components. It is also desired that the new evaluation procedures do not require stress classification and stress linearization. Further, the data requirements to support the development of design parameters for the new Class B rules would not be overly burdensome, and less extensive than those supporting Class A rules. We have identified the Elastic, Perfectly Plastic (EPP) method as the design by-analysis approach for primary load design, and developed allowable stress criteria for variable design lifetimes, up to 500,000 hours, that only require data typical for the allowable stresses in Section II, Part D, Tables 1A and 1B. We have also adapted the elastic analysis approach from HBB-T-1400 and Section III, Mandatory Appendix XIII, XIII-2400 and XIII-3520(e) for the new Class B creep-fatigue evaluation procedure. A new elastic follow-up-based Isochronous Stress Strain Curve (ISSC) stress relaxation procedure has been developed to provide adequate conservatism commensurate with Class B constructions. No stress classification and stress linearization are required in the new procedure. Future work needed to complete the development is also summarized.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Data-driven discovery of a formation prediction rule on high-entropy ceramics

The interest in high entropy ceramics (HECs) has increased steadily due to their superior properties. However, the prediction of their formation still poses challenges for the discovery of new systems. Here, we discover a rational rule for designing single-phase high entropy metal diborides (HEBs) using data-driven approach. The machine learning (ML) model is trained on data collected via high-throughput experiments (HTEs). K nearest neighbor (KNN) model shows an experimental validation accuracy of 93.75%. By implementing interpretable ML method, we demonstrate that a mismatch of the bonds between boron and transition metals (δ B-TM ) dominates the formation of HEBs. We propose an empirical rule that HEBs favor forming a single phase when δ B-TM < 3.66; otherwise, multiphase. The rule has a high accuracy of 93.33% for new HEBs predictions. In addition, we contribute 165 high quality HEBs data in total, which can promote the development of materials informatics in HEBs. Furthermore, this data-driven strategy can be expanded to accelerate the search for new HECs, paving a pathway to design novel HECs with superior properties rapidly.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

A derivation of Born’s rule from symmetry

Highlights: • A very simple proof for the rule by which we calculate probabilities in quantum mechanics. We here put forward a simple argument for Born’s rule based on the requirement that transition probabilities in quantum mechanics should not be a function of the number of degrees of freedom in the system, or the dimension of the Hilbert-space, respectively. The argument presented here can be interpreted as deriving Born’s rule from a symmetry requirement.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗